Service Plays Tuesday 8/19/08

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

FYI - CHILL NO DAY GAMES TODAY!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

My free pick of the day is the game between (911) SD Padres and (912) ARI D'backs. Take "(911) SD Padres". The Padres have been competitive of late, going 4-4 despite being an underdog in 6 of those 8 games. They've played 3 one-run games over the last 5 games, plus put an 8-3 beating on the Phillies as a +130 dog. Padres relievers have an 0.38 ERA over the past seven games, allowing only one run in 23 2/3 innings while striking out 28 against nine walks. They take on another team in a pennant race, but Arizona is 5-6 the last 11 games. Starter Doug Davis walks too many batters (50 in 99 innings) and is 0-3 with an ERA of 12.27 his last 3 starts. A 4-7 pitcher with a 4.79 ERA doesn't warrant being this large a favorite. Play the Padres.

 

[STACKSONDECK]

i sometimes wonder about the conspiracy therioes with these touts. i mean what are the chances that they give out their big play all on the same couple of games when there is a bunch of games on the board? did they get the call from the books or vegas, do they all have the same system or is one guy really five or copying each other? dont reallly care but just really weird sometimes.

 

[wallybell]

they are just general public stiffs that lose all the time. look at their plays, almost always the same side as the pathetic public.

 

[nordique]

Las Vegas Sports Advisors

Las Vegas Sports Advisors


Yesterday 100.00% 1-0 +5.00
This Week 100.00% 1-0 +5.00

Past 7 Days 80.95% 17-4 +43.00
This Month 67.16% 45-22 +71.08 :toast:

Past 30 Days 58.14% 75-54 +45.74 arty:

Stats from Trackpicks..

 

[nordique]

Las Vegas Sports Advisors

Las Vegas Sports Advisors

Can Anybody else get these guys plays?

i wont have my payout untill friday:think2:
I dont use Credit!

 

[chase88]

js

JEFFERSONSPORTS --lost yest--

HIT 19 of last 25 (76%)

MLB EARLY RELEASE
MINNESOTA-189

77-49 last 126 plays (62%)
MLB +41.29 units (+4129.00$ playing 100.00 a game)

rest of plays tom afternoon

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty missed with the Angels Monday night.
Tuesday it's the Indians. The surplus is 340 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HONDO

August 19, 2008

Guthrie was for the birds last night as he took the loss against the Bosawx, which condensed Hondo's col lection of disposable dead presidents to 390 herndons.

Tonight, he's gotta go with Galarraga, the stable stalwart - 10 units on the Tigers to mess up Texas.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

armvin Sports Mlb

8/19/2008 Toronto Blue Jays -125

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SCOTT FERRALL

Dice K -165 at Baltimore-take the Red Sox because he's doesn't lose these days and Boston is hitting

Reyes and the Tribe -175 at home vs the hapless Royals and Hochevar--I watched KC play on Saturday and they really are horrid

SF +115 at home over the stinky FISH (Marlins), who's season is going down the drain

Kuroda -145 over the Rpckies and Jimenez at the Revine in Lipstick City

Arizona -200 and Davis over the Padres, who have sucked balls all year

St.Louis -200 with Looper having an easy night of it against the Bucs and Ian Snell
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gator Report

70% Super Situation:

MLB Tuesday: Play On MLB (NL) favorites with a money line of -150 or more with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 on the season, with a team batting average of .275 or better on the season, 124-34 SU since 1997 (78.5%) 6-1 SU this season!

*PLAY: St Louis Cardinals -205


*We rarely play any favorite over -150 but in some cases the technical and fundamental support combine to provide a solid play on teams with a higher line and this happens to be one of those cases. Although we still find it difficult to lay that much chalk so we looked a little deeper into the system and we found that the average score in a game this system qualifies is 6.6 to 4.2 which results in a line differential of +2.5. This game is a possible run line selection with a current line of St Louis -1.5 (-105) at BetCris (10:22 PM EST Monday).

Top Angle:

MLB Tuesday: SAN FRANCISCO is 0-10 (-10.4 Units) against the money line versus teams turning 0.8 or less DP's per game in the second half of the season this season.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

My free pick of the day is the game between (917) KC Royals and (918) CLE Indians. Take "(917) KC Royals".
The change of scenery from St. Louis to Cleveland seems to be working for Anthony Reyes. But I'm not buying Reyes just yet as a pitcher worthy of being this much chalk against anyone. Although he's off a quality start last time out, Reyes wasn't able to record even a single strikeout, indicating he had some good fortune along the way. Rookie Luke Hochevar has had his ups and downs and is not reliable at this point. But I'll take my chances that this is one of his good nights and I'll go for what I feel is decent value with the Royals as big road dogs.
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[Packwins]

Lance's Lock
Overall record: 650-545-23
Current streak: 3 wins
Todays play: The Rays -120

 

[patriots12]

SCOTT FERRALL

Dice K -165 at Baltimore-take the Red Sox because he's doesn't lose these days and Boston is hitting

Reyes and the Tribe -175 at home vs the hapless Royals and Hochevar--I watched KC play on Saturday and they really are horrid

SF +115 at home over the stinky FISH (Marlins), who's season is going down the drain

Kuroda -145 over the Rpckies and Jimenez at the Revine in Lipstick City

Arizona -200 and Davis over the Padres, who have sucked balls all year

St.Louis -200 with Looper having an easy night of it against the Bucs and Ian Snell
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SCOTT FERRALL

BASEBALL LOCKS FOR TUESDAY

Philly -210 and Blanton easily over the Nationals at Citizens in Ferralladelphia

Perez -210 and the Mets over the fast sinking Braves at Shea as NY opens a fat week at home against Atlanta and Houston

Houston +210 at Milwaukee as Moehler pulls off the upset over Ben Sheets--it just seems too automatic to me to snag the Brewers

Reds +250 at Wrigley with Cueto coming through against Harden and the Cubs--Chicago was -310--are you kidding me ?

Seattle -108 at ChiSox against Richard--King Felix can beat them wheb they aren't expecting it

Slowey and Twins -200 over the A's at the Homerdome--Minnesota is in the thick of the chase, so it's important to them

Galarraga (even odds) and the Tigers pull one out over Padilla and the Rangers in Arlington

Angels -120 at Tampa--I'm on Ervin Santana at the Trop over James Shields

Toronto -145 on AJ Burnett over the dying Yankees, who are 9.5 back in the East and 5 back in the Wild Card


BASEBALL OVER-UNDERS FOR TUESDAY

CHISOX-MARINERS OVER 9

OAK-MINN UNDER 8.5

DET-TEX UNDER 11

ANGELS-TB UNDER 8

NY-TOR OVER 9

BOS-BALT UNDER 9

KC-CLEV OVER 9

FLA-SF OVER 8

ROCKIES-DODGERS UNDER 8

SD-ARIZ OVER 9.5

PITT-CARDS OVER 9

HOUS-MILW OVER 8

ATL-NY OVER 9.5

NATS-PHILS OVER 9

 

[patriots12]

SPORTS ADVISORS

AMERICAN LEAGUE

N.Y. Yankees (66-58) at Toronto (64-60)

The Blue Jays return home after a successful road trip looking to further damage the Yankees’ playoff hopes as these A.L. East rivals kick off a three-game series. Toronto will send ace A.J. Burnett (15-9, 4.67 ERA) to the mound opposite struggling Darrell Rasner (5-9, 5.18).

Toronto went 5-1 on its just-concluded road swing, capped off with a pair of impressive wins over the Red Sox on Saturday (5-1) and Sunday (15-4). The Jays are on hot streaks of 6-2 versus divisional foes, 5-0 with Burnett on the hill overall and 7-0 when Burnett works at home. However, the last time the Jays were north of the border, they got swept in a three-game series against Cleveland, scoring just four runs.

New York took two of three on a brief three-game homestand against the Royals, including Sunday’s 15-6 rout. However, since coming out of the All-Star break with eight straight wins, the Yankees have lost 13 of their last 21, going 3-8 on the road during this stretch. They’re also mired in slumps of 0-6 in series-openers, 4-9 in Rasner’s last 13 starts overall and 1-6 with Rasner on foreign turf.

The Yankees hold a slim 5-4 advantage in this season series, with the host winning six of the nine meetings.

Burnett has given up four runs in each of his last three starts, yet he’s won all three by identical 6-4 scores, beating the Rangers and Tigers on the road and the A’s at home. He’s also 9-3 at home despite a hefty 5.13 ERA, but one of his best starts of the season at the Rogers Centre came against the Yankees on July 13, when he yielded one run on six hits in 8 1/3 innings. Going back to the start of last season, Burnett is 4-0 with a 1.23 ERA in four starts against New York.

Rasner lasted just five innings in Wednesday’s start at Minnesota, giving up three runs (two earned) in taking a 4-2 loss. The right-hander has gone 11 consecutive starts without a quality outing, and he’s lost nine of his last 11 decisions. Also, he’s 2-6 with a 5.96 ERA in eight road starts, but he’s 2-0 with a 4.91 ERA in two career outings against the Blue Jays, including a 9-4 victory in Toronto on July 12.

In this rivalry, the under is on streaks of 7-3 overall, 4-1 in Toronto and 4-0 when Burnett faces New York. The under is also 5-2 in New York’s last seven overall, 15-4-1 in Toronto’s last 20 games overall, 13-3 in Toronto’s last 16 at home and 4-0 in Burnett’s last four outings versus A.L. East foes.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TORONTO and UNDER


L.A. Angels (76-47) at Tampa Bay (76-48)

The top two teams in baseball are set to continue their three-game series at Tropicana Field, presuming that Tropical Storm Fay steers clear of the Tampa Bay area. If the storm doesn’t force the postponement of tonight’s contest, the Rays are set to give the ball to James Shields (10-7, 3.75), while the Angels will go with Ervin Santana (13-5, 3.49).

Tampa Bay held on for a 6-4 victory Monday night, boosting their major-league-best home record to 46-17, including 42-10 in the last 52. The Rays, who now trail Los Angeles by a half-game in the race for baseball’s best record, are on a 15-4 overall run (6-1 at home), and they’re now 5-2 against the Angels this year (4-0 at home).

L.A. is fighting a rare slump, having lost four of its last five, which comes on the heels of a five-game winning streak. Despite the downturn – which includes a 1-3 mark on this current road trip – the Angels remain baseball’s top road team with a 39-24 record. They’re also on streaks of 22-6 on Tuesdays, 21-7 versus the A.L. East, 20-8 against right-handed starters and 10-4 following a defeat.

The home team has won six of the seven clashes between these clubs this season and nine of the last 10 going back to 2007.

Tampa Bay is 9-2 in Shields’ last 11 starts overall (5-1 in the last six), 10-2 in his last 12 against the A.L. West and 21-6 in his last 27 at home. This year at the Trop, Shields is 7-1 with a 2.21 ERA in 13 outings, 12 of which Tampa has won. That includes a complete-game, 2-0 win over the Angels on May 9, when Shields dominated in a one-hit, no-walk, eight-strikeout performance. Although Shields lost a 6-1 decision in Anaheim a month later, he’s 4-0 with a 1.27 ERA in four career home starts versus the Halos.

L.A. has lost three of Santana’s last five starts, with the right-hander posting a 4.05 ERA during this stretch. On the bright side, despite horrific career numbers on the road coming into this season, Santana is 9-2 with a 3.45 ERA in 14 starts as a visitor in 2008. Conversely, he’s 3-3 with a 6.21 ERA in seven career efforts against the Rays, getting a no-decision in his team’s 8-5 loss in Tampa on May 11 when Santana yielded five runs on nine hits in 5 2/3 frames.

The under is 5-2 in Shields’ last seven starts overall and 8-4-2 this year when Santana pitches on the road. However, the over is on runs of 7-1 for the Angels against right-handed starters, 4-1 for the Angels against the A.L. East, 5-1 for the Rays at home and 4-1 when Santana pitches at Tropicana Field.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY

 

[ymmit2nd]

DIAMOND XCHANGE SPORTS

8/19

comp play:
YANKEES/BLUE JAYS OVER THE POSTED TOTAL

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

B!G @L

Our selection for Tuesday, August 19 is:

Cleveland Indians (Reyes) over KC Royals (Hochevar).

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MARC LAWRENCE - Tuesday 8/19


Play On: Detroit w/Gallaraga vs Padilla