Service Plays Thursday 07/23/09

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WNBA LONG SHEET


Thursday, July 23

INDIANA (12 - 3) at SAN ANTONIO (6 - 8) - 7/23/2009, 12:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
INDIANA is 68-95 ATS (-36.5 Units) in road games since 1997.
INDIANA is 19-34 ATS (-18.4 Units) in road games in July games since 1997.
INDIANA is 44-70 ATS (-33.0 Units) against Western conference opponents since 1997.
INDIANA is 37-61 ATS (-30.1 Units) in road games after a division game since 1997.
INDIANA is 44-70 ATS (-33.0 Units) in non-conference games since 1997.
INDIANA is 7-17 ATS (-11.7 Units) after scoring 75 points or more over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 against the spread versus INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
SAN ANTONIO is 3-1 straight up against INDIANA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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CHICAGO (8 - 8) at WASHINGTON (7 - 7) - 7/23/2009, 7:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
WASHINGTON is 166-215 ATS (-70.5 Units) in all games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 6-17 ATS (-12.7 Units) in home games over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 54-77 ATS (-30.7 Units) in July games since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 104-137 ATS (-46.7 Units) vs. division opponents since 1997.
WASHINGTON is 3-11 ATS (-9.1 Units) in home games after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
WASHINGTON is 48-71 ATS (-30.1 Units) after a loss by 10 points or more since 1997.

Head-to-Head Series History
WASHINGTON is 6-3 against the spread versus CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
WASHINGTON is 5-4 straight up against CHICAGO over the last 3 seasons
6 of 9 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

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SACRAMENTO (3 - 13) at NEW YORK (5 - 8) - 7/23/2009, 7:30 PM
Top Trends for this game.
SACRAMENTO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in all games this season.
SACRAMENTO is 2-8 ATS (-6.8 Units) as an underdog this season.
SACRAMENTO is 29-53 ATS (-29.3 Units) as a road underdog of 3.5 to 6 points since 1997.
SACRAMENTO is 4-12 ATS (-9.2 Units) in May, June, or July games this season.

Head-to-Head Series History
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
SACRAMENTO is 3-1 straight up against NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
3 of 4 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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CFL DUNKEL


Hamilton at Montreal
The Tiger-Cats look to build on their 9-3 ATS record in their last 12 meetings in Montreal. Hamilton is the pick (+14 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Alouettes favored by 13 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+14 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.

THURSDAY, JULY 23

Game 401-402: Hamilton at Montreal
Dunkel Ratings: Hamilton 110.713; Montreal 124.069
Dunkel Line: Montreal by 13 1/2; 55 1/2
Vegas Line: Montreal by 14 1/2; 54 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Hamilton (+14 1/2); Over
 
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CFL LONG SHEET


Week 4


Thursday, July 23

HAMILTON (2 - 1) at MONTREAL (3 - 0) - 7/23/2009, 7:30 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
MONTREAL is 4-3 against the spread versus HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
MONTREAL is 6-1 straight up against HAMILTON over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 

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sportsbetsnow

Angels -155 1 unit via twitter
 

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jefferson-sports early release

totals now 37-17 (69%) won sf under yest

mlb early release total

arizona under 7.5 lp haren/morton
 
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Canadian bacon: CFL Week 4 preview and picks

Thursday, July 23

HAMILTON TIGER CATS (2-1) at MONTREAL ALOUETTES (3-0)

The Tiger Cats would love to steal a victory in Montreal and take hold of first place in the East Division. But they will be without linebacker Otis Floyd and don’t have the depth necessary to overtake the Als at this time in the season. Flamboyant slotback Jamal Richardson, who missed last week’s game in Regina, will be back and provides QB Anthony Calvillo another quality target. The Alouettes will remain unbeaten and should cover the 14.5 spread.

Pick: Alouettes
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Cubs Wednesday.

Today it's the Braves and Rays. The surplus is 1,110 sirignanos.
 
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Hondo

July 23, 2009

Hondo lost ugly with Belle Allure in the eighth at Bel mont yesterday, which, coupled with a couple of base ball losses (Rays and Giants) last night, caused the def icit to expand to 365 doerrs. Here's another big number: 254.5 -- that's what showed on the beef scale at Gal lagher's yesterday when Anthony Affrunti, The Post's Puny Pony Picker (if the diet works), joined the "Weigh ing In Against Autism" campaign. Pledges to Autism Speaks can be made for each pound AA sheds by Aug. 17. (Info: 212-972-5337).

Today, another play on Tampa Bay seems the way -- 10 units on Kazmir to shut down those darn Chisox.
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

THURSDAY, JULY 23

AMERICAN LEAGUE


Tampa Bay (52-43) at Chicago White Sox (49-45)


In an early start on getaway day, the White Sox are scheduled to trot out left-hander Mark Buehrle (10-3, 3.52 ERA) to wrap up a four-game set at U.S. Cellular Field against the Rays, who will counter with fellow southpaw Scott Kazmir (4-5, 6.62).


The first three games of this series have been one-run affairs, with the White Sox winning Monday and Wednesday by identical 4-3 scores and Tampa Bay taking a 3-2 decision Tuesday. Chicago is on numerous positive runs, including 9-1 against lefty starters, 8-3 at home and 5-1 against winning teams, but it is just 4-7 in their last 11 outings against A.L. East foes.


The Rays are still 7-4 in their last 11 overall (4-2 on their current road trip), and they’ve still won seven of nine against the A.L. Central. But they are on a lengthy slide of 75-155 on the road against winning teams. Also, in this rivalry, the Sox have taken five of seven meetings so far this year and are 4-0 in Buehrle’s last four home starts against the Rays.


Chicago is 6-1 in Buehrle’s last seven outings, including a 4-3 home win over Baltimore last Saturday, when he threw 7 1/3 innings of one-run ball, scattering eight hits with no walks. Buehrle is 6-1 with a 2.81 ERA in 11 home starts this year, and he’s 7-2 with a 4.23 ERA in 11 career starts against Tampa. That includes an 8-3 road victory over the Rays on April 18, allowing three runs on eight hits and three walks in 6 2/3 innings.


The Sox are on further runs behind Buehrle of 48-20 at home and 8-1 at U.S. Cellular Field against teams with winning records.


Tampa Bay is 5-2 in Kazmir’s last seven starts, including back-to-back victories in his last two outings. On Saturday at Kansas City, he yielded one run on four hits and four walks in six innings, but got a no-decision in the Rays’ 4-2 victory --- rebounding from a 10-9 home loss to Toronto in which he allowed seven runs on nine hits and two walks in 6 1/3 innings.


Kazmir is 3-2 with a 3.38 ERA in six road outings this year, and he’s 3-2 with a 4.46 ERA in six career starts against Chicago. He took the loss in the aforementioned April 18 meeting versus Buehrle, giving up six runs on five hits and six walks in just four innings.


For Chicago, the “under” is on rolls of 36-16 at home and 15-7 with Buehrle hurling, and the under for Tampa is on streaks of 5-0 overall, 11-1-1 against A.L. Central opponents and 10-2 against winning teams. Finally, in this rivalry, the under is on surges of 19-7 overall, 5-0 in Chicago and 4-1 with Kazmir starting for the Rays.


ATS ADVANTAGE: CHICAGO WHITE SOX and UNDER



Minnesota (48-47) at L.A. Angels (55-38)


Right-hander Jered Weaver (10-3, 3.41 ERA) toes the slab when the surging Angels return home and open a four-game weekend set with the Twins, who are slated to hand the ball to Scott Baker (8-7, 5.10) in the seventh game of their 10-game road trip.


Los Angeles wrapped up a three-game sweep at Kansas City with Wednesday’s 9-6 come-from-behind victory, combining for seven runs in the seventh and eighth innings to erase a 6-2 deficit. The Halos have won five in a row and nine of their last 10, and they are on further hot streaks of 26-9 overall, 9-3 at home, 20-7 as a chalk and 12-1 in series openers.


The Twins won the first two games on their road trip at Texas, but they’ve gone 1-3 since then, losing Sunday’s finale at Texas in 12 innings and dropping two of three in Oakland. On Wednesday afternoon, Minnesota got pounded 16-1 by the Athletics, giving up 12 runs in the first two innings – two days after blowing a 12-2 lead against the A’s in a 14-13 loss. Minnesota is still 5-2 in its last seven roadies against winning teams and 10-5 in its last 15 as an underdog.


Minnesota swept a three-game home series from Los Angeles in April, and the Twins are 5-2 in the last seven clashes in this rivalry. However, the Angels are on a 20-8 spree in the last 28 meetings in Anaheim, and L.A. is 5-1 all-time when facing Baker.


Los Angeles has won three in a row and nine of 11 with Weaver on the mound, including an 11-6 victory Saturday at Oakland, despite the 26-year-old allowing five runs on eight hits and three walks in just 3 2/3 innings. Weaver has been sterling at home this year, going 7-1 with a 2.25 ERA in 10 starts, and he’s 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA in four career starts against the Twins, whom he hasn’t faced this season.


With Weaver pitching, the Angels are on rolls of 23-9 at home (8-2 this year), 4-0 in series openers and 5-1 against the A.L. Central.


Baker has gone 4-1 in his last five starts, despite allowing five runs in a 10-2 home loss to the Yankees three starts ago, followed by five more runs in a 13-7 home win over the White Sox. Most recently, the 27-year-old yielded just one run on six hits with two walks and eight strikeouts over eight innings en route to Saturday’s 4-1 win at Texas.


Baker is 4-3 with a 4.38 ERA in eight road starts this year, but he has no winning decisions against the Halos, going 0-4 with a 5.88 ERA in six career starts. All four losses came in Anaheim. Minnesota has lost six of seven with Baker as an underdog, but they’re 4-0 in his last four starts against the A.L. West and 6-0 in his last six on Thursday.


The under for Minnesota is on several runs, including 36-18-2 on the highway, 6-0 on the road against winning teams, 5-2 behind Baker on the road and 4-1 in Baker’s five starts at Angel Stadium. But the over is 21-10 overall in Baker’s last 31 starts and 9-2 in his last 11 outings against winning teams. For Los Angeles, the over is on tears of 5-1 overall, 7-1 at home, 19-6-2 as a favorite, 7-1 against winning teams and 6-0 with Weaver on the mound.


Finally, the over is 4-1-1 in the last six meetings between these two teams.


ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS
 
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The Sports Investing Professional - Thursday

Wednesday Recap -As lucky as we were on Tuesday we
were unlucky on Wednesday....another tennis mismatch that
went down in flames.


Todays Play(s) -We'll go back to MLB where we have been very solid
Washington has won their two games for the month....time for St. Louis
to dominate this series.


MLB -St. Louis Cardinals -140....700.00/ 500.00


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional

Record (17-9) + $2.124
 

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Chris Jordan

600♦ PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES RUN LINE (Hamels over Correia) - A 10-game winning streak comes to an abrupt halt with a 10-5 loss, and I love the Phils even more because of it. In fact, I’d be more scared of tonight’s game if they would have won, cause we all know how hard it is to win 12 straight, let alone 11. Thus, still at home, and still red-hot thanks to a resurgent offense, this is going to be an ugly rout of the lowly Padres, who were shut out at home yesterday by Florida, and then traveled cross-country to take on the defending champs.

The punchless Friars stuck out 10 times yesterday, and come into this series after being swept by Florida. And let’s be clear, there was no direct route to Philadelphia, not for the boys from Diego. They flew to Washington and are being bused into Philadelphia for today’s game, just to make up a game that was rained out on April 20. They’ll then be bused back to Washington for a weekend set featuring the two worst teams in the National League. Do you really think they’re going to be up for this contest tonight? Do you really think they’ll actually care about playing the defending champs?

This is such a sad Padres team, which is 12-33 since June 1 - the worst record in the majors over that stretch – and finished up 1-6 on this last homestand against Colorado and Florida, as the visitors finished with 33 runs and 60 hits versus the Padres’ 12 runs and 42 hits.

Now the listless Padres have to take on Cole Hamels, who has come alive of late, pitching much better than he had been over the first part of the season. The team is 3-0 in Hamels’ last three starts, in which he’s produced an respectable 3.50 ERA in. And in six career starts against the Padres, the San Diego native is 2-1 with a 3.25 ERA.

Most relevant with Hamels toeing the slab is the revenge factor for the southpaw, as he has to still be fuming from an April 17 outing that saw the Padres win 8-7 after he lasted six innings, gave up five earned runs, the home runs and upped his season ERA at the time to 11.17. Problem was, he left with a 7-5 lead.

Tonight he’ll get plenty of run support tonight against Kevin Correia, who lost to the Phillies, 5-3, back on June 1, when he gave up a season-high 10 hits in 4-1/3 innings. Since July 3, and heading into last night’s series finale against Chicago, the Phillies lead the National League in runs (95), home runs (24), walks (74), on-base percentage (.373), slugging percentage (.489), ERA (2.15) and opponents batting average (.198) and the bullpen had allowed only three of 18 inherited runners to score.

This is an absolute gift tonight boys, a GIFT. Lay the run line early, as I wouldn’t be surprised to see this price go off very high!

Bought, Paid and COnfirmed by ME! Good luck
 

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On a 17-2 run

Today's Plays
Phillies -1.5
CWS
Arizona -1.5

BOL to everyone...these plays are bought and paid for...
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Scott Delaney
Scott Delaney Thursday night ... 10-DIME N.Y. YANKEES RUN LINE (WITH Sabthia over Mazzaro) - Part of the $201 million off-season investment won his fourth straight decision yesterday thanks to New York’s 6-4 win over the Orioles, as A.J. Burnett improved to 9-1 in 11 career starts against Baltimore and 4-0 in his past five outings overall. Today, another part of that juggernaut takes the hill to prove his own worth, and I’ve got no trouble counting on the Yankees to win their seventh straight behind the arm of C. C. Sabathia.

The Yankees are 6-0 since the All-Star break and appear to be on the same type of tear they went on last season out of the mid-season intermission, when they opened the second half 8-0. They’ve now won 19 of 26 to move 20 games over .500 for the first time since finishing 94-68 in 2007 and have opened a season-high, two-game edge over second-place Boston in the American League East.

Now, in a groove in Yankee Stadium, the home-team Bombers get a crack at an Athletics team that easily busted its wad yesterday by shellacking the Twins, 16-1. The A’s scored five runs in the first and seven in the second - just the second time in team history they opened a game with back-to-back innings of five runs or more. And let’s not forget, this is the same offensively challenged team that rallied from 10 runs down to win the opener 14-13.

Oakland scored at least 12 runs just once all season heading into this series, but now has pulled off the feat twice in three games. No way is a team traveling across the entire country ready for this one for the Yankees, where they’re burnin’ in the Bronx.

5-DIME ARIZONA DIAMONDBACKS (WITH Haren specifically over whomever the Bucs throw) - I’m taking Danny Haren tonight against the Bucs, as he turned in another stellar performance his last time out. Tossing against NL Central-contending St. Louis, he allowed just one run over eight innings and has now recorded quality starts in 18 of his 19 outings this season, while he leads the Majors in ERA (1.96).

Remember, the Arizona right-hander was the choice of many who believed 1he should have gotten the start in the All-Star Game, but the honor went to the Giants' Tim Lincecum. It wouldn’t have been a bad decision, as Haren has allowed a total of three earned runs in his last four starts and just one run in his last two (17 innings). His ERA for July is 0.78, as he’s allowed just two earned runs in his three starts this month, spanning 23 innings of work, after holding St. Louis to a run over eight innings - striking out eight - in a 4-2 win Saturday.

Tonight he catches a Pirates team that travels in after a 4-2 homestand, while the Snakes come in after a 2-4 road trip through St. Louis and Colorado. Thus, this is the perfect spot for Arizona to open things up, while Haren will limit Pittsburgh at the plate. He is 3-0 with a 3.56 ERA in five starts against the Bucs, and is facing a team that just traded its third key hitter in two months.

Simply list Haren and go to town with this easy winner.





BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED--------GL GUYS:103631605
 

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Al DeMarco
Thursday's Play 5 Dime - Arizona (Haren) - 1 1/2 Runs over Pittsburgh (Morton)

Arizona's Dan Haren is 7-1 in his last 10 starts with a 1.44 ERA. He's won his last four outings while compiling an earned run average of 0.90. And batters this season are hitting a major league-low .187 against him.

Haren is 3-0 in five career starts versus Pittsburgh with a 3.56 ERA. The Pirates arrive in Phoenix one day after the trade of a third everyday starter in the past month as first baseman Adam LaRoche was shipped to the Red Sox on Wednesday.

Pittsburgh's Charlie Morton is coming off an outstanding performance against San Francisco in his last outing, a game in which he struck out six and allowed three hits over seven shutout innings. But, it's important to note that effort came against the Giants, a team that's batted .192 and scored just 11 runs in six games since the All Star break.

The Pirates have won four of six, but that streak came at home. Tonight they're back on the road where season-to-date they're 16-33.

The Diamondbacks have won nine of Haren's last 11 starts. Despite their lack of offensive production this season, they're worth the investment on the Run Line considering Haren's 1.70 home ERA and Pittsburgh's poor play on the road. Laying 1 1/2 runs in this spot to get the National League's most consistent - and perhaps best - pitcher at a near pick'em is worth the risk.




BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY IRONHORSE AND ME-------GL GUYS:103631605
 

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:103631605Dominic Fazzini
Thursday's play 10 Dime -- PHILLIES (Hamels) -1 1/2 runs over Padres (Correia)

PHILLIES
NOTE: List only Hamels as Philadelphia's starting pitcher

The Phillies’ 10-game winning streak ended Wednesday, but I don’t think they’re going to stay down for too long.

With the lowly Padres coming to Philadelphia, the world champions should bounce back with a win behind left-hander Cole Hamels (5-5, 4.72 ERA).

Hamels is 2-1 with a 3.25 ERA in six career starts against San Diego. He struggled in his last outing vs. the Padres, giving up five runs and eight hits in six innings on April 17, but San Diego was hot to start the season while Hamels struggled over the first month of the season.

Hamels hasn’t been too sharp lately, going 1-1 with a 5.73 ERA in four starts this month. But he probably doesn’t have to be at his best to beat the Padres, who have scored more than three runs just once in their last 13 games, and were shut out Wednesday for the ninth time this season.

Kevin Correia (6-7, 4.34) has made 11 quality starts this year in 19 starts for San Diego, but the right-hander gave up four runs and a season-high 10 hits in 4 1/3 innings against Philly on June 1.

These are two teams going in completely opposite directions. Philly averaged 5.7 runs per game during its 10-game winning streak, allowed an average of 2.6 per game and looks like a team ready to defend its world title. The Padres, on the other hand, are a major league-worst 12-33 since June 1.

San Diego will be in Philadelphia for just one day to make up a game that was rained out on April 20. This is not a good spot for the Padres. Take the Phillies on the run line today.



BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY IRONHORSE AND ME------GL GUYS:103631605
 

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Jeff Benton
Thursday's 10 Dime MLB Winner ... 10 Dime: ANGELS on the run-line (-1 1/2 runs) over Twins. ... NOTE: Jered Weaver (Angels) and Scott Baker (Twins) must start this game or this play is VOID!


Angels (-1½ runs)

Before I get to what I like about the Angels tonight, let me explain what I don’t like about the Twins. For starters, their pitching staff is a mess! Two days after blowing a 12-2 lead at Oakland and losing 14-13, Minnesota gave up 12 runs in the first two innings of Wednesday’s 16-1 loss to the light-hitting A’s. Even BEFORE the Twins’ Glenn Perkins imploded yesterday, the Twins’ starters had a 5.55 ERA in their previous 10 games.

Since July 3, Minnesota has surrendered double-digit runs four times and given up five or more eight times. Not surprisingly, the team has a losing record (7-8) during this stretch. Frankly, I don’t see those numbers improving tonight, not with shaky right-hander Scott Baker on the mound. Baker is 8-7 with a 5.10 ERA, including a 5.71 ERA in his last three starts, and he’s had zero success in his career against the Angels, going 0-4 with a 5.88 ERA in six starts, with five of those starts and all four losses coming in Anaheim (where Baker has a 6.28 ERA). The Twins are 1-5 when Baker faces the Angels, getting outscored 30-12 in those six contests.

Now, about the Angels. What’s not to like about this team right now? It is coming off an impressive three-game sweep of the Royals in which it scored 27 runs. The Angels have now won five in a row, nine of 10, and 26 of their last 35 games. They’re 9-3 in their last 12 at home. They’ve won 12 of 13 series-openers. And during the ongoing 26-9 run, 20 of the 26 victories have come by multiple runs, including 15 of the last 18.

As for starter Angels starter Jered Weaver, here’s all you need to know: He’s 10-3 with a 3.41 ERA overall, the Angels are 13-6 when he pitches (9-2 in his last 11), and he’s been light’s out in 10 home starts, going 7-1 with a 2.12 ERA. Los Angeles is 8-2 when Weaver pitches at Angel Stadium, winnings seven of those games by more than a run, including consecutive routs of the Rangers (9-4) and Yankees (14-8) in Weaver’s last two at home. Also, Weaver is 2-1 with a 2.60 ERA in four career games against the Twins; all four were quality starts; he pitched into the seventh inning in all four contests; and his two wins came at home by the scores of 16-3 and 6-2.

Finally, from a betting perspective, only two teams – the Giants and White Sox – have brought home more run-line money than the Angels. And only one team – the rival Dodgers – has been a better overall bet than the Angels. Throw in the fact that Minnesota has lost 20 of its last 28 games in Anaheim, and I’ll ride Weaver and look for him to guide the home team to an easy victory. Lay the 1½ runs.




BOUGHT,PAID AND CONFIRMED BY IRONHORSE AND ME-------GL GUYS:103631605
 

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