Service Plays Sunday 08/23/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Lady Luck: Today's WNBA best bets

Detroit Shock at San Antonio Silver Stars (pick, 150.5)

The Shock and Silver Stars are meeting for the first time since last year's WNBA Finals. Given how both teams have looked this year, that seems like an eternity.

Both are in danger of missing the playoffs and are headed in the wrong direction.

The Shock's situation has more urgency. Detroit (9-14) has lost three straight games and is sixth in the Eastern Conference, 2.5 games out of the final postseason spot.

The Silver Stars (11-5) have dropped two in a row and are fifth in the West, one-half game out of the final playoff berth.

In the last 10 meetings, the road team has won seven times and the total has been under seven times.

Pick: San Antonio


Los Angeles Sparks at Atlanta Dream (-2.5, 152.5)

The Sparks and Dream are the two hottest teams in the league right now.

The Sparks have won a season-high four in a row and are doing it with defense. Now that Lisa Leslie and Candace Parker are both healthy and playing well, Los Angeles has held opponents to just 36.2 percent shooting during its streak, keeping the total under in all four games.

The Dream haven't been too shabby, either, winning three in a row and seven of eight, both straight up and against the spread. Atlanta is doing it with offense, averaging 90.8 points during its hot streak and totaling at least 80 points in every game to move past Minnesota for second in the league in scoring.

Pick: Los Angeles +2.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

SUNDAY, AUGUST 23

NATIONAL LEAGUE


San Francisco (67-56) at Colorado (69-54)</b>



A battle of the N.L.’s top wild-card contenders resumes when the Giants send ace right-hander Tim Lincecum (12-3, 2.37 ERA) against fellow righty Ubaldo Jimenez (11-9, 3.41) and the Rockies at Coors Field for the third game of a four-game set.



The Rockies rallied from a 6-1 fourth-inning deficit Saturday night to win a shootout 14-11, putting up seven runs in the sixth inning and four more in the seventh. The Rockies are on a 49-23 roll in their last 72 games and are on further upticks of 8-3 at home and 6-1 on Sunday, However, they are just 2-4 in their last six against winning teams.



The Giants are 2-5 in their last seven Sunday contests but are on a 4-2 overall run with two games left on their 11-game road trip. San Francisco still has a slim 5-4 edge in this rivalry in 2009, but the Giants are just 2-5 in Lincecum’s last seven starts against Colorado.



The Giants have won two in a row and four of five behind Lincecum, including an 8-5, 10-inning victory Tuesday at Cincinnati, despite the right-hander having a rough outing. He allowed five runs on six hits and three walks in six innings, getting a no-decision. Lincecum is 5-2 with a solid 2.82 ERA in 12 road starts this year, and he’s 3-2 with a 4.40 ERA in eight career starts against Colorado.



Jimenez has won his last four starts, going eight innings three times and allowing five earned runs in 30 2/3 innings in that four-game stretch for a 1.46 ERA, and Colorado has won in six of the righty’s last seven starts. On Tuesday at Washington, he allowed two runs on seven hits and a walk in eight innings of a 4-3 victory.



Jimenez is 6-4 with a 3.31 ERA in 11 home starts this year, and he’s 2-2 with a 2.44 ERA in seven career starts against San Francisco. The Rockies are also 10-4 in Jimenez’s last 14 home starts, but they are 1-4 in the 25-year-old’s last five Sunday outings.



The under for San Francisco is on rolls of 5-2 behind Lincecum, 4-1 on Sunday, 8-2-1 against righty starters and 21-11-4 in the National League West, and with Jimenez starting, the under is on runs for Colorado of 4-0 overall and 4-0 against winning teams. However, the over for the Rockies is on surges of 8-0-1 against winning teams and 5-1-2 at home, with last night’s tilt sailing over the posted price of 9½.



Finally, in this rivalry, the under is 5-2 in Jimenez’s last seven starts against the Giants, but with Lincecum hurling, the over is on stretches of 5-2-1 overall versus Colorado and 4-1 at Coors Field.



ATS ADVANTAGE: NONE





AMERICAN LEAGUE



N.Y. Yankees (77-46) at Boston (70-52)</b>



After a pair of blowouts in the first two games of this three-game weekend set, the Red Sox send Josh Beckett (14-4, 3.38 ERA) to the Fenway Park mound against CC Sabathia (14-7, 3.58) and the Yankees in a battle of aces at Fenway Park.



Boston, which got drubbed 20-11 Friday night, bounced back Saturday with a 14-1 beatdown, scoring seven runs over the first two innings and finishing with 14 hits. The Sox are on rolls of 38-17 at home and 30-14 at Fenway against lefty starters, but they are also just 4-7 in their last 11 A.L. East contests.



New York remains on tears of 39-14 overall, 9-3 on the highway, 24-8 in division play and 36-18 against winning teams. The Bronx Bombers lost the first eight games of the season to Boston, then won the next five before Saturday’s blowout loss. The Red Sox are 8-1 in the last nine Fenway clashes, and behind Beckett, the Sox are on runs against the Yanks of 7-2 overall and 4-1 at home.



The BoSox are 9-2 in Beckett’s last 11 starts, getting a 10-9 victory Tuesday at Toronto despite the 29-year-old allowing seven runs on nine hits (three homers) and a walk. Beckett is a perfect 8-0 with a 2.58 ERA in 11 home starts this season, and he’s 9-4 in 16 career starts against New York, despite a somewhat inflated 5.03 ERA. On Aug. 7 at New York, he threw seven shutout innings in a 2-0, 15-inning loss.



Boston is on additional hot streaks behind Beckett of 19-7 overall, 10-1 at home and 6-1 in division play.



Sabathia is 6-1 in his last seven starts, winning the last four in a row, and he’s allowed just three runs in 22 2/3 innings over his last three trips to the hill for a 1.19 ERA. On Tuesday, he allowed two runs on five hits and a walk with seven strikeouts in a 7-2 win at Oakland. The Yanks are on runs backing the southpaw of 5-2 on the road and 4-1 against winning teams.



Sabathia is 9-5 with a 3.54 ERA in 15 road starts this season, and he’s 3-5 with a 3.57 ERA in nine career starts against Boston. On Aug. 8, he threw 7 2/3 shutout innings in the Yanks’ 5-0 home victory.



In this rivalry, the under was on a 6-1-1 run at Fenway before the first two games of this series flew over the posted price. The over is on a 9-1 roll for Boston at home, and the over for New York is on surges of 6-1 against righties, 7-2 on the road against winning teams, 8-3-1 behind Sabathia and 7-1 in the southpaw’s last eight road starts.



ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and OVER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR SUNDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


SAN FRANCISCO (LINCECUM) -105 (1)

Colorado (Jimenez)


SEATTLE (HERNANDEZ) -145 (2)

Cleveland (Carmona)


Angels (Bell)

TORONTO (ROMERO) -125 (3)


Run Totals

San Francisco / Colorado UNDER 8

Seattle / Cleveland UNDER 8

Angels / Toronto OVER 10

Minnesota / Kansas City OVER 9 ½

Yankees / Boston UNDER 9

 

[motor87]

Axiumsports.com

August 23th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$2,498.72

Pick #19- Australia- A League Soccer
19)Bet 32.23 to win 31.29 on Perth Glogry/Newcastle Jets OVER 2.5 -103

Pick #20- Germany-Bundesliga 1 Soccer
20a)Bet 32.64 to win 32.64 on VFL Bochum/Hertha BSC Berlin UNDER 2.5 +100

20b)Bet 67.68 to win 67.68 on VFL Bochum/Hertha BSC Berlin UNDER 2.5 +100

Pick #21- MLB-
21aa)Bet 33.06 to win 30.90 on Florida/Atlanta OVER 8.5 -107
21ab)Bet 68.54 to win 64.06 on Florida/Atlanta OVER 8.5 -107

21ba)Bet 32.69 to win 30.55 on Florida/Atlanta OVER 8.5 -107
21bb)Bet 142.13 to win 132.83 on Florida/Atlanta OVER 8.5 -107

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers access

Brewers
Yankees

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports

315 - 206 run 60 % on Bonus Plays

SUN Houston

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA Basketball Picks
DUNKEL

Los Angeles at Atlanta

The Dream look to build on their 6-1 ATS record in their last 7 home games. Atlanta is the pick (-2) according to Dunkel, which has the Dream favored by 4. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-2). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, AUGUST 23
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 601-602: Los Angeles at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 112.971; Atlanta 117.197
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 4; 166
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 2; 152 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-2); Over
Game 603-604: Minnesota at New York
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 106.806; New York 114.214
Dunkel Line & Total: New York by 7 1/2; 152
Vegas Line & Total: New York by 5; 157
Dunkel Pick: New York (-5); Under
Game 605-606: San Antonio at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 108.536; Detroit 111.119
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 2 1/2; 141
Vegas Line & Total: Pick; 150 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit; Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks
DUNKEL

St. Louis at San Diego

The Padres look to take advantage of a St. Louis team that is 1-6 in its last 7 road games when the total is set from 9 to 10 1/2. San Diego is the pick (+165) according to Dunkel, which has the Padres favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+165). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, AUGUST 23
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Philadelphia at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Martinez) 15.602; NY Mets (Perez) 15.821
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-185); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+175); Under
Game 903-904: Florida at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Nolasco) 15.263; Atlanta (Lowe) 15.567
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-150); Under
Game 905-906: Cincinnati at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Bailey) 14.876; Pittsburgh (Hart) 13.961
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+125); Over
Game 907-908: Milwaukee at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Parra) 13.587; Washington (Stammen) 15.131
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+105); Over
Game 909-910: Arizona at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Garland) 14.671; Houston (Norris) 14.332
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-145); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+135); Under
Game 911-912: San Francisco at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.475; Colorado (Jimenez) 16.164
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Colorado (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-110); Under
Game 913-914: St. Louis at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Smoltz) 14.713; San Diego (Carrillo) 14.848
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-170); 9
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+160); Under
Game 915-916: Chicago Cubs at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Dempster) 15.571; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 15.149
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+165); Under
Game 917-918: Seattle at Cleveland
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Hernandez) 16.924; Cleveland (Carmona) 15.866
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Seattle (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-145); Over
Game 919-920: LA Angels at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Bell) 14.646; Toronto (Romero) 14.714
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-130); 10
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-130); Under
Game 921-922: Texas at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Feldman) 16.734; Tampa Bay (Price) 15.570
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-165); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+155); Under
Game 923-924: Baltimore at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Berken) 14.727; White Sox (Buehrle) 16.002
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-240); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-240); Under
Game 925-926: Minnesota at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Pavano) 14.215; Kansas City (Bannister) 15.509
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+110); Over
Game 927-928: Detroit at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Porcello) 15.013; Oakland (Tomko) 16.049
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+135); Over
Game 929-930: NY Yankees at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 17.430; Boston (Beckett) 16.352
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-110); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-110); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Angels and Dodgers Saturday.

Today it's the Yankees. The surplus is 1,360 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

August 23, 2009

Another day, another couple of flush jobs. Slump ing Hondo swirled down the drain with the Mariners and Cubs last night, which caused his deficit to bal loon to 420 ditmars.

Today, he'll put 10 units on Nolasco & Co. by day, and cc that with Sabathia by night.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

WNBA LONG SHEET


Sunday, August 23

LOS ANGELES (12 - 13) at ATLANTA (14 - 11) - 8/23/2009, 3:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
LOS ANGELES is 2-12 ATS (-11.2 Units) off an upset win as an underdog over the last 3 seasons.
ATLANTA is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in all games this season.
LOS ANGELES is 25-13 ATS (+10.7 Units) after a division game over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 21-11 ATS (+8.9 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons.
LOS ANGELES is 14-4 ATS (+9.6 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record after 15+ games over the last 2 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
ATLANTA is 1-1 against the spread versus LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
ATLANTA is 1-1 straight up against LOS ANGELES over the last 3 seasons
2 of 2 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

MINNESOTA (11 - 15) at NEW YORK (10 - 16) - 8/23/2009, 4:00 PM
Top Trends for this game.
MINNESOTA is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in road games in August or September games over the last 3 seasons.
MINNESOTA is 4-11 ATS (-8.1 Units) after scoring 75 points or more this season.
MINNESOTA is 0-8 ATS (-8.8 Units) in road games after playing 3 consecutive road games since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 14-27 ATS (-15.7 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 3 seasons.
NEW YORK is 119-89 ATS (+21.1 Units) revenging a loss versus opponent since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games against Eastern conference opponents since 1997.
MINNESOTA is 39-23 ATS (+13.7 Units) in road games in non-conference games since 1997.
NEW YORK is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) as a favorite this season.
NEW YORK is 2-9 ATS (-7.9 Units) in home games this season.
NEW YORK is 1-8 ATS (-7.8 Units) in home games versus poor defensive teams - allowing 77+ points/game after 15+ games over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
MINNESOTA is 3-2 against the spread versus NEW YORK over the last 3 seasons
NEW YORK is 3-2 straight up against MINNESOTA over the last 3 seasons
4 of 5 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------

SAN ANTONIO (11 - 15) at DETROIT (10 - 14) - 8/23/2009, 6:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
DETROIT is 4-3 against the spread versus SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
DETROIT is 4-3 straight up against SAN ANTONIO over the last 3 seasons
4 of 7 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe wiz Bonus Plays

astros
cubs/lad under
stl/sd under

 

[mp5070]

Chris Turner

Yankees ML
Rockies ML

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sam Clayton

30 DIME - NYY/BOS UNDER 9

Another highly anticipated showdown between the Yankees and Red Sox, but more importantly, another highly anticipated 30 dime play from yours truly. As I did with our big winner on the SF/CIN Under just three days ago, I circled tonight's game as soon as the pitching matchups were announced. And here we are in a perfect position to destroy the books again and the line is even moving in our favor! The first two games of this series were full of offensive explosions from both teams and the average bettor is forecasting a high scoring contest on Sunday night as well. However, I'm not that naive.

Sunday Night Baseball in Boston features two of baseball's premiere pitchers in C.C. Sabathia (14-7, 3.58) and Josh Beckett (14-4, 3.38), both of whom are no strangers to the national spotlight, and both of whom are no strangers to pitching in big time spots. The calender now reads August and it's make-or-break time for postseason contenders. It's the time when experienced pitchers buckle down and contain the opposition. These two AL East rivals are pulling out all the stops and strolling out elite pitchers on the national stage. This spot showcases the epitome of all the huge contracts and the millions of dollars in bonuses, and pitching in games like these brings out the competitive drive in the best players. You know damn well that both Sabathia and Beckett want the ball and they possess the swing-and-miss type arsenals that can keep the opposing hitters at bay. This game is going to be a full scale pitching battle. Expect nothing less.

Both starters are very familiar with these hitters and they've had great success against each other this season. Against the Sawx in 2009, Sabathia is 1-1 with a 2.45 ERA while Beckett is 2-0 with a 4.12 ERA versus the Yankees. It gets better though because these two aces are peaking in the dog days of summer, which is the perfect time because of all the added pressure that comes with pennant races. The last three starts for each pitcher -- Sabathia (3-0, 1.14 ERA, 0.65 WHIP) and Beckett (1-0, 4.19 ERA, 1.03 WHIP) -- perfectly indicate that these two aces continue to be successful in big spots and that they won't shy away from a challenge tonight. There is going to be so much added pressure on these two offenses to score runs that I think essentially we're going to see so many anxious swings from players that are trying to hit the ball out of the yard. Advantage: Pitchers.

Those that have been following my picks know that I'm a strong advocate of important intangibles when I see them. And today I've got another one: Boston and New York have squared off 14 times this season with the under hitting eight times and six of the last nine. This matchup has cashed the under four of eight times at Fenway Park and on Sunday Night Baseball just two weeks ago, these two clubs produced an under on national television. An added bonus, eight of the last ten Sunday Night Baseball broadcasts have sailed under the posted total as well. I'm extremely confident that Sabathia and Beckett will bring their 'A' games and make this a pitching duel for the ages. They aren't scared of the bright lights and they are used to the hype. And I fully expect a low scoring contest given the added importance of tonight's game.

Play the UNDER.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kiki Sports has lost 13 or 14 days in row.

Sunday August 23nd ~

Comp for Sunday is Milwauke Brewers

Sunday August 23nd
1* Reds +130
2* Marinners -1.5 -110
1* Giants/Rockies UNDER 8
1* Yankees +105
1* Padres +175

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

spreadwinners

3* San Francisco (-105)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

bettingjesus

Italy Series A inter -1.5 -139,juventis -1.5 +105,udinese -120,EPL chelsea -1 -109 all to win $500

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

4 Unit Play. Take Under 8 between the San Francisco Giants @ Colorado Rockies (Sunday @ 3:10pm est). Let's take the Under today in Coors Field. There were 25 runs scored yesterday and I don't expect that type of fireworks today with Lincecum and Jiminez on the mound. Lincecum is competing for the best era in the league as well as for a Cy Young and he comes off a 5 earned run performance at Cincinatti which propelled his era to 2.37. That was one of just 2 non-quality starts for Lincecum over his last 10. To give you some perspective, Lincecum had given up 4 runs over his last 4 games which spanned a total of nearly 35 innings prior to giving up 5 earned runs in six innings in his last start. I expect a strong effort from him today. Not to be outdone, Jiminez has pitched 8 straight quality starts and is 5-0 over his last 7 starts and his last 8 of 10 have gone Under. Considering yesterday was such a display of offense, I look for something to the contrary today as this game will likely be picher's duel.

Good luck,

IC

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

August 23 2009

Frank Patron 10000 unit mlb lock

10000 unit mlb lock

over 9.5 runs baltimore at chicago

(berken vs. Buehrle)