Service Plays Sunday 11/15/15

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Prediction Machine NFL Lock

251 Detroit +11.5

251 1:00 PM DET @ GB 11.5 -8.9 57.2 $51
256 1:00 PM @TEN CAR 4.5 -1.7 57.2 $51
265 1:00 PM JAC @ BAL 5.5 -2.9 56.7 $45
273 8:30 PM ARI @ SEA 3 -0.3 56.5 $43
269 4:25 PM KC @ DEN 6.5 -4.4 55.8 $36
257 1:00 PM CHI @ STL 8 -6.3 54.9 $26
271 4:25 PM NE @ NYG -7 8.9 54.9 $26
268 4:05 PM @OAK MIN -3 4.9 54.9 $26
264 1:00 PM @PIT CLE -4.5 6.4 54.8 $25
 
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Sports Insights

NFL Best Bets 19-21 -3.43 units

Game Time (ET) Play Best Line
11/15 1:00 PM 251 Play on DET 11.5-108
11/15 1:00 PM 256 Play on TEN 5.5-108
11/15 1:00 PM 263 Play on CLE 5-110
 

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Norm Hitzges NFL FOOTBALL


DOUBLE PLAYS:

  • Green Bay -11 1/2 Detroit
  • Dallas +1 1/2 Tampa

    SINGLE PLAYS


  • Minnesota +3 Oakland
  • Kansas City +5 1/2 Denver
  • Tennessee +5 1/2 Carolina
  • NY Giants +7 New England
  • Philadelphia -6 Miami
  • Arizona +3 Seattle
  • Jacksonville---Baltimore OVER 47 1/2
 

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Week 10 / Hilton Contest


Week 10 SuperContest NFL Picks By Most Contestants
(1-4 Last Week, 24-19-2 ATS YTD)
1Tennessee +5.5By 620
2Oakland -3By 520
3Jacksonville +5.5By 466
4Washington Pick’emBy 448
5Kansas City +6By 426
 

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Top Contestant / Week 10 / Hilton Contest
(36-7-2) (5-0 Last Week)

Week 10 Picks: TB / PHIlLLY / OAK / KC / NYG
 
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Jeff barone sports
nfl- carolina/tennessee under 44 (1pm) ** 2 unit selection **
nfl- dallas +1 tampa bay (1pm)

PATRICK DAME- "The Numbers Guru"
NFL - NEW ORLEANS pk WASHINGTON (1PM) ** 2 UNIT SELECTION **
NFL- TENNESSEE +5 CAROLINA

NFL- NEW ENGLAND -7 NY GIANTS (4PM) ** 2 UNIT SELECTION **
NFL- ST LOUIS -6.5 CHICAGO (1PM)
NFL- JACKSONVILLE/BALTIMORE UNDER 47.5 (1PM)david mires

Larry "football"
nfl- green bay -10 detroit (1pm) ** 2 unit selection **
nfl- minesota +3 oakland (4pm)
nfl- kansas city +5.5 denver (4pm)
 
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fat jack

THERE ARE 3 FOOTBALL SELECTIONS ON SUNDAY
#251 detroit UNDER 48
#261 MIAMI +6.5
#266 baltimore OVER 48
 

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Randall The Handle BEST BETS
Jaguars 2-6 at Ravens 2-6
LINE: BALTIMORE by 5½
Maybe the Jaguars are no great shakes but the arrow appears to be pointing up for the first time in a long while. Conversely, the Ravens have gone the other way with an unfamiliar 2-6 start in what has become a long and tiresome season. Take away two plays (overtime win versus Pittsburgh and final-play field goal versus San Diego) and Baltimore is 0-8. Do you really want to be spotting a handful of points with a squad in the midst of this misery? We don’t, and we won’t. Jim Harbaugh’s club has not covered here in six straight tries. Once a pride of Baltimore, the Ravens defence has been awful with a banged-up secondary being particularly atrocious. The Ravens are not limited to issues on defence as their offence took a hit with the loss of WR Steve Smith, who led the team with 670 receiving yards and three touchdowns. Next man up is Kamar Aiken with a paltry 333 yards to this point. Jacksonville actually owns the better offence right now. Points offered are worth taking.
TAKING: JAGUARS +5½

Chiefs 3-5 at Broncos 7-1
LINE: BRONCOS by 6
Once a heated rivalry, the Broncos have won seven straight in this series. The timing might be right to change the narrative. The Chiefs suffered an unbelievably difficult loss to Denver when the two teams met back in Week 2 and, while motivation won’t be lacking, Kansas City’s ability to compete with this division foe cannot be questioned. The Broncos are back here after a loss and they could be minus a couple of key guys as CB Aqib Talib is suspended while LB DeMarcus Ware is likely to miss with back issues. K.C. returns from a bye, one that follows a pair of victories, including a decisive and morale- building 45-10 lambasting of the Lions. While it is tough to replace a Jamaal Charles, the Chiefs are adapting with RB Charcandrick West averaging 103.5 yards on the ground while scoring a pair of touchdowns. Kansas’ defence has improved as well, limiting its past four opponents to fewer than 20 points per game. The Chiefs were a three-point pick in the first meeting and while we understand the nine-point swing, we also recognize the value.
TAKING: CHIEFS +6

Texans 3-5 at Bengals 8-0
LINE: BENGALS by 10½
The Bengals are good, there is little doubting that. But they aren’t spot- and-cover double digits in consecutive games good. They’ll have had 11 days between starts as they hear about how great they are. That can be dangerous for teams not accustomed to such praise. Not to detract from Cincinnati’s accomplishments thus far, but they still haven’t faced a team sporting an above .500 record. Sure, they are beating up on the less talented and Houston certainly qualifies among that group but in the NFL, it is never this easy. Besides, the Texans arrive here rested as well after their week off. Now that Brian Hoyer is secure in his job with an unemployed Ryan Mallett catching up on some sleep somewhere, the veteran QB can concentrate on trying to win this division. That’s right, win the division! Quietly, Hoyer has guided his team to the NFL’s sixth-best passing offence aided by the great skills of WR DeAndre Hopkins. Let’s not forget a year ago when Hoyer played here as a Cleveland Browns and upset these Bengals 24-3 as a seven-point underdog.
TAKING: TEXANS +10½

THE REST
Lions 1-7 at Packers 6-2
LINE: GREEN BAY by 11½
Are the Packers right? Doesn’t seem so, but this visitor can act as a bandage solution for almost any struggling club as the Lions bring their circus act to Lambeau. As if Detroit didn’t have enough troubles playing at Lambeau when things were semi-normal. The Lions have not won here in their past 24 visits. We didn’t even know they tracked things back that far. Now they get an angry Green Bay team returning home after consecutive losses with both opponents being undefeated when they took on the Packers. While QB Aaron Rodgers and his team’s offence does not appear to be as prolific as usual, it still has enough firepower to roll over a Detroit team that has allowed the most points in the NFL at 30.6 per game.
TAKING: PACKERS –11½

Cowboys 2-6 at Bucs 3-5
LINE: TAMPA BAY by 1½
Behind Door No. 1 are the Cowboys, who haven’t won since QB Tony Romo went down six games ago. Behind Door No. 2 is Tampa Bay, a team that cannot be trusted to win at the best of times. Tough choice, huh? Might prefer going over the total here as the best option but given the choice, we’ll lean Cowboys as Matt Cassel showed some signs of life in Dallas’ overtime loss to the Eagles last week. The Buccaneers seem averse to winning for their home supporters with just one victory in past 12 played here. Tampa’s only home win in four tries this campaign came against the dreadful Jaguars. As bizarre as may sound, the Cowboys still have aspirations of winning their division. They should have Romo back next week. This will be their softest opponent in a while. Perhaps they take advantage.
TAKING: COWBOYS +1½

Panthers 8-0 at Titans 2-6
LINE: CAROLINA by 5½
We catch an inflated number here with oddsmakers well aware of the public’s sentiments for this matchup. While the Panthers appear to be legit, they are stepping out of their comfort zone when spotting a good deal of road points. When traveling to Jacksonville and Tampa, Cam Newton and Co., were asked to spot only a field goal. Now, after three consecutive home games, including a huge win over Green Bay, Carolina is expected to travel here and maintain the same intensity against this meagre opponent. We can’t see that happening. Tennessee received a shot in the arm last week with a new coach and Marcus Mariota back at the controls and throwing for nearly 400 yards and four touchdowns. Titans have covered against all three NFC South opponents so far as they go for the sweep.
TAKING: TITANS +5½

Bears 3-5 at Rams 4-4
LINE: ST. LOUIS by 7
Kudos to the Bears for coming out and fighting each week while they go through a transition. However, they find themselves in a difficult scheduling sequence here and it may be too tough to overcome. Chicago is being asked to play on the road for the fourth time in its past five games. Not only must it endure that, this one occurs on a short week after winning in San Diego on Monday night. The Bears will come up against St. Louis’ stingy defence, a unit that ranks fifth overall and one that might get a couple of star players back from the infirmary. The Rams signed Wes Welker this week to help boost an anaemic passing game which will also help RB Todd Gurley’s talents against Chicago’s 24th ranked run defence.
TAKING: RAMS –7

Saints (4-5) at Redskins (3-5)
LINE: NEW ORLEANS by 1
Just when you think the Saints may be on their way back to respectability, they lose at home to the Titans. Seriously? We don’t see how they warrant being a slight favourite on the road. The Redskins are troubled as well but have quietly won three of four on this field which includes victories over the Eagles, Rams and Bucs. Asking the ’Skins to just win against a defence whose holes can be seen from outer space is not asking for much. New Orleans sits 31st in both yards and points allowed. As long as Washington QB Kirk Cousins isn’t throwing to wrong coloured jerseys, he can be effective, especially with WR DeSean Jackson appearing to be healthy again. On the other side of the ball, Washington’s pass defence has been solid and is more than capable of holding this visitor in check.
TAKING: REDSKINS +1

Dolphins 3-5 at Eagles 4-4
LINE: PHILADELPHIA by 6
Immediately after their coaching change, the Dolphins were like sharks against the Titans and Texans. Following that pair, they were mere guppies when getting hammered to the Patriots and Bills by a combined 69-24. Confidence down, Miami will now hit the road for a third consecutive week only to face an Eagles team that has won three of four with only loss this past month at Carolina. Philly loves home cooking with nine covers in past 13 played here. The Eagles remain committed to the run and that should be effective against a Miami team that has given up the second most yards on the ground including 266 to the Bills last week. The Fish are also struggling offensively against anyone not from the AFC South, failing to score more than 20 points in any game against others.
TAKING: EAGLES –6

Browns 2-7 at Steelers 5-4
LINE: PITTSBURGH by 5
With Ben Roethlisberger shelved again, Landry Jones gets the call for the Steelers and as a result, we get a reduced price. Of course, Jones is no Ben but the drop off is not enough to make the Browns appealing. Cleveland’s rag tag roster cannot be counted on. At quarterback, it will either be a banged-up Josh McCown or inexperienced Johnny Manziel getting the call. Neither instills much confidence. You could argue that the Steelers are in the same position at QB but Jones has been fairly reliable when called upon with a win over Arizona and leading his team to a victory in relief last week over Oakland. Also aiding Landry is that cornerback Joe Haden and safety Donte Whitner, both under concussion protocol, are likely to miss.
TAKING: STEELERS –5

Vikings 6-2 at Raiders 4-4
LINE: OAKLAND by 3
Seven straight covers and suddenly tied with the Packers atop the NFC North, the Vikings are the talk of the town. But this is the NFL which often stands for ‘Not For Long’. While we appreciate the growth that Mike Zimmer’s team has experienced, we find them in a difficult spot here. Minnesota will travel to the west coast after a physical overtime win against the Rams, a game that had significant playoff implications. The last time that Minny traveled to this area, they lost 20-3 to the 49ers. After this trip, the Vikes return home to face the aforementioned Packers. A letdown here wouldn’t surprise. Oakland has a dynamic offence that has scored 34 points or more in its past three games including a win over a highly respected Jets defence that allowed Derek Carr to pass for 333 yards and four touchdowns.
TAKING: RAIDERS –3

Patriots 8-0 at Giants 5-4
LINE: NEW ENGLAND by 7½
Tom Coughlin has become Bill Belichick’s kryptonite. Since 2008, Coughlin’s Giants have taken down the NFL’s ‘super men’ three consecutive times including two Super Bowls. The G-Men also spoiled a perfect 18-0 record when winning the 2007 season’s big game. While the rosters are different and the Patriots are once again undefeated when facing this inferior foe, we can’t discount New York’s coaching prowess against Belichick and Tom Brady. We’re not fooling ourselves either. On paper, Brady should be able to exploit a leaky Giants secondary. However, the Pats are a bit banged up right now and could have similar issues stopping Eli Manning and company. Plus, we have slightly more than a touchdown to work with. Pats on road for first time in a month. If they were in this exact price range at home to Jets and Dolphins, should they be same at Giants?
TAKING: GIANTS +7½

Cards 6-2 at Seahawks 4-4
LINE: SEATTLE by 3
The Seahawks are favoured here based solely on reputation, particularly on this field. Truth be told, the visitor is the stronger team. Both squads have had two weeks to prepare for this all important NFC West showdown. Given the extra time, much prefer Bruce Arians’ strategizing to Pete Carroll’s attempts at fixing what appears to be broken. Seattle’s offensive line has become a sad unit that has allowed a league high 31 sacks on the season. That’s an incredulous number when considering the elusive abilities of QB Russell Wilson. Seattle was fortunate to beat the slumping Cowboys 13-12 in its last game. The Seachickens beat the 1-7 Lions on the field by a field goal in a controversial ending. When facing some winners, the Seahawks lost to the Packers, Bengals and Panthers. Give us the points with a legit 6-2 Arizona.
TAKING: CARDINALS +3
 
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M and M handicapping 4-2 college yesterday 18-10 overall hasn't lost on a Saturday yet. 11-8 nfl
5* kc +5
4* ten +4
4* sea/az under 44
 

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