Service Plays Tuesday 5/13/14

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Day: Clippers at Thunder

Los Angeles Clippers at Oklahoma City Thunder (-5.5, 212.5)

The Los Angeles Clippers will be riding the momentum of an epic comeback while the host Oklahoma City Thunder will be looking to rebound from a colossal collapse when the teams square off in Tuesday’s Game 5. Oklahoma City jumped out to a 22-point lead in Game 4 and the Clippers overtook the Thunder with a frantic fourth-quarter push to knot the series at two games apiece. Darren Collison was the late-game hero as Los Angeles recorded the improbable 101-99 victory.

Oklahoma City standout Kevin Durant scored 40 points in Game 4 but was a nonfactor in the final minutes as the Clippers roared to the finish. “We’ve got to turn the page quickly,” Durant said afterward. “Can’t get too high off of wins and too low off of losses. Got to figure out what we did wrong and get better at it in Game 5.” Los Angeles trailed by 16 with nine minutes to play before the resounding comeback, displaying a trait that the franchise hasn’t always been associated with. “It shows our growth,” forward Matt Barnes said afterward. “I don’t know if we win a game like this last year, honestly. We just kept believing and kept talking to each other.”

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, TNT

LINE HISTORY: The Thunder opened as 5.5-point favorites. The total opened at 212.5.

INJURY REPORT: Clippers F Hedo Turkoglu (Questionable, back).

WHAT THE CAPPERS SAY: "Oklahoma City blew a golden opportunity to go up 3-1 in the series after blowing a 15-point lead in the fourth quarter in Game 4 on Sunday. The Clippers' offense has been stagnant in the last two games, but they scored 38 points in the fourth quarter on Sunday and that should give them some momentum heading into Game 5." Covers Expert Steve Merril.

CHEERLEADER WAR:



ABOUT THE CLIPPERS: Collison and the term “playoff hero” found in the same sentence was an unexpected occurrence with there being a star point guard named Chris Paul on the team. But the backup who is with his fourth NBA team in five pro seasons excelled by scoring eight points in the final 2:58, including the go-ahead basket with 59.9 seconds to go. “You just got to love a guy like that who plays with so much heart and never gives up,” Paul said afterward in reference to Collison. The Clippers went to a small lineup in the final quarter to shake things up or otherwise Collison would have been on the bench in the final minutes.

ABOUT THE THUNDER: Oklahoma City’s disintegration was partly due to issues matching the smaller lineup but primarily due to defensive lapses that allowed Los Angeles to score 38 final-quarter points. The Thunder held the Clippers to 35.2 percent shooting over the first three quarters before Los Angeles was 14-of-22 over the final 12 minutes. “We’ve got to get back – gave up too many layups,” point guard Russell Westbrook bemoaned afterward. “They got too many easy baskets, especially when we had the lead.” Oklahoma City was also hurt by 16 turnovers, half of them by Durant.

TWEET BEAT:



TRENDS:

* Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last six meetings.
* Over is 6-2 in the last eight meetings in Oklahoma City.
* Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last six games overall.
* Clippers are 2-7 ATS in their last nine Conference Semifinals games.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 55 percent of wagers are on the Thunder -5.5.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Clippers/Thunder: The Game Inside the Game
By DAVID MALINSKY

Many times when a series is tied 2-2 it becomes a chess match of tactical adjustments, and the savvy handicapper gets the opportunity to evaluate the position of the board to see who has the best end-game prospects. When the Clippers and Thunder meet in Game #5 on Tuesday it could be much different – this time it might be a simple game of checkers, and not chess.

If you were watching Game #4 on Saturday there was a memorable sideline interview with Doc Rivers before the fourth quarter began. His team was down by a dozen, but he was calm and made a reference that they just needed to stay within what they do. And that is what Rivers does – heading into the 4th quarter of his 129th playoff game as an NBA head coach, he did not panic, and had the Clippers in the proper frame of mind to mount that stunning comeback.

How Game #4 ended is a key to how Game #5 begins. This one may be more about the mental state of the teams than tactical adjustments. Yes, X’s and O’s were a part of the Los Angeles comeback, with the catalyst being the hustle of the small lineup (Darren Collison played the entire fourth), and Chris Paul being used to help guard Kevin Durant late. But it was more a case of the poise and passion that the teams played with, or lack thereof, at those key moments.

The Thunder came unglued. The offensive frustrations are best showed by the fact that Durant and Russell Westbrook combined for more turnovers (12) than assists (11). But it was on defense and the boards where they completely broke down. From the time they led 82-66 at 9:19, until Serge Ibaka came down with Blake Griffin’s miss at 5.9, they had one defensive rebound. After winning the boards by a +43 over the first 183 minutes of the series, they lost them 8-3 over that final stretch. They also did not force a turnover, and the only stop came at 4:54, when Paul missed a jumper that Caron Butler rebounded. To make matters worse, there were 10 Clipper baskets over that span recorded in the restricted area – either layups or dunks.

But you can look at it in an even more damning way – the stop they recorded on the final L.A. possession should not have happened. The Clippers got the ball up by two with 27.5 remaining, and Oklahoma City out of time outs. Scott Brooks had to foul there. The best that he could ordinarily have hoped for was to force a miss and get a rebound with four or five seconds remaining, with no ability to stop the clock and advance the ball. If Los Angeles scored, game over, and if it was a miss, it was still going to be difficult for the Thunder to get off a shot. They got a break, with Griffin shooting too early, but take a look at the time sequence – Ibaka got that rebound at 5.9, and Westbrook missed his triple at 1.4. They needed 4.5 ticks to find that shot, and 4.5 would not have been available had the Clippers worked their final possession better.

By not fouling, Brooks put his team in a negative position, and almost got away with it. But that was not the mistake of a chess master – in that clock situation it was simple enough to have been be checkers. For most of that closing salvo it was a case of the Clippers playing with Poise, Passion and Purpose, and the Thunder lacking those elements. Much of that was Rivers over Brooks.

So now to look ahead to Tuesday night, and it will be those three P’s at the forefront again. We can be pretty confident about the mental state of the Clippers, but can Brooks salve the psyche of his team, and get them back to the physical aggression that had them on the verge of taking firm control of the series? Can he find something cathartic that might even turn the collapse into something positive? That is where this one will most likely be decided, and not through any complex X’s and O’s. The handicapping process begins right there.

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 5/13/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________


***** Tuesday, 5/13/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
____________________________________________________

NBA Playoff Journal (May 12)
Our last journal was Friday afternoon, with six games being played Friday through Sunday. Home teams opened by struggling in this year's postseason and that continued over the long weekend (Friday-Sunday), as did the trend of high scoring games. What has turned is the surprisingly fast start by "Zig-Zaggers" and it's been a dramatic 'free-fall!'

Home teams lost both games Friday night, as the Pacers beat the Wizards 85-63, as Washington's point total matched the fourth-lowest in playoff history in the shot-clock era. The Thunder followed by winning in Los Angeles 118-112, taking a 2-1 series lead (like the Pacers). The Heat lost for the first time this postseason Saturday at Brooklyn, ending an eight-game postseason winning streak (one that had matched a franchise high) which went back to Games #6 & #7 of LY's Finals.

The Nets got back in the series by making 15 of 25 three pointers plus holding LeBron James in check (after his 16-point 1st quarter), as he scored just 12 points the final three quarters (on 2 of 8 shooting). In Saturday's late game, the Spurs routed the Blazers for a third straight game, this time in Portland, 118-103. While all five Portland starters scored in double digits (four had 20-plus points), the SA bench outscored Portland's 40-6 (more on that later).

Moving ahead to Sunday, the Clippers made a remarkable comeback at Staples Center, to even their series with the Thunder at 2-all. Oklahoma City led 32-15 after the 1st quarter and 82-66 with just over nine minutes left in the game. However, LA's Collison made a basket at the nine-minute mark, sparking a 35-17 closing run, as the Clippers won 101-99. Once again, while Durant had 40 and Westbrook 27, the other three OKC starters combined for only 13 points (this is NOTHING new!).

In Sunday's late game, the Pacers fell behind 55-38 at the break versus Washington, as the Wizards outscored them 29-11 in the second quarter. However, Indiana took control in the 3rd quarter, outscoring Washington 33-17 and then outplaying them down the stretch for a 95-92 win and a 3-1 series lead. Paul George had a playoff career-high 39 while Hibbert's "rebirth" continued. He had an AWFUL series against Atlanta, then didn't score or grab a rebound in a Game #1 loss at home to the Wizards. However, in Indiana's three straight wins, he's averaged 19.7 PPG (on 58.8% shooting), along with 7.7 RPG.

Before touching on Monday's games, let's see where the playoffs stand to-date. Home teams continue to just barely win 50 percent of the time, going 34-30 straight-up (.531). They are a 'money-burning' 25-36-3 versus the number, which is 41.0% or minus-14.6 net games. Over bettors just continue to cash their 'tickets,' with 40 overs and just 24 unders so far (62.5%).

"Zig-Zaggers" were 'crowing' early on but after opening the 2014 postseason 20-10-3 ATS, the 'bottom has fallen out," as they've lost 12 of their last 15, including a 2-8 ATS mark in second round games. For the postseason to-date, the record stands at 27-22-3 or plus-2.8 net games. We are quickly approaching the "Mendoza Line!"

TNT airs Monday's doubleheader with the Heat visiting the Nets at 8:00 ET. Miami leads 2-1 and we'll learn tonight if the Nets plan on hanging around and making this a series. Miami is favored by 2 1/2 points (total is 188). The late game (10:30 ET) is the Spurs at the Trail Blazers. San Antonio has trailed for just 33 seconds in the first three games, becoming just the 4th team in NBA playoff history to win four consecutive games by 15 or more points (includes Game #7 of the Dallas series). San Antonio's reserves have outscored Portland's 140-43 after three games. The Spurs are favored by four points and the total is 210 1/2.

Eastern Conference Playoffs - Round #2

#733 WASHINGTON @ #734 INDIANA
(TV: 7:00 PM EST, TNT - Line: Pacers -5, Total: 181) - The Indiana Pacers proved they could win on the defensive end in Game #3 and showed off some offensive skills in Game #4 to take a commanding 3-1 lead in the Eastern Conference semifinals. The top-seeded Pacers will try to close out the fifth-seeded Washington Wizards when they host Game #5 on Tuesday evening. Indiana looked lost while getting trounced in Game #1 and seemed to be on the verge of a similar defeat in Game #4 before putting together a strong second half.

Paul George led that second-half push with 28 of his postseason career-high 39 points after the break and the Wizards missed their final six field-goal attempts in the 95-92 setback. George went 7-of-10 from 3-point range - tying the franchise's postseason record - and added 12 rebounds in a dominating effort. “Paul George, what he did tonight was special,” Pacers coach Frank Vogel told reporters after the game. “There’s no other way to put it.” George got plenty of help again from Roy Hibbert, who continued his breakout with a third straight strong performance.

•ABOUT THE WIZARDS (49-42 SU, 49-41-1 ATS): Washington held a 19-point lead early in the third quarter of Game #4 and was up nine midway through the fourth before letting the game slip away. John Wall’s 3-pointer with 4:39 left was the Wizards’ final field goal of the game, and Wall and Bradley Beal each missed a free throw down the stretch before Trevor Ariza threw away the ball on an inbounds pass in the final seconds. “It’s tough,” veteran forward Al Harrington told reporters. “We really did put ourselves in position to win. A play here, a play there could have made a difference in us winning. I guess that’s part of this team still growing.” Wall went 4-of-11 from the field and is shooting 31.4 percent from the floor in the series.

•ABOUT THE PACERS (63-30 SU, 44-48-1 ATS): George and Hibbert led the offense but were also part of a defensive effort that held the Wizards to 35.1 percent from the field in the second half after letting them go off at 54.8 percent before the break. “We’ve got great confidence in ourselves, particularly on the defensive end,” Vogel said. “We can go stretches of games without allowing a point and I think when you’re down big, I think you just understand that you’re capable of putting together a string of stops and that’s what you need to make a run.” After allowing Washington 18 fast-break points in the first half, the Pacers surrendered zero after the break to aid the comeback.

•PREGAME NOTES: Wall has committed 12 turnovers in the last two games after giving it away a total of 14 times in his first seven postseason games.... Indiana F David West is struggling with his shot (40.8 percent from the field) but finding ways to contribute and led the team with eight assists in Game #4.... Washington C Marcin Gortat averaged 16.5 points in the first two games of the series but slumped to an average of three over the last two.... Indiana is 2-13 versus the spread (13.3%) versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season.... The Wizards are 22-8 against the spread (73.3%) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting less than 24 free throws/game this season, including 14-5 ATS during the 2nd half of the season.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, WASHINGTON covered the spread 596 times, while INDIANA covered the spread 380 times. *EDGE against the spread =WASHINGTON. In 1000 simulated games, INDIANA won the game straight up 518 times, while WASHINGTON won 464 times. In 1000 simulated games, 528 games went over the total, while 447 games went under the total. *No EDGE.

-- In 1000 simulated games, WASHINGTON covered the first half line 576 times, while INDIANA covered the first half line 424 times. *EDGE against first half line =WASHINGTON. In 1000 simulated games, 523 games went over first half total, while 435 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--INDIANA is 36-30 against the spread versus WASHINGTON since 1996.
--INDIANA is 46-23 straight up against WASHINGTON since 1996.
--35 of 68 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--WASHINGTON is 36-31 versus the first half line when playing against INDIANA since 1996.
--35 of 68 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
--Under is 6-1 in the last 7 meetings in Indiana.
--Wizards are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings in Indiana.

--Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Wizards are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Wizards are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
--Wizards are 5-0 ATS L5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

--Pacers are 7-26 ATS in their last 33 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Pacers are 4-15 ATS in their last 19 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
--Pacers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Against - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) – an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games, after 3 straight games where both teams scored 95 points or less.
(29-8 since 1996.) (78.4%, +20.2 units. Rating = 2*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (15-22)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 6.6
The average score in these games was: Team 96, Opponent 97.8 (Average point differential = -1.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 17 (45.9% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).
_______________________________

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Western Conference Playoffs - Round #2

#735 LA CLIPPERS @ #736 OKLAHOMA CITY
(TV: 9:30 PM EST, TNT - Line: Thunder -5.5, Total: 212.5) - The Los Angeles Clippers will be riding the momentum of an epic comeback while the host Oklahoma City Thunder will be looking to rebound from a colossal collapse when the teams square off in Tuesday’s Game #5. Oklahoma City jumped out to a 22-point lead in Game #4 and the Clippers overtook the Thunder with a frantic fourth-quarter push to knot the series at two games apiece. Darren Collison was the late-game hero as Los Angeles recorded the improbable 101-99 victory.

Oklahoma City standout Kevin Durant scored 40 points in Game #4 but was a nonfactor in the final minutes as the Clippers roared to the finish. “We’ve got to turn the page quickly,” Durant said afterward. “Can’t get too high off of wins and too low off of losses. Got to figure out what we did wrong and get better at it in Game #5.” Los Angeles trailed by 16 with nine minutes to play before the resounding comeback, displaying a trait that the franchise hasn’t always been associated with. “It shows our growth,” forward Matt Barnes said afterward. “I don’t know if we win a game like this last year, honestly. We just kept believing and kept talking to each other.”

•ABOUT THE CLIPPERS (63-30 SU, 49-43-1 ATS): Collison and the term “playoff hero” found in the same sentence was an unexpected occurrence with there being a star point guard named Chris Paul on the team. But the backup who is with his fourth NBA team in five pro seasons excelled by scoring eight points in the final 2:58, including the go-ahead basket with 59.9 seconds to go. “You just got to love a guy like that who plays with so much heart and never gives up,” Paul said afterward in reference to Collison. The Clippers went to a small lineup in the final quarter to shake things up or otherwise Collison would have been on the bench in the final minutes.

•ABOUT THE THUNDER (65-28 SU, 49-41-3 ATS): Oklahoma City’s disintegration was partly due to issues matching the smaller lineup but primarily due to defensive lapses that allowed Los Angeles to score 38 final-quarter points. The Thunder held the Clippers to 35.2 percent shooting over the first three quarters before Los Angeles was 14-of-22 over the final 12 minutes. “We’ve got to get back – gave up too many layups,” point guard Russell Westbrook bemoaned afterward. “They got too many easy baskets, especially when we had the lead.” Oklahoma City was also hurt by 16 turnovers, half of them by Durant.

•PREGAME NOTES: Paul posted his seventh double-double of the playoffs with 23 points and 10 assists in Game #3.... Oklahoma City PF Serge Ibaka had eight points on 2-of-5 shooting on Sunday, a sharp decline from his Game #3 effort of 20 points on 9-of-10 shooting.... Los Angeles possessed a 45-43 rebounding advantage in Game #4 after the Thunder won the battle of the boards by an average of 14.3 over the first three games of the series.... The Thunder are 12-1 against the spread (92.3%) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game this season.... The Clippers are 16-6 versus the spread (72.7%) in road games versus good free throw shooting teams - making more than 76% of their attempts this season.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, LA CLIPPERS covered the spread 545 times, while OKLAHOMA CITY covered the spread 455 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, OKLAHOMA CITY won the game straight up 573 times, while LA CLIPPERS won 404 times. In 1000 simulated games, 561 games went under the total, while 439 games went over the total. *No EDGE.

-- In 1000 simulated games, LA CLIPPERS covered the first half line 548 times, while OKLAHOMA CITY covered the first half line 422 times. *EDGE against first half line =LA CLIPPERS. In 1000 simulated games, 523 games went under first half total, while 437 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 35-35 against the spread versus LA CLIPPERS since 1996.
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-26 straight up against LA CLIPPERS since 1996.
--39 of 70 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--OKLAHOMA CITY is 38-32 versus the first half line when playing against LA CLIPPERS since 1996.
--35 of 68 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Clippers are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Clippers are 14-6 ATS in the last 20 meetings in Oklahoma City.

--Over is 11-5 in the last 16 meetings.
--Over is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in Oklahoma City.

--Underdog is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
--Road team is 5-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Clippers are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 road games.
--Clippers are 1-5 ATS L6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
--Over is 5-1 in Clippers last 6 Tuesday games.

--Thunder are 5-1-1 ATS in their last 7 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Thunder are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
--Over is 6-1 in Thunder last 7 games following a ATS win.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play On - Underdogs versus the 1rst half line (LA CLIPPERS) - good team - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game, after a close win by 3 points or less, in a playoff series which is tied, good team, winning 60-75% or more of their games on the season.
(48-26 over the last 5 seasons.) (64.9%, +19.4 units. Rating = 1*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.5, Opponent 49.7 (Average first half point differential = -0.2)

The situation's record this season is: (6-10).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-19).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (146-136).
________________________________

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
Washington Nationals -130 over Arizona Diamondbacks
(System Record: 26-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 26-16

 

[tgunn11]

Hockey Crusher
Chicago Blackhawks -129 over Minnesota Wild
(Playoff Record: system 16-1: overall 16-8, won last 2 games)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 107-82-2

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Washington Wizards +5 over Indiana Pacers
(Playoff Record: 10-10-3, lost last game)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 88-95-8

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Oeste + Ponta Preta SP UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 569-21, won last 4 games)
Overall Record: 569-481-84

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
TUESDAY, MAY 13th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Tuesday, 5/13/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #7
The long road to October has begun in the bigs, as 30 teams with high hopes of being the next team to be a part of the Fall Classic have started their journeys. There can only be so many winners in Major League Baseball betting action though, and today, we're looking at the top teams out of the gate in the National League.

•San Francisco Giants (25-14, +$1,153) – Pitching wins championships. The Giants know that better than any other team in the game, as they have picked up victories in the Fall Classic because of their arms. This year though, it's not the starting pitching which is really doing it for San Francisco. Tim Lincecum has only posted a 5.55 earned run average, while Matt Cain only has a 4.25 ERA and has yet to win his first game. Granted, Tim Hudson has been a fantastic pickup and could be set to win at least 15 games on the campaign, and Madison Bumgarner has once again put up a great season.

It's the bullpen though, that has really been great. Sergio Romo has 12 saves in 13 tries this year, and Jean Machi has a 0.49 ERA and five victories out of the pen. Even when you look at this lineup, there are a lot of good bats here, and if guys like Angel Pagan (.314/.443/.805) and Michael Morse (.273/.537/.843) can continue to light it up at the plate, good things are going to continue for the boys by the Bay.

•Milwaukee Brewers (24-14, +$1,048) – There isn't a better story right now in baseball than the Brew Crew. Francisco Rodriguez closed out his first 15 games and made it through his first 19 appearances without giving up a run, but he hasn't been the only man in this bullpen who has been virtually perfect. Will Smith has a 0.52 ERA in 17.1 innings of work, while Zach Duke has allowed just three runs in 17.1 innings of work as well. All of the starters have at least show some promise, and short of Matt Garza, all of the starters have ERAs of 3.53 or better. That's how you win lots of games. We can only imagine what this team is going to look like when Ryan Braun comes off of the DL after a freak injury suffered two weeks ago.

•Colorado Rockies (23-17, +$587) – The Rocks are 13-5 at home this year, and they are really taking advantage of what Coors Field has to offer them. Offensively, this team is just insane at the moment, and it's because Carlos Gonzalez and Troy Tulowitzki are going bananas. As a team, Colorado is batting .302 with an OPS of .855. The team has 57 home runs and is averaging 5.75 runs per game. However, we have to remember that this is a team which historically has a lousy pitching staff. All those great numbers this time of year should probably yield better than a 23-17 record through 40 games. If there is a team amongst these three which could fall, this is the one we would be most wary of.

Betting Notes - Tuesday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Leake has a 2.40 RA but no wins in his last two starts.
-- Wainwright is 5-1, 2.25 in his last six starts. Cubs won Arrieta's first two starts (1-0, 3.86).
-- Strasburg is 2-0, 2.39 in his last four starts. Arroyo is 2-0, 1.29 in his last three starts.
-- Beckett is 0-1, 2.01 in his last five starts.
-- Vogelsong is 1-0, 0.89 in his last three starts.

-- Dickey is 2-0, 3.38 in his last three starts. Masterson is 2-0, 2.57 in his last couple starts.
-- Jimenez is 2-0, 0.71 in his last couple starts. Smyly is 1-1, 2.45 in his last three outings.
-- Keuchel is 3-1, 3.23 in his last six starts.
-- Pomeranz threw five shutout innings in his first start for Oakland.
-- Iwakuma is 2-0, 2.45 in his last couple starts.

-- Shields is 4-1, 3.41 in his last five starts.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Cashner is 0-4, 5.73 in his last four starts.
-- Estrada has 4.58 RA in his last three starts. Cole is 1-2, 3.71 in his last five.
-- Turner is 0-0, 6.75 in his first three starts.
-- Minor is 0-2, 6.97 in his first two starts.

-- Nolasco is 1-2, 5.74 in his last four starts. Doubront is 0-1, 7.71 in his last three starts.
-- Harrison has a 7.47 RA in three starts this season.
-- Carroll is 1-2, 5.19 in his last three starts.
-- Price is 0-2, 6.50 in his last three starts.

-- Lee is 0-1, 6.75 in his last three starts.
-- Wheeler is 0-1, 4.50 in his last four starts. Nuno is 0-0, 7.00 in his two starts in the Bronx.
-- Morales is 1-1, 8.44 in his last three starts.

•Totals
-- Five of last six Cincinnati games stayed under.
-- 10 of last 13 Milwaukee games went over total.
-- 10 of last 13 St Louis home games went over total.
-- Over is 8-3-1 in Arizona's last twelve home games.
-- 13 of last 19 Dodger games went over the total.
-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten Atlanta games.

-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Cleveland road games.
-- Last four Minnesota home games stayed under.
-- Under is 11-5-1 in Baltimore's home games.
-- Six of last nine Houston home games went over.
-- Four of White Sox' last five road games stayed under; over is 5-1-1 in A's last seven games.
-- Four of last six Seattle games stayed under total.

-- Four of Mets' last five road games stayed under the total.
-- Five of last seven Angel road games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Kansas City home games went over.

•Hot Teams
-- Reds won five of their last seven home games. San Diego won their last three games, but is 6-10 on foreign soil.
-- Pirates won four of last five games, but are 2-9 in last 11 road games.
-- Diamondbacks won four of its last six games.
-- Giants won 14 of their last 18 games.

-- Indians won five of its last six games.
-- Angels won eight of their last twelve games.
-- Tigers won last six road games. Baltimore won five of their last seven overall.
-- Red Sox won six of their last eight games.
-- Athletics won its last five games, allowing eight runs.
-- Mariners won eight of their last eleven games.

•Cold Teams
-- Brewers lost seven of their last ten games.
-- Cubs lost seven of their last nine games. St Louis is 5-8 in its last 13 games.
-- Nationals lost five of its last six road games.
-- Marlins lost 14 of its 17 road tilts. Los Angeles lost six of their last nine games.
-- Braves lost their last five away games.

-- Twins are 5-8 in its last thirteen games.
-- Astros lost seven of their last nine games. Texas lost 10 of last 14.
-- White Sox lost three of their last four games.
-- Rays lost six of its last seven games.

-- Phillies lost five of their last seven games. Toronto lost three of its last four.
-- Mets lost eight of their last 11 games. New York lost five of last six at home.
-- Royals lost its last four home games. Colorado lost three of their last four games overall.

•Umpires Trends
-- Chi-StL-- Favorites won six of eight Little games.
-- Wsh-Az-- Four of last five Reynolds games went over.
-- Mia-LA-- Underdogs won five of eight Diaz games.
-- Atl-SF-- Underdogs won five of six Hickox games.

-- Det-Balt-- Six of last seven Davidson games stayed under.
-- Tex-Hst-- Home teams won all five Rackley games.
-- Chi-A's-- Four of six Culbreth games stayed under total.
-- Sea-TB-- Favorites won six of seven Cederstrom games.

-- NY-NY-- Four of five Layne games went over the total.

Diamond Trends - Tuesday
•COLORADO is 1-14 (-17.7 Units) against the money line versus American League teams scoring 4.2 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO 3.5, OPPONENT 6.9.

•ATLANTA is 23-5 UNDER (+17.5 Units) versus poor defensive catchers - allowing 0.85 + SB's/game over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 3.4, OPPONENT 3.0.

•CINCINNATI is 14-2 (+14.8 Units) against the run line versus a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better this season.
The average score was CINCINNATI 4.4, OPPONENT 3.0.

•RYAN VOGELSONG is 17-4 (+15.4 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was VOGELSONG 4.8, OPPONENT 2.9.

•DAVID PRICE is 14-5 OVER (+9.3 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PRICE 4.7, OPPONENT 4.4.

•JUSTIN MASTERSON is 6-14 (-20.0 Units) against the run line as a road underdog when the run line price is -190 to -135 over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MASTERSON 2.3, OPPONENT 5.3.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Any team with a money line of +140 or more (COLORADO) - good National League offensive team (>=5.0 runs/game) against a good American League starting pitcher (ERA<=4.20), with a bad bullpen that blows 38% or more of their save opportunities.
(57-23 since 1997.) (71.2%, +37.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +105.3
The average score in these games was: Team 5.8, Opponent 4.2 (Average run differential = +1.7)

The situation's record this season is: (0-2, -2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-2, +6 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-3, +6.2 units).

•Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (DETROIT) - hot hitting American League team - batting .300 or better over their last 15 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 3 starts.
(36-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (87.8%, +28.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (22-19 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -149
The average score in these games was: Team 4.2, Opponent 3.6 (Average run differential = +0.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 22 (53.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (10-1, +8.4 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (183-96, +30.1 units).

•Play Under - Home teams where the total is 7 or less (MILWAUKEE) – a poor offensive team (<=4.1 runs/game) - with a team on base percentage .310 or worse on the season (National League), against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA<=3.33), after a one run win.
(52-20 since 1997.) (72.2%, +30.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 6.8, Money Line=-109.5
The average score in these games was: Team 3.1, Opponent 3.2 (Total runs scored = 6.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 42 (59.2% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1, -0.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (23-10, +11.7 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (47-18, +27.1 units).
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher
Washington Nationals -130 over Arizona Diamondbacks
(System Record: 26-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 26-16

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Milwaukee Brewers -115 over Pittsburgh Pirates
Seattle Mariners +102 over Tampa Bay Rays
San Diego Padres +115 over Cincinnati Reds


Hockey
New York Rangers +142 over Pittsburgh Penguins
New York Rangers + Pittsburgh Penguins UNDER 5
Chicago Blackhawks + Minnesota Wild OVER 5


Basketball
Los Angeles Clippers +5.5 over Oklahoma City Thunder
Indiana Pacers + Washington Wizards OVER 181
Los Angeles Clippers + Oklahoma City Thunder OVER 212.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

Tampa Bay at Seattle

The Rays look to bounce back from last night's 12-5 loss to the Mariners in the series opener and come into tonight's contest with a 6-1 record in David Price's last 7 starts in Game 2 of a series. Tampa Bay is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Rays favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, MAY 13 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 951-952: San Diego at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 15.713; Cincinnati (Leake) 14.889 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+105); Over

Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Cole) 15.494; Milwaukee (Estrada) 16.929 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-120); Under

Game 955-956: Chicago Cubs at St. Louis (8:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Arrieta) 14.544; St. Louis (Wainwright) 16.190 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-260); 7 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-260); Under

Game 957-958: Washington at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Strasburg) 14.587; Arizona (Arroyo) 14.960 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Washington (-135); 8 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+115); Over

Game 959-960: Miami at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Turner) 14.867; LA Dodgers (Beckett) 15.102 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-160); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-160); Under

Game 961-962: Atlanta at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 15.750; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 14.699 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 8 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 7 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-105); Over

Game 963-964: Cleveland at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Masterson) 15.881; Toronto (Dickey) 14.687 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Toronto (-125); 9 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+105); Under

Game 965-966: Detroit at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Smyly) 14.978; Baltimore (Jimenez) 16.645 Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-110); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-110); Over

Game 967-968: Boston at Minnesota (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Doubront) 14.871; Minnesota (Nolasco) 15.776 Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+100); Under

Game 969-970: Texas at Houston (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Harrison) 15.489; Houston (Keuchel) 14.989 Dunkel Line: Texas by 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Texas (-125); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Texas (-125); Over

Game 971-972: Chicago White Sox at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Carroll) 15.409; Oakland (Pomeranz) 14.677 Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Oakland (-190); 8 Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+165); Over

Game 973-974: Tampa Bay at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Price) 16.322; Seattle 14.987 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-115); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-115); Under

Game 975-976: LA Angels at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Shoemaker) 15.337; Philadelphia (Lee) 14.789 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-160); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+140); Over

Game 977-978: NY Mets at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Wheeler) 14.237; NY Yankees (Nuno) 15.896 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-135); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-135); Under

Game 979-980: Colorado at Kansas City (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Morales) 15.129; Kansas City (Shields) 16.657 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-155); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-155); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NBA Picks

Washington at Indiana

The Wizards try to stay alive in the series as they head back to Indiana tonight to face a Pacers team 4-13 ATS in its last 17 home games. Washington is the pick (+5) according to Dunkel, which has the Pacers favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Washington (+5). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

TUESDAY, MAY 13 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 733-734: Washington at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 120.289; Indiana 122.040 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 2; 177 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 5; 180 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (+5); Under

Game 735-736: LA Clippers at Oklahoma City (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Clippers 124.342; Oklahoma City 126.626 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 2 1/2; 217 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5 1/2; 212 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Clippers (+5 1/2); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NHL Picks

NY Rangers at Pittsburgh

The Penguins return home after a 3-1 loss in Game 6 and look to clinch the series against a Rangers team that is 2-5 in its last 7 games following a win. Pittsburgh is the pick (-170) according to Dunkel, which has the Penguins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-170). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

TUESDAY, MAY 13 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 71-72: NY Rangers at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 10.766; Pittsburgh 12.453 Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-170); 5 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-170); Under

Game 73-74: Chicago at Minnesota (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 11.294; Minnesota 12.321 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-130); 5 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+110); Over

 

[cracy]

StatSystemsSports.net
Inside the Paint- Tuesday

NBA Playoffs Betting News & Notes
If you have been betting underdogs in the National Basketball Association playoffs the last four days chances are you're smiling. Despite just going 1-1 against the spread Monday evening, underdogs are 7-1 versus the number (87.5%) the last four nights. Tuesday night the Washington Wizards are 5-point underdogs in Game #5 versus the Indiana Pacers and the Los Angeles Clippers are 5.5-point dogs in their Game #5 versus the Oklahoma City Thunder.

•Wizards Topping Low Totals All-Season Long: The Washington Wizards have scoffed at low totals during the regular season and the playoffs have been no different. The Wizards have seen a total close at 181 or less five times this season, all against either the Chicago Bulls or Indiana Pacers. In those five contests the Wizards' have averaged 98.8 points per game and have topped triple-digits in three. For bettors, that means that the Wizards have gone over in every game this season when the total closed 181 or less. The line for the Wiz and Pacers currently sit at 180.5.

Betting Notes - Tuesday
•Washington blew 17-point halftime lead in Game #4 loss, after shooting 33% in Game #3; Beal/Nene were combined 21-61 from floor in losses at home. Home team won six of last nine Wizard-Pacer matchups- Indiana held Wizards to 79 ppg in winning last three meetings, after losing opener 102-96. Seven of last eleven Washington games went over the total- six of seven series games this season stayed under the total. Hibbert had 59 points in last three contests, after going scoreless in three of previous four-- rumor was that it was an off-court personal issue that had him in a funk.

•Durant had eight turnovers in Game #4 loss, seemed hesitant to dribble if Paul was guarding him. Clippers were 20-74 from arc last three contests, after going 15-29 in first game; they were down 22 in first half, 16 with 9:30 left before rallying to win Game #4 and tie series. Oklahoma City’s subs were +28 in Game #3, -41 last meeting, with LA's bench -31 Friday, +36 Sunday. Clippers are 3-5 versus Thunder this season. Over is 10-5 in last 15 series games (66.6%); seven of last ten OKC games went over total. Ibaka was 2-5 Sunday, after going 9-10 in Game #3.

--Over is 41-25 in playoffs this season, 10-6 in this round.
--Favorites are 23-43 in playoffs this season, 7-9 in this round.

Hoop Trends - Tuesday
•OKLAHOMA CITY is 12-1 ATS (+10.9 Units) versus very good teams - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game this season.
The average score was OKLAHOMA CITY 108.5, OPPONENT 101.8.

•LA CLIPPERS are 53-29 OVER (+21.1 Units) after a game where they failed to cover the spread over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA CLIPPERS 105.3, OPPONENT 98.7.

•INDIANA is 1-14 (-14.4 Units) against the 1rst half line versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was INDIANA 40.3, OPPONENT 47.6.

•INDIANA is 55-25 UNDER (+27.5 Units) the 1rst half total versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season this season.
The average score was INDIANA 46.1, OPPONENT 46.4.

•RANDY WITTMAN is 20-2 ATS (+17.8 Units) in road games when playing 6 or less games in 14 days as the coach of WASHINGTON.
The average score was WITTMAN 99.3, OPPONENT 98.0.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Home teams versus the money line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - in a game involving two average defensive teams (43.5-45.5%) after 42+ games, average ball handling team (14.5-16.5 TO) versus an average pressure defense (14.5-16.5 TO) - 42+ games.
(33-14 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.2%, +22.5 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +110.6
The average score in these games was: Team 101.8, Opponent 97.1 (Average point differential = +4.7)

The situation's record this season is: (6-7, +0.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-14, +11.9 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (137-80, +33.4 units).
___________________________________________

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Rangers at Penguins: What bettors need to know

New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins (-154, 5)

The New York Rangers look to complete the franchise's first successful rally from a 3-1 series deficit when they visit the Pittsburgh Penguins for a decisive Game 7 in their Eastern Conference second-round matchup on Tuesday. New York, which is 0-16 when trailing by a 3-1 margin in a series, staved off elimination for the second straight contest as Martin St. Louis and Carl Hagelin scored early in the first period to lead their team to a 3-1 victory in Game 6 on Sunday. "We knew if we played our best game, if we play the way we normally play, we're going to have a chance to come back and win the series," Rangers defenseman Marc Staal said. "We started that in Game 5, then in Game 6, and now we're in Game 7."

While Pittsburgh won the Metropolitan Division to earn home-ice advantage in this series, it is just 2-6 all-time in Game 7s in front of its fans. "All Game 7s are big, but we can't change what's gotten us to this point," captain Sidney Crosby said. "All we can do is make sure we show up (on Tuesday)." The Hart Trophy finalist, who has scored just one goal this postseason, showed his frustration by jabbing his stick below the belt of New York's Dominic Moore late in the second period on Sunday.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBCSN, CBC, RDS

ABOUT THE RANGERS: Henrik Lundqvist has taken aim at the Penguins, and not just with his water bottle. The Swedish Olympian, who was fined $5,000 for unsportsmanlike conduct for spraying Crosby, stopped 67-of-69 shots over the last two contests to set up the pivotal Game 7 showdown. Lundqvist, who owns a 4-1 career mark in Game 7s while yielding just five goals, made 26 saves in New York's 2-1 triumph over Philadelphia the final contest of the first-round series on April 30.

ABOUT THE PENGUINS: A punchless power play continues to plague Pittsburgh, which failed on its last 12 opportunities and fell to 1-for-19 in the series. Coach Dan Bylsma has taken to putting four forwards on the ice when his team enjoys the man advantage - with Matt Niskanen serving as the lone defenseman. "We didn't enter the zone quite as clean (and) they started pressuring a little bit more." Niskanen said of the team's last three power-play chances in Game 6. "The bottom line is, it comes down to results."

TRENDS:

* Over is 3-1-1 in the last five meetings in Pittsburgh.
* Rangers are 2-5 in their last seven games following a win.
* Under is 9-2-1 in Rangers last 12 vs. a team with a winning record.
* Road team is 5-2 in the last seven meetings.

OVERTIME:

1. New York won a franchise-best 25 contests on the road in the regular season and captured two of three in Pittsburgh during this series.

2. The Penguins are 1-7 on home ice with an opportunity to finish a series since Bylsma became the team's coach in February 2009.

3. The team that has scored first has won every game in the series.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Tuesday, May 13

Washington blew 17-point halftime lead in Game 4 loss, after shooting 33% in Game 3; Beal/Nene were combined 21-61 from floor in losses at home. Home team won six of last nine Wizard-Pacer games- Indiana held Wiz to 79 ppg in winning last three games, after losing opener 102.96. Seven of last 11 Wizard games went over the total- six of seven series games this season stayed under the total. Hibbert had 59 points in last three games, after going scoreless in three of previous four-- rumor was that it was an off-court personal issue that had him in a funk.

Durant had eight turnovers in Game 4 loss, seemed hesitant to dribble if Paul was guarding him. Clippers were 20-74 from arc last three games, after going 15-29 in first game; they were down 22 in first half, 16 with 9:30 left before rallying to win Game 4 and tie series. OC's subs were +28 in Game 3, -41 last game, with LA's bench -31 Friday, +36 Sunday. Clippers are 3-5 vs OC this season. Over is 10-5 in last 15 series games; seven of last ten Thunder games went over total. Ibaka was 2-5 Sunday, after going 9-10 in Game 3.

Over is 41-25 in playoffs this season, 10-6 in this round.
Favorites are 23-43 in playoffs this season, 7-9 in this round.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Tuesday, May 13

New York scored pair of first period goals in all three series wins; they didn't score in first period in any of three losses, were blanked twice. Rangers are 2-24 on power play in series, goimg 0-6 Sunday, after they were 2-3 in Game 5, ending 9-game drought while man up; they are -41 in faceoffs last four games. Rangers are 5-5 vs Penguins this year, lost 13 of last 19 vs Penguins overall, going 3-6 in last nine played here. Over is 6-3-1 in series games this season. Pittsburgh is just 3-3 at home in playoffs, Rangers are 3-3 on road.

Minnesota is 5-0 at home in playoffs, allowing five goals; they were down 2-0 in last round, rallied to upset Colorado after losing tough Game 5; similar pattern forming here. Chicago had only two goals on 39 shots in losing Games 3-4 here; they are 1-4 on road in playoffs, with lone win in Game 5 at St Louis, in OT- they are 3-11 on power play in series. Over is 6-3-2 in last 11 series games. Over is 7-3-2 in Chicago's last twelve games. Minnesota is 2-14 on power play in series. Home side won all five games so far in series.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Pacers -5
Clippers +5.5
Wild +120

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RIVER CITY SHARPS

The Cincinnati Reds were one of the popular picks to win the National League Central this season, but have gotten out of the blocks slowly. However, they may be starting to get on a roll as they enter this three-game series with the San Diego Padres. The Reds took two of three games this weekend from Colorado and enjoyed a nice off day on Monday to prepare for Andrew Cashner (2-5, 2.86 ERA) and the Padres. The Reds will send Mike Leake (2-3, 3.40 ERA) to the mound, who is 0-1 lifetime against San Diego with a respectable 3.45 ERA. The Padres have been offensively challenged all season, but did have a breakout weekend vs. the Marlins, where they put up 24 runs. The Reds have feasted on the NL West as of late, winning five of their last six games. We think you are about to see the Reds jump back into this NL Central race as they know the Brewers continue to play good baseball, so we’re going to back Leake and the Reds here tonight. The Sharps say…
3 UNITS – CINCINNATI REDS (-111)