Service Plays Sunday 12/13/15

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Jack Jones

NFL
25* Chargers +10
20* Falcons +7.5
15* Titans +7.5
15* Steelers +3
15* Patriots -3
 

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Randall The Handle
Steelers (7-5) at Bengals (10-2)

LINE: CINCINNATI by 3
The Bengals have been paying off like a broken slot machine this season with only one non-cover in 12 games played. However, we’ll buck that trend here as Pittsburgh is no slouch and it’s nice to receive points considering the Steelers’ scoring ability. When these two teams met six weeks ago, it marked Ben Roethlisberger’s return from a four-game absence. A rusty Big Ben still managed to pass for more yards than counterpart Andy Dalton and Pittsburgh’s ground game outgained Cincinnati’s on that day. A 10-point fourth quarter and three Roethlisberger interceptions doomed the Steelers then. Now healthy and in fine form, Pittsburgh is in a good spot to exact revenge. The Steelers are comfortable playing here having won four of past five on this field while Cincy has managed to sweep this series only once in the past 15 seasons. Give us any points offered.
TAKING: STEELERS +3

Bills (6-6) at Eagles (5-7)
LINE: BUFFALO Even
Don’t be fooled by Philadelphia’s giant upset of the Patriots last week. That victory was predicated on a handful of New England miscues that the Eagles were able to take advantage of to secure the win. Despite the victory, Tom Brady was still able to throw for more than 300 yards and three touchdowns. That followed a pair of games where Philly allowed 45 points in each. While Chip Kelly’s squad ranks very low in almost all defensive categories, the offence isn’t much better. With a lacklustre set of receivers to work with, QB Sam Bradford has exceeded 236 yards passing only once in his past four games. The Bills have exited the tough part of their schedule. After consecutive road games at the Jets, Patrots and Chiefs, they returned home and disposed of a streaking Houston team. This host should not pose a problem for the more balanced and talented visitor.
TAKING: BILLS Pick

Patriots (10-2) at Texans (6-6)
LINE: NEW ENGLAND by 3
The Texans are made up of a bunch of New England castoffs which include, but are not limited to, Houston’s head coach and starting quarterback. Do you really think that Bill Belichick and Tom Brady will allow this team to beat them? Or that for the first time since 2002, the Patriots will lose three straight? Injuries have clearly impacted the Pats, having dropped consecutive games for the first time in 56 contests. We have to go back to 2002 for three straight defeats. The injury issues have obviously affected the point spread here, but we still consider this an overreaction. The Texans play in the porous AFC South. Collectively, that group is 10-22 when not facing each other. Asking them to compete in a nationally televised game against a league heavyweight is too tall of an order whether the Patriots are handicapped or not.
TAKING: PATRIOTS –3
THE REST
Falcons (6-6) at Panthers (12-0)
LINE: PANTHERS by 8½
The Panthers continue to produce like a well-oiled machine while the Falcons have sprung a leak. While it won’t be the popular way to go in this one, it’s always dangerous spotting prohibitive points in divisional games as witnessed in Carolina’s close call at New Orleans last week. Carolina QB Cam Newton has been on a tear in his bid to become league MVP, throwing for five touchdowns last week and for the second time in three weeks. However, the Falcons has shown strength in that department with only 14 TD passes given up this year to rank them fourth overall. It wouldn’t surprise us to see a run-oriented battle here and that should keep the score close enough for Atlanta to earn a cover.
TAKING: FALCONS +8½

49ers (4-8) at Browns (2-10)
LINE: CLEVELAND by 1½
The mental frame of the Browns can’t be positive with its dismal record and with all the distractions stemming from Johnny Manziel’s antics. Asking Cleveland to win a game seems like quite a stretch considering it’s lost seven straight and that the season’s end can’t come soon enough. Still, we’re going to call their number here as the Niners cannot be expected to take consecutive road games, this one in the Eastern time zone, after last week’s overtime win at Chicago. That was San Fran’s first road win in eight tries. As for Manziel, his last game before going stupid again, had him throwing for 370 yards with a 73% completion rate against the Steelers. Anything close to that gets the job done.
TAKING: BROWNS –1½

Redskins (5-7) at Bears (5-7)
LINE: CHICAGO by 3½
There are a couple of simple narratives in this one that favour the Bears. One being Washington’s poor road play this season while the other has the Skins losing a tough overtime game on Monday night and now traveling. While valid, we have to look at the Redskins’ opponent before simply fading itm. Chicago has played admirably under its new coaching staff but eight of its past nine games have been decided by four or fewer points (in regulation). That makes it rather difficult to side with the Bears here considering the requirement. Chicago was favoured for the first time last week and lost straight up. Washington is fighting for the NFC East and will come to play. Taking the points seems like the prudent play.
TAKING: REDSKINS +3½

Lions (4-8) at Rams (4-8)
LINE: DETROIT by 2½
Realistically, neither of these two 4-8 teams is going to the playoffs. That pill is more bitter to swallow for the Lions following last Thursday’s miraculous loss to the Packers. Detroit had shown improvement heading into that one, winning three straight. However, the Leos had been home for three straight weeks. They must now head off as a road favourite after that demoralizing loss. Let’s not forget that Detroit has still given up the fifth most points in the league and that the offence has exceeded 19 points only four times this season. The Rams are a disaster, we know. But after facing a pair of 10-2 teams the past two weeks, they will now host a team that is more their speed.
TAKING: RAMS +2½

Chargers (3-9) at Chiefs (7-5)
LINE: KANSAS CITY by 10
The Chiefs are steamrolling everyone these days, making them a tough fade in current form. It also doesn’t help that the Chargers can’t get out of their own way, having dropped seven of their past eight including a 33-3 clobbering by this same Kansas City club. But placing the Chiefs in the high tax bracket is a bit too risky for us. During its current six-game win and cover streak, K.C. has never had to give away more than 4½ points. When favoured by 9½ at home to the Bears in mid-October, they lost straight up. The Bolts have been a double-digit dog once this year and performed well in a 27-20 loss at Green Bay. A loosey- goosey divisional rematch with this many points offered gets the nod.
TAKING: CHARGERS +10

Saints (4-8) at Buccaneers (6-6)
LINE: TAMPA BAY by 4
Not interested in spotting a handful of points with a Tampa Bay team that has been favoured just once this season, and that was on this field when spotting just one point to the dreadful Jaguars. The Bucs set the tone for the Saints’ season when upsetting New Orleans as a 9½-point dog at the Superdome way back in Week 2. Turnabout is fair play and with Drew Brees again throwing the ball with authority after being dinged-up early in the year, prefer to accept any points being offered. New Orleans’ troubled defence cannot be ignored but the Bucs rank 25th in passing. New Orleans has won seven of eight against this division opponent. Can’t see pedestrian Buccaneers running away with this one.
TAKING: SAINTS +4

Titans (3-9) at Jets (7-5)
LINE: NY JETS by 7½
As bad as Tennessee’s season has gone, it has been priced only once in this range when it covered as a seven-point underdog in New Orleans. If nothing else, the Titans can play defence, currently ranked eighth in yards allowed. The offence is a work in progress but there is hope with rookie QB Marcus Mariota becoming more comfortable each time out. The youngster brings long-awaited skills to Tennessee. Just last week, he became the first player in NFL history to achieve 250 passing yards, three or more TD passes and 100 or more yards rushing yards in a game. Of course, that record was obtained against the Jaguars, but team confidence is up and the Jets’ offence isn’t exactly one to fear.
TAKING: TITANS +7½
Raiders (5-7) at Broncos (10-2)
LINE: DENVER by 7½
The Rams, Chargers and Raiders have a combined record of 12-24, each team below .500. What they all have in common is the possibility of being relocated to Los Angeles as soon as next season. When you talk to football folk, they cannot overstate what a disruption this becomes to a team. The Raiders appear to have some talent but we haven’t seen the growth. Distractions? Losers in three of four, a downtrodden Oakland team will now have to face one of the toughest sides in the league. The Broncos have won three straight since Brock Osweiler subbed in for Peyton Manning. Denver is in pursuit of the No. 1 seed in the AFC and will not take its eye off the ball against this old rival.
TAKING: BRONCOS –7½

Cowboys (4-8) at Packers (8-4)
LINE: GREEN BAY by 7
While Green Bay’s astonishing win over Detroit was one for the ages, it does not mask the current issues plaguing the team. There is no doubt that the pre-season loss of WR Jordy Nelson was immeasurable. While Aaron Rodgers remains a top QB in this league, he clearly is missing his favourite target, especially without sufficient alternatives. Once unbeatable at Lambeau, the Packers have now gone three straight here without a cover and that was against teams in Dallas’ current class with the Chargers, Lions and Bears all earning the checkmark. Granted, it may be a tough spot for the Cowboys after a Monday night win and travel, but the NFC East is still up for grabs and Dallas sits just a game from the lead.
TAKING: COWBOYS +7

Seahawks (7-5) at Ravens (4-8)
LINE: SEATTLE by 10
After winning five of six, including a rout of the Vikings last week, the Seahawks have regained their swagger. QB Russell Wilson is in a groove with 11 touchdowns and zero interceptions over the past three weeks. December football seems to bring out the best in Seattle and this year is holding true. However, this one is not as easy as it may seem. The Seabirds are being asked to travel in consecutive weeks with this trip being the longest of the year. They’ll fly in to face these wounded birds as the Ravens have had more than their share of woes. However, Baltimore refuses to go away quietly. None of its losses have been by more than eight points and it hasn’t been a 10-point underdog in nine-plus years.
TAKING: RAVENS +10

Giants (5-7) at Dolphins (5-7)
LINE: NY GIANTS by 1
Who do you hate less? That’s what this one has become as both teams continue to frustrate and disappoint. Miami has failed to cover in five of its past six while the Giants find creative ways to cost their backers money, losing consecutive games at small prices. Blunders aside, the G-Men appear to be the better team. Miami’s offence is a sieve. It ranks 29th overall, 27th in scoring and hasn’t scored more than 20 points in a game since late October. We’re still not sure how the Fish won last week when Ryan Tannehill completed just nine passes for 86 yards. The Giants are playing for their division. They have tougher games on deck. This is a must win and we’ll rely on their experience to get them there.
TAKING: GIANTS –1

Colts (6-6) at Jaguars (4-8)
LINE: OFF THE BOARD. Status of QB Matt Hasselbeck is undetermined
 
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Jason Sample:

Bears/Skins U43.5
Bills/Eagles O46.5 (2x)
Titans/Jets O43
GB/KC/Carolina (+104) (2x)
Pitt +9/Buf +7
 
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bookieshunter NFL SUNDAY 13December
Falcons@Panthers FALCONS +8.5 (2*)
49ers@Browns 49ers +1.5 (2*)
Titans@Jets TITANS +7.5 (3*)
Raiders@Broncos BRONCOS -6.5 (3*)
Giants@Dolphins GIANTS -1 (2*)
 

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Hilton Contest / Week 14
---------------------------


Week 14 SuperContest / NFL Picks By Most Contestants
(3-2 Last Week) (35-28-2 ATS YTD)


1 Seattle -6.5 By 962*
2 New England -3 By 532
3 Detroit Pick’em By 517
4 NY Giants -1 By 447
5 Buffalo -1 By 386




=================================
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Top Contestants
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(45-17-3) (LW 4-1)
Week 14 Picks: PIT DET NE OAK SEA


(43-19-3) (LW 4-1)
Week 14 Picks: ARI CIN SF CHI JAX


(43-20-2) (LW 5-0)
Week 14 Picks: CIN BUF CLE JAX MIA


(43-20-2) (LW 4-1)
Week 14 Picks: CIN SF TB GB NYG


(43-20-2) (LW 3-2)
Week 14 Picks: PHI CHI DET TB SEA
 

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Colin's Blazin 5

Oakland +7.5
Tennessee +7.5
Buffalo -1.5
New England -3
Seattle -6

 
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cal sports

Sunday NFL:

3* New Orleans +4.5 Tampa Bay 1 PM
3.5* New England -3 Houston 8:25 PM
2* Baltimore +11.5 Seattle 1 PM
 
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jeff barone
NFL- GREEN BAY -6.5 DALLAS (425PM) (SUNDAY 12/13)
NFL- WASHINGTON/CHICAGO OVER 43.5 (1PM) (SUNDAY 12/13

patrick dame
NFL- HOUSTON +3.5 NEW ENGLAND (825PM) ** 2 UNIT SELECTION ** (SUNDAY 12/13)

david mires
NFL- ATLANTA +8.5 CAROLINA (1PM) (SUNDAY 12/13)
NFL- TENNESSEE + 7.5 NY JETS (1PM) (SUNDAY 12/13)
NFL- BUFFALO +1 PHILADELPHIA (1PM) (SUNDAY 12/13)

Larry "football"
nfl- pittsburgh +3 cincinnati (1pm) (sunday 12/13)
nfl- detroit -140 st louis (1pm) (sunday 12/13)
 
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SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS

Risked 5 units to win 3.85
Detroit Lions -2.5 -130 vs St. Louis Rams

Risked 5 units to win 5
Pittsburgh Steelers +2.5 +100 vs Cincinnati Bengals

Risked 4 units to win 3.33
Jacksonville Jaguars PK -120 vs Indianapolis Colts

Risked 5 units to win 4.76
New England Patriots -3.5 -105 vs Houston Texans​
 

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Trace Adams

Raise the Bar 1500x
NFL: Carolina Panthers -8

He lost a 2000x play Saturday on Navy.

According to the site, he's won on 5 of the last 6 NFL Sundays. He also claims to have won 9 of 13 NFL Sundays overall.
 

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