Service Plays Thursday 4/10/14

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday's MLB betting cheat sheet

Check out our quick-hitting betting notes for Thursday's Major League Baseball games:

American League

Oakland Athletics at Minnesota Twins (120, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Twins right-hander Mike Pelfrey has allowed seven runs in three career innings versus the Athletics.

Cold batting stat: Members of the Minnesota roster are just 1-for-14 against Oakland righty Dan Straily.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with clear skies and wind blowing out to right-center field at 15 mph.

Key betting note: Twins are 1-6 in Pelfrey's last seven starts.

Boston Red Sox at New York Yankees (105, 8.5)

Hot pitching stat: Red Sox southpaw Clay Buchholz limited left-handed hitters to a .187 average in 2013.

Cold batting stat: Yankees outfielder Brett Gardner is 2-for-17 lifetime versus Buchholz.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s under clear skies with wind blowing from right to left field at 12 mph.

Key betting note: Boston has won six of the last seven meetings.

Houston Astros at Toronto Blue Jays (-205, 8.5)

Cold pitching stat: Blue Jays knuckleballer R.A. Dickey allowed five runs on six innings in his only start against Houston last season.

Cold batting stat: Astros second baseman Jose Altuve is hitless in seven lifetime at-bats against Dickey.

Weather: N/A

Key betting note: Astros are 5-21 in their last 26 Thursday games.

Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox (105, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Indians right-hander Danny Salazar went 1-0 with a 2.00 ERA and 17 strikeouts in nine innings against Chicago last year.

Hot batting stat: White Sox shortstop Alexei Ramirez has four hits - all singles - in five career at-bats versus Salazar.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-40s with partly cloudy skies and wind blowing out to left-center field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: Indians are 4-1 in Salazar's last five starts versus the American League Central.

National League

Pittsburgh Pirates at Chicago Cubs (OFF)

Hot pitching stat: Cubs left-hander Travis Wood limited Pittsburgh to three runs over 18 innings last season.

Cold batting stat: Pittsburgh slugger Pedro Alvarez is 1-for-15 with six strikeouts against Wood.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the mid-50s with a 67 percent chance of rain and wind blowing from left to right field at 7 mph.

Key betting note: Pirates are 7-1 in right-hander Gerrit Cole's last eight starts.

Miami Marlins at Washington Nationals (-240, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: The Nationals are 8-2 in right-hander Stephen Strasburg's last 10 starts.

Hot batting stat: Washington outfielder Giancarlo Stanton is 8-for-21 with a pair of home runs lifetime versus Strasburg.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s under clear skies with wind blowing out to center field at 13 mph.

Key betting note: Over is 4-1 in the Nationals' last five Thursday games.

Milwaukee Brewers at Philadelphia Phillies (-132, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Phillies lefty Cliff Lee threw seven shutout innings to improve to 2-0 in a 2-0 win over the Cubs last time out.

Hot batting stat: Brewers slugger Ryan Braun is a .435 hitter with three solo home runs in 23 at-bats versus Lee.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the low-60s under sunny skies with wind blowing out to center field at 11 mph.

Key betting note: Under is 6-0 in Milwaukee right-hander Marco Estrada's last six road starts.

New York Mets at Atlanta Braves (-137, 7.5)

Hot pitching stat: Mets right-hander Jenrry Mejia struck out eight over six solid innings to win his season debut April 4 against Cincinnati.

Hot batting stat: New York third baseman David Wright hit four home runs in 58 at-bats versus Atlanta in 2013.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-60s with clear skies and wind blowing out to center field at 5 mph.

Key betting note: Mets are 1-6 in Mejia's last seven road starts.

Arizona Diamondbacks at San Francisco Giants (-130, 7.5)

Cold pitching stat: Arizona righty Randall Delgado was tagged for six runs on 11 hits over 4 2/3 innings in his previous outing.

Hot batting stat: Diamondbacks second baseman Aaron Hill is a .563 hitter in 16 at-bats versus Giants right-hander Ryan Vogelsong.

Weather: Temperatures will be in the high-50s with sunny skies and wind blowing out to center field at 8 mph.

Key betting note: Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Delgado's last four road starts.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 1:55 p.m. ET Wednesday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Cole is 6-1, 1.84 in his last seven starts.
-- Koehler is 3-0, 2.13 in his last four starts.
-- Estrada is 1-0, 1.89 in his last five starts. Lee is 5-2, 3.00 in his last seven.
-- Hale is 1-0, 0.56 in three MLB starts. Mejia is 2-2, 2.70 in his last six starts.

-- Pineda has a 2.70 RA but no wins in his last two starts.
-- Dickey is 3-2, 3.44 in his last five starts.


Cold pitchers
-- Wood is 0-2, 4.43 in his last four starts.
-- Strasburg is 0-1, 8.71 in two starts this season.
-- Delgado is 1-3, 8.34 in his last five starts. Vogelsong is 1-2, 6.75 in his last six outings.

-- Pelfrey is 0-4, 7.30 in his last five starts. Straily is 0-2, 4.44 in his last four.
-- Buchholz is 0-0, 6.12 in his last five starts.
-- Keuchel is 1-3, 7.76 in his last five starts.
-- Salazar is 1-2, 4.71 in his last four starts. Danks is 0-4, 7.62 in his last five.

Totals
-- Last three Cub games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Philly games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Atlanta games.
-- Eight of last ten Arizona games went over total.

-- All eight Minnesota games went over total.
-- Seven of nine Boston games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Keuchel road starts went over.
-- Six of nine White Sox games went over the total.

Hot teams
-- Nationals won their last three games.
-- Brewers won their last five games, all on the road.
-- Braves won five of their last seven games.
-- Five of last seven San Francisco games went over.

-- A's won four of their last five games.
-- Blue Jays won three of their last four games.
-- Indians are 3-0 in series openers.

Cold teams
-- Marlins lost their last three games.
-- Phillies lost five of their last seven games.
-- Mets lost five of their first eight games.
-- Arizona lost five of its seven road games.

-- Twins lost five of their last eight games.
-- Astros lost six of their last seven games.
-- Red Sox lost four of their last six games
-- White Sox lost five of their last seven games.

Umpires
-- Pitt-Chi-- Road team won nine of last eleven Carlson games.
-- Mia-Wsh-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Davidson games.
-- Mil-Phil-- Under is 16-4-1 in last 21 Nauert games.
-- NY-Atl-- Six of last nine Cederstrom games stayed under.
-- Az-SF-- Under is 9-1-1 in last ten Culbreth games.

-- A's-Min-- Four of last five Hamari games stayed under.
-- Hst-Tor-- Under is 6-3-2 in last eleven Wendelstedt games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Hot teams
-- Rangers won eight of their last eleven games.
-- Washington won last two games, after losing previous five.
-- Canadiens won seven of their last nine games.
-- Ottawa won five of its last seven games.
-- Flyers won last two games 5-2/5-2, after losing six of previous seven.
-- Nashville won three of its last four games.
-- Minnesota won five of its last six games.
-- Avalanche won seven of their last eight games.


Cold teams
-- Sabres lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Carolina lost its last two games, 3-1/4-1.
-- Islanders lost last three games, outscored 12-4.
-- Devils lost four of their last five road games.
-- Tampa Bay is 4-5 in its last nine games.
-- Toronto lost ten of its last twelve games. Panthers lost six of last seven.
-- Phoenix lost last five games (three in OT/SO).
-- Blues lost last three games, outscored 12-3.
-- Winnipeg lost six of its last nine games. Bruins lost three of their last four.
-- Edmonton lost seven of its last ten games. Kings lost four of their last five.
-- Canucks lost four of their last five games.


Totals
-- Under is 9-1-2 in last twelve Buffalo-Ranger games.
-- Under is 6-0-1 in last seven Carolina games.
-- Five of last seven Islander games stayed under.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six New Jersey games.
-- Five of last seven Philly games went over total; four of last five Lightning games stayed under the total. .
-- Five of last seven Toronto games went over total.
-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Phoenix games.
-- Four of last five St Louis games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Boston games went over the total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine LA-Edmonton games.
-- Last seven Colorado games stayed under the total.

Series records
-- Rangers won seven of last nine games with Buffalo.
-- Hurricanes won three of last four games with Washington.
-- Islanders lost their last three games with Montreal.
-- Devils lost four of last five games with Ottawa.
-- Lightning won six of last seven games with Philly.
-- Maple Leafs won four of last six games with Florida.
-- Coyotes won seven of last ten games with Nashville.
-- Blues won their last nine games with Minnesota.
-- Bruins won three of last four games with Winnipeg.
-- Kings won 12 of last 14 games with Edmonton.
-- Canucks won 11 of last 13 games with Colorado.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Hot teams
-- Dallas won their last four games. Spurs won 20 of last 22 games, covered five of last seven.
-- Golden State won three of its last four games.

Cold Teams
-- Nuggets lost six of their last eight games.

Series records
-- Mavericks lost their last eight games with San Antonio.
-- Warriors lost five of last seven games with Denver.

Totals
-- Five of Spurs' last six games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Denver games went over total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

Cleveland at Chicago White Sox

The Indians (5-4) head to Chicago tonight to face a White Sox team that is 2-9 in John Danks' last 11 home starts against a team with a winning record. Cleveland is the pick (-115) according to Dunkel, which has the Indians favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-115). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, APRIL 10 Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: Pittsburgh at Chicago Cubs (2:20 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Cole) 15.842; Cubs (Wood) 14.748 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-130); No Total Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-130); N/A

Game 903-904: Miami at Washington (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 14.674; Washington (Strasburg) 16.173 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Washington (-225); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-225); Under

Game 905-906: Milwaukee at Philadelphia (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Estrada) 14.436; Philadelphia (Lee) 15.892 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 6 1/2 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-125); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-125); Under

Game 907-908: NY Mets at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Mejia) 15.131; Atlanta (Hale) 14.277 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-140); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+120); Over

Game 909-910: Arizona at San Francisco (10:15 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Delgado) 15.250; San Francisco (Vogelsong) 14.186 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 9 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-140); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+120); Over

Game 911-912: Oakland at Minnesota (1:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Straily) 16.710; Minnesota (Pelfrey) 14.144 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 2 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Oakland (-145); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-145); Under

Game 913-914: Boston at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 15.856; NY Yankees (Pineda) 13.634 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 9 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (+100); Over

Game 915-916: Houston at Toronto (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 12.420; Toronto (Dickey) 14.978 Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2 1/2; 7 1/2 Vegas Line: Toronto (-225); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-225); Under

Game 917-918: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Salazar) 15.699; White Sox (Danks) 14.104 Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: Cleveland (-115); 8 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-115); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NBA Picks

San Antonio at Dallas

The Spurs head to Dallas tonight to face a Mavericks team that is coming off a 95-83 win at Utah and is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 games following a SU victory of more than 10 points. San Antonio is the pick (+2 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Spurs favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+2 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, APRIL 10 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: San Antonio at Dallas (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.953; Dallas 125.744 Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 1; 197 Vegas Line & Total: Dallas by 2 1/2; 203 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+2 1/2); Under

Game 503-504: Denver at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Denver 113.188; Golden State 128.161 Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 15; 216 Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 12; 213 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Golden State (-12); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NHL Picks

Colorado at Vancouver

The Avalanche head to Vancouver tonight to face a Canucks team that is coming off a 3-0 loss to Anaheim and is 2-6 in its last 8 games following a home defeat of 3 or more goals. Colorado is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Avalanche favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-125). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, APRIL 10 Time Posted: 9:30 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Buffalo at NY Rangers (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 10.026; NY Rangers 12.537 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 2 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: NY Rangers (-330); 5 Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (-330); Under

Game 53-54: Washington at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 11.395; Carolina 10.228 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Carolina (-120); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (+100); Over

Game 55-56: Toronto at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.036; Florida 9.630 Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1 1/2; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: No Line Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 57-58: Philadelphia at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia 10.661; Tampa Bay 11.703 Dunkel Line & Total: Tampa Bay by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-140); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-140); Over

Game 59-60: NY Islanders at Montreal (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 10.240; Montreal 12.130 Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Montreal (-225); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Montreal (-225); Under

Game 61-62: New Jersey at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.749; Ottawa 10.842 Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Ottawa (-135); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+115); Over

Game 63-64: Boston at Winnipeg (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 12.841; Winnipeg 11.051 Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-165); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-165); Under

Game 65-66: St. Louis at Minnesota (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 10.506; Minnesota 12.131 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1 1/2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-125); 5 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+105); Over

Game 67-68: Phoenix at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 11.971; Nashville 10.792 Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 1; 6 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-115); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-105); Over

Game 69-70: Los Angeles at Edmonton (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 12.248; Edmonton 10.151 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-155); 5 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-155); Under

Game 71-72: Colorado at Vancouver (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 12.503; Vancouver 10.168 Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 2 1/2; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-125); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-125); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play Thurs: Phils w/ LEE

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Plays Thursday

Pirates -135

Oakland -140

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
THURSDAY, APRIL 10th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


***** Thursday, 4/10/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_______________________________________

Betting Notes - Thursday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Cole is 6-1, 1.84 in his last seven starts.
-- Koehler is 3-0, 2.13 in his last four starts.
-- Estrada is 1-0, 1.89 in his last five starts. Lee is 5-2, 3.00 in his last seven.
-- Hale is 1-0, 0.56 in three MLB starts. Mejia is 2-2, 2.70 in his last six starts.

-- Pineda has a 2.70 RA but no wins in his last two starts.
-- Dickey is 3-2, 3.44 in his last five starts.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Wood is 0-2, 4.43 in his last four starts.
-- Strasburg is 0-1, 8.71 in two starts this season.
-- Delgado is 1-3, 8.34 in his last five starts. Vogelsong is 1-2, 6.75 in his last six outings.

-- Pelfrey is 0-4, 7.30 in his last five starts. Straily is 0-2, 4.44 in his last four.
-- Buchholz is 0-0, 6.12 in his last five starts.
-- Keuchel is 1-3, 7.76 in his last five starts.
-- Salazar is 1-2, 4.71 in his last four starts. Danks is 0-4, 7.62 in his last five.

•Totals
-- Last three Cub games went over the total.
-- Three of last four Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Last three Philly games went over the total.
-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight Atlanta games.
-- Eight of last ten Arizona games went over total.

-- All eight Minnesota games went over total.
-- Seven of nine Boston games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Keuchel road starts went over.
-- Six of nine White Sox games went over the total.

•Hot Teams
-- Nationals won their last three games.
-- Brewers won their last five games, all on the road.
-- Braves won five of their last seven games.

-- A's won four of their last five games.
-- Blue Jays won three of their last four games.
-- Indians are 3-0 in series openers.

•Cold Teams
-- Marlins lost their last three games.
-- Phillies lost five of their last seven games.
-- Mets lost five of their first eight games.
-- Arizona lost five of its seven road games.

-- Twins lost five of their last eight games.
-- Astros lost six of their last seven games.
-- Red Sox lost four of their last six games
-- White Sox lost five of their last seven games.

•Umpires Trends
-- Pitt-Chi-- Road team won nine of last eleven Carlson games.
-- Mia-Wsh-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Davidson games.
-- Mil-Phil-- Under is 16-4-1 in last 21 Nauert games.
-- NY-Atl-- Six of last nine Cederstrom games stayed under.
-- Az-SF-- Under is 9-1-1 in last ten Culbreth games.

-- A's-Min-- Four of last five Hamari games stayed under.
-- Hst-Tor-- Under is 6-3-2 in last eleven Wendelstedt games.

Diamond Trends - Thursday
•CHI WHITE SOX are 3-16 (-16.2 Units) against the money line versus poor fielding teams - averaging 0.75+ errors/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 2.8, OPPONENT 4.6.

•OAKLAND is 11-0 OVER (+11.1 Units) in road games versus teams who strand 7.5 or more runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was OAKLAND 8.1, OPPONENT 4.5.

•CHICAGO CUBS are 12-0 (+12.4 Units) against the run line after 3 or more consecutive overs over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHICAGO CUBS 4.6, OPPONENT 3.1.

•CLIFF LEE is 2-10 (-10.9 Units) against the money line after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was LEE 2.7, OPPONENT 3.6.

•TRAVIS WOOD is 14-1 UNDER (+12.9 Units) in day games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was WOOD 2.4, OPPONENT 3.4.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - All teams when the money line is +125 to -125 (CHI WHITE SOX) - with a poor bullpen whose WHIP is 1.550 or worse on the season, after a game where the bullpen was hit hard for 4 or more earned runs.
(50-16 over the last 5 seasons.) (75.8%, +32.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -109.7
The average score in these games was: Team 5.4, Opponent 3.9 (Average run differential = +1.5)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (12-5, +6.7 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (358-313, +14.8 units).
___________________________________________

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty had no play on Wednesday and likes the A’s on Thursday.

The deficit is 285 sirignanos.

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
Boston Red Sox -105 over NY Yankees
(System Record: 8-0, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 8-3

 

[tgunn11]

Hockey Crusher
Tampa Bay Lightning -135 over Philadelphia Flyers
(System Record: 88-4, won last game)
Overall Record: 88-72-1

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Arsenal de Sarandi + Santos Laguna OVER 2
This match is happening in Conmebol
(System Record: 549-20, won last 4 games)
Overall Record: 549-473-80

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 4/10/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Wednesday, 4/10/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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Betting Notes - Thursday
•Hot Teams
-- Dallas won their last four games.
-- Spurs won 20 of last 22 games, covered five of last seven.
-- Golden State won three of its last four games.

•Cold Teams
-- Nuggets lost six of their last eight games.

•Totals
-- Five of Spurs' last six games stayed under total.
-- Three of last four Denver games went over total.

•Series Records
-- Mavericks lost their last eight games with San Antonio.
-- Warriors lost five of last seven games with Denver.

Hoop Trends - Thursday
•SAN ANTONIO is 17-4 ATS (+12.6 Units) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 109.6, OPPONENT 96.8.

•GOLDEN STATE is 14-2 UNDER (+11.8 Units) revenging a straight up loss versus opponent as a favorite this season.
The average score was GOLDEN STATE 98.9, OPPONENT 89.6.

•DALLAS is 29-15 (+12.5 Units) against the 1rst half line versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game this season.
The average score was DALLAS 53.2, OPPONENT 48.1.

•SAN ANTONIO is 15-2 UNDER (+12.8 Units) the 1rst half total when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was SAN ANTONIO 49.0, OPPONENT 43.9.

•MARK JACKSON is 16-3 UNDER (+12.7 Units) versus terrible defensive teams - allowing 103+ points/game as the coach of GOLDEN STATE.
The average score was Jackson 102.3, OPPONENT 94.7.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (DALLAS) - explosive offensive team - scoring 103+ points/game on the season, revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off an upset loss of 10 points or more as a road favorite.
(32-3 since 1996.) (91.4%, +27.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -148.3
The average score in these games was: Team 105.4, Opponent 95.8 (Average point differential = +9.6)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0, +2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-0, +4 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (7-1, +5.5 units).
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Baseball Crusher
Boston Red Sox -105 over NY Yankees
(System Record: 8-0, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 8-3

Rest of the Plays
Atlanta Braves -135 over NY Mets
San Francisco Giants -135 over Arizona
Chicago Cubs +116 over Pittsburgh

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hockey Crusher
Tampa Bay Lightning -135 over Philadelphia Flyers
(System Record: 88-4, won last game)
Overall Record: 88-72-1

Rest of the Plays
Minnesota Wild +111 over St. Louis
Colorado Avalanche -120 over Vancouver
New Jersey Devils +118 over Ottawa

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

River City Sharps

In looking over the lines tonight, this one really jumped off the page at us and we are going to back the road dog that is playing great baseball. The Brewers have gotten off to a great start and we like Estrada in this spot. Milwaukee is swinging the bats great and are looking to back up their sweep of the Red Sox with another road sweep, this time the Phils. Confidence is a strong thing early in the season and the Brewers definitely have some swagger right now. We like this one Thursday night and the value clearly lies with the visitors. The Sharps say…

3 UNITS – MILWAUKEE BREWERS ML (+125)