Larry Ness' 10* PERFECT STORM-MLB (80% in MLB 2014)
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Cin Reds at 10:10 ET.
The Reds won 6-4 last night in Arizona and Johnny Cueto is hoping he'll get some of that same kind of support, tonight. Cueto ranks among the major league ERA leaders (1.83) but is near the bottom of baseball with an average run support of 2.80. That's why he's just 4-4 in 11 starts in 2014, with the Reds actually being a losing proposition in his starts (5-6)!
That hardly seems right, as along with his 1.83 ERA, Cueto has allowed just 43 hits in 83.2 innings while posting a 85-20 KW ratio. His WHIP is a miniscule 0.75 and opponents have batted a measly .148 against him. Now lets' compare that to his mound counterpart tonight, Arizona's Brandon McCarthy.
McCarthy began his career back in 2005 with the White Sox. He had 53 appearances in 2006 but only TWO were starts. However, since that time all but ONE of his 110 appearances from 2007 through 2013 (pitching for Texas, Oakland and Arizona) have been starts. Note that his record heading into 2014 was a very journeyman-like 42-50 (4.10 ERA).
He's made 11 starts for Arizona here in 2014, entering this contest 1-6 (team is 2-9). His ERA is 4.87 on the season but it's his night starts which really throw up a red flag. While he owns a 2.88 ERA in five day starts, he's been just AWFUL "under the lights!" He's allowed 46 hits over 34 innings in six night starts, posting a 1.56 WHIP and 6.88 ERA. Any surprise he's 0-4 and the team 0-6 in those contests?
Considering Arizona is MLB's worst home team at 9-20 (minus-$1,297) on the season and as a team allows on average, 5.34 RPG at Chase Field, isn't this a perfect spot for the Reds to give Cueto the kind of support he deserves? One last thing. Cueto allowed seven runs on 11 hits in 4.1 innings of an 11-5 loss at Arizona last June 21 but had allowed a total of just seven runs on 18 hits over 38 innings while going 5-0 in his first six starts against the D'backs (Reds were 6-0!).
I'll bet on that version of Cueto to show up here, considering the numbers he's posted so far in 2014 (see above for a reminder).
My 10* PERFECT STORM is on the Cin Reds at 10:10 ET.
The Reds won 6-4 last night in Arizona and Johnny Cueto is hoping he'll get some of that same kind of support, tonight. Cueto ranks among the major league ERA leaders (1.83) but is near the bottom of baseball with an average run support of 2.80. That's why he's just 4-4 in 11 starts in 2014, with the Reds actually being a losing proposition in his starts (5-6)!
That hardly seems right, as along with his 1.83 ERA, Cueto has allowed just 43 hits in 83.2 innings while posting a 85-20 KW ratio. His WHIP is a miniscule 0.75 and opponents have batted a measly .148 against him. Now lets' compare that to his mound counterpart tonight, Arizona's Brandon McCarthy.
McCarthy began his career back in 2005 with the White Sox. He had 53 appearances in 2006 but only TWO were starts. However, since that time all but ONE of his 110 appearances from 2007 through 2013 (pitching for Texas, Oakland and Arizona) have been starts. Note that his record heading into 2014 was a very journeyman-like 42-50 (4.10 ERA).
He's made 11 starts for Arizona here in 2014, entering this contest 1-6 (team is 2-9). His ERA is 4.87 on the season but it's his night starts which really throw up a red flag. While he owns a 2.88 ERA in five day starts, he's been just AWFUL "under the lights!" He's allowed 46 hits over 34 innings in six night starts, posting a 1.56 WHIP and 6.88 ERA. Any surprise he's 0-4 and the team 0-6 in those contests?
Considering Arizona is MLB's worst home team at 9-20 (minus-$1,297) on the season and as a team allows on average, 5.34 RPG at Chase Field, isn't this a perfect spot for the Reds to give Cueto the kind of support he deserves? One last thing. Cueto allowed seven runs on 11 hits in 4.1 innings of an 11-5 loss at Arizona last June 21 but had allowed a total of just seven runs on 18 hits over 38 innings while going 5-0 in his first six starts against the D'backs (Reds were 6-0!).
I'll bet on that version of Cueto to show up here, considering the numbers he's posted so far in 2014 (see above for a reminder).
