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GL!
 

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Halfmoon (6-2 Last Week - 11-5 Playoffs - 76-41-4 64% NFL Season)

Championship Picks:

GB +4.5
UN 61

NE -5.5
UN 51
 

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Stu Feiner
I am betting Falcons -5 as our best and Steelers +6 as my next best. Steelers winning outright +200.
 
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Cousin Sal Sunday

GB at Atlanta -4

Sal has Atlanta -4 ... 1100 / 1000


Pitt at NE -6

Sal has NE -6 ... 1100 / 1000


Best Bet

2 team 6 point teaser

Altanta + 2 with NE at Pick'em ... the risk is 2000
 

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GREEN BAY ...GL to all- thx to Cpaw and all the posters- Swami

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ADVANCED SPORTS INVESTMENTS
January 20TH


NFL (REGULAR SEASON)
PATRICK (25-15 +14.30)
GB PACKERS +5.5 ATL FALCONS (3pm)
JEFF (24-31 -17.88)
GB PACKERS / ATL FALCONS UNDER 60.5 (3pm)
LARRY (19-27 -20.90)
NE PATRIOTS -6 PIT STEELERS (640pm)
 

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Mike Francesa - WFAN - Playoffs (6-2) YTD includes Playoffs (34-20)
GB
NE
 

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[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif, WaWebKitSavedSpanIndex_0]Norm Hitzges
January 20-23, 2017
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[FONT=Verdana, Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif, WaWebKitSavedSpanIndex_0]Here are your Picks of the Pole for the NFL Conference Championship games;
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Playoff record last week: 9-0 (!!!)....Playoffs so far: 12-3

TRIPLE PLAY: Pittsburgh +6 New England

DOUBLE PLAY: Atlanta -4 1/2 Green Bay

SINGLE PLAY: Pitt---NE OVER 50 1/2
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Randall the Handle

LINE: ATLANTA by 5

As it stands, about two-thirds of bets being made on this game are on the Packers. That’s perfectly understandable as few are prepared to fade QB Aaron Rodgers right now. Green Bay’s star quarterback is in a groove and as a result, taking back a handful of points against what appears to be an unstoppable thrower has plenty of appeal.
But it’s not the way we’re leaning here. While we respect Rodgers and his team’s offence ability, our concern is with the Packers’ defence. The total for this game is set at an unprecedented 60 points. Even though the oddsmaker didn’t have his best year setting lines, he still has a pretty good idea of what to expect.
The lofty over/under number would indicate that at least one of these teams will be scoring in the 30s. While Green Bay’s offence is being recognized for scoring an abundance of points during its past six games, winning eight straight, it is the Falcons whose output has been equal or greater. Atlanta’s only loss in its past seven games was a one-point setback to the Chiefs when Kansas City returned a two-point convert try 99 yards for the 29-28 winning score. In the six victories, the quick-striking Falcons scored 33 or more points in each contest, scoring in the 40s on two occasions.
The obvious question becomes who will stop who? If the regular season was any indication, the Falcons stand the better chance of succeeding. According to metrics at FootballOutsiders.com, the Packers faced five offences in the league’s top 12 this season went 0-5 against that group which consisted of Washington, Indianapolis, Dallas, Atlanta and Tennessee, losing by an average score of 36.6 -24.6.
After allowing 32 passing touchdowns this season, third most in the NFL, the Pack will now have to deal with MVP candidate Matt Ryan. Despite needing to win its games at the end of the year to qualify for these playoffs, Green Bay still allowed season-high passing yards to Matt Barkley and Sam Bradford. Imagine what Ryan can do here as he brings the league’s highest yards per pass (9.26) and top passer rating (117.2) to go along with his 38 passing touchdowns compared to only seven interceptions.
While Rodgers posts similar numbers, Ryan has stud receiver Julio Jones to throw to while Rodgers’ favourite receiver, Jordy Nelson, is unlikely to play this Sunday. The Packers were able to overcome the loss of Nelson in the win over Dallas last week, but his absence is immeasurable as he led all receivers in touchdowns this season with 14. But it’s no secret that he is No. 12’s favourite target evidenced by Rodgers averaging 275 yards passing and 2.4 touchdowns per game with Nelson in the lineup compared to 239.6 yards and 1.9 touchdowns per contest without him over the past three seasons. With Davante Adams also a question mark, Randall Cobb suddenly jumps back into the picture as Rodgers’ go-to guy.
Dan Quinn has brought the Seattle model with him to Atlanta, albeit with a stronger offence and developing defence. It has been an ascending work in progress and it could be peaking at the right time. We’re willing to spot the points here in order to find out.
TAKING: FALCONS -5

Steelers 13-5 at Patriots 15-2
LINE: NEW ENGLAND by 5.5
Some are citing New England’s easy path to this game as a reason to back the Steelers. We’re not prepared to penalize a 15-2 Patriots team for that.
If you’re to use that argument, it has to cut both ways and Pittsburgh’s passage wasn’t exactly imposing. The Steelers were expected to take care of the inferior Dolphins and did so. The win against Kansas City was a win but it was less than inspiring. Despite Pittsburgh deploying the much feared Killer B’s (Ben Roethlisberger, Le’Veon Bell and Antonio Brown), the Steelers best ‘B’ weapon was kicker Chris Boswell after his six field goals would account for all of Pittsburgh’s points in the 18-16 win.
Sure, that was only one game, but when you watch Mike Tomlin’s club inside the red zone lately, it is an issue that cannot simply be swept aside. Pittsburgh’s red-zone touchdown rate (55.4%) ranked just 14th in the NFL. Now QB Roethlisberger and his playmakers will try to penetrate the stingiest defence in the NFL. The Patriots are known more for Tom Brady and the offence than they are on the defensive side of things. However, the Pats allowed the fewest points in the league this year, a paltry 15.6 per game. Only one of New England’s past eight opponents have been able to score more than 17 points. If the Patriots get out to a lead, forcing Pittsburgh to pass and not utilizing RB Bell could be problematic especially when considering Big Ben’s very mediocre numbers on the road this season.
Talent on the field is one thing while preparation and coaching is another and no one is better at it than Bill Belichick. Schemes and the team that is better at executing them is what decides playoff games. Belichick lays over the dorky Pittsburgh coach in this area. It’s no wonder, that despite Pittsburgh’s success over the years, the Patriots have won and covered seven of eight against this AFC foe when Brady and Belichick have teamed up.
Even Tomlin knows that a key to success in this game will be pressuring Brady. Give Tom Terrific time in the pocket and he’ll carve you up. And getting to him is easier said than done. The Pats have been strong on the offensive line all season long and when TE Martellus Bennett is not out in the flat catching passes, his exceptional blocking skills only make it more difficult for pass-rushers.
Brady is the winningest playoff quarterback in history with 23 victories compared to just nine defeats, including a 14-3 mark at Gillette. The MVP quarterback is 4-0 on home field against Pittsburgh with the Patriots’ only loss to the Steelers with Belichick as coach occurring back in 2008, when Matt Cassel was New England’s quarterback.
The Patriots lost two games this entire season, one of them being the fourth game of Brady’s suspension. Perhaps a subpar performance in last week’s win over Houston is resonating with some, even the oddsmaker. What we see is a team that still won by 18 points against a strong defence. With all they have going for them, there’s little reason to believe that New England isn’t one touchdown better than this vincible visitor.
TAKING: PATRIOTS -5.5

 

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Stu Feiner as well as giving Atlanta & Pittsburgh - also gave both OVERS !!! Atlanta & Over - Pittsburgh & Over !!!! Good Luck To All !!!!
 

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