STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
TUESDAY, OCTOBER 7th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_____________________________________
***** Tuesday, 10/7/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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National League Division Series
#929 LA DODGERS @ #930 ST LOUIS
TV: 5:07 PM EST, Fox Sports 1
Line: Dodgers -165, Total: 6.5
The Los Angeles Dodgers turn to their ace in an effort to stave off elimination when they visit the St. Louis Cardinals for Game #4 of their National League Division Series on Tuesday. Clayton Kershaw gets the start on short rest as Nation League West champion Los Angeles finds itself down 2-1 in the best-of-five matchup after dropping a 3-1 decision in Game #3. The Dodgers received a strong six-inning effort from Hyun-Jin Ryu and forged a tie on Hanley Ramirez's RBI double in the sixth before Kolten Wong belted a two-run homer off Scott Elbert a frame later.
Matt Carpenter continued his offensive onslaught with a double and a solo blast as he improved to 6-for-12 with three doubles, three homers and seven RBIs in the series. The National League Central-champion Cardinals have had their way with several Los Angeles pitchers, pounding Kershaw for eight runs in the series opener while reaching the relief trio of Elbert, J.P. Howell and Pedro Baez for a total of six runs in 3 1/3 innings. With a victory Tuesday, St. Louis advances to the NL Championship Series for the fourth consecutive year.
PITCHING MATCHUP
•Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (21-2, 2.06 ERA, WHIP: 0.868) - Kershaw gets the chance to redeem himself on three days' rest after imploding in the seventh inning of his series-opening loss. The overwhelming favorite to win his second straight Cy Young Award and third in four years, he entered the frame with a 6-2 lead but allowed hits to six of the eight batters he faced before being lifted and ultimately was charged with eight runs in 6 2/3 innings. The 26-year-old Kershaw also pitched on three days' rest in last year's NLDS, yielding two unearned runs and three hits over six innings in a no-decision against Atlanta.
--KERSHAW is 21-3 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in road games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 5.1, OPPONENT 2.5.
--KERSHAW is 13-0 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 6.0, OPPONENT 1.7.
--KERSHAW is 45-17 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 4.7, OPPONENT 3.2.
--KERSHAW is 27-13 UNDER (+11.8 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 4.6, OPPONENT 2.5.
•Cardinals RH Shelby Miller (10-9, 3.74 ERA, WHIP: 1.264) - Miller will be making his first career postseason start after allowing three runs over 4 1/3 innings in three relief appearances over the previous two years. The Houston native, who is three days shy of his 24th birthday, has not lost since August 11th - going 2-0 over his final eight starts of the regular season. Miller, who made his only relief appearance of the campaign against the Dodgers on July 20th, fell to 1-1 in five games - three starts - versus the club after surrendering six runs over five frames in a loss at Los Angeles on June 29th.
--MILLER is 0-7 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in home games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 1.9, OPPONENT 5.7.
•PREGAME NOTES: Ramirez collected three of Los Angeles' seven hits in Game #3.... Carpenter, who hit eight home runs in 158 regular-season contests, is the first player in franchise history to homer in three straight games of the same playoff series. Albert Pujols went deep in three consecutive contests spanning two series in 2004.... Dodgers CF Yasiel Puig has struck out eight times in his last nine at-bats, ending a string of seven in a row with a sixth-inning triple Monday.... Adrian Gonzalez is 4 for 7 with a homer off Miller, and Puig has a double in two at-bats.
•KEY STATS
--LA DODGERS are 17-4 UNDER (+12.7 Units) versus terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA DODGERS 3.4, OPPONENT 2.8.
--LA DODGERS are 16-3 UNDER (+12.7 Units) in road games versus an National League starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA DODGERS 3.5, OPPONENT 2.8.
--ST LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER (+7.1 Units) in home games after batting .240 or worse over a 20 game span this season.
The average score was ST LOUIS 3.7, OPPONENT 2.5.
--ST LOUIS is 16-5 UNDER (+10.4 Units) in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season.
The average score was ST LOUIS 3.8, OPPONENT 3.0.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--Games Over The Last 3 Seasons: ST LOUIS is 17-17 (+0.5 Units) against LA DODGERS over the last 3 seasons.20 of 33 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons Under= +5.4 Units.
--Games This Season: ST LOUIS is 5-5 (+1.2 Units) against LA DODGERS this season. 7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season Under= +3.8 Units.
--All Games At ST LOUIS Over The Last 3 Seasons: ST LOUIS is 10-5 (+4.8 Units) against LA DODGERS over the last 3 seasons. 10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons Under= +4.2 Units.
--Games Played At ST LOUIS This Season: ST LOUIS is 3-1 (+2.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season. 3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season Under= +1.8 Units.
--Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
--Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in St. Louis.
--Dodgers are 18-41 in the last 59 meetings in St. Louis.
--Dodgers are 1-4 in Kershaws last 5 road starts vs. Cardinals.
•RECENT TRENDS
--LA is 6-0 in their last 6 during Game #4 of a series.
--LA is 5-1 in their last 6 road games versus a RH starter.
--Under is 18-6 in KERSHAWS last 24 Tuesday starts.
--STL is 13-3 in their last 16 games as a home underdog.
--STL is 7-0 in their last 7 home games versus a LH starter.
--Under is 21-10-1 in STL L32 home games versus a LH starter.
•UMPIRE TRENDS - Eric Cooper
--Over is 4-0 in Coopers last 4 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
--Home team is 6-1 in Coopers last 7 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
--Home team is 4-1 in Coopers last 5 games behind home plate.
--Home team is 4-1 in Coopers last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
--Under is 4-1 in Coopers last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
--Road team is 6-2 in Coopers last 8 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
--Cardinals are 7-3 in their last 10 games with Cooper behind home plate.
•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Under - Road teams where the total is 7 or less (LA DODGERS) - hot hitting National League team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games.
(35-10 since 1997.) (77.8%, +23.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 6.8, Money Line=-113.5
The average score in these games was: Team 2.4, Opponent 2.8 (Total runs scored = 5.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 32 (65.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2, 0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-4, +4.4 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-8, +11.8 units).
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#931 WASHINGTON @ #932 SAN FRANCISCO
TV: 9:07 PM EST, Fox Sports 1
Line: National -130, Total: 6.5
Left-fielder Bryce Harper has provided the fireworks while Anthony Rendon has been far more consistent during the Washington Nationals' first three contests of the postseason. The duo will need more of the same if Washington hopes to stave off elimination when it visits the San Francisco Giants for Game #4 of their National League Division Series on Tuesday. Harper belted his second solo homer of the set to put an exclamation point on the Nationals' 4-1 win on Monday while Rendon added two singles to improve to 7-for-15 in the postseason.
When considering playoff success, look no further than Pablo Sandoval. The Giants' mammoth star ripped a pair of singles to extend his postseason hitting streak to 14 games, which is one shy of the National League record set by Atlanta's Marquis Grissom (1995-96) and three short of Hank Bauer (1956-58), Derek Jeter (1998-99) and Manny Ramirez (2003-04) for the major-league mark. Sandoval is just 1-for-10 in his career versus Tuesday starter Gio Gonzalez, while Harper has struck out four times while going 1-for-8 against San Francisco's Ryan Vogelsong.
PITCHING MATCHUP
•Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (10-10, 3.57 ERA, WHIP: 1.197) - Gonzalez finished the regular season with a flourish, winning four of his final five starts - highlighted by a 3-0 triumph over the New York Mets on September 25th in which he allowed one hit and struck out a career-high 12 over seven innings. The 29-year-old recorded a 2.48 ERA in September, which is over a full run less than the mark he posted this season. Gonzalez owns a 2-2 career record versus the Giants but did not face them this season as he missed the series in June due to shoulder inflammation while his turn in the rotation didn't come to pass during the three-game set in Washington from August 22-24.
--GONZALEZ is 30-12 (+15.5 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 5.0, OPPONENT 3.1.
--GONZALEZ is 31-12 (+15.8 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 4.5, OPPONENT 2.6.
--GONZALEZ is 3-13 against the run line (-10.9 Units) versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 2.9, OPPONENT 3.7.
--GONZALEZ is 7-18 against the run line (-12.2 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 3.5, OPPONENT 3.4.
•Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (8-13, 3.90 ERA, WHIP: 1.278) - While Gonzalez excelled in the final month, Vogelsong limped to an 0-4 mark with a 5.53 ERA in September. The 37-year-old permitted four runs for the third straight outing en route to a 4-1 setback to San Diego on September 26th. Vogelsong was blitzed for six runs in as many innings of a 9-2 loss to Washington on June 9th before receiving a no-decision after allowing three runs and four hits in 5 1/3 frames on August 24th.
--VOGELSONG is 1-8 (-7.5 Units) against the money line in home games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOGELSONG 1.6, OPPONENT 4.0.
--VOGELSONG is 20-7 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOGELSONG 4.9, OPPONENT 3.6.
--VOGELSONG is 25-7 UNDER (+17.3 Units) in home games versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOGELSONG 3.3, OPPONENT 2.5.
--VOGELSONG is 11-1 UNDER (+10.0 Units) as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOGELSONG 1.7, OPPONENT 3.2.
•PREGAME NOTES: Washington 2B Asdrubal Cabrera, who recorded an RBI single on Monday, has gone 1-for-4 in each game of the series while posting the same numbers in his career versus Vogelsong.... San Francisco 1B Brandon Belt is 7-for-17 during the postseason and has hit safely in each of his last eight contests.... Should the Nationals emerge victorious, they'll send RHP Stephen Strasburg to the mound against Giants RHP Jake Peavy in Thursday night's decisive contest in Washington.... Ian Desmond is 3 for 6 with a home run, triple and four RBIs when facing Vogelsong in 2014, but Harper has gone 1 for 8 with four strikeouts all-time in the matchup.... Anthony Rendon is 7 for 15 in this series after adding two more hits Monday.
•KEY STATS
--WASHINGTON is 9-23 against the run line (-17.6 Units) versus terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 2.6, OPPONENT 3.8.
--WASHINGTON is 16-30 against the run line (-16.2 Units) versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 3.8, OPPONENT 4.1.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--Games Over The Last 3 Seasons: WASHINGTON is 14-8 (+4.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons. 13 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons Over= +4.4 Units.
--Games This Season: SAN FRANCISCO is 4-6 (-0.7 Units) against WASHINGTON this season. 6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season Over= +2.0 Units.
--All Games At SAN FRANCISCO Over The Last 3 Seasons:WASHINGTON is 7-4 (+3.9 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons. 6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons Over= +2.0 Units.
--Games Played At SAN FRANCISCO This Season: WASHINGTON is 4-1 (+3.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season. 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season Over= +1.1 Units.
--Over is 3-1-1 in Vogelsongs last 5 starts vs. Nationals.
•RECENT TRENDS
--WAS is 1-4 in GONZALEZS L5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less.
--WAS is 1-6 in GONZALEZS L7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less.
--Under is 5-0 in WAS last 5 road games versus a RH starter.
--SF is 12-3 in their last 15 during Game #4 of a series.
--SF is 6-1 in their last 7 home games versus a LH starter.
--Over is 11-2 in SF last 13 playoff home games.
•UMPIRE TRENDS - Hunter Wendelstedt
--Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 Tuesday games with Wendelstedt behind home plate.
--Under is 5-1-1 in Wendelstedts last 7 Tuesday games behind home plate.
--Road team is 4-1 in Wendelstedts last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate vs. San Francisco.
--Home team is 6-2 in Wendelstedts last 8 Tuesday games behind home plate.
--Nationals are 3-10 in their last 13 games with Wendelstedt behind home plate.
--Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Wendelstedt behind home plate.
•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS:Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+215 to -130) (SAN FRANCISCO) - terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 0.800 over his last 3 starts.
(68-33 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.3%, +34.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (66-35 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.5, money line price: -101
The average score in these games was: Team 4.2, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +0.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 56 (55.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (15-8, +6.8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (48-23, +24.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (160-111, +46.9 units).
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TUESDAY, OCTOBER 7th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_____________________________________
***** Tuesday, 10/7/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_____________________________________________________
National League Division Series
#929 LA DODGERS @ #930 ST LOUIS
TV: 5:07 PM EST, Fox Sports 1
Line: Dodgers -165, Total: 6.5
The Los Angeles Dodgers turn to their ace in an effort to stave off elimination when they visit the St. Louis Cardinals for Game #4 of their National League Division Series on Tuesday. Clayton Kershaw gets the start on short rest as Nation League West champion Los Angeles finds itself down 2-1 in the best-of-five matchup after dropping a 3-1 decision in Game #3. The Dodgers received a strong six-inning effort from Hyun-Jin Ryu and forged a tie on Hanley Ramirez's RBI double in the sixth before Kolten Wong belted a two-run homer off Scott Elbert a frame later.
Matt Carpenter continued his offensive onslaught with a double and a solo blast as he improved to 6-for-12 with three doubles, three homers and seven RBIs in the series. The National League Central-champion Cardinals have had their way with several Los Angeles pitchers, pounding Kershaw for eight runs in the series opener while reaching the relief trio of Elbert, J.P. Howell and Pedro Baez for a total of six runs in 3 1/3 innings. With a victory Tuesday, St. Louis advances to the NL Championship Series for the fourth consecutive year.
PITCHING MATCHUP
•Dodgers LH Clayton Kershaw (21-2, 2.06 ERA, WHIP: 0.868) - Kershaw gets the chance to redeem himself on three days' rest after imploding in the seventh inning of his series-opening loss. The overwhelming favorite to win his second straight Cy Young Award and third in four years, he entered the frame with a 6-2 lead but allowed hits to six of the eight batters he faced before being lifted and ultimately was charged with eight runs in 6 2/3 innings. The 26-year-old Kershaw also pitched on three days' rest in last year's NLDS, yielding two unearned runs and three hits over six innings in a no-decision against Atlanta.
--KERSHAW is 21-3 (+16.7 Units) against the money line in road games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 5.1, OPPONENT 2.5.
--KERSHAW is 13-0 (+13.0 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 6.0, OPPONENT 1.7.
--KERSHAW is 45-17 (+22.6 Units) against the money line in day games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 4.7, OPPONENT 3.2.
--KERSHAW is 27-13 UNDER (+11.8 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KERSHAW 4.6, OPPONENT 2.5.
•Cardinals RH Shelby Miller (10-9, 3.74 ERA, WHIP: 1.264) - Miller will be making his first career postseason start after allowing three runs over 4 1/3 innings in three relief appearances over the previous two years. The Houston native, who is three days shy of his 24th birthday, has not lost since August 11th - going 2-0 over his final eight starts of the regular season. Miller, who made his only relief appearance of the campaign against the Dodgers on July 20th, fell to 1-1 in five games - three starts - versus the club after surrendering six runs over five frames in a loss at Los Angeles on June 29th.
--MILLER is 0-7 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in home games versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILLER 1.9, OPPONENT 5.7.
•PREGAME NOTES: Ramirez collected three of Los Angeles' seven hits in Game #3.... Carpenter, who hit eight home runs in 158 regular-season contests, is the first player in franchise history to homer in three straight games of the same playoff series. Albert Pujols went deep in three consecutive contests spanning two series in 2004.... Dodgers CF Yasiel Puig has struck out eight times in his last nine at-bats, ending a string of seven in a row with a sixth-inning triple Monday.... Adrian Gonzalez is 4 for 7 with a homer off Miller, and Puig has a double in two at-bats.
•KEY STATS
--LA DODGERS are 17-4 UNDER (+12.7 Units) versus terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA DODGERS 3.4, OPPONENT 2.8.
--LA DODGERS are 16-3 UNDER (+12.7 Units) in road games versus an National League starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 to 1.350 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LA DODGERS 3.5, OPPONENT 2.8.
--ST LOUIS is 8-1 UNDER (+7.1 Units) in home games after batting .240 or worse over a 20 game span this season.
The average score was ST LOUIS 3.7, OPPONENT 2.5.
--ST LOUIS is 16-5 UNDER (+10.4 Units) in home games after scoring 3 runs or less 2 straight games this season.
The average score was ST LOUIS 3.8, OPPONENT 3.0.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--Games Over The Last 3 Seasons: ST LOUIS is 17-17 (+0.5 Units) against LA DODGERS over the last 3 seasons.20 of 33 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons Under= +5.4 Units.
--Games This Season: ST LOUIS is 5-5 (+1.2 Units) against LA DODGERS this season. 7 of 10 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season Under= +3.8 Units.
--All Games At ST LOUIS Over The Last 3 Seasons: ST LOUIS is 10-5 (+4.8 Units) against LA DODGERS over the last 3 seasons. 10 of 15 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons Under= +4.2 Units.
--Games Played At ST LOUIS This Season: ST LOUIS is 3-1 (+2.4 Units) against LA DODGERS this season. 3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL this season Under= +1.8 Units.
--Under is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings.
--Under is 6-2 in the last 8 meetings in St. Louis.
--Dodgers are 18-41 in the last 59 meetings in St. Louis.
--Dodgers are 1-4 in Kershaws last 5 road starts vs. Cardinals.
•RECENT TRENDS
--LA is 6-0 in their last 6 during Game #4 of a series.
--LA is 5-1 in their last 6 road games versus a RH starter.
--Under is 18-6 in KERSHAWS last 24 Tuesday starts.
--STL is 13-3 in their last 16 games as a home underdog.
--STL is 7-0 in their last 7 home games versus a LH starter.
--Under is 21-10-1 in STL L32 home games versus a LH starter.
•UMPIRE TRENDS - Eric Cooper
--Over is 4-0 in Coopers last 4 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
--Home team is 6-1 in Coopers last 7 games behind home plate vs. Los Angeles.
--Home team is 4-1 in Coopers last 5 games behind home plate.
--Home team is 4-1 in Coopers last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
--Under is 4-1 in Coopers last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
--Road team is 6-2 in Coopers last 8 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
--Cardinals are 7-3 in their last 10 games with Cooper behind home plate.
•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS: Play Under - Road teams where the total is 7 or less (LA DODGERS) - hot hitting National League team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games.
(35-10 since 1997.) (77.8%, +23.7 units. Rating = 3*)
The average total posted in these games was: 6.8, Money Line=-113.5
The average score in these games was: Team 2.4, Opponent 2.8 (Total runs scored = 5.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 32 (65.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (2-2, 0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-4, +4.4 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (21-8, +11.8 units).
__________________________________________________
StatSystems Sports
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"Get the most sought after plays in the industry today!" Call us today for a 1 Day VIP Pass - $29.00, 7 Day VIP Pass - $149.00, or get our most popular 30 Day VIP Package for just $499.00. "You'll be Real Glad You Did!"
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#931 WASHINGTON @ #932 SAN FRANCISCO
TV: 9:07 PM EST, Fox Sports 1
Line: National -130, Total: 6.5
Left-fielder Bryce Harper has provided the fireworks while Anthony Rendon has been far more consistent during the Washington Nationals' first three contests of the postseason. The duo will need more of the same if Washington hopes to stave off elimination when it visits the San Francisco Giants for Game #4 of their National League Division Series on Tuesday. Harper belted his second solo homer of the set to put an exclamation point on the Nationals' 4-1 win on Monday while Rendon added two singles to improve to 7-for-15 in the postseason.
When considering playoff success, look no further than Pablo Sandoval. The Giants' mammoth star ripped a pair of singles to extend his postseason hitting streak to 14 games, which is one shy of the National League record set by Atlanta's Marquis Grissom (1995-96) and three short of Hank Bauer (1956-58), Derek Jeter (1998-99) and Manny Ramirez (2003-04) for the major-league mark. Sandoval is just 1-for-10 in his career versus Tuesday starter Gio Gonzalez, while Harper has struck out four times while going 1-for-8 against San Francisco's Ryan Vogelsong.
PITCHING MATCHUP
•Nationals LH Gio Gonzalez (10-10, 3.57 ERA, WHIP: 1.197) - Gonzalez finished the regular season with a flourish, winning four of his final five starts - highlighted by a 3-0 triumph over the New York Mets on September 25th in which he allowed one hit and struck out a career-high 12 over seven innings. The 29-year-old recorded a 2.48 ERA in September, which is over a full run less than the mark he posted this season. Gonzalez owns a 2-2 career record versus the Giants but did not face them this season as he missed the series in June due to shoulder inflammation while his turn in the rotation didn't come to pass during the three-game set in Washington from August 22-24.
--GONZALEZ is 30-12 (+15.5 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 5.0, OPPONENT 3.1.
--GONZALEZ is 31-12 (+15.8 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 4.5, OPPONENT 2.6.
--GONZALEZ is 3-13 against the run line (-10.9 Units) versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 2.9, OPPONENT 3.7.
--GONZALEZ is 7-18 against the run line (-12.2 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was GONZALEZ 3.5, OPPONENT 3.4.
•Giants RH Ryan Vogelsong (8-13, 3.90 ERA, WHIP: 1.278) - While Gonzalez excelled in the final month, Vogelsong limped to an 0-4 mark with a 5.53 ERA in September. The 37-year-old permitted four runs for the third straight outing en route to a 4-1 setback to San Diego on September 26th. Vogelsong was blitzed for six runs in as many innings of a 9-2 loss to Washington on June 9th before receiving a no-decision after allowing three runs and four hits in 5 1/3 frames on August 24th.
--VOGELSONG is 1-8 (-7.5 Units) against the money line in home games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOGELSONG 1.6, OPPONENT 4.0.
--VOGELSONG is 20-7 (+16.0 Units) against the money line when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 54% to 62%) over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOGELSONG 4.9, OPPONENT 3.6.
--VOGELSONG is 25-7 UNDER (+17.3 Units) in home games versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOGELSONG 3.3, OPPONENT 2.5.
--VOGELSONG is 11-1 UNDER (+10.0 Units) as a home underdog of +100 or higher over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOGELSONG 1.7, OPPONENT 3.2.
•PREGAME NOTES: Washington 2B Asdrubal Cabrera, who recorded an RBI single on Monday, has gone 1-for-4 in each game of the series while posting the same numbers in his career versus Vogelsong.... San Francisco 1B Brandon Belt is 7-for-17 during the postseason and has hit safely in each of his last eight contests.... Should the Nationals emerge victorious, they'll send RHP Stephen Strasburg to the mound against Giants RHP Jake Peavy in Thursday night's decisive contest in Washington.... Ian Desmond is 3 for 6 with a home run, triple and four RBIs when facing Vogelsong in 2014, but Harper has gone 1 for 8 with four strikeouts all-time in the matchup.... Anthony Rendon is 7 for 15 in this series after adding two more hits Monday.
•KEY STATS
--WASHINGTON is 9-23 against the run line (-17.6 Units) versus terrible speed teams - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WASHINGTON 2.6, OPPONENT 3.8.
--WASHINGTON is 16-30 against the run line (-16.2 Units) versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.
The average score was WASHINGTON 3.8, OPPONENT 4.1.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--Games Over The Last 3 Seasons: WASHINGTON is 14-8 (+4.0 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons. 13 of 21 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons Over= +4.4 Units.
--Games This Season: SAN FRANCISCO is 4-6 (-0.7 Units) against WASHINGTON this season. 6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season Over= +2.0 Units.
--All Games At SAN FRANCISCO Over The Last 3 Seasons:WASHINGTON is 7-4 (+3.9 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO over the last 3 seasons. 6 of 10 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons Over= +2.0 Units.
--Games Played At SAN FRANCISCO This Season: WASHINGTON is 4-1 (+3.4 Units) against SAN FRANCISCO this season. 3 of 5 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL this season Over= +1.1 Units.
--Over is 3-1-1 in Vogelsongs last 5 starts vs. Nationals.
•RECENT TRENDS
--WAS is 1-4 in GONZALEZS L5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less.
--WAS is 1-6 in GONZALEZS L7 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less.
--Under is 5-0 in WAS last 5 road games versus a RH starter.
--SF is 12-3 in their last 15 during Game #4 of a series.
--SF is 6-1 in their last 7 home games versus a LH starter.
--Over is 11-2 in SF last 13 playoff home games.
•UMPIRE TRENDS - Hunter Wendelstedt
--Nationals are 5-0 in their last 5 Tuesday games with Wendelstedt behind home plate.
--Under is 5-1-1 in Wendelstedts last 7 Tuesday games behind home plate.
--Road team is 4-1 in Wendelstedts last 5 Tuesday games behind home plate vs. San Francisco.
--Home team is 6-2 in Wendelstedts last 8 Tuesday games behind home plate.
--Nationals are 3-10 in their last 13 games with Wendelstedt behind home plate.
--Giants are 1-4 in their last 5 games with Wendelstedt behind home plate.
•SITUATIONAL ANALYSIS:Play On - Home underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+215 to -130) (SAN FRANCISCO) - terrible speed team - averaging 0.35 or less SB's/game on the season against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 0.800 over his last 3 starts.
(68-33 over the last 5 seasons.) (67.3%, +34.8 units. Rating = 3*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (66-35 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.5, money line price: -101
The average score in these games was: Team 4.2, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +0.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 56 (55.4% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (15-8, +6.8 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (48-23, +24.9 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (160-111, +46.9 units).
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SPORTS INSURANCE ADJUSTERS
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I haven't made it to Vegas yet, can someone answer the following question a member asked me.
"Any idea if sportsbooks from Las Vegas ( MGM Grand, Golden Nugget,Las Vegas Hilton) allows bettors to buy points for NFL and college football, or if there is any other sportsbook from Vegas that allows that?"
As always, Thanks cpaw. (the answer seems obvious but when I asked a few people they were scratching their heads).
"Any idea if sportsbooks from Las Vegas ( MGM Grand, Golden Nugget,Las Vegas Hilton) allows bettors to buy points for NFL and college football, or if there is any other sportsbook from Vegas that allows that?"
As always, Thanks cpaw. (the answer seems obvious but when I asked a few people they were scratching their heads).
