Service Plays Sunday 3/20/11

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Gold Sheet

Wichita State 69 - VIRGINIA TECH 68—Like a year ago when bludgeoning
Quinnipiac in first-round NIT action, Seth Greenberg’s VPI wasn’t distracted
enough by another Selection Sunday snub to lose focus in this year’s NIT
opener against Bethune-Cookman. The MEAC Wildcats, however, were
outmanned in Blacksburg...that’s not the case with capable Wichita. And the
Hokies might not be at full strength for this Sunday encounter, either, if valued
frontline defensive presence 6-8 Victor Davila is forced to sit this one out due to
a shoulder injury.
Make no mistake, Wichita will not be too bothered by this assignment, with
its only non-league losses vs. teams that were still playing in the Big Dance as
of Saturday (UConn, San Diego State, and VCU), and full of confidence after
last Wednesday’s 76-49 romp over a serviceable Nebraska side that never
absorbed that sort of a beating throughout its Big XII slate. HC Gregg Marshall
was especially pleased after his troops responded to his personal challenge of
embracing the NIT after the disappointment of missing the Big Dance and of last
year’s flat effort in this event that resulted in a loss vs. underdog Nevada. The
deep (10 players average 14 minutes or better) and balanced Shockers can
stretch Seth’s defense with long-range bombers G David Kyles and swingman
Ben Smith (both better than 40% beyond the arc), and note that Wichita was a
very reliable pointspread performer on the road, covering 8 of 11 tries as a
visitor. Along with the erratic nature of VPI and Davila’s injury, the Shockers
look to be a very intriguing underdog recommendation.

FAIRFIELD 65 - Kent State 57—There are some peripheral storylines that
are adding a bit more intrigue to this matchup, such as rumors in the northeast
that Fairfield HC Ed Cooley (with Big East coaching roots on Al Skinner’s BC
staffs in the days before the Eagles moved to the ACC, and a Providence
native) on a very short list to succeed the recently-dismissed Keno Davis at
Providence. Stay tuned for further developments. But based upon last week’s
impressive road win at favored Colorado State, the Connecticut-based Jesuit
bunch (which won the MAAC reg,-season title) might have a few more
assignments to look forward to this season.
Kent State’s challenge will be to solve a sticky Stag defense that ranked
second nationally in points allowed (57.8 pg). At their best, the Golden Flashes
can break down opponents with attacking Gs Michael Porrini, Rodriquez
Sherman, and Carlton Guyton, but penetrating the Fairfield defensive barrier
will not be easy. And after keeping CSU’s agile frontliners Andy Ogide & Travis
Franklin in check at Fort Collins, Cooley’s defenders can be expected to do
much of the same against Kent PF Justin Greene (MAC MVP at 15.5 ppg).
Although the Stags could use top scorer G Derek Needham (2 of 16 beyond arc
the last 2 games) rediscovering his long-range stroke, their gnarly defense has
been camouflaging most attack end shortcomings all season.
 
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SUPER SPORTS GROUP

Michigan v. Duke 2:45pm
10* PICK: OVER 135.5 Game Hidden Gem
8* PICK: OVER 63.5 1H

Marquette v. Syracuse 7:45pm
9* PICK: OVER 140 Game Best bet of the day
8* PICK: OVER 65 1H
 
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SPORTS WAGERS

George Mason +11½ over Ohio State

The Patriots receiving 11½-points is simply way too many. It’s not like George Mason beat Cal Santa Barbara, they beat a game Villanova squad that shot lights out in the first half. GMU made all the right adjustments, played an outstanding second half and here they are once again. Mason has a defensive profile that matches up very well with the Buckeyes' offensive strategy. In fact, the Patriots will be the best defensive opponent that Ohio State has faced all season. OSU might be the best team in the nation and it’s going to take a near flawless effort for the Patriots to even have a chance but we're not asking them to win. Jared Sullinger is a beast on the low blocks and if you choose to crowd Sullinger, then seniors Jon Diebler and David Lighty, along with junior William Buford and freshman snipers Aaron Craft and Deshaun Thomas, will beat you with 3-pointers. However, OSU’s last three wins prior to putting a beating on a nothing San Antonio team in the opener, came against Penn St. by 11, Michigan by 7 and Northwestern by 6 in OT. Surely, the Patriots can stay within this range too and will use this very disrespectful line to motivate them even more. Play: George Mason +11½ (Risking 2.16 units to win 2).


Florida St +5/+197 over Notre Dame

The Seminoles defense is one of, if not the best in the land. Leonard Hamilton believes in suffocating man-to-man D and hitting the glass with everything you've got. If a player doesn't share Hamilton's belief system, then he sits. His players have clearly gotten the message, as the Seminoles led the ACC in field-goal percentage defense (.365) and blocked shots (167) and ranked second in steals (8.9 per game) during the regular season. This is also an experienced team with great resilience and it sure doesn’t hurt that Chris Singleton is back and has a game under his belt. With a defense like that, FSU always has a chance to beat anyone and the Irish are no exception. Notre Dame’s 13-point opening round win over the Sycamores was anything but impressive. Indiana State went cold for long stretches and while the Irish led by 10-12 most of the way, they couldn’t put the Sycamores away for good. The Irish need open shots to win because they rarely make them when being pressured and that’s going to be a huge problem here. The Seminoles last two losses were to the Tar Heels by a bucket and to West Virginia by a single point. That’s even more proof how difficult it is to put this team away and chances are the Irish won’t either. Seminoles outright. Play: Florida State +5 (Risking 1.05 units to win 1). Play: Florida State +197 (Risking 1 unit).


Purdue –9 over Va Commonwealth

The CAA is well represented in this year’s field with three teams, George Mason, Old Dominion and these Rams. Thing is, VCU lost to ODU by 11 and 15 points and they lost to the Patriots by 20 on Feb 15. The Rams 18-point win over the Hoyas has them overvalued here and that’s something we can take advantage of. Georgetown stumbled to the finish line with five straight losses and six losses in its last seven games and it carried over into the postseason in a dreadful looking performance. Fact is VCU takes a lot of low percentage shots. They ranked an alarming 301st in the country in rebounding and unless those shots are falling, the Boilermakers are going to get a lot of easy buckets. Purdue won nine of its last 11 games and included in that span was a 13-point win over the Buckeyes. Matt Painter, the 2011 Big Ten Coach of the Year, can X-and-O with the best of them. He has produced five consecutive 20-win seasons at Purdue and has been named Big Ten Coach of the Year three times in the past four seasons and the Boilermakers play a strong defensive game. This game is in Chicago, which is driving distance from Indiana and thus, you can expect strong Purdue support in this game. Not that they’ll need it but it sure doesn’t hurt. Many insiders suggested that the Rams didn’t belong in this year’s event and you’ll see why here. Play: Purdue –9 (Risking 2.2 units to win 2).
 

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PREDICTION MACHINE
Notre Dame -5 58.3
Marquette +4.5 56.6 (57.7 at 5)
Ohio State -11 56.6
Texas -5.5 56.4
Duke -11.5 55
Washington +4 53
Illinois +8.5 53
 

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NCAABB NEWS AND NOTES
Sunday's Third Round Preview and Picks



(2) North Carolina Tar Heels vs. (7) Washington Huskies


THE STORY:
The Round of 32 matchup between Washington and North Carolina will feature two of the nation’s most athletic front courts.

No. 2 seed North Carolina flexed its muscle in a second round win over Long Island with Tyler Zeller, Harrison Barnes and John Henson combining for 84 points in the win. The Tar Heels will get a better challenge from No. 7 seed Washington, which showed it can slow the game and play possession-to-possession in its 68-65 win over Georgia.

Washington was again sparked by Isaiah Thomas, who was one of two Washington players to reach double figures against the Bulldogs. Washington will have its hands full with Barnes and Co., never mind that the game will be played in front of a very Tar Heel-friendly crowd in Charlotte.

TV: 12:15 p.m. EST, CBS. ODDS: North Carolina -3.5

PREDICTION: North Carolina 76, Washington 68 - Washington has struggled to shoot the 3-pointer lately, and hasn’t faced a front court as formidable as North Carolina’s trio of Henson, Barnes and Zeller.
(1) Duke Blue Devils vs. (8) Michigan Wolverines

THE STORY:
It will be hard to avoid the talk about Sunday’s Duke-Michigan game evoking the 1992 national final, thanks in part to Jalen Rose’s recent self-produced documentary on the Fab Five. For the record, the Blue Devils of Bobby Hurley, Grant Hill and Christian Laettner crushed the Wolverines of Rose, Chris Webber and Juwan Howard 71-51, part of Duke’s 3-0 mark against the Fab Five. But this Round of 32 matchup is about a dangerous young group of Wolverines trying to stop top-seeded Duke’s bid for back-to-back national championships. Michigan has used coach John Beilein’s 1-3-1 zone to hold its last six opponents to an average of 56.5 points. Duke, however, is averaging 81.5 points in four postseason games and just got electrifying point guard Kyrie Irving back from his severe toe injury.

TV: 2:45 p.m. ET, CBS. ODDS: Duke -11.5

PREDICTION: Duke 80, Michigan 65 - The Wolverines have overachieved to get here, proving once again that Beilein gets the most out of his talent. But they don’t match up with Duke’s speed or size. Their only hope is to slow the tempo and shoot a high percentage from beyond the arc. It’s unlikely they can do that for 40 minutes.

(1) Ohio State Buckeyes vs. (8) George Mason Patriots

THE STORY:
Looking to replicate its unlikely Final Four run of five years ago, eighth-seeded George Mason will attempt to play giant-killer once again when it faces No. 1 Ohio State on Sunday in Cleveland. The Patriots have won 17 of their last 18 games, including a thrilling 61-57 comeback victory over ninth-seeded Villanova on Friday afternoon. Sophomore forward Luke Hancock scored 18 points and hit a 3-pointer with 21 seconds left to put George Mason in front for good. The Buckeyes, meanwhile, coasted to a 75-46 victory over Texas-San Antonio in their tourney opener.

TV: CBS, 5:15 p.m. ET. ODDS: Ohio State -11.

PREDICTION: Ohio State 79, George Mason 62 - The Patriots may have some leftover momentum after their comeback win Friday, but they haven't faced an opponent all year with the type of firepower the Buckeyes possess.

(4) Texas Longhorns vs. (5) Arizona Wildcats

THE STORY:
Both Arizona and Texas were pushed to the finish before winning their NCAA tournament openers Friday. The Wildcats and Longhorns square off Sunday in the third round of the West regional in Tulsa for a trip to the Sweet 16. Arizona, the No. 5 seed, lost an eight-point lead in the second half but prevailed over Memphis 77-75. Derrick Williams finished with a double-double, and sealed the victory by blocking a Memphis shot with three seconds left. Fourth-seed Texas nearly blew a 17-point lead against Oakland, before holding on for an 81-77 victory. Jordan Hamilton and Tristan Thompson each finished with double-doubles for Texas.

TV: 6:10 p.m. EST, TNT. ODDS: Texas, -5.5

PREDICTION: Texas 76, Arizona 72 - Two outstanding interior players are better than one. Williams is a fantastic player, maybe one of the top five individual talents left in the tournament. But Hamilton and Thompson dominated the interior against Oakland, and Texas has more depth. The Longhorns are a better rebounding team and will use that ruggedness to reach the Sweet 16.

(3) Purdue Boilermakers vs. (11) VCU Rams

THE STORY:
Virginia Commonwealth has gone from the team nobody wanted in the NCAA tournament, to the one nobody wants to face. Coming off a surprising rout of Georgetown that further validated their inclusion into the field of 68, the Rams will try to advance to the Sweet 16 for the first time in school history Sunday against No. 3 seed Purdue in Chicago in the Southwest Region. The Boilermakers cruised past Saint Peter’s in the second round. Purdue will have a large contingent of fans who will make the 120-mile trip from Indiana to see its team take aim at a third straight trip to the Sweet 16.

TV: 7:10 pm. ET, TBS ODDS: Purdue -9

PREDICTION: PURDUE 70, VCU 64 - If Moore (seven turnovers against St. Peter’s) and the rest of the Purdue guards can protect the ball against the Rams’ swarming full-court pressure, the Boilermakers should prevail in a close one.

(3) Syracuse Orange vs. (11) Marquette Golden Eagles

THE STORY:
A trip to the Sweet 16 in the NCAA tournament is on the line as Big East Conference rivals collide in Cleveland on Sunday night when No. 3 seed Syracuse takes on No. 11 seed Marquette for the second time this year. Both teams are coming off impressive second-round wins Friday; Syracuse disposed of Missouri Valley Conference tournament champion Indiana State 77-60, while Marquette led all the way in a dominating 66-55 win over No. 6 seed Xavier, a team which had been to the Sweet 16 the last three years. Marquette won the regular-season meeting over Syracuse on Jan. 29 in Milwaukee, 76-70.

TV: 7:45 p.m. ET, TRU TV ODDS: Syracuse -4.5

PREDICTION: Syracuse 71, Marquette 67 – There are no secrets in this game between conference foes. Syracuse, on a mission after losing as a No. 1 seed last year, to go along with avenging an earlier loss to Marquette, wins a close one.

(1) Kansas Jayhawks vs. (9) Illinois Fighting Illini

THE STORY:
Top seed Kansas had a little more trouble than anticipated with pesky Boston University on Friday but eventually found its footing and showed the form that many expect will lead it to the Final Four. No. 9 seed Illinois was supposed to get a major challenge from UNLV in its opening game of the NCAA tournament but instead cruised, displaying just how explosive a team that starts four seniors can be when everything fits together. The Jayhawks will be looking to avoid a second consecutive exit in the round of 32 when they meet the Fighting Illini in Tulsa, Oklahoma on Sunday.

TV: 8:40 p.m. ET, TNT ODDS: Kansas -8.5

PREDICTION: Kansas 78, Illinois 65 - The Jayhawks have all the pieces to make a deep run this spring, and a date with the Illini should not be a difficult step. With a 12 or 13 seed looming in the Sweet 16, Kansas will not have to face a top-four seed until No. 2 seed Notre Dame or No. 3 seed Purdue in the regional final.

(2) Notre Dame Fighting Irish vs. (10) Florida State Seminoles

THE STORY:
Two football schools clash on the hardwood for a trip to the Sweet 16. Notre Dame didn’t look great in its victory over Akron in the second round, and it faces an even stiffer test against Florida State. The 10th-seeded Seminoles are the top defensive team in the country and got a boost with the return of star forward Chris Singleton. It will be a clash of styles – offense vs. defense. The No. 2-seed Irish rely on their perimeter game, as Ben Hansbrough and Tim Abromaitis form one of the best shooting backcourts in the country. The Seminoles, built on defense and rebounding, are a lengthy team that could cause problems for the Irish.

TV: 9:40 ET, TBS ODDS: Notre Dame -5

PREDICTION: Notre Dame 64, Florida State 55 - The Seminoles give the Irish a run for their money, but Notre Dame finds a way to win it down the stretch.
 
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NBA PLAYS

ROTATION 703/704: 3.5-UNIT TWITTER: (2:05 PM) DETROIT PISTONS @ ATLANTA HAWKS (HAWKS -7 @ CRIS, CAESAR, CARIB, BOOKMAKER, ATLANTIS & BET JAMAICA, RELEASED @ 10:25 AM (ET) 3/20/11)

COLLEGE BASKETBALL PLAYS

MARCH MADNESS

ROTATION 721/722: 3-UNIT REGULAR: (12:15 PM) WASHINGTON HUSKIES (#7) vs NORTH CAROLILNA TARHEELS (#2) (TARHEELS -4 @ ATLANTIS, BADLANDS, BETED, BET JAMAICA, BETUS, BUCKEYE & CARIB, RELEASED @ 10:17 AM (ET) 3/20/11)
 
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GREAT LAKES SPORTS


College Basketball Selections:

4* (726) Syracuse
3* (728) Notre Dame
3* (729) Virginia Commonwealth

NBA Selections:

4* (705) New York
3* (701) New Jersey
 
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Sean Higgs

Bonus Play
KANSAS
Off another Winning day as we split our 4* on Butler and Gonzaga, but Cash with our Top 10* on Wisconsin $ I have a 3 pack of CBB going Sunday including my NCAA Tournament 10* GOY $ The Free Picks continue to be an ATM Machine as we hit the Over in the Florida game. That is now 3 straight and 7 of the last 9 $$ Sunday your FREE MONEY will be on backing the KANSAS JAYHAWKS. This team doesn't rebuild, it just reloads. Kansas has been the class of CBB most of the season with a hiccup here and there. Can't have faith in an up and down Illini bunch who finished at 9-10 overall in the Big 10. Illini do have some size inside, but the Jayhawks will be too much to handle in the end. Bonus Play on KANSAS $ Higgs

10* Notre Dame
Point Spread: -5.0/-105
Taking the Irish here. ND had 6 losses all year. All to teams in the tournament. A pair of neutral court losses, 1 early to Kentucky, 1 in the BE Tourney to Louisville. They lost on the road to dancers Marquette, St John's, West Va and Syracuse. This team was that UL loss away from being a 1 seed. ND is just better. FSU has 2 non-dance losses to Auburn and Maryland. They lost twice to Va Tech and NC, plus losses to Clemson, Butler, Florida and Ohio State. The problem is where are the big wins. Yes, they beat Duke. We had them as 7 point dogs that night on ESPN. A good spot for an upset. Before getting past TexAM, their last win over a dancing team was in December to Clemson. This is a huge step up in class from the Aggies, and most of the ACC. This isn't like playing a division rival. This isn't Duke as a home dog on ESPN. 'Noles aren't familiar with the Irish. Honestly, I am suprised this line isn't the same as the 11s we are seeing Ohio State and Duke. Even if those two, plus Pitt and Kansas are the top dogs, ND can't be far behind. Statistically, both teams board about the same, but that is where the similarities end. ND shoots 46%-43, 3pt% 39-32, FT% 72-66. FSU does have the deeper bench. That being said, ND should cruise here to a double digit victory. 10* NOTRE DAME Tourney GOY

5* Ohio State
Point Spread: -10.5/-105
Taking the Buckeyes here. Again. Have to take the best team here. OSU and Kansas, to me, are the best teams playing right now. George Mason needed a rally to get past a 'Nova team that has taken 2 months off. OSU will not let Mason up off the carpet if they get them down 6-10 points. Buckeyes a good blend of youth and experience, inside and outside offense. GM basically a 6 man unit, and that will allow OSU to pull away for the win. 5* OHIO STATE BUCKEYES

4* Duke
Point Spread: -11.5/-105
Taking Duke here. Time to seperate the cream from the crop. Michigan had a nice run and is a good story this year. But let's keep it real, Duke is going to have their way with them. A bit too much size inside, and the Wolverines really have no answers to Nolan Smith and Kyle Singler. Add in a returning to form Kyrie Irving. That isn't taking into account Seth Curry and his offense. Blue Devils should again advance easily here. 4* DUKE
 

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thank you as they have been unbelievable for the 2nd year in a row. Hope that their baseball season goes just as well.

PREDICTION MACHINE
Notre Dame -5 58.3
Marquette +4.5 56.6 (57.7 at 5)
Ohio State -11 56.6
Texas -5.5 56.4
Duke -11.5 55
Washington +4 53
Illinois +8.5 53​
 

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