Brandon Lang
NOTE:
Duquesne and Wofford.
Two very tough beats. Northern Iowa wins outright as a 6-point dog.
A very possible 3-0 turns to a 1-2 in a blink of the eye. Welcome to the world of College hoop.
So I take a break from the college hardwood, and focus my attention and energies to football and building on something so special, so legandary, so incredible, the stuff dreams are made of.
16-2-2 NFL run paid and comp plays the last 4 weeks. I'm talking 16-2-2. Any questions? Didn't think so.
I am the hottest NFL handicapper on the planet earth and when the smoke clears after this weekend's action, it now only will be another huge winning weekend in the NFL but another big winning week as well.
Forget about anything that has happened in the past. Doesn't matter here. It's all about the here and now, and the here and now will tell you I am the guy to be with in the NFL.
Don't sleep on college though as I banged home 4-1 over the Thanksgiving weekend, and today I will add to that college football number as well.
A lot of positives right now and I aim to keep it that way despite the efforts of Duquesne and Wofford.
Let's get to another NFL winner.
20 DIME - NEW YORK JETS - (If 3 1/2, you buy down to 3, and if 3 you buy down to 2 1/2) - In using the Saints as my 7th straight 20 dime winner on Monday night one thing made all the difference in the world for me.
The Saints offensive line was 3rd best in the league at protecting Drew Brees allowing just 14 sacks all year versus a New England defense ranked 28th at getting to the QB.
Drew Brees with time to throw = blowout victory. Simple as that.
Tonight the Jets take the 2nd best rush offense in the NFL against the worst run defense in all of football in the Buffalo Bills.
Folks, you can't stop the run in the NFL and rest assured more times than not, you are going to get beat.
In the first meeting between these two the Jets ran for over 300 yards and still figured out a way to lose the game in OT because of the stupidity of the Jets offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer.
I remember watching the first game saying to myself, "Why is this man dropping Sanchez back in windy conditions throwing the football when they are having so much success running it?"
I'm talking about 6 INT's in just 30 pass attempts.
Well I truly believe Mr. Schottenheimer has most certainly learned his lesson from that game and on this neutral site tonight I fully expect a large dose of Thomas Jones and many successful play action situations for young Mr. Sanchez.
The Bills come off a nice win against the Dolphins last game out but that is all it was, a nice win. They can't make the playoffs, and they are facing a team that is still alive and who's defense is playing much better.
They have adjusted to the loss of Kris ******* and their secondary did a great job against Steve Smith last week. Looks like the little bit of glory Terrell Owens received will be short-lived against arguably the best cover corner in the NFL in Darrelle Revis.
This is all about the run offense of the Jets controlling the clock, controlling the game and most importantly controlling Mark Sanchez, who last week just did what he was asked, manage the game and the Jets managed a 17-6 win.
Last question. Who has the 2nd worst run defense in the NFL? Answer: The Oakland Raiders.
The Jets beat them 38-0. Enough said.
FREE SELECTION - OREGON STATE BEAVERS
NOTE:
Duquesne and Wofford.
Two very tough beats. Northern Iowa wins outright as a 6-point dog.
A very possible 3-0 turns to a 1-2 in a blink of the eye. Welcome to the world of College hoop.
So I take a break from the college hardwood, and focus my attention and energies to football and building on something so special, so legandary, so incredible, the stuff dreams are made of.
16-2-2 NFL run paid and comp plays the last 4 weeks. I'm talking 16-2-2. Any questions? Didn't think so.
I am the hottest NFL handicapper on the planet earth and when the smoke clears after this weekend's action, it now only will be another huge winning weekend in the NFL but another big winning week as well.
Forget about anything that has happened in the past. Doesn't matter here. It's all about the here and now, and the here and now will tell you I am the guy to be with in the NFL.
Don't sleep on college though as I banged home 4-1 over the Thanksgiving weekend, and today I will add to that college football number as well.
A lot of positives right now and I aim to keep it that way despite the efforts of Duquesne and Wofford.
Let's get to another NFL winner.
20 DIME - NEW YORK JETS - (If 3 1/2, you buy down to 3, and if 3 you buy down to 2 1/2) - In using the Saints as my 7th straight 20 dime winner on Monday night one thing made all the difference in the world for me.
The Saints offensive line was 3rd best in the league at protecting Drew Brees allowing just 14 sacks all year versus a New England defense ranked 28th at getting to the QB.
Drew Brees with time to throw = blowout victory. Simple as that.
Tonight the Jets take the 2nd best rush offense in the NFL against the worst run defense in all of football in the Buffalo Bills.
Folks, you can't stop the run in the NFL and rest assured more times than not, you are going to get beat.
In the first meeting between these two the Jets ran for over 300 yards and still figured out a way to lose the game in OT because of the stupidity of the Jets offensive coordinator Brian Schottenheimer.
I remember watching the first game saying to myself, "Why is this man dropping Sanchez back in windy conditions throwing the football when they are having so much success running it?"
I'm talking about 6 INT's in just 30 pass attempts.
Well I truly believe Mr. Schottenheimer has most certainly learned his lesson from that game and on this neutral site tonight I fully expect a large dose of Thomas Jones and many successful play action situations for young Mr. Sanchez.
The Bills come off a nice win against the Dolphins last game out but that is all it was, a nice win. They can't make the playoffs, and they are facing a team that is still alive and who's defense is playing much better.
They have adjusted to the loss of Kris ******* and their secondary did a great job against Steve Smith last week. Looks like the little bit of glory Terrell Owens received will be short-lived against arguably the best cover corner in the NFL in Darrelle Revis.
This is all about the run offense of the Jets controlling the clock, controlling the game and most importantly controlling Mark Sanchez, who last week just did what he was asked, manage the game and the Jets managed a 17-6 win.
Last question. Who has the 2nd worst run defense in the NFL? Answer: The Oakland Raiders.
The Jets beat them 38-0. Enough said.
FREE SELECTION - OREGON STATE BEAVERS
NHL DUNKEL
Toronto at Columbus
The Maple Leafs look to take advantage of a Columbus team that is 1-6 in its last 7 games overall. Toronto is the pick (+155) according to Dunkel, which has the Maple Leafs favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+155). Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 3
Game 51-52: Vancouver at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.547; Philadelphia 11.484
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+135); Over
Game 53-54: Edmonton at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.879; Detroit 11.551
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+210); Over
Game 55-56: Montreal at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.410; Buffalo 11.958
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-230); Over
Game 57-58: Florida at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 10.942; Washington 11.446
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 59-60: Toronto at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.848; Columbus 11.572
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-165); 6
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+155); Under
Game 61-62: NY Islanders at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.740; Atlanta 11.524
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-160); 6
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+150); Over
Game 63-64: Colorado at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 12.313; Pittsburgh 12.262
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 65-66: Anaheim at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.388; Dallas 11.751
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-140); Under
Game 67-68: Calgary at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 13.027; Phoenix 12.742
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-125); Over
Game 69-70: St. Louis at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.951; San Jose 12.634
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-220); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-220); Under
Game 71-72: Ottawa at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.229; Los Angeles 12.775
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-140); Over
Toronto at Columbus
The Maple Leafs look to take advantage of a Columbus team that is 1-6 in its last 7 games overall. Toronto is the pick (+155) according to Dunkel, which has the Maple Leafs favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+155). Here are all of today's picks.
THURSDAY, DECEMBER 3
Game 51-52: Vancouver at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Vancouver 12.547; Philadelphia 11.484
Dunkel Line & Total: Vancouver by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Philadelphia (-145); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Vancouver (+135); Over
Game 53-54: Edmonton at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.879; Detroit 11.551
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+210); Over
Game 55-56: Montreal at Buffalo
Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 11.410; Buffalo 11.958
Dunkel Line & Total: Buffalo by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Buffalo (-230); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-230); Over
Game 57-58: Florida at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Florida 10.942; Washington 11.446
Dunkel Line & Total: Washington by 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 59-60: Toronto at Columbus
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.848; Columbus 11.572
Dunkel Line & Total: Toronto by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Columbus (-165); 6
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (+155); Under
Game 61-62: NY Islanders at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: NY Islanders 11.740; Atlanta 11.524
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Islanders by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta (-160); 6
Dunkel Pick: NY Islanders (+150); Over
Game 63-64: Colorado at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 12.313; Pittsburgh 12.262
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 65-66: Anaheim at Dallas
Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 11.388; Dallas 11.751
Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: Dallas (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Dallas (-140); Under
Game 67-68: Calgary at Phoenix
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 13.027; Phoenix 12.742
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Calgary (-125); 5
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (-125); Over
Game 69-70: St. Louis at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 11.951; San Jose 12.634
Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1/2; 5
Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-220); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-220); Under
Game 71-72: Ottawa at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Ottawa 11.229; Los Angeles 12.775
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-140); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-140); Over
Jim Feist's Pro Football 'Total' Oddsmaker Error - Thursday!
The Jets (5-6 SU/ATS) are riding a 2-6 SU/ATS run under rookie QB Mark Sanchez (10 TDs, 17 INTs) and new coach Rex Ryan. Because Sanchez was struggling so much, the Jets introduced a color-coded play-calling system for their rookie quarterback last week. The move was at the behest of coach Rex Ryan, who wanted to simplify things for Sanchez. The loss of NT Kris Jenkins (knee) for the year is a huge blow for the defense and it is taking a toll: They allowed 139 yards rushing in a 24-22 home loss to Jacksonville. The Jets will be short on cornerbacks Thursday with Dwight Lowery (ankle) and Donald Strickland (concussion) unable to practice this week. They are the team's third- and fourth- best corners. The Bills (4-7 SU/5-6 ATS) are showing some life under new coach Perry Fewell and QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (4 TDs, 6 picks). Fewell felt Fitzpatrick gave the team a better chance to win, and the kid threw for 246 yards in Sunday’s 31-14 win of Miami. WR Terrell Owens has been a plus since Fitzpatrick took over: Owens caught nine passes for 197 yards, including a team-record 98-yarder for a score, two weeks ago in an 18-15 loss at Jacksonville, and 5 catches for 96 yards against Miami. The Bills have injuries in the secondary and this game has a low total. Look for more offense than oddsmakers expect, play the Jets/Bills Over the total.
The Jets (5-6 SU/ATS) are riding a 2-6 SU/ATS run under rookie QB Mark Sanchez (10 TDs, 17 INTs) and new coach Rex Ryan. Because Sanchez was struggling so much, the Jets introduced a color-coded play-calling system for their rookie quarterback last week. The move was at the behest of coach Rex Ryan, who wanted to simplify things for Sanchez. The loss of NT Kris Jenkins (knee) for the year is a huge blow for the defense and it is taking a toll: They allowed 139 yards rushing in a 24-22 home loss to Jacksonville. The Jets will be short on cornerbacks Thursday with Dwight Lowery (ankle) and Donald Strickland (concussion) unable to practice this week. They are the team's third- and fourth- best corners. The Bills (4-7 SU/5-6 ATS) are showing some life under new coach Perry Fewell and QB Ryan Fitzpatrick (4 TDs, 6 picks). Fewell felt Fitzpatrick gave the team a better chance to win, and the kid threw for 246 yards in Sunday’s 31-14 win of Miami. WR Terrell Owens has been a plus since Fitzpatrick took over: Owens caught nine passes for 197 yards, including a team-record 98-yarder for a score, two weeks ago in an 18-15 loss at Jacksonville, and 5 catches for 96 yards against Miami. The Bills have injuries in the secondary and this game has a low total. Look for more offense than oddsmakers expect, play the Jets/Bills Over the total.
Dr. Bob
Thursday Night Analysis
New York Jets (-3) 21 Buffalo 14 (at Toronto)
Buffalo has played better under interim coach Perry Fewell, as the Bills have out-gained their opponents 6.5 yards per play to 4.7 yppl in his two games leading the team. The offensive increase is mostly just random positive variance most likely, although the decision to make Fred Jackson the #1 running back over Marshawn Lynch last week was a good move given that Jackson has averaged 4.1 ypr and Lynch just 3.1 ypr this season. Buffalo quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has had a couple of good games in succession since returning to the starting role, as he's hit Terrell Owens for big plays in consecutive weeks. Fitzpatrick, however, is still 0.3 yards per pass play worse than average for the season (5.8 yppp against teams that would allow 6.1 yppp to an average quarterback) and he's much worse than that for his career, so it's likely that the last two weeks are a fluke. Fitzpatrick will certainly have a tougher time maintaining his hot streak against a Jets' secondary that is the NFL's best now that CB Lito Sheppard is healthy again and playing opposite of the league's best cornerback Darrelle Revis. In 4 games with Sheppard starting the Jets have yielded just 4.1 yppp to quarterbacks that would combine to average 6.1 yppp against an average defense), so I don't expect much from the Bills' pass attack in this game and the mediocre running of Jackson won't be enough for the Bills to mount much of an offense.
New York, meanwhile, should be able to run the ball well against a soft Buffalo run defense (5.0 ypr allowed) and Sanchez has improved since WR Jerricho Cotchery returned from injury to join Braylon Edwards and give Sanchez to solid wideouts to throw to. Sanchez is still worse than average on a yards per pass play perspective in the 4 games with both Cotchery and Edwards (6.5 yppp against teams that would allow 6.6 yppp) and he's averaging 1.5 interceptions per game, although he's thrown 1 or fewer picks in 7 of the 11 games. Buffalo defends the pass well (5.6 yppp allowed to quarterbacks that would average 6.2 yppp against an average defense) and the Bills have intercepted 20 passes in 11 games, so Sanchez needs to be careful. There is no need not to be careful with the Jets' ground attack likely to work well in this game (4.9 ypr projected).
My math model favors New York by 6 1/2 points on this neutral field in Toronto and that makes them a pretty solid play at -3 points, although it's a bit risky given the possibility for multiple interceptions by Sanchez against a ball hawking Bills' secondary. The Jets have a 54.3% chance to cover based on the historical performance of my math model, so I'll lean with New York minus the points.
Thursday Night Analysis
New York Jets (-3) 21 Buffalo 14 (at Toronto)
Buffalo has played better under interim coach Perry Fewell, as the Bills have out-gained their opponents 6.5 yards per play to 4.7 yppl in his two games leading the team. The offensive increase is mostly just random positive variance most likely, although the decision to make Fred Jackson the #1 running back over Marshawn Lynch last week was a good move given that Jackson has averaged 4.1 ypr and Lynch just 3.1 ypr this season. Buffalo quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick has had a couple of good games in succession since returning to the starting role, as he's hit Terrell Owens for big plays in consecutive weeks. Fitzpatrick, however, is still 0.3 yards per pass play worse than average for the season (5.8 yppp against teams that would allow 6.1 yppp to an average quarterback) and he's much worse than that for his career, so it's likely that the last two weeks are a fluke. Fitzpatrick will certainly have a tougher time maintaining his hot streak against a Jets' secondary that is the NFL's best now that CB Lito Sheppard is healthy again and playing opposite of the league's best cornerback Darrelle Revis. In 4 games with Sheppard starting the Jets have yielded just 4.1 yppp to quarterbacks that would combine to average 6.1 yppp against an average defense), so I don't expect much from the Bills' pass attack in this game and the mediocre running of Jackson won't be enough for the Bills to mount much of an offense.
New York, meanwhile, should be able to run the ball well against a soft Buffalo run defense (5.0 ypr allowed) and Sanchez has improved since WR Jerricho Cotchery returned from injury to join Braylon Edwards and give Sanchez to solid wideouts to throw to. Sanchez is still worse than average on a yards per pass play perspective in the 4 games with both Cotchery and Edwards (6.5 yppp against teams that would allow 6.6 yppp) and he's averaging 1.5 interceptions per game, although he's thrown 1 or fewer picks in 7 of the 11 games. Buffalo defends the pass well (5.6 yppp allowed to quarterbacks that would average 6.2 yppp against an average defense) and the Bills have intercepted 20 passes in 11 games, so Sanchez needs to be careful. There is no need not to be careful with the Jets' ground attack likely to work well in this game (4.9 ypr projected).
My math model favors New York by 6 1/2 points on this neutral field in Toronto and that makes them a pretty solid play at -3 points, although it's a bit risky given the possibility for multiple interceptions by Sanchez against a ball hawking Bills' secondary. The Jets have a 54.3% chance to cover based on the historical performance of my math model, so I'll lean with New York minus the points.
Randall the Handle
NFL
BUFFALO +3 +1.04 over NY Jets Pinnacle
You can treat this one like a home game for the Bills, as it will be played in Toronto and busloads of people from Toronto have been going to see the Bills play in Buffalo for decades. They have a huge fan base north of the border because it’s only about 100 miles away. With that said, I can’t think of too many more things less unappealing than laying road points with the Jets on a short week. The Jets had dropped six of seven before last week’s unimpressive 17-6 win over Carolina. The Jets didn’t win that game, the Panthers lost it and that’s all there is to it. You can count on the Jets to make plenty of miscues and mistakes because that’s who they are. Mark Sanchez has been exposed as a very ordinary QB that will be forced into errors and allowing any team to stay in it. Despite some key injuries the Bills have looked a whole lot better under new coach Perry Fewell. In two weeks since taking over the head coaching reigns, the Bills lost in Jacksonville 18-15 and last week they crushed the Dolphins 31-14. The Bills are now 3-3 over its last six and that includes a win in New York, 16-13 and a win in Carolina by a score of 20-6, which incidentally makes the Jets win last week look even less impressive. The Bills defense (still coordinated by Fewell) is tough and in fact kept the Dolphins in check last week when they did not allow a run of more than 13 yards. The Jets play a similar style to that of the Dolphins in that they run first and pass when they need to. Rex Ryan is asking Sanchez to pass less and less these days because the rookie cannot be trusted. The Bills seem to have a renewed spirit about them playing for Fewell and frankly, there’s not a single team in the NFL that the Jets are worthy of laying road points against. Play: Buffalo +3 +1.04 (Risking 2 units).
NHL
Anaheim +1.30 over DALLAS (REG) Pinnacle
The Ducks have played just nine road games (the lowest in the league) this season and they’re coming off a long, seven-game home stand. It would be safe to assume that they’re thrilled to get back on the road for a couple of games and even though they’ve lost two straight they’re looking a whole lot more dangerous these days. The Ducks are good; make no mistake about that. They can play the cycle and fore-check game as good as anyone. The problem is they sometimes do not show up but after seven home games and a two-game losing streak, one would expect a solid effort tonight. When the Ducks are right, they can beat anyone and come playoff time and if they make it, there are seven teams in the west that wouldn’t want to draw them in the first round. The Ducks have recent wins over both Calgary and Chicago, arguably two of the best and hottest teams in the league. The Stars have dropped three of four with only victory over that stretch being a 4-3 OT win over Tampa Bay. The Stars are a decent team but in no way are they worthy of this price over a Ducks team that is every bit as good as this host and very likely better. Nice spot and a great price on the Ducks. Play: Anaheim +1.30 (Risking 2 units).
NBA
Boston +1.05 over SAN ANTONIO Pinnacle
The best part about this is that the Spurs have reeled off five in a row to push its record to 9-6. That modest win streak has increased their stock, thus creating an absolutely beautiful opportunity here. A close look reveals that the Spurs last five victims has been Washington, Milwaukee, Golden State, Houston and Philly and all five of those teams are going to be somewhere in the neighborhood of .500 or less when the season is over. The Spurs have had the luxury of an easy schedule that has seen them just three games against a top-10 team. They’ve played Dallas twice and the Blzers once and in those games they’re 1-2. The rest of the games they’ve played were all winnable, yet the Spurs are just 9-6 and now they’ll face the only team in the NBA that has a legit shot of beating the Lakers for the championship. The Celtics are wickedly good in every aspect of the game. They’re 7-1 on the road and they’re 14-4 overall. They, too, have reeled off five straight against some not-so-tough opposition but the difference is that the C’s are the class of the East and one of the top three teams in the league. The Spurs will take a huge step up in class tonight and play its toughest game of the year and frankly, they just have not proven a damn thing this season except that they can be beat. Play: Boston +1.05 (Risking 2 units).
NFL
BUFFALO +3 +1.04 over NY Jets Pinnacle
You can treat this one like a home game for the Bills, as it will be played in Toronto and busloads of people from Toronto have been going to see the Bills play in Buffalo for decades. They have a huge fan base north of the border because it’s only about 100 miles away. With that said, I can’t think of too many more things less unappealing than laying road points with the Jets on a short week. The Jets had dropped six of seven before last week’s unimpressive 17-6 win over Carolina. The Jets didn’t win that game, the Panthers lost it and that’s all there is to it. You can count on the Jets to make plenty of miscues and mistakes because that’s who they are. Mark Sanchez has been exposed as a very ordinary QB that will be forced into errors and allowing any team to stay in it. Despite some key injuries the Bills have looked a whole lot better under new coach Perry Fewell. In two weeks since taking over the head coaching reigns, the Bills lost in Jacksonville 18-15 and last week they crushed the Dolphins 31-14. The Bills are now 3-3 over its last six and that includes a win in New York, 16-13 and a win in Carolina by a score of 20-6, which incidentally makes the Jets win last week look even less impressive. The Bills defense (still coordinated by Fewell) is tough and in fact kept the Dolphins in check last week when they did not allow a run of more than 13 yards. The Jets play a similar style to that of the Dolphins in that they run first and pass when they need to. Rex Ryan is asking Sanchez to pass less and less these days because the rookie cannot be trusted. The Bills seem to have a renewed spirit about them playing for Fewell and frankly, there’s not a single team in the NFL that the Jets are worthy of laying road points against. Play: Buffalo +3 +1.04 (Risking 2 units).
NHL
Anaheim +1.30 over DALLAS (REG) Pinnacle
The Ducks have played just nine road games (the lowest in the league) this season and they’re coming off a long, seven-game home stand. It would be safe to assume that they’re thrilled to get back on the road for a couple of games and even though they’ve lost two straight they’re looking a whole lot more dangerous these days. The Ducks are good; make no mistake about that. They can play the cycle and fore-check game as good as anyone. The problem is they sometimes do not show up but after seven home games and a two-game losing streak, one would expect a solid effort tonight. When the Ducks are right, they can beat anyone and come playoff time and if they make it, there are seven teams in the west that wouldn’t want to draw them in the first round. The Ducks have recent wins over both Calgary and Chicago, arguably two of the best and hottest teams in the league. The Stars have dropped three of four with only victory over that stretch being a 4-3 OT win over Tampa Bay. The Stars are a decent team but in no way are they worthy of this price over a Ducks team that is every bit as good as this host and very likely better. Nice spot and a great price on the Ducks. Play: Anaheim +1.30 (Risking 2 units).
NBA
Boston +1.05 over SAN ANTONIO Pinnacle
The best part about this is that the Spurs have reeled off five in a row to push its record to 9-6. That modest win streak has increased their stock, thus creating an absolutely beautiful opportunity here. A close look reveals that the Spurs last five victims has been Washington, Milwaukee, Golden State, Houston and Philly and all five of those teams are going to be somewhere in the neighborhood of .500 or less when the season is over. The Spurs have had the luxury of an easy schedule that has seen them just three games against a top-10 team. They’ve played Dallas twice and the Blzers once and in those games they’re 1-2. The rest of the games they’ve played were all winnable, yet the Spurs are just 9-6 and now they’ll face the only team in the NBA that has a legit shot of beating the Lakers for the championship. The Celtics are wickedly good in every aspect of the game. They’re 7-1 on the road and they’re 14-4 overall. They, too, have reeled off five straight against some not-so-tough opposition but the difference is that the C’s are the class of the East and one of the top three teams in the league. The Spurs will take a huge step up in class tonight and play its toughest game of the year and frankly, they just have not proven a damn thing this season except that they can be beat. Play: Boston +1.05 (Risking 2 units).
Maximus
LOCKS:
TAKE EASTERN ILLINOIS Panthers +1 ½ vs Tennessee State: This game is being played at the Gentry Complex on the campus of the Tennessee State Tigers and begins at 8:30 P.M. EST.
EVALUATION: The Tennessee State Tigers come into this game with a 1-6 SU mark, and have only had 3 rated games in which they are 1-2 ATS. They are only averaging 62.5 pts a game, and have been getting beat by an average of over 12 points a game. The Tigers are not very good at taking care of the ball and have avg’d 8 more turnovers a game than the Panthers, and they have 4 less assists per game also, their 1-2 home record does not bode well for the Tigers either, and have been averaging a very weak 38.6% shooting percentage, while allowing opponents a whopping 51.3% shooting percentage. The preseason prediction of the Tigers finishing 9 out of 10 teams looks like it could become reality. Eastern Illinois is 3-2 SU and have covered the spread in their only rated game. They are averaging 75 points a game and have a some motivation in this contest since the last time they ventured into Tiger territory they were ambushed and lost by 20 points. Their 49.3% shooting percentage is really high, and they try to protect the ball by having 5.2 more assists averaged per game than turnovers. Even without Romain Martin who has not been able to play this year yet, we like the Panthers to open up with Ohio Valley Conference play with a win here.
PROJECTION: EASTERN ILLINOIS 73 TENNESSEE ST. 66
TAKE GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES +11.5 vs College of Charleston Cougars. The game is being played at Carolina First Arena on the Campus of the Coll. Of Charleston Cougars, and begins at 7:00 PM EST
EVALUATION: College of Charleston enters this contest with 1-3 SU record, and have been scoring 67 points a game. They have been getting beat by an average of 5 ½ points a game, and that includes a 17 point loss to the Tennessee Volunteers. Their 41.7% shooting percentage is respectable, but they turn the ball over 2 extra times a game avg. over assists, the key stat we don’t like in this game is that they have they second worst rebounds allowed in the league at 45.3 per game. Georgia Southern is 3-4 and have been averaging 77.86 points a game, and have a really hard early season so far with losses coming by the way of a very good Florida Gator team, Valparaiso, and Jacksonville St. The Eagles have been putting up over 80 points a game in their last 3 games and have won 2 of those 3 games only dropping the contest to Valparaiso. The key for the Eagles is their shooting percentage, in the games they scored over 80 they have an avg. over 48.5% shooting percentage, and the College of Charleston allows opponents to shoot 44.8%, so we think this is a good thing for the Eagles.
PROJECTION: Georgia Southern 76 College of Charleston 75
SOLIDS:______________________Projections
FAIRFIELD -15 vsMarist_________________________Fairfield 79-56
IDAHO PKvs CS Northridge______________________Idaho 76-71
ELON +13 vs Samford __________________________Samford 65-62
SE MISSOURI ST. +15 1/2 vs Austin Peay___________Austin Peay 70-61
OVER/UNDER
Washington/Texas Tech UNDER 155 ½__________________141
Princeton/Rutgers OVER 117_______________________131
MONEYLINE
Baylor +285 _________________________Baylor 68-66
Furman +370_________________________Furman 72-68
LOCKS:
TAKE EASTERN ILLINOIS Panthers +1 ½ vs Tennessee State: This game is being played at the Gentry Complex on the campus of the Tennessee State Tigers and begins at 8:30 P.M. EST.
EVALUATION: The Tennessee State Tigers come into this game with a 1-6 SU mark, and have only had 3 rated games in which they are 1-2 ATS. They are only averaging 62.5 pts a game, and have been getting beat by an average of over 12 points a game. The Tigers are not very good at taking care of the ball and have avg’d 8 more turnovers a game than the Panthers, and they have 4 less assists per game also, their 1-2 home record does not bode well for the Tigers either, and have been averaging a very weak 38.6% shooting percentage, while allowing opponents a whopping 51.3% shooting percentage. The preseason prediction of the Tigers finishing 9 out of 10 teams looks like it could become reality. Eastern Illinois is 3-2 SU and have covered the spread in their only rated game. They are averaging 75 points a game and have a some motivation in this contest since the last time they ventured into Tiger territory they were ambushed and lost by 20 points. Their 49.3% shooting percentage is really high, and they try to protect the ball by having 5.2 more assists averaged per game than turnovers. Even without Romain Martin who has not been able to play this year yet, we like the Panthers to open up with Ohio Valley Conference play with a win here.
PROJECTION: EASTERN ILLINOIS 73 TENNESSEE ST. 66
TAKE GEORGIA SOUTHERN EAGLES +11.5 vs College of Charleston Cougars. The game is being played at Carolina First Arena on the Campus of the Coll. Of Charleston Cougars, and begins at 7:00 PM EST
EVALUATION: College of Charleston enters this contest with 1-3 SU record, and have been scoring 67 points a game. They have been getting beat by an average of 5 ½ points a game, and that includes a 17 point loss to the Tennessee Volunteers. Their 41.7% shooting percentage is respectable, but they turn the ball over 2 extra times a game avg. over assists, the key stat we don’t like in this game is that they have they second worst rebounds allowed in the league at 45.3 per game. Georgia Southern is 3-4 and have been averaging 77.86 points a game, and have a really hard early season so far with losses coming by the way of a very good Florida Gator team, Valparaiso, and Jacksonville St. The Eagles have been putting up over 80 points a game in their last 3 games and have won 2 of those 3 games only dropping the contest to Valparaiso. The key for the Eagles is their shooting percentage, in the games they scored over 80 they have an avg. over 48.5% shooting percentage, and the College of Charleston allows opponents to shoot 44.8%, so we think this is a good thing for the Eagles.
PROJECTION: Georgia Southern 76 College of Charleston 75
SOLIDS:______________________Projections
FAIRFIELD -15 vsMarist_________________________Fairfield 79-56
IDAHO PKvs CS Northridge______________________Idaho 76-71
ELON +13 vs Samford __________________________Samford 65-62
SE MISSOURI ST. +15 1/2 vs Austin Peay___________Austin Peay 70-61
OVER/UNDER
Washington/Texas Tech UNDER 155 ½__________________141
Princeton/Rutgers OVER 117_______________________131
MONEYLINE
Baylor +285 _________________________Baylor 68-66
Furman +370_________________________Furman 72-68
Rated Picks
CBB 12/03 Eastern Illinois at Tennessee St pick: Tennessee St pts: -1.0 2 units
CBB 12/03 Elon at Samford pick: Samford pts: -11.5 5 units
NFL 12/03 New York Jets at Buffalo Bills pick: Buffalo Bills pts: +3.0 3 units
NBA 12/03 Boston Celtics at San Antonio Spurs pick: Boston Celtics pts: +1.5 2 units
CBB 12/03 Eastern Illinois at Tennessee St pick: Tennessee St pts: -1.0 2 units
CBB 12/03 Elon at Samford pick: Samford pts: -11.5 5 units
NFL 12/03 New York Jets at Buffalo Bills pick: Buffalo Bills pts: +3.0 3 units
NBA 12/03 Boston Celtics at San Antonio Spurs pick: Boston Celtics pts: +1.5 2 units
Spartan confirmed; write-up.
Analysis: I really liked what I saw out of Buffalo last week as we won our wager on the Bills over the Dolphins. This team showed me real heart and handed the Dolphins a 34-14 defeat. I am perfectly willing to go right back to the well with this team in this prime time match up. It's not often this team gets to appear in the showcase events and I look for a huge effort out of the Bills given this opportunity. Ryan Fitzpatrick is not a quarterback that many in the country are real familiar with but he is more than capable. The public may favor the Jets here but the stubborn fact is the Bills are 5-1 against the number the last 6 times they have locked horns with the Jets and this is a Bills squad feeling pretty good about themselves at the moment. I look for a hard fouŠght game that should well worth watching, too bad it is on the NFL Network and many will lose out. Not a real high profile game but I really like the swagger the Bills are playing with, particularly on defense. No way I am surrendering 3 points to the Jets here. Triple Star Release on the Buffalo Bills +3 guys!
Analysis: I really liked what I saw out of Buffalo last week as we won our wager on the Bills over the Dolphins. This team showed me real heart and handed the Dolphins a 34-14 defeat. I am perfectly willing to go right back to the well with this team in this prime time match up. It's not often this team gets to appear in the showcase events and I look for a huge effort out of the Bills given this opportunity. Ryan Fitzpatrick is not a quarterback that many in the country are real familiar with but he is more than capable. The public may favor the Jets here but the stubborn fact is the Bills are 5-1 against the number the last 6 times they have locked horns with the Jets and this is a Bills squad feeling pretty good about themselves at the moment. I look for a hard fouŠght game that should well worth watching, too bad it is on the NFL Network and many will lose out. Not a real high profile game but I really like the swagger the Bills are playing with, particularly on defense. No way I am surrendering 3 points to the Jets here. Triple Star Release on the Buffalo Bills +3 guys!
Ferringo
2-Unit Play. Take #725 Eastern Kentucky (+9) over Murray State (7 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #739 Eastern Illinois (+1) over Tennessee State (8:30 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #735 Morehead State (-4) over UT-Martin (8:30 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #721 Idaho (Pk) over CS-Northridge (10 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #723 Baylor (+8.5) over Arizona State (10:30 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 153.5 Washington at Texas Tech (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #725 Eastern Kentucky (+14) over Murray State (7 p.m.) AND Take #739 Eastern Illinois (+6) over Tennessee State (8:30 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #718 Wright State (-5.5) over Cleveland State (9 p.m.) AND Take #714 UW-Milwaukee (-5) over Loyola-Chicago (8 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #721 Idaho (+5) over CS-Northridge (10 p.m.) AND Take #723 Baylor (+13.5) over Arizona State (10:30 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #725 Eastern Kentucky (+9) over Murray State (7 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #739 Eastern Illinois (+1) over Tennessee State (8:30 p.m.)
2-Unit Play. Take #735 Morehead State (-4) over UT-Martin (8:30 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #721 Idaho (Pk) over CS-Northridge (10 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take #723 Baylor (+8.5) over Arizona State (10:30 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. Take ‘Over’ 153.5 Washington at Texas Tech (7 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #725 Eastern Kentucky (+14) over Murray State (7 p.m.) AND Take #739 Eastern Illinois (+6) over Tennessee State (8:30 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #718 Wright State (-5.5) over Cleveland State (9 p.m.) AND Take #714 UW-Milwaukee (-5) over Loyola-Chicago (8 p.m.)
1-Unit Play. TEASER: Take #721 Idaho (+5) over CS-Northridge (10 p.m.) AND Take #723 Baylor (+13.5) over Arizona State (10:30 p.m.)
Hammer's NHL Picks (12/3)
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<HR SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->[COLOR=#000000! important]3 Day Winning Streak: 4-2-1 +49 Dimes
15 Dimes: Vancouver/Philadelphia Over 5.5 -110
10 Dimes: Calgary -130
10 Dimes: St. Louis/San Jose Over 5.5 -105[/COLOR]
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<HR SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->[COLOR=#000000! important]3 Day Winning Streak: 4-2-1 +49 Dimes
15 Dimes: Vancouver/Philadelphia Over 5.5 -110
10 Dimes: Calgary -130
10 Dimes: St. Louis/San Jose Over 5.5 -105[/COLOR]
vegas-runner | NBA Sides Thu, 12/03/09 - 8:05 PM Â~
double-dime bet 702 SAN -1.0 (-110) Bodog vs 701 BOS
Analysis:
** NBA on TNT 2* TOP PLAY OF THE DAY **
BETUS is using PK !!
Bottom Line..."Value"...and that's exactly what we are getting by backing the Spurs at home tonight, in more or less a pick'em spot...And the reason for this is that the Celtics have won 5 straight games, and have covered their L/3...And more importantly, have had plenty of success on the road overall this year...and also historically at SA...
But tonight, the situation is much different...The Spurs have also won 5 straight and are playing their best basketball of the season...Although they are only 9-6 overall this season...they are 80% SU at home (8-2)...Which means that we have to give even more weight to their Home Court Edge...
And let's not forget...the L/3 times that Boston came to town...they were getting +3.5, +4.5, & +13...So we are surely getting some line value here...
But more importantly, the Celtics are plauing their 3rd straight road game...While the Spurs have been resting up, having not played since Sunday...And you can be sure that they've had some time to plan for tonight's "Prime-Time" TNT game...Look a little deeper, and you will find that the Spurs have ONLY played "2" Road Games since NOV 6th...Which is why they've also been playing their best ball...Because being home like that allows for extra practice, and extra rest...And we know how difficult the Spurs can be to defeat when they have those 2 things going for them...being an older ball club...
So let's go ahead and back the Spurs in the 1st Game of Tonight's TNT Coverage...and make it the To‹p NBA Play of the Day...VR (We may also be taking a position on the 2nd TNT Match-up...If so, it will be included in tonight's "All-Access" Pass)...
double-dime bet 702 SAN -1.0 (-110) Bodog vs 701 BOS
Analysis:
** NBA on TNT 2* TOP PLAY OF THE DAY **
BETUS is using PK !!
Bottom Line..."Value"...and that's exactly what we are getting by backing the Spurs at home tonight, in more or less a pick'em spot...And the reason for this is that the Celtics have won 5 straight games, and have covered their L/3...And more importantly, have had plenty of success on the road overall this year...and also historically at SA...
But tonight, the situation is much different...The Spurs have also won 5 straight and are playing their best basketball of the season...Although they are only 9-6 overall this season...they are 80% SU at home (8-2)...Which means that we have to give even more weight to their Home Court Edge...
And let's not forget...the L/3 times that Boston came to town...they were getting +3.5, +4.5, & +13...So we are surely getting some line value here...
But more importantly, the Celtics are plauing their 3rd straight road game...While the Spurs have been resting up, having not played since Sunday...And you can be sure that they've had some time to plan for tonight's "Prime-Time" TNT game...Look a little deeper, and you will find that the Spurs have ONLY played "2" Road Games since NOV 6th...Which is why they've also been playing their best ball...Because being home like that allows for extra practice, and extra rest...And we know how difficult the Spurs can be to defeat when they have those 2 things going for them...being an older ball club...
So let's go ahead and back the Spurs in the 1st Game of Tonight's TNT Coverage...and make it the To‹p NBA Play of the Day...VR (We may also be taking a position on the 2nd TNT Match-up...If so, it will be included in tonight's "All-Access" Pass)...
