Service Plays Thursday 4/9/15

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brady Kannon - (Masters)


Futures - To Win The Masters - Each for 10% of One Unit

Jason Day (13.5-1)

Dustin Johnson (14-1)

Jimmy Walker (23-1)

Brandt Snedeker (40-1)

Russell Henley (140-1)

*Henrik Stenson (20-1)


Full Tournament Head To Head Match Ups - Each for One Unit

Charley Hoffman (-140) over Ernie Els. Hoffman is playing very good golf with two straight 11th places in Texas. He's long, hits a lot of greens, and scores well. Charley also finished 27th in his last trip to The Masters. Els is past his prime and is having a very bad year statistically. It's expensive but I think Hoffman actually could sneak into contention this week and Ernie may not make the weekend.


Jason Day (+120) over Rory McIlroy. Day at plus money, a guy we picked to win.. I will take him against almost anybody - but specifically Rory as I am not sure which Rory shows up this week. Much of the pressure and talk about Rory's slam has been lifted by the Tiger buzz but I just don't feel this is Rory's best Major. Obviously he can dominate the rest but I don't think Augusta is his wheelhouse. Day beats him in the stats too. Well worth a shot.

Jimmy Walker (-145) over Justin Rose. Again, one of our winner selections in Walker against a guy who is very much off this year. Rose usually finds some comfort at Augusta but I am not ready to take that risk with how he's been going lately. Huge stats mismatch, an endorsement of Walker, and a lotta fade of Rose too.

Patrick Reed (-105) over Justin Rose. Similar explanation here. Stats mismatch and a much hotter player in Reed versus our fade of the week.

Sergio Garcia (-120) over JB Holmes. JB has been to The Masters only once recently and it does not seem to be his cup of tea. Most of all I believe because of his putting. He ranks 152nd in putting on Tour and 142nd in 3-putt avoidance - to Sergio's 83rd and 4th. Sergio has loads of experience here. Also, I typically like to fade a guy coming off of a big win as Holmes is doing, coming out of Houston. Big hitter but I don't think he has what it takes. Sergio has plenty of talent to win the whole thing.

Brandt Snedeker (-105) over Lee Westwood. How Lee Westwood has virtually 5-straight top 10's at The Masters is beyond me and many others. His putting has improved by leaps and bounds but I have to believe his run comes to an end soon. Snedeker on the other hand, seems to be a Masters maven. It was absolutely the first thing on his mind after winning at Pebble earlier this year. The stats are fairly close but Sneds owns the much better short game - and I think the much greater affinity for this event. He's a Masters gamer.

Paul Casey (+100) over Louis Oosthuizen. Louis has certainly had success here and is a super player but he has been shaky the past couple of years - and in large part due to nagging injuries. Casey has overcome injury in the past few years and is playing excellent golf this season. In past Masters visits, Casey has two top tens and a 20th - and he may not be coming in, any better than this year. I think he makes a pretty impressive showing this week.

Hideki Matsuyama (-115) over Louis Oosthuizen. Similar here as we look to go against the often inconsistent, Oosthuizen. Stats mismatch here too as Matsuyama is one of the tops in the world in ball striking and Total Driving. Better scrambler, better putter than Louis. Big stage for Hideki but I will rely on what's on paper here.

Russell Henley (+100) over Zach Johnson. Henley is listed as a LONG shot in this tournament but I really like how this guy is going. He finished 4th last week in Houston and after missing the cut two years ago at Augusta, he came back last year with a 31st. He drives it plenty long and is a fantastic putter. Also a Georgia kid as familiarity never hurts. Zach has had a couple of nice tournaments recently but overall he is way off of what he has been at times.

Ian Poulter (+130) over Jim Furyk. Poulter has an extremely nice history at Augusta.. a couple of 30ish finishes, a couple of top 10's, a 20th last year... nothing spectacular but very solid - which is really very similar to Furyk but something is off for Jimmy this year and primarily his putting and scrambling. If the short hitting

Ryan Palmer (-135) over Charl Schwartzel. This number has gotten very large on Palmer and I don't disagree but I would say, if you cannot find it for less than -150, it becomes pretty expensive. On the other hand, it may be the biggest stats mismatch on the entire card as Palmer reigns supreme across the board in what we are looking at this week.

Jason Dufner (+105) over Graeme McDowell. Despite some recent struggles both on and off the course for Jason Dufner, I know he has been here working at Augusta for a week and is taking this event very seriously. McDowell on the other hand is almost an auto-fade at The Masters.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Tigers on Wednesday and likes the Tigers on Thursday.

The deficit is 843 sirignanos.

 

[Scott602]

Boy, PREGAME cappers are ICE COLD...!!!! Just sharing

 

[ynwa78]

Baseball Prophet

Twins/Tigers over 8.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GamePlan MLB

10* Nationals
3* Giants
3* White Sox

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Steves Masters Picks

To win:
3 units Jason Day 16/1
1 unit Lee Westwood 55/1
1 unit Brooks Koepka 95/1
1 unit Jimmy Walker 28/1
1 unit Patrick Reed 34/1

2 units Jimmy Walker (-125) over Justin Rose
2 units Jason Day (+140) over Rory McIllroy
2 units There WILL be a hole in one (-130)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Hot Teams
-- Portland won seven of its last nine games (10-8 AU).

Cold Teams
-- Bulls lost three of last four games (1-4 last five U). Miami lost four of its last five games (4-0 last four HF).
-- Warriors lost last two games after winning previous 11; its only 4th time this season Golden State lost consecutive games (4-1 in last five as HF).

Series Records
-- Bulls lost four of last five visits to Miami.
-- Warriors won seven of last nine games with Portland.

Totals
-- Last four Chicago-Miami games stayed under total.
-- Seven of last ten Portland-Golden State games went over.

Back-to-Backs
-- Portland is 10-7 vs spread if they played night before, 3-0 if they are on road night after playing at home.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

NBA | CHICAGO at MIAMI
Play Against - Any team (CHICAGO) revenging a straight up loss vs opponent as a home favorite, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog
186-114 since 1997. ( 62.0% | 60.6 units )
3-2 this year. ( 60.0% | 0.8 units )

NBA | CHICAGO at MIAMI
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (CHICAGO) revenging a loss vs opponent of 10 points or more, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog
722-301 since 1997. ( 70.6% | 182.6 units )
26-18 this year. ( 59.1% | -15.0 units )

NBA | CHICAGO at MIAMI
Play Against - All teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (CHICAGO) revenging a home loss vs opponent, off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog
67-31 since 1997. ( 68.4% | 32.9 units )
1-1 this year. ( 50.0% | -0.1 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

MLB | NY METS at WASHINGTON
NY METS are 36-22 (+24.6 Units) against the money line in Road games in day games over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: NY METS (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.1)

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
Pittsburgh Pirates -110 over Cincinnati Reds
(System Record: 1-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 1-1

 

[tgunn11]

Hockey Crusher
Carolina Hurricanes + Philadelphia Flyers OVER 5
(System Record: 90-3, lost last 3 games)
Overall Record: 90-71-7

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Chicago Bulls +1.5 over Miami Heat
(System Record: 76-1, lost last game)
Overall Record: 76-77-4

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Envigado + Once Caldas OVER 2
This match is happening in Colombia
(System Record: 737-25, won last 6 games)
Overall Record: 737-606-110

 

[amazingfinancialplan]

ARTHUR Ralph
Bonus Play over 8 Cinci/Pitt

 

[mcming]

Arthur Ralph Blue Ribbon - Detroit Tigers . Paid and Confirmed

 

[Izzy]

Gill Alexander anyone ? Thank you

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BEN BURNS

9* MLB BREAKFAST CLUB! — Washignton Nationals ML

9* MLB AFTERNOON ANNIHILATOR! — Oakland A’s ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

CHASE DIAMOND

10* MLB HOME COOKING

Chi White Sox vs. Kansas City, 04/09/2015 14:10
Money Line: -135 Kansas City

This game has the 0-2 White Sox at the 2-0 Royals. The Royals are a very strong team and they have a good advantage at pitcher today as Edinson Volquez is a very solid arm off a 13-7 3.04 ERA season he had some rough spots last year but was lights out at the start of last season. Only 54% of the public are backing the Royals and this lone is really climbing since it opened. Grab the Royals at a nice price for a 10* winner.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Rangers won last five games, outscoring opponents 20-10. Senators won four of their last five games.
-- Flyers won three of their last four games.
-- Bruins won five of their last six games.
-- Blues won three of last four games.
-- Calgary won four of its last five games.
-- Winnipeg won last three games, allowing no goals in last two.

Cold teams
-- Hurricanes lost five of their last six games.
-- Red Wings won 12 of their last 18 games. Montreal lost five of last seven.
-- Panthers lost five of their last six games.
-- Devils lost eight of their last nine games. Lightning lost four of last six.
-- Chicago lost its last two games, both by 2-1 scores.
-- Minnesota lost three of its last four games. Nashville lost its last three, all by one goal.
-- Kings lost four of last six games.
-- Colorado lost six of its last nine games.
-- San Jose lost three of its last five games. Edmonton lost three of last four.
-- Arizona lost four of its last five games. Canucks lost four of last seven.

Series records
-- Rangers won four of last five games with Ottawa.
-- Flyers lost seven of last eight games with Carolina.
-- Canadiens won their last five games with Detroit.
-- Bruins won ten of last eleven games with Florida
-- Devils won four of last five games with Tampa Bay.
-- Blues lost six of last eight games with Chicago.
-- Road team won last five Minnesota-Nashville games.
-- Kings lost four of last five games with Calgary.
-- Home side won eight of last ten Winnipeg-Colorado games.
-- Sharks won seven of last ten games with Edmonton.
-- Home side won eight of last ten Arizona-Vancouver games.

Totals
-- Under is 3-0-1 in Ottawa's last four visits to Manhattan.
-- Six of last eight Carolina-Philly games stayed under.
-- Last three Detroit-Montreal games stayed under total.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Boston-Florida games.
-- Last five Devil-Lightning games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Chicago games stayed under total.
-- Over is 3-1-1 in last five Minnesota-Nashville games.
-- Under is 6-3-1 in last ten LA-Calgary games.
-- Four of last five Winnipeg-Colorado games went over.
-- Five of last six San Jose-Edmonton games went over.
-- Eight of last ten Arizona-Vancouver games stayed under.

Back-to-back
-- Boston is 2-8 on road if it played night before.