STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
TUESDAY, SEPTEMBER 16th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Tuesday, 9/16/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #25
•Reds' Votto Closer To A Return: It was not much, but the sight of Joey Votto taking underhanded pitches was an encouraging one for the Cincinnati Reds. Out since early July with a distal strain of his left quadriceps, Votto joined the Reds for their three-city trip that began in Milwaukee, and he is working out with the team. "It's day to day, station to station," Reds manager Bryan Price said. "Everything he's been doing has been increased effort from when he takes ground balls, moving laterally side to side, the running -- it's just a progression." Even hitting flipped balls in an indoor batting cage is a big step for Votto, who landed on the disabled list twice this season with the same injury and is still hoping to return before the regular season ends in two weeks.
"Getting in there, it's the first time I'll get to work in the cage with (hitting coaches) Don Long and Lee Tinsley. That's the final step before taking batting practice on the field," Votto said Sunday before the Reds' 9-2 loss to the Milwaukee Brewers. "I definitely feel like I've been making tremendous progress." Votto signed a $12 year, $251.5 million contract in April 2012 and hit .312 with 38 home runs and 129 RBIs in a combined 273 games in 2012 and 2013. He has appeared in just 62 games this season, with his most recent action July 5, and he is hitting .255 with six homers and 23 RBIs
•Brewers Rookie 1B Clark Makes An Impression: With first base a position of concern for the Milwaukee Brewers -- both in the near and long term -- Matt Clark is very quickly making an impression. Clark belted a three-run home run Sunday, breaking open a 3-1 game that turned into a 9-2 victory for the Brewers over the Cincinnati Reds. He has three home runs since earning his first career call-up to the majors on Aug. 2. "That's how they come -- they come in bunches," said Clark, who is batting .214 in nine games with Milwaukee. "You just try to ride the wave because you know it is not going to last that long. I just keep trying to put good swings on it and see what happens."
His road to the big leagues was a long one. A 28th-round pick by the Pittsburgh Pirates in 2007, Clark didn't sign and was selected a year later in the 12th round by the San Diego Padres. He spent five years in the San Diego system and hit .290 for Triple-A Tucson in 2012 with 26 doubles, 22 home runs and 77 RBIs. In 2013, he landed in Japan, where he hit .238 with 25 home runs and 70 RBIs in 132 games. Those numbers drew the attention of the New York Mets, who signed Clark to a minor league deal with an invitation to spring training in 2014. The Mets assigned him to Double-A Binghamton, where he again put up big numbers but was the odd man out in a organizational log-jam at first.
Milwaukee lost prospect Hunter Morris to an injury, so it offered Clark a minor league deal, which he accepted in early July. The Brewers assigned him to Triple-A Nashville, and again, Clark put up big numbers (.313, 16 homers, 37 RBIs), earning a September call-up. Finally getting his chance, the 27-year-old is making an impact on a team trying to climb back into postseason contention. "He sure is," manager Ron Roenicke said. "I like what he's doing on defense, also. He looks like he handles himself well there. We'll see. Keep getting him out there and see what happens." The Brewers spent most of the season platooning right-handed-hitting Mark Reynolds and left-handed-hitting Lyle Overbay at first base.
•Hernandez Fighting To Remain In Dodgers Rotation: Roberto Hernandez might be pitching for more than just improving his team's playoff chances Monday when the Dodgers open a three-game series in Colorado. The veteran right-hander might be attempting to improve his own shot at being in the Los Angeles rotation if/when the Dodgers get there. Before the San Francisco Giants came to bat in the bottom of the first inning Friday night, Hernandez appeared to be the obvious choice to be the odd-man out when the Dodgers go from a five- to a four-man rotation in the postseason.
But things changed in a hurry within nine batters. Dodgers starter Hyun-Jin Ryu, the No. 3 man in the rotation, suffered a shoulder injury in that four-run Giants inning, and he's now questionable for the rest of the season pending an MRI on Monday. Just like that, Hernandez has become the logical choice to be in the L.A. rotation, if needed, as the No. 4 starter role. Of course, Hernandez presumably would need to improve on his recent form. He enters Monday's game having lost his last two starts, including a three-inning debacle against the San Diego Padres on Tuesday in which he gave up five runs.
•Pearce Among Biggest Surprises: Steve Pearce may be the perfect embodiment of Baltimore's surprising year. The 31-year-old first baseman had never played more than 61 games in a season until 2014, but his 17 home runs - 13 more than his previous career high - have helped put the Orioles on the verge of an AL East title. "It always had a good feel to it, Steve being on the club," manager Buck Showalter said. "A good fit, a guy that you could count on - what a team needs, always ready, appreciates the opportunity, it's an honor to be in the big leagues."
Pearce made his major league debut in 2007 with Pittsburgh, and he's also played for Houston and the New York Yankees, but he's never hit like this. On Sunday night, Pearce drove in the tying run and scored the winning run in the ninth inning of a 3-2 victory over the Yankees. "He's looking for good things," Showalter said. "He expects his next at-bat to be a good one. He doesn't wallow around in self-pity." Pearce has helped the Orioles withstand injuries to more celebrated teammates Matt Wieters and Manny Machado - but he's just one of several unexpected contributors to baseball's postseason races.
•Final 6 Dodgers Games To Be Seen Locally: The last six regular-season Los Angeles Dodgers games will be televised on an independent station that will allow all local fans of the team to watch after they have been shut out for most of the year. Time Warner Cable said Monday that it has reached a deal with KDOC, which is carried by every cable, satellite and telco provider in Southern California and can be received over the air with an antenna. The Dodgers lead the National League West by three games over San Francisco. They will host the Giants from Sept. 23-24 and the Rockies from Sept. 26-28, with those six games being shown on KDOC.
Time Warner Cable chief operating officer Dinni Jain says the company will continue to work on long-term agreements with other providers during the offseason to carry SportsNet LA, which televises Dodgers games. Only customers of Time Warner Cable, its partner Bright House Networks, and a small operator called Champion Broadband have been able to watch the Dodgers this season. That leaves out subscribers of major providers such as DirecTV, Dish Network, Verizon and AT&T. The contract to broadcast Dodgers games, which had long been with Fox Sports' Prime Ticket regional sports network, was bought by Time Warner Cable last year in a deal estimated to be worth $7 billion over the next two decades.
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Betting Notes - Tuesday
National League
•Nationals-Braves - 7:10 PM
--Roark is 1-3, 4.01 in his last four starts.
--Harang is 1-3, 6.23 in his last four starts.
--Washington won seven of its last nine games.
--Braves lost seven of their last eight games.
--Over is 7-2 in last nine Harang starts.
•Marlins-Mets - 7:10 PM
--Eovaldi is 0-5, 6.61 in his last six starts.
--Colon is 0-4, 7.65 in his last four home starts.
--Miami lost four of its last six games.
--Mets lost four of their last five games.
--Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Eovaldi starts; seven of last eight Colon starts went over the total.
•Reds-Cubs - 8:05 PM
--Cueto is 3-0, 1.17 in his last three starts.
--Arrieta is 1-1, 4.96 in his last three starts.
--Reds lost three of their last four games.
--Cubs lost eight of their last ten games.
--Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Cincinnati games.
•Brewers-Cardinals - 8:15 PM
--Peralta is 1-3, 7.84 in his last four starts.
--Lynn is 4-1, 2.62 in his last seven starts.
--Brewers won four of their last five games.
--St Louis won last three games, allowing six runs.
--Four of last five Milwaukee games stayed under.
•Dodgers-Rockies - 8:40 PM
--Haren is 3-0, 1.38 in his last four starts.
--Matzek is 3-1, 1.23 in his last four starts.
--Dodgers won eight of their last ten games.
--Colorado lost its last seven games, scoring eleven runs.
--Six of last eight Colorado games stayed under; over is 7-2-1 in Dodgers' last ten games.
•Giants-Diamondbacks - 9:40 PM
--Peavy is 5-1, 2.01 in his last six starts.
--Collmenter is 2-0, 0.98 in his last four starts.
--Giants lost last three games by combined score of 27-4.
--Arizona won last three games, scoring 24 runs.
--Over is 4-0-1 in last five Giant games.
•Phillies-Padres - 10:10 PM
--Burnett is 2-7, 6.36 in his last nine starts.
--Kennedy is 1-3, 5.28 in his last five starts.
--Phillies lost six of their last nine games.
--San Diego lost eight of its last eleven games.
--Five of last seven San Diego games went over total.
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American League
•Blue Jays-Orioles - 7:05 PM
--Hutchison is 2-0, 1.86 in his last three starts.
--Jimenez is 1-1, 8.36 in his last three starts.
--Toronto lost three of its last four games.
--Orioles won eight of their last nine games.
--Seven of last ten Hutchison starts went over total.
•Yankees-Rays - 7:10 PM
--Pineda is 1-2, 2.63 in his last six starts.
--Odorizzi is 1-1, 2.89 in his last three starts.
--Yankees lost four of its last five games.
--Tampa Bay won three of its last four games.
--Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Tampa Bay games; last five Yankees games stayed under the total.
•Indians-Astros - 8:10 PM
--Kluber is 2-0, 1.56 in his last couple starts.
--Tropeano won his first MLB start, allowing two runs in five IP.
--Cleveland lost six of its last eight games.
--Astros won ten of their last fourteen games.
--Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Houston games.
•White Sox-Royals - 8:10 PM
--Bassitt is 0-1, 4.38 in two starts this season.
--Hendriks is 0-1, 6.35 in his last four starts.
--White Sox won four of their last six games.
--Kansas City lost five of its last eight games.
--Over is 3-1-1 in last five Kansas City games.
•Tigers-Twins - 8:10 PM
--Porcello is 0-3, 7.72 in his last three starts.
--Nolasco is 0-5, 6.28 in his last seven starts.
--Tigers won seven of their last eight games.
--Minnesota lost nine of its last eleven games.
--Eight of last eleven Detroit games went over total.
•Mariners-Angels - 10:05 PM
--Elias is 1-3, 2.42 in his last five starts.
--Rasmus is 0-0, 3.38 in three starts; this is a bullpen game for Halos.
--Seattle lost six of its last eight games.
--Angels won ten of their last eleven games.
--Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Seattle games.
•Rangers-Athletics - 10:05 PM
--Tepesch is 0-3, 6.14 in his last four starts.
--Kazmir is 0-3, 8.20 in his last four starts.
--Texas won its last three games, allowing six runs.
--A's lost 12 of last 17 games, but won last two.
--Last five Oakland games stayed under the total.
Interleague
•Red Sox-Pirates - 7:05 PM
--Ranaudo is 2-2, 6.10 in his last four starts.
--Morton is 0-3, 6.58 in his last five starts.
--Red Sox won three of its last four games.
--Pittsburgh won eight of its last ten games.
--Four of last five Boston games went over the total.
•Incredible Stat of the Day
Arizona Diamondbacks Josh Collmenter is 11-3 in his team starts against the money line (78.5%) versus teams whose hitters draw three walks or less per game this season. The right-hander has also notched a 14-7 recorded during the campaign versus National League teams with an on base percentage .325 or worse, along with an 8-1 mark at home when the money line is +125 to -125. San Francisco has scored just four runs during their recent slide, and could be in for another tough challenge Tuesday against Collmenter who allowed three hits over six innings in their 5-0 victory Thursday.
"He was good," Giants outfielder Gregor Blanco said about Collmenter, who has yielded two earned runs and 14 hits over 27 2-3 innings while going 2-0 in his last four starts. "Good changeup. He was locating the fastball. He was tough to hit. He was keeping us out of balance." The University of Central Michigan star, has overcome six walks to allow one run in 11 innings while going 1-0 in two starts against the Giants this season. Buster Posey, though, is 3 for 6 this season, and 9 for 14 with two home runs and a double lifetime versus Collmenter.
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