Service Plays Saturday 6/7/14

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Today's NHL Picks

NY Rangers at Los Angeles

The Rangers look to bounce back from their 3-2 loss in Game 1 and come into Saturday's contest with an 8-3 record in their last 11 games after scoring 2 goals or less in their previous game. New York is the pick (+135) according to Dunkel, which has the Rangers favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: New York (+135). Here are all of today's playoff picks.
SATURDAY, JUNE 7
Time Posted: 9:00 a.m. EST (6/6)
Game 53-54: NY Rangers at Los Angeles (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Rangers 14.131; Los Angeles 12.943
Dunkel Line & Total: NY Rangers by 1; 6
Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-155); 5
Dunkel Pick: NY Rangers (+135); Over
 
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Game of the Day: Rangers at Kings

New York Rangers at Los Angeles Kings (-152, 5)

Kings lead the series 1-0

After squandering an early two-goal lead in series opener, the New York Rangers look to avoid a two-game deficit against the host Los Angeles Kings when the Stanley Cup final resumes on Saturday. Justin Williams took advantage of defenseman Dan Girardi's turnover and scored 4:36 into overtime as Los Angeles skated to a 3-2 victory in Game 1 on Wednesday. The tally allowed the Kings to become the first team since the 1992 Chicago Blackhawks to overcome a two-goal deficit in consecutive games during a conference or Stanley Cup final, according to the Elias Sports Bureau.

"I don't know, it's not a perfect situation," Los Angeles forward Marian Gaborik said of the early deficit. "We can't always get away with this, losing 2-0 right from the get-go." New York's speed played a significant role in that as Benoit Pouliot and Carl Hagelin scored 1:42 apart early in the first period. "For us to win, we're going to have to find a way to play to our strengths. Speed is definitely one of them," Rangers coach Alain Vigneault said.

TV: 7 p.m. ET, NBC, CBC, RDS

LINE MOVES: The line opened at Kings -155, but was bet down slightly to -152.

INJURY REPORT: Rangers: G Cam Talbot (Ques-Undiscolsed), LW Daniel Carcillo (Out-Suspension) Kings: D Robyn Regehr (Ques-Knee)

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "The Rangers look to bounce back in Game 2 after losing a heart breaker in overtime of game 1. We now have the Kings at -300 to win the Cup and the Rangers at +250. So far we are seeing good two way action on the money line and 75% of the action on the Kings puck line of -1.5." - Michael Stewart of CarbonSports.ag

ABOUT THE RANGERS: While Girardi accepted the blame for his costly turnover, Ryan McDonagh was quick to note that he left the zone before his defense partner. "(Girardi's) a guy that has been through so many ups and downs in his career, we know he's going to bounce back and be a huge part of our Game 2 here." McDonagh logged 31:12 of ice time in Game 1, but that number should dip as fellow blue-liner John Moore is expected to return after serving his two-game suspension for an illegal check to the head of Montreal's Dale Weise.

ABOUT THE KINGS: Defenseman Drew Doughty admittedly rode an emotional roller coaster in the series opener, recording a minus-2 after the first period before scoring a highlight-reel goal and setting up another tally to help Los Angeles rally to victory. "When I get angry, I kind of turn it on," said Doughty, who broke his own franchise record for points (17) by a blue-liner set during the Kings' Stanley Cup-winning season in 2012. Williams has traditionally been a pretty mellow fellow, but he has reason to be elated after setting career highs in goals (eight), assists (12) and points (20) in a single postseason year.

TRENDS:

* Kings are 21-7 in their last 28 following a win
* Under is 12-4-4 in Rangers last 20 vs. a team with a winning record
* Under is 4-0-3 in last 7 meetings in Los Angeles
* Home team is 5-2 in last 7 meetings

COVERS CONSENSUS: Sixty-one percent of the covers bettors are taking the Kings -152 with seventy-one percent on the over.
 
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Rangers try to rebound vs. Kings in Game 2
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

New York Rangers coach Alain Vigneault fully understands the Los Angeles Kings' brand of hockey.

For seven years, he coached against the Kings when he was with Western Conference rival Vancouver.

With that knowledge, Vigneault's Rangers will try to rebound from Game 1 of the Stanley Cup Final -- the Kings came from behind to win 3-2 in overtime -- when they take the ice at Staples Center on Saturday (7 p.m. ET, NBC).

The Rangers used their speed to seize a 2-0 lead in the first period of Game 1 on Wednesday. Then the Kings outplayed New York for the remainder of the game.

"For us to win," Vigneault said, "we're going to have to find a way to play to our strengths.

"Let me put it another way: We need to find a way to play to our strengths. They're probably the best opponent we've met. For us to win, we're going to have to find a way to play to our strengths. Speed is definitely one of them."

Right winger Justin Williams won the game in the fifth minute of overtime when his goal following a turnover completed the Kings' rally from a 2-0 first-period deficit. The comeback marked the fourth time in seven days the Kings erased a two-goal deficit. They did it three times against the Chicago Blackhawks in the Western Conference Final, winning two of the three.

In Game 1, the Rangers put a scare into the Kings on breakaway goals by left wingers Benoit Pouliot and Carl Hagelin 102 seconds apart in the first period. Hagelin had another breakaway in the last minute of the third period, but his chance at winning the game in regulation was thwarted by goaltender Jonathan Quick's glove.

The Rangers' speed gave the Kings difficulty.

"As a team, our speed is one of our strengths, and in order to have success, we have to play to our strengths," Hagelin said.

Kings coach Darryl Sutter likes his team's own speed.

"They're a fast team. We're a fast team," Sutter said Friday. "I mean, when we were down to San Jose, there was people in this room that said, 'Geez, you guys are a slow team.' The puck goes faster than the feet do."

Kings defenseman Robyn Regehr, who has been out for a month with a knee injury, is expected to be back in the lineup for Game 2.

"He'll probably play," Sutter said after Friday's practice.

Regehr had been cleared to play before the start of the series but sat out of Wednesday's game with an eye toward possibly returning Saturday.

"I feel ready," Regehr said. "It just comes down to a coach's decision, what they want to do with the lineup. ... I feel good."

The Rangers also want to step up their physical game in Game 2.

"We knew they were going to push, test us physically," New York defenseman Ryan McDonagh said. "I thought we matched it pretty well. I thought especially the early part of the game there, we were able to break their forecheck, get out of our zone. They got a few more opportunities in the third because of their forecheck.

"For the majority of the game, I felt we were matching them physically. We had some big hits ourselves. We understand they're going to be physical on us, and we're not going to shy away from it for sure. We've got to look for opportunities to be physical on them for our forecheck, our speed. Doesn't necessarily have to be a big hit, but utilizing our legs, getting on the right side of guys, creating turnovers is part of being physical too. We feel we can play that game as well."

Sutter was asked about the Kings' camaraderie and the uniqueness of his team.

"That's why you're still playing," he said. "It's why there's only two teams still playing. It's why the New York Rangers are still playing.

"(I've) said it over and over and over. It's not about the star factor; it's about the complete package.

"We're a very good team for good reasons. Not just come to the rink and play. There's a lot of preparation.

"The team's matured a lot in the last couple years. That's because guys came into that role. It's still a really young team. Everybody talks about it being an experienced team. They're a playoff-proven team. But there's still lots to learn."

Sutter said he is only focused on Game 2.

"Game 1 was an elimination game. Game 2 is an elimination game," he said. "When it's over, then we'll answer that question going into Game 3 and we'll answer it going into Game 4 and we'll answer it as we go forward."

Vigneault doesn't think there is an advantage -- even after a loss -- to having the two days in between games.

"It's the same for both teams," he said Friday. "I don't see an advantage in it. I mean, the schedule is what it is. At this time, they said two days in between games. So took yesterday off. Guys got away from the game a little bit.

"Today we had a good practice. We had a good meeting before. We're going to be ready tomorrow."

Vigneault was asked about whether overtimes in the playoffs take physicality away from teams or tire teams out.

"In an overtime, you know, one shot could be a win or could be a loss," he said. "I mean, I look at the last game. In my estimation, we're probably going on a three-on-two and then the puck bounced and then we get caught.

"You try and continue to play to your strengths and you hope that you're going to get one past the opposition.

"(Fatigue's) a factor obviously for both teams once you get into overtime."
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SATURDAY, JUNE 7TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________



***** Saturday, 6/7/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
__________________________________________________

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #10
•Chacin Has Been Paying Out For Total Bettors: The Colorado Rockies will always be one of the top over plays in baseball, but bettors can take extra solace in the fact that they are sending Jhoulys Chacin to the mound. Chacin is winless on the season and has posted a 5.51 ERA. In Chacin's last four starts against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Coors field has seen him give up at least nine hits and four runs in each. The over has paid out for bettors in Chacin's last five home starts against the Dodgers.

•Two Veterans Pitchers Collide In San Francisco: Despite being in Major League Baseball for a combined 32 seasons, Tim Hudson and Bartolo Colon are set to clash Saturday. Both pitchers are also on-fire for their respective clubs. Hudson has continued to quietly be one of the steadiest pitchers in baseball carrying a record of 6-2 with a 1.75 ERA and a ridiculous 50/8 K/BB ratio. The Giants have also won Hudson's last five starts at AT&T Park as well as five of his past six overall. Colon started the year rocky, but has been streaking lately with the Mets winning his last four starts.

•Under Pitcher’s Duel In Tampa Bay: The Tampa Bay Rays and Seattle Mariners are sending some impressive under pitchers to the mound for bettors Saturday. Seattle will send Roenis Elias to the mound who has steered the Mariners to five unders in his last six road starts. The Rays on the other half will trot Alex Cobb out who is 1-4-1 over/under in his last six starts. The under is also prevailing in the series as a whole with a 12-38-2 Over/Under in the last 52 at Tampa Bay.

•Orioles Place RHP Gonzalez On DL: The Baltimore Orioles officially placed right-handed starter Miguel Gonzalez on the 15-day disabled list because of a right oblique strain, the team announced Friday. The Orioles also recalled left-hander Tim Berry from Double-A Bowie, selected the contract of right-hander Evan Meek from Triple-A Norfolk and optioned right-hander Preston Guilmet to Norfolk. Gonzalez's trip to the DL is retroactive to May 31. Gonzalez, 30, is 3-4 with a 4.17 ERA over 58 1/3 innings in 11 games (10 starts) for the Orioles this season.

Gonzalez was scheduled to make the start Saturday against the Oakland A's. Right-hander Kevin Gausman will take his place. Gonzalez likely will need a rehab stint before returning to the rotation as early as June 16. Berry, 23, has gone 3-3 with a 4.12 ERA and a career-best 3.31 strikeout-to-walk ratio in 11 starts for Bowie. Meek, 31, has gone 1-0 with three saves and a 3.95 ERA in 12 games for Norfolk. He went 0-1 with a 6.94 ERA in 11 2/3 innings and 12 appearances for the Orioles earlier this season. Guilmet, 26, has pitched to a 5.79 ERA in nine games for the Orioles this season, striking out 11 and walking two. To make room for Meek on the 40-man roster, infielder Michael Almanzar was transferred to the 60-day DL.
____________________________________________

Betting Notes - Saturday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Volquez is 2-0, 2.81 in his last three starts.
-- Simon is 3-1, 3.28 in his last four starts.
-- Hudson is 2-0, 0.00 (14 IP) in his last two starts. Colon is 3-0, 2.05 in his last four starts.

-- Gray is 2-0, 3.04 in his last four starts.
-- Elias is 1-1, 2.61 in his last three starts.
-- Lester is 1-0, 2.07 in his last two starts.
-- Sale is 5-0, 1.59 in seven starts this season. Shoemaker is 3-0, 3.80 in his four starts this season.

-- Buehrle is 6-0, 2.44 in his last seven starts.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Samardzija is 1-2, 6.55 in his last four starts. Wolf is 1-1, 5.73 in two starts.
-- Garza is 2-2, 5.36 in his last seven starts.
-- Colorado is 0-6 when Chacin starts (0-4, 5.51). Greinke is 1-1, 4.82 in his last three starts.
-- Hernandez is 0-2, 4.67 in his last three starts.
-- Cashner is 0-4, 4.66 in his last five starts; Padres were shut out in three of his last four outings. Treinen is 0-2, 4.22 in his last two starts.
-- Miley is 0-3, 4.91 in his last four starts. Santana is 1-2, 7.83 in his last four.

-- Feldman is 1-2, 11.15 in his last three starts. Gibson is 0-2, 4.76 in his last three outings.
-- Tomlin is 0-2, 5.94 in his last three starts. Tepesch has a 6.00 RA in his last three starts.
-- Cobb is 0-2, 7.36 in his last couple starts.
-- Gausman allowed five runs in four IP in his first '14 start.
-- Phelps is 0-3, 6.16 in his last three starts. Duffy is 2-2, 4.30 in his last four.
-- Scherzer is 0-1, 7.62 in his last three starts.

-- Miller is 0-3, 4.42 in his last three road starts.

•Totals
-- Six of last seven Cub games went over total.
-- Over is 5-1-1 in last seven Milwaukee road games.
-- Nine of eleven Simon starts stayed under total.
-- Seven of last ten Colorado games went over.
-- Under is 18-7 in Arizona's last 25 games.
-- Six of last seven San Diego games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Hudson starts stayed under.

-- 13 of last 18 Baltimore games went over total.
-- Under is 7-1-1 in last nine Boston games; over is 6-1-1 in last eight Detroit home games.
-- Four of last five Tampa Bay home games went over.
-- Four of last five Cleveland road games stayed under. Seven of last eight Texas games went over the total.
-- Under is 15-6-1 in last 22 Yankees games.
-- Four of last five Houston games went over total.
-- Eight of last ten White Sox games stayed under; seven of last eight Angel games went over.

-- Over is 10-6-1 in last seventeen St Louis games.

•Hot Teams
-- Marlins won six of its last eight road games; Chicago won seven of their last eight home games.
-- Pirates won five of last six home games.
-- Braves won last four road games. Arizona won three of its last four games.
-- Nationals won six of its last seven games.
-- Giants won eight of their last ten games.

-- Athletics won six of its last seven games. Baltimore won four of their last six.
-- Mariners won five of their last seven games.
-- Yankees won five of its last six home games.
-- Astros won their last six road games.
-- Rangers won ten of their last sixteen games.

-- Blue Jays won 18 of its last 21 games.

•Cold Teams
-- Phillies lost six of their last seven games. Cincinnati lost five of its last six home games.
-- Brewers lost 11 of its last 17 road games.
-- Rockies lost its last eight games. Los Angeles lost five of last eight.
-- Padres are 6-11 in its last seventeen games.
-- Mets lost their last four games.

-- Tigers lost six of last nine at home. Boston lost their last four games.
-- Rays lost ten of its last eleven games.
-- Royals lost five of its last six home games.
-- Indians lost six of their last seven road games.
-- Twins lost ten of its last fourteen games.
-- White Sox are 6-7 in their last thirteen road games. Los Angeles lost five of their last seven games.

-- Cardinals lost eight of their last ten games.

•Umpires Trends
-- Mia-Chi-- Both Randazzo games this season stayed under.
-- Mil-Pitt-- Under is 76-63 in Everitt games, since 2010.
-- LA-Col-- Last eight Porter games stayed under the total.
-- Phil-Cin-- Underdogs won six of nine Guccione games.
-- NY-SF-- Over is 7-2-1 in West games this season.
-- Wsh-SD-- Five of last six Emmel games went over.
-- Atl-Az-- Underdogs won last six Wegner games.

-- Hst-Min-- Since 2010, home side is 84-55 in Marquez games.
-- Cle-Tex-- Favorites won ten of thirteen Ripperger games.
-- Sea-TB-- Seven of last ten TWelke games stayed under.
-- A's-Balt--Last three Hernandez games went over total.
-- NY-KC-- Eight of last eleven Davidson games stayed under.
-- Bos-Det-- Under is 7-4 in last eleven Carapazza games.
-- Chi-LA-- Four of last five Cuzzi games stayed under.

-- StL-Tor-- Five of last six Culbreth games went over total.

Diamond Trends - Saturday
•ARIZONA is 6-21 (-16.4 Units) against the money line versus an National League starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 to 4.20 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ARIZONA 3.6, OPPONENT 5.3.

•COLORADO is 26-10 OVER (+15.9 Units) in home games versus a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was COLORADO 6.1, OPPONENT 6.0.

•TAMPA BAY is 5-22 (-19.6 Units) against the run line versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game this season.
The average score was TAMPA BAY 2.8, OPPONENT 4.8.

•ALFREDO SIMON is 9-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season.
The average score was SIMON 3.4, OPPONENT 1.6.

•ERVIN SANTANA is 8-1 OVER (+7.2 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.
The average score was SANTANA 4.9, OPPONENT 4.7.

•SCOTT FELDMAN is 15-2 (+15.3 Units) against the run line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was FELDMAN 5.4, OPPONENT 2.9.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +125 to +175 (NY METS) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.255) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.00) -National League, with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.000 over his last 3 starts.
(44-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (83.0%, +30.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -153.9
The average score in these games was: Team 4.5, Opponent 2.7 (Average run differential = +1.8)

The situation's record this season is: (3-2, +0.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (31-8, +18.6 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (68-24, +30.5 units).

•Play On - Road underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =-190 to -135) (NY METS) - with a team batting average of .245 or worse on the season (National League) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 3.00 over his last 10 games.
(62-14 since 1997.) (81.6%, +39.2 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (35-41)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -163
The average score in these games was: Team 4.2, Opponent 3.7 (Average run differential = +0.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 35 (46.1% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (3-1, +1.4 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-7, +13.1 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (43-12, +23.5 units).

•Play Over - All teams where the total is 8 to 8.5 (MINNESOTA) - bad offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) -American League, with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 3 or less batters per start.
(46-16 since 1997.) (74.2%, +28.5 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 8.3, Money Line=-109.4
The average score in these games was: Team 5.1, Opponent 5.8 (Total runs scored = 10.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 41 (69.5% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (3-1, +2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3, +4.9 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (24-7, +16.5 units).
___________________________________________
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NL PITCHING REPORT
SATURDAY, JUNE 7TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


#901 MIAMI @ #902 CHICAGO CUBS - 4:05 PM ET
•Marlins LH Randy Wolf (1-1, 3.38 ERA, WHIP: 1.125) - Wolf rebounded from a disappointing first start with the Marlins to allow one run on three hits and strike out seven over six innings to beat Tampa Bay 3-1 on Monday. The 37-year-old Pepperdine product is 133-118 in 380 career appearances – 370 of them in a starting role. Starlin Castro is 8-for-24 with a homer against Wolf, who is 6-11 over 25 lifetime starts versus the Cubs with a 3.87 ERA.

--KEY STAT: WOLF is 16-3 against the run line (+13.4 Units) in road games after walking <=1 hitters each of his last 2 outings since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was WOLF 5.0, OPPONENT 2.9.

•Cubs RH Jeff Samardzija (1-5, 2.54 ERA, WHIP: 1.154) - Samardzija was roughed up in his last start, yielding eight runs in three innings, after posting his only victory of the season May 26. The former wide receiver at Notre Dame gave up three or fewer runs in his first eight starts and more than three in three of his last four. Adeiny Hechavarria is 3-for-3 with a homer versus Samardzija, who is 2-1 with a 5.46 ERA in 13 outings (four starts) against Miami.

--KEY STAT: SAMARDZIJA is 1-9 (-8.7 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 2.3, OPPONENT 4.4.

--SAMARDZIJA is 3-18 (-15.4 Units) against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 2.5, OPPONENT 4.2.

#903 MILWAUKEE @ #904 PITTSBURGH - 4:05 PM ET
•Brewers RH Matt Garza (3-4, 4.42 ERA, WHIP: 1.309) - Garza ended a four-start winless drought last time out with his best performance since his season debut, blanking Minnesota on six hits over 6 1/3 innings. Garza also fanned eight in the victory, giving him 17 strikeouts over 13 innings in his last two starts. Garza was roughed up by the Pirates for six runs (five earned) on eight hits in five innings at Pittsburgh on April 19.

--KEY STAT: GARZA is 1-10 (-9.4 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARZA 3.7, OPPONENT 6.5.

--GARZA is 9-1 (+9.6 Units) against the money line after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARZA 5.6, OPPONENT 3.2.

--GARZA is 7-23 (-21.5 Units) against the money line after giving up no earned runs last outing since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARZA 3.3, OPPONENT 5.5.

--GARZA is 6-24 against the run line (-21.5 Units) after giving up no earned runs last outing since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARZA 3.3, OPPONENT 5.5.

--GARZA is 18-7 OVER (+10.9 Units) in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GARZA 4.5, OPPONENT 5.5.

•Pirates RH Edinson Volquez (3-4, 4.25 ERA, WHIP: 1.187) - Although Volquez is not piling up tons of innings, he is in the midst of a three-start stretch in which he is 2-0 and has yielded a total of five runs and 12 hits over 16 innings. Volquez has already made a pair of starts this season versus Milwaukee, going 1-0 and permitting three earned runs in 13 1/3 innings. Those two outings boosted his career numbers against Milwaukee to 6-3 with a 4.57 ERA.

--KEY STAT: VOLQUEZ is 18-7 (+13.9 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOLQUEZ 4.6, OPPONENT 3.4.

--VOLQUEZ is 20-8 (+12.8 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was VOLQUEZ 3.6, OPPONENT 2.9.

#905 LA DODGERS @ #906 COLORADO - 4:10 PM ET
•Dodgers RH Zack Greinke (8-2, 2.50 ERA, WHIP: 1.111) - Greinke allowed four runs - two on an infield hit - and five hits while striking out seven in six innings of Los Angeles' 5-3 loss to Pittsburgh on Sunday. The 30-year-old Florida native, who sports a 1.13 WHIP, has yielded seven earned runs in his last two starts after permitting seven in his previous six turns. Tulowitzki (4-for-19, seven strikeouts) and Justin Morneau (6-for-36, seven strikeouts) are among those who struggle against Greinke, who is 3-2 with a 4.25 ERA in 10 games against Colorado.

--KEY STAT: GREINKE is 10-0 (+10.1 Units) against the money line when playing against a marginal losing team (Win Pct. 46% to 49%) over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 5.7, OPPONENT 4.0.

--GREINKE is 15-3 (+9.9 Units) against the money line against division opponents over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.7, OPPONENT 2.4.

•Rockies RH Jhoulys Chacin (0-4, 5.51 ERA, WHIP: 1.500) - Colorado has scored 11 runs in Chacin's turns this season after a 6-4 loss at Cleveland on Sunday in which he allowed four runs - three in the first inning - three hits and five walks (three in first) in five frames. "The first couple innings, I'm not getting a feeling for my pitches, then I get better," the 26-year-old Venezuelan, who won a career-high 14 games in 2013, told reporters afterward. "I don't know why." Adrian Gonzalez (6-for-13) and Andre Ethier (10-for-26, 10 walks) fare well against Chacin, who is 8-6 with a 3.66 ERA in 16 games against Los Angeles.

#907 PHILADELPHIA @ #908 CINCINNATI - 4:10 PM ET
•Phillies RH Roberto Hernandez (2-3, 4.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.534) - Hernandez saw his winless stretch reach six appearances after he yielded five runs on as many hits in 5 1/3 innings of an 11-2 loss to the New York Mets on Monday. The 33-year-old Dominican, who last won on May 4, started off strong before the bottom fell out in the sixth as he permitted four runs. Hernandez traditionally has enjoyed success versus Cincinnati, recording a 1.96 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP in six career outings.

•Reds RH Alfredo Simon (7-3, 3.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.112) - Simon continued his torrid play on the road by tossing 6 1/3 strong innings in Arizona to pick up the win on Sunday. The 33-year-old Dominican hasn't fared as well at home, posting a 1-2 mark with a 4.13 ERA. Simon sparkled in his last outing against Philadelphia, scattering five hits and striking out eight over 7 2/3 scoreless innings in a 3-0 triumph on May 16.

--KEY STAT: SIMON is 7-0 (+7.7 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.6, OPPONENT 1.4.

--SIMON is 9-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.4, OPPONENT 1.6.

--SIMON is 9-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.4, OPPONENT 1.6.

--SIMON is 9-1 (+9.0 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.4, OPPONENT 2.0.

--SIMON is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.4, OPPONENT 1.6.

--SIMON is 9-0 UNDER (+9.0 Units) versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.4, OPPONENT 1.6.

--SIMON is 9-1 UNDER (+7.9 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.4, OPPONENT 2.0.

--SIMON is 7-0 UNDER (+7.0 Units) in day games this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 2.9, OPPONENT 1.6.

#909 NY METS @ #910 SAN FRANCISCO - 10:05 PM ET
•Mets RH Bartolo Colon (5-5, 4.52 ERA, WHIP: 1.284) - Colon is enjoying a three-start winning streak and has worked into the eighth inning in each of those turns. The burly veteran issued a season-high three walks in seven-plus frames at Philadelphia on Monday but limited the damage to two runs for his third straight quality start. Colon does not own a long track record against anyone in the San Francisco lineup but surrendered a home run in three at-bats against Hunter Pence.

--KEY STAT: COLON is 8-1 (+8.7 Units) against the money line in road games versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 4.8, OPPONENT 2.6.

--COLON is 8-0 (+8.6 Units) against the money line in road games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .315 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 6.4, OPPONENT 2.5.

--COLON is 15-3 (+12.1 Units) against the money line after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 5.8, OPPONENT 2.5.

--COLON is 17-3 against the run line (+13.5 Units) versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 5.2, OPPONENT 3.4.

--COLON is 11-0 against the run line (+11.6 Units) on the road when the total is 7 or less since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 4.9, OPPONENT 1.7.

--COLON is 14-4 against the run line (+12.7 Units) after giving up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COLON 5.8, OPPONENT 2.5.

•Giants RH Tim Hudson (6-2, 1.75 ERA, WHIP: 0.867) - Hudson is enjoying a strong run and is making a bid for a National League All-Star spot by surrendering two earned runs or fewer in each of his last eight outings. The veteran has not surrendered a run in either of his last two outings after holding the St. Louis Cardinals to three hits in seven innings on Sunday. Hudson has plenty of experience against New York and is 17-10 with a 3.47 ERA in 30 career starts against the Mets.

--KEY STAT: HUDSON is 10-0 (+10.0 Units) against the money line in home games versus an National League team with an on base percentage .325 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.7, OPPONENT 2.3.

--HUDSON is 11-0 (+11.0 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.6, OPPONENT 2.5.

--HUDSON is 13-0 (+13.0 Units) against the money line as a home favorite of -110 or higher over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.5, OPPONENT 2.5.

--HUDSON is 13-0 (+13.0 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7.5 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.7, OPPONENT 2.5.

--HUDSON is 18-6 UNDER (+11.1 Units) versus teams averaging 2.75 or less extra base hits per game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 3.5, OPPONENT 2.5.

#911 WASHINGTON @ #912 SAN DIEGO - 10:10 PM ET
•Nationals RH Blake Treinen (0-2, 1.40 ERA, WHIP: 1.606) - Treinen will be making his third start of the season and first since May 22, when he allowed two runs on four hits and five walks over 5 2/3 innings of a loss at Pittsburgh. The 25-year-old was even less fortunate in his first career start May 6 as he yielded three unearned runs in five frames against the Los Angeles Dodgers. Treinen, who will be facing San Diego for the first time, tossed two scoreless innings of relief versus Texas in his last appearance May 30.

•Padres RH Andrew Cashner (2-5, 2.35 ERA, WHIP: 1.204) - Cashner looks to halt a personal four-game losing streak as he returns from an elbow injury to make his first start since May 13. The 27-year-old settled for a no-decision that day despite allowing just one run over seven innings at Cincinnati. Cashner, who hasn't won since topping Colorado on April 16, is 2-2 with a 4.87 ERA in eight games — three starts — against the Nationals.

#913 ATLANTA @ #914 ARIZONA - 10:10 PM ET
•Braves RH Ervin Santana (5-2, 4.10 ERA, WHIP: 1.288) - Santana shook off three consecutive rough outings his last time out, allowing three runs on seven hits in six innings to beat Miami on May 31. He is 1-2 in his past four starts with a 7.83 ERA and 10 walks in 23 innings. Santana is 2-0 lifetime against the Diamondbacks – including a complete-game shutout – surrendering two runs in 15 innings.

--KEY STAT: SANTANA is 8-1 OVER (+7.2 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SANTANA 4.9, OPPONENT 4.7.

--SANTANA is 7-0 OVER (+7.1 Units) when the money line is -100 to -150 this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SANTANA 5.9, OPPONENT 5.6.

•Diamondbacks LH Wade Miley (3-6, 4.85 ERA, WHIP: 1.298) - Miley has lost three of his past four starts, but control has not been a problem with one walk and 20 strikeouts in his last 13 innings. He allowed four runs on eight hits with nine strikeouts and no walks Sunday in a loss to the Reds. Miley is 0-2 in three career appearances (two starts) against Atlanta with an 11.81 ERA and four homers allowed in 10 2/3 innings.

--KEY STAT: MILEY is 5-13 (-10.1 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MILEY 3.5, OPPONENT 4.6.
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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS AL PITCHING REPORT
SATURDAY, JUNE 7TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


#915 HOUSTON @ #916 MINNESOTA - 2:10 PM ET
•Astros RH Scott Feldman (3-3, 4.25 ERA, WHIP: 1.377) - Feldman was roughed up for nine runs and 11 hits in 5 1/3 innings while losing to Baltimore in his last start. He has lost two of his last three starts while giving up 28 hits in 15 1/3 innings. Feldman is 2-2 with a 5.44 ERA in 13 career appearances (five starts) against the Twins.

--KEY STAT: FELDMAN is 13-4 (+9.9 Units) against the money line when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 5.4, OPPONENT 2.9.

--FELDMAN is 15-2 against the run line (+15.3 Units) when playing against a team with a losing record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 5.4, OPPONENT 2.9.

--FELDMAN is 13-2 UNDER (+10.5 Units) in road games when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was FELDMAN 3.4, OPPONENT 3.9.

•Twins RH Kyle Gibson (4-5, 4.35 ERA, WHIP: 1.339) - Gibson dropped to 0-2 over his last three starts when he lost to the Milwaukee Brewers on Monday. He allowed four runs and six hits in six innings after tossing six shutout innings in a no-decision against Texas in his previous turn. Gibson gave up four runs and nine hits in three innings against Houston last August but wasn’t involved in the decision.

--KEY STAT: GIBSON is 11-2 OVER (+9.0 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GIBSON 5.2, OPPONENT 5.8.

#917 CLEVELAND @ #918 TEXAS - 4:05 PM ET
•Indians RH Josh Tomlin (3-2, 3.06 ERA, WHIP: 0.960) - Tomlin has yet to allow more than three earned runs in a start but is struggling to go deep into games. The 29-year-old tossed his season high of 6 2/3 innings his first time out on May 6 but has not completed six frames in any of his last three turns. Tomlin, who missed most of last season following surgery, is making just his second career appearance against Texas.

•Rangers RH Nick Tepesch (2-1, 4.43 ERA, WHIP: 1.377) - Tepesch was rocked for five runs – four earned – on seven hits in just two innings to suffer a loss at Washington last Saturday. The 25-year-old surrendered a pair of home runs in that outing and walked two while snapping a two-start winning streak. Tepesch made one start against Cleveland in his 2013 rookie campaign and yielded five runs on eight hits in five innings to absorb the loss.

#919 SEATTLE @ #920 TAMPA BAY - 4:10 PM ET
•Mariners LH Roenis Elias (4-4, 3.53 ERA, WHIP: 1.230) - Elias comes in off his first career shutout Sunday when he allowed three hits and one walk while striking out eight to beat Detroit. The 25-year-old rookie from Cuba allowed three or fewer runs in eight of his 12 starts this season, lasting at least five innings in every outing. Elias, who missed Tampa Bay when it visited Seattle last month, has struck out 65 and yielded 64 hits in 74 innings.

•Rays RH Alex Cobb (1-3, 3.19 ERA, WHIP: 1.064) - Cobb has lost his last two starts, yielding nine runs and 14 hits over 11 innings, after going 20 2/3 frames without surrendering a run in his previous three turns. The Boston native, who missed almost six weeks with an oblique strain, has struck out 32 and walked 10 in 36 2/3 innings. Cano is 7-for-21 with three homers against Cobb, who is 2-2 in five career starts with a 3.76 ERA versus Seattle.

--KEY STAT: COBB is 7-1 against the run line (+8.5 Units) in home games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COBB 5.3, OPPONENT 1.6.

--COBB is 22-8 UNDER (+12.9 Units) versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was COBB 3.9, OPPONENT 2.8.

#921 OAKLAND @ #922 BALTIMORE - 7:15 PM ET
•Athletics RH Sonny Gray (6-1, 2.45 ERA, WHIP: 1.153) - Gray is coming off his third consecutive victory as he allowed three runs and seven hits in 6 2/3 innings against the Los Angeles Angels on Sunday. The 24-year-old has gone 3-0 in seven starts since suffering his lone loss of the season on April 23 versus Texas, which he avenged five days later by tossing his first career shutout. Gray lost his only career outing against Baltimore, surrendering six runs in 3 1/3 frames.

•Orioles RH Kevin Gausman (0-1, 11.25 ERA, WHIP: 2.000) - Gausman did not fare well in his first start of the season, surrendering five runs in four innings of a loss to Detroit on May 14. The 23-year-old went 3-5 with a 5.66 ERA in 20 appearances - five starts - last campaign. Gausman, who is filling in for the injured Miguel Gonzalez (oblique), never has faced the Athletics.

#923 NY YANKEES @ #924 KANSAS CITY - 7:15 PM ET
•Yankees RH David Phelps (1-3, 4.11 ERA, WHIP: 1.435) - Phelps followed up his only victory of the season by losing his next three starts, including a shellacking by Seattle in his last outing when he gave up six runs over six innings. Moved to the rotation due to myriad injuries, Phelps has pitched at least six innings in his last three runs after failing to go past 5 1/3 in his first three starts. Phelps keeps the ball in the park, allowing one homer in six starts.

--KEY STAT: PHELPS is 1-12 against the run line (-12.3 Units) versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was PHELPS 4.2, OPPONENT 5.4.

•Royals LH Danny Duffy (3-5, 3.05 ERA, WHIP: 1.114) - Duffy has been hit-or-miss over his last four starts, rebounding from a pair of rocky outings to blank St. Louis on one hit over six scoreless innings Monday. That came on the heels of back-to-back starts in which he allowed 10 earned runs and coughed up four homers in 10 innings. Duffy has yielded one run or fewer and two or fewer hits in four of his six starts but went only 2-2 in those outings.

#925 BOSTON @ #926 DETROIT - 7:15 PM ET
•Red Sox LH Jon Lester (6-6, 3.15 ERA, WHIP: 1.187) - Lester struck out 12 in seven scoreless innings to earn a win over the Tampa Bay Rays on Sunday, his second straight quality start following two losses. The 30-year-old free-agent-to-be is improving his market value with 95 strikeouts in 80 total frames. Lester went five innings against Detroit at home on May 16 and struck out seven but suffered the loss while allowing one run on four hits.

--KEY STAT: LESTER is 8-19 against the run line (-15.8 Units) in road games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was LESTER 4.0, OPPONENT 4.2.

--LESTER is 13-1 against the run line (+11.7 Units) as an underdog when the run line price is -160 to -105 since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was LESTER 4.6, OPPONENT 3.2.

•Tigers RH Max Scherzer (6-2, 3.20 ERA, WHIP: 1.195) - Scherzer got the better of Lester in that May 16 meeting, tossing six scoreless frames to pick up a 1-0 victory. The reigning American League Cy Young Award winner has not been quite as sharp since, going 0-1 with a 7.32 ERA in the three starts. Scherzer struck out seven at Seattle on Sunday but was reached for four runs and nine hits over 6 2/3 innings in the loss.

--KEY STAT: SCHERZER is 25-6 (+14.1 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 5.3, OPPONENT 3.2.

--SCHERZER is 26-6 (+14.9 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 5.3, OPPONENT 3.1.

--SCHERZER is 17-1 (+15.5 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 5.9, OPPONENT 2.9.

--SCHERZER is 26-12 against the run line (+18.7 Units) in home games versus an American League team with they batting average of .260 or worse since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 5.8, OPPONENT 3.2.

--SCHERZER is 20-9 against the run line (+12.5 Units) in home games versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 5.8, OPPONENT 3.6.

--SCHERZER is 25-13 against the run line (+14.5 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 5.6, OPPONENT 3.7.

#927 CHI WHITE SOX @ #928 LA ANGELS - 10:05 PM ET
•White Sox LH Chris Sale (5-0, 1.59 ERA, WHIP: 0.596) - Sale struck out nine and walked none in the stellar effort against the Padres that represented the sixth complete game of his career. He has struck out 23 and walked just one in 18 innings since coming off the disabled list, giving up only one run and three hits during the stretch. Sale had 52 strikeouts in 45 1/3 innings while giving up just 19 hits and eight walks for a superb 0.60 WHIP.

--KEY STAT: SALE is 8-19 against the run line (-15.0 Units) versus an American League team with they batting average of .265 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SALE 3.0, OPPONENT 3.7.

•Angels RH Matt Shoemaker (3-1, 4.03 ERA, WHIP: 1.138) - Shoemaker is 3-0 as a starter this season but hasn’t worked more than six innings in any of his outings. He beat Seattle on May 29 when he gave up three runs and four hits in 5 1/3 innings in his fourth start of the season. Shoemaker allowed two solo homers against Houston on Tuesday when he pitched one inning of relief.

Interleague
#929 ST LOUIS @ #930 TORONTO - 1:05 PM ET
•Cardinals RH Shelby Miller (6-5, 4.06 ERA, WHIP: 1.427) - Miller pitched six shutout innings before yielding four runs in the next inning-plus en route to a 6-0 loss to Kansas City on Monday. Matheny told reporters the 23-year-old Texan, who recorded a 7.94 ERA over his last three turns, was "very, very good - for six innings. After the sixth... it just snowballed in a hurry. But up to that point, it’s one of the best (games) we’ve seen him throw this season.” Miller has never faced Toronto and is 2-4 with 6.62 ERA in seven interleague outings.

•Mark Buehrle (10-1, 2.10 ERA, WHIP: 1.193) - Buehrle yielded six hits over eight innings in Toronto's 4-0 victory over Kansas City on Sunday, but thought he was lucky to win his third straight start and sixth decision in a row. "It was one of those games where I could have gotten my butt handed to me," the 35-year-old Missouri native told reporters. "I was making mistakes and they weren't making me pay for it." Buehrle, who is 28-9 with a 3.26 ERA in 48 interleague games, has a 1.19 WHIP with a fastball that reaches only into low 80s.

--KEY STAT: BUEHRLE is 8-1 (+7.4 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 6.4, OPPONENT 2.7.

--BUEHRLE is 18-4 (+13.1 Units) against the money line in home games versus National League teams scoring 4.3 or less runs/game on the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 5.3, OPPONENT 3.5.

--BUEHRLE is 11-1 (+10.8 Units) against the money line in all games this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 6.1, OPPONENT 2.4.

--BUEHRLE is 51-21 (+30.2 Units) against the money line when playing on Saturday since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 5.0, OPPONENT 3.8.

--BUEHRLE is 44-20 against the run line (+29.6 Units) when playing against a marginal winning team (Win Pct. 51% to 54%) since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 5.2, OPPONENT 3.8.

--BUEHRLE is 8-1 against the run line (+9.3 Units) versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 6.6, OPPONENT 2.9.

--BUEHRLE is 11-1 against the run line (+13.0 Units) in the first half of the season this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 6.1, OPPONENT 2.4.

--BUEHRLE is 18-6 UNDER (+11.3 Units) when playing against a team with a winning record over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 3.9, OPPONENT 3.6.

--BUEHRLE is 8-0 UNDER (+8.1 Units) when playing on Saturday over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was BUEHRLE 3.8, OPPONENT 2.9.
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the Marlins on Friday and likes Wicked Strong in the Belmont Stakes ($25 win and place) on Saturday.

The deficit is 425 sirignanos.
 
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Today's MLB Picks

Milwaukee at Pittsburgh

The Pirates look to follow up last night's 15-5 win over the Brewers in the series opener and come into today's contest with an 8-2 record in their last 10 during Game 2 of a series. Pittsburgh is the pick (+100) according to Dunkel, which has the Pirates favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+100). Here are all of today's picks.
SATURDAY, JUNE 7
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: Miami at Chicago Cubs (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Wolf) 15.828; Cubs (Samardzija) 12.770
Dunkel Line: Miami by 3; 6 1/2
Vegas Line: Chicago Cubs (-160); No Run Total
Dunkel Pick: Miami (+140); N/A
Game 903-904: Milwaukee at Pittsburgh (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Milwaukee (Garza) 13.838; Pittsburgh (Volquez) 16.256
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-120); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+100); Over
Game 905-906: LA Dodgers at Colorado (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Dodgers (Greinke) 17.091; Colorado (Chacin) 14.595
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-145); 10
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-145); Under
Game 907-908: Philadelphia at Cincinnati (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Hernandez) 13.163; Cincinnati (Simon) 15.708
Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-155); 8
Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-155); Over
Game 909-910: NY Mets at San Francisco (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Mets (Colon) 15.533; San Francisco (Hudson) 14.145
Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-165); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (+145); Over
Game 911-912: Washington at San Diego (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Treinen) 14.191; San Diego (Cashner) 16.751
Dunkel Line: San Diego by 2 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Diego (-145); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-145); Under
Game 913-914: Atlanta at Arizona (9:40 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Atlanta (Santana) 16.570; Arizona (Miley) 18.151
Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Arizona (-110); 8
Dunkel Pick: Arizona (-110); Under
Game 915-916: Houston at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Houston (Feldman) 14.305; Minnesota (Gibson) 16.770
Dunkel Line: Minnesota by 2 1/2; 10
Vegas Line: Minnesota (-140); 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (-140); Over
Game 917-918: Cleveland at Texas (4:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (Tomlin) 14.015; Texas (Tepesch) 15.122
Dunkel Line: Texas by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Texas (-135); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas (-135); Under
Game 919-920: Seattle at Tampa Bay (4:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Seattle (Elias) 16.017; Tampa Bay (Cobb) 13.570
Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-155); 7
Dunkel Pick: Seattle (+135); Over
Game 921-922: Oakland at Baltimore (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Gray) 13.425; Baltimore (Gausman) 14.857
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1 1/2; 9 1/2
Vegas Line: No Line
Dunkel Pick: N/A
Game 923-924: NY Yankees at Kansas City (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Phelps) 13.603; Kansas City (Duffy) 16.145
Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: Kansas City (-140); 8
Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-140); Under
Game 925-926: Boston at Detroit (7:15 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 16.728; Detroit (Scherzer) 14.703
Dunkel Line: Boston by 2; 7
Vegas Line: Detroit (-145); 8
Dunkel Pick: Boston (+125); Under
Game 927-928: Chicago White Sox at LA Angels (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: White Sox (Sale) 14.846; LA Angels (Shoemaker) 18.253
Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 3 1/2; 9
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-140); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+120); Over
Game 929-930: St. Louis at Toronto (1:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Miller) 15.918; Toronto (Buehrle) 18.468
Dunkel Line: Toronto by 2 1/2; 8
Vegas Line: Toronto (-170); 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Toronto (-170); Under

 

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Baseball Crusher
Milwaukee Brewers -109 over Pittsburgh Pirates
(System Record: 37-0, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 37-30

Rest of the Plays
Los Angeles Dodgers -134 over Colorado Rockies
Detroit Tigers -136 over Boston Red Sox
Chicago White Sox -125 over LA Angels
 

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Hockey Crusher
New York Rangers +138 over LA Kings
(Playoff Record: system 24-2: overall 24-16-1, won last game)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 115-90-3


Rest of the Plays
Los Angeles Kings + NY Rangers UNDER 5
 

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Messages
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Soccer Crusher
Sampaio Correa + Avai UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Brazil
(System Record: 586-21, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 586-488-85
 
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Messages
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WNBA Basketball Picks

Phoenix at San Antonio

The Mercury look to bounce back from last night's 94-78 loss to Tulsa and come into tonight's contest with a 4-1 ATS record in their last 5 games following a SU defeat. Phoenix is the pick (-1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Mercury favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-1 1/2). Here are all of today's WNBA picks.
SATURDAY, JUNE 7
Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST
Game 651-652: Indiana at Connecticut (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 110.775; Connecticut 108.775
Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 2; 135
Vegas Line & Total: Connecticut by 3 1/2; 142
Dunkel Pick: Indiana (+3 1/2); Under
Game 653-654: Chicago at Atlanta (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Chicago 108.262; Atlanta 114.762
Dunkel Line & Total: Atlanta by 6 1/2; 165
Vegas Line & Total: Atlanta by 4 1/2; 158
Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-4 1/2); Over
Game 655-656: Phoenix at San Antonio (8:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Phoenix 117.878; San Antonio 110.930
Dunkel Line & Total: Phoenix by 7; 164
Vegas Line & Total: Phoenix by 1 1/2; 158
Dunkel Pick: Phoenix (-1 1/2); Over
 
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StatFox Super Situations

WNBA | CHICAGO at ATLANTA
Play Under - Road teams where the total is greater than or equal to 140 very good team - outscoring their opponents by 6+ points/game
207-124 since 1997. ( 62.5% | 70.6 units )
1-2 this year. ( 33.3% | -1.2 units )

WNBA | CHICAGO at ATLANTA
Play Against - Underdogs vs the money line (CHICAGO) after a loss by 10 points or more against opponent after scoring 75 points or more in 3 straight games
125-30 since 1997. ( 80.6% | 0.0 units )
2-1 this year. ( 66.7% | 0.0 units )

WNBA | INDIANA at CONNECTICUT
Play Under - Home teams where the first half total is between 65.5 and 70.5 points revenging a loss versus opponent against opponent off a road win against a division rival
46-18 since 1997. ( 71.9% | 26.2 units )
 
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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | LA DODGERS at COLORADO
Play On - Road teams (LA DODGERS) good baserunning team - averaging 0.85 or more SB's/game on the season, after 3 straight games with no home runs
72-51 over the last 5 seasons. ( 58.5% | 38.1 units )
4-4 this year. ( 50.0% | 0.3 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | HOUSTON at MINNESOTA
MINNESOTA is 45-33 (+25.3 Units) against the money line after batting .240 or worse over a 15 game span over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was: MINNESOTA (4.3) , OPPONENT (4.2)
 

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