Service Plays Tuesday 4/22/14

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tuesday's American League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for Tuesday's American League games:

Chicago White Sox at Detroit Tigers (-145, 7)

Hot pitching stat: White Sox left-hander Chris Sale has limited opponents to a .168 average in four starts

Cold batting stat: Chicago slugger Adam Dunn is 5-for-25 with 11 strikeouts in his career against Tigers ace Justin Verlander.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing out to center field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: Over is 6-1 in Sale's last seven starts against teams with winning records.

Kansas City Royals at Cleveland Indians (-104, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Royals right-hander James Shields allowed one run while fanning 12 over eight sensational innings in his last start.

Cold batting stat: Indians outfielder David Murphy is just 5-for-27 with six strikeouts lifetime against Shields.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with mostly cloudy skies and wind blowing in from left field at 14 mph.

Key betting note: Kansas City is 12-3 in Shields' last 15 road starts.

Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays (-120, 9)

Cold pitching stat: Blue Jays knuckleballer R.A. Dickey has allowed five runs in back-to-back starts.

Cold batting stat: Orioles outfielder Adam Jones has just three hits in 16 career at-bats versus Dickey.

Weather: N/A

Key betting note: Baltimore is 13-40 in the last 53 meetings in Toronto.

Minnesota Twins at Tampa Bay Rays (-218, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Twins right-hander Kyle Gibson has allowed just two runs over his first 19 1/3 innings this season.

Cold batting stat: Minnesota star Joe Mauer is 2-for-14 lifetime against Rays left-hander David Price.

Weather: N/A

Key betting note: Over is 8-2 in Gibson's previous 10 starts.

New York Yankees at Boston Red Sox (-116, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Yankees right-hander Masahiro Tanaka has racked up 28 strikeouts over his first three major-league starts.

Hot batting stat: Yankees shortstop Derek Jeter is a .333 hitter in 66 at-bats versus Red Sox lefty Jon Lester.

Weather: Fans should expect a 40 percent chance of rain with temperatures in the high-50s and wind blowing out to center field at 9 mph.

Key betting note: Under is 8-1-2 in Lester's last 11 starts on four days rest.

Texas Rangers at Oakland Athletics (-143, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Athletics left-hander Tommy Milone went 1-2 with an 8.36 ERA in three starts against Texas in 2013.

Hot batting stat: Rangers shortstop Elvis Andrus has seven hits in 18 all-time at-bats against Milone.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-40s under partly cloudy skies with wind blowing from left to right field at 16 mph.

Key betting note: Over is 8-2 in Milone's last 10 starts versus teams with winning records.

Houston Astros at Seattle Mariners (-135, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Astros right-hander Scott Feldman has allowed one run in 14 innings against division foes so far this season.

Hot batting stat: Mariners first baseman Justin Smoak is 5-for-11 with a pair of home runs against Feldman.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-50s with a 70 percent chance of showers and wind blowing out to center field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: Seattle is 1-8 in starter Erasmo Ramirez's last nine outings.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 2:15 p.m. ET Monday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tuesday's National League betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for Tuesday's National League games:

Cincinnati Reds at Pittsburgh Pirates (101, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Reds right-hander Johnny Cueto struck out 12 in a complete-game shutout in his last start against Pittsburgh last Wednesday.

Cold batting stat: Members of the Pirates roster are hitting a collective .180 in 183 at-bats against Cueto.

Weather: Mostly cloudy skies are expected with temperatures in the high-50s and wind blowing out to right-center field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: Under is 6-1 in Cueto's last seven Tuesday starts.

St. Louis Cardinals at New York Mets (141, 6.5)

Hot pitching stat: Cardinals right-hander Adam Wainwright threw a complete-game two-hit shutout in his previous start.

Hot batting stat: Mets third baseman David Wright is 5-of-14 against Wainwright, with two doubles and three RBIs.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with a 56 percent chance of showers and wind blowing out to right field at 10 mph.

Key betting note: St. Louis is 7-2 in Wainwright's last nine starts on four days rest.

Miami Marlins at Atlanta Braves (-121, 6.5)

Cold pitching stat: Marlins right-hander Jose Fernandez was tagged for six runs over four innings in his last road start.

Cold batting stat: Members of the Atlanta roster are a combined 6-for-32 with nine strikeouts versus Fernandez.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-70s with a 65 percent chance of a thunderstorm and wind blowing from left to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Miami is 1-8 in Fernandez's last nine road starts against teams with winning records.

Arizona Diamondbacks at Chicago Cubs (-132, OFF)

Cold pitching stat: Cubs right-hander Jason Hammel has surrendered four home runs over his first three starts of the campaign.

Cold batting stat: Diamondbacks catcher Miguel Montero has just three hits in 18 at-bats against Hammel.

Weather: Fans will be treated to clear skies with temperatures in the low-40s and wind blowing in from right field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: Arizona is 3-13 in right-hander Brandon McCarthy's last 16 starts.

San Diego Padres at Milwaukee Brewers (165, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Brewers right-hander Yovani Gallardo has limited opponents to two runs or fewer in all four of his 2014 starts.

Hot batting stat: Members of the San Diego roster are hitting .319 in 119 at-bats against Gallardo.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-40s under sunny skies.

Key betting note: Over is 5-2 in Gallardo's last seven starts against the National League West.

San Francisco Giants at Colorado Rockies (-141, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Giants left-hander Madison Bumgarner has allowed just one home run in 20 2/3 innings to open the year.

Hot batting stat: Rockies outfielder Carlos Gonzalez is 12-of-33 with five home runs lifetime versus Bumgarner.

Weather: Cloudy skies are expected with temperatures in the low-70s and wind blowing out to right-center field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: San Francisco is 10-2 in Bumgarner's last 12 Tuesday starts.

Philadelphia Phillies at Los Angeles Dodgers (-174, 7)

Hot pitching stat: Phillies right-hander A.J. Burnett scattered three hits over seven scoreless innings in a no-decision in his last start.

Cold batting stat: Dodgers infielder Juan Uribe is 2-for-14 with seven strikeouts in his career versus Burnett.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with partly cloudy skies.

Key betting note: Los Aneles is 13-3 in starter Hyun-Jin Ryu's last 16 outings against teams with losing records.

Interleague

Los Angeles Angels at Washington Nationals (-123, 8)

Hot pitching stat: Angels left-hander Tyler Skaggs has allowed four runs in consecutive starts.

Hot batting stat: Los Angeles outfielder Mike Trout entered the series with a .337 career average in 172 interleague at-bats.

Weather: Partly cloudy skies are expected with temperatures in the high-60s and wind blowing in from left field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: Over is 5-2 in Washington starter Taylor Jordan's last seven outings.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 2:40 p.m. ET Monday.

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 4/22/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________


***** Tuesday, 4/22/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_________________________________________________

Odds Stacked Against NBA Playoffs' Newcomers
The National Basketball Association is largely a league of have and have-nots. Every spring it’s by-and-large the same teams participating in the playoffs with the same names being placed envelopes hoping to be called last by Commissioner David Stern (now Adam Silver) in the annual lottery.

This year however there are three teams – the Toronto Raptors, Washington Wizards, and Charlotte Bobcats – who are trying to reenter the former group after prolonged absences – six, six, and four years respectively- from the NBA’s second season.

Unfortunately precedence suggests their stay in the postseason won’t be long. Over the last 10 seasons there have been 13 teams that have returned to the playoffs after a 4+-year absence and only three have won a first round series with no team progressing beyond the second round. One thing these teams do have going for themselves is that only two of the 13 teams have ever been swept with 10 of the series going at least six games.

Of all the games, the first game has been the least successful for these clubs with only three ever winning Game #1, a trend which stayed true to form this year with Washington being the only one of the three to win and cover.

Games #2 and #3 play out similarly with these “returning” playoff teams only winning nine of 26 straight-up but going a decent 14-11-1 ATS. Based on recent history, an 8-5 record SU (9-4 ATS) suggests it is Game #4 where these teams make some money while game five presents a similar opportunity with these teams winning six of 11 (6-4-1 ATS).

Alas this is when the rally often falls short with only three of 10 teams winning Game #6 (4-5-1 ATS) and only one team winning a Game #7. The one team that won Game #7 was the 2011-12 Clippers who entered the playoffs as a fifth seed and knocked off the fourth-ranked Memphis Grizzlies.

The Clippers took Game #1 of that series in Memphis and were led by point guard Chris Paul who averaged 20.4 points, 5.7 rebounds, and 7.1 assists in the seven games. This is interesting because of Washington’s first game win in which John Wall produced a similar stat line (16-6-6) as the fifth-seeded Wizards knocked off the fourth-seeded Chicago Bulls 102-93 Sunday.
_________________________________________

Eastern Conference Playoffs - Round #1

#721 ATLANTA @ #722 INDIANA
(TV: 7:00 PM EST TNT, FSN South Atlanta, FSN Indiana - Line: Pacers -7, Total: 187) - The Indiana Pacers seemed convinced prior to the start of the playoffs that they would be able to flip the switch and get back to dominating teams after a lackluster finish to the regular season. The eighth-seeded Atlanta Hawks, who visit the Pacers for Game #2 on Tuesday, made sure that it would not be quite that easy with a Game #1 win. The Hawks spread No. 1 seed Indiana out with 3-point shooters and point guard Jeff Teague dominated in an easy win.

The Pacers went into the half tied on Saturday but Teague took over with 14 points in the third quarter as Atlanta outscored Indiana 30-16 in the period before cruising through the fourth with a big lead. Paul George collected 24 points and 10 rebounds but was just 6-of-18 from the field and was responsible for carrying the team for stretches as center Roy Hibbert brought his regular-season struggles over to Game #1. The All-Star scored two points through the first three quarters and has not made a shot from outside the paint since April 4.

•ABOUT THE HAWKS (39-44 SU, 39-43-1 ATS): Teague scored a career playoff-high 28 points in Game #1 and was one of six players to knock down at least one 3-pointers for Atlanta. “I just wanted to be aggressive,” Teague told reporters. “We know they’re a good defensive team with a lot of length. We just wanted to attack, stay aggressive and hit the open guy. We’ve got a lot of shot makers. We know they are a long team who likes to clog the paint, but we want to stretch the floor against them.” Frontcourt mates Paul Millsap and Pero Antic combined to go 4-for-9 from beyond the arc, pulling Hibbert and David West out of the paint and opening driving lanes for Teague.

•ABOUT THE PACERS (56-27 SU, 38-44-1 ATS): Indiana fought all season to earn the top seed and homecourt advantage in the Eastern Conference but has already surrendered homecourt advantage in the series. The Pacers struggled to adjust to Atlanta’s “spread-5” offensive attack, and coach Frank Vogel is contemplating changes to his rotation in order to adjust. “Probably just stick with what we have, but in the playoffs you have to contemplate everything,” Vogel told reporters. “You got a difficult matchup, obviously with a unique offensive attack, so you consider everything.” Evan Turner collected nine points and seven rebounds off the bench in Game #1 and could see more time if Indiana goes to a smaller lineup.

•PREGAME NOTES: The Hawks scored 25 points off 17 Pacers turnovers in Game #1.... Indiana was outscored 24-16 at the free-throw line on Saturday.... Hibbert is 13-of-42 from the floor in five games against Atlanta this season.... The Pacers are 8-23 against the spread (25.8%) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting less than 24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season.... The Hawks are 17-7 versus the spread (70.8%) in road games after having won three of their last four games over the last two seasons.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, ATLANTA covered the spread 659 times, while INDIANA covered the spread 315 times. *EDGE against the spread =ATLANTA. In 1000 simulated games, ATLANTA won the game straight up 492 times, while INDIANA won 475 times. In 1000 simulated games, 564 games went over the total, while 413 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, ATLANTA covered the first half line 612 times, while INDIANA covered the first half line 388 times. *EDGE against first half line =ATLANTA. In 1000 simulated games, 533 games went over first half total, while 434 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--ATLANTA is 41-32 against the spread versus INDIANA since 1996.
--INDIANA is 38-37 straight up against ATLANTA since 1996.
--39 of 71 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--ATLANTA is 47-26 versus the first half line when playing against INDIANA since 1996.
--36 of 72 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
--Hawks are 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Over is 15-5-1 in the last 21 meetings in Indiana.

--Road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
--Favorite is 25-10-1 ATS in the last 36 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 road games.
--Hawks are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.
--Hawks are 4-0 ATS L4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

--Over is 7-0-1 in Pacers last 8 overall.
--Over is 4-0 in Pacers last 4 home games.
--Pacers are 0-7 ATS L7 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Against - Favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (INDIANA) - revenging 2 straight losses where opponent scored 100 or more points, after having won 2 of their last 3 games against opponent hot team - having won 6 or 7 of their last 8 games.
(148-91 over the last 5 seasons.) (61.9%, +47.9 units. Rating = 2*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (106-137 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 4.7
The average score in these games was: Team 97.4, Opponent 99.3 (Average point differential = -2)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 89 (37.6% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (26-19).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (79-53).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (462-430).
_______________________________

#723 BROOKLYN @ #724 TORONTO
(TV: 7:30 PM EST, NBATV, YES Brooklyn, TSN Toronto - Line: Raptors -4.5, Total: 188) - The Brooklyn Nets look to grab a commanding lead of their best-of-seven series with the Toronto Raptors when the teams meet Tuesday in Toronto. Brooklyn rode a solid closing stretch to a 94-87 win in the series opener on Saturday to win its playoff opener for the second straight season and improve to 6-2 all-time against the Raptors in the postseason. Joe Johnson and Deron Williams scored 24 points apiece and Paul Pierce had nine of his 15 points in the closing moments.

Toronto will be looking for more from leading scorer DeMar DeRozan, who missed his first eight shots en route to a a 3-for-13 showing that had some question his playoff readiness. "The coaches got on me for being too passive,” DeRozan told reporters Sunday, admitting that he considered returning to the gym to practice shooting late in the evening. Fellow star guard Kyle Lowry did not shrink from the atmosphere, producing 22 points, eight assists and seven rebounds in the loss.

•ABOUT THE NETS (45-38 SU, 43-40-0 ATS): Brooklyn ranked as one of the better 3-point shooting teams in the Eastern Conference this season but struggled mightily in Game #1. After making three of their first four attempts from beyond the arc, the Nets missed 19 in a row before Pierce hit a big one with less than three minutes remaining. The Brooklyn bench combined to miss all 12 of its long-range tries and Johnson - the team leader in makes, attempts and percentage during the regular season - got off only one attempt and missed it.

•ABOUT THE RAPTORS (48-35 SU, 46-34-3 ATS): The Game #1 performance was sloppy all-around in Toronto, where a clock malfunction forced officials to utilize stopwatches as the Raptors committed 19 turnovers. They stayed in the game by gaining a 45-37 advantage on the glass - including 18 rebounds by center Jonas Valanciunas - and converting 23-of-25 free throws. Greivis Vasquez looked like the team's best player behind Lowry, coming off the bench to produce 18 points and eight rebounds in 29 minutes.

•PREGAME NOTES: Toronto has lost back-to-back home games just once since its Dec. 9 trade with Sacramento.... Brooklyn is 13-0 when holding its opponent under 40 percent shooting; Toronto shot 39.4 percent Saturday.... Valanciunas is the third player in the last 25 years (Shaquille O'Neal, Ben Wallace) to tally at least 15 points, 15 rebounds and two blocked shots in a playoff debut.... The Nets are 14-4 Over (77.7%) versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game - 2nd half of the season this season.... The Raptors are 23-10 Over ( 69.6%) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 60%) over the last two seasons.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, TORONTO covered the spread 517 times, while BROOKLYN covered the spread 483 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, TORONTO won the game straight up 610 times, while BROOKLYN won 372 times. In 1000 simulated games, 759 games went over the total, while 219 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, TORONTO covered the first half line 506 times, while BROOKLYN covered the first half line 494 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 690 games went over first half total, while 310 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--TORONTO is 37-33 against the spread versus BROOKLYN since 1996.
--BROOKLYN is 40-36 straight up against TORONTO since 1996.
--38 of 70 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--BROOKLYN is 36-35 versus the first half line when playing against TORONTO since 1996.
--44 of 72 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the last 8 meetings.
--Under is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Toronto.
--Home team is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
Nets are 4-0 ATS L4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
Under is 6-0-1 in Nets last 7 games playing on 2 days rest.
Under is 5-1 in Nets L6 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

--Raptors are 0-3-1 ATS in their last 4 home games.
--Raptors are 0-4-1 ATS L5 home games vs. a team with a losing road record.
--Under is 4-0 in Raptors last 4 Conference Quarterfinals games.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Over - Road teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (BROOKLYN) - after being beaten by the spread by 18 or more points total in their last three games, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season, well rested team - playing only their 2nd game in 5 days.
(35-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.1%, +22.9 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 185.8
The average score in these games was: Team 95, Opponent 98.6 (Total points scored = 193.6)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 27 (57.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (5-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (30-9).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (127-117).
_______________________________

#725 WASHINGTON @ #726 CHICAGO
(TV: 9:30 PM EST, TNT, CSN Mid-Atlantic Washington, CSN Chicago - Line: Bulls -5, Total: 181) - The Chicago Bulls were supposed to have the advantage on the inside while the Washington Wizards used their speed to control the perimeter. It turned out that the opposite was true in Game #1, and the fifth-seeded Wizards will try to ride the combination on Nene and Marcin Gortat to a 2-0 lead in the best-of-seven Eastern Conference series when they visit the fourth-seeded Bulls on Tuesday. Nene and Gortat combined for 39 points and 21 rebounds in Game #1.

Nene was brought back slowly after returning from an MCL injury in April and came off the bench during the final weeks of the regular season. The Wizards put the forward back into the starting lineup for Game #1 and he went 11-for-17 for 24 points in 35 minutes before Gortat and Trevor Ariza took over down the stretch. Chicago, which led the league in scoring defense during the regular season, allowed Washington to shoot 48.6 percent from the field and gave up over 100 points for the first time since March 30 in the 102-93 loss.

•ABOUT THE WIZARDS (45-38 SU, 44-38-1 ATS): The big games from Gortat and Nene helped make up for John Wall and Bradley Beal combining to go 7-for-25 from the field, though the two guards each hit a pair of free throws in the final 25 seconds to help put it away. “I know I can play better offensively, but to get a win like this and have my teammates step up when I didn’t have a good game is big for us,” Wall told the Washington Post. “We don’t have a lot of experience as young guys, me and (Beal), but we have great leaders.” One of those leaders is veteran guard Andre Miller, who scored eight of his 10 points in the fourth quarter in Game #1.

•ABOUT THE BULLS (48-35 SU, 41-41-1 ATS): Chicago squandered a 13-point third-quarter lead in Game #1 and missed nine of its last 11 field-goal attempts as Washington took control down the stretch. “We have to pick up our intensity,” center Joakim Noah told reporters. “Up 13, we exhaled, they came back. Bad turnovers, they got some easy scores. We got to make our adjustments. This is chess. It isn’t checkers.” Noah, who was named the NBA’s Defensive Player of the Year on Monday, recorded 10 points and 10 rebounds in Game #1 despite missing practice time during the week while grieving the death of his mentor, Tyrone Green.

•PREGAME NOTES: Gortat has recorded four straight double-doubles going back to the regular season.... Bulls G D.J. Augustin went 3-for-15 from the floor but hit all 10 free-throw attempts in Game #1.... Chicago sent Washington to the free-throw line 35 times on Sunday (26-of-35).... The Wizards are 18-8 versus the spread (69.2%) in road games versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting less than 24 free throws/game this season.... The Bulls are 22-36 against the spread (37.9%) in home games versus teams who are called for 21 or less fouls/game over the last two seasons.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, WASHINGTON covered the spread 530 times, while CHICAGO covered the spread 457 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, CHICAGO won the game straight up 575 times, while WASHINGTON won 400 times. In 1000 simulated games, 758 games went over the total, while 224 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, WASHINGTON covered the first half line 528 times, while CHICAGO covered the first half line 472 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 655 games went over first half total, while 317 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--WASHINGTON is 40-34 against the spread versus CHICAGO since 1996.
--CHICAGO is 40-34 straight up against WASHINGTON since 1996.
--45 of 74 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--CHICAGO is 38-33 versus the first half line when playing against WASHINGTON since 1996.
--39 of 74 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Under is 21-6 in the last 27 meetings.
--Wizards are 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings.
--Wizards are 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Chicago.

--Underdog is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Wizards are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 road games.
--Wizards are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
--Wizards are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

--Over is 4-0 in Bulls last 4 home games.
--Over is 4-0 in Bulls last 4 games following a ATS loss.
--Over is 5-0 in Bulls last 5 Conference Quarterfinals games.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Over - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (WASHINGTON) - after going over the total by more than 12 points in two consecutive games against opponent after going over the total by 24 or more points total in their last three games.
(75-38 since 1996.) (66.4%, +33.2 units. Rating = 2*)

The average total posted in these games was: 185.4
The average score in these games was: Team 96.2, Opponent 93.8 (Total points scored = 190)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 49 (42.6% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-1).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-4).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (10-7).
_______________________________

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
Miami Marlins +115 over Atlanta Braves
(System Record: 12-0, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 12-10

 

[tgunn11]

Hockey Crusher
Detroit Red Wings +124 over Boston Bruins
(Playoff Record: 2-1, won last game)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 93-76-2

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Atlanta Hawks +7 over Indiana Pacers
(Playoff Record: 1-2, won last game)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 79-88-5

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Parana + Ponta Preta SP UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 558-20, won last 4 games)
Overall Record: 558-475-81

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
TUESDAY, APRIL 22nd 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


***** Tuesday, 4/22/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_____________________________________

Betting Notes - Tuesday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Cueto is 1-2, 1.50 in four starts this season. Volquez is 1-0, 2.37 in three starts for the Pirates.
-- Wainwright is 3-1, 1.80 in four starts this season. Gee is 1-0, 2.84 in his last couple starts.
-- Wood is 2-2, 1.67 in four starts this season.
-- Hammel is 2-1, 3.05 in three starts this year.
-- Gallardo is 2-0, 1.46 in four starts this season.
-- Ryu is 2-0, 0.00 (14 IP) in his last two starts. Burnett is 1-0, 1.59 in his last couple outings.

-- Verlander is 2-1, 3.15 in his last three starts.
-- Gonzales is 1-0, 2.45 in his last couple starts.
-- Gibson is 3-0, 1.93 in three starts this season.
-- Tanaka is 2-0, 2.45 in three starts. Lester is 2-0, 1.84 in his last two starts.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Fernandez is 0-1, 7.36 in his last couple starts.
-- McCarthy is 0-3, 7.23 in his last three starts.
-- Kennedy is 1-3, 4.13 in four starts this season.
-- Morales is 1-1, 5.09 in three starts this season. Bumgarner has a 5.23 RA in four starts this season.

-- Leesman allowed one run in five IP (eight K's) in his only start last August.
-- Dickey is 0-2, 7.94 in his last two starts.
-- Shields is 1-2, 4.00 in four starts this season. Salazar is 0-2, 10.80 in his last couple starts.
-- Price is 1-1, 5.12 in his last three starts.
-- Milone is 0-1, 6.55 in two starts this season. Martinez allowed three runs in six IP in his only MLB start April 5.
-- Ramirez is 0-2, 10.64 in his last three starts. McHugh is making first '14 start; he is 0-7, 9.51 in 15 MLB games, nine of which were starts.

-- Jordan is 0-2, 7.02 in three starts this season. Skaggs is 0-0, 5.54 in his last couple starts.

•Totals
-- Six of Reds' last eight games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine St Louis road games.
-- Five of last six Atlanta games stayed under total.
-- Four of last five Arizona games stayed under total.
-- All ten games at Miller Park stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in Giants' last seven games.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Dodger games.

-- Four of last six White Sox road games went over total.
-- Five of last six Cleveland home games stayed under.
-- Seven of ten Baltimore road games went over the total.
-- Eight of nine Minnesota road games went over total.
-- Three of last four Boston games went over total.
-- Four of last five Texas games went over the total.
-- Three of four Ramirez starts went over the total.

-- Four of Angels' last five road games stayed under.

•Hot Teams
-- Mets won five of their last seven games.
-- Braves won eight of their last ten games.
-- Brewers won five of their last six games.
-- Rockies have won seven of ten games at Coors Field.

-- Orioles are 7-4 in their last eleven games. Toronto is 7-5 in its last 12.
-- Yankees won six of its last eight games.
-- Royals won five of their last seven games.
-- Minnesota won six of its last nine games.
-- Oakland won seven of its last nine games. Texas won six of last seven.

-- Washington won six of its last nine home games. Angels are 6-4 on road.

•Cold Teams
-- Pittsburgh lost five of its last seven games. Reds are 4-6 on the road.
-- Cardinals lost three of their last four games.
-- Marlins are 0-7 on the road; bullpen lost four of the seven games.
-- Arizona lost eight of its last nine games. Cubs lost six of last eight.
-- Padres lost five of their seven away games.
-- Giants lost four of their last five games.
-- Dodgers are 3-4 in their last seven games.

-- Red Sox are 4-6 at home this season.
-- Indians lost seven of their last eleven games.
-- Tampa Bay lost five of its last seven games.
-- White Sox lost four of their last six games. Detroit is 5-7 in its last 12.
-- Astros lost seven of their last eight games. Seattle lost its last seven games.

•Umpires Trends
-- Cin-Pitt-- 16 of last 19 Danley games stayed under.
-- StL-NY-- Five of last six Kellogg games stayed under.
-- Mia-Atl-- Last four Eddings games stayed under.
-- Az-Chi-- 10 of last 14 Bellino games went over total.
-- SD-Mil-- Last three Tichenor games went over total.
-- SF-Col-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Davidson games.
-- Phil-LA-- Under is 11-3-2 in last sixteen Estabrook tilts.

-- Chi-Det-- Three of four HGibson games went over total.
-- KC-Cle-- 11 of last 15 Carapazza games went over total.
-- Tex-A's-- Over is 5-2-2 in last nine Johnson games.
-- Hst-Sea-- Over is 10-1-1 in last twelve Barry games.

-- LA-Wsh-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Meals games.

MLB Betting News & Notes - Week #3
There are a few teams in the National League who are really burning a hole in the pockets of their bettors. Two in particular are really down in the dumps, and though there is a lot of season still left to be played. Baseball betting though, is about trends, and all too often, teams which get out of the blocks in bad shape, end up finishing up in bad shape as well.

•Arizona Diamondbacks (5-17, -$1,263) – There isn't a more embarrassing team in the bigs right now than the Diamondbacks. Losing Patrick Corbin for the season was always going to hurt, but it shouldn't have hurt this bad. Wade Miley and the rest of this pitching staff has been atrocious, posting a 5.70 team ERA and a 1.49 WHIP. Arizona only has three quality starts in 21 games, something which is inexplicably bad and easily the worst mark in the majors, and to make matters worse, the defense has committed 17 errors, which isn't helping out either. In spite of the fact that Mark Trumbo and Paul Goldschmidt are off to great starts this season, things in the desert really are grim and aren't going to likely end up getting any better either. The pitchers on this club simply have to get better in a hurry.

•Chicago Cubs (6-12, -$526) – The Cubs were mathematically eliminated from the 2014 playoffs back in the summer of 2012, and in the NL Central, they clearly aren't getting to 75 wins this year. Matters might improve for the loveable losers from Wrigley Field, but not if their offense can't improve. During the week, the team was shut out for 18 innings in a double-dip in the Bronx, and the team now has scored two runs or fewer in four of its last five games. The good news? Arizona's lousy pitching staff is going to be coming to town this week for four games. Something has to give in the Windy City, though we aren't sure whether it is going to be the Cubs' bats or the Diamondbacks' arms.

•Pittsburgh Pirates (9-11, -$294) – "Grilled Cheese" was unstoppable last season, and it goes without saying that one of the reasons why the Pirates got into the playoffs was because of Jason Grilli only blowing two saves all year long. He blew two in as many days against the Brewers over the weekend, and that's a bad sign as well. Something just doesn't seem quite as right about these Pirates to start the season. Neil Walker isn't going to keep up his torrid home run pace, and the Ike Davis trade never made sense from the get go. Now, Grilli is blowing saves left and right, and that could bring some instability to the back end of the bullpen. The end result? The Bucs are one of the three teams in the NL to have cost bettors over $300 this year, though we do have to remind you that had Grilli shut the door in both of those save opportunities, this would be a team winning money for the campaign at 10-9 at the moment.

Diamond Trends - Tuesday
•ATLANTA is 14-3 (+13.3 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage of .340 or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ATLANTA 5.9, OPPONENT 3.7.

•PHILADELPHIA is 10-0 OVER (+10.6 Units) versus good baserunning teams - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was PHILADELPHIA 4.6, OPPONENT 5.7.

•NY YANKEES are 1-13 (-16.6 Units) against the run line after a game where their bullpen blew a save over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was NY YANKEES 3.8, OPPONENT 6.9.

•JOSE FERNANDEZ is 12-3 (+12.2 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FERNANDEZ 3.3, OPPONENT 1.9.

•DAVID PRICE is 30-10 UNDER (+18.5 Units) in home games versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game since 1997.
The average score was PRICE 3.4, OPPONENT 3.3.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (American League) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL.
(70-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.4%, +49.9 units. Rating = 5*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -182.7
The average score in these games was: Team 5.5, Opponent 2.6 (Average run differential = +2.8)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (29-6, +17.8 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (142-52, +45.5 units).
___________________________________________

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher
Miami Marlins +115 over Atlanta Braves
(System Record: 12-0, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 12-10

Here are the rest of his baseball, hockey and basketball plays for today...


Baseball
Cleveland Indians -112 over Kansas City Royals
Milwaukee Brewers -143 over San Diego Padres
Pittsburgh Pirates +110 over Cincy Reds


Hockey
Philadelphia Flyers -116 over NY Rangers
Los Angeles Kings -128 over San Jose Sharks
Boston Bruins + Detroit Red Wings UNDER 5


Basketball
Brooklyn Nets +4.5 over Toronto Raptors
Washington Wizards + Chicago Bulls UNDER 181
Brooklyn Nets + Toronto Raptors OVER 187.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Pacers -7
Bulls -5
A's(RL) -1.5(+148)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play TUES Bulls -5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

NY Yankees at Boston

The Yankees open up their series in Boston tonight against a Red Sox team that is 1-5 in its last 6 during Game 1 of a series. New York is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Yankees favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-110). Here are all of today's picks.

TUESDAY, APRIL 22 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Cueto) 16.131; Pittsburgh (Volquez) 14.773 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-130); Under

Game 903-904: St. Louis at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.742; NY Mets (Gee) 15.836 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-165); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+145); Over

Game 905-906: Miami at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Fernandez) 15.502; Atlanta (Wood) 16.337 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 6 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-130); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-130); Under

Game 907-908: Arizona at Chicago Cubs (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (McCarthy) 14.513; Cubs (Hammel) 13.622 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-120); No Total Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+100); N/A

Game 909-910: San Diego at Milwaukee (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Kennedy) 15.723; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.631 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-145); 8 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+125); Over

Game 911-912: San Francisco at Colorado (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Bumgarner) 16.166; Colorado (Morales) 14.447 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130); Under

Game 913-914: Philadelphia at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Burnett) 15.940; LA Dodgers (Ryu) 14.824 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 5 1/2 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-160); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+140); Under

Game 915-916: Chicago White Sox at Detroit (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Leesman) 14.037; Detroit (Verlander) 15.794 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 7 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-150); Over

Game 917-918: Kansas City at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Shields) 15.916; Cleveland (Salazar) 14.868 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1;8 Vegas Line: Cleveland (-110); 7 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-110); Over

Game 919-920: Baltimore at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gonzalez) 14.431; Toronto (Dickey) 15.966 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Toronto (-145); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-145); Under

Game 921-922: Minnesota at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Gibson) 14.168; Tampa Bay (Price) 15.971 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 6 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-210); 7 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-210); Under

Game 923-924: NY Yankees at Boston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Tanaka) 15.433; Boston (Lester) 14.304 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Boston (-110); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-110); Over

Game 925-926: Texas at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Martinez) 14.837; Oakland (Milone) 16.319 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Oakland (-150); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-150); Under

Game 927-928: Houston at Seattle (10:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (McHugh) 14.533; Seattle (Ramirez) 13.764 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Seattle (-140); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+120); Over

Game 929-930: LA Angels at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Skaggs) 15.957; Washington (Jordan) 14.822 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 9 Vegas Line: Washington (-120); 8 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100); Over

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
TUESDAY, APRIL 22nd 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________

#901 CINCINNATI @ #902 PITTSBURGH - 7:05 PM
•Reds RH Johnny Cueto (1-2, 1.50 ERA, WHIP: 0.800) - Cueto has gone at least seven innings in each of his four starts and has yet to allow more than two runs in an outing. He was utterly dominant against PIttsburgh last week, striking out 12 in a three-hitter -- his first shutout since 2011. The success against the Pirates is nothing new -- he's 14-4 with a 2.22 ERA in 22 starts against them.

--KEY STAT:CUETO is 17-5 UNDER (77.2%, +11.3 Units) against division opponents over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was CUETO 3.3, OPPONENT 2.3.

•Pirates RH Edinson Volquez (1-0, 1.71 ERA, WHIP: 0.952 ) - Volquez enjoyed his best season with the Reds in 2008 and has shown flashes early on of putting together a strong 2014 campaign. The 30-year-old began the year with a relief appearance but has been solid in three starts since, allowing two or fewer runs in each. Volquez has faced his former team only three times, going 1-0 with a 3.93 ERA.

#903 ST LOUIS @ #904 NY METS - 7:10 PM
•Cardinals RH Adam Wainwright (3-1, 1.80 ERA, WHIP: 0.867) - Wainwright enters this one on a high note after throwing a two-hit shutout - the seventh of his career - with eight strikeouts at Washington on Thursday. He has allowed two runs while fanning 24 in 23 innings on the road this year and has held opponents to a .163 average in four starts overall. Wainwright has helped himself at the plate by going 4-for-9 with a double and two RBIs.

•Mets RH Dillon Gee (1-0, 3.71 ERA, WHIP: 0.975) - Gee also is coming off a scoreless outing, having limited Arizona to three hits over seven dominant frames on Wednesday. After throwing exactly 100 pitches in each of his first three starts, the 27-year-old cruised through the seven innings in just 72 pitches and will have a full five days of rest before taking the mound Tuesday. Gee, who allowed a run in 6 2/3 innings to defeat St. Louis at home on June 12, is 2-1 with a 3.65 ERA in four career starts against the Cardinals.

--KEY STAT:GEE is 10-1 UNDER (90.9%, +9.0 Units) in home games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GEE 2.5, OPPONENT 2.5.

#905 MIAMI @ #906 ATLANTA - 7:10 PM
•Marlins RH Jose Fernandez (2-1, 2.66 ERA, WHIP: 1.098) - Fernandez rebounded from his first loss of the season April 11 at Philadelphia with seven strong innings in a no decision Wednesday against Washington, allowing three runs on Jayson Werth’s homer but striking out 10 in six innings. The 21-year-old has 33 strikeouts in 23 2/3 innings and is holding right-handed hitters to a .125 batting average. Fernandez went 1-1 with a 2.08 ERA in two starts against the Braves last season, striking out 13 in 13 innings.

--KEY STAT: FERNANDEZ is 12-3 (80.0%, +12.2 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FERNANDEZ 3.3, OPPONENT 1.9.

--FERNANDEZ is 17-6 (73.9%, +12.9 Units) against the money line in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FERNANDEZ 4.0, OPPONENT 2.6.

•Braves LH Alex Wood (2-2, 1.67 ERA, WHIP: 1.111) - Wood has pitched well enough to be 4-0, were it not for Atlanta scoring one run combined in his two defeats. He pitched the first complete game of his career Thursday in Philadelphia, allowing the game’s only run in the eighth inning while striking out seven. Wood made four appearances (two starts) against the Marlins as a rookie last season, going 0-1 with a 5.56 ERA.

#907 ARIZONA @ #908 CHICAGO CUBS - 8:05 PM
•Diamondbacks RH Brandon McCarthy (0-3, 7.11 ERA, WHIP: 1.421) - McCarthy has been knocked around so far this season, allowing six home runs in 25 1/3 innings, but he had his best outing yet last time. He gave up three runs on seven hits over 5 2/3 innings Wednesday against the New York Mets but wound up on the wrong end of a 5-2 defeat. McCarthy spent the bulk of his career in the American League, so he has seen the Cubs only twice (one start) and has a 2.45 ERA with no decisions.

•Cubs RH Jason Hammel (2-1, 3.05 ERA, WHIP: 0.726) - Hammel has recorded quality starts in each of his first three outings but didn't get any run support last time out. He held the New York Yankees to three runs on five hits over seven frames, but the Cubs lost 3-0. Hammel is 3-3 with a 3.71 ERA in 11 games (eight starts) against the Diamondbacks, whom he hasn't faced since 2011 and hasn't beaten since 2010.

--KEY STAT: HAMMEL is 11-3 (78.5%, +9.1 Units) against the money line in April games over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HAMMEL 4.8, OPPONENT 2.9.

#909 SAN DIEGO @ #910 MILWAUKEE - 8:10 PM
•Padres RH Ian Kennedy (1-3, 4.13 ERA, WHIP: 1.042) - Kennedy did not get much run support in either of his last two turns and ended up absorbing the loss in each. The 29-year-old struck out seven in as many innings against Colorado last time out but allowed three runs on four hits in a game San Diego dropped 3-1. Kennedy is 2-3 with a 4.00 ERA in seven career starts against the Brewers.

•Brewers RH Yovani Gallardo (2-0, 1.46 ERA, WHIP: 1.094) - Starting pitching has been one of the keys to Milwaukee’s strong start and Gallardo is at the top of that rotation. The 28-year-old Mexico native allowed two or fewer earned runs in each of his four starts but was held out of the decision in the last two. Gallardo is 4-3 with a 5.04 ERA in eight career starts against San Diego and has a hard time with Yonder Alonso (6-for-15 with a home run and four RBIs) and Chase Headley (6-for-17 with a home run).

#911 SAN FRANCISCO @ #912 COLORADO - 8:40 PM
•Giants LH Madison Bumgarner (2-1, 3.48 ERA, WHIP: 1.791) - Bumgarner is off a slow start by his standards after recording only one quality outing among his first four turns, but is 1-0 with a 1.74 ERA in two road starts. The 24-year-old Hickory, N.C., native yielded four runs and nine hits in six innings against Colorado on April 11, but hit a grand slam and drove in five runs in a 6-5 victory. Bumgarner is 8-5 with a 3.27 ERA against the Rockies - 4-4, 4.27 at Coors Field, with Carlos Gonzalez (12-for-33, five home runs, nine RBIs) causing him fits.

•Rockies LH Franklin Morales (1-1, 4.82 ERA, WHIP: 1.497) - Morales broke camp as the No. 5 starter after making 170 of his first 195 career appearances in relief, but was sent back to the bullpen when Tyler Chatwood returned from the disabled list. Morales was thrust back into a starter's role when Brett Anderson broke his finger and allowed one run and four hits while striking out five in six innings of the Rockies' 3-1 victory at San Diego on Thursday. The 28-year-old Venezuelan is 0-3 with a 6.57 ERA in 17 games (three starts) versus the Giants.

--KEY STAT:MORALES is 15-2 OVER (88.2%, +13.1 Units) when the total is 8.5 to 10 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was MORALES 6.8, OPPONENT 5.8.

#913 PHILADELPHIA @ #914 LA DODGERS - 10:10 PM
•Phillies RH A.J. Burnett (0-1, 2.74 ERA, WHIP: 1.565) - Burnett made his first start since being diagnosed with an inguinal hernia on Thursday and tossed seven scoreless innings against the Braves. “He had better command,” Phillies manager Ryne Sandberg told reporters. “He had a shorter stride and looked more effortless. (The injury) might be a good thing.” Carl Crawford is 19-for-64 (.297) with one homer against the 37-year-old, who is 4-4 with a 3.73 ERA in 10 career starts against the Dodgers.

--KEY STAT: BURNETT is 16-41 (28.0%, -29.1 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BURNETT 3.5, OPPONENT 4.6.

•Dodgers LH Hyun-Jin Ryu (3-1, 1.93 ERA, WHIP: 1.000) - Ryu held the Giants scoreless for seven innings Thursday while allowing four hits and throwing a season-high 112 pitches. The 27-year-old has limited opponents to a .186 batting average with 25 strikeouts in his first 28 innings. Utley has homered twice in four at-bats against Ryu, who yielded only those two runs and struck out six in seven innings against the Phillies on June 29, 2013.

--KEY STAT: RYU is 12-2 (85.7%, +9.5 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RYU 5.9, OPPONENT 2.1.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NBA Picks

Washington at Chicago

The Bulls look to bounce back from their 103-94 loss to the Wizards in Game 1 and come into tonight's contest with a 12-1 ATS record in their last 13 games after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game. Chicago is the pick (-5) according to Dunkel, which has the Bulls favored by 7 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-5). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

TUESDAY, APRIL 22 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 721-722: Atlanta at Indiana (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 119.609; Indiana 124.117 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 4 1/2; 183 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 7 1/2; 186 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (+7 1/2); Under

Game 723-724: Brooklyn at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Brooklyn 119.863; Toronto 122.039 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 2; 191 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto by 4 1/2; 4 1/2; 188 Dunkel Pick: Brooklyn (+4 1/2); Over

Game 725-726: Washington at Chicago (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 116.604; Chicago 123.963 Dunkel Line & Total: Chicago by 7 1/2; 177 Vegas Line & Total: Chicago by 5; 181 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Chicago (-5); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NHL Picks

Boston at Detroit

The Bruins head to Detroit tonight for Game 3 and face a Red Wings team that is 2-8 in its last 10 Tuesday games. Boston is the pick (-135) according to Dunkel, which has the Bruins favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

TUESDAY, APRIL 22 Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST

Game 9-10: Tampa Bay at Montreal (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay 11.690; Montreal 11.137 Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-180); 5 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+60); Over

Game 11-12: Boston at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.524; Detroit 11.049 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-135); 5 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-135); Under

Game 13-14: NY Rangers at Philadelphia (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 11.976; Philadelphia 10.804 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-120); 5 Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+100); Over

Game 15-16: San Jose at Los Angeles (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Jose 11.603; Los Angeles 12.944 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-130); 5 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-130); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Tuesday, April 22

Toronto has won one playoff series in its history (2001); they're 1-4 overall in first round series-- this is Raptors' first playoff appearance since '08, and it showed in Game 1, with GM cursing out borough of Brooklyn before game, then DeRozan shooting 3-13, with Toronto -9 in turnovers (17-8). Stretched-out nature of playoff series helps the older Nets, whose starters were combined +69 in Game 1, even though they shot just 4-24 from arc. This is much more important game for Raptors..

Pacers are now 6-10 in last 16 games, 6-25-1 against spread in last 32, as they look like a dead team, despite #1 seed- they're now 2-3 vs Atlanta this season. Hawks won seven of its last nine games; they broke open Game 1's 52-all halftime tie with 30-16 third quarter- it was their first road playoff win in last nine tries. Atlanta had 8-0/14-0 runs in second half. Hibbert had 8 points, 5 fouls, zero blocked shots; not good.- Game 1 was just 7th loss in 42 home games for Indiana this season.

Washington outscored Bulls 30-18 in 4th quarter to win Game 1, after being down six at half; Nene had 24 points, 8 boards, while Hinrich was 7-16 for Bulls-- is it good if he takes most shots for Chicago? Wiz have won three of four vs Bulls this season- they're 27-15 vs spread on road, won three of last five games in this building. 13 of last 17 series games stayed under total. Seven of first ten playoff games this week went over total; favorites (all home teams) are 3-7 against the spread.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tuesday's NBA playoffs betting news and notes

Atlanta Hawks vs. Indiana Pacers (-7, 186.5)

Teague scored a career playoff-high 28 points in Game 1 and was one of six players to knock down at least one 3-pointers for Atlanta. “I just wanted to be aggressive,” Teague told reporters. “We know they’re a good defensive team with a lot of length. We just wanted to attack, stay aggressive and hit the open guy. We’ve got a lot of shot makers. We know they are a long team who likes to clog the paint, but we want to stretch the floor against them.” Frontcourt mates Paul Millsap and Pero Antic combined to go 4-for-9 from beyond the arc, pulling Hibbert and David West out of the paint and opening driving lanes for Teague.

Indiana fought all season to earn the top seed and homecourt advantage in the Eastern Conference but has already surrendered homecourt advantage in the series. The Pacers struggled to adjust to Atlanta’s “spread-5” offensive attack, and coach Frank Vogel is contemplating changes to his rotation in order to adjust. “Probably just stick with what we have, but in the playoffs you have to contemplate everything,” Vogel told reporters. “You got a difficult matchup, obviously with a unique offensive attack, so you consider everything.” Evan Turner collected nine points and seven rebounds off the bench in Game 1 and could see more time if Indiana goes to a smaller lineup.

TRENDS:

* Road team is 3-0-1 ATS in the last four meetings.
* Over is 10-4 in the last 14 meetings.
* Hawks are 3-1-1 ATS in the last five meetings.


Brooklyn Nets vs. Toronto Raptors (-4.5, 188)

Brooklyn ranked as one of the better 3-point shooting teams in the Eastern Conference this season but struggled mightily in Game 1. After making three of their first four attempts from beyond the arc, the Nets missed 19 in a row before Pierce hit a big one with less than three minutes remaining. The Brooklyn bench combined to miss all 12 of its long-range tries and Johnson - the team leader in makes, attempts and percentage during the regular season - got off only one attempt and missed it.

The Game 1 performance was sloppy all-around in Toronto, where a clock malfunction forced officials to utilize stopwatches as the Raptors committed 19 turnovers. They stayed in the game by gaining a 45-37 advantage on the glass - including 18 rebounds by center Jonas Valanciunas - and converting 23-of-25 free throws. Greivis Vasquez looked like the team's best player behind Lowry, coming off the bench to produce 18 points and eight rebounds in 29 minutes.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1 in the last six meetings in Toronto.
* Home team is 7-3-1 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
* Underdog is 5-2-1 ATS in the last eight meetings.


Washington Wizards vs. Chicago Bulls (-5, 181.5)

The big games from Marcin Gortat and Nene helped make up for John Wall and Bradley Beal combining to go 7-for-25 from the field, though the two guards each hit a pair of free throws in the final 25 seconds to help put it away. “I know I can play better offensively, but to get a win like this and have my teammates step up when I didn’t have a good game is big for us,” Wall told the Washington Post. “We don’t have a lot of experience as young guys, me and (Beal), but we have great leaders.” One of those leaders is veteran guard Andre Miller, who scored eight of his 10 points in the fourth quarter in Game 1.

Chicago squandered a 13-point third-quarter lead in Game 1 and missed nine of its last 11 field-goal attempts as Washington took control down the stretch. “We have to pick up our intensity,” center Joakim Noah told reporters. “Up 13, we exhaled, they came back. Bad turnovers, they got some easy scores. We got to make our adjustments. This is chess. It isn’t checkers.” Noah, who was named the NBA’s Defensive Player of the Year on Monday, recorded 10 points and 10 rebounds in Game 1.

TRENDS:

* Wizards are 5-0 ATS in the last five meetings in Chicago.
* Wizards are 7-2 ATS in the last nine meetings.
* Under is 21-6 in th elast 27 meetings.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Tuesday, April 22

Flyers' 4-2 win in Game 2 was their first in six games vs Rangers this year; they've lost five of last seven home games to Rangers, but haven't trailed either game in this series after 2nd period, despite being outshot a combined 49-31 in first two periods of each game. Rangers are 3-12 on power play in series, Philly just 2-4. Rangers led 2-0 after 8:22 of Game 2; them losing that game give Flyers huge boost heading to home ice here. Under is 5-1-2 in last eight Ranger games, 0-8-1 in Philly's last nine games.

Bruins evened series with Game 2 win that saw more faceoffs (44 to 62), penalty minutes (6 to 28) than in Game 1, but still less than typical game. Boston lost four of last six games vs Detroit; this is only their 4th visit to Motor City in last eight seasons- their last win here in Detroit was in '06-'07. Bruins are 26-15 on road this season; they've only allowed two goals in series so far, killing off all six penalties. Detroit is 23-18 at home this season; 10 of its 41 home games went to either OT or shootout.

Montreal is going for series sweep here, despite going 0-11 on power play and being -12 on faceoffs in series; they held Lightning to three goals in last two games, with two of those three scoring with Lightning up a man. Montreal won ten of last thirteen games overall; they won six of last eight at home, are 27-15 at home this season. Tampa Bay allowed five third period goals in series so far- they've won four of last seven road games, are 23-19 overall on road this season, but need big effort here to avoid Wednesday morning tee time.

Kings lost six of last seven games, scoring total of 16 goals- they led 2-0 after first period of Game 2, but Sharks then scored last seven goals of game to take 2-0 series lead, with 13 goals scored in two one-sided games. Sharks are 23-18 on road this season, but they were 0-2 here and have lost seven in row overall at Staples Center. League-wide, over is 10-5-2 in playoff games so far this week; three of four road teams got shut out last night. LA is 25-16 on home ice this season, with under 23-13-5 in those games.