Service Plays Thursday 2/18/16

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Aaron Baddeley 165/1 - Badds has two Top 8 finishes this season which equals his total from the two previous seasons combined. He does tend to find a way to play well when he heads to Riviera though (2013/14 - T18, 2012 - T11, 2011 - WIN, 2007 - T13, 2005 - T7). He obviously has plenty of experience at this course and it will be his outstanding putting that will carry him. Over the years he has rolled the ball in from everywhere on these greens and I expect this trend to continue.

1.5 Units on Bill Haas 34/1 - Everyone who has been with us for more than a few years can remember our Haas win here in 2012. He was a 50-1 player and managed to fend of both Phil Mickelson and Keegan Bradley in a playoff. It was one of the more exciting victories based on the circumstances and the caliber of players involved. Haas is back playing great golf as he has Top 18 finishes in 4 of his last 5 including a T8 at Pebble Beach. I have explained in the past how Bill is one of the worlds best players on Traditional tracks, and he will be in contention this week come Sunday (has finished inside the the Top 25 five times here including a win and a T3). He goes against our long off the tee approach but there is no way you can leave him off this list at Riviera (but he is extremely accurate off the tee - 3rd on Tour).

1.5 Units on Jimmy Walker 26/1 - I told you he would be on our list plenty in 2016 and I wasn’t lying. He is going to contend for a major or two this season and build off his huge 2015. Since 2010 his results have been as follows at Riviera (2011 - T4, 2012 - T4, 2013 - T16, 2014 - T20, 2015 - T41). Jimmy is extremely long off the tee (46th on Tour for Driving Distance), and yet is one of the worlds best putters (19th on Tour for Overall Putting Average). Get used to this name being a fixture at the Top of leaderboards.

1.5 Units on Sergio Garcia 28/1 - I am excited about this selection and the year Sergio will have. He has always been known as one of the best iron players in the world, but now his putting is a real strength. When he switched putting grips he gained plenty of confidence and it really has done wonders. Garcia has Top 25 finishes in 7 of his 9 starts at this tournament, including a T4 last year. I thought his odds would be lower based on his form and history, so we get great value.

1.5 Units on JB Holmes 31/1 - Holmes is one of the hottest players on Tour right now and is another player who will love the sight of Riviera. JB has Top 25 finishes in all 5 starts and is entering on the heels of three straight Top 11’s. JB has a very solid history at this course including a run that saw him finishing no worse than T12 from 2008 to 2012. The long hitting Kentucky man ranks 5th on Tour in length this season and is 17th for Strokes Gained from Tee to Green. His key this week will be putting, but based on his love for these greens in the past, I like our chances.[h=3]HEAD TO HEAD[/h]We keep our head to head winning streak going with the Mickelson over Rose cashing. Another 3 Unit play this week.

3 Units on Sergio Garcia (-125) over Charl Schwartzel
 
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StatFox Super Situations

NBA | CHICAGO at CLEVELAND
Play On - Underdogs of 10 or more points (CHICAGO) after being beaten by the spread by 30 or more points total in their last three games, vs. division opponents
52-22 since 1997. ( 70.3% | 27.8 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.9 units )

NBA | CHICAGO at CLEVELAND
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (CLEVELAND) an excellent offensive team (>=102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after scoring 60 points or more in the first half last game
171-47 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 67.4 units )
14-6 this year. ( 70.0% | 5.0 units )

NBA | CHICAGO at CLEVELAND
Play Against - Home favorites vs. the 1rst half line (CLEVELAND) after 1 or more consecutive wins, extremely well rested team - playing 3 or less games in 10 days
59-26 over the last 5 seasons. ( 69.4% | 30.4 units )
4-2 this year. ( 66.7% | 1.8 units )
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Louisville (-8) on Wednesday and likes Hofstra on Thursday.

The surplus is 95 sirignanos.
 

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Hockey Crusher
Tampa Bay Lightning -155 over Winnipeg Jets
(System Record: 46-4, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 46-59-17

Rest of the Plays
Washington Capitals -108 over New York Islanders
Anaheim Ducks -150 over Vancouver Canucks
Carolina Hurricanes +100 over Ottawa Senators
 

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Basketball Crusher
Wisconsin +9.5 over Michigan State
(System Record: 51-3, won last 3 games)
Overall Record: 51-57-3

Rest of the Plays
Minnesota +10.5 over Maryland
Georgia State +5 over Arkansas-Little Rock
Washington State +1.5 over Stanford
 

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Soccer Crusher
Temperley + Lanus UNDER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 905-27, lost last 2 games and a push)
Overall Record: 905-710-143
progress.gif
 

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XpertPicks

THURSDAY

NCAA BASKETBALL

Play UTEP -10.5 over Southern Mississippi---Top Play (100 Units)

Southern Mississippi has lost 90 of the last 166 games against the spread when playing as a road underdog and they have lost 73 of the last 134 games against the spread when playing in the month of February. Southern Mississippi has lost 39 of the last 67 games against the spread coming off a home loss in their last game and they are only averaging 54 points in road games this season.


Play Weber State -15.5 over Southern Utah---Top Play (50 Units)
Play Wichita State -22 over Missouri State---Top Play (50 Units)

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NBA BASKETBALL

Play Utah +1 over Washington---Top Play (25 Units)

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HOCKEY

Play Minnesota -130 over Edmonton---Top Play (25 units)
 

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FantasySportsGametime


THURSDAY

NCAA BASKETBALL

10000* Play Chattanooga -20.5 over VMI
(Thursday Night Game of the Year)

VMI has lost 7 of the last 8 games against the spread when the total posted is between 130 and 139.5 points and they have lost 12 of the last 16 games against the spread when playing as an underdog. VMI has lost 9 of the last 11 road games against the spread and they are allowing an average of 76 points in conference games this season.


500* Play Gonzaga -18.5 over Pacific
500* Play Weber State -15.5 over Southern Utah

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NBA BASKETBALL

500* Play San Antonio -4.5 over Los Angeles Clippers

==============================

NHL Hockey

500* Play Minnesota -130 over Edmonton
 

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ONLINE SPORTS WINNERS

THURSDAY



NCAA BASKETBALL

Play Tennessee +17 over Kentucky (TOP NCAA PLAY)--VIP PLAY

Kentucky has lost 30 of the last 51 games against the spread when the total posted is between 150 and 159.5 points and they have lost 95 of the last 177 games against the spread when playing as a home favorite of ten points or more. Kentucky has lost 19 of the last 26 games against the spread after allowing 65 points or less in three straight games and they have lost 29 of the last 41 games against the spread coming off two wins by twenty points or more.


Extra NCAA Basketball Plays

Play Wisconsin +9.5 over Michigan State
Play Utah +1 over UCLA

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NBA BASKETBALL

Play Cleveland -11.5 over Chicago

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NHL HOCKEY

Play Anaheim -125 over Vancouver (TOP NHL PLAY)
 

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Carmen Bianco soccer

5% Sevilla/Molde over 3 goals

4% Sevilla -2 goals

3% Schalke/Donetsk over 2.5 goals

3% Krasnaodar +.5 over Sparta Prague

all in the European Cup
 

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[h=1][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Totals 4 U NCAA Basketball Totals Report[/FONT][/h][h=1][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]
[/FONT][/h][h=1]Totals 4 You NCAA Selections for Thursday, February 18th[/h][h=1][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]February's College Basketball Shootout of the Month!!!!![/FONT][/h][h=1][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]California/Washington over 158 1/2[/FONT][/h][h=1][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]
[/FONT][/h][h=1]NCAA Best Bets[/h][h=1][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Tennessee/Kentucky over 151[/FONT][/h][h=1][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]SMU/Connecticut under 136[/FONT][/h][h=1][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Wisconsin/Michigan State under 135 1/2[/FONT][/h][h=1][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]Utah/UCLA over 147[/FONT][/h][h=1][FONT=Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif]
[/FONT][/h]
 

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FREE SOCCER PICKS FROM MADCREW;

EURO CHAMPIONSHIP

Tottenham

Valencia over 2.5

Leverkusen over 2.5

Liverpool
 

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Let me preface this by saying thanks to all the posters and the great job you guys are doing. Very much appreciated. I made a good bit yesterday. Woulda been down money yesterday had the poster who posted Marc Lawrence's 10* actually posted the CORRECT PLAY of Arizona STATE not Arizona! Had the same play on Cappers Access too. Anyway, I owe you whoever it was. Maybe that's the way to go - bet the opposite of all these touts!
 

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