THE SPORTS ADVISORS
NCAA TOURNAMENT
FINAL FOUR
(at San Antonio)
(1) Memphis (37-1, 17-19-2 ATS) at (1) UCLA (35-3, 21-14-2 ATS)
Back in the Final Four for the third straight year but still looking for that elusive national championship, UCLA takes on Memphis, which is back on college basketball?s marquee stage for the first time in 23 years.
UCLA, which had to battle Texas A&M to the finish in the second round, then hold off a game Western Kentucky squad in the Sweet 16, pounded Xavier 76-57 last Saturday as a six-point chalk to win the West Regional. The Bruins snapped a two-game ATS skid and have now won 14 straight contests, though they?ve gone just 7-7 ATS in that span, including 3-5 ATS in their last eight starts. Memphis hammered Michigan State 92-74 laying 5? points in the Sweet 16, then capped a dominant weekend by drubbing Texas 85-67 Sunday as a 3?-point favorite to win the South Regional. The Tigers, who had fallen in the Elite Eight the past two seasons, have won 11 in a row since suffering their only loss of the season to Tennessee on Feb. 23. However, despite cashing in both games last weekend, they are still just 4-7 ATS during the winning streak. This is a rematch of an Elite Eight clash in the 2006 Tournament, a game UCLA won 50-45 giving 2? points. Earlier that season, Memphis bested UCLA 88-80 as a 6?-point home chalk in November 2005. UCLA is 1-2 SU and ATS in its last two Final Four contests, with the winner cashing in each contest. In 2006, the Bruins beat LSU in the semifinals before dropping the title game to Florida, while last year, they lost to the Gators 76-66 as a three-point ?dog in the semifinals. UCLA last won the national championship in 1995. Meanwhile, Memphis hasn?t reached the Final Four since 1985. The Bruins are on negative ATS stretches of 2-4 overall ? all against winning teams at neutral sites ? 1-4 on Saturday and 0-5 after a pointspread victory, as they haven?t cashed in consecutive games since Feb. 17 and 21 ? a stretch of 12 contests. However, they are 22-7-1 in their last 30 starts as an underdog, including 8-2 ATS in their last 10 as a pup of less than seven points. In its only previous game as an underdog this season, UCLA toppled Stanford 76-67 as a one-point pup. The Tigers have cashed in just six of their last 18 contests overall, and they?re mired in additional ATS slumps of 1-6 following a spread-cover, 2-4 in non-conference play and 2-5 ATS against the Pac-10. On the positive side, though, Memphis has covered two straight games for the first time since January and is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a Tournament chalk of up to 6? points. All four No. 1 seeds reached the Final Four for the first time. Favorites went 3-1 ATS last weekend in the round of eight and are now 37-22-1 ATS for the Tournament.
The Bruins have been solid defensively through much of the Tournament, allowing just 53.3 points per game on 32.8 percent shooting, while averaging 71.3 ppg on 48.8 percent shooting on offense. In addition, they are plus-46 on the glass, outrebounding their four opponents by a 160-114 total.
Memphis is racking up 85.3 ppg in the Tournament, surpassing 77 points in all four games on 49.6 percent shooting, while allowing 69.5 ppg on 42.8 percent shooting. The Tigers have outrebounded their opponents in all four games, winning the board battle by a total of 145-114. The over for UCLA is on a 2-0 uptick and is also 7-2 in its last nine Saturday meetings and 4-1 in its last five as an underdog. On the other hand, the under is on runs of 16-6 for UCLA in the Tournament, 6-2 for UCLA as a Tournament ?dog and 4-2 for UCLA outside the Pac-10. For Memphis, the over is on a 5-0 tear in Tournament play (4-0 this year) and is 5-1 in non-conference action, but the under is 4-0 in its last four against the Pac-10.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MEMPHIS
(1) Kansas (35-3, 21-15 ATS) vs. (1) North Carolina (36-2, 24-11 ATS)
North Carolina continues its quest for a second national championship under coach Roy Williams when it takes on a Kansas program that Williams helped build into a national power before moving to Tobacco Road. North Carolina played its closest game of the Tournament by far in the Elite Eight on Saturday, yet still pulled away late for another double-digit win, beating Louisville 83-73 as a 5?-point chalk to win the East Regional. The Tar Heels are on a 15-game winning streak (8-7 ATS), and they?re a perfect 4-0 ATS in the Tournament, winning by margins of 29, 31, 21 and 10 points.
Unlike Carolina, Kansas, had to battle for its life to get past upstart Davidson in the Midwest Regional final, watching a last-second 3-pointer fall harmlessly away in a 59-57 win, falling way short as a 9?-point favorite. The non-cover snapped a 4-0 ATS run by the Jayhawks, who have won 11 in a row, going 7-4 ATS in that span. These two college superpowers haven?t met since the 2002-03 season ? Williams? last year with Kansas before taking the job at North Carolina. In that November 2002 clash, the Tar Heels rolled into Lawrence as a 13-point pup and came away with a 67-56 upset victory.
This is the Tar Heels? second trip to the Final Four in four years. In 2005, Williams? troops beat Michigan State in the semifinals, then edged Illinois in the championship game, cashing in both contests. The Jayhawks are in the Final Four for the first time since 2003, when they lost to Syracuse in the title game, after which Williams departed for Chapel Hill. Kansas hasn?t won it all in 20 years. Kansas coach Bill Self is in his first Final Four, after reaching the Elite Eight five times with three different schools. The pointspread trends are almost all positive for the Tar Heels, including 24-10 overall, 6-1 in NCAA Tournament play, 20-8 on Saturday, 22-7 against winning teams, 40-14-1 after a spread-cover, 39-19 after a SU win and 42-17-1 in non-conference play. Carolina is also 5-1 ATS in its last six against the Big 12. But the Tar Heels are a middling 4-5 ATS in their last nine as a chalk and 2-7 ATS in their last nine as a favorite of less than seven points. The Jayhawks are on a 4-1 ATS surge at neutral venues and are on further positive pointspread runs of 5-1 catching less than seven points, 6-1 as a ?dog of any price, 6-2 outside the Big 12, and 7-3 against winning teams. On the downside, though, Kansas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against ACC opponents and 2-5 ATS in its last seven after a pointspread setback. Tonight marks the first time all season that the Jayhawks have been an underdog. North Carolina has averaged an eye-popping 93 ppg in the Tournament on stellar 56.7 percent shooting from the field, while allowing 67.8 ppg on 43.6 percent shooting. In addition, the Tar Heels have killed opponents on the boards, going plus-55 in their four Tournament tilts (149-94). Kansas has been solid defensively in the Tournament, allowing just 57.8 ppg on 35.2 percent shooting, while scoring 72.8 on 52.4 percent shooting. On the glass, the Jayhawks are plus-33 in their four tourney contests (130-97), and they?ve finished at least plus-6 in rebounds in five straight games. For Carolina, the over is on streaks of 8-3-1 overall, 6-2 in the Tournament, 8-3 in non-conference play, 8-2-1 as a favorite, 4-1 after a SU win and 4-1 against the Big 12. On the flip side, Kansas sports under streaks of 6-0 in the Tournament (4-0 this year), 8-2 at neutral sites, 6-2 overall and 21-8 in non-conference play, although the over is still 35-16-1 in the Jayhawks? last 52 non-conference clashes.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NORTH CAROLINA
NCAA TOURNAMENT
FINAL FOUR
(at San Antonio)
(1) Memphis (37-1, 17-19-2 ATS) at (1) UCLA (35-3, 21-14-2 ATS)
Back in the Final Four for the third straight year but still looking for that elusive national championship, UCLA takes on Memphis, which is back on college basketball?s marquee stage for the first time in 23 years.
UCLA, which had to battle Texas A&M to the finish in the second round, then hold off a game Western Kentucky squad in the Sweet 16, pounded Xavier 76-57 last Saturday as a six-point chalk to win the West Regional. The Bruins snapped a two-game ATS skid and have now won 14 straight contests, though they?ve gone just 7-7 ATS in that span, including 3-5 ATS in their last eight starts. Memphis hammered Michigan State 92-74 laying 5? points in the Sweet 16, then capped a dominant weekend by drubbing Texas 85-67 Sunday as a 3?-point favorite to win the South Regional. The Tigers, who had fallen in the Elite Eight the past two seasons, have won 11 in a row since suffering their only loss of the season to Tennessee on Feb. 23. However, despite cashing in both games last weekend, they are still just 4-7 ATS during the winning streak. This is a rematch of an Elite Eight clash in the 2006 Tournament, a game UCLA won 50-45 giving 2? points. Earlier that season, Memphis bested UCLA 88-80 as a 6?-point home chalk in November 2005. UCLA is 1-2 SU and ATS in its last two Final Four contests, with the winner cashing in each contest. In 2006, the Bruins beat LSU in the semifinals before dropping the title game to Florida, while last year, they lost to the Gators 76-66 as a three-point ?dog in the semifinals. UCLA last won the national championship in 1995. Meanwhile, Memphis hasn?t reached the Final Four since 1985. The Bruins are on negative ATS stretches of 2-4 overall ? all against winning teams at neutral sites ? 1-4 on Saturday and 0-5 after a pointspread victory, as they haven?t cashed in consecutive games since Feb. 17 and 21 ? a stretch of 12 contests. However, they are 22-7-1 in their last 30 starts as an underdog, including 8-2 ATS in their last 10 as a pup of less than seven points. In its only previous game as an underdog this season, UCLA toppled Stanford 76-67 as a one-point pup. The Tigers have cashed in just six of their last 18 contests overall, and they?re mired in additional ATS slumps of 1-6 following a spread-cover, 2-4 in non-conference play and 2-5 ATS against the Pac-10. On the positive side, though, Memphis has covered two straight games for the first time since January and is 5-1 ATS in its last six as a Tournament chalk of up to 6? points. All four No. 1 seeds reached the Final Four for the first time. Favorites went 3-1 ATS last weekend in the round of eight and are now 37-22-1 ATS for the Tournament.
The Bruins have been solid defensively through much of the Tournament, allowing just 53.3 points per game on 32.8 percent shooting, while averaging 71.3 ppg on 48.8 percent shooting on offense. In addition, they are plus-46 on the glass, outrebounding their four opponents by a 160-114 total.
Memphis is racking up 85.3 ppg in the Tournament, surpassing 77 points in all four games on 49.6 percent shooting, while allowing 69.5 ppg on 42.8 percent shooting. The Tigers have outrebounded their opponents in all four games, winning the board battle by a total of 145-114. The over for UCLA is on a 2-0 uptick and is also 7-2 in its last nine Saturday meetings and 4-1 in its last five as an underdog. On the other hand, the under is on runs of 16-6 for UCLA in the Tournament, 6-2 for UCLA as a Tournament ?dog and 4-2 for UCLA outside the Pac-10. For Memphis, the over is on a 5-0 tear in Tournament play (4-0 this year) and is 5-1 in non-conference action, but the under is 4-0 in its last four against the Pac-10.
ATS ADVANTAGE: MEMPHIS
(1) Kansas (35-3, 21-15 ATS) vs. (1) North Carolina (36-2, 24-11 ATS)
North Carolina continues its quest for a second national championship under coach Roy Williams when it takes on a Kansas program that Williams helped build into a national power before moving to Tobacco Road. North Carolina played its closest game of the Tournament by far in the Elite Eight on Saturday, yet still pulled away late for another double-digit win, beating Louisville 83-73 as a 5?-point chalk to win the East Regional. The Tar Heels are on a 15-game winning streak (8-7 ATS), and they?re a perfect 4-0 ATS in the Tournament, winning by margins of 29, 31, 21 and 10 points.
Unlike Carolina, Kansas, had to battle for its life to get past upstart Davidson in the Midwest Regional final, watching a last-second 3-pointer fall harmlessly away in a 59-57 win, falling way short as a 9?-point favorite. The non-cover snapped a 4-0 ATS run by the Jayhawks, who have won 11 in a row, going 7-4 ATS in that span. These two college superpowers haven?t met since the 2002-03 season ? Williams? last year with Kansas before taking the job at North Carolina. In that November 2002 clash, the Tar Heels rolled into Lawrence as a 13-point pup and came away with a 67-56 upset victory.
This is the Tar Heels? second trip to the Final Four in four years. In 2005, Williams? troops beat Michigan State in the semifinals, then edged Illinois in the championship game, cashing in both contests. The Jayhawks are in the Final Four for the first time since 2003, when they lost to Syracuse in the title game, after which Williams departed for Chapel Hill. Kansas hasn?t won it all in 20 years. Kansas coach Bill Self is in his first Final Four, after reaching the Elite Eight five times with three different schools. The pointspread trends are almost all positive for the Tar Heels, including 24-10 overall, 6-1 in NCAA Tournament play, 20-8 on Saturday, 22-7 against winning teams, 40-14-1 after a spread-cover, 39-19 after a SU win and 42-17-1 in non-conference play. Carolina is also 5-1 ATS in its last six against the Big 12. But the Tar Heels are a middling 4-5 ATS in their last nine as a chalk and 2-7 ATS in their last nine as a favorite of less than seven points. The Jayhawks are on a 4-1 ATS surge at neutral venues and are on further positive pointspread runs of 5-1 catching less than seven points, 6-1 as a ?dog of any price, 6-2 outside the Big 12, and 7-3 against winning teams. On the downside, though, Kansas is 3-7 ATS in its last 10 games against ACC opponents and 2-5 ATS in its last seven after a pointspread setback. Tonight marks the first time all season that the Jayhawks have been an underdog. North Carolina has averaged an eye-popping 93 ppg in the Tournament on stellar 56.7 percent shooting from the field, while allowing 67.8 ppg on 43.6 percent shooting. In addition, the Tar Heels have killed opponents on the boards, going plus-55 in their four Tournament tilts (149-94). Kansas has been solid defensively in the Tournament, allowing just 57.8 ppg on 35.2 percent shooting, while scoring 72.8 on 52.4 percent shooting. On the glass, the Jayhawks are plus-33 in their four tourney contests (130-97), and they?ve finished at least plus-6 in rebounds in five straight games. For Carolina, the over is on streaks of 8-3-1 overall, 6-2 in the Tournament, 8-3 in non-conference play, 8-2-1 as a favorite, 4-1 after a SU win and 4-1 against the Big 12. On the flip side, Kansas sports under streaks of 6-0 in the Tournament (4-0 this year), 8-2 at neutral sites, 6-2 overall and 21-8 in non-conference play, although the over is still 35-16-1 in the Jayhawks? last 52 non-conference clashes.
ATS ADVANTAGE: NORTH CAROLINA
THE SPORTS ADVISORS
MLB
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Arizona (2-2) at Colorado (1-3)
Jeff Francis (17-9, 3.54 ERA in 2007) makes his 2008 debut when he leads the struggling Rockies against Brandon Webb (1-0, 3.00) and the Diamondbacks in the middle game of a weekend series at Coors Field.
Arizona, which got swept by Colorado in last year?s National League Championship Series, earned a little bit of payback with yesterday?s 8-1 victory to even its season record. Meanwhile, the Rockies have now dropped three straight since winning their season-opener, and they?ve been outscored 19-4 during the slide. On the bright side, Colorado is still 40-17 in its last 47 home games. The DBacks snapped a six-game losing streak to the Rockies with yesterday?s win, but they?re still just 3-10 in the last 13 series meetings, including 2-4 in Coors Field. Francis started against St. Louis in Monday?s season-opener and quickly fell behind 5-1, but the game was rained out after a few innings and all stats did not count. The last game the southpaw pitched in that counted was Game 1 of the World Series at Boston, and he got rocked for six runs on 10 hits in four innings, losing 13-1.
Last year, Francis was 8-5 with a 4.20 ERA in 18 starts at Coors Field. He also faced the DBacks four times, including one playoff start, and went 2-1 with a 2.29 ERA. Francis is 7-2 with a 3.54 ERA in 14 career starts against Arizona, and that ERA has dipped to 2.20 in his last six outings versus the Snakes. Webb was sharp in Monday?s debut at Cincinnati, yielding just two runs on three hits in six innings with four walks and six strikeouts in a 4-2 victory. Arizona is 6-1 in Webb?s last seven starts on the road and 4-1 in his last five overall, with the one loss coming against Francis in Game 1 of the NLCS, as the righthander gave up four runs on seven hits in six innings in a 5-1 defeat. Throw in six regular-season starts against the Rockies, and Webb was 1-3 with a 5.80 ERA against Colorado last year (1-1 with a 5.50 ERA at Coors Field). For his career, Webb is 8-7 with a 3.89 ERA in 21 outings against the Rockies, including 4-5 with a 4.24 ERA in 13 outings at Coors.
The under is 5-0 in Webb?s last five outings dating to last year and 3-0 in his last three starts against the Rockies. Meanwhile, the under is 4-2 in Francis? last six overall and 6-0 in his last six versus Arizona. The under is 11-4 in Arizona?s last 15 overall, 3-1 for the Rockies this season and 7-2 in the last nine series meetings at Coors.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Texas (2-2) at L.A. Angels (3-2)
Two pitchers coming off tough losses clash at Angels Stadium in southern California, as Rangers veteran Kevin Millwood (0-1, 0.00) opposes Jered Weaver (0-1, 4.26). Texas took last night?s series opener 11-6 to even its season record and end the Angels? modest two-game winning streak. L.A. won 10 of the first 14 meetings with the Rangers last year, but Texas has now won six in a row in this series. The home team is 8-5 in the last 13 battles. Despite last night?s loss, going back to 2005, the Angels are still on a 74-37 tear at home. Weaver lasted 6 1/3 innings in Monday?s season-opener at Minnesota, giving up three runs on eight hits and getting tagged with the 3-2 loss. Dating to last year, the Angels are 0-3 in his last three outings after going 5-1 in his previous six. The young righthander went 7-3 with a 4.13 ERA in 14 home starts last year. Also, he dominated the Rangers in three outings, giving up just four earned runs in 19 innings (1.89 ERA). Despite that, Texas won two of the three contests. For his career, Weaver is 1-1 with a 2.79 ERA in six career starts against the Rangers, with the Angels splitting those six games. Millwood surrendered just two unearned runs on four hits and three walks while striking out four over six innings in Monday?s opener at Seattle. However, he was saddled with a 5-2 loss, as Texas dropped to 1-4 in Millwood?s last five efforts since mid-September and 5-16 in his last 21 road games. Speaking of the road, Millwood was a disaster on the highway last season, going 2-10 with a 5.52 ERA in 16 starts.
In seven career starts against Los Angeles, Millwood is 2-2 with a 3.59 ERA, including 1-2 with a 4.15 ERA in four outings last season The under is 7-3 in Millwood?s last 10 starts, including 4-0 in the last four, and three of his four outings against the Angels last year stayed low. Meanwhile, the under is 5-2 in Weaver?s last seven starts and 3-1-1 in his last five against Texas.
The over is 7-1-1 in the last eight series meetings, including 5-0-1 in Angels Stadium. Conversely, the under is 6-2-1 in the Rangers? last nine on the road and 6-3-2 in L.A.?s last 11 overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS and UNDER
<!-- / message -->
MLB
NATIONAL LEAGUE
Arizona (2-2) at Colorado (1-3)
Jeff Francis (17-9, 3.54 ERA in 2007) makes his 2008 debut when he leads the struggling Rockies against Brandon Webb (1-0, 3.00) and the Diamondbacks in the middle game of a weekend series at Coors Field.
Arizona, which got swept by Colorado in last year?s National League Championship Series, earned a little bit of payback with yesterday?s 8-1 victory to even its season record. Meanwhile, the Rockies have now dropped three straight since winning their season-opener, and they?ve been outscored 19-4 during the slide. On the bright side, Colorado is still 40-17 in its last 47 home games. The DBacks snapped a six-game losing streak to the Rockies with yesterday?s win, but they?re still just 3-10 in the last 13 series meetings, including 2-4 in Coors Field. Francis started against St. Louis in Monday?s season-opener and quickly fell behind 5-1, but the game was rained out after a few innings and all stats did not count. The last game the southpaw pitched in that counted was Game 1 of the World Series at Boston, and he got rocked for six runs on 10 hits in four innings, losing 13-1.
Last year, Francis was 8-5 with a 4.20 ERA in 18 starts at Coors Field. He also faced the DBacks four times, including one playoff start, and went 2-1 with a 2.29 ERA. Francis is 7-2 with a 3.54 ERA in 14 career starts against Arizona, and that ERA has dipped to 2.20 in his last six outings versus the Snakes. Webb was sharp in Monday?s debut at Cincinnati, yielding just two runs on three hits in six innings with four walks and six strikeouts in a 4-2 victory. Arizona is 6-1 in Webb?s last seven starts on the road and 4-1 in his last five overall, with the one loss coming against Francis in Game 1 of the NLCS, as the righthander gave up four runs on seven hits in six innings in a 5-1 defeat. Throw in six regular-season starts against the Rockies, and Webb was 1-3 with a 5.80 ERA against Colorado last year (1-1 with a 5.50 ERA at Coors Field). For his career, Webb is 8-7 with a 3.89 ERA in 21 outings against the Rockies, including 4-5 with a 4.24 ERA in 13 outings at Coors.
The under is 5-0 in Webb?s last five outings dating to last year and 3-0 in his last three starts against the Rockies. Meanwhile, the under is 4-2 in Francis? last six overall and 6-0 in his last six versus Arizona. The under is 11-4 in Arizona?s last 15 overall, 3-1 for the Rockies this season and 7-2 in the last nine series meetings at Coors.
ATS ADVANTAGE: UNDER
AMERICAN LEAGUE
Texas (2-2) at L.A. Angels (3-2)
Two pitchers coming off tough losses clash at Angels Stadium in southern California, as Rangers veteran Kevin Millwood (0-1, 0.00) opposes Jered Weaver (0-1, 4.26). Texas took last night?s series opener 11-6 to even its season record and end the Angels? modest two-game winning streak. L.A. won 10 of the first 14 meetings with the Rangers last year, but Texas has now won six in a row in this series. The home team is 8-5 in the last 13 battles. Despite last night?s loss, going back to 2005, the Angels are still on a 74-37 tear at home. Weaver lasted 6 1/3 innings in Monday?s season-opener at Minnesota, giving up three runs on eight hits and getting tagged with the 3-2 loss. Dating to last year, the Angels are 0-3 in his last three outings after going 5-1 in his previous six. The young righthander went 7-3 with a 4.13 ERA in 14 home starts last year. Also, he dominated the Rangers in three outings, giving up just four earned runs in 19 innings (1.89 ERA). Despite that, Texas won two of the three contests. For his career, Weaver is 1-1 with a 2.79 ERA in six career starts against the Rangers, with the Angels splitting those six games. Millwood surrendered just two unearned runs on four hits and three walks while striking out four over six innings in Monday?s opener at Seattle. However, he was saddled with a 5-2 loss, as Texas dropped to 1-4 in Millwood?s last five efforts since mid-September and 5-16 in his last 21 road games. Speaking of the road, Millwood was a disaster on the highway last season, going 2-10 with a 5.52 ERA in 16 starts.
In seven career starts against Los Angeles, Millwood is 2-2 with a 3.59 ERA, including 1-2 with a 4.15 ERA in four outings last season The under is 7-3 in Millwood?s last 10 starts, including 4-0 in the last four, and three of his four outings against the Angels last year stayed low. Meanwhile, the under is 5-2 in Weaver?s last seven starts and 3-1-1 in his last five against Texas.
The over is 7-1-1 in the last eight series meetings, including 5-0-1 in Angels Stadium. Conversely, the under is 6-2-1 in the Rangers? last nine on the road and 6-3-2 in L.A.?s last 11 overall.
ATS ADVANTAGE: L.A. ANGELS and UNDER
<!-- / message -->
Jimmy The Moose comp
Game: Toronto Maple Leafs at Montreal Canadiens Apr 5 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: over
Reason: The over is 5-0-1 in Toronto's last 6 games. Over their last 5 games the Maple Leafs have allowed an average of 4.60 GPG. The over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The over is 5-2-1 in Montreal's last 8 games vs. a team with a losing record. In their last 21 divisional games the over is 13-6-2. The over is a profitable 17-6-4 in the last 27 meetings between the clubs. Play the over.
Game: Toronto Maple Leafs at Montreal Canadiens Apr 5 2008 7:05PM
Prediction: over
Reason: The over is 5-0-1 in Toronto's last 6 games. Over their last 5 games the Maple Leafs have allowed an average of 4.60 GPG. The over is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games vs. Eastern Conference opponents. The over is 5-2-1 in Montreal's last 8 games vs. a team with a losing record. In their last 21 divisional games the over is 13-6-2. The over is a profitable 17-6-4 in the last 27 meetings between the clubs. Play the over.
<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">BRIAN GABRIELLE
At this week?s Shell Houston Open, take Padraig Harrington (12-1), 1/6 unit: One of the commentators on the Golf Channel (I think it was Kelly Tilghman)noted recently that Harrington doesn?t have as wide a putting stance as usual. I noticed it, too. It doesn?tlook like he?s taking a dump when he putts anymore.Whatever the change, he?s No. 1 in putts per round and second in putts per hole. Take Aaron Baddeley (33-1), 1/6 unit: Let?s not forge tabout Bads. I think he deserves more credit for his success in recent years than he gives to Jesus Christ.Reminds me of what Will Clark once said in an SI article about born again Christians, referring to a home run he once hit off a born again: ?God didn?t hang that slider.? Anyway, Bads is the real deal after all, with or without divine support. He last played a couple weeks ago at the WGC ? CA Championship, where he finished T15. And speaking of putting, the best part of Bads?s game, he?s T19 in putts per round and 4th in putts per hole. Take Phil Mickelson (8-1), 1/6 unit: I reckon you have to take him to cover. It?s been a while since I?ve taken Lefty. Having won the week before The Masters and then going on to win The Masters in 2006 means something to Mickelson, psychologically. It?s generally dangerous territory trying to get into his head but you know that at the very least the tourney will have his undivided attention this week. Sometimes that?s not apparent with other players looking at this as a tune-up for Augusta.
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"><TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=smalltext width="100%" colSpan=2></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
At this week?s Shell Houston Open, take Padraig Harrington (12-1), 1/6 unit: One of the commentators on the Golf Channel (I think it was Kelly Tilghman)noted recently that Harrington doesn?t have as wide a putting stance as usual. I noticed it, too. It doesn?tlook like he?s taking a dump when he putts anymore.Whatever the change, he?s No. 1 in putts per round and second in putts per hole. Take Aaron Baddeley (33-1), 1/6 unit: Let?s not forge tabout Bads. I think he deserves more credit for his success in recent years than he gives to Jesus Christ.Reminds me of what Will Clark once said in an SI article about born again Christians, referring to a home run he once hit off a born again: ?God didn?t hang that slider.? Anyway, Bads is the real deal after all, with or without divine support. He last played a couple weeks ago at the WGC ? CA Championship, where he finished T15. And speaking of putting, the best part of Bads?s game, he?s T19 in putts per round and 4th in putts per hole. Take Phil Mickelson (8-1), 1/6 unit: I reckon you have to take him to cover. It?s been a while since I?ve taken Lefty. Having won the week before The Masters and then going on to win The Masters in 2006 means something to Mickelson, psychologically. It?s generally dangerous territory trying to get into his head but you know that at the very least the tourney will have his undivided attention this week. Sometimes that?s not apparent with other players looking at this as a tune-up for Augusta.
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"><TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=smalltext width="100%" colSpan=2></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
hey guys posted this yesterday but budin has a 100-dime play for one of the final four games today for $79 I've got 3 guys in on it so far including myself and am looking for more so we can split it up even further. shoot me an email if interested at drobisky@comcast.net Will wait til about 3 central to purchase it...... Thanks
BCL,
Sleep? I'll get plenty of that down the road when I'm dirt.
bio-rythym play? No idea, :think2: if anyone knows please post. thx.
GL today!
A bio-rythym play is based on the system that deals with the three biological cycles of humans; the body's physical, emotional and intellectual energy based on date of date of birth. Used to determine the patterns of a person's critical days and periods of high and low energy.
Good luck today everyone!!!
bio-rythym play
A bio-rythym play is based on the system that deals with the three biological cycles of humans...quote]
Thanks Kewell for the explaination. Also thanks again to CPAW for never sleeping and keep fresh service picks posted!! Let's win huge today!!
How about those Charlotte Bobcats!!
Outright win +450 last night!!!
WOW THAT WAS INCREDIBLE WAS THAT YOUR CALL I DID NOT PLAY THE MONEY LINE BUT TOOK THE POINTS EASY COVER........GREAT JOB KEEP EM COMINGA bio-rythym play is based on the system that deals with the three biological cycles of humans...quote]
Thanks Kewell for the explaination. Also thanks again to CPAW for never sleeping and keep fresh service picks posted!! Let's win huge today!!
How about those Charlotte Bobcats!!
Outright win +450 last night!!!
Steven Budin-CEO
SATURDAY'S PICK
100 DIME PLAY
NORTH CAROLINA
Guys, since we're up some 700 dimes in football and basketball this year, I want you to spend a little extra coin and buy down the 1/2 point in the following scenarios: This line is floating between 3 and 3 1/2 points. So if you've got North Carolina -3 I want you to buy it down to -2 1/2 so you still win if the Tar Heels prevail by three points. And if you get North Carolina at -3 1/2, buy down to -3 so you get a push with a three-point victory.
I got the call for this play early Friday afternoon and released it immediately. Checking Vegas and offshore, I saw mostly -3 and -3 1/2 with only one or two notorious "superbooks" at -4 and those places always run a half-point higher with favorites. (This shows again why you should always have more than one place to play so you can shop for the best price). Nevertheless, even at -4, North Carolina is still the play.
Naturally, if you have UNC at -3 or -3 1/2, we are putting our profit to work for us by buying a little insurance and maximizing the odds in our favor. We are in essence using the power of money - our profit of 700+ dimes - against the bookmaker.
Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.
<!-- / message -->
SATURDAY'S PICK
100 DIME PLAY
NORTH CAROLINA
Guys, since we're up some 700 dimes in football and basketball this year, I want you to spend a little extra coin and buy down the 1/2 point in the following scenarios: This line is floating between 3 and 3 1/2 points. So if you've got North Carolina -3 I want you to buy it down to -2 1/2 so you still win if the Tar Heels prevail by three points. And if you get North Carolina at -3 1/2, buy down to -3 so you get a push with a three-point victory.
I got the call for this play early Friday afternoon and released it immediately. Checking Vegas and offshore, I saw mostly -3 and -3 1/2 with only one or two notorious "superbooks" at -4 and those places always run a half-point higher with favorites. (This shows again why you should always have more than one place to play so you can shop for the best price). Nevertheless, even at -4, North Carolina is still the play.
Naturally, if you have UNC at -3 or -3 1/2, we are putting our profit to work for us by buying a little insurance and maximizing the odds in our favor. We are in essence using the power of money - our profit of 700+ dimes - against the bookmaker.
Why not buy a little extra insurance at a few cents on the dollar to protect your investment? As CEO of a multi-million dollar company I can tell you it's the right move, just like I knew it was the right move when as a bookmaker I saw smart players doing the same thing when the opportunity presented itself.
<!-- / message -->
