Service Plays Sunday 07/12/09

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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim..

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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

L.A. Dodgers (55-32) at Milwaukee (45-42)

The Brewers snapped out of their funk Saturday and now give the ball to ace Yovani Gallardo (8-6, 2.95 ERA) in the rubber match of a three-game series at Miller Park against the Dodgers, who are set to counter with red-hot lefty Clayton Kershaw (6-5, 3.27).

Milwaukee bounced back from Friday’s 12-8, 10-inning loss to the Dodgers with Saturday’s 6-3 victory. Still, the Brewers have dropped seven of their last 10, scoring two runs or fewer in five of the seven defeats, and they’re also in ruts of 2-4 at home, 0-5 on Sunday and 3-5 against the N.L. West. They’ve also struggled with L.A. of late, losing 36 of the last 54 meetings, including four of the last six at Miller Park.

Despite Saturday’s setback, Los Angeles has won five out of six and six of its last nine, including going 5-3 on its nine-game road trip that ends today. The Dodgers, who continue to sport baseball’s best record, are on additional positive runs of 6-2 against right-handed starters 11-6 against the N.L. Central.

Kershaw has been brilliant in his last three starts, going 3-0 with a 0.61 ERA, allowing just two runs and 17 hits while striking out 33 in 29 2/3 innings. The Dodgers won all five of those starts and are 5-1 in both his last six starts on Sunday and his last six against the N.L. Central.

Kershaw went 0-3 with a 9.47 ERA in his first four road starts, but is 4-0 with a 1.39 ERA in his last four roadies, and he comes into this contest having tossed 15 straight scoreless innings in his last two outings on the highway. The 22-year-old’s lone start against the Brewers came at home last year, and he gave up a run on eight hits while fanning six in six innings, but he got a no-decision in L.A.’s 7-5 victory.

Gallardo is coming off a rare poor start, as he got touched up for four runs on six hits and five walks in five innings of Tuesday’s 5-0 home loss to St. Louis. The right-hander had surrendered just 11 runs (10 earned) in his previous eight starts covering 53 innings (1.70 ERA). Gallardo is now just 4-4 in nine home starts despite a solid 2.89 ERA, and tonight marks his first-ever outing against Los Angeles.

The under is 5-2 in Kershaw’s last seven starts, and with Gallardo on the hill, the “under” is on streaks of 19-7 overall, 5-1 at home, 10-1 against teams with a winning record and 4-1 on Sunday.

Milwaukee carries “under” streaks of 4-2 at home, 8-4 against the N.L. West and 11-5-1 on Sunday, but the over is 10-1-1 in its last 12 games versus southpaw starters. Also, the Dodgers are on “over” runs of 6-2 overall, 8-2 on the road, and 9-3 on Sunday. The over is also 5-2 in the last seven Brewers-Dodgers clashes and 4-2 in the last six clashes in Milwaukee.

ATS ADVANTAGE: OVER


N.Y. Yankees (51-36) at L.A. Angels (48-37)

The Angels go for a three-game sweep of the Yankees when they send John Lackey (3-4, 5.18) to the mound against New York ace CC Sabathia (8-5, 3.70).

Los Angeles rallied from an early deficit for the second straight day Saturday, pounding out a 14-8 victory over the Yankees on the heels of Friday’s 10-6 rout. The Angels are on positive streaks of 19-8 overall, 8-3 at home, 5-1 against southpaw starters, 5-1 versus the A.L. East and 21-8 on Sunday.

New York’s back-to-back losses to the Angels follow a three-game overall and eight-game road winning streak. Still, the Yankees 13-4 in their last 17 games and are on additional runs of 36-19 overall, 9-1 against right-handed starters, 12-4 against winning teams and 35-17 on Sunday.

The host has now won 11 of the last 13 meetings in this rivalry, including four of five this season. Additionally, the Angels are 7-1 in the last eight series clashes in Anaheim and they’ve won eight of 11 against New York overall.

Sabathia dominated the Twins in Tuesday’s 10-2 win in the Metrodome, scattering a run on three hits and a walk in seven innings as he bounced back from an ugly 8-4 home loss to Seattle in which he surrendered six runs on 10 hits in 5 2/3 innings. New York has now triumphed in five of Sabathia’s last seven starts on the highway, and for the season, the hefty lefty is 6-3 with a 2.98 ERA in 10 road efforts.

Sabathia suffered an 8-4 home loss to the Angels back on May 2 in the Bronx, yielding five runs (four earned) in 6 2/3 innings. He’s now 5-6 with a 4.56 ERA in 13 career starts against the Halos.

Lackey followed up consecutive quality starts against the Orioles and Diamondbacks (two earned runs allowed in 15 innings) with Wednesday’s poor outing against the Rangers, as he got lit up for six runs and nine hits in 4 2/3 innings, suffering an 8-5 home loss. Lackey is now 1-3 with a 5.46 ERA in four home starts, and going back to September of last season, the Angels have lost six of Lackey’s last seven home contests and eight of his last 10 against winning teams,

On the bright side, Lackey has a 2.86 ERA in four day games this year, and L.A. is 18-8 in his last 26 Sunday affairs and 6-1 in the right-hander’s last seven home starts against New York. For his career, Lackey is 4-7 with a 4.81 ERA in 15 regular-season starts versus the Bronx Bombers.

The over is 4-0 in Sabathia’s last four starts overall and 4-1 in his last five on the road, but the under is 4-1 in Lackey’s last five home outings and 5-1 in his last six on Sunday.

For Los Angeles, the “over” is on runs of 6-1 overall (all at home), 6-1-1 against the A.L. East and 6-2-1 versus lefty starters, while New York has hurdled the total in seven of its last eight overall and five of its last six against A.L. West foes. Finally, in this rivalry, the “over” is on stretches of 15-4 overall and 12-3 in Anaheim.

ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS
 
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WNBA Basketball Picks

Chicago at Seattle

The Storm look to take advantage of a Chicago team that is 1-7 ATS in its last 8 road games. Seattle is the pick (-11) according to Dunkel, which has the Storm favored by 15. Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-11). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 12
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 601-602: Minnesota at San Antonio
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 106.829; San Antonio 110.887
Dunkel Line & Total: San Antonio by 4; 153 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 7 1/2; 152
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+7 1/2); Over
Game 603-604: Chicago at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 101.376; Seattle 116.520
Dunkel Line & Total: Seattle by 15; 144
Vegas Line & Total: Seattle by 11; 139 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-11); Over
 
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Today's MLB Picks

Oakland at Tampa Bay

The A's look to follow up yesterday's 7-2 win and build on their 4-1 record in their last 5 games as a road underdog between +150 and +200. Oakland is the pick (+180) according to Dunkel, which has the A's favored by 1/2 a run. Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+180). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JULY 12
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 951-952: Cincinnati at NY Mets
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Harang) 13.426; NY Mets (Pelfrey) 14.594
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-130); 8
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+120); Under
Game 953-954: Pittsburgh at Philadelphia
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Vasquez) 14.539; Philadelphia (Happ) 16.273
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-210); 9
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-210); Over
Game 955-956: LA Dodgers at Milwaukee
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Kershaw) 15.795; Milwaukee (Gallardo) 14.760
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (+130); Over
Game 957-958: Washington at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Zimmermann) 14.251; Houston (Moehler) 16.059
Dunkel Line: Houston by 2; 8
Vegas Line: Houston (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-115); Under
Game 959-960: Atlanta at Colorado
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Medlen) 15.156; Colorado (Hammel) 16.375
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Colorado (-155); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (-155); Under
Game 961-962: San Diego at San Francisco
Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Correia) 14.506; San Francisco (Zito) 14.153
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+135); Under
Game 963-964: Florida at Arizona
Dunkel Ratings: Florida (Johnson) 15.507; Arizona (Davis) 16.463
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+110); Under
Game 965-966: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Wainwright) 14.746; Cubs (Wells) 16.027
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 967-968: Cleveland at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Ohka) 14.162; Detroit (Verlander) 15.811
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Detroit (-240); 9
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-240); Under
Game 969-970: Kansas City at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Chen) 14.413; Boston (Beckett) 16.769
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Boston (-300); 9
Dunkel Pick: Boston (-300); Over
Game 971-972: Oakland at Tampa Bay
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Anderson) 15.516; Tampa Bay (Shields) 15.112
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-200); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (+180); Over
Game 973-974: Toronto at Baltimore
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Rzepczynski) 14.342; Baltimore (Bergesen) 16.268
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Baltimore (-115); 9
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (-115); Over
Game 975-976: Chicago White Sox at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Buehrle) 14.086; Minnesota (Baker) 16.058
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-120); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-120); Under
Game 977-978: NY Yankees at LA Angels
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.421; LA Angels (Lackey) 15.719
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-145); 9
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-145); Under
Game 979-980: Texas at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Nippert) 17.055; Seattle (Bedard) 16.020
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Seattle (-155); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+145); Over
Game 981-982: St. Louis at Chicago Cubs
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lohse) 15.547; Cubs (Zambrano) 15.135
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
 
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Hondo

July 12, 2009

The Pirates were about to pull a shocker in Philly last night until they brought in Capps, who played taps. As a result, Hondo, who was on the verge of tooting his horn, saw his earnings plunge to 225 nordhagens.

Today, a little birdie told him to close out the front nine with that big strapping Buehrle guy -- 10 units on the Pale Hose.
 
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Kosmo

ALL MLB PLAYS LISTED PITCHERS

7-12-09

Giants -140 1 unit
Boston -1.5 -140 1 unit
White Sox +110 1 unit
 
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Scott Ferrall

MLB FREE PICKS FOR SUNDAY
PICKS ARE IN ALL CAPS AND RANKED IN ORDER OF CONFIDENCE ( )


ST. LOUIS (WAINWRIGHT) -110 (1)

Cubs (Zambrano)



LOS ANGELES (KERSHAW) +125 (2)

Milwaukee (Gallardo)



Kansas City (Chen)

BOSTON (BECKETT) -325 (3)
 
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Brandon Lang

Sunday ...
20 Dime - Mets - Analysis due back by 11 a.m. eastern



5 Dime Nationals -



5 Dime White Sox -



FREE – Phillies Run Line
 

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July 12 2009
frank patron 15000 unit al game of the week

frank patron

15000 unit al game of the week

chicago white sox +110 w/ buehrle
 
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Mr. A's

Sunday, July 12th, 2009, 1:35 PM EST.
Oakland Athletics (36-49) at Tampa Bay Rays (48-40)
(L) Brett Anderson (5-7) vs. (R) James Shields (6-6)
Oddsmakers: Tampa Bay as a -190 home favorite with the total listed at 8½ 'over'.

Tampa Bay Rays -190

Sunday, July 12th, 2009, 2:05 PM EST.
Los Angeles Dodgers (55-32) at Milwaukee Brewers (45-42)
(L) Clayton Kershaw (6-5) vs. (R) Yovani Gallardo (8-6)
Oddsmakers: Milwaukee as a -140 home favorite with the total listed at 8 'over'.

Los Angeles Dodgers +130
 
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Gina

Sunday, July 12th, 2009 2:10 p.m. est.

Chicago White Sox (45-42) at Minnesota Twins (44-44)
(L) Mark Buehrle (9-2) vs. (R) Scott Baker (6-7)

Chicago's Mark Buehrle (9-2, 3.14 ERA), is 2-0 with a 3.00 ERA in his last three starts, 3-0 with a 2.25 ERA in his last four. The White Sox are 4-0 in the lefthander's last 4 road starts and 10-4 in Buehrle’s last 14 starts against the Twins.
Minnesota's Scott Baker (6-7, 5.31), is 2-1 with a 5.79 ERA in his last three starts. The Twins are 5-2 in the right-hander's last 7 starts versus the White Sox.
Go with the White Sox with lefty Mark Buehrle at the helm to win a series against the Twins for the first time at Minnesota since 2007. Chicago has been successful away from home, 8-3 in their last 11 road games and Buehrle is 10-7 with a 4.14 ERA in 19 games, including 17 starts at the Metrodome. Meanwhile, Minnesota has lost four of their last five home games.

Chicago White Sox -105
 

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Free Silver Key Pick for Sunday ML Baseball

ANGELS LACKEY -R +1.5 Runs, -125 Over Yankees (3:35 et)
 

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