Service Plays Sunday 05/24/09

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Thank you, wilheim..

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Bullitt
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Raging Bull

English Premier League

Tottenham/Liverpool over 2.5

Newcastle/Aston Villa over 2.5
 
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BURNS MLB

Baseball (MLB)

UNDER indians/reds

Game: Cleveland Indians vs. Cincinnati Reds Game Time: 5/24/2009 1:10:00 PM Prediction: under *Blue Chip

UNDER rays/marlins

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs. Florida Marlins Game Time: 5/24/2009 1:10:00 PM Prediction: under *IL TOM

WASHINGTON

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs. Washington Nationals Game Time: 5/24/2009 1:35:00 PM Prediction: Washington Nationals *IL GOM



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BURNS NBA

Basketball (NBA)

UNDER magic/cavs

Game: Cleveland Cavaliers vs. Orlando Magic Game Time: 5/24/2009 8:35:00 PM Prediction: under *Eastern Conf. Finals TOY
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Hondo

May 24, 2009

Looper might want to think about becoming a caddie after carrying the Brewers and Hondo to a defeat that caused the wad to shrink to 435 belinskys.

Today, he expects Palmer and the Angels to coast past Billingsley -- Chad, not Barbara. Ten units.
 
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THE SPORTS ADVISORS

NBA PLAYOFFS

EASTERN CONFERENCE

(1) Cleveland (9-1 SU, 8-2 ATS) at (3) Orlando (9-6 SU, 7-8 ATS)

The Cavaliers, who had to battle to earn a home split in the first two games of the Eastern Conference finals, make the trip to Amway Arena for Game 3 against the Magic, who are coming off a stunning Game 2 loss.

Cleveland beat Orlando 96-95 Friday night, winning on LeBron James’ highlight reel catch-and-shoot 3-pointer off an inbounds pass with just one second left on the clock, but the Cavaliers failed to cover as a heavy nine-point home chalk. James finished with 35 points and five assists, though he also committed six turnovers as Cleveland blew all of a 23-point first-half lead before eking out the victory. Mo Williams scored 19 and Zydrunas Ilgauskas had a double-double of 12 points and 15 rebounds.

The Cavs were yielding just 78.1 ppg in the first two rounds of the playoffs, but have now given up 107 and 95 points, respectively, to the Magic.

Rashard Lewis paced Orlando with 23 points, hitting 4 of 7 from 3-point range, and Hedo Turkoglu had 21 points, including a 3-pointer that tied the game at 93 and a 12-foot jumper in the lane that gave the Magic a 95-93 lead with one second remaining. Dwight Howard had just 10 points but grabbed 18 rebounds.

The Magic are on a 12-1 ATS tear in this rivalry, including cashing in five of the last six meetings in Orlando. This year, Orlando is 3-2 SU and 5-0 ATS against the Cavaliers. The underdog is now 10-3 ATS in the last 11 clashes, and the road team is on an 8-3 ATS roll.

Cleveland is 31-14 SU (25-20 ATS) on the road this year, including 4-0 SU (3-1 ATS) in the playoffs. Orlando is 36-11 SU (26-21 ATS) at home, including 4-2 SU (3-3 ATS) in the postseason.

The Cavaliers are 31-5 SU in their last 36 starts and remain on virtually nothing but positive ATS runs, including 11-3 overall, 6-2 in the Eastern Conference finals, 40-20 after a non-cover, 5-1 on the road, and 10-2 after a SU win. However, Mike Brown’s troops are just 6-15 ATS in their last 21 starts against Southeast Division squads.

The Magic are on ATS upticks of 8-3 overall (4-0 in their last four), 7-1 against the Central Division, 5-2 after a spread-cover and a lengthy 50-21-1 following a SU loss, but they are just 5-15 ATS as a home chalk of less than five points.

The first two games of this series cleared the posted price, and the over for Cleveland is on rolls of 5-0 in the conference finals and 5-1 with the Cavs an underdog. But the Cavs remain on “under” streaks of 4-0 on the road, 6-2 after a SU win and 16-7 as a playoff pup. Likewise, the under for Orlando is on runs 22-10 overall, 4-1 at home, 6-1 with the Magic a playoff chalk and 26-10 overall with the Magic laying points at home.

Finally, in this rivalry, the total has gone high in 11 of the last 17 meetings in Orlando (11-5-1).

ATS ADVANTAGE: ORLANDO


MAJOR LEAGUE BASEBALL

INTERLEAGUE

Philadelphia (23-18) at N.Y. Yankees (25-18)

After another walk-off victory on Saturday, the Yankees send southpaw C.C. Sabathia (4-3, 3.43 ERA) to the hill looking to take the rubber game against the Phillies and lefty Cole Hamels (2-2, 4.95) as these two wrap up their weekend interleague series at new Yankee Stadium in the Bronx.

New York got a two-run homer from Alex Rodriguez to tie the game in the ninth inning on Saturday and Melky Cabrera delivered the game-ending RBI single to give the Yankees a 5-4 victory, their fourth walk-off victory on this 10-game homestand. New York has won 10 of its last 11 and is 8-1 on the homestand and has cashed in nine of its last 10 as a favorite. The Yankees are also on positive runs of 38-19 at home, 55-21 when hosting N.L. opponents, 11-4 against lefty starters, 55-21 at home versus left-handers and 35-16 on Sundays.

Philadelphia is 7-2 on its 10-game road trip that wraps up today, and is 15-6 on the highway this season. The defending champs are on additional streaks of 24-10 on the road dating back to 2008, 19-8 against left-handed starters, 6-2 on the road against southpaws, 5-2 against the A.L. East, 8-4 as a road ‘dog, 39-17 against teams with a winning record and 61-30 on Sundays, but they have dropped 19 of their last 27 interleague games on the highway.

New York has won five of the last seven clashes with the Phillies.

Hamels seems to be rounding into form after battling injuries to start the season. He’s 2-0 in his last three starts with a 2.84 ERA and on Tuesday he gave up three runs on five hits in six innings of a 4-3 road win in Cincinnati. Hamels has one career start against the Yankees and gave up two runs on six hits in seven innings of a 5-0 loss back in 2006. Philadelphia has won four of his last five road starts, but they’ve dropped his last four games when he’s gone off as the ‘dog.

Sabathia has looked like the ace the Yankees need lately, going 3-0 in his last three outings with a 1.12 ERA. On Tuesday he allowed one run on three hits over seven innings of a 9-1 victory over the Orioles. The big lefty faced the Phillies once last season as a member of the Brewers and allowed five runs on six hits in 3 2/3 innings of a 5-2 loss.

The under is 4-1 in Hamels’ last five road starts and 10-3-1 in his last 14 starts overall, including 6-2-1 in his last nine against teams with winning records. For Sabathia, the over is 4-0 in his last four outings in front of the home fans.

For the Phillies, the over is 15-5-1 in their last 21 road games and 10-4 in their last 14 as an underdog, but the under is on streaks of 6-1 in interleague play against southpaws and 5-1-1 against the A.L. East. The Yankees are on several “under” streaks, including 10-4-2 against left-handers, 5-1 against teams with winning records, 4-0 on Sundays, 6-0 in interleague games and 6-1 in interleague home games. Finally, the under is 6-1 in the last seven Phillies Yankees contests.

ATS ADVANTAGE: N.Y. YANKEES and UNDER


N.Y. Mets (23-19) at Boston (25-18)

The Mets will try to make it a three-game sweep at Fenway Park in Boston when they send Tim Redding (0-0, 3.00 ERA) to the mound to face the Red Sox and veteran knuckleballer Tim Wakefield (5-2, 3.59).

New York scored two runs in the top of the ninth and held on to beat the Red Sox 3-2 on Saturday after scoring a 5-3 win Friday night. The Mets opened this current 10-game road trip with three straight wins in San Francisco, then proceeded to drop four in a row before winning the last two nights.

The Red Sox had just swept the Blue Jays at Fenway before the Mets arrived, allowing just five runs in three games to A.L. East-leading Toronto. Even with the two losses to New York, the Boston pitching staff has given up three runs or fewer in six of its last seven games overall and seven of its last nine at home.

Going back to 1999, the home team in this interleague rivalry has won nine of the last 13 with Boston winning four of the last six played at Fenway.

The Mets are on upticks of 14-6 in interleague contests, 9-3 against interleague teams with winning records and 7-1 in interleague roadies. Meanwhile, Boston is riding positive runs of 22-12 overall, 80-35 at Fenway park, 52-18 in interleague play, 43-14 when hosting N.L. squads and 26-7 against N.L. East teams.

Redding made his first start as a Met on Monday in Los Angeles and gave up two runs on two hits in six innings but New York fell 3-2 to the Dodgers. Last time he faced the Red Sox was July 2005 when he was a starter for the Yankes and allowed six runs on four hits in just one inning of a 17-1 loss at Fenway.

Wakefield pitched a gem his last outing, giving up one run on five hits in eight innings of a 2-1 win over the Blue Jays on Tuesday. The Red Sox have won each of his three home starts this season and he hasn’t allowed more than two earned runs in any of the three. The veteran knuckleballer hasn’t faced the Mets since 2001 when he allowed three runs on five hits in six innings of a 4-2 loss in New York. Boston is 36-15 when Wakefield is a home favorite and 9-2 when he faces N.L. squads.

New York is on several “under” runs, including 5-0-1 overall, 5-0 in interleague play and 5-1-1 against right-handed starters, but the under is 18-6-2 in the Mets’ last 26 interleague road games. Boston is on a plethora of “under” streaks that include 7-1-1 overall, 5-0-1 in interleague home games, 6-1 as a favorite, 17-5-3 on Sundays and 6-1 as a favorite, but the over is 8-2-1 in Wakefield’s last 11 starts and 16-6-1 when he starts as a home favorite. Finally, in this series the under is 10-2-2 in the last 14 clashes.

ATS ADVANTAGE: BOSTON
 
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DCI

Eastern Conference Finals
Game 3, best-of-7
ORLANDO 93, Cleveland 92


Western Conference Finals
Game 4, best-of-7
CHICAGO 4, Detroit 3
 
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Today's NBA Picks

Cleveland at Orlando

The Magic return home and look to take advantage of a Cleveland team that is 1-5 ATS in its last 6 meetings in Orlando. Orlando is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Magic favored by 3. Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

SUNDAY, MAY 24
Time Posted: 8:30 a.m. EST
Game 511-512: Cleveland at Orlando
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland 127.132; Orlando 130.156
Dunkel Line & Total: Orlando by 3; 185
Vegas Line & Total: Orlando by 1 1/2; 190
Dunkel Pick: Orlando (-1 1/2); Under
 
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Today's NHL Picks

Detroit at Chicago

The Red Wings look to bounce back from their Game Three loss in overtime and build on their 10-4 record in their last 14 games against Western Conference teams. Detroit is the pick (-110) according to Dunkel, which has the Red Wings favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-110). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

SUNDAY, MAY 24
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST
Game 13-14: Detroit at Chicago
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 13.394; Chicago 12.255
Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Chicago (-110); 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-110); Over
 
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Today's MLB Picks

Toronto at Atlanta

The Braves go for the sweep and look to take advantage of Toronto's 1-7 record in its last 8 interleague road games. Atlanta is the pick (-155) according to Dunkel, which has the Braves favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-155). Here are all of today's picks.

SUNDAY, MAY 24
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Chicago Cubs at San Diego
Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Lilly) 15.082; San Diego (Young) 14.298
Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-115); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+105); Under
Game 903-904: Philadelphia at NY Yankees
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hamels) 17.478; NY Yankees (Sabathia) 16.284
Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 10
Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+160); Over
Game 905-906: Colorado at Detroit
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Hammel) 15.788; Detroit (Willis) 15.371
Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Detroit (-155); 10
Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+145); Under
Game 907-908: Cleveland at Cincinnati
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Lee) 14.518; Cincinnati (Cueto) 15.896
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-110); Over
Game 909-910: Tampa Bay at Florida
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Shields) 14.598; Florida (Johnson) 14.770
Dunkel Line: Florida by 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Florida (-110); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-110); Over
Game 911-912: Baltimore at Washington
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Bergesen) 13.208; Washington (Martis) 15.811
Dunkel Line: Washington by 1 1/2; 8 1/2
Vegas Line: Washington (-145); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Washington (-145); Under
Game 913-914: Toronto at Atlanta
Dunkel Ratings: Toronto (Richmond) 14.385; Atlanta (Jurrjens) 15.581
Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Atlanta (-155); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-155); Under
Game 915-916: NY Mets at Boston
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Redding) 17.014; Boston (Wakefield) 15.784
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Boston (-180); 10
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+170); Under
Game 917-918: Pittsburgh at Chicago White Sox
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Karstens) 14.800; White Sox (Buehrle) 13.656
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-200); 9
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+180); Over
Game 919-920: Texas at Houston
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (McCarthy) 15.617; Houston (Hampton) 16.386
Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 9
Vegas Line: Houston (-115); 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Houston (-115); Under
Game 921-922: Kansas City at St. Louis
Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Bannister) 14.510; St. Louis (Pineiro) 14.790
Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: St. Louis (-135); 9
Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-135); Under
Game 923-924: Arizona at Oakland
Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Garland) 16.181; Oakland (Outman) 14.711
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-135); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+125); Under
Game 925-926: San Francisco at Seattle
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Zito) 14.189; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.161
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 1; 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Seattle (-160); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-160); Under
Game 927-928: Milwaukee at Minnesota
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Bush) 16.262; Minnesota (Baker) 15.279
Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-125); 9
Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (+115); Over
Game 929-930: LA Angels at LA Dodgers
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Palmer) 17.162; LA Dodgers (Billingsley) 16.012
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 1; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-200); 8
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+180); Under
 
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Dave Cokin Bonus Play

(905) COLORADO ROCKIES
(906) DETROIT TIGERS
Take "(906) DETROIT TIGERS"

It's been a long road back for Dontrelle Willis, and it culminated with a fabulous effort earlier this week that earned the lefty a great win. Willis is back to his old mechanically flawed self, and while he may break all the "rules" with his screwy delivery, this is what seems to work for the D-Train. I'm not in complete buy mode off one good game, but it's a start and Willis rates an advantage today against Jason Hammel of the Rockies. I'll give the lean to the Tigers to win the series rubber match.
 
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Jim Feist Bonus Play

(907) CLEVELAND INDIANS
(908) CINCINNATI REDS
Take "(908) CINCINNATI REDS"

The battle of Ohio continues here on Sunday. The clubs have split the first two games with the Reds winning on Friday and the Indians on Saturday. The Reds are in the thick of things in the NL Central 3 1/2 games back of the Brewers. 1B Joey Votto leads the Reds with a .366 BA. The club is hitting .254 overall with 42 HR's in 41 games. The pitching staff has been solid with a 4.01 team ERA and 1.331 WHIP. Johnny Cueto leads the starters in ERA with a 2.35 mark and has just 13 walks versus 40 strike outs. Cueto also has a great WHIP of just 1.006 in eight starts. The Indians start today's action in last place in the AL Central. The hitting has been good and the pitching dismal. The tribe is hitting .272 as a team and is led by C Victor Martinez who is batting a sizzling .391 with seven HR's and 30 RBI. The problem has been pitching, where the club has a team ERA of 5.56. Cliff Lee has pitched in bad luck with just a 2-5 mark while having a very good 2.90 ERA. Two good pitchers today, but the rubber match goes to the Reds.
 
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GoldenContender Nhl comp play for Sunday

On Sunday the Bonus Play is on the Chicago Blackhawks.Game 14 at 3:05 eastern.The Blackhawks made this a series off there 4-3 OT win on Friday night.Now they have the confidence going into game 4.They also have history on their side.Home teams in this round down 2-1 off a home win are 18-6 all-time.Look for Chicago to get the eqaulizer today. Take the Chicago Blackhawks in the Nhl as the Bonus Play bol.GC-
 

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RatedPicks

NBA -
*BP* Cavaliers +1.5
Cavaliers/Magic OVER 190

MLB -
*BP* Cardinals Run Line -1.5 +150
*BP* Brewers/Twins OVER 9
Devil Rays -110
 

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Raging Bull

English Premier League

Tottenham/Liverpool over 2.5

Newcastle/Aston Villa over 2.5





Italian Soccer Tips for Sunday

7* - Ac Milan x Roma : Over 2.5 Goals
5* - Atalanta x Palermo : Home Win
6* - Torino x Genoa : Over 2.5 Goals
6* - Sampdoria x Udinese : Double Chance 1X
9* - Siena x Juventus : Juventus to Win
7* - Lecce x Fiorentina : Away Win
6* - Cagliari x Inter : Over 2.5 Goals
4* - Catania x Napoli : Catania to Win
 
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Indian Cowboy

4 Unit Play. Take Over 10 between the Colorado Rockies @ Detroit Tigers (Sunday @ 1:05pm). Colorado picks up a big win on the road winning 4-3 at Detroit yesterday. They face Detroit once again today. The Rockies are 1-7 in Hammel's last 8 starts. In fact, Hammel is 0-3 with a 4.60era. Hammel is a pitcher that has proven to have some bounce-back capability which is one of the big things that I look for - having said that, the Tigers come off a loss, so they could look to hammer him more than usual today. So, I do expect the Tigers to put up to fair share of runs at home today. Keep in mind that Willis pitched incredibly well in his last start against Texas going over 6 innings and yielding 0 runs. Having said that Willis pitched lights out in his last game, with over 77% riding the Tigers today, I would not be a bit surprised to see Willis get shelled. Remember, its always nice to take a pitcher to have a let down after an amazing start. We see it time and time again where a guy pitches a complete game or a no hitter and then gets hammered in the following game. Thus, let's take the over for this contest this afternoon as I wish I could give you a great trend or what not as I usually do, but this situational similar to us with Jansen and the Jays yesterday.
 

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