MLB
Write-Up
Sunday, July 31
Please keep in mind the trading deadline is 4:00 Sunday; guys could be taken out during games if they're traded and this includes pitchers who start (like Jimenez Saturday night).
Hot pitchers
-- Worley is 6-0, 1.14 in his last seven starts. Karstens is 3-1, 2.31 in his last five outings.
-- Nolasco is 2-1, 1.52 in his last three road starts.
-- Narveson is 2-1, 2.63 in his last four starts.
-- Saunders is 4-1, 2.25 in his last seven starts. de la Rosa has a 2.32 RA in his last five outings.
-- Westbrook is 3-0, 3.55 in his last four starts.
-- Weaver is 7-0, 1.04 in his last eight starts. Verlander is 9-2, 1.77 in his last eleven starts.
-- Wilson is 4-1, 1.81 in his last six road starts.
-- Indians won last three Carmona starts (1-0, 1.29).
-- FGarcia is 4-1, 3.20 in his last six starts.
-- White Sox won last six Buehrle starts (2-0, 3.12).
-- McCarthy is 2-1, 2.25 in his last three home starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Cueto is 1-1, 4.81 in his last four starts. Zito is 0-2, 11.81 in his last couple outings.
-- Hanson is 1-1, 7.27 in his last three starts.
-- Niese has a 5.53 RA in his last seven starts. Zimmerman is 1-2, 6.00 in his last four starts.
-- Myers is 0-5, 5.17 in his last six starts.
-- Nicasio is 0-3, 7.61 in his five road starts. Moseley is 1-4, 5.89 in his last six starts.
-- Dempster is 2-2, 4.91 in his last four starts.
-- Morrow has a 5.40 RA in his last five starts, but Toronto has still won seven of his last eight outings.
-- Davies is 0-8, 7.84 in his last nine starts.
-- Arrieta is 1-3, 7.52 in his last five starts.
-- Miller has a 9.37 RA in his last four starts.
-- Pavano is 1-2, 6.28 in his last six starts.
-- Vargas is 0-4, 8.57 in his last four starts. Rays lost Hellickson's last three road starts (0-2, 5.40).
Totals
-- Over is 10-4-1 in Mets' last fifteen games.
-- Under is 9-1-1 in last eleven Karstens starts.
-- Eight of Giants' last ten road games went over the total.
-- Nine of last thirteen Florida road games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Myers starts stayed under total.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Cardinal games.
-- Over is 7-0-1 in last eight games at Petco Park.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Saunders starts.
-- Last three Verlander starts went over the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Wilson's last six starts.
-- 11 of last 14 Kansas City games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of last 14 Oriole road games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Miller starts went over the total.
-- Ten of last eleven Oakland games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Tampa Bay games went over the total.
Hot Teams
-- Marlins won eight of their last eleven road games. Atlanta won four of its last five games.
-- Phillies won 19 of their last 24 home games.
-- Mets won four of their last five games.
-- Brewers won eight of their last nine home games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last nine games.
-- Colorado won its last three games, allowing nine runs.
-- Dodgers won five of their last seven games. Arizona won six of its last eight games.
-- Toronto won nine of its last thirteen home games.
-- Red Sox won 10 of their last 14 games. White Sox won four of their last six games, and have won seven of last eight vs Boston.
-- Royals won seven of their last eleven games.
-- Bronx is 10-5 in its last fifteen games.
-- Angels won eight of their last eleven games.
-- A's are 8-3 in their last eleven home games. Minnesota is 7-3 in its last ten road games.
Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Pittsburgh is 3-7 in its last ten games.
-- Cubs lost 12 of their last 14 road games.
-- Astros lost 16 of their last 20 road games.
-- Cincinnati is 10-14 in its last 24 games, but won the last two. Giants are 3-4 in their last seven road games.
-- San Diego lost 15 of its last 21 games.
-- Detroit is 5-9 in its last fourteen home games.
-- Rangers are 5-6 in their last eleven games.
-- Indians lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Baltimore lost eleven of its last thirteen road games.
-- Mariners lost 18 of their last 20 games.Tampa Bay is 10-16 in its last 26 games.
Umpires
-- Pitt-Phil-- Under is 4-1 in last five NL games Hernandez worked/
-- NY-Wsh-- Six of last nine Bucknor games went over the total.
-- Fla-Atl-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Barksdale games.
-- Hst-Mil-- Last four Cooper games all went over the total.
-- SF-Cin-- Six of last nine Foster games stayed under total.
-- Col-SD-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Guccione games.
-- Az-LA-- Five of last seven Holbrook games stayed under.
-- Chi-StL-- Six of last nine Foster games stayed under total.
-- Tex-Tor-- Underdogs won seven of last eight Hudson games.
-- Balt-NY-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Reynolds games.
-- TB-Sea-- Five of last six Demuth games went over the total.
-- LA-Det-- Over is 13-5-1 in Wendelstedt's games behind plate.
-- KC-Clev-- Last four Bell games all went over the total.
-- Bos-Chi-- Over is 6-2-2 in last ten Dreckman games.
-- Min-A's-- Six of last eight Bellino games stayed under total.
Write-Up
Sunday, July 31
Please keep in mind the trading deadline is 4:00 Sunday; guys could be taken out during games if they're traded and this includes pitchers who start (like Jimenez Saturday night).
Hot pitchers
-- Worley is 6-0, 1.14 in his last seven starts. Karstens is 3-1, 2.31 in his last five outings.
-- Nolasco is 2-1, 1.52 in his last three road starts.
-- Narveson is 2-1, 2.63 in his last four starts.
-- Saunders is 4-1, 2.25 in his last seven starts. de la Rosa has a 2.32 RA in his last five outings.
-- Westbrook is 3-0, 3.55 in his last four starts.
-- Weaver is 7-0, 1.04 in his last eight starts. Verlander is 9-2, 1.77 in his last eleven starts.
-- Wilson is 4-1, 1.81 in his last six road starts.
-- Indians won last three Carmona starts (1-0, 1.29).
-- FGarcia is 4-1, 3.20 in his last six starts.
-- White Sox won last six Buehrle starts (2-0, 3.12).
-- McCarthy is 2-1, 2.25 in his last three home starts.
Cold pitchers
-- Cueto is 1-1, 4.81 in his last four starts. Zito is 0-2, 11.81 in his last couple outings.
-- Hanson is 1-1, 7.27 in his last three starts.
-- Niese has a 5.53 RA in his last seven starts. Zimmerman is 1-2, 6.00 in his last four starts.
-- Myers is 0-5, 5.17 in his last six starts.
-- Nicasio is 0-3, 7.61 in his five road starts. Moseley is 1-4, 5.89 in his last six starts.
-- Dempster is 2-2, 4.91 in his last four starts.
-- Morrow has a 5.40 RA in his last five starts, but Toronto has still won seven of his last eight outings.
-- Davies is 0-8, 7.84 in his last nine starts.
-- Arrieta is 1-3, 7.52 in his last five starts.
-- Miller has a 9.37 RA in his last four starts.
-- Pavano is 1-2, 6.28 in his last six starts.
-- Vargas is 0-4, 8.57 in his last four starts. Rays lost Hellickson's last three road starts (0-2, 5.40).
Totals
-- Over is 10-4-1 in Mets' last fifteen games.
-- Under is 9-1-1 in last eleven Karstens starts.
-- Eight of Giants' last ten road games went over the total.
-- Nine of last thirteen Florida road games went over the total.
-- Six of last seven Myers starts stayed under total.
-- Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Cardinal games.
-- Over is 7-0-1 in last eight games at Petco Park.
-- Under is 3-1-1 in last five Saunders starts.
-- Last three Verlander starts went over the total.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in Wilson's last six starts.
-- 11 of last 14 Kansas City games stayed under the total.
-- 11 of last 14 Oriole road games went over the total.
-- Four of last five Miller starts went over the total.
-- Ten of last eleven Oakland games went over the total.
-- Five of last six Tampa Bay games went over the total.
Hot Teams
-- Marlins won eight of their last eleven road games. Atlanta won four of its last five games.
-- Phillies won 19 of their last 24 home games.
-- Mets won four of their last five games.
-- Brewers won eight of their last nine home games.
-- Cardinals won seven of their last nine games.
-- Colorado won its last three games, allowing nine runs.
-- Dodgers won five of their last seven games. Arizona won six of its last eight games.
-- Toronto won nine of its last thirteen home games.
-- Red Sox won 10 of their last 14 games. White Sox won four of their last six games, and have won seven of last eight vs Boston.
-- Royals won seven of their last eleven games.
-- Bronx is 10-5 in its last fifteen games.
-- Angels won eight of their last eleven games.
-- A's are 8-3 in their last eleven home games. Minnesota is 7-3 in its last ten road games.
Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Pittsburgh is 3-7 in its last ten games.
-- Cubs lost 12 of their last 14 road games.
-- Astros lost 16 of their last 20 road games.
-- Cincinnati is 10-14 in its last 24 games, but won the last two. Giants are 3-4 in their last seven road games.
-- San Diego lost 15 of its last 21 games.
-- Detroit is 5-9 in its last fourteen home games.
-- Rangers are 5-6 in their last eleven games.
-- Indians lost seven of their last nine games.
-- Baltimore lost eleven of its last thirteen road games.
-- Mariners lost 18 of their last 20 games.Tampa Bay is 10-16 in its last 26 games.
Umpires
-- Pitt-Phil-- Under is 4-1 in last five NL games Hernandez worked/
-- NY-Wsh-- Six of last nine Bucknor games went over the total.
-- Fla-Atl-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Barksdale games.
-- Hst-Mil-- Last four Cooper games all went over the total.
-- SF-Cin-- Six of last nine Foster games stayed under total.
-- Col-SD-- Over is 6-1-1 in last eight Guccione games.
-- Az-LA-- Five of last seven Holbrook games stayed under.
-- Chi-StL-- Six of last nine Foster games stayed under total.
-- Tex-Tor-- Underdogs won seven of last eight Hudson games.
-- Balt-NY-- Over is 6-3-1 in last ten Reynolds games.
-- TB-Sea-- Five of last six Demuth games went over the total.
-- LA-Det-- Over is 13-5-1 in Wendelstedt's games behind plate.
-- KC-Clev-- Last four Bell games all went over the total.
-- Bos-Chi-- Over is 6-2-2 in last ten Dreckman games.
-- Min-A's-- Six of last eight Bellino games stayed under total.
SPORTS WAGERS
Cincinnati –1½ +140
The Reds offense woke up in a big way yesterday by bashing the red-hot pitching arm of Madison Bumgarner. That could trigger a bigger explosion today off the dreadful arm and skills of Barry Zito. Zito came off the DL on June 28 and won his first two starts but in one of those starts in Detroit, the Giants scored 10 runs in the first three innings. In his other start he pitched at Wrigley with the wind blowing in and went seven innings and allowed four hits and two runs. In his last two starts in San Diego and Philadelphia covering 10.2 innings, Zito surrendered five jacks, 14 hits and 14 earned runs, while walking six and striking out seven. Now he’ll face the league’s top hitting club against lefties in a park that will expose him some more. Zito’s road ERA is 6.03 and his ERA over his past three starts is 7.23. Barry Zito is pitching because the Giants are playing him 18M this season and they’ll squeeze every last ounce of juice they can out of that arm. If or when the Giants make the playoffs or there are crucial games in the last two weeks of the season that could ultimately decide their playoff fate, you won’t see Barry Zito near a baseball mound. Thanks to a fastball that tops out in the high 80's, Zito is still flashing the same garbage stuff that says he can't get out of trouble on his own ... and that hasn't changed one bit and in fact, it’s getting worse. Play: Cincinnati –1½ +140 (Risking 2 units).
N.Y Mets +114
This is an “action bet” so listed pitchers do not have to go. The Nats snapped a losing streak yesterday but so what. Jason Werth went deep in the first inning and the Nationals, true to their form, didn’t score again. The Mets didn’t score a run but they faced an unscheduled starter that they weren’t prepared for and coming in they were the NL’s hottest offense. There’s really nothing to like about Washington laying a price, as they rank 23rd in MLB with a .675 OPS and they’re particularly weak against LHPs, ranking 28th with a .657 OPS. They’ll face lefty Jonathan Niese here. Niese might be the most underappreciated and undervalued pitcher in the game. He’s quietly struck out 110 batters in 129 frames while walking just 39. His groundball rate over the past three months in order is 52%, 55% and 57% and his xERA is an outstanding 3.32 and an even better 2.83 over the past month. This guy can pitch and the Nationals have not seen him this season. The Mets have faced Jordan Zimmerman twice this year and he’s only lasted a combined 10.2 innings against New York after allowing 15 hits and seven runs for an ERA of 5.91. Zimmerman has displayed outstanding skills all season but he’s labored in his past two starts and he’s in unchartered territory in terms of his workload. He’s spent 197 days on the DL over the past three years and the most IP he’s thrown over that stretch is 91. This year he’s up to 127 innings and he’s been absolutely whacked in three of his last four starts by the Cubbies, Astros and Marlins in which he surrendered 23 hits and 16 earned runs over 17.2 innings. His groundball rate also dropped from 40% to 35% over the past month, which is another sign he may be running on fumes. The Mets and Niese offer up outstanding value. Play: N.Y Mets +114 (Risking 2 units).
Cincinnati –1½ +140
The Reds offense woke up in a big way yesterday by bashing the red-hot pitching arm of Madison Bumgarner. That could trigger a bigger explosion today off the dreadful arm and skills of Barry Zito. Zito came off the DL on June 28 and won his first two starts but in one of those starts in Detroit, the Giants scored 10 runs in the first three innings. In his other start he pitched at Wrigley with the wind blowing in and went seven innings and allowed four hits and two runs. In his last two starts in San Diego and Philadelphia covering 10.2 innings, Zito surrendered five jacks, 14 hits and 14 earned runs, while walking six and striking out seven. Now he’ll face the league’s top hitting club against lefties in a park that will expose him some more. Zito’s road ERA is 6.03 and his ERA over his past three starts is 7.23. Barry Zito is pitching because the Giants are playing him 18M this season and they’ll squeeze every last ounce of juice they can out of that arm. If or when the Giants make the playoffs or there are crucial games in the last two weeks of the season that could ultimately decide their playoff fate, you won’t see Barry Zito near a baseball mound. Thanks to a fastball that tops out in the high 80's, Zito is still flashing the same garbage stuff that says he can't get out of trouble on his own ... and that hasn't changed one bit and in fact, it’s getting worse. Play: Cincinnati –1½ +140 (Risking 2 units).
N.Y Mets +114
This is an “action bet” so listed pitchers do not have to go. The Nats snapped a losing streak yesterday but so what. Jason Werth went deep in the first inning and the Nationals, true to their form, didn’t score again. The Mets didn’t score a run but they faced an unscheduled starter that they weren’t prepared for and coming in they were the NL’s hottest offense. There’s really nothing to like about Washington laying a price, as they rank 23rd in MLB with a .675 OPS and they’re particularly weak against LHPs, ranking 28th with a .657 OPS. They’ll face lefty Jonathan Niese here. Niese might be the most underappreciated and undervalued pitcher in the game. He’s quietly struck out 110 batters in 129 frames while walking just 39. His groundball rate over the past three months in order is 52%, 55% and 57% and his xERA is an outstanding 3.32 and an even better 2.83 over the past month. This guy can pitch and the Nationals have not seen him this season. The Mets have faced Jordan Zimmerman twice this year and he’s only lasted a combined 10.2 innings against New York after allowing 15 hits and seven runs for an ERA of 5.91. Zimmerman has displayed outstanding skills all season but he’s labored in his past two starts and he’s in unchartered territory in terms of his workload. He’s spent 197 days on the DL over the past three years and the most IP he’s thrown over that stretch is 91. This year he’s up to 127 innings and he’s been absolutely whacked in three of his last four starts by the Cubbies, Astros and Marlins in which he surrendered 23 hits and 16 earned runs over 17.2 innings. His groundball rate also dropped from 40% to 35% over the past month, which is another sign he may be running on fumes. The Mets and Niese offer up outstanding value. Play: N.Y Mets +114 (Risking 2 units).
Dave Essler | MLB Money Line
dime bet 970 TOR (+103) Bookmaker.com vs 969 TEX
Free pick: #466 Cleveland Browns -3 (NFL)
dime bet 970 TOR (+103) Bookmaker.com vs 969 TEX
Free pick: #466 Cleveland Browns -3 (NFL)
Super Sports Group
Anaheim v. Detroit 1:05pm
PICK: Angels ML +123 Game
Kansas City v. Cleveland :05pm
PICK: Royals ML +127 Game Hidden Gem #1
San Fran v. Cincinnati :10pm
PICK: Giants ML +142 Game
Texas v. Toronto :30pm
PICK: Jays ML +106 Game
Tampa Bay v. Seattle 4:10pm
PICK: OVER 7 Game +105 Hidden Gem #2
Anaheim v. Detroit 1:05pm
PICK: Angels ML +123 Game
Kansas City v. Cleveland :05pm
PICK: Royals ML +127 Game Hidden Gem #1
San Fran v. Cincinnati :10pm
PICK: Giants ML +142 Game
Texas v. Toronto :30pm
PICK: Jays ML +106 Game
Tampa Bay v. Seattle 4:10pm
PICK: OVER 7 Game +105 Hidden Gem #2
