Service Plays Sunday 7/20/08

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Wunderdog

Game: Toronto at Tampa Bay (1:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay -150 (moneyline)

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The Blue Jays have not been able to get anything going on the road where they are just 4-15 over their last 19 games. They have sunk to the bottom of the AL East, and although they have been five games over .500 against RHP, they have not been able to get anything done against the lefties where they stand at 9-17. Today they face a Tampa Bay team that is recovering from a seven-game losing streak by taking the first two in this series, and has Scott Kazmir on the mound looking for the sweep. The Rays have been mighty tough at home producing a 38-14 mark. The rays have also been 6-1 at home when Kazmir gets the ball, and we look for them to add one more to the win column at home in this one.
 

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Wunderdog

Game: Toronto at Tampa Bay (1:40 PM Eastern)
Pick: Tampa Bay -150 (moneyline)

<!--p-->
The Blue Jays have not been able to get anything going on the road where they are just 4-15 over their last 19 games. They have sunk to the bottom of the AL East, and although they have been five games over .500 against RHP, they have not been able to get anything done against the lefties where they stand at 9-17. Today they face a Tampa Bay team that is recovering from a seven-game losing streak by taking the first two in this series, and has Scott Kazmir on the mound looking for the sweep. The Rays have been mighty tough at home producing a 38-14 mark. The rays have also been 6-1 at home when Kazmir gets the ball, and we look for them to add one more to the win column at home in this one.​
KAZMIR PITCHED YESTERDAY??
 
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Jeffmoney

Indians -130
Reds -130
Cubs -130
Padres +130
Giants -130
Twins -140
Redsox +110
A's +135
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From a good buddy:

Marco D'Angelo | MLB Money Line
<DL><DT>double-dime bet929 BOS (+100)Bodog vs 930 ANA <DD>Analysis: Tonight the Red Sox and the Angels battle on ESPN in what just might be a Preview to the ALCS in October. Boston starter Wakefield has been brilliant in his last 3 starts sporting a 2.21 ERA. Expect Wakefield's Knuckleball to frustrate the free swinging Angels in the twilight of a 3:00 start. Boston has a winning percentage of 67% in Day Games the last two Seasons. TAKE BOSTON as MARCO'S UNDERDOG GAME OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY.</DD></DL>
 
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Good buddy of ours:

<DL><DT class=dtPgTop>Stan Sharp | MLB RunLine <DT>double-dime bet924 CWS -1.5 (+120) BetUS vs 923 KAN <DD>Analysis: Stan is Betting the CHICAGO WHITE SOX (-1.5 RUNS) today. Stan notes that Kansas City starter Brian Bannister has been rocked all season on the Road as he has a Road ERA of 8.14 in 8 road starts. TAKE THE CHICAGO WHITE SOX (-1.5 RUNS) as STAN'S AL MISMATCH BIG BET OF THE WEEK and make them a DOUBLE DIME PLAY. </DD></DL>
 

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Doc Sports:
3 Unit Play. #918 Take New York -145 over Oakland (1:05 pm MLB.tv)
 

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anyone have rockdeman's 2 10* selections for today ?
He has been pretty hot lately
 
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gamblersdata comp (17-14 -16 roi -.36%)
Twins -137

freesportsletter comp (13-9 +85 roi 2.7%)
3*** Under 9 Total Runs, Cubs at HOUSTON

goldkeygames comp (7-5 +30 roi 1.7%)
MINNESOTA BAKER -R -135 Over Texas
 

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vegas-runner | MLB Total Single-Dime Bet
904 CIN / 903 NYM Over 9 SportBet
Analysis: * 1* TOTAL * (OVER 9 -105)
 

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MLB
Write-up


Sunday, July 20

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Hot Pitchers
-- Hamels has 1.99 RA in his last three starts.
-- Volquez is 2-0, 3.93 in his last three starts. Mets won Pelfrey's last seven starts (6-0, 2.33).
-- Cubs are 14-6 in Dempster starts this season.
-- Cook has 2.96 RA in his last three starts.
-- Parra is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three road starts. Lincecum is 3-1, 2.67 in his last four starts; he was sick at the All-Star Game.
-- Webb is 2-0, 3.24 in hiw last four starts. Lowe is 2-1, 3.33 in his last four road starts.

-- Duchscherer is 7-2, 1.44 in his last ten starts. Bronx is 5-1 in last six Pettitte home starts.
-- Jackson is 1-0, 2.63 in his last four starts. Toronto is 2-0 when Parrish starts (1-0, 2.77).
-- Verlander is 5-0, 2.74 in his last seven starts. Burres is 3-0, 5.02 in his last five starts.
-- Danks is 3-0, 2.25 in his last four starts.
-- Baker is 4-0, 3.09 in his last five starts. Texas is 9-2 on road in games that Padilla starts.
-- Lee is 2-1, 1.91 in his last six starts.

Cold Pitchers
-- Johnson allowed three runs in five IP in his first start back from long stint on DL.
-- Reyes is 0-4, 4.37 in his last four starts. Perez is 0-4, 4.03 in his last five starts; Nationals scored seven runs in the five games.
-- Backe has an 8.82 RA in his last three home starts.
-- Garcia was 4-4, 4.59 in 12 starts at AAA. Baek is 1-3, 5.24 in his last four starts.
-- Duke is 0-1, 11.88 in his last two starts.

-- Royals lost last three Bannister starts (0-2, 10.47). Garland is 2-3, 5.70 in his last six starts.
-- Red Sox lost six of last seven Wakefield road starts.
-- Mariners lost Silva's last six home starts.

Hot Teams
-- Mets won ten of last twelve games. Reds are 9-4 in their last thirteen home games.
-- Marlins won seven of their last ten games. Phillies won five of their last seven games.
-- Braves won three of their last four games.
-- Astros won five of their last six games.
-- Cardinals won four of last five games.
-- Colorado won eight of its last nine home games.
-- Brewers won four of last five road games.
-- Dodgers won six of their last eight road games.

-- Bronx won its last six home games.
-- Rays are 34-7 in their last 41 home games.
-- Twins won their last seven games at the Metrodome.
-- White Sox are 12-3 in their last fifteen home games.
-- Angels won five of their last six games.

Cold Teams
-- Nationals lost ten of their last twelve games.
-- Padres lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Pirates lost twelve of their last fifteen road games.
-- Cubs are 4-11 in their last fifteen road games.
-- Giants lost eight of their last nine games.
-- Arizona is 3-5 in its last eight home games.

-- Oakland lost eight of last eleven road games.
-- Toronto lost six of its last seven road games.
-- Orioles lost eight of their last eleven games. Tigers lost five of their last six games.
-- Royals lost six of last nine road games.
-- Rangers lost three of their last four games.
-- Red Sox lost nine of their last eleven road games.
-- Indians lost ten of their last eleven road games. Mariners are 3-7 in their last ten games.

Totals
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Volquez starts.
-- Seven of last nine Florida home games went over the total.
-- Last seven Reyes starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 6-1 in last seven games at Minute Maid Park.
-- Last three Baek starts stayed under the total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in Cook's last six starts.
-- Under is 5-2 in Arizona's last seven home games.
-- Seven of last eight Milwaukee games went over the total.

-- Under is 6-1-1 in last eight games in the Bronx.
-- Over is 9-2 in last eleven games at Camden Yards.
-- Five of last seven Tampa home games went over total.
-- Under is 6-3 in Baker's last nine starts.
-- Under is 5-1 in last six Danks starts.
-- Five of last seven Angel home games went over the total.
-- Over is 7-1 in Cleveland's last eight road games.

Umpires
-- Phil-Fla-- Favorite won last four Johnson games.
-- NY-Cin-- Home side is 13-4 in last 17 Schrieber games.
-- Wsh-Atl-- Over is 7-3 in last ten Guccione games.
-- Cubs-Hst-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Miller games.
-- SD-StL-- Underdog is 7-2 in last nine Knight games; under is 10-3 in his last thirteen games behind plate.
-- Pitt-Colo-- Underdog is 10-6 in last 16 Iassogna games.
-- Mil-SF-- Favorite won last five Drake games.
-- LA-Az-- Favorite won nine of last ten Timmons games.

-- A's-NY-- Under is 10-3 in Estabrook games.
-- Det-Blt-- Under is 3-0-1 in last four Gibson games.
-- Tor-TB-- Under is 3-0 in Beal's games behind plate.
-- KC-Chi-- Under is 8-2 in last 10 Reilly games; underdog won six of his last eight games behind plate.
-- Tex-Min-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Hickox games.
-- Clev-Sea-- Over is 7-1-2 in last ten Campos games.
-- Bos-LA-- Over is 7-2 in last nine Hallion games.
 

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David Malinsky

San Diego Padres @ St. Louis
PICK: St. Louis 4*

We have already cashed a couple of tickets with the Cardinals in this series, taking advantage of a matchup that the oddsmakers are simply not pricing properly. Now it is more of the same. A team with the 6th best record in the Major League’s, filled with the energy boost of now being only two games behind the Cubs in the N.L. Central, should be in an entirely different range against a team that is now tied for the worst record at this level. So of course we will play again.

San Diego has caught down with Washington at 37-61, but there needs to be an asterisk next to that tie - the Padres are at that level despite being in a division in which all teams sport losing records, with the N.L. West a collective 60 games under .500 vs. outside opponents. And the Padres have certainly contributed to that, falling to 5-22 on the road against non-division opponents. Now with Cha Seung Baek making his first start in 12 days, having had one truly dismal relief appearance since then, the atmosphere is hardly conducive for a turnaround. And Baek has to take on an offense that not only has Albert Pujols at the top of his game, but also brings the red-hot bats of Troy Glaus (17-32, with an eight-game win streak); Ryan Ludwick (10-23 with four home runs); and Rick Ankiel (home runs in five of his last 10 starts) to the table.
 

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GAMBLERS WORLD

TIP OF THE DAY

Boston Red Sox vs. Los Angeles Angels

Prediction: Boston Red Sox

The Boston Red Sox will be fighting to snap a losing streak on Sunday when they take on the Los Angeles Angels at Angel Stadium.

Righthander Tim Wakefield will take the mound for the Red Sox to start this game. Wakefield is 6-6 this season with a 3.61 ERA.

It'll be Jon Garland toeing the rubber for the Angels in this contest. Righthander Garland is 8-6 with a 4.20 ERA so far this season.

Oddsmakers currently have the Red Sox listed as 105-moneyline favorites versus the Angels, while the game's total is sitting at 9.

The Angels scored four runs in the seventh inning on Saturday, to rally for a 4-2 victory over the Red Sox as +105 underdogs. The game's six runs went UNDER the day's posted over/under (8).

Erick Aybar hit a bases-loaded triple to lead the way for the Angels. Jose Arredondo tossed one out to earn his fourth straight win, and Francisco Rodriguez notched his 39th save.

Kevin Youkilis hit a two-run homer and finished 2-for-4 at the plate for the Red Sox, who were favored at -115 in that game. Josh Beckett tossed eight innings in the loss, allowing four runs off nine hits.
 

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King Creole

DETROIT TIGERS @ BALTIMORE Orioles
2** BEST BET on: DETROIT TIGERS

To start things off, here's that 21-1 angle that we mentioned in our promo. For some reason, this particular day of the week is VERY favorable for the "Kitty Kats".... while the "Orange Birds" do very poorly. BALTIMORE is already 1-14 on SUNDAYS this season. Meanwhile, the TIGERS are a PERFECT 7-0 in their last 7 SUNDAY games (21-1).

After starting the season in poor form with some hard-luck losses, right-hander JUSTIN VERLANDER of Detroit is in top-notch 'Play ON' form these days. He's gone a PERFECT 5-0 in his last 5 starts dating back to late June. His current K/BB ratio of 18-6 in his last three starts is a complete mismatch over his opponent (Burres only 7-7) this afternoon. In his last 10 starts, Verlander has allowed 3 or less earned runs NINE times.... and 2 or less earned runs in EACH of his last 7 starts (2.54 ERA). He also NEVER lost to Baltimore in his career, going 2-0 since 1996 with an ERA of 2.02. And BOTH Of those starts were on the road in Baltimore.... so his numbers "In the Park" are impeccable. His counterpart is BRIAN BURRES, who has struggled with his control lately (see above K/BB ratio). In his last 8 starts, he's made it to the 6th inning only one time... with a pretty high ERA of 7.65. He actually a WORSE pitcher this year in HOME (6.02 ERA) vs road starts.... and in DAY (5.40 ERA) vs night starts.

Detroit is a very good ROAD FAVORITE. They are 9-1 in their last 10 games as road chalk. They also have top-notch numbers against Southpaws.... going 18-7 vs lefties on the year and 6-1 in their last 7 on the road vs lefties. Verlander has beat up on poor competition in his career, going 28-11 vs losing teams. He's also 9-3 on Sundays... and a PERFECT 6-0 in his last 6 roles as a favorite. Meanwhile, the Orioles (as mentioned above) have had their problems on Sundays (1-14 this year). Also 3-9 in Game Four of a series... 2-7 off a win... 2-6 in their last 8 vs righties... 1-5 in their last 6 HOME DOG roles... and a PERFECT 0-4 in their last 4 vs losing teams.
 

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Frank Rosenthal

901 Philly-145
903 Nym+120
Under 9
914 San Fran-130
Under 7.5
916 Az-140
Under 7.5
922 Rays-140
924 Cws-160
927 Tribe-130
930 Angels-110
 

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Charlies Sports

500* Dodgers/DBacks under 7
30* Angels -115
20* Twins -140
20* Giants -135
10* Phillies -120
10* Reds -130
 

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