STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
SATURDAY, JUNE 7TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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#901 MIAMI @ #902 CHICAGO CUBS - 4:05 PM ET
•Marlins LH Randy Wolf (1-1, 3.38 ERA, WHIP: 1.125) - Wolf rebounded from a disappointing first start with the Marlins to allow one run on three hits and strike out seven over six innings to beat Tampa Bay 3-1 on Monday. The 37-year-old Pepperdine product is 133-118 in 380 career appearances – 370 of them in a starting role. Starlin Castro is 8-for-24 with a homer against Wolf, who is 6-11 over 25 lifetime starts versus the Cubs with a 3.87 ERA.
--KEY STAT: WOLF is 16-3 against the run line (+13.4 Units) in road games after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WOLF 5.0, OPPONENT 2.9.
•Cubs RH Jeff Samardzija (1-5, 2.54 ERA, WHIP: 1.154) - Samardzija was roughed up in his last start, yielding eight runs in three innings, after posting his only victory of the season May 26. The former wide receiver at Notre Dame gave up three or fewer runs in his first eight starts and more than three in three of his last four. Adeiny Hechavarria is 3-for-3 with a homer versus Samardzija, who is 2-1 with a 5.46 ERA in 13 outings (four starts) against Miami.
--KEY STAT: SAMARDZIJA is 1-9 (-8.7 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 2.3, OPPONENT 4.4.
--SAMARDZIJA is 3-18 (-15.4 Units) against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 2.5, OPPONENT 4.2.
#903 MILWAUKEE @ #904 PITTSBURGH - 4:05 PM ET
•Brewers RH Matt Garza (3-4, 4.42 ERA, WHIP: 1.309) - Garza ended a four-start winless drought last time out with his best performance since his season debut, blanking Minnesota on six hits over 6 1/3 innings. Garza also fanned eight in the victory, giving him 17 strikeouts over 13 innings in his last two starts. Garza was roughed up by the Pirates for six runs (five earned) on eight hits in five innings at Pittsburgh on April 19.
--KEY STAT: GARZA is 1-10 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARZA 3.7, OPPONENT 6.5.
--GARZA is 9-1 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARZA 5.6, OPPONENT 3.2.
--GARZA is 7-23 (-21.5 Units) against the money line after giving up no earned runs last outing since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARZA 3.3, OPPONENT 5.5.
--GARZA is 6-24 against the run line (-21.5 Units) after giving up no earned runs last outing since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARZA 3.3, OPPONENT 5.5.
--GARZA is 18-7 OVER (+10.9 Units) in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARZA 4.5, OPPONENT 5.5.
•Pirates RH Edinson Volquez (3-4, 4.25 ERA, WHIP: 1.187) - Although Volquez is not piling up tons of innings, he is in the midst of a three-start stretch in which he is 2-0 and has yielded a total of five runs and 12 hits over 16 innings. Volquez has already made a pair of starts this season versus Milwaukee, going 1-0 and permitting three earned runs in 13 1/3 innings. Those two outings boosted his career numbers against Milwaukee to 6-3 with a 4.57 ERA.
--KEY STAT: VOLQUEZ is 18-7 (+13.9 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOLQUEZ 4.6, OPPONENT 3.4.
--VOLQUEZ is 20-8 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOLQUEZ 3.6, OPPONENT 2.9.
#905 LA DODGERS @ #906 COLORADO - 4:10 PM ET
•Dodgers RH Zack Greinke (8-2, 2.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.111) - Greinke allowed four runs - two on an infield hit - and five hits while striking out seven in six innings of Los Angeles' 5-3 loss to Pittsburgh on Sunday. The 30-year-old Florida native, who sports a 1.13 WHIP, has yielded seven earned runs in his last two starts after permitting seven in his previous six turns. Tulowitzki (4-for-19, seven strikeouts) and Justin Morneau (6-for-36, seven strikeouts) are among those who struggle against Greinke, who is 3-2 with a 4.25 ERA in 10 games against Colorado.
--KEY STAT: GREINKE is 10-0 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 5.7, OPPONENT 4.0.
--GREINKE is 15-3 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.7, OPPONENT 2.4.
•Rockies RH Jhoulys Chacin (0-4, 5.51 ERA, WHIP: 1.500) - Colorado has scored 11 runs in Chacin's turns this season after a 6-4 loss at Cleveland on Sunday in which he allowed four runs - three in the first inning - three hits and five walks (three in first) in five frames. "The first couple innings, I'm not getting a feeling for my pitches, then I get better," the 26-year-old Venezuelan, who won a career-high 14 games in 2013, told reporters afterward. "I don't know why." Adrian Gonzalez (6-for-13) and Andre Ethier (10-for-26, 10 walks) fare well against Chacin, who is 8-6 with a 3.66 ERA in 16 games against Los Angeles.
#907 PHILADELPHIA @ #908 CINCINNATI - 4:10 PM ET
•Phillies RH Roberto Hernandez (2-3, 4.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.534) - Hernandez saw his winless stretch reach six appearances after he yielded five runs on as many hits in 5 1/3 innings of an 11-2 loss to the New York Mets on Monday. The 33-year-old Dominican, who last won on May 4, started off strong before the bottom fell out in the sixth as he permitted four runs. Hernandez traditionally has enjoyed success versus Cincinnati, recording a 1.96 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in six career outings.
•Reds RH Alfredo Simon (7-3, 3.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.112) - Simon continued his torrid play on the road by tossing 6 1/3 strong innings in Arizona to pick up the win on Sunday. The 33-year-old Dominican hasn't fared as well at home, posting a 1-2 mark with a 4.13 ERA. Simon sparkled in his last outing against Philadelphia, scattering five hits and striking out eight over 7 2/3 scoreless innings in a 3-0 triumph on May 16.
--KEY STAT: SIMON is 7-0 (+7.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.6, OPPONENT 1.4.
--SIMON is 9-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.4, OPPONENT 1.6.
--SIMON is 9-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.4, OPPONENT 1.6.
--SIMON is 9-1 (+9.0 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.4, OPPONENT 2.0.
--SIMON is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.4, OPPONENT 1.6.
--SIMON is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.4, OPPONENT 1.6.
--SIMON is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.4, OPPONENT 2.0.
--SIMON is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) in day games this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 2.9, OPPONENT 1.6.
#909 NY METS @ #910 SAN FRANCISCO - 10:05 PM ET
•Mets RH Bartolo Colon (5-5, 4.52 ERA, WHIP: 1.284) - Colon is enjoying a three-start winning streak and has worked into the eighth inning in each of those turns. The burly veteran issued a season-high three walks in seven-plus frames at Philadelphia on Monday but limited the damage to two runs for his third straight quality start. Colon does not own a long track record against anyone in the San Francisco lineup but surrendered a home run in three at-bats against Hunter Pence.
--KEY STAT: COLON is 8-1 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 4.8, OPPONENT 2.6.
--COLON is 8-0 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 6.4, OPPONENT 2.5.
--COLON is 15-3 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 5.8, OPPONENT 2.5.
--COLON is 17-3 against the run line (+13.5 Units) versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 5.2, OPPONENT 3.4.
--COLON is 11-0 against the run line (+11.6 Units) on the road when the total is 7 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 4.9, OPPONENT 1.7.
--COLON is 14-4 against the run line (+12.7 Units) after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 5.8, OPPONENT 2.5.
•Giants RH Tim Hudson (6-2, 1.75 ERA, WHIP: 0.867) - Hudson is enjoying a strong run and is making a bid for a National League All-Star spot by surrendering two earned runs or fewer in each of his last eight outings. The veteran has not surrendered a run in either of his last two outings after holding the St. Louis Cardinals to three hits in seven innings on Sunday. Hudson has plenty of experience against New York and is 17-10 with a 3.47 ERA in 30 career starts against the Mets.
--KEY STAT: HUDSON is 10-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.7, OPPONENT 2.3.
--HUDSON is 11-0 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.6, OPPONENT 2.5.
--HUDSON is 13-0 (+13.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.5, OPPONENT 2.5.
--HUDSON is 13-0 (+13.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7.5 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.7, OPPONENT 2.5.
--HUDSON is 18-6 UNDER (+11.1 Units) versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 3.5, OPPONENT 2.5.
#911 WASHINGTON @ #912 SAN DIEGO - 10:10 PM ET
•Nationals RH Blake Treinen (0-2, 1.40 ERA, WHIP: 1.606) - Treinen will be making his third start of the season and first since May 22, when he allowed two runs on four hits and five walks over 5 2/3 innings of a loss at Pittsburgh. The 25-year-old was even less fortunate in his first career start May 6 as he yielded three unearned runs in five frames against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Treinen, who will be facing San Diego for the first time, tossed two scoreless innings of relief versus Texas in his last appearance May 30.
•Padres RH Andrew Cashner (2-5, 2.35 ERA, WHIP: 1.204) - Cashner looks to halt a personal four-game losing streak as he returns from an elbow injury to make his first start since May 13. The 27-year-old settled for a no-decision that day despite allowing just one run over seven innings at Cincinnati. Cashner, who hasn't won since topping Colorado on April 16, is 2-2 with a 4.87 ERA in eight games — three starts — against the Nationals.
#913 ATLANTA @ #914 ARIZONA - 10:10 PM ET
•Braves RH Ervin Santana (5-2, 4.10 ERA, WHIP: 1.288) - Santana shook off three consecutive rough outings his last time out, allowing three runs on seven hits in six innings to beat Miami on May 31. He is 1-2 in his past four starts with a 7.83 ERA and 10 walks in 23 innings. Santana is 2-0 lifetime against the Diamondbacks – including a complete-game shutout – surrendering two runs in 15 innings.
--KEY STAT: SANTANA is 8-1 OVER (+7.2 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SANTANA 4.9, OPPONENT 4.7.
--SANTANA is 7-0 OVER (+7.1 Units) when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SANTANA 5.9, OPPONENT 5.6.
•Diamondbacks LH Wade Miley (3-6, 4.85 ERA, WHIP: 1.298) - Miley has lost three of his past four starts, but control has not been a problem with one walk and 20 strikeouts in his last 13 innings. He allowed four runs on eight hits with nine strikeouts and no walks Sunday in a loss to the Reds. Miley is 0-2 in three career appearances (two starts) against Atlanta with an 11.81 ERA and four homers allowed in 10 2/3 innings.
--KEY STAT: MILEY is 5-13 (-10.1 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILEY 3.5, OPPONENT 4.6.
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