Service Plays Thursday 12/4/14

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin

NCAAF
Central Florida +7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Bookieshunter “TNF GOY” NFL

#102 Chicago +4 vs. Dallas Cowboys (3*)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BEN BURNS FOOTBALL

MAIN EVENT - east carolina
BLUE CHIP TOTAL - dall/chi under

 

[tgunn11]

Football Crusher
Chicago Bears +3.5 over Dallas Cowboys
(System Record: 36-5, won last game)
Overall Record: 36-37-2

Rest of the Plays
Central Florida +7 over East Carolina

 

[tgunn11]

Hockey Crusher
Minnesota Wild -139 over Montreal Canadians - pending
Nashville Predators -135 over St. Louis Blues
(System Record: 31-1, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 31-20-1

Rest of the Plays
Florida Panthers -139 over Columbus Blue Jackets
Calgary Flames -139 over Colorado Avs
Washington Capitals -105 over Carolina Hurricanes

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Western Carolina +8 over East Tennessee State - pending
Arkansas +7.5 over Iowa State
(System Record: 16-0, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 16-17-1

Rest of the Plays
Marist +3.5 over Monmouth
San Diego +11.5 over San Diego St
Morehead State +1.5 over UAB

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Atletico Nacional + River Plate UNDER 2 - Conmebol pending
Sparta Prague + Pribram UNDER 3
This match is happening in Czech Repub
(System Record: 670-23, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 670-558-102

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JEFFREY JAMES (Play of the Day)

#101 Dallas Cowboys -3.5 (8:30 est) NFL Network
Dallas will be much better prepared here than on Thanksgiving since they will have a full week of prep time. Their offense looks to be well positioned to take advantage of the terrible Bears defense. Chicago is only 2-3 ATS at home this season and they will be in a down mood off of their loss on Thanksgiving Day in Detroit. Look for a bounce back strong performance from Dallas here.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

[h=1]Today's NFL Picks[/h] [h=2]Dallas at Chicago[/h] The Cowboys head to Chicago to face a Bears team that is 1-6-1 ATS in its last 8 Thursday games. Dallas is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cowboys favored by 6. Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3 1/2). Here are all of this week's NFL picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 4 Time Posted: 11:00 a.m. EST (12/3)

Game 101-102: Dallas at Chicago (8:25 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 135.943; Chicago 129.987 Dunkel Line: Dallas by 6; 55 Vegas Line: Dallas by 3 1/2; 51 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-3 1/2); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

[h=1]NCAA Football Game Picks[/h] [h=2]Central Florida at East Carolina[/h] The Knights head to East Carolina on Thursday with the American Athletic Conference championship on the line and face a Pirates team that is 7-2 ATS in its last 9 home games. East Carolina is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-7). Here are all of this week's NCAA Football picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 4 Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST (12/3)

Game 103-104: Central Florida at East Carolina (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 86.633; East Carolina 96.578 Dunkel Line: East Carolina by 10; 60 Vegas Line: East Carolina by 7; 56 Dunkel Pick: East Carolina (-7); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Day: Central Florida at East Carolina

UCF Knights at ECU Pirates (-7, 56)

UCF bounced back nicely from an unexpected road loss to Connecticut by handily defeating three other teams in the bottom half of the American Athletic Conference. The Knights figure to be challenged a bit more Thursday at East Carolina when they look to claim their share of the conference title. UCF fell to the Huskies 37-29 on Nov. 1 to give UConn its only AAC victory, but has outscored Tulsa, SMU and South Florida by a combined 100-14 in three games since.

The Knights, who boast the league’s best scoring, passing and total defense, are tied with Cincinnati for second in the AAC – one-half game behind Memphis. A two-game losing streak in early November cost the Pirates a shot at the AAC title, but East Carolina figures to pose a formidable threat to UCF as the Pirates feature the conference’s highest-scoring and most prolific offense. East Carolina enters its regular-season finale with back-to-back convincing victories over Tulane and Tulsa, each of whom has two conference wins.

TV: 7:30 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened the Pirates as 5 or 5.5-point home faves, but that has moved to -7. The total is currently 56 after opening 54.5 or 55.5

INJURY REPORT: Knights – RB William Stanback (Probable, undisclosed). Pirates – WR Trevon Brown (Out, knee).

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the mid-40s with wind blowing across the field at 6 mph.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: “A win by Central Florida lands them into a tie atop the final AAC final standings. A victory by East Carolina vaults them into a tie with the Knights. Thus there are plenty of incentives on both sides. The Pirates will look to improve to 13-1 in their last 14 home games, while UCF rides a 14-1 mark in its last 15 conference games.” Marc Lawrence.

ABOUT UCF (8-3, 6-1 AAC): Although the Knights were held to less than 400 total yards for the first time in five games, Breshad Perriman continued his assault on the Knights’ all-time records. The junior receiver finished with team highs of six receptions, 55 yards and a touchdown, becoming the first UCF player since 2000 to catch a scoring pass in six straight contests. The Knights’ 16-0 shutout of USF last week marked the first time UCF blanked a conference team on the road.

ABOUT EAST CAROLINA (8-3, 5-2): The nation’s third-ranked passing attack continued to get solid production from their ground-game counterparts in Friday’s 49-32 victory at Tulsa with 172 rushing yards, including 91 on six carries from backup running back Chris Hairston. The strong rushing effort gave the Pirates 1,971 rushing yards for the season with two games remaining while leaving them 29 yards shy of their first 2,000-yard season as a team since 2009. Conversely, East Carolina surrendered a season-high 189 yards on the ground to the Golden Hurricane – doubling its season average entering the contest.

TRENDS:

* Knights are 4-1 ATS in their last five meetings.
* Knights are 6-0 ATS in their last six Thursday games.
* Pirates are 1-6 ATS in their last seven games overall.
* Under is 7-3 in Knights last 10 conference games.

CONSENSUS: 60 percent of bettors are on the Pirates.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations – FoxSheets

CFB | UCF at E CAROLINA
Play On – A road team vs. the money line (UCF) with a good scoring defense – allowing 17 or less points/game, after allowing 17 points or less in 3 straight games
131-74 over the last 10 seasons. ( 63.9% | 0.0 units )
5-7 this year. ( 41.7% | 0.0 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Thursday Night Football Betting Preview: Cowboys at Bears

Dallas Cowboys at Chicago Bears (+3.5, 51)

Suddenly in a fight for their playoff lives, the Dallas Cowboys visit the Chicago Bears for a crucial NFC contest on Thursday night. After falling to division rival Philadelphia on Thanksgiving Day, Dallas is just 2-3 over its last five games and locked in a three-team tie for a wild-card berth as the season heads down the stretch. The Cowboys are, surprisingly, 5-0 on the road this season.

A mess on the defensive side of the ball, the Bears are clearly playing out the string with questions aplenty. Chicago had its modest two-game winning streak snapped at Detroit on Thanksgiving Day after blowing a 14-3 first-quarter lead and yielding 474 yards. The Bears rank 26th in total defense and 30th in scoring defense, allowing 28.1 point,s and once again quarterback Jay Cutler’s future with the team seems uncertain.

TV: 8:25 p.m. ET, NFL Network.

LINE HISTORY: Oddsmakers opened the Bears as 3.5-point home dogs. The total opened at 50.5 and moved up a half-point.

INJURY REPORT: Cowboys – DE George Selvie (Questionable, thigh), S Jeff Heath (Out, thumb). Bears – DT Jeremiah Ratliff (Questionable, knee), WR Alshon Jeffery (Probable, hamstring), TE Martellus Bennett (Probable, foot), S Chris Conte (Questionable, eye), K Robbie Gould (Doubtful, groin).

WEATHER: Temperatures will be in the low-30s with wind blowing toward the north endzone at around 10 mph.

POWER RANKINGS: Cowboys (+0.25) – Bears (+2.25) + home field (-3.0) = Bears -1.0

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: “Both teams emerge off disappointing Thanksgiving Day performances with each quarterback looking to shake the December doldrums. With each squad needing a win like blood it would be no surprise to see this fray go down to the final play.” Marc Lawrence.

ABOUT THE COWBOYS (8-4 SU, 6-6 ATS, 8-4 O/U): In a matchup that seemed to favor the offenses, Tony Romo posted a 53.7 quarterback rating – his lowest since 2011 – in a dreadful 33-10 loss to the Eagles. At 6-1 the Cowboys seemed to be a Super Bowl contender but since then their lone wins have come against lightweights Jacksonville and the New York Giants. With 1,427 yards, DeMarco Murray still has a wide lead in the NFL rushing ranks but Romo threw two picks and no touchdowns last time out, breaking a streak of 38 straight games with a scoring pass.

ABOUT THE BEARS (5-7 SU, 5-7 ATS, 7-5 O/U): Chicago has once again thrust its offense on the shoulders of Cutler with sub-par results, as the veteran has thrown 24 touchdowns and 14 interceptions on the season. Already in shambles, the Bears’ defense took another hit when it put steady linebacker Lance Briggs on season-ending injured reserve Friday. With Josh McCown under center, Chicago blasted Dallas last season 45-28, racking up 490 total yards and never punting in the contest.

TRENDS:

* Over is 4-0 in the last four meetings.
* Cowboys are 4-1 ATS in their last five road games.
* Over is 4-0 in Cowboys last four road games.
* Bears are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight Thursday games.

CONSENSUS: 60 percent of bettors are on the Cowboys.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

StatFox Super Situations

NHL | VANCOUVER at PITTSBURGH
Play On - Any team against the money line (PITTSBURGH) off a home win where they shut out their opponent, with a winning record in the first half of the season
90-27 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.9% | 55.7 units )
15-4 this year. ( 78.9% | 10.4 units )

NHL | LOS ANGELES at ARIZONA
Play On - Any team against the money line (LOS ANGELES) off a home win where they shut out their opponent, with a winning record in the first half of the season
90-27 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.9% | 55.7 units )
15-4 this year. ( 78.9% | 10.4 units )

NHL | LOS ANGELES at ARIZONA
Play On - Road teams against the money line (LOS ANGELES) off a home win where they shut out their opponent, with a winning record in the first half of the season
39-12 over the last 5 seasons. ( 76.5% | 28.1 units )
6-2 this year. ( 75.0% | 3.7 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

[h=1]Today's NBA Picks[/h] [h=2]Cleveland at New York[/h] The Cavaliers head to New York tonight to face a Knicks team that is 1-9 ATS in its last 10 home games. Cleveland is the pick (-7 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Cavaliers favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-7 1/2). Here are all of today's NBA picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 4 Time Posted: 6:30 a.m. EST

Game 501-502: Cleveland at New York (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 123.427; New York 114.008 Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 9 1/2; 202 Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 7 1/2; 197 Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-7 1/2); Over

Game 503-504: Indiana at Portland (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 117.418; Portland 122.896 Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 5 1/2; 188 Vegas Line & Total: Portland by 8 1/2; 194 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+8 1/2); Under

Game 505-506: New Orleans at Golden State (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 117.374; Golden State 123.870 Dunkel Line & Total: Golden State by 6 1/2; 210 Vegas Line & Total: Golden State by 8 1/2; 206 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (+8 1/2); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

[h=1]Today's NHL Picks[/h] [h=2]NY Islanders at Ottawa[/h] The Islanders head to Ottawa tonight following a 3-2 win over the Senators at home and come into the contest with a 15-2 record in their last 17 games after allowing 2 goals or less in the previous game. New York is the pick (-125) according to Dunkel, which has the Islanders favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-125). Here are all of today's NHL picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 4 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Washington at Carolina (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington 12.434; Carolina 10.718 Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-115); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Washington (-115); Over

Game 53-54: Vancouver at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 10.749; Pittsburgh 12.233 Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-170); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-170); Under

Game 55-56: New Jersey at Toronto (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 11.720; Toronto 10.663 Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Toronto (-165); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: New Jersey (+145); Over

Game 57-58: NY Islanders at Ottawa (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 12.099; Ottawa 10.458 Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: NY Islanders (-120); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (-120); Over

Game 59-60: Columbus at Florida (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 10.212; Florida 11.775 Dunkel Line & Total: Florida by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Florida (-140); 5 Dunkel Pick: Florida (-140); Over

Game 61-62: Buffalo at Tampa Bay (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 11.889; Tampa Bay 10.912 Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Tampa Bay (-300); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+250); Under

Game 63-64: Dallas at Detroit (7:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 10.332; Detroit 11.889 Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-185); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-185); Under

Game 65-66: St. Louis at Nashville (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 12.217; Nashville 11.332 Dunkel Line & Total: St. Louis by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Nashville (-145); 5 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+125); Under

Game 67-68: Los Angeles at Arizona (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 10.212; Arizona 11.309 Dunkel Line & Total: Arizona by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-145); 5 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+125); Under

Game 69-70: Colorado at Calgary (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.040; Calgary 12.563 Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-140); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-140); Under

Game 71-72: Boston at San Jose (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston 10.037; San Jose 11.556 Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 4 Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-135); 5 Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-135); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

[h=1]NCAA Basketball Picks[/h] [h=2]San Diego at San Diego State[/h] The Toreros face the Aztecs tonight following a 68-66 loss to Western Michigan and come into the contest with a 5-1 ATS record in their last 6 games following an ATS defeat. San Diego is the pick (+12) according to Dunkel, which has the Aztecs favored by only 9. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+12). Here are all of today's NCAA Basketball picks.

THURSDAY, DECEMBER 4 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 507-508: LSU at West Virginia (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LSU 63.711; West Virginia 74.677 Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 11 Vegas Line: West Virginia by 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-8 1/2)

Game 509-510: WI-Green Bay at Georgia State (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: WI-Green Bay 58.706; Georgia State 63.281 Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 4 1/2 Vegas Line: Georgia State by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (-2 1/2)

Game 511-512: Baylor at Vanderbilt (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 67.640; Vanderbilt 66.585 Dunkel Line: Baylor by 1 Vegas Line: Baylor by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Vanderbilt (+3 1/2)

Game 513-514: AR-Little Rock at Missouri State (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: AR-Little Rock 50.082; Missouri State 58.701 Dunkel Line: Missouri Stat by 8 1/2 Vegas Line: Missouri State by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Missouri State (-6 1/2)

Game 515-516: TCU at Mississippi (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: TCU 58.872; Mississippi 68.027 Dunkel Line: Mississippi by 9 Vegas Line: Mississippi by 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Mississippi (-6 1/2)

Game 517-518: Arkansas at Iowa State (9:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arkansas 66.404; Iowa State 76.477 Dunkel Line: Iowa State by 10 Vegas Line: Iowa State by 7 Dunkel Pick: Iowa State (-7)

Game 519-520: CS-Northridge at Pepperdine (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: CS-Northridge 49.750; Pepperdine 56.477 Dunkel Line: Pepperdine by 7 Vegas Line: Pepperdine by 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: CS-Northridge (+9 1/2)

Game 521-522: San Diego at San Diego State (11:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego 61.362; San Diego State 70.454 Dunkel Line: San Diego State by 9 Vegas Line: San Diego State by 12 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+12)

Game 523-524: Western Illinois at Akron (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Western Illinois 45.414; Akron 55.421 Dunkel Line: Akron by 10 Vegas Line: Akron by 12 Dunkel Pick: Western Illinois (+12)

Game 525-526: Monmouth at Marist (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Monmouth 53.837; Marist 48.486 Dunkel Line: Monmouth by 5 1/2 Vegas Line: Monmouth by 3 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Monmouth (-3 1/2)

Game 527-528: VMI at Samford (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: VMI 46.001; Samford 50.927 Dunkel Line: Samford by 5 Vegas Line: Samford by 2 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Samford (-2 1/2)

Game 529-530: Morehead State at UAB (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Morehead State 53.978; UAB 52.428 Dunkel Line: Morehead State by 1 1/2 Vegas Line: UAB by 1 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Morehead State (+1 1/2)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NBA

Hot Teams
– Cleveland won its last four games (1-4 AF).
– Warriors won their last ten games (4-3 HF).
– Portland won 11 of its last 12 games (8-3 HF).

Cold Teams
– Knicks lost their last five games (0-4 HU).
– Pelicans lost three of last four games (3-4 AU).
– Pacers lost three of last four games (7-2 AU).

Series Records
– Knicks won eight of last eleven games with Cleveland, beating them by 5 in Cleveland on Oct 30.
– Warriors won their last seven games with New Orleans.
– Pacers lost last five visits to Portland, by 2-23-5-20-4 points.

Totals
– Last three Cleveland games went over the total.
– Four of last five Pelican games stayed under.
– Four of last five Indiana games went over total.

Back-to-Backs
– None

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL

Hot teams
– Pittsburgh, Canucks both won four of their last five games.
– Maple Leafs won four of their last five games.
– Islanders won 12 of their last 14 games.
– Sabres won six of their last seven games. Tampa Bay won four of its last five.
– Panthers won three of their last four games.
– Red Wings won six of their last eight games.
– Predators won nine of their last twelve games. St Louis won three of last four on road.
– Calgary won seven of its last nine games. Colorado won its last three road games.
– Sharks won last two games, 6-4/2-1.

Cold teams
– Hurricanes lost seven of their last ten games. Washington lost four of its last five.
– New Jersey lost last five games, scoring nine goals.
– Ottawa lost five of its last six games.
– Blue Jackets lost six of their last seven games.
– Dallas Stars lost last three games, allowing 15 goals.
– Arizona lost six of its last eight games. LA lost eight of its ten road games.
– Bruins lost four of their last five games.

Series records
– Carolina lost three of last four games with Washington.
– Penguins won last three games with Vancouver, last three in SOs.
– Devils lost six of last seven games with Toronto.
– Islanders won three of last four games with Ottawa.
– Blue Jackets won last nine games with Florida.
– Sabres won four of last seven visits to Tampa Bay.
– Red Wings won seven of last nine games with Dallas.
– Blues won six of their last seven games with Nashville.
– Kings lost four of last five games with Arizona.
– Avalanche won six of last nine games with Calgary.
– Sharks lost their last three games with Boston.

Totals
– Under is 7-3-1 in last eleven Carolina games.
– Eight of last eleven Penguin games stayed under.
– Eight of last ten New Jersey games stayed under.
– Five of last six Islander games stayed under total.
– Last eight Columbus-Florida games stayed under total.
– Four of last five Buffalo games stayed under.
– Six of last eight Dallas games went over total.
– Last three Nashville games stayed under total.
– Under is 3-1-1 in last five Arizona-LA games.
– Four of last five Colorado games went over.
– Under is 4-0-1 in last five Boston games.

Back-to-back
– St Louis is 3-1 when it played the night before.