Service Plays Sunday 9/14/14

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Game of the Day: Bears at 49ers

Chicago Bears at San Francisco 49ers (-7, 48)

Reports of the demise of the San Francisco 49ers' defense appear to be more than slightly exaggerated after the unit registered four turnovers in an easy season-opening victory over Dallas. The 49ers face another high-powered offense when they host the Chicago Bears on Sunday night in the first game at Levi's Stadium. "Everyone that's been talking about our defense, about how we won't be as good and what not, I don't get caught up in all that," Pro Bowl linebacker Patrick Willis said.

While the 49ers picked off three first-half passes en route to an early knockout of the Cowboys, a pair of interceptions also proved to be costly for the Bears, leading to 10 points in an eventual 23-20 overtime defeat to visiting Buffalo. "Obviously we made mistakes today and we've got to clean them up and got to keep it going," Chicago quarterback Jay Cutler said after throwing for 349 yards and a pair of scores. It will mark the first matchup between the teams since San Francisco drubbed the visiting Bears 32-7 in November 2012.

TV: 8:30 p.m. ET, NBC. LINE: 49ers -7. O/U: 48.5

LINE HISTORY: After opening at 49ers -7, the line briefly dropped to -6.5 before moving back to -7 where it currently sits. The total has opened at 48 and has yet to move.

INJURY REPORT: Bears: WR Brandon Marshall (Ques-Ankle), G Matt Slauson (Ques-Ankle), WR Ashlon Jeffery (Ques-Hamstring) 49ers: T Anthony Davis (Ques-Hamstring), S Jimmie Ward (Ques-Concussion), CB Chris Culliver (Ques-Concussion)

COVERS POWER RANKINGS: Bears (+1.5) + 49ers (-6.5) + Home Field (-3) = 49ers (-11)

WEATHER REPORT: Currently a zero percent chance of clouds or rain, but wind could be a factor with gusts up to nine mph.

WHAT CAPPERS SAY: "Chicago lost its home opener for the first time since 2008 and it has not started a season 0-2 since 2003. The Bears travel to San Francisco Sunday night on a 0-11 ATS run following a non-conference game. San Francisco is back home after five straight road games going back to last regular season. 5-1 ATS in their last 8 against losing teams." Covers Expert Matt Fargo

ABOUT THE BEARS (0-1 SU, 0-1 ATS, 0-1 O/U): Chicago has some major injury concerns with starting wide receivers Brandon Marshall (ankle) and Alshon Jeffrey (hamstring) sitting out practice against Thursday, although Marshall said: "I'll be out there Sunday." The duo each had 71 yards receiving last week following a stellar 2013 campaign in which Marshall had 100 catches and 12 touchdowns and Jeffrey added 89 receptions and 1,421 yards receiving. That could force the Bears to rely even more on running back Matt Forte, who rushed for 82 yards on 17 carries and matched Marshall's total of eight catches for 87 yards against the Bills. Chicago's defense, a sieve for much of last season, limited Buffalo to 15 first downs but gave up 193 yards on the ground.

ABOUT THE 49ERS (1-0 SU, 1-0 ATS, 0-1 O/U): Colin Kaepernick, who made his first career start in the lopsided victory over Chicago two years ago, threw for only 201 yards but tossed a pair of second-quarter scoring passes to tight end Vernon Davis and guided San Francisco to 7-of-12 efficiency on third-down conversions. Veteran running back Frank Gore rushed for 66 yards to go over 10,000 yards for his career while rookie Carlos Hyde made quite an impression in his NFL debut by chipping in 50 yards and a score on only seven carries. Willis was among three players to record an interception and veteran Justin Smith had two sacks to pace a defense that didn't allow the Cowboys into the end zone until the final 30 seconds of the third quarter.

TRENDS:

* Bears are 7-20-1 ATS in their last 28 games overall.
* Under is 7-1 in 49ers last 8 games following a ATS win.
* Over is 12-3 in Bears last 15 road games.
* Home team is 6-1 ATS in their last 7 meetings.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 63.35 percent of Covers users are taking the 49ers -7, with 51 percent taking over 48.
 

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I have Patriots, San Diego, Buffalo, San Fran, Detroit for the Hilton contest
 
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StatFox Super Situations

CFL | SASKATCHEWAN at HAMILTON
Play On - Any team (HAMILTON) revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off an upset loss as a favorite
90-43 since 1997. ( 67.7% | 42.7 units )

CFL | SASKATCHEWAN at HAMILTON
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (HAMILTON) after failing to cover the spread in 5 or 6 out of their last 7 games, terrible team, winning 25% or less of their games, in the second half of the season
21-12 since 1997. ( 63.6% | 0.0 units )
0-1 this year. ( 0.0% | 0.0 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations

NFL | SEATTLE at SAN DIEGO
Play Under - Any team against the total off a road loss, marginal winning team from last season (51% to 60%) playing a team that had a winning record
34-11 since 1997. ( 75.6% | 21.9 units )

NFL | PHILADELPHIA at INDIANAPOLIS
Play On - Home teams vs. the money line (INDIANAPOLIS) after trailing in their previous game by 14 or more points at the half against opponent after scoring 30 points or more last game
130-105 since 1997. ( 55.3% | 0.0 units )
1-0 this year. ( 100.0% | 0.0 units )

NFL | JACKSONVILLE at WASHINGTON
Play On - Road underdogs vs. the 1rst half line (JACKSONVILLE) off a road loss, in the first month of the season, after closing out last season with 3 or more straight losses
29-8 since 1997. ( 78.4% | 20.2 units )
 
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Today's NFL Picks

Chicago at San Francisco

The Bears head to San Francisco tonight to face a 49ers team that is 6-1-1 ATS in its last 8 games during Week 2 of the season. San Francisco is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the 49ers favored by 14. Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-7). Here are all of this week's picks.
SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 14
Time Posted: 10:00 a.m. EST (9/10)
Game 251-252: Detroit at Carolina (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 133.469; Carolina 137.936
Dunkel Line: Carolina by 4 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Carolina by 2 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Carolina (-2 1/2); Under
Game 253-254: Miami at Buffalo (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami 132.872; Buffalo 135.067
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 2; 47
Vegas Line: Miami by 1 1/2; 42 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+1 1/2); Over
Game 255-256: Jacksonville at Washington (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Jacksonville 120.236; Washington 129.031
Dunkel Line: Washington by 9; 41
Vegas Line: Washington by 6; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-6); Under
Game 257-258: Dallas at Tennessee (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Dallas 131,196; Tennessee 137.200
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 6; 45
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 49 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-3); Under
Game 259-260: Arizona at NY Giants (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona 131.407; NY Giants 132.978
Dunkel Line: NY Giants by 1 1/2; 40
Vegas Line: Arizona by 2 1/2; 43 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Giants (+2 1/2); Under
Game 261-262: New England at Minnesota (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New England 140.237; Minnesota 130.208
Dunkel Line: New England by 10; 45
Vegas Line: New England by 3; 49
Dunkel Pick: New England (-3); Under
Game 263-264: New Orleans at Cleveland (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: New Orleans 134.607; Cleveland 131.554
Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 3; 42
Vegas Line: New Orleans by 6 1/2; 47 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+6 1/2); Under
Game 265-266: Atlanta at Cincinnati (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta 130.578; Cincinnati 139.007
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 8 1/2; 52
Vegas Line: Cincinnati by 5; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-5); Over
Game 267-268: St. Louis at Tampa Bay (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis 127.349; Tampa Bay 129.306
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 2; 34
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay by 6; 37
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (+6); Under
Game 269-270: Seattle at San Diego (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle 136.273; San Diego 140.317
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 4; 48
Vegas Line: Seattle by 6; 44 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+6); Over
Game 271-272: Houston at Oakland (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston 128.923; Oakland 124.083
Dunkel Line: Houston by 5; 44
Vegas Line: Houston by 2 1/2; 39 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-2 1/2); Over
Game 273-274: NY Jets at Green Bay (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Jets 126.128; Green Bay 142.855
Dunkel Line: Green Bay by 16 1/2; 51
Vegas Line: Green Bay by 8; 46
Dunkel Pick: Green Bay (-8); Over
Game 275-276: Kansas City at Denver (4:25 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City 129.791; Denver 140.467
Dunkel Line: Denver by 10 1/2; 48
Vegas Line: Denver by 14; 51
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+14); Under
Game 277-278: Chicago at San Francisco (8:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 129.149; San Francisco 143.219
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 14; 51
Vegas Line: San Francisco by 6 1/2; 48 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-6 1/2); Over

 
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Today's CFL Picks

Saskatchewan at Hamilton

The Roughriders head to Hamilton today to face a Tiger-Cats team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 home games. Saskatchewan is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Roughriders favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+1 1/2). Here are all of this week's CFL picks.
SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 14
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST (9/11)
Game 297-298: Saskatchewan at Hamilton (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Saskatchewan 116.671; Hamilton 111.673
Dunkel Line: Saskatchewan by 5; 51
Vegas Line: Hamilton by 1 1/2; 46
Dunkel Pick: Saskatchewan (+1 1/2); Over

 
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Today's MLB Picks

NY Yankees at Baltimore

The Orioles look to bounce back from yesterday's 3-2 loss to the Yankees and come into tonight's contest with an 8-0 record in Chris Tillman's last 8 home starts when the total is set a 7 to 8 1/2 runs. Baltimore is the pick (-145) according to Dunkel, which has the Orioles favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-145). Here are all of today's MLB picks.
SUNDAY, SEPTEMBER 14
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Washington at NY Mets (1:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 16.126; NY Mets (Niese) 14.660
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Washington (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-150); Over
Game 953-954: Chicago Cubs at Pittsburgh (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Turner) 15.283; Pittsburgh (Volquez) 14.399
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-220); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+185); Under
Game 955-956: Miami at Philadelphia (1:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Koehler) 13.320; Philadelphia (Buchanan) 14.886
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-115); 8
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-115); Under
Game 957-958: Cincinnati at Milwaukee (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 16.409; Milwaukee (Garza) 14.976
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-165); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+145); Over
Game 959-960: Colorado at St. Louis (2:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Lyles) 15.677; St. Louis (Gonzales) 14.561
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-180); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+160); Under
Game 961-962: LA Dodgers at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 17.908; San Francisco (Petit) 16.313
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-180); 6
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-180); Over
Game 963-964: San Diego at Arizona (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Despaigne) 14.781; Arizona (Cahill) 16.229
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Arizona (-125); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-125); Over
Game 965-966: Cleveland at Detroit (1:08 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Bauer) 16.774; Detroit (Verlander) 15.692
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+130); Under
Game 967-968: Tampa Bay at Toronto (1:07 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Archer) 16.413; Toronto (Buehrle) 15.566
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Toronto (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+110); Over
Game 969-970: NY Yankees at Baltimore (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Kuroda) 15.390; Baltimore (Tillman) 16.887
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-145); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-145); Under
Game 971-972: Boston at Kansas City (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Kelly) 14.473; Kansas City (Vargas) 15.879
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-175); Under
Game 973-974: Minnesota at Chicago White Sox (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (May) 14.548; White Sox (Noesi) 13.512
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+115); Over
Game 975-976: Houston at LA Angels (3:35 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Keuchel) 15.887; LA Angels (Santiago) 14.769
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-185); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (+165); Under
Game 977-978: Oakland at Seattle (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Lester) 17.312; Seattle (Young) 15.886
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-150); 7
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-150); Over
Game 979-980: Atlanta at Texas (3:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Minor) 14.398; Texas (Lewis) 15.444
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-155); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+135); Under

 
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Hondo

Hondo buckles up

Hondo’s three-pronged attack on the deficit started in winning fashion Saturday when he collected with the Yankees, but it went south from there as losses by the Twins and Tribe boosted the debt to 1,635 brodies.

Sunday: Mr. Aitch will cull an investment from one of his wildly successful NFL Best Bets — 10 units on the Niners to bury the Bears.
 
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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | HOUSTON at LA ANGELS
Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (HOUSTON) with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (AL) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL
97-29 over the last 5 seasons. ( 77.0% | 44.3 units )
21-10 this year. ( 67.7% | 2.2 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | NY YANKEES at BALTIMORE
BALTIMORE is 21-6 (+13.9 Units) against the money line in Home games vs. teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (5.2) , OPPONENT (3.0)
 
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Paramount Sports Lee Sterling radio picks

Det 30 Car 24. Car 0-8 as favorite in 1st home game

Chi 31 SF 28

NE 31 Minn 28. That was before AP news of not playing this week
 
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Jeffrey James (YouWinNow)

NFL Play of the Day - #263 New Orleans Saints -6


This one boils down to 1 very important question. Who is more likely to start the season 0-2 - Cleveland or New Orleans. I don't have to tell you the answer to that question. Did you see how horrible Pittsburgh looked on Thursday? That was a team that was destroying the Browns for most of the game last week until falling apart to let them back in. With no weather problems to face in September for the Saints the outdoors won't matter here. Look for the Saints to roll to a big win as the play of the day.
 
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River City Sharps

The Sharps are big fans of new Tennessee Titans HC Ken Whisenhunt and if week one is any indication, he is helping to bring a swagger back to Music City. The Titans opened the season with a dominating 26-10 win at Kansas City while their opponent, the Dallas Cowboys, were positively awful against the San Francisco 49ers. In looking at this game, we see a vastly improved Tennessee defense that was able to intercept Chiefs QB Alex Smith three times last week and should be able to key on the Cowboys passing game with their complete inability to consistently run the football. On offense, the Titans looked like a new team with QB Jake Locker directing the offense and 162 rushing yards. The biggest problem for the Cowboys (big surprise) is their complete inability to stop anyone defensively. Their defense was terrible last season and now Demarcus Ware is gone. The Titans are 15-5 ATS against NFC east opponents since 1992 and the Cowboys are 1-4 ATS in their last five games off a straight up loss. Whisenhunt is bringing a new confidence to this team and we expect Locker and the offense to be too much against a depleted Dallas defense. There are some threes and 3.5 floating around right now, but we are releasing this play at Tenn -3 and we suggest you buy the hook if needed here. The Sharps say…

3 UNITS – TENNESSEE TITANS (-3)
 

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