Service Plays Thursday 08/27/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

THURSDAY, AUGUST 27

NFL PRESEASON

Jacksonville (0-2, 0-1-1 ATS) at Philadelphia (0-2 SU and ATS)

Michael Vick will make his Eagles debut when Philadelphia hosts the Jaguars at Lincoln Financial Field.

Vick, who hasn’t participated in an NFL game since 2006, is expected to play with the first-team offense, both at quarterback and in the “wildcat” formation, sometime in the first half. Coach Andy Reid didn’t spell out how long Vick would be on the field, only that he wouldn’t play in the fourth quarter.

Reid did say his first-stringers, including No. 1 QB Donovan McNabb, will play three quarters tonight after playing most of the first half in last week’s 23-15 loss at Indianapolis as 3½-point road favorite. Also, backup quarterback Kevin Kolb, who has been sidelined with an injury, will see his first preseason action as he leads the offense in the fourth quarter tonight.

Jacksonville has dropped its first two exhibition games by a combined four points, losing 12-9 at Miami as a three-point road underdog then falling 24-23 to Tampa Bay last week as a three-point home favorite. Because this is the team’s third game in 11 days, Jaguars coach Jack Del Rio said his starters, including QB David Garrard, won’t be on the field very long tonight, though he wasn’t specific beyond that. Once Garrard departs, look for veteran backup Todd Bouman to take over, followed by rookie Paul Smith.

Philadelphia has now lost three straight August contest (0-3 ATS) dating to Week 4 of last year. The Eagles, who have had just one winning preseason in Reid’s decade-long tenure as coach, are just 1-3 SU and ATS in their last four preseason home games, including a 27-25 loss to New England as a three-point favorite two weeks ago.

The Jaguars are looking to avoid their first losing preseason since Del Rio took over as coach in 2003. Despite the loss in Miami in Week 1, they’re still 5-2 SU and 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven exhibition road games, and they’re 3-0-1 ATS in their last four as a preseason pup. Finally, Jacksonville has won and covered three straight Week 3 games in August.

The over is 12-6 in Jacksonville’s last 18 preseason games, but three of its last four on the road have stayed low. The Eagles have topped the total in nine of their last 11 preseason contests, including both this year.


ATS ADVANTAGE: JACKSONVILLE and OVER



St. Louis (1-1 SU and ATS) at Cincinnati (1-1 SU and ATS)

The Bengals likely will be without starting quarterback Carson Palmer once again when they host the Rams, who also will be missing their top passer when they visit Paul Brown Stadium.

St. Louis fell 20-13 to Atlanta as a 2½-point home underdog a week ago, with starting QB Marc Bulger on the sidelines nursing a broken pinkie on his throwing hand. With Bulger out of this one, the Rams again turn to veteran Kyle Boller who will lead the first-team offense through the entire first half and possibly into the third quarter. Behind Boller are rookie Keith Null and veteran Brock Berlin, who are competing for the No. 3 job.

Palmer injured his ankle in a Week 1 loss at New Orleans and sat out last Thursday’s game at New England, which Cincinnati won 7-6 as a 6½-point road underdog. He won’t play tonight, leaving the starting QB chores to J.T. O’Sullivan, who has completed 79 percent of his passes with two TDs and no picks this month. Coach Marvin Lewis didn’t reveal how long his starters will play, but expect Palmer’s brother, Jordan, to see action under center in the second half.

St. Louis dropped to 4-8 ATS in its last 12 as an underdog with last week’s loss to Atlanta, and despite upsetting the Jets in New York in Week 1, the Rams are just 4-11 SU and 5-10 ATS in preseason roadies since 2002.

Cincinnati has been the picture of preseason mediocrity since Lewis took over in 2003, splitting 26 games while going 14-12 ATS. Last year, the Bengals went 0-2 SU and ATS at home in August, and they’re 1-3 SU and ATS the last four years in Week 3 dress-rehearsals.

The Bengals have now stayed under the total in four consecutive preseason games, but the “over” is 3-0 in the Rams’ three exhibition road contests since the start of last year.

ATS ADVANTAGE: CINCINNATI


Miami (2-0, 1-0-1 ATS) at Tampa Bay (1-1 SU and ATS)

The Dolphins gun for their sixth consecutive preseason victory when they head up state to face the Buccaneers at Raymond James Stadium.

Tampa Bay held on for a 24-23 win at Jacksonville on Saturday, cashing as a three-point underdog. Veteran quarterbacks Byron Leftwich and Luke McCown, who are locked in a battle for the No. 1 job, are each slated to play about 1½ quarters tonight, both with the first-string offense. Rookie coach Raheem Morris said Leftwich will get the start followed by McCown, who threw two TD passes against the Jaguars. Rookie Josh Freeman will play the fourth quarter.

Miami swept its two preseason home games, beating Jacksonville 12-9 as a three-point favorite and Carolina 27-17 last week as a 2½-point chalk, moving to 5-0 SU and ATS in exhibition play since a 17-6 home loss to Tampa Bay in coach Tony Sparano’s debut last August. Sparano said QB Chad Pennington will start tonight and play until midway through the third quarter, with the majority of the remaining starters finishing the quarter. Chad Henne will replace Pennington and finish the game, leaving rookie QB Pat White without any reps under center.

The Buccaneers are on a 7-3 SU and ATS run in preseason action, they’re 9-3 (8-4 ATS) in their last 12 at Raymond James Stadium in August and they’ve cashed in four straight as a preseason chalk. On the downside, Tampa Bay is just 1-4 SU and 1-3-1 ATS in Week 3 over the last five summers. However, the one victory came in Miami in 2007 when the Bucs topped the Dolphins 31-28 as a two-point underdog.

The Dolphins scored outright upsets in their two preseason road tilts last year, and they’re 4-1 ATS as an underdog in August since 2007.

The visitor has won the last three meetings in this annual preseason rivalry (3-0 ATS), and the Bucs are 5-1-1 ATS in the last six August clashes.

The over is 7-2 in Tampa Bay’s last nine exhibition contests (2-0 this year). Conversely, the under is 7-2 in Miami’s last eight in August, with last week’s high-scoring affair against Carolina snapping a 5-0 preseason “under” stretch. Finally, the under is 6-2 in the last eight preseason matchups between these teams.

ATS ADVANTAGE: TAMPA BAY and UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Chicago White Sox (63-64) at Boston (73-53)

The Red Sox send rookie Junichi Tazawa (2-2, 3.57 ERA) to the mound at Fenway Park looking to complete a four-game sweep over the White Sox, who counter with lefty John Danks (11-8, 3.85).

Boston got two homers from David Ortiz on Wednesday, including a walk-off shot in the ninth that curled around Pesky Pole to give the Red Sox a 3-2 win. Boston has won eight of the last nine meetings with Chicago at Fenway Park and 14 of the last 17 clashes overall.

As a team, the White Sox are on slides of 5-16 on the road, 2-12 on the road against right-handed starters, 16-40 on the road against winning teams and 1-6 against A.L. East squads. Boston is riding streaks of 7-2 overall, 13-2 as a favorite, 46-16 against the A.L. Central, 38-16 as a home chalk and 36-15 on Thursdays.

Danks has been sharp lately, going 2-0 with a 1.66 ERA in his last three starts. On Saturday he held the Orioles to one run on three hits in 6 1/3 innings of a 4-1 victory, and over his last three outings he’s allowed just four runs in 21 2/3 innings. Chicago is 0-3 in his three career outings against Boston, including a 5-1 loss last year when he allowed two runs in seven innings. However, the White Sox are 6-1 in Danks’ last seven outings against A.L. East opponents.

Tazawa is making just his fourth career start, but was magnificent on Saturday against the rival Yankees, blanking them through six innings as the Red Sox got the easy 14-1 win. He’s enjoyed Fenway so far, going 2-0 with a 0.82 ERA.

When Danks takes the hill, Chicago is on “under” runs of 10-4 overall, 8-2 on Thursdays, 5-1 when he’s on the road and 5-2 when he’s a ‘dog. As a team, the White Sox are on a plethora of “under” streaks that include 12-4 on the road, 15-6-1 against winning teams, 5-1 against the A.L. East, 7-1 overall and 9-1 on the road against right-handers. On the opposite side, Boston is riding “over” runs of 11-3 at home, 5-1 on Thursdays, 4-0 against southpaws, 14-4 as a favorite and 8-3 against teams with losing road records.

Finally, the under has been the play in this series in five of the last seven overall and 10 of the last 15 in Beantown.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty split with the Indians and Tigers Wednesday.

Today it's the Marlins. The surplus is 1,450 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

August 27, 2009

Hondo's four-pronged deficit-reduction plan turned into a total disaster last night as he went quadruple-draino with the Tigers, Rangers, White Sox and Nats to end the day with a debt of 710 sains. Tonight, he's taking a wild stab in Atlanta -- 10 units on poor Richard and the Pods over Los Bravos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR THURSDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )

Houston (Moehler)

ST. LOUIS (CARPENTER) -320 (1)


Oakland (Cahill)

ANGELS (SANTANA) -180 (2)


WHITE SOX (DANKS) +105 (3)

Boston (Tazawa)


Run Totals

Kansas City / Seattle OVER 8 ½

Texas / Yankees UNDER 9 ½

San Diego / Atlanta UNDER 8

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL DUNKEL

Week 3

Jacksonville at Philadelphia
The preseason continues Thursday night with the Eagles hosting the Jaguars Philadelphia is the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has the Eagles favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-7). Here are all of this week's preseason picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 27

Game 251-252: Jacksonville at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 120.617; Philadelphia 130.164
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 9 1/2; 45
Vegas Line: Philadelphia by 7; 37
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-7); Over

Game 253-254: St. Louis at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 120.205; Cincinnati 119.684
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1; 38
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 2 1/2; 35
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+2 1/2); Over

Game 255-256: Miami at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 123.040; Tampa Bay 123.858
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 32 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 2 1/2; 35
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+2 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL LONG SHEET


Week 3

Thursday, August 27

JACKSONVILLE (0 - 2) at PHILADELPHIA (0 - 2) - 8/27/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
JACKSONVILLE is 9-1 ATS (+7.9 Units) in a road game where the total is between 35.5 and 38 points since 1993.
JACKSONVILLE is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) in road games in games played on a grass field since 1993.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

ST LOUIS (1 - 1) at CINCINNATI (1 - 1) - 8/27/2009, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MIAMI (2 - 0) at TAMPA BAY (1 - 1) - 8/27/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TAMPA BAY is 2-0 against the spread versus MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
TAMPA BAY is 2-0 straight up against MIAMI over the last 3 seasons
1 of 2 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL SHORT SHEET


Week 3

Thursday, 8/27/2009

JACKSONVILLE at PHILADELPHIA, 7:00 PM ET
JACKSONVILLE: 7-0 ATS Away in Preseason Week 4
PHILADELPHIA: 1-7 ATS in non-conf games

ST LOUIS at CINCINNATI, 7:30 PM ET
ST LOUIS: 1-9 ATS off a home loss
CINCINNATI: 16-8 Over as favorite

MIAMI at TAMPA BAY, 8:00 PM ET FOX
MIAMI: 5-1 ATS playing with 6 or less days rest
TAMPA BAY: 26-11 Under as favorite

 

[polishrebel]

The Gold Medal Club 24k (1-0) 18K (4-6) 14K (2-2)

253 St.Louis@ 254 Cincinnnati 7:30 pm

PLAY ON 254 Cincinnnati -2.5 24K

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

Phoenix Mercury at Los Angeles Sparks (-4, 171)

The Western Conference's top team meets its hottest team when the Mercury visit the Sparks Thursday night.

Los Angeles is rolling, winning six straight games while posting a 5-1 ATS record in that span.

The return of veteran forward Lisa Leslie has supplied the Sparks with some needed energy. And now that MVP Candace Parker appears to have her groove back, L.A.’s dominance in the paint is the backbone of a late-season push.

The Sparks have out-rebounded every opponent during this streak by an average of over 10 boards per game. In their most recent win, Los Angeles pulled down 35 rebounds with 20 of those coming from Leslie and Parker.

"I was just like, 'These girls, they can't stop us inside,"' Leslie told reporters after Tuesday’s win over Chicago. "I got a chance to really look and see where those open spots were and I was able to get back in. They weren't doing a very good job of boxing out, so I knew just keep crashing the boards."

Pick: Los Angeles


Connecticut Sun at Seattle Storm (-4.5, 144.5)

Injured Connecticut forward Asjha Jones is close to returning but will not make it back from an Achilles’ injury in time to shut down Storm forward Lauren Jackson.

The 6-foot-5 Aussie, along with reserve center Janell Burse, is a handful down low. Seattle is one of the best inside shooting teams in the WNBA, posting a field goal percentage of over 43 percent. Jackson is averaging almost 20 points and over seven rebounds per game this season.

In their most recent contest, the Sun were able to slow down the Storm’s frontcourt and held Jackson to just 12 points on 3-of-16 shooting. However, a lot of that defense came from Jones, who had two blocks and four fouls in the 64-53 Connecticut win on August 13.

Without her, the Sun face a towering Storm team that has extra motivation outside of avenging that loss two weeks ago. Seattle can clinch a playoff spot with a win Thursday and trail the Western-leading Phoenix Mercury by two games.

Pick: Seattle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Wunderdog

Game: Miami at Tampa Bay (Thursday 8/27 8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 36 -110

The Dolphins and Bucs meet in a long-standing preseason rivalry that has seen 23 games played, with Miami holding the advantage at 14-9. These teams are both still exploring starting QB's which should be the key to both teams' seasons. These teams historically have played defensive battles in these games. The last 12 played have seen the under go 10-2, and the winning team had 17 or less points in nine of the ten that went under. There is added reason to believe these teams will play low scoring here, besides the history. These teams meet during the regular season and it isn't likely they are going to tip their hand or show anything special. Instead, they should keep things basic and conservative. In addition the Bucs are 26-11 UNDER the past 15 years in the preseason when instilled as a favorite. I like this one to go UNDER the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports
316 - 209 run 60 % on free selections

Thurs RED SOX - 125

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Rams
Buccaneers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe wiz Bonus Plays

white sox
cws/bos under
tex/nyy under

 

[russwlms]

John Morrison WNBA System Plays 8 - 27

WNBA



8/27 ATLANTA, vs. (A)Detroit; (B)Seattle; (C)Los Angeles

8/27 CONNECTICUT, vs. (A)Seattle; (b)Phoenix; (C)Los Angeles

Dont forget to buy 3pts!

:toast:

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA Basketball Picks
DUNKEL

Phoenix at Los Angeles

The Mercury look to build on their 9-2 ATS record in their last 11 games when playing with 3 or more days of rest. Phoenix is the pick (+4) according to Dunkel, which has the Sparks favored by only 2. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+4). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 27
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 601-602: San Antonio at Indiana
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 108.899; Indiana 115.102
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6; 147
Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 7; 150
Dunkel Pick: San Antonio (+7); Under
Game 603-604: Atlanta at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 112.980; Detroit 118.186
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 5; 172
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 167 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-3 1/2); Over
Game 605-606: Connecticut at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Connecticut 108.306; Seattle 115.739
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 7 1/2; 140
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 4; 144
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-4); Under
Game 607-608: Phoenix at Los Angeles
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 113.734; Los Angeles 115.867
Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 2; 182
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles by 4; 171
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (+4); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks
DUNKEL

Cincinnati at Milwaukee

The Reds look to take advantage of a Milwaukee team that is 2-6 in its last 8 games as a favorite. Cincinnati is the pick (+145) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+145). Here are all of today's picks.

THURSDAY, AUGUST 27
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: NY Mets at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Redding) 14.372; Florida (Sanchez) 15.277
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-220); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-220); Under
Game 903-904: Cincinnati at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Lehr) 14.822; Milwaukee (Bush) 14.394
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+145); Over
Game 905-906: Houston at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Moehler) 14.743; St. Louis (Carpenter) 16.807
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-320); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-320); Under
Game 907-908: Washington at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Martin) 14.313; Cubs (Wells) 15.496
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-220); No Run Line
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (-220); N/A
Game 909-910: LA Dodgers at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Padilla) 15.430; Colorado (De La Rosa) 16.339
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 11
Vegas Line: Colorado (-145); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-145); Over
Game 911-912: Philadelphia at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Happ) 15.219; Pittsburgh (Morton) 15.928
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-195); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+185); Under
Game 913-914: San Diego at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Richard) 14.995; Atlanta (Vazquez) 14.374
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-250); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+230); Over
Game 915-916: Arizona at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Petit) 14.293; San Francisco (Martinez) 15.327
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-135); Under
Game 917-918: Texas at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Nippert) 16.958; NY Yankees (Burnett) 16.068
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-230); 10
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+220); Under
Game 919-920: Cleveland at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Laffey) 16.944; Baltimore (Hernandez) 15.702
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+115); Under
Game 921-922: Chicago White Sox at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Danks) 15.479; Boston (Tazawa) 15.227
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Boston (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (+110); Under
Game 923-924: Kansas City at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davies) 14.629; Seattle (Fister) 15.779
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-145); Under
Game 925-926: Oakland at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Cahill) 14.016; LA Angels (Santana) 15.569
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-175); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-175); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

bettingjesus

NFLX GOY Bengals ML -135 First Half 4 units
SL Cards RL -130 1 unit

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Brandon Lang

Thursday's Selections ...
NOTE:

Lots of travel today in Scotland, with lots of filming. 9 am to 9 pm to be exact. Going to be a long day, so nice to get the winning night last night to take into today.



It's amazing sometimes the difference between a winning day and losing day.



Good breaks, bad breaks. They all equal out at the end of the year.



Looked dead in the Giants game last night until Bengie Molina bailed me out. Sometimes you need a big win like that to keep things going.



Momentum in every facet of life is an incredible equalizer. When you have it, everything seems to go your way more than it goes against you, and I most certainly have had more of it the last 6 winning weeks.



I made some changes back in July how I approach things and it has most certainly paid off. Just sticking to my gameplan, executing it to perfection and it all adds up to a possible 7 straight winning weeks.



Need another winning day today. Nothing more and nothing less.



5 DIMER - CLEVELAND INDIANS - They were good to me yesterday, and I will gladly ride them again today behind Laffey.



Now I used Laffey 2 Sunday's ago as a free pick winner and he delivered a nice underdog win at Minnesota. His next start out I rode the UNDER between he and Fister and he delivered for me again 4-3.



Now I come back with him on the road at Baltimore and as a added incentive, he is from the Maryland area so pitching for family and friends should be an added bonus.



Bottom line is Laffey has just been solid his last 10 starts allowing more than 3 earned runs just twice, and has won 2 of his last 3 on the road over the aforementioned Twins and Mariners.



Hernandez has been struggling a bit giving up 14 earned his last 15 1/3 innings and he has gone 1-4 in the process.



We all know one of the worst teams in all of baseball the 2nd half of the season is the Baltimore Orioles while the Indians continue to play well and win, as evidenced by their 24-14 mark the last month.



I will go to the well one more time with Laffey tonight at a very good value price.



I'm riding the Indians.



CLEVELAND INDIANS (Laffey over Hernandez)



5 DIMER - CHICAGO WHITE SOX - Living on borrowed time.



That is all I can say about rookie Tawaza of the Red Sox. He shut out the Yankees for 6 innings his last start but it wasn't so much him as it was the Yankees not being able to get the big hit with men in scoring position.



How does 0-8 suit you for the pinstripers in that game?



In fact, it has been a common theme with this kid as major league hitters are 2 for 22 with men in scoring position against him. So the question is how do you break through? Glad you asked.



You do it with veteran hitters, a veteran lineup trying to avert a 4-game road sweep as the White Sox are trying to do tonight.



Danks is just the kind of guy to get them there and also breakthrough against Boston who has beaten him 3 in a row. He comes in pitching very well giving up 4 earned over his last 21 2/3 innings.



Folks, this is a big game for Chicago as they are 4 1/2 games back of the Tigers in the Central and off a tough loss last night, I look for the White sox to rebound with Danks and get to this rookie early and often.



Chicago is the play.



CHICAGO WHITE SOX (Danks over Tazawa)



5 DIMER - ST. LOUIS-CINCINNATI UNDER - I just don't see these two teams getting over the total tonight.



You have the # 1 defenses playing well into the 3rd quarter and both starting QB's sitting on the bench with injuries. So it's up to guys like Kyle Boller, J.T. O'Sullivan, Brock Berlin and Carson Palmer's younger brother Jordan.



I was so impressed with the Bengals defense at New England last week holding the Patriots to just a touchdown and head coach Lewis is preaching defense like never before.



At home in this preseason game I look for him to unleash as impressive a defense for the home crowd as they have seen in quite sometime. Defense wins championships and the Bengals have a pretty good defense as you will see again tonight.



Rams new head coach Spagnola is all about the defense and tonight is a good matchup for his defense and a great opportunity for him to find out just where they are at.



With the quarterbacks in this game less than average and both defenses ready to get after it, I am rolling with the Under in a smash mouth defensive battle.



Ride the Under.



ST. LOUIS-CINCINNATI UNDER (Sanchez over Davis)



FREE SELECTION - SEATTLE MARINERS

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Sports Investing Professional - Thursday

Yesterday's Recap - Bad bullpen. Although that could be said for
90% of MLB.

Todays Play(s) - The prices are still and will be insane until the end of the
season. Let's go runline on a team with a good bullpen for a change.

MLB - St. Louis Cardinals -1.5 -130 Moehler / Carpenter 1,300.00 / 1000.00


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional

Twitter: tsipro

Record (38-23) +$4,784