STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SATURDAY, JUNE 14TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Saturday, 6/14/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #11
•Veteran Bell Signs Minor League Deal With Yankees: The New York Yankees signed reliever Heath Bell to a minor league contract on Friday. The Yankees sent the veteran right-hander to Triple-A Scranton/Wilkes-Barre and right-hander Mark Montgomery was moved to Double-A Trenton to make room on the roster. The 36-year-old Bell pitched 17 1/3 innings in 13 games with the Tampa Bay Rays this season and had an 0-1 record with a 7.27 ERA. He was released by the Rays and signed May 16 with the Baltimore Orioles, who assigned him to Triple-A Norfolk. In 10 games with Norfolk, Bell was 2-0 with one save and a 4.22 ERA before opting out of his contract when he learned that he would not be promoted to the Orioles.
•Cubs' Bonifacio Lands On DL: The Chicago Cubs placed outfielder-infielder Emilio Bonifacio on the disabled list with a rib-cage injury before Friday night's game against the Philadelphia Phillies. Bonifacio, the Cubs' leadoff hitter, was injured during Thursday night's 4-0 loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates when he grounded out to short on the second pitch of the game. He stood in batter's box and then fell to the ground, grimacing in pain, after the swing.
After Bonifacio was assisted off the field, Junior Lake moved from left to center to replace him and Chris Coghlan came in to take over in left. After batting .337 during the first month of the season, Bonifacio tapered off and was hitting .222 in June to drop his average to .266. To take Bonifacio's place on the roster, the Cubs activated outfielder Ryan Sweeney from the DL. Sweeney had been on the DL since May 3 with a right hamstring strain.
•Orioles Minor League RHP Gamboa Suspended: Baltimore Orioles minor league right-handed pitcher Eduardo Gamboa received a 50-game drug suspension, the Office of the Commissioner of Baseball announced Friday. Gamboa tested positive for exogenous Testosterone, a performance enhancing substance in violation of the Minor League Drug Prevention and Treatment Program. The suspension without pay of Gamboa, who is currently on the roster of Triple-A Norfolk of the International League, is effective immediately. The 29-year-old Gamboa had yet to pitch in a major league game.
•Indians Recall LHP Crockett: The Cleveland Indians recalled left-handed relief pitcher Kyle Crockett and optioned left-hander Nick Hagadone to Triple-A Columbus, the team announced Friday. Crockett, 23, will be joining the Indians for the second time this season after having his contract selected from Double-A Akron on May 16 to make his major league debut. Crockett, Cleveland's fourth-round selection, was the first member of the 2013 draft class to reach the majors.
He made three relief appearances for Cleveland, with a 2.08 ERA over 4 1/3 innings. Crockett was optioned to Triple-A Columbus on May 22. In 21 combined appearances at Akron/Columbus this season, Crockett has posted no record and a 0.74 ERA over 24 1/3 innings. Hagadone, 28, has gone 1-0 with a 7.71 ERA over 2 1/3 innings in five relief appearances since being recalled from Columbus on June 2. He is 2-3 with a 3.09 ERA over 23 1/3 innings in 18 relief appearances for the Columbus this season.
•Cards Activate Adams, Option Taveras To Triple-A: The St. Louis Cardinals activated first baseman Matt Adams from the 15-day disabled list and optioned outfielder Oscar Taveras to Triple-A Memphis, the team announced Friday. Adams, who had a left calf strain, completed a four-game injury rehabilitation stint with Memphis this past week, going 3-for-15 with a pair of RBIs. Adams is currently ranked fifth in the National League with his team-leading .325 batting average. Despite missing 13 games, he is still tied for the team lead with 16 doubles. Taveras, who homered in his major league debut on May 31, appeared in 11 games for the Cardinals, starting 10 of those games in right field. Taveras was hitting .189 over 37 at-bats.
•Twins Put Hicks On DL, Activate Fuld: The Minnesota Twins placed Aaron Hicks on the 15-day disabled list and activated fellow center fielder Sam Fuld, the team announced Friday. Hicks had not played since Monday. He injured his shoulder while making a game-ending diving catch in center field on Saturday against the Houston Astros, and he said earlier this week that he was still having trouble throwing the ball. Hicks' stint on the disabled list is retroactive to June 10.
He has hit .198 over 125 at-bats. Fuld went on the seven-day disabled list on May 8 with concussion-like symptoms and has missed the Twins' past 32 games. He played four games with Double-A New Britain on a minor league rehab assignment, going 6-for-14 with two doubles and one home run. The Twins also recalled catcher Eric Fryer from Triple-A Rochester to fill the roster spot of rookie catcher Josmil Pinto, who was optioned to Triple-A on Wednesday.
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Betting Notes - Saturday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Morton is 2-0, 2.25 in his last couple starts.
-- Strasburg is 3-0, 3.32 in his last three starts. Miller is 1-1, 2.25 in his last two outings.
-- Collmenter is 3-1, 3.62 in his last five starts.
-- Noesi is 2-0, 2.84 in his last three starts. Duffy is 1-0, 2.31 in his last two.
-- Norris is 3-2, 3.90 in his last five starts.
-- Sanchez is 1-0, 1.59 in his last four starts.
-- Archer has a 1.07 RA but no wins in his last four starts. Cosart is 4-2, 4.11 in his last six starts.
-- Kazmir is 2-0, 1.21 in his last three starts. Kuroda is 1-1, 2.89 in his last three starts.
-- Richards is 2-0, 0.60 in his last two starts.
•Cold Pitchers
-- Jackson is 0-3, 7.97 in his last four starts. Buchanan is 0-3, 7.23 in his last three starts.
-- Vogelsong is 1-1, 5.79 in his last three starts. Bergman lost his first MLB start, allowing two runs in six IP.
-- Wolf is 1-2, 5.94 in his three starts this season.
-- Wheeler is 1-3, 3.99 in his last five starts. Hahn allowed four runs in 3.2 IP in his first MLB start.
-- Latos is making first '14 start after coming back from injury; he is 55-40, 3.35 in 137 big league starts. Gallardo is 2-2, 5.32 in his last four starts.
-- Haren is 1-3, 5.83 in his last five starts.
-- Peavy is 0-3, 5.94 in his last five starts.
-- Blue Jays lost four of Dickey's five road starts.
-- Deduno is 1-2, 6.16 in his last four starts.
-- House is 1-1, 5.91 in his last four starts.
-- Ramirez is 0-4, 6.75 in his last seven starts. Saunders is 0-2, 4.50 in his four starts this season.
-- Floyd is 1-2, 4.63 in his last six starts.
•Totals
-- Three of last four Jackson starts went over total.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Miami home games.
-- Seven of last ten games at Citi Field stayed under.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Cincinnati games. Over is 8-0-1 in last nine games at Miller Park.
-- Six of last seven Cardinal games stayed under.
-- 10 of last 14 Arizona road games stayed under.
-- Six of last seven Colorado road games went over.
-- Last five Baltimore games stayed under total.
-- Over is 6-2-1 in last nine Detroit games.
-- Six of last seven games at Fenway Park stayed under total.
-- Seven of last ten White Sox home games stayed under.
-- Last seven Tampa Bay road games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Yankees games stayed under total.
-- Five of last six Seattle home games stayed total.
-- Over is 3-1-2 in last six Atlanta games.
•Hot Teams
-- Phillies won three of their last four games.
-- Pirates won four of their last five games.
-- Brewers won four of its last six games. Cincinnati won five of their last six road games.
-- Nationals won four of its last six games. St. Louis won four of their last five games.
-- Red Sox won their last seven home games.
-- Royals won its last five games.
-- Twins won its last three games.
-- Astros won four of their last six home games.
-- Yankees won nine of its last twelve road games.
•Cold Teams
-- Cubs lost four of their last six games.
-- Marlins lost five of their last seven home games.
-- Mets lost seven of their last nine games. San Diego lost nine of last 11.
-- Diamondbacks lost four of its last five games. Los Angeles lost five of eight at home.
-- Rockies lost ten of their last thirteen road games. San Francisco lost four of its last five games.
-- Blue Jays lost five of its last seven games. Baltimore is 7-9 in last 16 at home.
-- Tigers are 5-10 in its last fifteen home games.
-- White Sox lost five of their last seven games.
-- Indians lost their last four games.
-- Rays lost 14 of its last 17 games.
-- Athletics lost three of its last four games.
-- Rangers lost four of its last six games. Seattle lost six of their last eight home games.
-- Braves lost four of its last five home games. Los Angeles lost eight of their last eleven away games.
•Umpires Trends
-- Chi-Phil-- Seven of last nine Barksdale games went over.
-- Col-SF-- Eight of eleven Segal games went over the total.
-- Pitt-Mia-- Under is 6-2-1 in last nine Timmons games.
-- SD-NY-- Five of last seven Bellino games stayed under.
-- Wsh-StL-- Six of last nine Drake games went over total.
-- Cin-Mil-- Nine of eleven O'Nora games stayed under.
-- Az-LA-- Seven of last eight BWelke games stayed under.
-- KC-Chi-- Eight of nine Conroy games went over total.
-- Cle-Bos-- Underdogs are 11-2 in last 13 Barber games; over is 10-2-1 in his last thirteen games behind plate.
-- Tor-Balt-- Over is 5-2-1 in last eight Estabrook games.
-- Min-Det-- Underdogs won five of last seven Reynolds games.
-- TB-Hst-- Four of last five Diaz games went over the total.
-- NY-A's-- Road team won last six HGibson games.
-- Tex-Sea-- Both Marquez games this season stayed under.
-- LAA-Atl-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Gorman games.
Diamond Trends - Saturday
•BOSTON is 13-28 (-19.1 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse this season.
The average score was BOSTON 3.7, OPPONENT 4.9.
•BALTIMORE is 10-1 UNDER (+8.9 Units) in home games against division opponents this season.
The average score was BALTIMORE 3.0, OPPONENT 2.4.
•CLEVELAND is 23-39 (-35.4 Units) against the run line in road games versus a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was CLEVELAND 4.0, OPPONENT 5.1.
•DAN HAREN is 4-15 (-16.5 Units) against the money line versus teams outscored by opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was HAREN 3.3, OPPONENT 5.3.
•SAM DEDUNO is 14-3 UNDER (+10.8 Units) versus American League teams scoring 4.7 or less runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DEDUNO 3.1, OPPONENT 3.8.
•SCOTT KAZMIR is 18-5 (+15.2 Units) against the run line versus an American League team with a team batting average of .260 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KAZMIR 6.0, OPPONENT 3.0.
Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - All underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (MINNESOTA) - poor hitting team (AVG <=.260) against an excellent starting pitcher (ERA <=3.20) - American League, with a starting pitcher whose gives up 0.5 or less HR's/start.
(104-27 since 1997.) (79.4%, +54.4 units. Rating = 3*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -183.5
The average score in these games was: Team 5.5, Opponent 3.3 (Average run differential = +2.2)
The situation's record this season is: (9-5, +0.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (35-11, +14.6 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (65-19, +30.8 units).
•Play On - Home teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (BALTIMORE) - bad offensive team (<=4.5 runs/game) against a decent starting pitcher (ERA=4.20 to 4.70) - American League, with an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game.
(62-21 since 1997.) (74.7%, +44.8 units. Rating = 5*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (56-27)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.7, money line price: +106
The average score in these games was: Team 5, Opponent 4.2 (Average run differential = +0.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 52 (62.7% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (4-0, +5.3 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (21-7, +15.9 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (33-12, +23.5 units).
•Play Under - All teams where the total is 8.5 to 10 (MINNESOTA) - below average hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a very good starting pitcher (ERA <=3.50) - American League, starting a pitcher who walked 4+ hitters each of his last 2 outings.
(40-11 since 1997.) (78.4%, +28.6 units. Rating = 4*)
The average total posted in these games was: 9, Money Line=-109.1
The average score in these games was: Team 4, Opponent 3.8 (Total runs scored = 7.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 35 (64.8% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (1-1, -0.1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-4, +3.6 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (17-4, +12.6 units).
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w-thumbs!^
