Service Plays Sunday 3/28/10

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DUNKEL

Tennessee vs. Michigan State

The Volunteers look to build on their 5-0-1 ATS record in their last 6 non-conference games. Tennessee is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Volunteers favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's games.

SUNDAY, MARCH 28
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 721-722: Tennessee vs. Michigan State
Dunkel Ratings: Tennessee 73.262; Michigan State 70.708
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-1 1/2)

Game 723-724: Baylor vs. Duke
Dunkel Ratings: Baylor 74.531; Duke 77.538
Dunkel Line: Duke by 3
Vegas Line: Duke by 5
Dunkel Pick: Baylor (+5)
 
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DUNKEL

San Antonio at Boston

The Celtics look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 games as a favorite between 1 and 4 1/2 points. Boston is the pick (-3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Celtics favored by 5. Dunkel Pick: Boston (-3 1/2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, MARCH 28
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 701-702: Sacramento at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Sacramento 111.559; Cleveland 128.287
Dunkel Line & Total: Cleveland by 16 1/2; 199
Vegas Line & Total: Cleveland by 13; 197
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-13); Over

Game 703-704: Memphis at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: Memphis 116.202; Milwaukee 121.036
Dunkel Line & Total: Milwaukee by 5; 197
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 705-706: Indiana at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 115.572; Atlanta 126.086
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 10 1/2; 208
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 8; 207 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-8); Over

Game 707-708: Toronto at Miami
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 110.585; Miami 116.381
Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 6; 193
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 709-710: Chicago at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 111.297; Detroit 114.585
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 3 1/2; 200
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 2; 198 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-2); Over

Game 711-712: Denver at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Denver 123.007; Orlando 128.132
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 5; 210
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 5 1/2; 208
Dunkel Pick: Denver (+5 1/2); Over

Game 713-714: Portland at Oklahoma City
Dunkel Ratings: Portland 120.179; Oklahoma City 125.666
Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 5 1/2; 190
Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 4 1/2; 192
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-4 1/2); Under

Game 715-716: Phoenix at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 122.316; Minnesota 114.352
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 8; 230
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 9 1/2; 227 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+9 1/2); Over

Game 717-718: San Antonio at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 120.999; Boston 125.783
Dunkel Line & Total: Boston by 5; 197
Vegas Line & Total: Boston by 3 1/2; 191
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-3 1/2); Over

Game 719-720: Golden State at LA Clippers
Dunkel Ratings: Golden State 111.975; LA Clippers 114.277
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Clippers by 2 1/2; 235
Vegas Line & Total: LA Clippers by 5; 230
Dunkel Pick: Golden State (+5); Over
 
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DUNKEL

Edmonton at St. Louis

The Oilers look to build on their 5-0 record in their last 5 meetings in St. Louis. Edmonton is the pick (+195) according to Dunkel, which has the Oilers favored by 1/2 a goal. Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+195). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, MARCH 28
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST
Game 1-2: Calgary at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Calgary 11.686; Washington 11.523
Dunkel Line & Total: Calgary by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line & Total: Washington (-260); 6
Dunkel Pick: Calgary (+220); Over

Game 3-4: Toronto at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto 11.431; Pittsburgh 12.523
Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-220); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-220); Over

Game 5-6: Edmonton at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Edmonton 11.000; St. Louis 10.783
Dunkel Line & Total: Edmonton by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: St. Louis (-225); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Edmonton (+195); Under

Game 7-8: Columbus at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.354; Chicago 11.104
Dunkel Line & Total: Columbus by 1/2; 4 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-300); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Columbus (+250); Under

Game 9-10: New Jersey at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: New Jersey 12.136; Philadelphia 10.617
Dunkel Line & Total: New Jersey by 1 1/2;
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A

Game 11-12: Colorado at San Jose
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 11.875; San Jose 11.577
Dunkel Line & Total: Colorado by 1/2;
Vegas Line & Total: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
 
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SPORTS WAGERS

Baylor +5 over Duke

There is no denying the fact that the Dukies road to the Elite Eight has been by far the easiest of any team. They have really not been tested at all and have been a significant favorite in all three of its games thus far. Not only have they won as a 24-point, 6½-point and 8½-point favorite over Arkansas Pine Bluff, California and Purdue but they also covered in all three games. Blue Devil backers are enjoying this event for sure and there are plenty of them. Well, those three wins and three covers has created a false sense of security and if the Dukies are going to get exposed it’s very likely to happen here. Despite winning, Duke has shown a lot of flaws, especially on the offensive, where they went eight minutes without scoring a bucket against a suspect Purdue defense in the last round. Yeah, they won by 13 but it was close for a long time when in fact the Blue Devils should have put away the Boilermakers early. If you go back to the last two games the Blue Devils played before this event, you’ll see that they barely squeaked by Georgia Tech (65-61) and Miami (77-74). Furthermore, when you wager on the top seeded Blue Devils, perhaps the most renowned program in the country, you’re going to pay a premium to do so and against this foe that’s a mistake. Baylor is that good. The Bears have a zone defense that held sharp-shooting Saint Mary's to 35% shooting and only 6 of 22 on 3-pointers. With a 7-footer and a pair of 6-10 players to crowd the middle, the Bears provide a drastically different look than Purdue's man-to-man defense. The Bears have won eight of its past nine games with only loss over that span coming against K-State. They have a suffocating defense and a very proficient offense. The Bears chances of winning are as good as the Blue Devils chances but the kicker is we’re taking back five significant points and even if they lose one has to figure it to be by the slimmest of margins. Play: Baylor +5 (Risking 2.14 units to win 2).
 
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Johnny Guild

Sunday, March 28th, 2010 10:30 PM EST.
Chicago Bulls (34-38) at Detroit Pistons (23-49)
The struggling Chicago Bulls have dropped 11 of its last 14 games, but have played well against the sad Detroit Pistons and been profitable for their backers against them. Chicago has won and covered the last 5 games versus Detroit, 9-0-1 ATS in its last 10.

Chicago needs this game for a playoff spot. Take ther Bulls for a season sweep of the Pistons tonight at the Palace. Detroit is 5-11 in its last 16 games at home, going 4-10-2 ATS and is 0-6 ATS in its last 6 clashes at home against Chicago.
Chicago Bulls +2

Sunday, March 28th, 2010 (Eastern Times)
Time Selection
2:20 PM Michigan St. Spartans +1.5
5:05 PM Duke Blue Devils -5
 

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Jeff Benton sunday selection

he is wins one game friday, now saturday back to his losing ways...on a 2-10-1 run MINUS 135 dimes...sunday selection.

♦♦♦ RED ALERT ♦♦♦

40 DIME
BIG DANCE GAME OF THE YEAR #2

Baylor vs. Duke

Matches my BIGGEST play of the college basketball season!

40 DIME BIG DANCE GAME OF THE YEAR #1:
Baylor over St. Mary's 72-49 (Friday)

Scroll down for details ...


Jeff Benton Sunday's Action ... 40 Dime: BAYLOR (plus the points)


Baylor

As soon as the Tournament brackets were announced two weeks ago today, every pundit across the nation was adamant about Duke having the easiest path of any No. 1 seed in any region. Sure enough, with the exception of a bit of a struggle against Purdue on Friday, the Blue Devils have waltzed into the regional final with a trio of double-digit wins, and they’re the last No. 1 seed standing.

Today, though, Duke’s easy path finally meets with a road block. Because not only do I think Baylor is going to cover this spread, I think the Bears will win this thing outright. And my reasoning for liking Baylor is very similar for my reasoning for liking them Thursday when I issued my 40 Dime Big Dance Game of the Year on the Bears and they crushed St. Mary’s 72-49.

Baylor will field the kind of length, speed and athleticism that Duke hasn’t seen to this point in the Tournament. In fact, St. Mary’s and Duke are very similar when it comes to roster makeup and style of basketball. No, I’m not suggesting Baylor’s going to post another 23-point victory here. But I am saying that Duke is going to struggle with the Bears’ inside-outside game. Whether it’s the backcourt duo of Tweet Carter and LaceDarius Dunn (combined 37 points in Friday’s win over St. Mary’s) or the frontcourt quartet of Anthony Jones, Josh Lomers, Ekpe Udoh and Quincy Acy (combined 25 points and 18 rebounds vs. St. Mary’s), Duke is going to have its hands full on both ends of the court today.

And let’s be honest: While both these teams are very similar in terms of record and overall stats, Baylor’s season has been much more impressive for the simple fact that the Bears had to navigate through the rugged Big 12 while the Blue Devils rolled through the mediocre ACC. In fact, the best team Duke has lost just twice in its last 17 games, but the two losses came against EASILY the two best teams it has faced during this stretch: Maryland and Georgetown. Guess what? Baylor’s better than Maryland and Georgetown.

Another point to make: Baylor has been in EVERY single game it has played this season. Of its seven losses, not one has been by more than seven points (and the last five of those defeats have come against Big 12 opponents that made the Big Dance: Kansas State twice, Kansas, Texas A&M and Oklahoma State). Yet as I type this, Duke is laying five points.

Baylor is on ATS runs of 6-2 overall, 10-4 as a ‘dog, 10-3 as a ‘dog at neutral sites, 20-7 overall at neutral sites and 8-1 in non-conference games. Meanwhile, even though Duke has cashed in its first three games of this Tournament, it is still just 5-11 ATS in its last 16 Big Dance contests as a favorite, including 1-6 ATS when laying less than seven points in the tourney. What’s more, Duke hasn’t cashed in four consecutive games all season.

Bottom line: Baylor’s the better team by every measure and it has traveled a much more difficult road to get here (meaning they’re more battle-tested). Even though we’re taking the points, I absolutely see the fourth and final #1 seed bowing out of this tournament, and I’ll call for a final score of Baylor 65, Duke 57.
 

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Larry Ness

*10* ELITE 8 GAME OF THE YEAR! (6-1!) CBB


At 5:05 ET my *10* Elite 8 "GOY" is on Duke.
Baylor's basketball program was nearly destroyed by the scandal which occurred under Dave Bliss but less than decade later, Scott Drew has literally resurrected the program. The Bears crushed St Mary's in Friday's Sweet 16 contest, building a 29-point halftime on the way to a lead 72-49 rout. Dunn scored 23 points to set a Baylor single-season points record with 682. St Mary's Omar Samhan, who entered averaging 30.5 PPG in his first two games, was held to 15 points and nine rebounds. Duke advanced Friday by beating short-handed Purdue , as without Hummel, Johnson and Moore scored 41 points but the rest of Purdue's team scored just 16 points while making a pathetic 3-of-21 FG attempts. Scheyer (18.1-3.5-4.8) has led Duke in scoring this year but broke out his tourney slump by making 5-of-9 FGs in the second half and 7-of-8 FTs for the game (18 points). He teams with Smith (17.1-2.8-2.9) to give the Dookies a terrific backcourt. The 6-8 Singler (17.9-7.) has averaged 21.0-7.7 in three tourney games plus the 7-1 Zoubek (5.5-7.6) has contributed 27 rebounds vs Cal and Purdue. Both teams have excellent size, as Baylor's frontcourt consists of the 6-10 Udoh (13.8-9.7), the 7-0 Lomers (6.3-4.8) and the 6-10 Jones (6.3-4.8). Joining Zoubek and Singler are the 6-10 Plumlee brothers and the underachieving 6-8 Thomas (4.8-4.8). The 6-7 Acy (9.2-5.1) has given Baylor a nice boost off the bench all season and that's continued in the NCAA tourney. Kudos to Baylor and the Bears, who do get a slight bonus for playing this game in Houston, but let's remember that the Bears have yet to face a team from a major conference in this tourney. They've beaten Sam Houston St, Old Dominion and St Mary's. Those three schools own a total of just 18 all-time NCAA appearances with an overall record of 6-18 (.250). In comparison, Coach K is in his 30th year at Duke and after failing to qualify for the Big Dance in his first three years in Durham, he’s gone to 26 NCAA tourneys the last 27 years (15 straight from 1996-2010, the second-longest active streak). He owns three national championships and has been to 10 Final 4s (third-most all-time). He's made 19 Sweet 16 appearances and this is his 12th Elite 8 (first since 2004). His record in the NCAA tourney is an astounding 74-22 (.771) and it can't go without mention that his Duke teams are 10-1 in Regional Finals. Dunn and Carter won't back down from Scheyer and Smith plus Baylor has the size up front to pound with Duke. However, while this is just a "typical" game for Coach K and his team, it's rarefied air for the Baylor program. Duke's D has held three tourney opponents to 51.3 PPG and 36.1 percent from the floor, including 11-of-46 (23.9) on threes. Expect the Blue Devils to control the pace of the game and extend the margin from the free-throw line at the end in a double-digit win. Good luck…Larry
 
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Sunday NBA System play-GC

Sport: NBA -FREE PICK for Sunday
Game: Indy at Atlanta-
Date/Time: 3/28/2010 3:30PM EST
Pick: Atlanta
Reason: On Sunday the Free NBA System play is on the Atlanta Hawks. Game 706 at 3:30 eastern. The Hawks are 7-3 ats as a home favorite in this range, while the Pacers are 3-11 ats as a road dog in this range. Atlanta has won and covered 3 of the past 4 at home vs Indiana. The Pacers are riding an 8 game ats streak and are coming off a big home dog win on Friday vs Utah. That win sets them up in a negative system here today. What we want to do is play against certain road dogs off a home dog win at +5 or more if they scored 120 or more in the win and their opponent is coming off a road game. This system has cashed 78% long term. Look for the Hawks to get the win and cover here today. On Sunday I have 2 Huge Elite 8 NCAAB Tourney System,winners that will end your week with the cash. I also have an NBA System play, with a Big 10-1 Power angle. Both Big plays cashed on Saturday with Butler and Portland. Jump on and cash big on Sunday.. For the Bonus Play take Atlanta. bol GC
 
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Underground Sports Connection

300* Michigan st
300* Baylor
400* Portland T'Blazers
100* Atlanta Hawks
100* San Antonio Spurs
500* Golden st Warriors
 

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