Service PLays Sunday 08/09/09

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NFL LONG SHEET

Sunday, August 9

BUFFALO (2 - 2) vs. TENNESSEE (3 - 1) - 8/9/2009, 8:00 PM
There are no Top Trends with records of significance that apply to this game.

Head-to-Head Series History
TENNESSEE is 1-0 against the spread versus BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
TENNESSEE is 1-0 straight up against BUFFALO over the last 3 seasons
1 of 1 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL over the last 3 seasons
 
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NFL SHORT SHEET


Sunday, 8/9/2009

BUFFALO vs. TENNESSEE, 8:00 PM ET Hall of Fame Game - Canton, OH
BUFFALO: 5-0 ATS as an underdog
TENNESSEE: 5-0 Over if total is 35 or less
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

SUNDAY, AUGUST 9


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Boston (62-47) at N.Y. Yankees (68-42)

The Yankees send veteran lefty Andy Pettitte (9-6, 4.35 ERA) to the hill at Yankee Stadium looking to complete a four-game sweep of the rival Red Sox, who hand the ball to southpaw Jon Lester (9-7, 3.79).

New York knocked off Boston 5-0 on Saturday behind the pitching of C.C. Sabathia, coming on the heels of Friday’s 2-0, 15-inning win. After losing nine straight to the Red Sox, the Yankees have now won three in a row against Boston and seven straight overall. They are also on runs of 53-25 overall, 46-18 at home, 21-7 against A.L East rivals and 38-18 on Sundays.

Boston has followed up a four-game winning streak by dropping its last five, all on the road, falling to 3-10 in its last 13 as a visitor. Additionally, the Red Sox have lost eight in a row to teams with a winning record, but they’re still on positive runs of 27-15 in divisional play and 8-2 in the fourth game of a series. Also, they’re still 9-3 in the last 12 clashes with the Yankees.

With Lester starting, the BoSox are on a slew of positive streaks, including 49-23 overall, 7-3 against the A.L. East, 20-7 against teams with a winning record, 10-3 on Sundays and 6-1 when he pitches after a team loss. On Tuesday in Tampa, Lester allowed just one run on three hits in six innings, striking out 10 and walking two, but it wasn’t enough as the Sox lost 4-2.

Boston has won four of Lester’s last five outings against the Yankees, including two this season as he’s allowed a combined five runs in 13 innings to the Bronx Bombers. He pitched in New York on May 4 and gave up three runs on six hits in seven innings of a 6-4 Boston victory.

Pettitte has looked good in his last two outings, including Tuesday in Toronto when he gave up just one run on four hits in 6 2/3 innings of a 5-3 victory. However, against Boston he’s been roughed up a bit, allowing four runs or more in four of his last five starts, including an April 26 start that saw him allow four runs (three earned) in six inning of a 4-1 loss.

With Pettitte on the hill, New York has lost four of his last five as a favorite and four of his last five against teams with a winning record, but it is on runs of 78-37 when he’s a home chalk and 41-20 when he faces A.L. East competition.

Boston has stayed under the posted number in seven of Lester’s last 11 starts overall and four of his last five roadies, plus as a team the Red Sox are on “under” runs of 12-3 as ‘dogs, 11-3 as road ‘dogs, 17-7-1 on Sundays and 10-4 on the road. When Pettitte pitches, the Yankees are on “under” streaks of 38-16-2 overall, 41-16-1 as a favorite, 7-1 at home, 8-1-1 on Sundays and 23-9-1 as a home favorite, while as a team New York is on “over” runs of 4-1 against southpaws, 4-1 on Sundays and 5-2-1 overall.

Finally, in this rivalry, the “under” is 8-3-2 in the last 13 overall, but the “over” is 8-3 in Pettitte’s last 11 outings against the Red Sox.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


Texas (61-48) at L.A. Angels (65-43)

Texas sends lefty Derek Holland (4-7, 5.60 ERA) to the mound opposite the Angels’ John Lackey (7-4, 3.96) in the rubber match of a three-game set between the top two teams in the A.L. West in Anaheim.

Los Angeles evened the series Saturday with a 3-2 victory behind the pitching of Jered Weaver. The Angels have been the hottest team in baseball the past two months, going 36-14 in their last 50 games overall and 20-9 in their last 29 at home (9-3 in the last 12). They’re on additional runs of 8-3 against teams with a winning record, 41-13 in the third game of a series and 24-9 on Sundays.

Texas is still 13-7 in its last 20 overall and is on further upticks of 10-3 against opponents that have a winning record, 4-1 on Sundays and 27-14 against A.L. West foes. However, the Rangers are just 9-21 in their last 30 against teams with a winning percentage better than .600.

The Rangers are 8-3 against the Angels this season and 10-4 in the last 13 clashes dating to 2008, and they have won six of the last nine meetings in Anaheim.

Holland is just 1-3 on the road with a 4.46 ERA and he was hit hard in Oakland on Tuesday, giving up four runs (three earned) on four hits in 4 1/3 innings of a 6-0 loss. He’s allowed four runs or more in seven of his last 10 starts and the Rangers are just 3-7 in those 10. They are 0-4 in his last four roadies and 1-4 in his last five as a ‘dog.

Lackey seems to be regaining his form, going 2-0 in his last three outings with a 2.38 ERA. He allowed four runs (three earned) on five hits in eight innings in a 5-4 loss in Chicago on Tuesday, but the Angels had won his four previous outings, in which he allowed a combined five runs in 30 2/3 innings. Last time he saw Texas, he was shelled for six runs on nine hits in 4 2/3 innings of an 8-5 loss on July 7.

With Lackey pitching, Los Angeles is on runs of 7-1 in the third game of a series, 20-8 on Sunday and 19-8 when he faces squads from the A.L. West.

With Holland on the hill, Texas is on “under” runs of 7-1-1 overall and 5-1 against teams with a winning record, while as a team, the Rangers are on “under” streaks of 39-15-2 overall, 36-17-5 on Sundays, 37-16-2 against teams with a winning record and 8-1 in their last nine as a road ‘dog.

The Angels have stayed under the number in 31 of Lackey’s last 45 home starts against winning teams, but they’ve topped the total in four of his last six overall and each of his last four at home. As a team, Los Angeles is on a slew of “over” runs, including 22-6-1 at home, 23-6-2 as a favorite, 41-15-4 overall, 20-8-1 as a home chalk and 7-4 against the A.L. West.

In this rivalry, the “over” is 5-2 in the last seven overall, 4-1 in Lackey’s last five at home against Texas and 5-3 in the last seven head-to-head clashes in Los Angeles.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS


NFL PRESEASON


Buffalo (0-0) vs. Tennessee (0-0)

(at Canton, Ohio)

The 2009 NFL preseason kicks off in Canton, Ohio, as Bills battle the Titans in the annual Hall of Fame Game.

Buffalo went 2-2 straight-up (SU) and 3-1 against the spread (ATS) in the 2008 preseason. The Bills have split their four preseason contests each of the last two summers and three times in the last four years. Under coach Dick Jauron, Buffalo is 5-7 SU and 7-5 ATS, including 3-0 ATS (1-2 SU) in preseason openers.

Tennessee won three of its four exhibition contests for the second straight year in 2008, but went just 1-3 ATS. In fact, Jeff Fisher’s squad has gone 1-3 ATS three times in the last four summers. On the bright side, the Titans have won three consecutive preseason openers (2-1 ATS).

Jauron said all of his starters will see some action today, including QB Trent Edwards, but only for a couple of series. Edwards would be followed by backup Ryan Fitzpatrick, Gibran Hamdan and rookie Matt Baker. Fisher hinted at a similar game plan for his starters, though it’s unknown how many snaps first-string QB Kerry Collins will receive. Collins will be replaced by Vince Young, followed by Ingle Martin.

The Bills have been a moneymaker as a preseason underdog in recent years, going 10-1-1 ATS since 2004, including 8-0 ATS when catching points over the past four summers.

The Redskins crushed the Colts 30-16 as a 4½-point underdog in last year’s Hall of Fame Game, making the underdog 2-1-1 ATS the last four years in this contest.

The “over” is 6-3 in the Titan’s last nine preseason games, but the under is 7-2 in Buffalo’s last nine exhibition battles.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BUFFALO
 

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Sports Betting System Picks

August 9th 2009

*-Weekly System Picks. Please follow the system and do not increase your starting bet until you at least triple your account. -*

Current Bankroll=$1,728.22

Pick #20- Germany-Bundesliga 2 Soccer
20)Bet 22.29 to win 21.23 on VFL Bochum/Borussia Monchengladbach OVER 2.5 -105

Pick #21- MLB-
21a)Bet 22.57 to win 22.13 on Minnesota/Detroit OVER 8.5 -102

21b)Bet 46.81 to win 45.89 on Minnesota/Detroit OVER 8.5 -102

Pick #22- MLB-
22aa)Bet 22.85 to win 21.77 on Tampa Bay/Seattle UNDER 8.5 -105
22ab)Bet 47.40 to win 45.14 on Tampa Bay/Seattle UNDER 8.5 -105

22ba)Bet 22.60 to win 21.52 on Tampa Bay/Seattle UNDER 8.5 -105
22bb)Bet 98.30 to win 93.62 on Tampa Bay/Seattle UNDER 8.5 -105
 

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Dunkel

Today's MLB Picks

Boston at NY Yankees

The Red Sox look to salvage a game in the series and build on their 6-1 record in Jon Lester's last 7 starts following a team loss in the previous game. Boston is the pick (+110) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Sox favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Boston (+110). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, AUGUST 9

Game 901-902: Florida at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 14.518; Philadelphia (Moyer) 15.861
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-140); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+120); Under
Game 903-904: St. Louis at Pittsburgh
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Pineiro) 13.997; Pittsburgh (Duke) 14.343
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+165); Over
Game 905-906: Arizona at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Petit) 15.632; Washington (Martin) 16.338
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1/2; 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Arizona (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+110); Over
Game 907-908: Milwaukee at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.559; Houston (Rodriguez) 15.009
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1/2; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-110); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-110); Under
Game 909-910: Chicago Cubs at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 14.962; Colorado (Hammel) 16.197
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+115); Under
Game 911-912: Cincinnati at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Harang) 14.420; San Francisco (Cain) 15.616
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-175); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-175); Over
Game 913-914: NY Mets at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Santana) 14.358; San Diego (Stauffer) 14.825
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Mets (-145); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+135); Over
Game 915-916: Atlanta at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Vazquez) 15.420; LA Dodgers (Stults) 15.076
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 917-918: Baltimore at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Matusz) 15.590; Toronto (Halladay) 13.787
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-275); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+245); Over
Game 919-920: Boston at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 15.992; NY Yankees (Pettitte) 15.557
Dunkel Line: Boston by 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-120); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+110); Under
Game 921-922: Minnesota at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Baker) 15.070; Detroit (Washburn) 15.549
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1/2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-130); Over
Game 923-924: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Huff) 17.088; White Sox (Contreras) 15.106
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 2; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-155); 10
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (+145); Over
Game 925-926: Oakland at Kansas City
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Anderson) 13.424; Kansas City (Hochevar) 15.213
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-110); Under
Game 927-928: Tampa Bay at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Kazmir) 14.712; Seattle (Rowland-Smith) 15.067
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+125); Over
Game 929-930: Texas at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Holland) 15.480; LA Angels (Lackey) 16.466
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 11 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Angels (-175); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (-175); Over



WNBA Basketball Picks

Chicago at Detroit

The Sky are coming off yesterday's win at Atlanta and look to build on their 7-3 ATS record in their last 10 games with 0 days of rest. Chicago is the pick (+7) according to Dunkel, which has the Shock favored by just 1. Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+7). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, AUGUST 9

Game 651-652: Washington at Connecticut
Dunkel Ratings: Washington 110.761; Connecticut 112.157
Dunkel Line & Total: Connecticut by 1 1/2; 154 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 4 1/2; 152 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (+4 1/2); Over
Game 653-654: Chicago at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 110.139; Detroit 110.828
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 148
Vegas Line & Total: Detroit by 7; 150 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago (+7); Under
Game 655-656: San Antonio at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 109.014; Minnesota 114.819
Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 6; 155
Vegas Line & Total: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 159
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-2 1/2); Under



Today's NFL Picks

Buffalo vs. Tennessee

The Steelers look to build on their 7-0 ATS record in the playoffs behind QB Ben Roethlisberger against an Arizona team that has lost 13 of its last 18 SU as an underdog between 3 1/2 and 9 1/2 points. The Steelers are the pick (-7) according to Dunkel, which has Pittsburgh favored by 10. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-7).

SUNDAY, AUGUST 9

Game 241-242: Buffalo vs. Tennessee
Dunkel Ratings: Buffalo 121.531; Tennessee 121.086
Dunkel Line: Even; 30 1/2
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 3; 31
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (+3); Under
 
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Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR SUNDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


Texas (Holland)

ANGELS (LACKEY) -170 (1)



Baltimore (Matusz)

TORONTO (HALLADAY) -275 (2)



FLORIDA (JOHNSON) -125 (3)

Philadelphia (Moyer)



RUN TOTALS

Texas / Angels OVER 9 ½

Baltimore / Toronto UNDER 7 ½
 
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Twins Saturday night.

Today it's the Twins and Brewers. The surplus is 965 sirignanos.
 
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Hondo

August 9, 2009

Hondo made some progress yesterday in El Bronx where the Bombers did another zippity do-dah against the Sawx to reduce his IOUs to 460 forsches.

Today, he'll open with Wandy and close with Andy -- 10 units apiece on the 'Stros and Yanks.
 
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Mr. A's

Sunday, August 9th, 2009 3:10 PM EST.
Chicago Cubs (58-50) at Colorado Rockies (60-50)
(R) Randy Wells (8-4) vs. (R) Jason Hammel (6-6)
Oddsmakers: Chicago as a -115 road favorite with the total listed at 9½ 'over'.

Chicago Cubs -115

Sunday, August 9th, 2009 4:05 PM EST.
Cincinnati Reds (47-62) at San Francisco Giants (61-49)
(R) Aaron Harang (5-13) vs. (R) Matt Cain (12-3)
Oddsmakers: San Francisco as a -185 home favorite with the total listed at 7½ 'over'.

San Francisco Giants -185
 

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8/9/09​
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MLB​
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Featured Play: Boston +100 (919)​
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Trushel.

This guy is ice cold. Play at risk...or fade at risk.
 

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RatedPicks

MLB:

MLB 08/09 Milwaukee Brewers at Houston Astros pick: Milwaukee Brewers pts: +100 2 units
MLB 08/09 Arizona Diamondbacks at Washington Nationals pick: Washington Nationals pts: +110 2 units
MLB 08/09 St Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates pick: St Louis Cardinals pts: -1.5 (+105) 3 units
MLB 08/09 Boston Red Sox at NY Yankees pick: NY Yankees pts: -115 3 units
MLB 08/09 Minnesota Twins at Detroit Tigers pick: Minnesota Twins pts: +125 3 units
MLB 08/09 Cleveland Indians at Chicago White Sox pick: Chicago White Sox pts: -155 2 units
MLB 08/09 St Louis Cardinals at Pittsburgh Pirates pick: *BP* St Louis Cardinals pts: -170 5 units

HUGE DOG PLAY!!

*MLB 08/09 Baltimore Orioles at Toronto Blue Jays pick: Baltimore Orioles pts: +260 2 units*


NFL -

Buffalo Bills +3 -110 1unit
 

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Fantasy Sports Gametime

Sunday Plays


MLB Baseball

50* Play St. Louis (-165) over Pittsburgh (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Pittsburgh has lost 12 of the last 14 games and they have also lost 17 of the last 19 games as a home underdog of +150 to +200. Pittsburgh has lost 18 of the last 21 home games when playing in the month of August and they have also lost 13 of the last 17 games when playing on a Sunday. Zach Duke has lost 9 of the last 10 games after giving up two or more home runs the last game and he has also lost 5 of the last 6 games in the 2nd half of the season.



50* Play San Francisco (-175) over Cincinnati (MLB BONUS PLAY)

Cincinnati has lost 15 of the last 18 games and they have also lost 11 of the last 14 games when playing as an underdog of +150 or higher. Aaron Harang has lost 12 of the last 14 road games when the total posted is between 7 and 8.5 runs and he is also 0-3 over the last 3 starts with an ERA of 6.64. Matt Cain has won 10 of the last 11 home games and he has an ERA of 1.87 over the last 3 starts.



WNBA HOOPS



50* Play Chicago (+7) over Detroit (WNBA Hoops Bonus Play)

Detroit has lost 9 of the last 11 games against the spread vs. division opponents and they have also lost 14 of the last 19 games against the spread as a home favorite of 6.5 to 9 points. Detroit has lost 4 consecutive games coming off an UNDER the total and they have also lost 3 consecutive games vs. Chicago at home.
 

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The Sports Investing Professional - Sunday

Todays Play(s) - Today we have one play and we'll go out to LA to take a ride
with the Angels again. Holland has been awful and Lackey has been much better
as of late. It's a big lay for this time of year but I'm willing to take the chance.


MLB - LA Angles -180 [LISTED] Holland / Lackey 1350.00 / 750.00


May The Ball Bounce Your Way,

The Sports Investing Professional


Record (27-18) +$959
 

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Alfred Kelley

SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS VS CINCINNATI REDS

TAKE SAN FRANCISCO GIANTS ON THE MONEYLINE
 

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