STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 6/15/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________
***** Sunday, 6/15/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_________________________________________________
NBA Finals Betting News & Notes
•Role Players Have The Spurs Rolling: If the polling for National Basketball Association Finals MVP was being done before Game #5, no one from the star San Antonio trio of Tony Parker, Tim Duncan or Manu Ginobili would have led the balloting. That would sound like a good sign for the Miami Heat. It's not - not with the way Kawhi Leonard and Boris Diaw are playing for the Spurs.
They are role players in name only. Leonard has led the scoring charge in the last two games and Diaw has more assists than any other player in the series. They're a big reason why the Spurs can wrap up a championship on Sunday night, when they take a 3-1 series lead into Game #5 of the finals. Leonard averaged 24.5 points on 68 percent shooting in Games #3 and #4. And in the Spurs' three wins, they've outscored Miami by 65 points with Diaw on the floor.
The Spurs won by 19 and 21 in the two games in Miami and are shooting 54.2 percent in the series. The NBA Finals record for a series of any length is 52.7 percent.
•Game #4 Of NBA Finals Draws 9.3 Rating: San Antonio's victory over Miami in Game #4 of the NBA Finals on Thursday night drew an average television audience of 14,964,000 viewers and a 9.3 national rating on ABC. Nielsen said Friday that the broadcast peaked with 16,742,000 viewers from 11-11:15 p.m. EDT. The series is averaging 14,931,000 viewers and a 9.1 rating.
______________________________________
StatSystems Sports
Your #1 Source for Winning Information
StatSystemsSports.net takes pride in providing the average player with an edge by building a full in-depth analysis of football, basketball and baseball games. All aspects of games are considered. These include; but are not limited to, injuries, weather, playing surface, team chemistry, individual match-ups, line moves, scheduling, fatigue, statistical analysis, trend analysis, etc. The better prepared you are - The better chance you have of winning, plain and simple.
"Get the most sought after plays in the industry today!" Call us today for a 1 Day VIP Pass - $29.00, 7 Day VIP Pass - $149.00, or get our most popular 30 Day VIP Package for just $499.00. "You'll be Real Glad You Did!"
______________________________________
National Basketball Association Finals
#709 MIAMI @ #710 SAN ANTONIO
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, ABC - Line: Spurs -6, Total: 195) - The San Antonio Spurs are one victory away from their fifth National Basketball Association title and can claim their first championship since 2007 when they host the Miami Heat in Sunday evening’s Game #5. San Antonio rolled to back-to-back dominating wins in Miami to take a 3-1 series lead and is in good shape when you consider no NBA team has ever recovered from that deficit in NBA Finals play. The Spurs’ three victories are by an average of 18.3 points.
Heat standout LeBron James was among the stunned players over how easily San Antonio dismantled Miami the past two games. “I mean, they smashed us,” James told reporters. “Two straight home games, got off to awful starts. They came in and were much better than us in these two games. It’s just that simple.” Spurs veteran Tim Duncan expects a fierce effort from the Heat as San Antonio attempts to avenge last season’s finals loss to the Heat. “We’re going to use our home court and we’re going to come with the same focus that we did in these last two games, and hopefully close it out at home,” Duncan told reporters.
•ABOUT THE HEAT (67-34 SU, 48-51-2 ATS): James is averaging 27.5 points in the series and is very much aware that no team has ever recovered from a 3-1 deficit to win the NBA Finals. He asserts that the players only have themselves to blame for the hole Miami finds itself in but doesn’t want to look past Sunday and ponder the historical aspect. “It’s never been done before but we’re still a confident bunch, even though our heads are lowered down right now,” James told reporters. “Of course, being down 3-1 and losing two straight games at home, that’s just human nature. But we’ve still got to go out and play on Sunday.”
•ABOUT THE SPURS (77-27 SU, 57-47-0 ATS): Small forward Kawhi Leonard produced back-to-back stellar efforts in Miami – averaging 24.5 points and nine rebounds in the two games – but versatile Boris Diaw has also been a valuable performer since San Antonio coach Gregg Popovich inserted him into the starting lineup for Game #3. Diaw had a solid all-around game with eight points, nine rebounds and nine assists in Game #4 and is averaging 6.5 points, 8.5 rebounds and 5.8 assists in the series. “He knows what’s going on most all the time,” Popovich told reporters. “At the offensive end he’s a passer. He understands mismatches. He knows time and score. At the defensive end, he knows when to help. He’s active. So he just helps the whole team have a better IQ, I think.”
•PREGAME NOTES: Duncan is averaging 15.8 points and 10.5 rebounds in the series and has three double-doubles with Thursday’s being the 158th of his postseason career to break Magic Johnson’s record.... The Heat have committed 62 turnovers in the series with James (18) and G Dwyane Wade (15) being the biggest culprits.... San Antonio G Danny Green was 10-of-13 from the field in the two games in Miami and is 9-of-17 from 3-point range in the series.... Miami is 45-30 against the spread (60.0%) in road games versus teams who attempt 18 or more three-point shots/game on the season over the last two seasons.... The Spurs are 40-23 versus the spread (63.4%) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting less than 24 free throws/game, including 26-13 ATS (66.6%) 2nd half of the season this season.
StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.
-- In 1000 simulated games, MIAMI covered the spread 513 times, while SAN ANTONIO covered the spread 463 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO won the game straight up 628 times, while MIAMI won 351 times. In 1000 simulated games, 627 games went over the total, while 352 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.
-- In 1000 simulated games, MIAMI covered the first half line 484 times, while SAN ANTONIO covered the first half line 471 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 607 games went over first half total, while 393 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.
•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--SAN ANTONIO is 24-19 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996.
--SAN ANTONIO is 26-18 straight up against MIAMI since 1996.
--30 of 43 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.
--SAN ANTONIO is 23-16 versus the first half line when playing against MIAMI since 1996.
--25 of 42 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.
--Under is 26-12 in the last 38 meetings.
--Heat are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
•RECENT TRENDS
--Heat are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a S.U. loss.
--Over is 4-1 in Heat last 5 Sunday games.
--Under is 7-1 in Heat last 8 games playing on 2 days rest.
--Spurs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 home games.
--Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 2 days rest.
--Spurs are 8-1 ATS L9 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Over - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MIAMI) - an average defensive team (92-98 PPG) against an excellent offensive team (>=76 PPG) after 42+ games, in non-conference games, off an upset loss by 10 points or more as a favorite.
(131-77 over the last 5 seasons.) (63.0%, +46.3 units. Rating = 2*)
The average total posted in these games was: 196.4
The average score in these games was: Team 101, Opponent 98.7 (Total points scored = 199.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 106 (51% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (26-21).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (79-46).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (373-320).
_______________________________
w-thumbs!^
