SCOTT FERRALL MLB
BEST IN BOLD
MINNESOTA -150 over Kansas City--Perkins is automatic over Meche--COUNT ON IT ! Twins aren't messing around
Cleveland +170 and Jackson UPSET SPECIAL over the White Sox and Vazquez in Chicago
St.Louis -145 over Cincy--Wellemeyer over Harang at Busch 2
BACKE -120 and Astros over the Braves in Houston
NO EARLY LINES ON THESE GAMES--TAKE ANYWAY:
Angels over the Rangers--Ervin Santana is the take
TB in Detroit--Garza over Dontrelle Willis
MINNESOTA -150 over Kansas City--Perkins is automatic over Meche--COUNT ON IT ! Twins aren't messing around
Cleveland +170 and Jackson UPSET SPECIAL over the White Sox and Vazquez in Chicago
St.Louis -145 over Cincy--Wellemeyer over Harang at Busch 2
BACKE -120 and Astros over the Braves in Houston
NO EARLY LINES ON THESE GAMES--TAKE ANYWAY:
Angels over the Rangers--Ervin Santana is the take
TB in Detroit--Garza over Dontrelle Willis
The Prez
Rice -17.0 6 units
Washington -3 5 units
North Carolina State +9 5 units
Purdue +1.5 5 units
Fresno State -6.5 5 units
Memphis +2.0 5 units
Iowa -8.5 4 units
Maryland +11 4 units
Miami (Florida) -7.5 3 units
Navy +16 3 units
Tennessee +6.5 3 units
Rice -17.0 6 units
Washington -3 5 units
North Carolina State +9 5 units
Purdue +1.5 5 units
Fresno State -6.5 5 units
Memphis +2.0 5 units
Iowa -8.5 4 units
Maryland +11 4 units
Miami (Florida) -7.5 3 units
Navy +16 3 units
Tennessee +6.5 3 units
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Pacific Star
Western Michigan -4 6 units
Penn St. -15 5 units
Central Michigan -7 5 units
Alabama +7 5 units
Arkansas St. -2 4 units
Ball St. -19 4 units
Michigan +6 4 units
Mississippi +22 4 units
Purdue +1 4 units
Tennessee +7 4 units
Washington -3 4 units
Central Florida -4 3 units
LSU -25 3 units
Marshall +15 3 units
Navy +16.5 3 units
New Mexico St +3 3 units
North Carolina State +10 3 units
Ohio State -19 3 units
Toledo -19.5 3 units
Virginia Tech +7 3 units
Western Michigan -4 6 units
Penn St. -15 5 units
Central Michigan -7 5 units
Alabama +7 5 units
Arkansas St. -2 4 units
Ball St. -19 4 units
Michigan +6 4 units
Mississippi +22 4 units
Purdue +1 4 units
Tennessee +7 4 units
Washington -3 4 units
Central Florida -4 3 units
LSU -25 3 units
Marshall +15 3 units
Navy +16.5 3 units
New Mexico St +3 3 units
North Carolina State +10 3 units
Ohio State -19 3 units
Toledo -19.5 3 units
Virginia Tech +7 3 units
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Matt Foust
Wisconsin -6 4 units
Alabama +7 3 units
Arkansas St. -2 3 units
Duke -7 3 units
Fresno State -7 3 units
Nebraska -7 3 units
Maryland / Clemson Under 48.5 3 units
Northern Illinois -6.5 3 units
Northwestern +8 3 units
Oklahoma -18.5 3 units
Penn St. -15.5 3 units
Purdue +1.5 3 units
Rice -17 3 units
South Florida -9.5 3 units
Troy / Oklahoma State Over 60 3 units
LSU -24.5 2 units
Oklahoma State -17 2 units
Wisconsin -6 4 units
Alabama +7 3 units
Arkansas St. -2 3 units
Duke -7 3 units
Fresno State -7 3 units
Nebraska -7 3 units
Maryland / Clemson Under 48.5 3 units
Northern Illinois -6.5 3 units
Northwestern +8 3 units
Oklahoma -18.5 3 units
Penn St. -15.5 3 units
Purdue +1.5 3 units
Rice -17 3 units
South Florida -9.5 3 units
Troy / Oklahoma State Over 60 3 units
LSU -24.5 2 units
Oklahoma State -17 2 units
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Dave Malinsky
GAME: Army @ Texas A&M Sep 27, 2008 12:30PM
4* ARMY over TEXAS A&M
Games in this pointspread range have to be broken down differently from others, because of the obvious talent mismatch. These ATS outcomes are decided more based on the intensity of the teams, and it should not come as a surprise that we have landed here, because the service academy teams have been good to our pockets for a couple of decades when we could isolate the right spots. These are disciplined athletes that are going to play hard for the full 60 minutes regardless of how the scoreboard reads, which is exactly what you want in an underdog in this price range, while at the same team the superior team is also more inclined to back off early, and not embarrass a service academy. With Army this week we get even more.
The Black Knights are 5-0 ATS as underdogs in the state of Texas the past six seasons, and we have put many of those results into our portfolio. There is a prime reason for those showings – they annually get more players from this state than anywhere else, and this season is no different, with 27 Texans on the roster, including five starters. These trips mean something special to these athletes, and this one even more so because of Hurricane Ike. A lot of those Army players are from areas that were impacted, and we will let coach Stan Brock take it from there -
“It will be a big deal because this is the first time that these guys have seen their families since the hurricane went through there. Hopefully, some of the freshmen can step up in practice and make the road trip. We have six freshmen that we are hoping can travel so they can go home and see their family.”
The energy that those freshmen brought to the practices this week is something that will be infectious for the entire team, and veteran starting guard Brandon Cox, a Texan, echoes the sentiments - “Going home, seeing a bunch of family, having everyone come to the game, it’s going to be fun, going to be exciting. I’ve been to Kyle Field two or three times with my grandfather, he’s an alum there. I’ve been to a couple of games and the atmosphere is unbelievable.”
The key on the field is that the Black Knights also help to tactically get the game home as well. Brock has gone to an all-out option package on offense, looking to slow the game tempo down whenever possible. That has led to some stodgy offensive snap counts through the first three games, keyed by an Army offensive ratio of 161 running plays vs. only 39 passes. That will not change here – they will stay with the ground attack regardless of the game situation, and that will severely reduce the opportunities that the favored Aggies will have to get near this pointspread. Making it even more difficult is that A&M simply is not very good, particularly in the area of rush defense, which matters so much this week.
Texas A&M has already lost outright to Arkansas State on this field, and was not competitive in last week’s 41-23 loss to Miami, a game that was nowhere near what the scoreboard showed. The Aggies scored on the first snap from scrimmage, a 62-yard touchdown pass from Jerrod Johnson to Mike Goodson, and then were bullied by an embarrassing 41-3 fashion until the Hurricanes backed off late in the game. Note that in the only A&M win it was a +3 turnover advantage at New Mexico that did the trick (the Lobos led 370-236 in total offense), and that this defense is allowing 210 yards per game overland, at an alarming 5.7 yards per carry. That weakness enables Army to get some first downs and keep the clock ticking, which turns this pointspread into Mt. Everest. And even should the Aggies get a few big plays to get near the number, Mike Sherman is not the kind of coach to pile it on here, particularly with the Big 12 opener at Oklahoma State immediately on deck. He would be more than satisfied to get a win by far less than this spread, and to get his starters out of the game as early as possible.
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GAME: Army @ Texas A&M Sep 27, 2008 12:30PM
4* ARMY over TEXAS A&M
Games in this pointspread range have to be broken down differently from others, because of the obvious talent mismatch. These ATS outcomes are decided more based on the intensity of the teams, and it should not come as a surprise that we have landed here, because the service academy teams have been good to our pockets for a couple of decades when we could isolate the right spots. These are disciplined athletes that are going to play hard for the full 60 minutes regardless of how the scoreboard reads, which is exactly what you want in an underdog in this price range, while at the same team the superior team is also more inclined to back off early, and not embarrass a service academy. With Army this week we get even more.
The Black Knights are 5-0 ATS as underdogs in the state of Texas the past six seasons, and we have put many of those results into our portfolio. There is a prime reason for those showings – they annually get more players from this state than anywhere else, and this season is no different, with 27 Texans on the roster, including five starters. These trips mean something special to these athletes, and this one even more so because of Hurricane Ike. A lot of those Army players are from areas that were impacted, and we will let coach Stan Brock take it from there -
“It will be a big deal because this is the first time that these guys have seen their families since the hurricane went through there. Hopefully, some of the freshmen can step up in practice and make the road trip. We have six freshmen that we are hoping can travel so they can go home and see their family.”
The energy that those freshmen brought to the practices this week is something that will be infectious for the entire team, and veteran starting guard Brandon Cox, a Texan, echoes the sentiments - “Going home, seeing a bunch of family, having everyone come to the game, it’s going to be fun, going to be exciting. I’ve been to Kyle Field two or three times with my grandfather, he’s an alum there. I’ve been to a couple of games and the atmosphere is unbelievable.”
The key on the field is that the Black Knights also help to tactically get the game home as well. Brock has gone to an all-out option package on offense, looking to slow the game tempo down whenever possible. That has led to some stodgy offensive snap counts through the first three games, keyed by an Army offensive ratio of 161 running plays vs. only 39 passes. That will not change here – they will stay with the ground attack regardless of the game situation, and that will severely reduce the opportunities that the favored Aggies will have to get near this pointspread. Making it even more difficult is that A&M simply is not very good, particularly in the area of rush defense, which matters so much this week.
Texas A&M has already lost outright to Arkansas State on this field, and was not competitive in last week’s 41-23 loss to Miami, a game that was nowhere near what the scoreboard showed. The Aggies scored on the first snap from scrimmage, a 62-yard touchdown pass from Jerrod Johnson to Mike Goodson, and then were bullied by an embarrassing 41-3 fashion until the Hurricanes backed off late in the game. Note that in the only A&M win it was a +3 turnover advantage at New Mexico that did the trick (the Lobos led 370-236 in total offense), and that this defense is allowing 210 yards per game overland, at an alarming 5.7 yards per carry. That weakness enables Army to get some first downs and keep the clock ticking, which turns this pointspread into Mt. Everest. And even should the Aggies get a few big plays to get near the number, Mike Sherman is not the kind of coach to pile it on here, particularly with the Big 12 opener at Oklahoma State immediately on deck. He would be more than satisfied to get a win by far less than this spread, and to get his starters out of the game as early as possible.
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