Jeff Scott Sports
My top plays took a hit yesterday as ilost with teh Angels on the RL. I still went 3-2 for my second wining night in a row. My top plays are now 7-1 the last 8 and 9-3 the last 12. I'm looking for another solid day today. I willhave the rest of my card before 5 pm.
3 UNIT PLAY
Phillies +105 over OAKLAND: The Phillies are 7-1 in Moyers last 8 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5 and 6-1 in Moyers last 7 road starts, while the Athletics are 2-10 in their last 12 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5 and 1-7 in Blantons last 8 starts following a team loss in their previous game. The Phils have just come off a tough 3 game home sweep of the Angels and sometimes the best thing for a team when that happens is to get out on the road to escape the pressure. The Phils bats were quiet in that series, but tonight they are facing a pitcher who may just help them to wake up a bit. Joe Blanton has been bad for the A's this year, posting a 3-10 record with a 4.81 ERA overall, including a 1-7 mark with a 3.98 ERA at home and a 1-9 mark with a 5.33 ERA at night. Joe has really been hit hard in last 4 starts going 0-4 with a 7.94 ERA, allowing 30 hits and 8 walks in just 23.2 innings of work. The Phils bats have been quiet of late 3.1 rpg in their last 7) but they still put up 5.3 rpg on the road and 5.3 rpg at night, plus the Phils do score for Moyer as they average 6.3 rpg in his overall starts, 5.7 rpg in his road starts and 7.8 rpg in his night starts. Jamie Moyer pitches well on the road, going 4-1 with a 2.76 ERA, including a 3-0 mark with a 1.37 ERA in his road night starts. The Phils are 10-5 in his starts overall and 6-1 in his road starts. Oakland does come in scoring 5.7 rpg in their last 7 games, but for the year this team struggles vs left-handed starters scoring just 3.7 rpg and hitting only .246.The A's also score just 3.4 rpg in Joe's overall starts, 3.3 rpg in his home starts and 3.1 rpg in his night starts. The Phils are reeling a bit but what a better spot to get back on track than against a struggling pitcher, who's team is just 4-12 in his overall starts this year, 2-9 in his home starts and 1-11 in his night starts. Phils open up the series with a nice win.
1 UNIT PLAY
CHICAGO -129 over Baltimore: The Orioles are 3-12 in Guthries last 15 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance and 13-38 in their last 51 interleague games as a dog of +110 to +150, while the Cubs are 13-3 in their last 16 home games vs. a team with a winning record and 11-2 in their last 13 during game 1 of a series. I know the Cubs are just off an emotional series with tehir crosstown rivals and that they have Sean Marshall making his first strart of they year, but this is the Cubs at home and I feel a real bargain here at -129. The Cubs have been home favs of -125 -150 13 times this year and they are 11-2 in those games, outscoring their opponents by 3.1 rpg. The Cubs are the best home team in the league with a 32-8 record, scoring 6.5 rpg and giving up just 3.8 rpg. The Cubs hit .311 at home, including .306 vs righties and they score 5 rpg vs righty starters on the year. The Orioles bats have waken up a bit lately, but they are scoring just 4.4 rpg and hit just .247 overall, including hitting just .244 and scoring just 4.1 rpg on the road. The O's also have problems scoring with Guthrie on the mound, as they average just 3.4 rpg in his overall starts, including just 3.5 rpg in his home starts. Guthrie hasa pretty good ERA, but due to lack of run support his overall record is just 3-7. Guthrie is just 2-4 on the road with a 3.78 ERA, including a 1-2 mak with a 4.15 ERA in his last 4 on the road. The Cubs just hit too well at home to think that Baltimore's weak offense can outscore them here, even with Marshall on the mound and even if Marshall gets into trouble the tough Chicago bullpen should take over and keep the Orioles down for the rest of the game.
<!-- / message -->