Service Plays Sunday 9/7/08

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Winners Edge

Chicago Bears + 10 , 1 Unit

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

JOHNNY GUILD

8:15 PM EST. Chicago at Indianapolis Indianapolis Colts -9.5
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

GINA

Sunday, September 7, 8:15 p.m. est.

Chicago Bears (0-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-0)

Colts' QB Peyton Manning missed the entire preseason and it’s not known if he will play in the opening season game against the Bears. Besides, how will he perform. In addition, Indianapolis defense is hurting with injuries. Even with all these issues, the Colts have more talent then Chicago. Go with the Colts to open up the-new Lucas Oil Stadium with a victory.

Indianapolis Colts -9½
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Score

300% Dallas -6

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sports Kingz

Nfl:

Indy -9.5
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Tommy Rider | NFL Side
double-dime bet478 IND -9.5 (-110) BetUS vs 477 CHI
Analysis:
Tough loss on the Arizona/Toledo over last night guys. I don't make excuses but I thought I really had that one pegged right, Toledo just refused to score from inside the 5-yard line. Anyway, the NFL is finally here and it's time to start rolling. The Colts are my top play today. In Week 1, I see no reason to overthink things. In my opinion, the Colts are one of the three best teams in the NFL and the Bears are one of the three worst. All the Colts have to do is win by 10. I like my odds. The Colts treat preseason like a glorified practice. They spend all summer preparing for their opening day opponent, that's why they normally play so well in Week 1 after looking like garbage for most of the preseason.

Now, there is a concern that Peyton Manning may be rusty. I don't buy into that for two main reasons. One, I've seen this guy practice up close and personal. Trust me, he could shut his eyes and hit Wayne, Clark and Harrison on a rope. Those guys are so in sync it's scary. The second reason I'm not concerned about Manning is because the Bears defense isn't what it once was. The Colts will be able to run the ball just as well as throw it. We saw that a couple of years ago in the Super Bowl when these two teams met. Plus, the Bears and Colts run the same defense, so Manning sees it all the time in practice. Not good news if you are a Bears fan .

We have an AFC powerhouse opening up their new stadium against an NFC weakling. I see the Colts winning this game by at least 17 points. ***2 UNIT PLAY***

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sportsmonitor's Bonus Play
MATCHUP: Chicago Bears (0-0) at Indianapolis Colts (0-0)

WHEN/WHERE Sunday, September 7th 8:15pm ET

THE LINE:
The Colts are -10 and the total is 44 points

TRENDS: The over is 5-2 in Indianapolis' last seven games. The over is 5-2in Chicago's last seven games. The Colts have covered their openinggame the last five seasons.

GAME SUMMARY: Despite undergoing offseason knee surgery, Payton Manning is expectedto be under center when the Indianapolis Colts host the Bears in theirfirst game at the new Lucas Oil Stadium to open 2008 on Sunday night.


SPORTS MONITOR
PREDICTION: Chicago and Indianapolis over the total
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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cajun-Sports NFL Executive Report -Sunday

Time / Date: 8:15 EST / Sunday September 7 (NBC TV)

Game: Chicago Bears vs. Indianapolis Colts

Line Origin: BetCris @ 4:22 EST September 4

Grade / Prediction: 3* Indianapolis Colts -9.5

Analysis:

The first Sunday Night NFL Game of the Week on NBC is a rematch of Super Bowl 41 where the first Manning got his ring. One difference in this contest will be the absence of former starter Rex Grossman at QB for the Bears; he has lost his job to Kyle Orton.



The Bears did nothing to fix their terrible offense, so they are likely to waste good efforts by their defense and special teams on the way to a mediocre season. Chicago averaged only 4.6 yards per play in 2007 and they released their most effective quarterback, Brian Griese. Griese averaged a solid 6.2 yards per pass on 273 pass plays while Rex Grossman averaged a horrible 4.9 yards per pass play and Kyle Orton averaged 5.7 yards per pass play in the final 3 games of the season.



Taking a closer look at Orton’s numbers we see that his average of 5.7 yards per pass play was really worse than first thought. Those numbers came against teams that average allowing over 6.5 yards per pass play on the season. His numbers were well below the league average.



The Bears offensive line is one of the worst in the league and they only averaged 3.2 yards per rush last season and we doubt there is much improvement this year even with Adrian Peterson taking over as their feature back.

The Indianapolis Colts could very well be the best team in the league this season, bypassing the crowd favorite New England Patriots. The Colts out-gained their opponents 5.9 yards per play to 4.8 yards per play despite leading the NFL in starter games lost due to injuries.

Reggie Wayne and Marvin Harrison make up one of the most imposing wide receiver corps in football, while second-year receiver Anthony Gonzalez appears primed for a breakout season.

Harrison 's days as an elite wide-out may be numbered and his durability is in question since the 36-year-old played just five games due to a sprained left knee in 2007. While he was out, Wayne became Manning's most potent target. Wayne already had been very productive the last few years, but Harrison 's absence was a contributing factor in his NFL-best 1,510 yards last season.

Tight end Dallas Clark is also always dangerous in the slot and third-year running back Joseph Addai complements the offensive attack. In fact, Addai can become the first running back in Colts history to rush for at least 1,000 yards in each of his first three seasons in the league.

Indy will field a very strong defensive squad this season led by reigning Defensive Player of the Year Bob Sanders. The Colts defense lost run-stuffer DT McFarland before the season even started last year and pass rushing specialist DE Dwight Freeney missed the last eight games. Although through week ten of the season which was the last game Freeney played, the Colts defense only allowed their opponents 4.6 yards per play when the average team would have gained 5.5 yards per play. They are certainly a solid defensive unit when both of these players are on the field.

The Colts have too much firepower on offense even with Manning a bit rusty and a very strong defensive team will harass Orton and the Bears all evening. The combination of these factors can lead to only one conclusion and that’s a Colts win and cover.

Power Angle: INDIANAPOLIS is 8-1 ATS in non-conference games over the last 3 seasons.

Power System: In Game 1, play ON an AFC favorite of more than 5 points with a

TOTAL of 35+ points vs. a non-divisional opponent. 10-0 ATS since 2001

GRADED PREDICTION: 3* INDIANAPOLIS COLTS -9.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kelso Club picks

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Best Bets Club = 10 units Indy -9.5

 

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The PREZ

8:15PM ET NFL 3* Action Chicago Bears vs Indianapolis Colts UNDER 44.0 (-110)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Alex Smart

8:15PM ET NFL 3* Action Chicago Bears (10.0 / -110) vs Indianapolis

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sixth Sense Sports

INDIANAPOLIS –9.5 Chicago 44

Indy had great numbers last year that tailed off near the end of the season as they missed Marvin Harrison for a good amount of time. They still ended up averaging 7.0yps against 6.0yps and 5.6yppl against 5.2yppl but their rush offense averaged just 3.8ypr against 4.1ypr. The defense was very good allowing just 3.8ypr against 4.1ypr, 5.3yps against 6.1yps and 4.6yppl against 5.2yppl overall. That was a huge improvement over the year before. The Bears offense was terrible, gaining just 3.1ypr against 4.0ypr, 5.5yps against 6.1yps and 4.5yppl against 5.2yppl. And the defense, with injuries, was just average allowing 5.5yppl against 5.4yppl. Indy qualifies in a week one situation, which is 88-53-5, including a subset, which is 64-34-4. Those situations are not the best part of that situation. Numbers favor Indy by 12 and predict about 44 points. A few question marks for Indy to begin the season. Peyton Manning has missed all of preseason but he should be ready to go. The fact Indy cut two of their reserve quarterbacks tells me they believe Manning is fine. Jeff Saturday, their center, is out for an extended period and that could affect their offense. The Bears are going with Kyle Orton, who is probably less dangerous to them than Rex Grossman. I’m not a big believer in the Bears who have nobody at the receiver position but too many question marks with Indy early in the season to make any best bets on them. INDIANAPOLIS 28 CHICAGO 17

 

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SCOTT SPREITZER

KO Bears

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Fiest

5* Chicago +10

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DA STICK

10 units Indianapolis -9.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Beat Your Bookie

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Frank Rosenthal

SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 07, 2008

MLB
951 PHILLY (GM-2)+120 SB
OVER 7 SB
NOTE:
PMG=ADVERTISED PITCHERS MUST GO

NFL - WEEK 1

477 BEARS+10 SB+
UNDER 44 SB
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[gamblinguy]

too little too late

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Phenom (College 6-2, NFL 1-1)

Indy 1st half
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