Service Plays Thursday 8/14/08

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

FYI - 6 DAY GAMES TODAY

1:05 PM ET
Toronto (61-59, 27-33 away)
Detroit (58-61, 31-25 home)

Litsch (8-7, 4.46 ERA)
DET: Galarraga (10-4, 3.23 ERA)

2:05 PM ET
Kansas City (54-65, 26-31 away)
White Sox (66-52, 40-19 home)

KAN: Davies (5-3, 4.66 ERA)
CHW: Carrasco (1-0, 2.57 ERA)

3:35 PM ET
Tampa Bay (71-47, 26-30 away)
Oakland (55-63, 33-29 home)

TAM: Shields (10-7, 3.65 ERA)
OAK: Gallagher (4-5, 4.39 ERA)

2:05 PM ET
San Francisco (50-68, 26-32 away)
Houston (60-59, 31-26 home)

SFO: Correia (2-6, 5.21 ERA)
HOU: Moehler (8-4, 3.83 ERA)

3:05 PM ET
Arizona (61-58, 28-32 away)
Colorado (53-68, 33-28 home)

ARI: Haren (12-6, 3.00 ERA)
COL: Rusch (5-3, 5.22 ERA)

3:35 PM ET
Milwaukee (69-51, 33-28 away)
San Diego (46-73, 25-35 home)

MIL: Sheets (11-5, 2.95 ERA)
SDG: Peavy (8-8, 2.68 ERA)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tony Stoffo NFLX

Pitt Buff Under 33
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PlayByPlayInc. NFL

8/14/2008
PITTSBURGH at BUFFALO Over 33

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist

My free pick of the day is the game between (975) TEX Rangers and (976) BOS Red Sox. Take "Under". Everyone's fired up about the stunning 19-17 game on Tuesday to open this series, but there's a big difference with the pitcher's on the mound in this one. Texas righty Vicente Padilla has had a decent season at 12-6. The team is 2-1 under the total his last 3 starts. Boston righty Daisuke Matsuzaka is the ace of the team, at 13-2 with a 2.90 ERA. Boston is 5-1 under the total his last 6 starts. Oddsmakers have overvalued this total, play the Rangers/Red Sox under the total.
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[Barney44]

scratch

Inside info---Padilla to be scratched. likely going to the DL.....

Jim Feist

My free pick of the day is the game between (975) TEX Rangers and (976) BOS Red Sox. Take "Under". Everyone's fired up about the stunning 19-17 game on Tuesday to open this series, but there's a big difference with the pitcher's on the mound in this one. Texas righty Vicente Padilla has had a decent season at 12-6. The team is 2-1 under the total his last 3 starts. Boston righty Daisuke Matsuzaka is the ace of the team, at 13-2 with a 2.90 ERA. Boston is 5-1 under the total his last 6 starts. Oddsmakers have overvalued this total, play the Rangers/Red Sox under the total.
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

kerbysbaseball. MLB

8/14/2008
Best Bet! DETROIT TIGERS -163

 

[nordique]

Lvsa Plays For Thursday

LAS VEGAS SPORTS ADVISORS

Wednesday Results... 3-0! ope:

NY Mets/John Maine -140
Play of the Day

Milwaukee/CC Sabathia -194
FREE PICK

LA Dodgers/Brad Penny -108

Past 7 Days 73.08% 19-7 +41.88 units
This Month 63.64% 35-20 +40.93 units


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Thursday Early Card


Arizona/Dan Haren -135

Milwaukee/Ben Sheets +106
Play of the Day

Tampa Bay/James Shields -125

Boston/Daisuke Matsuzaka -1.5 -126
FREE PICK

St. Louis/Todd Wellemeyer +104

 

[chase88]

JEFFERSONSPORTS --3-0 yest +2.75 units

Hit 9 of last 10 (90%)

67-44-1 last 112 plays (61%)

MLB RECORD
+34.74 units (+3474 playing 100 per game)

NFL EARLY RELEASE
EAGLES-2.5 1st half

MLB TOMORROW

 

[chase88]

Jeffersonsports Early Release Mlb (DAY GAMES)
Detroit-165
Tampa Bay-125
Houston-155
everything 1 unit but play eagles small.

will try to post late games when I get off work. Take care.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MIGHTY QUINN

Mighty missed with the Yankees yesterday.
Today it's the Tigers. The surplus is 185 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

HONDO

August 14, 2008

Hondo, who can't seem to find his way off the down ward escalator, was bludgeoned with the Giants Tues day night to cut the earnings to 340 cochranes going into last night's flight with the Orioles.

Today, he's gunning for a triple-dip delight with Sheets, Galarraga and the one and only Jimmy Shields - 10 units apiece on the Brews, Tigers and Rays.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ARMVIN SPORTS NFL

8/14/2008 BUFFALO 1.5

8/14/2008 PHILADELPHIA -3

8/14/2008 CAROLINA at
PHILADELPHIA Over 35.5

ARMVIN SPORTS MLB
8/14/2008 SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS 147

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sport: MLB
Game: Bonus Play from Doc’s Sports
Date/Time: 8/14/2008 10:00PM EST

Pick: #96 Take Los Angeles over Philadelphia (10:10 pm MLB.tv)
Reason: The finale of this critical series takes place on Thursday @ Dodger Stadium in Los Angeles, CA. We like the Dodgers in this match-up since they will be up against Brett Myers, a player that has been a starter and reliever and a minor leaguer this season. He has terrible numbers going 5-9 with a 5.09 E.R.A. His WHIP is 1.43 and this newly created Dodgers line-up should be running the bases all night long. His opponent will be Hiroki Kuroda and he is coming off back-2-back outstanding starts in which he went over 15 innings and allowed just two runs. After tonight’s performance we will lower his E.R.A. under four runs per game and the Dodgers will inch closer to the Diamondbacks in the standings.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BIG AL
Game: Toronto v Detroit
Date/Time: 8/14/2008 1:05PM EST
Pick: Jays

Reason: At 1:05pm our complimentary selection is on the Toronto Blue Jays over the Detroit Tigers. The 2008 version of the Toronto Blue Jays could feature one of the weakest hitting lineups of this franchise in recent memory, but should get a boost from the return of outfielder Vernon Wells, who, if he can finally stay healthy may make an impact for this team in the last six weeks of the season. 26-year-old Tigers rookie Armando Galarraga has been a huge surprise for Detroit, and perhaps its best overall starter in 2008 as he has clearly added his name to the list as a contender for American League Rookie of the Year. Somewhat surprisingly, though, Galarraga has done by far his best work on the road this year, going 7-2 with an incredible ERA of 2.72 when pitching away from Comerica Park. At home, the Rookie is mediocre, with a 4.11 ERA and 1.36 WHIP. Right-handed starter Jesse Litsch will take the mound for Toronto this afternoon, and Detroit continues to under-perform vs. righties this season, going 35-50, and down almost 24 net games on the money line. Take the Jays. As always, good luck...Al McMordie.

 

[golfguru]

Jeffersonsports Early Release Mlb (DAY GAMES)
Detroit-165
Tampa Bay-125
Houston-155
everything 1 unit but play eagles small.

will try to post late games when I get off work. Take care.

Thanks Chase!

 

[rocky2]

MLB
Write-up


Thursday, August 14

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Hot Pitchers
-- Arizona won six of last seven Haren road starts. Rusch is 4-0, 3.55 in his last six starts.
-- Milwaukee is 10-4 on road when Sheets starts. Peavy has a 2.25 RA in his last three starts, but Padres are 1-4 in his last five because they scored of nine runs in the five games.
-- Cubs won last four Lilly starts (2-0, 3.16).
-- Moehler is 3-0, 1.21 in his last three starts.
-- Wellemeyer is 1-0, 2.89 in his last three starts.
-- Perez is 3-2, 1.88 in his last eight starts.
-- Kuroda is 1-0, 1.20 in his last couple starts. Phillies won last three Myers starts (2-0, 1.74).

-- Galarraga is 3-0, 2.52 in his last four starts.
-- Shields is 3-1, 3.03 in his last five starts.
-- Matsuzaka is 5-1, 2.17 in his last eight starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Giants are 1-6 on road when Correia starts.
-- Snell is 0-3, 7.59 in his last nine starts.
-- Glavine is 0-1, 6.75 in his last four starts, all Brave losses; his last start was on June 10.
-- Reds lost nine of eleven Cueto road starts.
-- Balestar is 1-4, 5.97 in his last six starts.

-- Toronto lost last five Litsch road starts.
-- Davies is 2-3, 7.20 in his last nine starts. Broadway is making first '08 start; he started one game LY, has given up one run, five hits in 10.2 big league innings.
-- Gallagher is 0-1, 8.78 in his last three starts.
-- Orioles are 2-7 in last nine Cabrera road starts. ZJackson was 2-2, 5.36 in seven starts for Milwaukee two years ago.
-- Hunter is 0-1, 10.61 in two starts for the Rangers.

Hot Teams
-- Cubs are 13-3 in their last sixrteen games.
-- Brewers won last eight games, allowing twelve runs.
-- Astros won last seven games, and fourteen of last sixteen.
-- Arizona are 5-3 in their last eight road games.
-- Marlins lost three of their last four home games.
-- Dodgers are 10-3 in last thirteen home games.

-- Indians won five of their last six games.
-- Toronto won seven of its last nine road games.
-- White Sox are 8-3 in their last eleven home games.
-- Rays won six of their last eight games.
-- Red Sox won last three games, scoring 32 runs.

Cold Teams
-- Pirates lost seven of their last eleven games. Reds lost seven of last eight games.
-- Braves lost nine of last eleven home games.
-- Cardinals are 1-5 in game after their last six wins.
-- Mets are 3-5 in their last eight road games. Nationals lost last five games, outscored 32-7.
-- Giants are 4-11 in their last fifteen road games.
-- Rockies lost five of last seven games, allowing 48 runs.
-- Padres lost six of their last seven home games.
-- Phillies lost last three games, allowing 19 runs.

-- Orioles lost three of their last four games.
-- Tigers are 3-10 in their last thirteen games.
-- Royals lost six of their last seven games.
-- Oakland lost eight of its last ten home games.
-- Rangers lost six of their last seven games, giving up 53 runs in their last five contests.

Totals
-- Over is 9-4 in Houston's last thirteen games.
-- Over is 11-5 in Arizona's last sixteen road games.
-- Under is 8-2-1 in last eleven Milwaukee games.
-- Under is 7-2-1 in last ten Cueto starts.
-- Under is 7-4-1 in last twelve Atlanta games.
-- Five of last six Florida home games stayed under the total.
-- Last eight Oliver Perez starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 9-4 in last thirteen Dodger home games.

-- Four of last five Galarraga starts went over the total.
-- Five of last six White Sox games stayed under the total.
-- Under is 12-3 in Oakland's last fifteen games.
-- Over is 9-3 in Baltimore's last twelve road games.
-- Under is 5-1 in Matsuzaka's last six starts.

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[rocky2]

Vegas Sports Experts

10* Take Carolina +3.5 over Philadelphia (NFL Power Play)

Carolina
• 12-3 ATS in pre-season vs. NFC Conference Opponents since 1993
• 8-3 ATS in pre-season vs. NFL East Division Opponents
• 443 yards on offense in their last pre-season game

 

[golfguru]

Gator Report

8-2 it's last 10 MLB plays........

MLB 70% Super Situations:


MLB Thursday: Play Against MLB (AL) underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.500 to 1.600 on the season, in August games. 40-7 SU last five seasons (85.1%) PLAY: Tampa Bay Rays -135




MLB Top Angles:

MLB Thursday: Moehler (Houston) 14-2 Under this season.

MLB Thursday: Pittsburgh is 7-0 SU against the money line in home games versus a starting pitcher who gives up 1 or more HR's per start this season.

MLB Thursday: Snell (Pitt) is 14-3 SU against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons (Team's Record)

MLB Thursday: Atlanta is 3-11 SU against the money line in home games when playing against a team with a win percentage of 54% to 62% in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.

MLB Thursday: Olsen (Fla) is 1-11 SU against the money line versus teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons (Team's Record)

 

[ymmit2nd]

Playbyplayinc

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Pitt/ Buff Over NFL