Service Plays Sunday 06/07/09

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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Thank you, wilheim..

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[backdoorcover1]

WUNDERDOG TOTAL PICK FOR NBA PLAYOFF GAME

Game: Orlando at Los Angeles Lakers (8:00 PM Eastern)
Pick: Game Total UNDER 202 -110

I really like the UNDER again. We played that as a 5-unit play in game one noting that both teams are averaging less than 200 points in the playoffs yet we saw a total of 206. That was the easiest bet of the playoffs thus far as the teams went UNDER the total by 31 points. Now the oddsmakers are in a real quandary. They realize their total for game one was way off but how far can they adjust it? They've shaved four points off that total but just two baskets isn't enough! The total in this game should be under 200 again and yet it's over 200. The Magic and Lakers have both been playing to totals well under their season average. The 20 Magic playoff games have averaged just 190 points, while the Lakers have averaged 198 in their 19 games. The average of the two is 194. The Lakers have played eight of their last nine playoff games at home UNDER the total and 28 of their last 37 as a favorite UNDER the total. The last six times these two teams have met in Los Angeles, the total has gone UNDER in all but one. Orlando is 12-3 UNDER this season vs. teams that average 103+ ppg while the Lakers are 13-5 UNDER at home vs. teams that outscore their opponents by 3+ ppg. I like the UNDER here.

 

[goldencontender]

Sunday Mlb comp play-GC-

On Sunday the Bonus Play is on the St.Louis Cardinals.Game 910 at 2:15 eastern.The Cards have no been embarrassed in back to back home games vs Colorado.Today they will turn the tables.Pitching for the Crds is Joel Pinerio.In his home starts he has been solid with a 2.08 era winning 3 of his 4 starts.For the Rocks its U.Jimenez.On the road Jimenez has struggled with a 1-6 team start record.In his last 2 starts vs the Cards he has allowed 6 runs and 14 hits in 10 innings of work.The Rockies have lost 6 of 9 games as a road dog in this range,while the Cardinals are 8-3 as a home favorite in this range.St.Louis is also 5-2 this year off back to back losses.Stay at home with the Cards to avoid the sweep.bol GC-

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Savannah Sports

Professional Plays
Eric Degarde

MLB Baseball
3 (***) Toronto -(1.5 RL)
3 (***) Atlanta -140

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

RatedPicks 6/7 MLB and NBA
NBA:
Orlando Magic +7

MLB:
Pitt Pirates/ Hou. Astros OVER 9.5
SF Giants/ FL Marlins UNDER 8.5
Milwakee Brewers +125
St Louis Cardinals -130

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

DCI

NBA Finals
Game 2, best-of-7
L.A. LAKERS 103, Orlando 97

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Magic
Reds

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

Philadelphia at LA Dodgers

The Phillies look to bounce back from yesterday's 3-2 extra-inning loss and build on their 11-1 record in their last 12 road games when the total is set between 7 and 8 1/2 runs. Philadelphia is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Phillies favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+120). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, JUNE 7
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wells) 15.102; Cincinnati 16.351
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+115); Under
Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Parra) 15.173; Atlanta (Hanson) 15.271
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1/2; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-145); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-145); Under
Game 905-906: NY Mets at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Hernandez) 14.218; Washington (Stammen) 13.368
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+105); Under
Game 907-908: Pittsburgh at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Snell) 13.763; Houston (Paulino) 15.141
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Houston (-125); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-125); Under
Game 909-910: Colorado at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Jimenez) 14.695; St. Louis (Pineiro) 14.942
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-130); Over
Game 911-912: Arizona at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Haren) 14.682; San Diego (Geer) 15.006
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Arizona (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (+150); Over
Game 913-914: San Francisco at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.640; Florida (Nolasco) 16.875
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-150); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (+140); Under
Game 915-916: Philadelphia at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Bastardo) 17.101; LA Dodgers (Wolf) 15.882
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+120); Under
Game 917-918: LA Angels at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Suanders) 16.015; Detroit (Porcello) 14.800
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+115); Under
Game 919-920: Tampa Bay at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Garza) 16.341; NY Yankees (Chamberlain) 17.748
Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 11
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-150); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-150); Over
Game 921-922: Kansas City at Toronto
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Davies) 12.716; Toronto (Halladay) 14.384
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Toronto (-265); 8
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-265); Over
Game 923-924: Texas at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Padilla) 17.179; Boston (Matsuzaka) 16.181
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-175); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+165); Under
Game 925-926: Cleveland at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Huff) 14.700; White Sox (Colon) 15.595
Dunkel Line: Chicago White Sox by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-130); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago White Sox (-130); Under
Game 927-928: Baltimore at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Hill) 14.915; Oakland (Mazzaro) 15.638
Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Oakland (-125); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-125); Over
Game 929-930: Minnesota at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Slowey) 15.663; Seattle (Bedard) 16.697
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 7
Vegas Line: Seattle (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-130); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NBA Picks

Orlando at LA Lakers

The Lakers look to follow up their 25-point win in Game One and build on their 8-2 ATS record in their last 10 games when playing on 2 days rest. Los Angeles is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Lakers favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-6 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

SUNDAY, JUNE 7
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST (6/6)
Game 703-704: Orlando at LA Lakers
Dunkel Ratings: Orlando 126.527; LA Lakers 133.305
Dunkel Line & Total: LA Lakers by 7; 198 1/2
Vegas Line & Total: LA Lakers by 6 1/2; 202 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Lakers (-6 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Arthur Ralph Sports Bonus Play
18-7 run

Sun Orlando Magic

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Joe Wiz Bonus Play

Twins

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Kosmo

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ALL MLB PLAYS LISTED PITCHERS

6-7-09

NY Mets -105 1 unit
St. Louis -130 1 unit
Toronto -1.5 -120 1 unit

Parlay
NY Mets -105
NY Yankees -145
Toronto -245

1 unit to win 3.65

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NBA FINALS

Orlando (12-8 SU, 10-10 ATS) at L.A. Lakers (13-6 SU, 11-8 ATS)

The Lakers resume their pursuit of a 15th championship when they host Game 2 of the NBA Finals at Staples Center against the Magic, who will attempt to bounce back from a blowout loss in the best-of-7 series opener.

Los Angeles hammered Orlando 100-75 in Game 1 Thursday as a six-point home chalk, winning and cashing for the third straight contest behind a defense that allowed just 34 points over the middle two quarters, while the Lakers scored 60 in that same stretch. Kobe Bryant racked up 40 points, eight rebounds and eight assists, Pau Gasol had 16 points and eight rebounds, and Lamar Odom came off the bench and notched a double-double of 11 points and 14 boards.

Mickael Pietrus had 14 points and Hedo Turkoglu 13 for Orlando, but star center Dwight Howard made just one field goal in six tries and was held to 12 points -- almost 10 below his playoff average – to go with 15 rebounds. The Magic shot a dismal 29.9 percent from the floor, while allowing 46.1 percent shooting from the Lakers, and they got clobbered on the boards 55-41, giving up 15 offensive rebounds.

Orlando, which won and covered against the Lakers in two regular-season meetings, is still 4-2 ATS (3-3 SU) in the last six clashes in this rivalry. Additionally, the underdog remains on a 6-1 ATS run, and the road team has cashed in five of those seven meetings.

Los Angeles is 45-7 SU (26-26 ATS) at home this season, including 9-2 SU (6-5 ATS) in the postseason. Orlando is 32-20 SU (31-20-1 ATS) on the road for the year, but just 5-6 SU and ATS in the postseason. Also, the Magic are now 0-5 SU all-time in the NBA Finals, having gotten swept by Houston in 1995.

Furthermore, L.A. has claimed 16 consecutive playoff series when winning Game 1, and Phil Jackson-coached teams are a whopping 43-0 in playoff series when winning Game 1.

Along with their current 3-0 SU and ATS run, the Lakers are on positive pointspread streaks of 4-1 overall, 8-2 after a two-day break, 5-2 at home and 9-4 against the Eastern Conference. However, they are still just 2-10-1 ATS in their last 13 NBA Finals starts, and they carry additional ATS skids of 3-9 after a SU win and 3-10 against the Southeast Division.

Despite Thursday’s ugly defeat, the Magic remain on ATS upticks of 7-2 overall, 17-8 as a road ‘dog, 20-8 against the Western Conference, 37-14 after a SU loss and 41-20-1 following an ATS setback.

Game 1 fell miles short of the 205½-point posted price, and the total has now stayed low in five of the last six Staples Center meetings between these squads. Additionally, the under for Los Angeles is on rolls of 9-2 overall, 6-0 at home, 28-9 when favored, 8-0 with the Lakers a playoff chalk and 5-0 against the Eastern Conference. Finally, the under for Orlando is on runs of 5-0 against the West, 8-2 after a non-cover, 7-2 after a SU loss and 16-6 when playing on two days’ rest.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


NATIONAL LEAGUE

Philadelphia (32-22) at L.A. Dodgers (39-19)

The Phillies will try to salvage a split of their four-game set in Hollywood with southpaw Antonio Bastardo (1-0, 1.50 ERA) making his second career start, going up against Dodgers’ lefty Randy Wolf (3-1, 3.21) at Dodger Stadium.

Andre Ethier hit a 12-inning homer on Saturday to give Los Angeles a 3-2 victory, the second straight walk-off hit for Ethier and the Dodgers who rallied with two runs in the ninth inning on Friday to beat the Phillies 4-3. Los Angeles is now 11-1 in one-run games inside Dodger Stadium.

Despite blowing the last two games, Philadelphia has still won seven of nine overall and five of seven on the road. The Phillies also continue to lead the major leagues with a 20-8 road record (12-4 in the last 16), and they’re on additional upswings of 56-28 overall, 36-18 on the highway, 17-8 against the N.L. West and 37-16 versus winning teams.

The Dodgers are on upticks of 37-17 overall, 42-15 at Dodger Stadium, 6-1 against the N.L. East and 10-4 versus winning teams. Also, the Dodgers’ 22-7 home record is the best in the majors, as is their 39-19 overall mark.

Los Angeles has a 4-2 series advantage this season, but the Phillies are 10-5 in the last 15 head-to-head battles (playoffs included). However, Philadelphia is now just 3-8 in its last 11 games in Hollywood. The home team is 14-5 in this rivalry (playoffs included) since the start of last season.

Bastardo shut down the Padres in San Diego in his major-league debut on Tuesday, allowing just one run on four hits in six innings, striking out five and walking just one in a 10-5 Philadelphia victory.

The Dodgers have won five straight with Wolf on the mound, including Tuesday’s 6-5 come-from-behind victory over the Diamondbacks, even though Wolf gave up all five runs on seven hits in six innings and left trailing 5-1. Wolf shut down the Phillies back on May 13 when he allowed just one run on three hits in six innings of a 9-2 road victory.

Los Angeles is 9-1 in Wolf’s last 10 starts as a home favorite, 6-1 in his last seven at home overall and 4-1 in his last five against N.L. East teams.

The under for is on surges of 14-3-1 overall, 7-1- on the road, 7-1 as an underdog, 8-0 against southpaws and 6-0 against teams with winning records. For the Dodgers, the under is on streaks of 5-1 overall (all at home), 5-0-1 against N.L. East teams and 9-3-1 as a home chalk. Finally, the under is 5-1-1 in the last seven head-to-head meetings between these clubs, but the over is still 10-5-2 in the last 17 clashes in Los Angeles.

ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER


AMERICAN LEAGUE

Texas (32-23) at Boston (33-23)

The Rangers conclude a six-game East Coast road trip today in Boston with veteran Vicente Padilla (3-3, 5.57 ERA) going up against Red Sox righty Daisuke Matsuzaka (1-3, 7.17) at Fenway Park.

Red Sox lefty Jon Lester took a perfect game into the seventh inning last night and cruised to a complete-game 8-1 victory over the Rangers, allowing just two hits and two walks as Boston avenged a 5-1 loss to Texas in Friday’s series opener.

The Sox are on hot streaks of 82-36 at home, 28-12 when playing on grass and 20-8 against teams with a winning record. Meanwhile, Texas is still on runs of 22-12 overall and 4-1 on Sunday, but it is just 3-8 in its last 11 games against teams with winning records.

The Red Sox dominated Texas last year, winning nine of 10 head-to-head meetings, and they’ve now won nine of the last 10 meetings inside Fenway Park. Going back further, Boston is 26-10 in the last 36 overall against Texas and 35-10 in the last 45 clashes at Fenway.

Padilla is 2-1 in his last three starts but he got drilled on Tuesday in New York as the Yankees got to him for seven runs on seven hits in 3 2/3 innings and beat the Rangers 12-3. The veteran right-hander hadn’t allowed more than three earned runs in any of his previous four outings, including road wins in Chicago and Seattle.

The Rangers have lost three straight with Padilla on the mound against the Red Sox, including two outings back in 2007 when he gave up a combined nine runs (eight earned) in 12 1/3 innings. On the bright side, Texas is 5-2 in Padilla’s last seven starts overall, 16-5 in his last 21 road outings, 10-2 in his last 12 road starts against teams with a winning record and 5-1 in Padilla’s last six when he starts as an underdog.

Matsuzaka looked sharp on Tuesday as he held the Tigers to one run on six hits in five innings of a 5-1 victory, his first of the season. Boston had lost each of his first four outings of 2009 as the right-hander gave up 16 runs in 16 1/3 innings. The Red Sox are 3-0 in Dice-K’s three career starts versus the Rangers, including a 10-0 win in 2008 when he blanked Texas for seven innings. Boston is 32-11 in Matsuzaka’s last 43 starts overall, 25-8 in his last 33 as a favorite and 9-3 in his last 12 when facing A.L. West teams.

With Padilla on the mound, the Rangers are on “over” streaks of 27-11-2 on the road, 36-16-2 as an underdog, 10-3-1 against the A.L. East and 5-2 as a road ‘dog. With Matsuzaka pitching, the Red Sox have stayed under the total in four of five overall, seven of nine at home, 13 of 19 as a favorite and four of five on Sunday.

For Texas as a team, the “under” is on runs of 14-5-1 overall, 11-3 on the road, 8-2 as a road ‘dog, 12-3-1 as a ‘dog overall and 5-0 on Sundays. Boston is also on a plethora of “under” stretches that include 9-2 overall, 12-3-1 on Sundays, 5-1 at home, 5-0-1 against the A.L. West, 11-4 as a favorite and 9-3 against teams with winning records. Finally, the under has been the play in five of the last six between these two, including the first two games this weekend.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON and UNDER

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with Charitable Man in the Belmont Stakes yesterday.

Today it's the Magic. The surplus is 685 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hondo

June 7, 2009

Hondo made a couple of strong moves yesterday as he stormed into the winner's circle with the Rays and Reds, while enduring minimal damage with Flying Private in the Belmont.

Tonight, with the runaway earnings at a whopping 580 sislers, he expects Antonio to be a real Bastardo to the Dodgers -- 10 units on the Phillies.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mr. A's

Los Angeles Lakers -7

Sunday, June 7, 2009 1:35 PM EST.
Texas Rangers (32-23) at Boston Red Sox (33-23)
(R) Vicente Padilla (3-3) vs. (R) Daisuke Matsuzaka (1-3)
Oddsmakers: Boston as a -175 home favorite with the total listed at 10½ 'over'.

Boston Red Sox -175

Sunday, June 7, 2009 5:05 PM EST.
San Francisco Giants (28-26) at Florida Marlins (27-30)
(R) Tim Lincecum (4-1) vs. (R) Ricky Nolasco (2-5)
Oddsmakers: San Francisco as a -145 home favorite with the total listed at 8½ 'over'.

San Francisco Giants -145

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB Computer Picks

Toronto Blue Jays -260 * * * (best bet)
Boston Red Sox - 175
Philadelphia Phillies +115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jim Feist Bonus Play

917) LOS ANGELES ANGELS
(918) DETROIT TIGERS
Take "(918) DETROIT TIGERS"

The Tigers look to extend their first place lead in the AL Central division over the Twins while the Angels hope to close in on AL West leader Texas. The Tigers are on a 4-6 run after Saturday's win over the Angels, 2-1. The Tigers offense is in the bottom half of the league with a .264 BA and below the league average in HR's (55). The Angels are dead last in the AL in HR's (42), but third in BA (.276). The Tiger's Miguel Cabrera has been a monster, hitting .354 (2nd in AL). Detroit's pitching staff is 2nd with a 4.15 ERA. The Tigers start Rick Procello today and he is 6-4 with a 3.70 era this season. Joe Saunders will start for the Halos and he is 6-4 with a 3.77 ERA. Expect another low scoring game here with two strong pitchers. The Tigers have too much pitching and timely hitting for the Angels though so we'll side with the guys from the Motor City.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin Bonus Play

(915) PHILADELPHIA PHILLIES
(916) LOS ANGELES DODGERS
Take "(916) LOS ANGELES DODGERS"

Nice debut for Antonio Bastardo, and the Phillies newest southpaw will try and beat the Dodgers tonight. Bastardo is yet another Philly southpaw with marginal heat, but a very effective changeup, and he joins Hamels, Happ and Moyer in a rotation that's definitely lefty-loaded. Tough draw tonight for the rookie, however, as the Dodgers have rallied to win the last two in this series and Randy Wolf can be very tough at Dodgers Stadium. The late inning situation should favor the hosts again, so I'll go with LA as moderately priced home chalk.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Maddux Sports

Basketball
#703 - NBA - 3 units on Orlando +6.5

Today's Free Pick is Orlando & LA Over 202