Service Plays Saturday 4/26/14

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[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben Burns
NHL Personal Favorite!
pittsburgh ML -185

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Saturday's MLB betting cheat sheet

Here's a comprehensive look at betting notes for Saturday's MLB betting action:

Texas-sized problems

Mariners right-hander Felix Hernandez is widely considered one of the top pitchers in the American League, but the Texas Rangers may disagree. Hernandez is just 12-20 with a 4.10 ERA in 40 starts versus the Rangers, who are a +166 underdog against Hernandez and the host Mariners.

DC tough on Cashner

Andrew Cashner hasn't had problems exerting his dominance this season, but past history suggests he may be in for a rough ride this weekend. Cashner and the San Diego Padres are a +108 dog at Nationals Park, where the 27 year old has a 9.53 ERA in four career appearances.

Cruz control

The Kansas City Royals know they'll need to shut down Baltimore slugger Nelson Cruz if they hope to beat the Orioles. Kansas City (+126) will rely Saturday on veteran right-hander Jeremy Guthrie, who has limited Cruz to four hits in 19 career at-bats against him.

Pitching notes

* Members of the Los Angeles Dodgers roster are hitting .322 in 90 at-bats against Colorado Rockies right-hander Juan Nicasio.

* Philadelphia Phillies lefty Cliff Lee has 31 strikeouts against only one walk in his last three starts.

Hitting notes

* Pittsburgh Pirates third baseman Pedro Alvarez batted just .184 with 23 strikeouts in 76 at-bats against the St. Louis Cardinals last season.

* Miami Marlins outfielder Giancarlo Stanton entered Friday in a 2-for-18 slump with nine strikeouts over his past five games.

Total streaks

San Diego Padres (0-8-2 O/U): The combination of solid pitching, a non-existent offense and a cavernous, unforgiving ballpark has the Padres riding high - or in this case, low - as the league's top Under team.

Injury Watch

* San Diego Padres third baseman Chase Headley (strained hamstring) is expected to miss the next 2-to-3 weeks.

* Oakland Athletics outfielder Yoenis Cespedes (hamstring) is expected to be out until at least Sunday.

* Texas Rangers third baseman Kevin Kouzmanoff (stiff back) is considered day-to-day.

Weather watch

* Fans attending the San Diego-Washington game at Nationals Park should expect a 30 percent chance of showers.

* Rain is also a possibility at Citi Field, where a 40 percent chance of showers is forecast with temperatures in the low-to-mid-60s.

Hot and cold betting trends

* Angels at Yankees: Over is 4-1 in New York's last five games against a left-handed starter.

* Rockies at Dodgers: Under is 5-1 in Nicasio's previous six starts against Los Angeles.

* Red Sox at Blue Jays: Over is 11-0 in Toronto right-hander Brandon Morrow's last 11 starts.

Stat of the Day

Boston right-hander Clay Buchholz is 7-2 with a 1.49 ERA in 10 starts at the Rogers Centre. The Red Sox have won his last eight starts there.

** Odds, stats, weather forecast and probable pitchers as of 3:40 p.m. ET Friday.

 

[AirTroop]

2Halves2Win NBA - 1-2 yesterday for -0.1u; up 13-10 ytd in postseason for +5.1u:

1* GAME: Hawks +2(-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)
1* GAME: Mavericks +3.5(-110: Risking 1.10 units to win 1.00 units) - TBD (TBDu)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB

Hot pitchers
-- Cashner is 2-1, 2.42 in his last three starts. Roark is 0-0, 2.07 in his last two starts.
-- Wood is 1-2, 1.93 in four starts this season. Estrada is 1-1, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Mejia is 3-0, 1.99 in four starts this season.
-- Leake is 2-0, 2.91 in his last three starts.
-- Lee is 2-2, 1.20 in his last four starts.

-- Nuno threw five shutout innings in his first '14 start.
-- Morrow is 1-0, 3.07 in his last three starts.
-- Chen is 3-0, 4.41 in his last three starts.
-- Keuchel is 2-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.
-- Danks is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- Hernandez is 3-1, 2.80 in five starts this year.

-- McAllister is 3-0, 1.83 in his last three starts.

Cold pitchers
-- Liriano is 0-3, 5.54 in his last four starts. Lyons allowed two runs in six IP in losing his first '14 start 2-0.
-- Slowey allowed two runs in five IP in his first '14 start.
-- Hale is 0-0, 6.10 in his last two starts.
-- Arroyo is 0-2, 14.54 in his last two starts.
-- Maholm is 0-2, 6.46 in three starts this season. Nicasio has a 6.19 RA in his last three starts.

-- Santiago is 0-3, 4.91 in four starts this season.
-- Buchholz is 0-2, 9.16 in four starts this year.
-- Sanchez is 0-2, 4.79 in four starts this season. Hughes is 1-2, 6.43 in his four starts this month.
-- Guthrie is 0-1, 5.84 in his last two starts.
-- Ramos is 0-1, 6.43 in two stsarts this season.
-- Straily is 1-1, 5.40 in four starts this season.
-- Lewis is 1-1, 4.22 in two starts this season.

-- Lincecum is 1-1, 6.43 in four starts this season.

Pitchers allowing runs in first inning:
-- Cashner 0-5; Roark 1-3
-- Liriano 3-5; Lyons 0-1
-- Wood 0-4; Estrada 0-4
-- Slowey 0-1; Mejia 0-4
-- Leake 0-4; Hale 2-3
-- Lee 0-5; Arroyo 2-4
-- Nicasio 2-4; Maholm 1-3

-- Santiago 1-4; Nuno 0-1
-- Buchholz 2-4; Morrow 1-4
-- Sanchez 3-4; Hughes 1-4
-- Guthrie 1-4; Chen 1-4
-- Straily 3-4; Keuchel 0-4
-- Ramos 0-2; Danks 2-4
-- Lewis 0-2; Hernandez 1-5

-- McAllister 2-4; Lincecum 2-4

Totals
-- Six of lasr seven San Diego road games stayed under.
-- Last six Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Atlanta games stayed under.
-- All thirteen games at Miller Park stayed under.
-- Five of last six Pirate gamaes stayed under.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Arizona home games.
-- Last three Dodger games went over. Three of last four Colorado road games stayed under.

-- 15 of 21 Angel games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Baltimore games went over.
-- Last six Toronto home games went over total.
-- Eight of eleven White Sox home games went over.
-- Last four Oakland road games went over total.
-- 18 of 22 Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Texas road games stayed under.

-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten San Francisco games.

Hot teams
-- Mets won five of their last six games.
-- Braves won six of their last seven home games. Cincinnati won four of its last six games overall.
-- Brewers won six of their last seven games.
-- Arizona won last three games; they're 1-8 in last nine home games. Phillies won four of their last six games.
-- Colorado won six of its last eight games.

-- Bronx won eight of last 12 games. Angels are 8-5 away from home.
-- Red Sox won their last three road games.
-- White Sox are 7-4 at home.
-- Oakland won six of its last seven road games.
-- Royals won seven of their last eleven games.
-- Twins won five of last seven home games. Detroit won five of last seven.
-- Rangers won eight of their last ten games.

-- San Francisco won four of its last five home games. Indians won four of their last six games overall.

Cold teams
-- San Diego is 4-7 on road. Washington is 4-5 in its last nine home games.
-- Marlins lost nine of their last ten road games.
-- Cubs lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last eight games. St Louis lost four of last six, but are 5-2 at home.
-- Dodgers lost four of their last five games.

-- Orioles are 3-5 in their last eight home games.
-- Toronto lost four of its last five games.
-- Rays lost four of their last five games.
-- Astros lost nine of their last ten home games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last ten games.

Umpires
-- SD-Wsh-- All four Eddings games stayed under total.
-- Pitt-StL-- Road underdogs won three of four Schrieber games.
-- Chi-Mil-- Underdogs won three of four Danley games.
-- Mia-NY-- Rookie ump Buckminster has done three games- no trends.
-- Cin-Atl-- Favorites won three of four Carapazza games.
-- Phil-Az-- Home side won all five Tumpane games.
-- Col-LA-- Both Nauert games this season went over total.

-- LA-NY-- Four of five HGibson games went over total.
-- Bos-Tor-- Favorites won all three Kellogg games.
-- Det-Min-- All three Bellino games went over total.
-- KC-Balt-- Favorites won three of last four Wolcott games.
-- A's-Hst-- Underdogs won last three Meals games.
-- TB-Chi-- Favorites won all five Timmons games.
-- Tex-Sea-- Home side won three of four Estabrook games.

-- Cle-SF-- Underdogs won all four Diaz games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Cappers Access

Pacers -2
Grizzlies +3
Cardinals -115

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Gamblers Data

Bonus Plays Saturday

Phillies -129

Indians + 105

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Free Selection from Arthur Ralph Sports

Bonus Play NHL San Jose -155

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Mighty Quinn

Mighty missed with the NHL Rangers on Friday and likes the Spurs on Saturday.

The deficit is 190 sirignanos.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's MLB Picks

Cincinnati at Atlanta

The Reds look to bounce back from yesterday's 5-4 loss in the series opener and come into today's contest with a 5-1 record in Mike Leake's last 6 starts after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game. Cincinnati is the pick (+105) according to Dunkel, which has the Reds favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+105). Here are all of today's picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 26 Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST

Game 901-902: San Diego at Washington (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Diego (Cashner) 16.197; Washington (Roark) 15.117 Dunkel Line: San Diego by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Washington (-115); 7 Dunkel Pick: San Diego (-105); Over

Game 903-904: Pittsburgh at St. Louis (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh (Liriano) 14.486; St. Louis (Lyons) 16.112 Dunkel Line: St. Louis by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: St. Louis (-120); 7 Dunkel Pick: St. Louis (-120); Under

Game 905-906: Chicago Cubs at Milwaukee (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cubs (Wood) 15.092; Milwaukee (Estrada) 14.531 Dunkel Line: Chicago Cubs by 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Milwaukee (-165); 7 Dunkel Pick: Chicago Cubs (+145); Over

Game 907-908: Miami at NY Mets (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami (Slowey) 14.500; NY Mets (Mejia) 16.172 Dunkel Line: NY Mets by 1 1/2; 6 Vegas Line: NY Mets (-140); 7 Dunkel Pick: NY Mets (-140); Under

Game 909-910: Cincinnati at Atlanta (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Leake) 16.291; Atlanta (Hale) 15.336 Dunkel Line: Cincinnati by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Atlanta (-125); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Cincinnati (+105); Over

Game 911-912: Philadelphia at Arizona (8:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Philadelphia (Lee) 13.196; Arizona (Arroyo) 15.700 Dunkel Line: Philadelphia by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Philadelphia (-135); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Philadelphia (-135); Under

Game 913-914: Colorado at LA Dodgers (9:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Colorado (Nicasio) 16.003; LA Dodgers (Maholm) 14.962 Dunkel Line: Colorado by 1; 8 1/2 Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-125); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Colorado (+105); Over

Game 915-916: LA Angels at NY Yankees (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Santiago) 15.230; NY Yankees (Nuno) 16.627 Dunkel Line: NY Yankees by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: NY Yankees (-115); 9 Dunkel Pick: NY Yankees (-115); Under

Game 917-918: Boston at Toronto (1:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Boston (Buchholz) 15.681; Toronto (Morrow) 14.551 Dunkel Line: Boston by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Toronto (-115); 9 Dunkel Pick: Boston (-105); Over

Game 919-920: Detroit at Minnesota (2:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Sanchez) 16.418; Minnesota (Hughes) 14.898 Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1; 8 Vegas Line: Detroit (-160); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-160); Under

Game 921-922: Kansas City at Baltimore (7:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Kansas City (Guthrie) 16.087; Baltimore (Chen) 15.037 Dunkel Line: Kansas City by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Baltimore (-135); 9 Dunkel Pick: Kansas City (+115); Over

Game 923-924: Oakland at Houston (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oakland (Straily) 16.191; Houston (Keuchel) 14.515 Dunkel Line: Oakland by 1 1/2; 8 Vegas Line: Oakland (-165); 9 Dunkel Pick: Oakland (-165); Under

Game 925-926: Tampa Bay at Chicago White Sox (7:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Ramos) 15.292; White Sox (Danks) 14.107 Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 10 Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-115); 8 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (-105); Over

Game 927-928: Texas at Seattle (9:10 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Lewis) 13.560; Seattle (Hernandez) 15.591 Dunkel Line: Seattle by 2; 6 Vegas Line: Seattle (-170); 7 Dunkel Pick: Seattle (-170); Under

Game 929-930: Cleveland at San Francisco (4:05 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland (McAllister) 14.493; San Francisco (Lincecum) 15.972 Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 7 Vegas Line: San Francisco (-115); 7 1/2 Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-115); Under

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS STAT/SHEETS, 4/26/14
NATIONAL BASKETBALL ASSOCIATION
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Saturday, 4/26/14 NBA Information *****
(ALL RESULTS ATS) - Against The Spread - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2013-14 National Basketball Association season we will analyze all of your daily basketball action, featuring all our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
________________________________________________

NBA Playoff Journal (April 25)
Home teams have struggled ATS to open the 2014 playoffs but made a bit of a comeback Thursday night, going 2-1 SU and a PERFECT 3-0 ATS. The Pacers’ road woes continued, losing 98-85 in Atlanta. The Hawks turned a one-point half time lead into a 13-point win by winning the third quarter 28-20 and the 4th, 31-27. The Pacers’ Roy Hibbert continues to ‘implode,’ as he’s now averaging a woeful 6.0 PPG in the series (on 7 of 25 shooting) while also grabbing only 4.7 RPG. Hibbert’s poor play has become a staple for Indiana this last month or so but the Pacers CAN’T win if George shoots 3 of 11 and Hill 1 of 11, as they did last night. Teague had 22 points and 10 assists for Atlanta, Korver 20 points (made 4 of 7 three-pointers) and Millsap added a double-double (14 & 14).

The Grizzlies led the Thunder 81-64 with about 7 1/2 minutes to go but got outscored 21-4 the rest of the way, as Oklahoma City forced overtime. However, Memphis survived 98-95, giving the Grizzlies a 15th straight home win and making them 6-1 in OT games versus the Thunder since the start of the 2010-11 season. PG Conley led the way with 20 points and Randolph added 16 & 10. Off the bench, Allen had 16 and Udrih 12. Durant had 30, as did Westbrook for OKC (Ibaka chipped in 12 & 5) but the rest of the team scored only 23 points. Nine points came from the Thunder’s reserves, who combined to shoot 4 of 18. Again, is Oklahoma City really an NBA title contender?

Blake Griffin was roundly ripped for his Game #1 performance and antics (fouled out while playing just 19 minutes plus had the ‘water cup’ incident) but he’s sure silenced critics since then, scoring a playoff career-high 35 in Game #2 (no fouls in 30 minutes) and then going for 32 last night, as the Clippers escaped with a 98-96 win to gain back the home court edge. Center Jordan had 14 & 22 and is averaging 12.0 PPG, 15.0 RPG and 5.0 BPG in the series (think the Warriors miss Bogut?). The Clippers led by 11 points with 8 1/2 minutes remaining and by eight with 1 1/2 minutes left but needed to survive a three-pointer by Curry in the final seconds. The Warriors made just 6 of 31 three-pointers, as Curry and Thompson combined to make only 5 of 19 (that WON’T cut it for Golden St!).

Thursday’s results leave home teams 9-10 straight-up this postseason and still a poor 7-11-1 ATS. “Zig-Zaggers” are off to a good start (will it hold?), going 7-3-1 ATS or plus 3.7 net games. Over bettors were fortunate to cash one of three ‘tickets’ last night (needed OKC/Mem to go into OT to win) but are sitting pretty after 19 games, with 13 overs opposed to just six unders. The ESPN family of networks will cover Friday’s three games. ESPN2 has Toronto at Brooklyn while ESPN’s doubleheader starts with Chicago at Washington and follows with Houston at Portland.

It’s safe to say the Bulls and Rockets, after each team lost BOTH home games to open their respective series, are in “must win” situations Friday. Both visiting teams are three-point underdogs, with the Chicago/Washington total checking in at 182 1/2 and the Houston/Portland total at 214 1/2. The Raptors/Nets series is tied at one-all and the atmosphere figures to be raucous at Barclays Center after all the intensity of the first two games, both ON and OFF the court. The Nets are favored by five points (total is 191 1/2).
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Eastern Conference Playoffs - Round #1

#745 INDIANA @ #746 ATLANTA
(TV: 2:00 PM EST, TNT, SportSouth Atlanta - Line: Pacers -2, Total: 186) - The Atlanta Hawks are not intimidated by the top-seeded Indiana Pacers and are on the verge of taking a commanding lead in the best-of-seven Eastern Conference series. The Hawks will try to grab a 3-1 advantage when they host the Pacers in Game #4 on Saturday. Indiana appeared to straighten itself out in Game #2 and made some changes to the lineup that helped against Atlanta’s spread offense, but it still could not stop point guard Jeff Teague.

Teague scored 11 of his 22 points in the final five minutes as the Hawks turned a close game into a relative blowout with a 98-85 Game #3 triumph. The Pacers left Roy Hibbert and his continued slump on the bench in the fourth quarter in favor of Luis Scola’s more diverse offensive game but off-nights from Paul George and George Hill doomed the Indiana offense. David West came up with 16 points for Indiana in Game #3 and is not worried about being down in the series. “We came down (to Atlanta) to get one game, and that’s what we’re intending to do,” West told reporters.

•ABOUT THE PACERS (57-28 SU, 39-45-1 ATS): Hibbert went into a funk just as the team was struggling in the last month of the regular season and has carried it over to the playoffs, going 7-of-25 from the floor in the three games. The All-Star played only 19 minutes in Game #3 and has watched his rebound numbers shrink from eight to four to two in the three games. “We’ve all tried to talk to him and keep him confident,” West told reporters of Hibbert. “It’s hurting him. He wants to help us and he wants to play well. He’s hard on himself. We’ve got to figure out a way to get him involved. He’s got to figure out a way to get himself involved.” Scola and Ian Mahinmi (two points and five rebounds in 20 minutes) both got more time than Hibbert in Game #3.

•ABOUT THE HAWKS (40-45 SU, 40-44-1 ATS): Teague is becoming a star in the series and took over down the stretch in Game #3 just like he did in the decisive third quarter of Game #1. The point guard appeared to step out of bounds on one key play down the stretch but the referees missed the call and he ended up hitting a deep 3-pointer over Scola as the shot clock was winding down to provide a dagger. The Hawks are averaging 11 made 3-pointers in the series and set a franchise playoff record by attempting 34 in Game #3 (connecting on 12). The wide-open style saw Atlanta go to an even smaller lineup than usual at times, with Paul Millsap or Elton Brand taking over at center when Pero Antic was out of the game.

•PREGAME NOTES: Hibbert, who ranked fourth in the league in blocks with an average of 2.25 in the regular season, has yet to swat away a shot in the series.... Teague, who finished with 22 points and 10 assists in Game #2, is the first Atlanta player to reach 20 and 10 in a postseason game since Spud Webb in 1986.... Hill went 1-for-11 from the field in Game #3 and is 0-of-7 from 3-point range in the series.... The Hawks are 28-45 against the spread (38.3%) versus good free throw shooting teams - making more than 76% of their attempts over the last two seasons.... The Pacers are 9-24 versus the spread (27.2%) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting less than 24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season this season.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, ATLANTA covered the spread 676 times, while INDIANA covered the spread 295 times. *EDGE against the spread =ATLANTA. In 1000 simulated games, ATLANTA won the game straight up 631 times, while INDIANA won 344 times. In 1000 simulated games, 523 games went over the total, while 445 games went under the total. *No EDGE.

-- In 1000 simulated games, ATLANTA covered the first half line 596 times, while INDIANA covered the first half line 372 times. *EDGE against first half line =ATLANTA. In 1000 simulated games, 545 games went over first half total, while 455 games went under first half total. *No EDGE.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--ATLANTA is 42-33 against the spread versus INDIANA since 1996.
--INDIANA is 39-38 straight up against ATLANTA since 1996.
--39 of 73 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--ATLANTA is 49-26 versus the first half line when playing against INDIANA since 1996.
--37 of 74 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Pacers are 1-3-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Under is 4-0 in the last 4 meetings in Atlanta.
--Pacers are 3-10 ATS in the last 13 meetings in Atlanta.

--Underdog is 3-1-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.
--Home team is 25-11-1 ATS in the last 37 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Pacers are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 Saturday games.
--Pacers are 3-23 ATS in their last 26 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Over is 7-1 in Pacers last 8 Saturday games.

--Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 home games.
--Hawks are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games playing on 1 days rest.
--Under is 5-0 in Hawks last 5 home games.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Against - Road teams versus the 1rst half line (INDIANA) - poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's), off an upset loss as a road favorite, a good team (60% to 75%) playing a marginal losing team (40% to 49%).
(91-45 since 1996.) (66.9%, +41.5 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.8
The average first half score in these games was: Team 49.2, Opponent 47.3 (Average first half point differential = +1.9)

The situation's record this season is: (9-5).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (15-9).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (28-17).
_______________________________

#749 MIAMI @ #750 CHARLOTTE
(TV: 7:00 PM EST, ESPN, Sun Sports Miami, SportSouth Charlotte - Line: Heat -5.5, Total: 188) - Miami attempts to take a commanding 3-0 series lead on Saturday when the scene shifts to Charlotte and the Heat visit the Bobcats in the first-round Eastern Conference matchup. Miami posted victories by 11 and four points while hosting the first two games as forward LeBron James averaged 29.5 points and 7.5 rebounds. Bobcats center Al Jefferson is averaging 18 points and 11.5 rebounds as he continues to play through a painful plantar fasciitis injury in his left foot.

Charlotte forward Josh McRoberts was fined $20,000 by the NBA for his hard foul on James late in Game #2. James was driving toward the hoop when McRoberts delivered a forearm into the throat of James and the league also upgraded the play from a common foul to a flagrant 2 foul. McRoberts said after the contest that it wasn’t intentional but James wasn’t buying it. “An elbow to the throat, that was the contact,” James told reporters. “It’s not a very good feeling. I was just trying to catch my breath and hopefully it wasn’t too bad.”

•ABOUT THE HEAT (56-28 SU, 38-44-2 ATS): Veteran guard Dwayne Wade is prospering from the heavy dose of off-days in the series and is averaging 19 points through two games. Wade was plagued by a late-season hamstring injury and his troublesome knees are always a concern but so far he has experienced no issues during the first-round series. “I’m not going to look too far ahead,” Wade told reporters. “I’m just going to continue to take it day to day and game by game in these playoffs, knowing that things could change from each game. The playoff games are very hard on the body so we’ll see. I’m feeling good right now, and I just want it to continue.”

•ABOUT THE BOBCATS (43-41 SU, 48-33-3 ATS): Perhaps the most stunning occurrence in Game #2 was that second-year forward Michael Kidd-Gilchrist contributed 22 points and 10 rebounds. Kidd-Gilchrist didn’t have a single 20-point outing in the regular season but he was free around the basket on multiple occasions in Wednesday’s loss while going 9-of-13 from the field. His surprise scoring output was timely with Jefferson unable to be the big-time force he typically is and point guard Kemba Walker struggling through a 5-of-18 shooting outing. The Bobcats also need more punch from a bench that was a combined 6-of-16 shooting in Game #2.

•PREGAME NOTES: Miami has defeated the Bobcats 18 consecutive times, including 17 straight since James joined the franchise.... Heat G Ray Allen has just two points on 1-of-8 shooting in the series.... Charlotte SG Gary Neal is just 8-of-24 from the field in the first two games.... Miami is 45-30 against the spread (60.0%) versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game over the last two seasons.... The Bobcats are 25-12 versus the spread (67.5%) when playing against a team with a winning record this season.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, CHARLOTTE covered the spread 703 times, while MIAMI covered the spread 297 times. *EDGE against the spread =CHARLOTTE. In 1000 simulated games, CHARLOTTE won the game straight up 539 times, while MIAMI won 440 times. In 1000 simulated games, 709 games went over the total, while 269 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, CHARLOTTE covered the first half line 614 times, while MIAMI covered the first half line 352 times. *EDGE against first half line =CHARLOTTE. In 1000 simulated games, 665 games went over first half total, while 335 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--CHARLOTTE is 20-19 against the spread versus MIAMI since 1996.
--MIAMI is 31-10 straight up against CHARLOTTE since 1996.
--21 of 40 games in this series have gone UNDER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--CHARLOTTE is 22-19 versus the first half line when playing against MIAMI since 1996.
--20 of 39 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
--Heat are 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
--Under is 4-1 in the last 5 meetings in Charlotte.
--Heat are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Charlotte.

--Favorite is 9-3 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
--Road team is 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Heat are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games following a S.U. win.
--Heat are 1-6 ATS L7 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
--Under is 5-1 in Heat last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.

--Bobcats are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
--Bobcats are 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games playing on 2 days rest.
--Over is 5-0 in Bobcats last 5 vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Over - All teams where the total is between 180 and 189.5 points (CHARLOTTE) - revenging a same season loss versus opponent, off a cover where the team lost the game straight up as an underdog, extremely well rested team - playing 5 or less games in 14 days.
(57-27 since 1996.) (67.9%, +27.3 units. Rating = 2*)

The average total posted in these games was: 185.6
The average score in these games was: Team 95.2, Opponent 95.3 (Total points scored = 190.4)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 39 (45.3% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (8-3).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (18-5).
_______________________________

Western Conference Playoffs - Round #1

#747 SAN ANTONIO @ #748 DALLAS
(TV: 4:30 PM EST, TNT, FSN Southwest San Antonio, KTXA Dallas - Line: Spurs -3.5, Total: 202.5) - After an easy win in San Antonio on Wednesday, the Dallas Mavericks attempt to carry momentum home for Game #3 against the Spurs on Saturday. The Mavericks won 10 of 14 on the road down the stretch and dominated Game #2, but they split their last 10 home games. "I like our intensity right now, but it’s a little dangerous going home,” Dallas forward Dirk Nowitzki told the Dallas Morning News. “We’ve been a decent road team all year, but at home we haven’t figured it out yet.”

Meanwhile, the Spurs were far and away the best road team in the NBA at 30-11 and will be chomping at the bit after an embarrassing 113-92 loss in Game #2 that featured a season-high 24 turnovers and little production from their starters. Manu Ginobili scored 27 points off the bench to keep San Antonio around until a dominant run in the second half by Dallas turned it into a rout and a 1-1 series tie. The Spurs have won four straight regular-season games in Dallas, including a 109-100 victory earlier this month despite the absence of star point guard Tony Parker.

•ABOUT THE SPURS (63-21 SU, 45-39-0 ATS): Parker and Tim Duncan combined for just 23 points in rather insignificant showings in Game #2, but the more notable performance was that of fellow starter Kawhi Leonard, who had only one basket near the end of the fourth quarter. Leonard finished with six points, his lowest scoring total in a game not cut short by injury since New Year's Eve. The normally productive swingman is just 5-of-16 from the floor - including 1-of-5 from 3-point distance - and has yet to provide an assist in 53 minutes this series.

•ABOUT THE MAVERICKS (50-34 SU, 46-38-0 ATS): Devin Harris had 18 points, five assists, four rebounds, one steal and one blocked shot in 24 minutes off the Dallas bench in Game #2, which came after he led the Mavericks with 19 points in a Game #1 loss. His production in the playoffs against the Spurs is nothing new, as the veteran averaged 16 points in four Mavericks' wins in a second-round defeat of San Antonio in 2006. Harris' efforts have helped Dallas seize homecourt advantage despite sluggish performances by Nowitzki and guard Monta Ellis, who have combined to average 29.5 points - more than 11 below their collective average during the regular season - on 34.3 percent shooting.

•PREGAME NOTES: Dallas is 24-of-29 from the line in the series, compared to 35-of-51 for San Antonio.... Spurs SG Danny Green, who averaged 9.1 points during the regular season, has tallied two baskets and six points in 46 minutes through the first two games.... The Mavericks' last home win against the Spurs was on March 17, 2012.... San Antonio is 62-34 against the spread (64.5%) versus good ball handling teams - committing less than 14 turnovers/game over the last three seasons.... Dallas is 36-18 versus the spread ( 66.6%) versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting less than 24 free throws/game - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, DALLAS covered the spread 586 times, while SAN ANTONIO covered the spread 414 times. *EDGE against the spread =DALLAS. In 1000 simulated games, SAN ANTONIO won the game straight up 490 times, while DALLAS won 481 times. In 1000 simulated games, 702 games went over the total, while 298 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, DALLAS covered the first half line 567 times, while SAN ANTONIO covered the first half line 400 times. *EDGE against first half line =DALLAS. In 1000 simulated games, 648 games went over first half total, while 322 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--SAN ANTONIO is 52-46 against the spread versus DALLAS since 1996.
--SAN ANTONIO is 63-40 straight up against DALLAS since 1996.
--52 of 101 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--SAN ANTONIO is 52-48 versus the first half line when playing against DALLAS since 1996.
--55 of 101 games in this series have gone UNDER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Spurs are 12-5 ATS in the last 17 meetings.
--Over is 5-1 in the last 6 meetings in Dallas.
--Spurs are 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings in Dallas.

--Underdog is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.
--Road team is 4-0 ATS in the last 4 meetings.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Spurs are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
--Under is 6-1 in Spurs last 7 when their opponent scored 100 points or more LG.
--Over is 11-2 in Spurs last 13 games following a SU loss of more than 10 points.

--Mavericks are 0-5 ATS in their last 5 home games.
--Mavericks are 0-4 ATS L4 home vs. a team with a winning road record.
--Mavericks are 0-7 ATS L7 games following a SU win of more than 10 points.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play On - Underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points versus the first half line (DALLAS) - excellent free throw shooting team (>=79%) against a good free throw shooting team (76-79%), in a game involving two good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) after 42+ games.
(53-23 over the last 5 seasons.) (69.7%, +27.7 units. Rating = 2*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 2.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 50.2, Opponent 50.4 (Average first half point differential = -0.2)

The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-3).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (108-76).
_______________________________

#751 OKLAHOMA CITY @ #752 MEMPHIS
(TV: 9:30 PM EST, ESPN, FSN Oklahoma City, SportSouth Memphis - Line: Thunder -2.5, Total: 188) - Tensions are running high with the Oklahoma City Thunder trailing Memphis in the Western Conference first-round series heading into Saturday’s crucial Game #4 on the Grizzlies’ home floor. Memphis recorded a 98-95 overtime victory on Thursday to take a 2-1 lead in the best-of-seven series and Thunder point guard Russell Westbrook is upset over criticism hurled his way. Making the task of evening the series tougher is the fact that Memphis has won 15 straight home games.

Westbrook and Kevin Durant each scored 30 points in Game #3 but Durant was 10-of-27 shooting – he missed all eight 3-point attempts – and Westbrook was just 9-of-26. “Nobody is perfect – not me, not Kevin, not anybody,” Westbrook told reporters on Friday. “You want your teammates to make shots but when the game is on the line, you’ve got to make decisions.” Memphis let a 17-point fourth quarter lead slip away before recovering to notch its second consecutive overtime victory. The Grizzlies are aiming to eliminate Oklahoma City for the second straight season.

•ABOUT THE THUNDER (60-25 SU, 44-39-2 ATS): Durant is averaging 33 points in the series but made just 40 percent of his shots in the consecutive losses, while Westbrook shot 37 percent in the defeats despite averaging 27.3 points in the series. Another problem is that Westbrook has nearly as many turnovers (12) as assists (15) and having a shoot-first mentality isn’t helping matters when he’s 5-of-25 from 3-point range. “That’s how you get assists, if you make shots,” Durant told reporters. “I wouldn’t say we were just coming down shooting every time. We were aggressive, but we have to do a better job of getting guys easier shots. That falls on us two. Everything falls on us two.”

•ABOUT THE GRIZZLIES (52-33 SU, 38-44-3 ATS): Veteran guard Beno Udrih was buried on the bench and played just 55 minutes after being acquired from the New York Knicks at the trading deadline. Things have changed in the postseason after Udrih was forced into the rotation due to Nick Calathes drawing a suspension for violating the NBA’s drug policy. The 31-year-old is averaging 13 points on 11-of-14 shooting over the past two games, providing a huge lift off the bench in a series in which Oklahoma City is receiving nearly nothing of quality from its reserves. Udrih has done his damage over the last two games while playing an average of 14 minutes.

•PREGAME NOTES: The teams have played seven playoff overtime games since 2011 and Memphis has won six of them.... Thunder bench players Reggie Jackson (3-of-19 shooting while averaging five points), Caron Butler (4-of-16, four points) and Derek Fisher (4-of-11, 4.7 points) have been nonfactors in the series.... Memphis C Marc Gasol has yet to have a huge game in the series and is averaging 15.3 points and seven rebounds.... Oklahoma City is 5-15 versus the spread (25.0%) when playing against a good team (Win Pct. 60% to 70%) - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.... The Grizzlies are 13-4 against the spread (76.4%) in home games versus good teams - outscoring their opponents by 3+ points/game - 2nd half of the season over the last two seasons.

StatSystems Sports has searched its database for all past games where the posted line or total were similar to this game's and where the final game statistics were comparable to the estimator's projections. (Points/Per Possession, Turnovers, along with Free-Throw Shooting Percentages). The number of simulations in which each team covered the current spread, won the game straight up, and number of simulations which went over or under the current total are listed below. Edges are indicated where one side enjoyed a significant advantage against the line or total.

-- In 1000 simulated games, MEMPHIS covered the spread 599 times, while OKLAHOMA CITY covered the spread 401 times. *EDGE against the spread =MEMPHIS. In 1000 simulated games, MEMPHIS won the game straight up 527 times, while OKLAHOMA CITY won 456 times. In 1000 simulated games, 785 games went over the total, while 203 games went under the total. *EDGE against the total =OVER.

-- In 1000 simulated games, MEMPHIS covered the first half line 574 times, while OKLAHOMA CITY covered the first half line 426 times. *EDGE against first half line =MEMPHIS. In 1000 simulated games, 725 games went over first half total, while 275 games went under first half total. *EDGE against first half total =OVER.

•HEAD-TO-HEAD HISTORY
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 45-37 against the spread versus MEMPHIS since 1996.
--OKLAHOMA CITY is 53-29 straight up against MEMPHIS since 1996.
--49 of 82 games in this series have gone OVER THE TOTAL since 1996.

--OKLAHOMA CITY is 44-38 versus the first half line when playing against MEMPHIS since 1996.
--44 of 82 games in this series have gone OVER THE FIRST HALF TOTAL since 1996.

--Home team is 4-1-1 ATS in the last 6 meetings.
--Thunder are 3-8-1 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
--Thunder are 1-4 ATS in the last 5 meetings in Memphis.

•RECENT TRENDS
--Thunder are 1-7 ATS L8 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
--Under is 4-0 in Thunder last 4 Saturday games.
--Over is 6-1 in Thunder L7 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.

--Grizzlies are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 Conference Quarterfinals games.
--Over is 4-0 in Grizzlies last 4 home games.
--Over is 6-1 in Grizzlies L7 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.

•SITUATION ANALYSIS: Play Against - Road teams versus the 1rst half line (OKLAHOMA CITY) - explosive offensive team (>=102 PPG) against an average offensive team (92-98 PPG), revenging a road loss versus opponent, off an upset loss as a road favorite.
(34-12 over the last 5 seasons.) (73.9%, +20.8 units. Rating = 2*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 0.7
The average first half score in these games was: Team 52.7, Opponent 48.3 (Average first half point differential = +4.5)

The situation's record this season is: (2-3).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-5).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (107-76).
_______________________________

 

[jdsabre]

Chase Diamond

10* Columbus +162

 

[cracy]

STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
SATURDAY, APRIL 26th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


***** Saturday, 4/26/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
______________________________________

Betting Notes - Saturday
•Hot Pitchers
-- Cashner is 2-1, 2.42 in his last three starts. Roark is 0-0, 2.07 in his last two starts.
-- Wood is 1-2, 1.93 in four starts this season. Estrada is 1-1, 3.00 in his last three starts.
-- Mejia is 3-0, 1.99 in four starts this season.
-- Leake is 2-0, 2.91 in his last three starts.
-- Lee is 2-2, 1.20 in his last four starts.

-- Nuno threw five shutout innings in his first '14 start.
-- Morrow is 1-0, 3.07 in his last three starts.
-- Chen is 3-0, 4.41 in his last three starts.
-- Keuchel is 2-0, 2.37 in his last three starts.
-- Danks is 2-0, 2.45 in his last three starts.
-- Hernandez is 3-1, 2.80 in five starts this year.

-- McAllister is 3-0, 1.83 in his last three starts.

•Cold Pitchers
-- Liriano is 0-3, 5.54 in his last four starts. Lyons allowed two runs in six IP in losing his first '14 start 2-0.
-- Slowey allowed two runs in five IP in his first '14 start.
-- Hale is 0-0, 6.10 in his last two starts.
-- Arroyo is 0-2, 14.54 in his last two starts.
-- Maholm is 0-2, 6.46 in three starts this season. Nicasio has a 6.19 RA in his last three starts.

-- Santiago is 0-3, 4.91 in four starts this season.
-- Buchholz is 0-2, 9.16 in four starts this year.
-- Sanchez is 0-2, 4.79 in four starts this season. Hughes is 1-2, 6.43 in his four starts this month.
-- Guthrie is 0-1, 5.84 in his last two starts.
-- Ramos is 0-1, 6.43 in two starts this season.
-- Straily is 1-1, 5.40 in four starts this season.
-- Lewis is 1-1, 4.22 in two starts this season.

-- Lincecum is 1-1, 6.43 in four starts this season.

•Totals
-- Six of last seven San Diego road games stayed under.
-- Last six Miami games stayed under the total.
-- Seven of last nine Atlanta games stayed under.
-- All thirteen games at Miller Park stayed under.
-- Five of last six Pirate games stayed under.
-- Over is 4-1-1 in last six Arizona home games.
-- Last three Dodger games went over. Three of last four Colorado road games stayed under.

-- 15 of 21 Angel games went over the total.
-- Six of last eight Baltimore games went over.
-- Last six Toronto home games went over total.
-- Eight of eleven White Sox home games went over.
-- Last four Oakland road games went over total.
-- 18 of 22 Minnesota games went over the total.
-- Seven of last ten Texas road games stayed under.

-- Under is 8-1-1 in last ten San Francisco games.

•Hot Teams
-- Mets won five of their last six games.
-- Braves won six of their last seven home games. Cincinnati won four of its last six games overall.
-- Brewers won six of their last seven games.
-- Arizona won last three games; they're 1-8 in last nine home games. Phillies won four of their last six games.
-- Colorado won six of its last eight games.

-- Yankees won eight of last 12 games. Angels are 8-5 away from home.
-- Red Sox won their last three road games.
-- White Sox are 7-4 at home.
-- Oakland won six of its last seven road games.
-- Royals won seven of their last eleven games.
-- Twins won five of last seven home games. Detroit won five of last seven.
-- Rangers won eight of their last ten games.

-- San Francisco won four of its last five home games. Indians won four of their last six games overall.

•Cold Teams
-- San Diego is 4-7 on road. Washington is 4-5 in its last nine home games.
-- Marlins lost nine of their last ten road games.
-- Cubs lost nine of their last twelve games.
-- Pirates lost seven of their last eight games. St Louis lost four of last six, but are 5-2 at home.
-- Dodgers lost four of their last five games.

-- Orioles are 3-5 in their last eight home games.
-- Toronto lost four of its last five games.
-- Rays lost four of their last five games.
-- Astros lost nine of their last ten home games.
-- Mariners lost eight of their last ten games.

•Umpires Trends
-- SD-Wsh-- All four Eddings games stayed under total.
-- Pitt-StL-- Road underdogs won three of four Schrieber games.
-- Chi-Mil-- Underdogs won three of four Danley games.
-- Mia-NY-- Rookie ump Buckminster has done three games- no trends.
-- Cin-Atl-- Favorites won three of four Carapazza games.
-- Phil-Az-- Home side won all five Tumpane games.
-- Col-LA-- Both Nauert games this season went over total.

-- LA-NY-- Four of five HGibson games went over total.
-- Bos-Tor-- Favorites won all three Kellogg games.
-- Det-Min-- All three Bellino games went over total.
-- KC-Balt-- Favorites won three of last four Wolcott games.
-- A's-Hst-- Underdogs won last three Meals games.
-- TB-Chi-- Favorites won all five Timmons games.
-- Tex-Sea-- Home side won three of four Estabrook games.

-- Cle-SF-- Underdogs won all four Diaz games.

Diamond Trends - Saturday
•MILWAUKEE is 13-2 (+11.4 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 4.9, OPPONENT 3.1.

•CINCINNATI is 15-3 OVER (+12.2 Units) versus teams outscoring opponent by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CINCINNATI 5.1, OPPONENT 5.9.

•BALTIMORE is 41-18 (+27.3 Units) against the run line versus a starting pitcher with good control (less than 1.75 BB's/start) over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BALTIMORE 5.0, OPPONENT 3.7.

•JOHN DANKS is 0-11 (-12.1 Units) against the money line versus poor baserunning teams - averaging 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was DANKS 2.6, OPPONENT 5.1.

•PAUL MAHOLM is 14-1 OVER (+12.9 Units) versus National League teams scoring 5.3 or more runs/game on the season since 1997.
The average score was MAHOLM 5.9, OPPONENT 5.3.

Situation Analysis of The Day
•Play Against - Home favorites against a 1.5 run line (Money Line =-190 to +175) (LA DODGERS) - cold hitting team - batting .240 or worse over their last 15 games against opponent hot hitting team - batting .290 or better over their last 20 games.
(38-6 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.4%, +29.6 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is : (28-16 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: -139
The average score in these games was: Team 4, Opponent 3 (Average run differential = +1)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 28 (63.6% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0, +0 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (13-3, +9.1 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (142-80, +15 units).
___________________________________________

 

[tgunn11]

Baseball Crusher
Atlanta Braves -113 over Cincy Reds
(System Record: 14-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 14-12

 

[tgunn11]

Hockey Crusher
Colorado Avalanche -138 over Minnesota Wild
(Playoff Record: 5-2, won last 3 games)
(Regular Season Record: 91-4)
Overall Record: 96-77-2

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Dallas Mavericks +3.5 over San Antonio Spurs
(Playoff Record: 4-2, won last 3 games)
(Regular Season Record: 78-8)
Overall Record: 82-89-5

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Lierse + RS Waasland UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in Belgium
(System Record: 561-20, lost last game)
Overall Record: 561-476-81

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NBA Picks

Miami at Charlotte

The Heat (22-19 on the road) head to Charlotte up 2-0 in the series and face a Bobcats team that is 6-1 ATS in its last 7 home games against a team with a winning road record. Charlotte is the pick (+5 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Heat favored by only 1. Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+5 1/2). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 26 Time Posted: 8:00 a.m. EST

Game 745-746: Indiana at Atlanta (2:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Indiana 124.064; Atlanta 117.662 Dunkel Line & Total: Indiana by 6 1/2; 190 Vegas Line & Total: Indiana by 2; 186 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Indiana (-2); Over

Game 747-748: San Antonio at Dallas (4:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: San Antonio 126.557; Dallas 127.397 Dunkel Line & Total: Dallas by 1; 198 Vegas Line & Total: San Antonio by 3 1/2; 202 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Dallas (+3 1/2); Under

Game 749-750: Miami at Charlotte (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 121.518; Charlotte 120.720 Dunkel Line & Total: Miami by 1; 184 Vegas Line & Total: Miami by 5 1/2; 188 Dunkel Pick: Charlotte (+5 1/2); Under

Game 751-752: Oklahoma City at Memphis (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Oklahoma City 125.876; Memphis 119.982 Dunkel Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 6; 193 Vegas Line & Total: Oklahoma City by 3; 188 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma City (-3); Over

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NHL Picks

Minnesota at Colorado

The Wild head back to Colorado for Game 5 after tying up the series with a 2-1 win in Game 4 and come into tonight's contest with a 5-0 record in their last 5 games after scoring 2 goals or less in the previous game. Minnesota is the pick (+120) according to Dunkel, which has the Wild favored by 1. Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+120). Here are all of today's playoff picks.

SATURDAY, APRIL 26 Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST

Game 51-52: Detroit at Boston (3:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Detroit 11.707; Boston 11.467 Dunkel Line & Total: Detroit by 1/2; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Boston (-230); 5 Dunkel Pick: Detroit (+190); Over

Game 53-54: Columbus at Pittsburgh (7:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Columbus 11.280; Pittsburgh 12.951 Dunkel Line & Total: Pittsburgh by 1 1/2; 5 Vegas Line & Total: Pittsburgh (-175); 5 1/2 Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-175); Under

Game 55-56: Minnesota at Colorado (9:30 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Minnesota 11.667; Colorado 10.895 Dunkel Line & Total: Minnesota by 1; 5 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: Colorado (-140); 5 Dunkel Pick: Minnesota (+120); Over

Game 57-58: Los Angeles at San Jose (10:00 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Los Angeles 11.087; San Jose 12.557 Dunkel Line & Total: San Jose by 1 1/2; 4 1/2 Vegas Line & Total: San Jose (-165); 5 Dunkel Pick: San Jose (-165); Under