Service Plays Sunday 12/27/15

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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GL!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Spreitzer

I'm taking the points with the Falcons, my Knockout Game of the Week for Sunday 12/27


We are on this one for several reasons, including the fact that teams that have been undefeated after 14 or more games have been horrible spread teams. Carolina (14-0) almost succumbed to the pressure in week-15, but due to mental on-field meltdowns by Odell Beckham, a dropped TD pass, and a couple of poor red-zone decisions by Eli Manning, the Panthers were able to hold on for a 38-35 win. We had the Giants plus the points and cashed, despite the fact they dug themselves a major hole. Atlanta finally got back in the win column in week-15, thanks in part to Julio Jones lighting up the Jaguar defense. Jones was slowed down by Josh Norman and company in the first meeting of the season, but still finished with seven receptions for 88 yards. I expect a different outcome this time with Jones making more of an impact. Carolina, like all other teams who have reached this point of the season without a loss are the hunted. And I believe the Falcons will hang the number. I'm grabbing the points with the Atlanta Falcons, my KO GOW on Sunday. Thanks & GL! Scott Spreitzer.

 

[Kelmaron]

Jack Jones

NFL
20* Falcons +7.5
15* Buccaneers -3
15* Packers +4.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Spartan

Rabid Dog GOM 3*

122 NYJ 3.0 (-110) Sportsbook.ag vs 121 NEP Analysis: Here we have a Jets team that is desperately fighting for their playoff lives lining up against a Patriots club that has a first round bye already in their pockets. Home game for the Jets against a Patriots team that has been battling key injuries. Nothing about the way this thing sets up inspires me to take the Patriots guys. Particularly when I see every square and their crooked cousin rushing to get down action on them. Stubborn fact is the Patriots have now failed to cover the number in their last five battles with the Jets, and the stakes were higher for them then than now. I know a ton of people love the idea of betting a 12-2 team here laying only a field goal, looks like easy money. Well, in this crazy year of NFL wagering perhaps it will indeed play out that way. But I cannot help but be skeptical when I see so may squares lining up in droves proclaiming lock. Just witnessed too many times where that has blown up in their faces. I prefer to be on the books side more often than not. Frankly guys there are trends here I couÛld post but in reality there are trends to support either cause so it would be a smokescreen to just point out one side. Suffice it to say there are no relevant trends I see to really close any deal. I do put some stock in the fact, as I mentioned, that the Jets have covered of late against the Patriots. Motivation is a key element anytime attempting to gauge what a team will do on any given sunday, I cannot help but feel the edge there lies with the hosts. Come playoff time I would have a terrible time taking the Jets here because the Patriots will be in full killer mode then, I say not this sunday. I think we have a very live home dog here. I am willing to go Triple Star here on Fitzpatrick and company to get it done for us.

 

[sportscrazy]

​Randall the Handle
LINE: MINNESOTA by 6
The Vikings were giving away four points on this field to the Bears last week. Someone please explain to us how they are now spotting six points to the Giants? That’s just dumb. We realize that Odell Beckham Jr., won’t be on the field for this one, but the G-Men aren’t going to roll over and play dead here. They are still fighting for the NFC East. The Giants have lost five games in the final 10 seconds of play, the least of which was last week’s controversial loss to the undefeated Panthers on the final play of the game. New York has also given up the lead four times in the game’s final minute. Kudos to the Vikings for their solid play but this one is priced incorrectly.
TAKING: GIANTS +6

Bears (5-9) at Buccaneers (6-8)
LINE: TAMPA BAY by 3
The Bears have gone back into hibernation after some unexpected mid-season success. Now losers of three straight, Chicago looks to be playing out the string. The Bears will have their hands full with a Tampa team that won’t make the playoffs but features some positive aspects in their game. RB Doug Martin is eyeing the rushing record and he should stay in hot pursuit of Adrian Peterson (only nine yards behind) against the Bears’ 26th-ranked run defence. Rookie QB Jameis Winston has shown predictable growing pains in his first year but he’s coming off his best statistical outing after throwing for 363 yards and a pair of touchdowns in a loss to the Rams 10 days ago. Prefer the hard-trying, rested host to the spent visitor.
TAKING: BUCCANEERS -3

Panthers (14-0) at Falcons (7-7)
LINE: CAROLINA by 7
Probably not advisable to stand in front of this Carolina freight train, but we’re going to live dangerously here. With nothing else to play for, this is Atlanta’s Super Bowl. It was thoroughly embarrassed 38-0 just two weeks ago in Carolina. While the Falcons may not be able to make complete amends for that trouncing, they figure to be more competitive here. Despite winning just once in their past seven games, Atlanta has stayed close in the losses, other than the aforementioned defeat to these Panthers. Respect Cam Newton and his MVP-type season but there is a lot of pressure on his group right now and signs of fatigue as the Panthers had a difficult time with the Saints before allowing a 35-7 lead to Giants turn into a 35-35 battle to the last play of the game.
TAKING: FALCONS +7

Cowboys (4-10) at Bills (6-8)
LINE: BUFFALO by 6
Kellen Moore, come on down! Tony Romo’s third replacement will now be handed the sails of this sinking ship as he’ll make his first NFL start. Moore relieved the extremely ineffective Matt Cassel last week and, while he showed more ability than Cassel (who wouldn’t?), the youngster completed 15 of 25 passes but had three interceptions along the way. Now he’ll get a road start at a difficult venue. Of course, the Bills have been a minor disaster this year with much blame falling on Rex Ryan’s shoulders, but the schedule has not been Buffalo’s friend either as this marks only the third time the Bills have been at The Ralph since mid-October and both of those hosted games resulted in sizable wins.
TAKING: BILLS –6

49ers (4-10) at Lions (5-9)
LINE: DETROIT by 9
San Francisco is down so many players, it is thinking of changing its name to the 48ers. Imagine having to claim a running back off of Baltimore’s practice squad considering that the Ravens might be the only team worse off than San Fran? DuJuan Harris could start in the backfield for this wounded visitor and without a passing game, we’re not sure how the Niners score in this one. San Francisco is dead last in scoring, averaging 14.4 points per game. Lions are home for first time since the infamous Hail Mary pass and we’re expecting them to receive some love after an impressive showing in New Orleans on Monday night. The 49ers have been plastered on the road this season with just one win in seven trips.
TAKING: LIONS –9

Browns (3-11) at Chiefs (9-5)
LINE: KANSAS CITY by 12
Chiefs arae doing nearly everything right on this eight-game win streak and currently hold a wild-card spot with just two games remaining. Both the Jets and Steelers are nipping at their heels, not to mention division aspirations which still could be attained, so K.C. must stay sharp. Even with Kansas City’s amazing run, which includes scoring 30 or more in four of the past five, we’re not prepared to be giving away prohibitive points with a quarterback that hasn’t thrown for 200 yards in his past three games. Sure, the Chiefs are likely to take advantage of some Cleveland miscues as K.C. has been doing against others, but that’s a difficult hope to rely on with a double-digit spot. Johnny Manziel adds a slight spark to Cleveland’s lethargic offence.
TAKING: BROWNS +12

Colts (6-8) at Dolphins (5-9)
LINE: MIAMI by 1½
Listless Colts or gutless Dolphins? Have to lean Indy simply because it has something to play for and Miami cares about playing spoiler as much as your mother-in-law cares about your fantasy team. If the Indianapolis brass has any brains at all, it may listen to receiver T.Y. Hilton who is frustrated with the team’s unwillingness to throw the ball downfield. It looks as though Matt Hasselbeck will get the start for the Colts, even though he is as physically stable right now as a bridge made from Lego. Still, the Fish have allowed 30 or more points in three of their past four and injuries on the defensive side continue to mount. Miami’s offence is not much better, ranking 29th overall.
TAKING: COLTS +1½
Patriots (12-2) at Jets (9-5)
LINE: NEW ENGLAND by 3
The Patriots are beat-up. They were able to coast to wins over a pair of subpar AFC South teams, following an uncommon two-game skid. This one figures to be a challenge. The Jets are in a playoff race and should come out with their hair on fire. They won’t care about their arch-enemies’ myriad of hurts. They play the Pats tough at the best of times, 4-0-1 vs. spread the past five. Five of six between these two have been decided by one score with an earlier game this year the only decision by more than three points and the Jets actually outgained the host Pats in that one. The Jets have won four straight and Ryan Fitzpatrick has found a good rhythm with receivers Eric Decker and Brandon Marshall. New England hasn’t covered a spread in five tries this season against teams with a winning record.
TAKING: JETS +3

Steelers (9-5) at Ravens (4-10)
LINE: PITTSBURGH by 10
The Ravens are mere shells of themselves as injuries have pulverized this club. Competing has been difficult, to say the least. Meanwhile, the Steelers are a team feared by everyone right now as their offence is healthy and in full gear. So why get behind the Ravens here? We have 10 reasons why. No matter the circumstances, spotting double-digits in a divisional road game is a perilous path to take, especially with this pair. If any teams know each other’s tendencies, it’s these two. This also marks Baltimore’s third consecutive home game while Pittsburgh exerted a great deal of energy in a comeback win over Denver last week. We could see an array of quarterbacks for the host here but all will be playing hard.
TAKING: RAVENS +10

Packers (10-4) at Cards (12-2)
LINE: ARIZONA by 4½
Green Bay is winning but isn’t playing quite at the level we’ve grown accustomed to under Aaron Rodgers’ leadership. The Packers are also headed to face a buzzsaw as the Cardinals continue to impress, Arizona holding the second best record in the NFC with no signs of letting up. But Green Bay taking points is too irresistible to pass up on. The Pack has not been this big of a pooch since opening week of the 2013 season. They have been a dog just once this season and answered that designation with a 30-13 thumping of the Vikings. The Cards suffered a big loss this week when DB Tyrann Mathieu was lost for the season. Mathieu was a force in Arizona’s secondary. Rodgers is savvy enough to take advantage.
TAKING: PACKERS +4½

Jaguars (5-9) at Saints (5-9)
No line as status of Saints QB Drew Brees is uncertain.

Texans (7-7) at Titans (3-11)
No line as status of Texans QB Brian Hoyer is uncertain.

 

[CHANCE]

Week 16 SuperContest / Picks By Most Contestants
(3-2 Last Week) (41-32-2 ATS YTD)


1 Denver -3.5 By 446
2 Pittsburgh -10 By 437
3 Minnesota -4.5 By 431
4 Washington +3 By 420
5 New England -3 By 411


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Top Contestants
--------------


(53-19-3) (LW 4-1)
Week 16 Picks: MIN NYJ ARI STL PIT


(50-23-2) (LW 3-2)
Week 16 Picks: TB NYJ TEN PIT DEN


(50-25) (LW 4-1)
Week 16 Picks: MIN DET HOU STL PIT


(49-4-2) (LW 4-1)
Week 16 Picks: MIN CHI KC ARI CIN

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawerence
Perfect system club
The Perfect System Club 2015 Season


NFL 12/27/15


Division Demarcation


Play On any .500 or greater NFL division dog in its Last Home Game
of the season if they are facing an opponent off a win of 8 or
more points in its last game.


ATS W-L Record Since 1980: 13-0


Play On: NY Jets


Rationale: NFL division dogs are at their best in home finales, especially
those with .500 or better records. Put them in a same season revenge
situation against a satisfied foe and they perform at an optimal level.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

BEN BURNS

10* NFL *TOTAL OF THE MONTH*
OVER – Dallas / Buffalo

10* NFL Sunday BLUE MARLIN Blowout 62-26 Run
Seattle Seahawks

10* NFL Sunday Breakfast Club ROUT 24-8 NFL!
Detroit Lions

10* NFL Blue Chip Super Total 24-8, 75% NFL!
UNDER – NY Giants / Minnesota

10* SNF *GAME OF THE YEAR* 24-8, 75% NFL Run
Minnesota Vikings

 

[Haystacks]

Preferred picks big game Alanter falkinz

 

[Scott602]

PARGA (FADE) sports lol. I been posting this shitheads plays in Site promotions. If you been fading you art hitting 68%

philly

jets

 

[CHEDDARSTACKIN]

Does anyone have Marc Lawrence 10* NFL GOY ? TIA

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

EZWINNERS

3* (117) Browns +12
3* (130) Ravens +11.5
3* (127) Rams +14.5
5* (124) Titans +4

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS

Risked 4 units to win 3.81
New York Jets +3 -105 vs New England Patriots

Risked 4 units to win 4.8
Carolina Panthers -7.5 +120 vs Atlanta Falcons

Risked 3 units to win 2.73
Green Bay Packers +4.5 -110 vs Arizona Cardinals

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SB Professor Original NFL Picks

System play: St Louis +13

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

TIGER

2 TEAM 7 PT TEASER
TOTAL OVER 37-110 (BILLS/REDSKINS) with CIN BENGALS +1

BUFFALO BILLS -130

 

[Haystacks]

Does anyone have Marc Lawrence 10* NFL GOY ? TIA

look 2 posts above your post fatlanta Falcons

 

[gremlin]

Teddy Covers?
Big Ticket

 

[ballZZZ]

look 2 posts above your post fatlanta Falcons

....perfect system play. It's more than likely not the GOY. But, u can buy it and prove me wrong ;-)

 

[dough]

Rainman

5* - pitt
5* - ariz
3* - caro
3* - kc
reg plays
rams
jets

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

PREDICTION MACHINE

AGAINST THE SPREAD PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times)
Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $
105 8:30 PM NYG @ MIN 6 -3.4 56.6% $44

STRAIGHT-UP PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times)
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win%
106 8:30 PM @ MIN vs NYG 25.4 22.0 58.6%

OVER/UNDER PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times)
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% $
106 8:30 PM NYG @ MIN 45.5 47.3 Over 52.9% $5