Service Plays Saturday 5/10/14

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Game of the Day: Ducks at Kings

Anaheim Ducks at Los Angeles Kings (N/A)

Los Angeles leads series 2-1.


After sidestepping an 0-3 hole, the Anaheim Ducks attempt to even their Western Conference second-round series when they visit the Los Angeles Kings for Game 4 on Saturday. Anaheim dropped the first two games of the matchup at home, scoring a total of three goals in the process, before taking advantage of its power-play chances en route to a 3-2 triumph in Game 3 on Thursday. Corey Perry and Teemu Selanne each tallied with the man advantage and defenseman Ben Lovejoy added a much-needed goal late in the third period as the Pacific Division-champion Ducks continued the trend of road victories in the series.

Coach Bruce Boudreau switched from Jonas Hiller to Frederik Andersen in goal, citing the former's 0-5-2 career record at Staples Center as the reason. The move worked as the Danish rookie - who was 2-0-0 at Los Angeles during the regular season - limited the Kings to one goal on 23 shots. The 24-year-old Andersen suffered an apparent right leg injury midway through the third period, but Hiller came on and turned aside seven of the eight shots he faced - allowing only Mike Richards' first tally of the postseason with 31 seconds remaining.

TV: 9:30 p.m. ET, NBCSN, TSN, RDS

LINE HISTORY: The Kings opened as -150 home faves with a total of 5.

INJURY REPORT: Ducks: G F. Andersen (Ques. Lower body), LW M. Beleskey (Ques. Undisclosed). Kings: D W. Mitchell (Ques. Lower body), D R. Regehr (Ques. Undisclosed).

WHAT BOOKS SAY: "I anticipate making L.A. a smaller favorite in Game 4 than we did the previous game, where they were a -150 fave. Reason being, is that road teams have now won six straight games in this series, dating back to January." - Mike Perry, Sportsbook.ag.

WHAT SHARPS SAY: "So far I'm 3-0 in this series. I took the Kings in Games 1 and 2 and then jumped on the Ducks in Game 3. The line in Game 4 should once again be in the pick 'em range (-125 to -130) for Los Angeles. The Kings' offense finally came back down to earth after its six-game win streak ended. Anaheim made some changes leading up to Game 3, recalling Sami Vatanen from the minors and including Kyle Palmieri in the lineup after he was a healthy scratch previous and the moves seemed to work. I'd say to keep your eyes open for more lineup changes from each team before making a decision." - Covers Expert Art Aronson.

ABOUT THE DUCKS:
With Andersen's status in question, Anaheim recalled John Gibson from Norfolk of the American Hockey League on Friday. The 20-year-old native of Pittsburgh was superb during his brief stint during the regular season, going 3-0-0 with a shutout while allowing only four goals on 87 shots. Defenseman Sami Vatanen made his NHL playoff debut in Game 3 and drew rave reviews from Boudreau. "I thought he was the best player on the ice for both teams," the coach said.

ABOUT THE KINGS: While Anaheim went 2-for-2 on the power play Thursday, Los Angeles converted its only opportunity as Jeff Carter cashed in for his third goal of the postseason. The Kings are 8-for-28 with the man advantage over their last eight games after going 0-for-4 in their first two contests. Anze Kopitar extended his point streak to 10 games with his league-leading 11th assist, which also raised his postseason-best point total to 15.

TRENDS:

* Under is 5-1-3 in the last nine meetings.
* Under is 9-3-1 in the last 13 meetings in Los Angeles.
* Ducks are 5-2 in the last seven meetings and 4-0 in the last four in L.A.
* Road team is 6-0 in the last six meetings.

COVERS CONSENSUS: 61 percent of bettors are backing the L.A. Kings

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with the Pacers (+4) on Friday and likes the Heat on Saturday.

The deficit is 261 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Nets +1.5
Trailblazers +1.5
Braves -130

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 5/10/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_________________________________________


***** Saturday, 5/10/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
__________________________________________________

NBA Playoff Journal (May 9)
While "Johnny Football" was spending a long night in the National Football League Draft's Green Room, he was finally taken by the Cleveland Browns at No.22 (is that GOOD or BAD news?), Miami and San Antonio went about extending home teams' recent resurgence in the 2014 National Basketball Association playoffs on Thursday night.

Home teams barely won 50 percent of their games in the first round (26-24), while going a 'money-burning' 19-28-3 ATS (40.4 percent). The second round opened this past Monday night and right out of the gate, the Pacers and Thunder lost their respective Game 1s at home to the Wizards and Clippers. However, home teams have rebounded the last three evenings, going a spot-less 6-0 straight-up and 5-1 versus the number. The average margin of victory has been 14.8 PPG and the lone non-cover was a half-point ATS loss (Indiana's Game #2 victory over Washington).

The Nets got blown out in Game #1 at Miami but despite Deron Williams playing 37 scoreless minutes (had played 663 games since last being held scoreless!), the Nets were highly competitive for almost all of Game #2 Thursday night. However, Brooklyn would score just one FG and make only three FTs over the game's final 6:53, as the Heat closed the game on a 15-5 run to earn the win and cover, 94-82.

LeBron James had 22, Bosh 18 and Wade 14-7-7. Ray Allen has come alive for the Heat in this series, averaging 16.0 PPG in the first two games (on 11 of 18 shooting, including 7 of 12 three-pointers), after shooting 26.3% versus the Bobcats while averaging 3.3 PPG. Miami is 6-0 SU and 5-1 ATS this postseason and including wins in Games #6 and #7 of the 2013 Finals, now own a franchise record eight-game playoff winning streak.

The Spurs made things look easy in Game #1 versus the Trail Blazers and it was deja vu all over again last night in Game #2. San Antonio led 70-51 at the half and cruised to a 114-97 win. Seven Spurs scored in double figures, led by Leonard's 20. Belinelli, like Allen for Miami, has rebounded from a horrible opening round series, to play well in the semifinals. He averaged 3.1 PPG versus Dallas but in two meetings versus the Blazers, he's made 11 of 14 shots, while averaging 16.0 PPG.

Home team are now 32-26 (.552) and improved to 24-31-3 ATS. However, that's still just 43.6% or minus-10.1 net games. "Zig-Zaggers" went 0-2 but remain 26-17-3 ATS (plus-7.3 net games), while under players won both contests Thursday night. However, it's still 36 overs and 22 unders year to date this postseason (62.1% favoring the over).

ESPN carries Friday night's doubleheader, starting (8:00 PM EST) with the Indiana Pacers at the Washington Wizards and following with the Oklahoma City Thunder at the Los Angeles Clippers (10:30 PM EST). Both series are tied at one-all, as the higher seeded teams (Indiana and Oklahoma City) look to earn back the home court edge with at least one win in either Game #3 or #4. Washington is favored by 4 1/2 points (total is 183 1/2) and Los Angeles is favored by four points (total is 213 1/2).

Eastern Conference Playoffs - Round #2

#721 MIAMI @ #722 BROOKLYN
(TV: 8:00 PM EST, ABC - Line: -Heat -1.5, Total: 198) - The Miami Heat are sailing through the postseason and can set a franchise record for consecutive playoff wins when they visit the Brooklyn Nets in Saturday’s Game #3. Miami’s two wins to open the Eastern Conference semifinals increased its playoff winning streak to eight games, matching a club mark reached on two previous occasions. Brooklyn swept the four regular-season matchups but faces a must-win game if it has any chance of making it a series.

The Nets lost the two games in Miami by an average of 16.5 points and coach Jason Kidd was dejected after a 94-82 defeat in Thursday’s Game #2. “That one hurt,” Kidd told reporters. “We were right there. We gave ourselves, on the road, an opportunity against the world champs. We let the game slip away.” The Heat dominated the final seven minutes to turn a two-point lead into a double-digit victory and forward LeBron James is pleased with the team’s 6-0 mark in this postseason. “We’ve had the cohesiveness and rhythm we need and it’s great to have it at this point,” James told reporters afterward.

•ABOUT THE HEAT (60-28 SU, 42-44-2 ATS): Balanced scoring has been Miami’s theme in the first two games as five players have scored in double digits in each contest. James tallied 22 points in each game to lead the way while center Chris Bosh and guards Dwayne Wade, Mario Chalmers and Ray Allen also have recorded consecutive double-figure outings. “That’s what our team is all about,” James told reporters. “We don’t really care who scores.” The Heat have connected on 19 3-pointers in the series with Allen making seven after the veteran guard made just three in the four-game first-round sweep of the Charlotte Bobcats.

•ABOUT THE NETS (48-43 SU, 46-44-1 ATS): Point guard Deron Williams had a poor outing in Game #2 when he went scoreless and missed all nine of his field-goal attempts. It was far from an ideal time to be invisible with Brooklyn desperately needing a win that would have changed the complexion of the series. “I just missed some shots,” Williams told reporters afterward. “I had a couple of open looks and I got the basket and thought I got fouled on a couple and no call. But you’ve just got to keep playing.” The best player for the Nets was backup forward Mirza Teletovic, who set a franchise record with six 3-pointers while scoring 20 points.

•PREGAME NOTES: Allen (32 points) has scored more points in the first two games than the combined output (25) of former Boston teammates Paul Pierce and Kevin Garnett.... Bosh blocked three shots in Game #2 and is averaging 16.5 points and 8.5 boards in the series.... Nets SG Joe Johnson is averaging just 15 points in the series after scoring 24 or more in four of seven games in the first round against Toronto.... The Heat are 19-9 versus the spread (67.8%) versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game this season.... Brooklyn is 8-22 against the spread in a home game where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points over the last three seasons.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, BROOKLYN covered the spread 552 times, while MIAMI covered the spread 448 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, BROOKLYN won the game straight up 493 times, while MIAMI won 478 times. In 1000 simulated games, 649 games went over the total, while 327 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, BROOKLYN covered the first half line 502 times, while MIAMI covered the first half line 454 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 601 games went over first half total, while 368 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--MIAMI is 39-38 against the spread versus BROOKLYN since 1996.
--MIAMI is 52-27 straight up against BROOKLYN since 1996.
--38 of 73 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--BROOKLYN is 39-38 versus the first half line when playing against MIAMI since 1996.
--46 of 75 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Home team is 8-3 ATS in the last 11 meetings.
--Over is 20-7-1 in the last 28 meetings in Brooklyn.
--Heat are 11-5 ATS in the last 16 meetings in Brooklyn.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
--Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
--Heat are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

--Nets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 home games.
--Under is 4-1 in Nets last 5 Saturday games.
--Under is 5-1 in Nets last 6 Conference Semifinals games.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play On - Home teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (BROOKLYN) - off 2 or more consecutive road losses, a marginal winning team (51% to 60%) playing a winning team, in a game involving two poor defensive teams (45.5-47.5%).
(66-33 since 1996.) (66.7%, +30.5 units. Rating = 2*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -107.6
The average score in these games was: Team 96.9, Opponent 93.1 (Average point differential = +3.8)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0, +1 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (11-4, +6.7 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-8, +5.7 units).
_______________________________

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Western Conference Playoffs - Round #2

#723 SAN ANTONIO @ #724 PORTLAND
(TV: 10:30 PM EST, ESPN - Line: Spurs -1.5, Total: 209.5) - The Portland Trail Blazers are hoping a change of scenery will improve their chances in the Western Conference semifinals. The Trail Blazers will try to avoid falling into a 3-0 hole when they host the San Antonio Spurs in Game #3 on Saturday evening. The Spurs had little trouble winning the first two games while getting off to blazing starts in each and are averaging 115 points in the series behind sharp shooting and solid bench play.

San Antonio picked up the habit of strong starts in Game #7 of its first-round win over the Dallas Mavericks and carried it over to the semifinals, putting each of the two games away by the half and cruising through the rest of the contest. “It happened pretty quickly,” Portland coach Terry Stotts told reporters. “They’re one of the best in the league in coming at you. They come at you in waves, and it really ballooned there in the second quarter.” The Spurs outscored the Trail Blazers 41-25 in the second quarter of Game #2 to build up a 70-51 cushion at the break.

•ABOUT THE SPURS (68-23 SU, 48-43-0 ATS): Tony Parker carried the biggest piece of the offense in Game #1 and followed it up with 16 points and 10 assists in Game #2. The All-Star point guard got plenty of help from San Antonio’s plethora of sharpshooters, as Kawhi Leonard knocked down all four of his 3-point attempts en route to a team-high 20 points and Danny Green, Manu Ginobili and Marco Belinelli hit two apiece as the Spurs went 12-of-20 from beyond the arc. “The whole team was playing great,” Parker told reporters. “The ball movement was great. Kawhi and Marco were making shots. We did our job. We won our first two games at home.”

•ABOUT THE TRAIL BLAZERS (58-32 SU, 46-44-0 ATS): Portland All-Stars LaMarcus Aldridge and Damian Lillard both had a difficult time finding a groove in Game #2, and Aldridge was just 6-of-23 from the floor in the contest. “I definitely wasn’t in a good rhythm tonight,” Aldridge told reporters after the game. “I missed two dunks and four or five layups, so if those shots go in then the whole game is different. We know we haven’t played our best basketball, so now we have to.” The Trail Blazers should have some confidence heading home after clinching the first-round series over the Houston Rockets with a dramatic 99-98 win in their own building.

•PREGAME NOTES: San Antonio is shooting a combined 58.8 percent from the field in the first half in the series.... Lillard buried the game-winning 3-pointer at the buzzer in the finale against the Rockets but is just 1-of-7 from behind the arc against the Spurs. San Antonio’s reserves are outscoring Portland’s 100-37 in the first two games.... The Spurs are 13-2 against the spread (86.6%) versus teams who average 7 or less steals/game on the season this season.... The Trail Blazers are 4-14 versus the spread (22.2%) versus horrible foul drawing teams - attempting less than 21 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO covered the spread 552 times, while PORTLAND covered the spread 448 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO won the game straight up 580 times, while PORTLAND won 398 times. In 1000 simulated games, 511 games went under the total, while 489 games went over the total. *No EDGE.

-- In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO covered the first half line 510 times, while PORTLAND covered the first half line 446 times. *No EDGE. In 1000 simulated games, 542 games went under first half total, while 458 games went over first half total. *No EDGE.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--SAN ANTONIO is 37-35 against the spread versus PORTLAND since 1996.
--SAN ANTONIO is 44-29 straight up against PORTLAND since 1996.
--36 of 72 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--SAN ANTONIO is 38-34 versus the first half line when playing against PORTLAND since 1996.
--39 of 72 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
--Spurs are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Portland.

--Over is 8-3 in the last 11 meetings.
--Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Portland.
--Home team is 20-9 ATS in the last 29 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Spurs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 Conference Semifinals games.
--Spurs are 0-4 ATS L4 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
--Over is 5-0 in Spurs last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.

--Trail Blazers are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Trail Blazers are 0-6 ATS L6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
--Trail Blazers are 0-6 ATS L6 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Against - Home underdogs with a money line of +135 to -155 (PORTLAND) - well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, after trailing in their previous game by 15 or more points at the half against opponent after a combined score of 205 points or more 2 straight games.
(32-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.5%, +25.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -130
The average score in these games was: Team 107.5, Opponent 97.7 (Average point differential = +9.8)

The situation's record this season is: (8-2, +5 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-3, +10.8 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (68-19, +36.2 units).
_______________________________

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

Arizona at Chicago White Sox

The Diamondbacks look to bounce back from last night's 9-3 loss to the White Sox and come into today's contest with a 7-2 record in Wade Miley's last 9 starts following a team loss in the previous game. Arizona is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Diamondbacks favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, MAY 10 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: San Francisco at LA Dodgers (4:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Cain) 14.946; LA Dodgers (Greinke) 16.534 Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-150); 7 Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-150); Under

Game 903-904: St. Louis at Pittsburgh (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: St. Louis (Lynn) 14.823; Pittsburgh (Volquez) 15.742 Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 1; 7 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-125); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (+105); Under

Game 905-906: Philadelphia at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Kendrick) 15.885; NY Mets (Gee) 14.951 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-145); 7 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (+125); Over

Game 907-908: Chicago Cubs at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Samardzija) 13.813; Atlanta (Santana) 15.320 Dunkel Line: Atlanta by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-155); 7 Dunkel Pick: Atlanta (-155); Over

Game 909-910: Colorado at Cincinnati (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Lyles) 14.563; Cincinnati (Simon) 17.244 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 2 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Cincinnati (-125); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (-125); Over

Game 911-912: Miami at San Diego (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Eovaldi) 14.412; San Diego (Stults) 15.930 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Miami (-115); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-105); Under

Game 913-914: LA Angels at Toronto (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Skaggs) 16.450; Toronto (Happ) 14.562 Dunkel Line: LA Angels by 2; 11 Vegas Line: Toronto (-120); 9 1/2 Dunkel Pick: LA Angels (+100); Over

Game 915-916: Minnesota at Detroit (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota (Gibson) 15.464; Detroit (Scherzer) 16.882 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: Detroit (-240); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-240); Under

Game 917-918: Houston at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Houston (McHugh) 15.087; Baltimore (Gonzalez) 13.925 Dunkel Line: Houston by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-170); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Houston (+150); Under

Game 919-920 Cleveland at Tampa Bay (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 14.307; Tampa Bay (Bedard) 15.879 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1 1/2; 9 1/2 Vegas Line: Tampa Bay (-120); 8 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-120); Over

Game 921-922: Boston at Texas (8:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Lester) 16.474; Texas (Perez) 14.983 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Boston (-130); 9 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-130); Under

Game 923-924: Kansas City at Seattle (9:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Ventura) 15.890; Seattle (Young) 14.816 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 7 Vegas Line: Kansas City (-125); 6 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (-125); Over

Game 925-926: NY Yankees at Milwaukee (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: NY Yankees (Sabathia) 13.871; Milwaukee (Lohse) 15.443 Dunkel Line: Milwaukee by 1 1/2; 9 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-140); 8 Dunkel Pick: Milwaukee (-140); Over

Game 927-928: Arizona at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Arizona (Miley) 15.628; White Sox (Quintana) 14.092 Dunkel Line: Arizona by 1 1/2; 10 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-125); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Arizona (+105); Over

Game 929-930: Washington at Oakland (9:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Washington (Roark) 15.913; Oakland (Gray) 14.821 Dunkel Line: Washington by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Oakland (-170); 7 Dunkel Pick: Washington (+150); Over

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
Milwaukee Brewers -122 over NY Yankees
(System Record: 24-0, lost last game)
Overall Record: 24-15

 

[tgunn11]

Hockey Crusher
LA Kings -150 over Anaheim Ducks
(Playoff Record: system 14-1: overall 14-7, won last game)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 105-81-2

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Portland +1.5 over San Antonio Spurs
(Playoff Record: 9-8-3, won last game)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 87-93-8

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Atletico Rafaela + Tigre UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 566-21, won last game)
Overall Record: 566-481-84

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NBA Picks

San Antonio at Portland

The Blazers look for their first win in the series and come into tonight's contest with a 10-3 ATS record in their last 13 games against the Spurs at home. Portland is the pick (+1 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Blazers favored by 7. Dunkel Pick: Portland (+1 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

SATURDAY, MAY 10 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 721-722: Miami at Brooklyn (8:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 125.814; Brooklyn 122.497 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 3 1/2; 192 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 1 1/2; 188 Dunkel Pick: Miami (-1 1/2); Over

Game 723-724: San Antonio at Portland (10:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 121.738; Portland 128.793 Dunkel Line & Total: Portland by 7; 213 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 1 1/2; 209 Dunkel Pick: Portland (+1 1/2); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NHL Picks

Montreal at Boston

The Canadiens look to bounce back from their 1-0 loss in Game 4 and come into tonight's contest with an 8-1 record in their last 9 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. Montreal is the pick (+165) according to Dunkel, which has the Canadiens favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+165). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

SATURDAY, MAY 10 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 59-60: Montreal at Boston (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Montreal 12.795; Boston 11.708 Dunkel Line & Total: Montreal by 1; 4 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-190); 5 Dunkel Pick: Montreal (+165); Under

Game 61-62: Anaheim at Los Angeles (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Anaheim 12.269; Los Angeles 13.732 Dunkel Line & Total: Los Angeles by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line & Total: Los Angeles (-155); 5 Dunkel Pick: Los Angeles (-155); Over

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SATURDAY, MAY 10th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


***** Saturday, 5/10/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_____________________________________________________

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #6
•Tanaka Improves To 5-0 As Yankees Beat Brewers: Masahiro Tanaka hasn't made too many mistakes during his first major league season; so, on the rare occasion he does, opponents had better take advantage of the opportunity. On Friday night, Tanaka gave the Brewers several chances, but Milwaukee couldn't cash in and the New York Yankees won 5-3 at Miller Park. Tanaka has not lost a game in his last 42 regular-season starts -- including his time in the Nippon Professional League -- and is 5-0 this year. His inaugural interleague experience got off to a good start. He allowed a leadoff walk to center fielder Carlos Gomez -- Tanaka's only walk of the game -- but retired 15 of the next 17 batters. Tanaka gave up two runs on seven hits and one walk in 6 1/3 innings. He struck out seven.

•Rangers' Darvish Loses No-Hitter With Two Outs In Ninth: Texas Rangers pitcher Yu Darvish will be having flashbacks of facing Boston's David Ortiz for a while. Ortiz had the good fortune of breaking up Darvish's perfect game in the seventh with a fly ball that resulted in an error. Then Ortiz poked the Red Sox' first hit through the right side of the infield with two outs in the ninth. So for the second straight season, Darvish lost a no-hit bid with two outs in the ninth. But the Rangers will take Darvish's gem to the win column as Texas pounded Boston 8-0 Friday night at Globe Life Park.

Texas manager Ron Washington said it might have been Darvish's best performance in a Ranger uniform, including the other near-misses at no-hitters. After Darvish retired the first 20 Red Sox batters in order, he appeared to be headed to the eighth inning with a perfect game. Ortiz, the designated hitter, hit a routine fly ball to right field, sending Rangers second baseman Rougned Odor, playing in his second major league game, deep into the outfield. Odor lunged for the ball in front of right fielder Alex Rios, but the ball fell to the turf and was scored an error on Rios.

•A's Shuffle Pitching Staff: The Oakland Athletics made several moves with their pitching staff on Friday, putting reliever Ryan Cook on the 15-day disabled list with a strained right forearm and sending starter Dan Straily to Triple-A Sacramento. To replace Cook and Straily on the roster, the A's called up relievers Fernando Rodriguez and Joe Savery before a game against the Washington Nationals on Friday night. Cook suffered a strained forearm in a doubleheader on Wednesday against the Seattle Mariners. Straily struggled with a 1-2 record and a 4.93 ERA in seven starts.

In 11 games with Sacramento this season, Rodriguez is 1-0 with a 0.73 ERA. He last pitched in the major leagues for Houston in October 2012 before Tommy John surgery. Savery comes to Oakland after posting a 4-0 record with one save and a 3.86 ERA in 10 appearances for Sacramento. In injury news, A's center fielder Coco Crisp was to undergo an MRI on a strained neck that he suffered while colliding with the wall making a catch on Wednesday.

•Sabathia Looks To Continue Interleague Domination: C.C. Sabathia is one of the great interleague pitchers of this generation. Sabathia holds a 22-8 interleague record, including going 13-3 in his last 16. Those 22 wins is good for a fourth place tie for most wins in interleague action all-time. Sabathia also has a 3.14 ERA, good for tenth all-time, and 258 strikeouts, third most strikes in interleague action since it's inception in 1997. Sabathia and the Yankees are slight road dogs (+115) against the strong Milwaukee Brewers (-125) Saturday.

Betting Notes - Saturday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Greinke is 5-1, 2.58 in eight starts this season.
-- Lynn is 2-1, 2.70 in his last five starts.
-- Gee is 3-1, 0.67 in his last four starts.
-- Santana is 3-0, 2.41 in five starts for Atlanta. Samardzija has a 2.45 RA in his last four starts.
-- Simon is 3-0, 2.81 in his last four starts. Lyles is 2-0, 1.93 in his last four.
-- Eovaldi is 1-0, 2.25 in his last three starts.

-- Happ threw five shutout innings in his first '14 start.
-- Scherzer is 4-0, 1.33 in his last four starts.
-- McHugh is 2-1, 3.26 in three starts for Houston.
-- Bedard is 1-0, 1.64 in his last couple starts.
-- Ventura is 1-0, 1.42 in his last three starts. Young is 2-0, 3.58 in five starts.

-- Lohse is 4-0, 3.20 in his last six starts.
-- Quintana is 0-0, 2.77 in his last couple starts.
-- Gray is 4-1, 2.30 in seven starts this season.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Cain was 0-2, 4.85 in his last four starts before going on DL (cut finger).
-- Volquez is 0-3, 7.00 in his last three starts.
-- Kendrick is 0-3, 4.99 in his last five starts.
-- Stults is 0-1, 7.11 in his last three starts.

-- Skaggs is 1-1, 6.35 in his last four starts.
-- Gibson is 0-2, 6.48 in his last three starts.
-- Gonzalez is 0-2, 5.51 in his last three starts.
-- McAllister is 0-2, 5.06 in his last three starts.
-- Perez is 0-2, 12.10 in his last two starts, after throwing 26 consecutive scoreless innings. Lester is 1-2, 5.49 in his last three starts.

-- Former Brewer Sabathia is 0-2, 9.35 in his last two starts.
-- Miley is 0-1, 7.50 in his last three starts.
-- Roark is 1-1, 7.29 in four road starts.

•Totals
-- Seven of last ten Pittsburgh games went over total.
-- Eight of last nine games at Citi Field stayed under; six of Philly's last eight road games went over.
-- Five of last six Cincinnati games stayed under.
-- Eleven of last thirteen Atlanta home games stayed under.
-- Under is 11-2-1 in last fourteen San Francisco road games.
-- Eight of last nine Miami road games stayed under.

-- Under is 5-1-1 in last seven Baltimore games.
-- Nine of last eleven Toronto home games went over.
-- Seven of last eight Minnesota games stayed under.
-- Five of last seven Cleveland games stayed under.
-- Seven of last eight Boston games stayed under total.
-- Six of last eight Kansas City games went over.

-- Eight of last eleven Milwaukee games went over total.
-- Over is 13-6 in White Sox home games this season.
-- Ten of last thirteen Washington road games went over.

•Hot Teams
-- Pirates won five of its last seven games.
-- Rockies lost nine of their last thirteen games. Cincinnati won seven of its last nine home games.
-- Giants won 12 of its last 15 games.
-- Marlins won eight of last ten games; they're 3-11 on road.

-- Orioles won seven of their last nine games.
-- Blue Jays won five of their last six games.
-- Tigers won eight of its last ten games, but lost last two.
-- Indians won six of their last eight games.
-- Red Sox won four of its last six games.
-- Royals won three of its last four games. Seattle won four of their last six home games.

-- Yankees won six of its last eight road games.
-- Diamondbacks won six of its last nine road games. Chicago won five of their last six games overall.
-- Athletics won its last two games, allowing one run.

•Cold Teams
-- Cardinals are 4-8 in their last twelve road games.
-- Mets lost seven of their last eight games. Philadelphia lost four of their last five.
-- Braves lost eight of their last ten games. Chicago lost five of their last six.
-- Dodgers lost five of their last six games.
-- Padres lost seven of its last ten games.

-- Astros lost eight of their last ten games.
-- Angels are 4-5 in their last nine road games.
-- Twins lost three of its last four games.
-- Rays lost their last six home games.
-- Rangers lost four of their last six home games.

-- Brewers lost seven of its last nine games.
-- Nationals lost its last three away games.

•Umpires Trends
-- SF-LA-- Four of last five TBarrett games went over total.
-- StL-Pitt-- Favorites won four of five Rackley games.
-- Phil-NY-- Last four Timmons games stayed under total.
-- Chi-Atl-- Four of last five Fletcher games stayed under.
-- Col-Cin-- Four of five O'Nora games stayed under total.
-- Mia-SD-- Over is 4-0-1 in LBarrett games this season.

-- LA-Tor-- All five Johnson games went over the total.
-- Min-Det-- Over is 5-1-1 in West games this season.
-- Hst-Balt-- Favorites won four of six Kellogg games.
-- Cle-TB-- All five Nauert games went over the total.
-- Bos-Tex-- Four of last six Miller games stayed under.
-- KC-Sea-- Last five Barry games stayed under total.

-- NY-Mil-- Five of six Emmel games stayed under total.
-- Az-Chi-- Four of last five Cuzzi games went over total.
-- Wsh-A's-- Three of last four Danley games went over.

Diamond Trends - Saturday
•CHI WHITE SOX are 26-4 (+21.7 Units) against the money line versus an National League starting pitcher whose ERA is 4.70 to 5.20 since 1997.
The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 6.9, OPPONENT 3.8.

•SAN DIEGO is 14-2 UNDER (+11.7 Units) versus National League teams allowing 4.3 or less runs/game on the season this season.
The average score was SAN DIEGO 2.2, OPPONENT 3.6.

•ARIZONA is 2-12 (-14.5 Units) against the run line versus an overused bullpen that pitches more than 3.2 innings per game this season.
The average score was ARIZONA 3.1, OPPONENT 6.3.

•EDINSON VOLQUEZ is 11-3 (+9.9 Units) against the money line versus an National League team with a team batting average of .255 or worse over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was VOLQUEZ 5.6, OPPONENT 3.6.

•JORDAN LYLES is 10-0 OVER (+10.1 Units) in road games versus an National League team with a team batting average of .250 or worse over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LYLES 3.8, OPPONENT 7.7.

•MAX SCHERZER is 13-2 (+12.5 Units) against the run line in home games after giving up 1 or less earned runs last outing over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was SCHERZER 6.8, OPPONENT 2.7.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Road underdogs with a money line of +150 or more (MINNESOTA) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.50 or better on the season (American League) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose throws more than 6.5 innings per start.
(56-8 over the last 5 seasons.) (87.5%, +41.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -187.5
The average score in these games was: Team 5.4, Opponent 2.6 (Average run differential = +2.8)

The situation's record this season is: (2-1, -0.5 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (25-5, +15.5 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (123-49, +32.8 units).

•Play Against - Road teams against a run line. (+1.5, -130) to (-1.5, +160) (KANSAS CITY) - poor American League hitting team (AVG <=.260) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a hot starting pitcher- ERA less than 2.50 over his last 5 starts.
(41-15 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.2%, +35.8 units. Rating = 5*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (38-18 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.2, money line price: +124
The average score in these games was: Team 5.1, Opponent 3.7 (Average run differential = +1.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 26 (46.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0, +2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (29-10, +26.1 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (49-29, +28.4 units).

•Play Under - All teams where the total is 7 to 8.5 (WASHINGTON) - with a starting pitcher whose ERA is 3.70 to 4.20 on the season (National League) against opponent with a starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.300 or better on the season-AL.
(35-9 over the last 5 seasons.) (79.5%, +25.2 units. Rating = 4*)

The average total posted in these games was: 7.6, Money Line=-108.3
The average score in these games was: Team 2.9, Opponent 2.8 (Total runs scored = 5.7)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 28 (66.7% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-4, +14.6 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (72-40, +27.4 units).
___________________________________________

 

[jdsabre]

Chase Diamond

15* Chicago White Sox -115

 

[jdsabre]

Bob Balfe

Red Sox -130

 

[jdsabre]

Paul Leiner

100* Spurs -1.5

100* Reds -120

50* Cardinals -125

 

[jdsabre]

StatFox Super Situations


SAN ANTONIO at PORTLAND
Play Under - Any team after 2 or more consecutive overs against opponent after 4 or more consecutive overs 124-68 over the last 5 seasons. ( 64.6% | 49.2 units ) 28-24 this year. ( 53.8% | 1.6 units )


SAN ANTONIO at PORTLAND
Play Against - Any team vs the money line (PORTLAND) terrible defensive team - allowing 103+ points/game on the season, on Saturday games 169-84 over the last 5 seasons. ( 66.8% | 61.5 units ) 36-22 this year. ( 62.1% | 5.3 units )


SAN ANTONIO at PORTLAND
Play Over - All teams where the first half total is 100.5 to 105 well rested team - playing 4 or less games in 10 days, on Saturday games 78-38 over the last 5 seasons. ( 67.2% | 36.2 units ) 8-14 this year. ( 36.4% | -7.4 units )

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Buffett Gambler

boston -121

 

[pascal5757]

FantasySportsGametime

SATURDAY
NBA BASKETBALL

1000* Play San Antonio -1.5 over Portland (NBA TOP PLAY)
10:30 PM EST

San Antonio has won 31 of the last 39 games when playing on a Saturday and they have won 26 of the last 34 games when playing as a road favorite.San Antonio has won 32 of the last 45 games after scoring 105 points or more in their last game and they have won 36 of the last 47 games coming off two or more wins.

50* Play Brooklyn +1.5 over Milwaukee (NBA BONUS PLAY)

=========================================


NHL HOCKEY


50* Play Montreal +190 over Boston (NHL BONUS PLAY)
50* Play Anaheim +155 over Los Angeles (NHL BONUS PLAY)