Service Plays Thursday 01/22/09

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

COLLEGE BASKETBALL

West Virginia (13-4, 5-9 ATS) at (12) Georgetown (12-4, 6-5-1 ATS)

Georgetown looks to bounce back from a setback to Duke when it resumes Big East play against West Virginia at the Verizon Center.
The Hoyas lost to then No. 3 Duke 76-67 Saturday, getting the push as a nine-point road underdog, though Georgetown is now just 1-3-1 ATS in its last five starts (2-3 SU). In those five games, the Hoyas have allowed an average of 73.6 ppg, nearly 12 points higher than their season average (61.7), and they averaged just 62.7 ppg in the three losses, nearly a dozen points lower than their season average (74.5).
The Mountaineers edged South Florida 62-59 Saturday but fell a mile short of cashing as a 17½-point home chalk, winning their second straight game but failing to cash for the fourth consecutive contest. West Virginia, shooting 43.3 percent from the floor for the season, has been well under 40 percent in its last three Big East contests, hitting only 38.5 percent against South Florida and faring worse than that in a home loss to Connecticut (30.3 percent) and a road loss to Marquette (35.0 percent).
Georgetown is on a 3-0 SU and ATS run in this rivalry, including a 72-55 rout laying three points at Madison Square Garden in last year’s Big East tournament. The home team is 6-2 ATS in the last eight clashes.
The Hoyas are on ATS upticks of 5-1 in Thursday games, 12-4 following a SU loss and 9-4 at home against teams with a winning road record. On the flip side, along with their current 0-4 ATS slide, the Mountaineers are on pointspread declines of 1-7 after a non-cover, 1-4 in conference play and 3-8 against winning teams.
The under for Georgetown is on rolls of 39-19 in the Big East, 4-1 against winning teams, 14-5 on Thursday and 50-24 at home, and the under for West Virginia is on streaks of 7-3 overall, 4-1 against winning teams and 4-1 on the road. Finally, in this rivalry, the total has gone low in four of the last five meetings.

ATS ADVANTAGE: GEORGETOWN and UNDER



(18) Purdue (14-4, 6-8 ATS) at (21) Minnesota (16-2, 8-4-1 ATS)

Surprising Minnesota, coming off just its second setback of the year, returns home to Williams Arena for a Big Ten battle against surging Purdue.
The Golden Gophers got bounced at Northwestern 74-65 Sunday as a 1½-point road pup, halting a four-game SU and ATS run, all in conference play. Minnesota has been solid at home this year, averaging 73.7 ppg while allowing nearly a dozen less at 61.8 ppg, and the Gophers are shooting at a nearly 50 percent clip on their home floor (49.6), including 40.1 percent from 3-point range.
The Boilermakers routed Iowa 75-53 Sunday as a 12½-point favorite for their third straight victory (2-1 ATS), all in conference play, after opening the Big Ten season with losses from the favorite’s role against Illinois and at Penn State. Purdue has been tough on the defensive end in its last three starts, allowing only 36.4 percent shooting, while the Boilermakers have hit 46 percent on the offensive end.
Purdue has won and cashed in the last two meetings in this rivalry, including a 65-53 home win last year as a 7½-point favorite. However, the home team is 4-0-1 ATS in the last five meetings, and Minnesota is 4-1-1 ATS in the last six clashes on its home court.
The Gophers are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 home games versus teams with a winning road mark, but they are otherwise on positive pointspread streaks of 8-2 overall, 4-0 against teams with a winning percentage above .600, 6-1 at home, 4-1 on Thursday and 4-1 in the Big Ten. The Boilermakers are on ATS rolls of 6-1-1 after a SU win of more than 20 points, 24-9-1 in Big Ten play and 11-5-1 on the highway, but they are on an 0-4 ATS slide following a spread-cover.
The over for Purdue is on tears of 4-1 overall, 4-0 on Thursday, 5-1 in the Big Ten and 5-2 on the road. But the under for the Boilermakers is on a 5-0 streak against winning teams, and the under for Minnesota is on runs of 15-5 overall, 5-0 against winning teams, 8-2 on Thursday, 10-3 against the Big Ten and 37-18 at home. Furthermore, in this rivalry, the under is on a 9-0 spree.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER




(13) UCLA (14-3, 8-8 ATS) at Washington State (11-6, 4-10 ATS)

UCLA, coming off an upset loss in its last outing, aims to get back on track when it makes the trek to Pullman to face Washington State, which has won three in a row.
The Bruins stumbled against Arizona State in a 61-58 overtime loss as a six-point home chalk Saturday, ending a 10-0 SU surge (5-4 ATS in lined games). It marked just the second time all season that UCLA, averaging 75.5 ppg, was held under 60 points – with the first coming in a 55-52 loss to Michigan on a neutral court in the third game of the year. Despite the setback, the Bruins are still averaging 71.4 ppg and 48.6 percent shooting (40.7 percent from 3-point range) in their last five outings, while allowing 60.2 ppg.
The Cougars swept their road trip to Oregon last week, edging the Ducks 61-57 laying six points last Thursday, then dropping Oregon State 74-62 as a 1½-point favorite Saturday to snap a five-game pointspread slide. Washington State is generally playing low-scoring games this season, averaging 59.4 ppg while allowing 52.4, and over the last five games, the Cougars have been outscored by a bucket per game (59.6-57.6) while shooting 40.5 percent.
UCLA has won and covered in the last three meetings in this Pac-10 rivalry and is on an 8-0 SU streak overall (5-3 ATS). The Bruins are 6-0 ATS on their last six trips to Pullman, the favorite has cashed in four of the last five contests, and the road team is on an 8-1 ATS tear.
The Bruins are on ATS upticks of 6-1 against winning teams, 10-3 on Thursday, 36-15-1 on the highway and 38-17 after a pointspread setback. Conversely, along with their current 1-5 ATS slide, the Cougars are on ATS purges of 0-4 against winning teams, 1-6 at home, 1-5 in the Pac-10 and 2-6 after a spread-cover.
The over for UCLA is on stretches of 9-4 on Thursday and 4-1 after a SU loss, but the under is 6-2 in the Bruins’ last eight roadies, and the under for Washington State is on runs of 5-2 overall, 14-2 against teams with a win percentage above .600, 6-2 at home and 5-2 on Thursday.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UCLA
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WUNDERDOG

Game: Oregon State at California (10:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Oregon State +19 (-110)

The Cal Bears are the surprise team in the Pac-10 this season as they sit at 15-3, and unblemished at home at 11-0. The monster margins they carried early in the season have certainly deflated with the onset of Pac-10 play. Oregon State plays a very methodical style that reduces the amount of possessions in a game. The result has been 13 of 15 opponents held in the 60s or less. That opens the door for a huge dog to hang close in what should be a low-scoring affair. The Golden Bears haven't been so golden coming off a three-game road trip, as the return to home has found their backers getting hammered to the tune of 1-8 ATS. The road team has cashed this game in six of the last seven, and this is just too many points in a low-scoring game. The Beavers hang around in this one.
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NBA

Boston (35-9, 24-20 ATS) at Orlando (33-8, 28-12-1 ATS)

Two of the NBA’s best teams square off inside Amway Arena in Orlando when the Magic host the Celtics in an Eastern Conference showdown.
Boston comes into this one having won six straight (5-1 ATS), including a 98-83 road win in Miami on Wednesday, covering as a 5 ½-point favorite. The Celtics have been getting the job done on the defensive end, limiting each of their last four opponents to 87 points or less.
Orlando carries a seven-game winning streak (6-1 ATS) into tonight, including a four-game Western Conference road trip that saw the Magic go 4-0 SU and ATS. They have been doing it with offense, scoring at least 105 points in each of their last six games and winning their last five games by an average of 20 points (116-96.6).
In this series, the host has won seven straight (6-1 ATS) and eight of 10 (8-2 ATS), including the only matchup this year when Boston got a 107-88 home win on Dec. 1 as an 8 ½-point favorite. In fact, the home team is on a 21-6 ATS run in this series and the chalk has gotten the cash in 19 of the last 26.
The Celtics are just 2-6 ATS in their last eight games against teams with a winning record and 1-4 ATS in their last five games when playing on no rest. On a positive note, they are on ATS runs of 37-17 as an underdog, 4-1 on Thursdays and 10-1 as an underdog of five to 10 ½ points. For the Magic, they are on a plethora of positive ATS streaks, including 36-17-1 overall, 10-3 as a favorite, 5-1 as a home favorite, 4-1 on Thursdays and 5-2 against the Atlantic Division.
For Boston, the under is on runs of 22-7 on the road, 11-4 overall, 10-3 as a ‘dog, 10-2 as a road ‘dog and 5-1 on the second night of a back-to-back. Orlando is on “under” streaks of 7-1 as a home favorite, 7-0 on Thursday, 4-1 at home and 41-19-1 as a home favorite of five to 10 ½-points. In this rivalry, the under is 4-1 in the last five meetings in Orlando.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER



Washington (9-32, 17-24 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (33-8, 19-22 ATS)

The Wizards continue their West Coast road trip tonight, making a stop in Hollywood as they visit the Lakers inside the Staples Center.
Washington has split the first two games of this four-game swing, losing to Golden State 119-98 on Monday as a 4 ½-point ‘dog and then edging Sacramento 110-107 Wednesday and cashing as a 2 ½-point underdog. The Wizards are just 2-7 SU (3-6 ATS) since Jan. 7 and Wednesday’s win was just their third (3-17 SU) on the highway this season (9-11 ATS).
Los Angeles comes into this one off a 108-97 win over the Clippers Wednesday, but failing to cash as a 16-point favorite. Last time the Staples Center court was decorated in Lakers’ colors they were blowing out the Cavaliers on Monday 105-88, covering as five-point favorites.
The Lakers have won the last four matchups in this series, including a 106-104 victory in Washington back on Dec. 5, but failing to cash as 12-point favorites. Last year in Los Angeles these two played a thriller with the Lakers getting a 126-120 overtime win but coming up just short as a seven-point chalk. Los Angeles is 12-5 ATS in the last 17 series clashes and the road team is 5-1 ATS in the last six.
Washington is on ATS slides of 2-6 overall and 1-4 as an underdog, but the Wizards are on positive ATS runs of 5-1 against the Pacific Division, 7-2 against the Western Conference and 8-2 in their last 10 games as a road ‘dog of 11 points or more. The Lakers are 16-7 in their last 23 on the second night of back-to-backs, but otherwise it’s all negative ATS trends that include 6-16 as a favorite, 6-20 against the Eastern Conference, 1-4 at home, 1-10 against teams with a losing record and 0-7 against the Southeast Division.
The Wizards have topped the total in 22 of their last 29 games against Pacific Division teams, but the under is on runs of 9-3 on the road, 10-3 as a ‘dog, 25-11 as a road ‘dog and 6-2 agaisnt Western Conference teams. Los Angeles is on “over” streaks of 16-7 at home, 13-5 as a favorite of 11 points or more and 5-1 at home against teams with a losing road mark. In this series, the over has been the play in six of the last seven inside the Staples Center.

ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE
 

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Andrew Powers Guaranteed Selections
Date: Thursday, January 22, 2009
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INSIDE INFO NBA POWER PLAY WINNER
702 Orlando -5 8:05 EST
 

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Thursday Action !!
CBB
4* Wisconsin Milwaukee -3.5 (-110)
4* Utah State -4.5 (-110)
3* Under 130 (-110) Purdue vs Minnesota
3* Arkansas State +9.5 (-110)


Good Luck !!
 

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This is a classic matchup of offense vs defense. The question is can PIT's #1 defense slow ARZ's #4 offense. The Steeler's faced only ONE true passing team this season & that was the #3 offense of HOU with 55 points being scored. ARZ's offense has been record setting becoming the FIRST team to score 30+ points in 3 straight games in a single post season. Expect PIT to double WR Fitzgerald on almost every down & Boldin & Breaston to come up big. ARZ has gone 12-3-1 "OVER" this total with the 3 games totaling 46, 44 & 47 points. PIT will also move the ball as they've topped 30+ pts in the L3 games vs non-top10 defenses.
[FONT=Helvetica,Helvetica]FORECAST: Pittsburgh/Arizona OVER 47 RATING: 2
[/FONT]
 

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C-Stars Sports Picks Plays For

THURSDAY

1000 Units Top Play Portland/Loyola Marymount over the total
1000 units top play Minnesota plus the points over Purdue

1000 units top play St. Mary's minus the points over San Diego
 

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Winning Way Sports (John Fina) *Coming off 0-3 night with their 3 team parlay -9/25 units yesterday!)

Basketball for January 22, 2009

NBA - 4 units on Orlando Magic -4.5 (-110)
 

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Georgetown -5 wager $440 to win $400
Washington State +5.5 wager $440 to win $400
 

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Erin R ynning

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over lakers, minnesota , and valpo
 

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BobbyClarkeSports

Georgetown -5 wager $440 to win $400

Washington State +5.5 wager $440 to win $400
 

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RON RAYMOND’S 5* NBA O/U GAME OF THE NIGHT! (GREAT 62% SYSTEM)
Pick # 1 Boston Celtics /Orlando Magic Over 192 -110





RON RAYMOND’S 5* CBB BEST BET WINNER! (68% PVI Rating)
Pick # 1 Purdue / Minnesota Under 129.5 -110
 

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CHARLIE

cbb. cal-19 & san diego+4
(500* 2 team parlay)

cbb. dayton-5 (30*)
cbb. minnesota+1 (20*)
cbb. wisconsin mil-2 (20*)
nba. lakers-15 (10*)
nba. orlando+5 (10*) Bonus Play
 

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West Virginia vs. Georgetown
Pick: Georgetown -5

The Verizon Center will be the site of tonight’s Big East clash between the host Georgetown Hoyas and the visiting West Virginia Mountaineers. West Virginia is coming off a win over South Florida on Saturday 62 to 59 as a 17.5 point home favorite while the Hoyas cost us a 5* on Duke as they pushed as a 9 point road underdog 76 to 67 on Saturday.

The Hoyas will be looking to rebound from that loss at Duke and we expect them to control the tempo and pace of this contest on their home court. Georgetown does a great job on the offensive end of the floor by utilizing space and forcing their opponent to come out on the perimeter to defend. When their opponent commits to that type of defense it opens lanes to the basket or frees up an open shot from behind the arc.

West Virginia has struggled on the offensive end of the floor during conference play this season. The Mountaineers have averaged below forty percent shooting from the floor their last three Big East contests, shooting 38 percent against the South Florida Bulls, 30 percent against UCONN and 35 percent on the road at Marquette. They will need to shoot the ball much better tonight to have any chance of derailing this Hoyas team.

The host in this series has been the winning side of late cashing in at a 6-2 ATS rate their last eight meetings although the Hoyas are 3-0 both straight up and against the spread the last three overall including a big win in the Big East Tourney last season in New York. For the Mountaineers to capture an ATS win in this contest they will have to rewrite recent history as all indicators point to a Hoyas win and cover in tonight’s meeting.

With the Mountaineers failing to cover that 17.5 point chalk last Saturday they have now lost four in a row against the number overall. This failure has led the Mounties to a 1-7 ATS record after failing to cover the spread in their previous game. We also note that SU success has not led to ATS success for the Mounties as they are 3-11-2 ATS after winning their last two games SU and now installed as a conference underdog of 3 to 6.5 points. The Hoyas on the other hand have found success following a loss in their last game winning 75 percent of the time in that situation against the spread.

Data base research has uncovered a CBB System that is active in tonight’s meeting. It tells us to Play On CBB home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points with a team averaging 53 or less shots per game on the season, after 2 straight games making 50% of their shots or better, 90-49 ATS since 1997.

Our Team Performance Ratings Index indicates a Hoyas win as well with Georgetown having a 9.8 point advantage over the West Virginia Mountaineers in tonight’s contest. With all indicators signaling a Hoyas win and cover we will make them our CBB 4* Play of the Day for Thursday.

PROJECTED FINAL SCORE: (4*) Georgetown 72 West Virginia 61
 

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halfbets- Fabulous Freddy

He was cold in college ball for a while, and hot in NBA now he's really hot in College Ball 11-2ATS in his last 13.. I've been tracking these guys for a while.. did ridiculous in College Football.

Tonight-
New Orleans @ Troy 8:00pm et Troy forces the tempo and averages 14 more shots from the field than New Orleans, and 14 more shots from 3 point land as well. New Orleans will be forced to play run and gun. The key to games like this always resides in defense in transition and turn overs. New Orleans already is giving up 15.8 turn overs in their last 5 games and 15.3 overall. While Troy gives up just 12.5 TO a game, but have been taken care of the ball as of late 9 TO per game in their last 5. New Orleans is going to have to shoot the three, and on the road I'm not confident they can get enough points in this one to cover. Troy's Defense may be bad, but they will give the team enough to win this one by double digits. Take Troy -7 (3** play)
 

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