Service Plays Saturday 3/1/14

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NCAACB KNOWLEDGE
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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Saturday's Notebook
•Cincinnati (-5) beat Connecticut 63-58 at home Feb 6, after trailing by 10 in first half; Bearcats won three of last four series games, losing by 7 in OT in last visit here LY. AAC home favorites of 5 or less points are 8-6 versus spread. Cincinnati split last four games, is 4-6-1 versus spread in last 11 games, 2-1 as road underdogs. Huskies won five of last six games, are 3-1-1 as a home favorite. Napier was just 2-12 from arc in first meeting.

•Memphis shot 54.5% inside arc, upset Louisville 73-67 (+10) at KFC Yum Center Jan 9; snapping a 4-game series skid. Cardinals won by 9-9 points in last two visits here. AAC home underdogs of 7 or less points are 3-7 versus spread. Memphis is just 4-3 in last seven games after getting upset at Houston, but they've won last five at home. Louisville won its last seven games, covering five of their last six.

•Colorado outscored Utah 23-10 on foul line, edged Utes 79-75 (-3) at home Feb 1, in game they trailed by 12 early in second half. Buffaloes won five of six versus Utes in Pac-12 play, losing 58-55 here LY. Pac-12 home favorites of 6+ points are 22-18 versus spread. Colorado lost four of its last five road games, with all four losses by 12+ points- they're 1-2 as road dogs. Utah won six of last seven at home, is 4-1 as a home favorite.

•Cleveland State (-5.5) beat Valparaiso 69-50 Jan 25, ending 4-game skid in series; Vikings lost last four visits here, by 7-6-6-24 points. Horizon League home favorites of 5 or less points are 4-17 versus spread. Cleveland State is 9-1 in last ten games overall, covering last six road games; they're 3-1 as road underdogs. Valparaiso won eight of last 11 games, is 2-4 as favorite at home- they covered one of last five, losing last three as a favorite.

•Oklahoma (+6.5) won 88-85 at Texas Jan 4, just its second series win in last nine tries; Sooners were 13-28 from arc in game they trailed by 7 in last 7:55. Texas is 4-3 in last seven visits to Norman, losing by 6 here in LY's visit. Big X home favorites of 5 or less points are 11-6 versus spread. Oklahoma is 3-4 in last seven games but won six of last seven at home. Texas lost its last three road games, by 17-9-31 points.

•Western Michigan (+3) ran out to 36-14 lead, beat Toledo 87-76 Jan 8 at home, its 5th win in last six series games. Broncos shot 69.7% inside arc; they've won last eight games overall, covering last five, but needed OT to win at lowly Ball State last game. Toledo split its last four games, is 2-9 versus spread in last 11; they're 7-0 at home in Mid-American Conference, 2-9 versus spread in last 11 games overall. MAC home favorites of 6 or less points are 15-17.

•Syracuse lost two of last three games after starting season 25-0; they've scored 61 or less points in last seven games- seven of its last eight games were decided by 6 or less points. Virginia won its last 12 games, is 13-3 versus spread in ACC play, 6-2 as home favorites. Orange are 5-1-1 against spread on road, 1-0-1 as underdogs. ACC home favorites of less than 5 points are 13-11. Virginia held last six opponents to 58 or less points.

•Creighton (-8) beat Xavier 95-89 at home Jan 12, making 14-28 from arc while Musketeers were 12-26 in game they led by 13 early on. Bluejays won last four games, are 2-5 versus spread in last seven; they're 3-3 as road favorites- four of their five road wins are by 13+ points. Big East home teams are 14-12 versus spread in games where number was 4 or less points. Xavier covered once in its last five games as an underdog.

•Michigan (+2) won 63-60 at Minnesota Jan 2; they've won five in row, nine of last ten games with Gophers, winning three of last four at home, with wins by 12-28-5 points. Wolverines won three of last four games, are 5-2 as home favorites- all six of their home wins are by 8+ points. Big Dozen home favorites of 8+ points are 8-12 versus spread. Minnesota is 1-4 as road dog, 2-5 in games decided by 6 or less points, or in OT.

•Saint Louis (-4) nipped VCU 64-62 at home Jan 15, holding on to win a game they led by 12 with 9:59 left; Rams were just 2-16 from arc. A-13 home favorites of less than 5 points are 13-10 versus spread. Billikens lost last game as 15-point favorite to Duquesne, ending 19-game win streak; they're 0-5 versus spread last five games. VCU is 2-3 in last five games, 3-3 as home favorite, with last three home wins by 11-16-17 points.

•Iowa State (-8) beat Kansas State 81-75 at home Jan 25, making 9-18 on arc; they're 4-1 in last five series games. Cyclones won last four games, are 3-4 on Big X road, 1-1 as road dogs. K-State is 7-0 at home in league, 5-2 versus spread; they've won four of last six games overall. Cyclones split last four visits here, losing by 9 LY. Big X home teams are 4-6 versus spread in games where spread was 3 or less points.

•Kansas (-5.5) beat Oklahoma State 80-78 Jan 18, after leading by 19 in first half; Jayhawks won last four games, are 5-2 on Big X road, but 1-3 versus spread in last four games as road favorite. Kansas won last two trips to Stillwater by 1-12 points. Big X home underdogs of 5 or less points are 8-4-1 versus spread. Cowboys are 2-0 since Smart returned, with both wins by 22 points; they've lost three of last four home games.

•Fresno State was outscored 26-11 on foul line in 68-60 (+14) loss Jan 15 at San Diego State; they're 0-3 versus Aztecs in Mountain West play, losing by 3-22-8 points, but won seven of last eight games overall, covering all eight- they're 2-2 as home underdogs. Mountain West home underdogs of 6 or less points are 7-10 versus spread. Aztecs lost last two road games; three of their five road wins are by 7 or less points (3-2 as road favorites).
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•Situational Trends of The Day
-- MIDDLE TENN ST is 11-0 ATS (+11.0 Units) in home games after allowing 65 points or less 3 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MIDDLE TENN ST 79.9, OPPONENT 53.1.

-- VIRGINIA TECH is 16-2 UNDER (+13.8 Units) after 5 straight games forcing opponent to commit 14 or less turnovers this season.
The average score was VIRGINIA TECH 60.5, OPPONENT 65.4.

-- E MICHIGAN is 17-1 (+15.9 Units) against the 1rst half line revenging a loss where team scored less than 60 points over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was E MICHIGAN 27.1, OPPONENT 24.9.

-- COLL OF CHARLESTON is 12-1 UNDER (+10.9 Units) the 1rst half total after 2 consecutive conference games this season.
The average score was COLL OF CHARLESTON 26.8, OPPONENT 22.7.

-- JOE SCOTT is 0-10 ATS (-10.9 Units) in road games after 2 straight games - attempting 10+ less free throws than opponent as the coach of DENVER.
The average score was SCOTT 54.8, OPPONENT 64.0.

•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- CLEVELAND ST is 15-1 ATS (+13.9 Units) versus poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game this season.
The average score was CLEVELAND ST 77.0, OPPONENT 66.4.

-- AIR FORCE is 12-0 UNDER (+12.0 Units) versus good ball handling teams - committing <=14 turnovers/game after 15+ games this season.
The average score was AIR FORCE 59.0, OPPONENT 65.6.

-- ILLINOIS is 3-17 (-15.7 Units) against the 1rst half line versus teams who attempt 21 or more 3 point shots/game on the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was ILLINOIS 27.0, OPPONENT 31.1.

-- TENNESSEE TECH is 24-2 UNDER (+21.8 Units) the 1rst half total versus good rebounding teams - outrebounding opponents by 4+ per game since 1997.
The average score was TENNESSEE TECH 31.4, OPPONENT 34.7.

-- STEVE PROHM is 10-0 ATS (+10.0 Units) versus very good shooting teams - making >=48% of their shots as the coach of MURRAY ST.
The average score was PROHM 80.3, OPPONENT 73.8.

•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play On - A favorite versus the money line (COLL OF CHARLESTON) - a poor offensive team - scoring <=64 points/game on the season, after going under the total by 18 or more points total in their last three games, a marginal losing team (40% to 49%) playing a winning team.
(59-10 over the last 5 seasons.) (85.5%, +42.4 units. Rating = 4*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -165.5
The average score in these games was: Team 70.2, Opponent 62.7 (Average point differential = +7.5)

The situation's record this season is: (18-3, +14.2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (33-7, +22.3 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (117-37, +54.9 units).

-- Play On - Underdogs of 10 to 19.5 points (S DAKOTA) - good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) after 15+ games, revenging a close loss versus opponent of 3 points or less, off a road loss by 10 points or more.
(41-11 over the last 5 seasons.) (78.8%, +28.9 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (6-47 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 13.4
The average score in these games was: Team 61.2, Opponent 71.3 (Average point differential = -10.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 15 (28.3% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (19-7).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (113-85).

-- Play Against - Home favorites of 10 to 19.5 points (DARTMOUTH) - an average 3PT shooting team (32-36.5%) against a poor 3PT defense (>=36.5%), good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) against a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) after 15+ games.
(77-33 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.0%, +40.7 units. Rating = 3*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (14-101 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 13.4
The average score in these games was: Team 62.5, Opponent 72.4 (Average point differential = -9.9)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 33 (29.2% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (23-10).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (50-26).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (150-98).

-- Play On - Underdogs of 2 to 3.5 points versus the first half line (THE CITADEL) - a poor pressure defensive teams - forcing <=14 turnovers/game on the season, off an upset win over a conference rival as a home underdog, with 3+ more starters returning from last year than opponent.
(29-3 since 1997.) (90.6%, +25.7 units. Rating = 5*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.5
The average first half score in these games was: Team 31, Opponent 29 (Average first half point differential = +2)

The situation's record this season is: (1-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (3-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-1).

-- Play Against - Home teams where the 1rst half line is +1.5 to -1.5 (UC-RIVERSIDE) - poor 3 point shooting teams - making <=31% of their attempts against a good foul drawing teams - attempting >=25 free throws/game, off a road cover where the team lost straight up as an underdog, playing with 5 or 6 days rest.
(31-7 over the last 5 seasons.) (81.6%, +23.3 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 0.1
The average first half score in these games was: Team 32.5, Opponent 28 (Average first half point differential = +4.5)

The situation's record this season is: (3-2).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (16-4).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (93-72).

Note: Get today’s complete NCAACB report by heading on over to Saturday’s (3/1/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
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NCAA Basketball Picks

Syracuse at Virginia

The Cavaliers play host to a Syracuse team that is 5-1-1 ATS in its last 7 road games. The Orange are the pick (+3 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has Syracuse favored by 1 1/2. Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+3 1/2). Here are all of today's early games.
SATURDAY, FEBRUARY 29
Time Posted: 7:30 a.m. EST
Game 519-520: Massachusetts at Dayton (11:00 a.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Massachusetts 62.547; Dayton 63.150
Dunkel Line: Dayton by 1
Vegas Line: Dayton by 3
Dunkel Pick: Massachusetts (+3)
Game 521-522: South Florida at Rutgers (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: South Florida 53.951; Rutgers 54.531
Dunkel Line: Rutgers by 1
Vegas Line: Rutgers by 4
Dunkel Pick: South Florida (+4)
Game 523-524: Cincinnati at Connecticut (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati 67.600; Connecticut 78.298
Dunkel Line: Connecticut by 10 1/2
Vegas Line: Connecticut by 4
Dunkel Pick: Connecticut (-4)
Game 525-526: Miami (FL) at NC State (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (FL) 59.754; NC State 67.634
Dunkel Line: NC State by 8
Vegas Line: NC State by 3
Dunkel Pick: NC State (-3)
Game 527-528: Miami (OH) at Buffalo (7:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Miami (OH) 47.909; Buffalo 62.812
Dunkel Line: Buffalo by 15
Vegas Line: Buffalo by 11
Dunkel Pick: Buffalo (-11)
Game 529-530: Vanderbilt at Tennessee (12:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Vanderbilt 60.289; Tennessee 72.155
Dunkel Line: Tennessee by 12
Vegas Line: Tennessee by 9 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Tennessee (-9 1/2)
Game 531-532: Drexel at Northeastern (1:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Drexel 54.103; Northeastern 50.678
Dunkel Line: Drexel by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Drexel by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Drexel (-1 1/2)
Game 533-534: TCU at West Virginia (1:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: TCU 50.183; West Virginia 73.203
Dunkel Line: West Virginia by 23
Vegas Line: West Virginia by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: West Virginia (-15 1/2)
Game 535-536: Texas Tech at Baylor (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas Tech 66.146; Baylor 69.507
Dunkel Line: Baylor by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Baylor by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Texas Tech (+8 1/2)
Game 537-538: Mississippi State at Missouri (1:45 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Mississippi State 53.969; Missouri 66.035
Dunkel Line: Missouri by 12
Vegas Line: Missouri by 14
Dunkel Pick: Mississippi State (+14)
Game 539-540: Louisville at Memphis (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Louisville 75.417; Memphis 73.134
Dunkel Line: Louisville by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: Louisville by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Memphis (+4 1/2)
Game 541-542: Kent State at Ohio (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Kent State 49.953; Ohio 62.317
Dunkel Line: Ohio by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Ohio by 7
Dunkel Pick: Ohio (-7)
Game 543-544: Northern Illinois at Eastern Michigan (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northern Illinois 51.407; Eastern Michigan 63.978
Dunkel Line: Eastern Michigan by 12 1/2
Vegas Line: Eastern Michigan by 10
Dunkel Pick: Eastern Michigan (-10)
Game 545-546: Central Michigan at Ball State (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Michigan 45.274; Ball State 49.348
Dunkel Line: Ball State by 4
Vegas Line: Ball State by 2
Dunkel Pick: Ball State (-2)
Game 547-548: Colorado at Utah (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Colorado 63.385; Utah 72.702
Dunkel Line: Utah by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Utah by 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Utah (-6 1/2)
Game 549-550: Richmond at Rhode Island (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Richmond 58.687; Rhode Island 62.259
Dunkel Line: Rhode Island by 3 1/2
Vegas Line: Rhode Island by 2
Dunkel Pick: Rhode Island (-2)
Game 551-552: Wright State at Illinois-Chicago (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Wright State 57.062; Illinois-Chicago 49.468
Dunkel Line: Wright State by 7 1/2
Vegas Line: Wright State by 5
Dunkel Pick: Wright State (-5)
Game 553-554: Delaware at College of Charleston (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Delaware 55.417; College of Charleston 51.560
Dunkel Line: Delaware by 4
Vegas Line: College of Charleston by 1
Dunkel Pick: Delaware (+1)
Game 555-556: Pittsburgh at Notre Dame (2:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Pittsburgh 68.737; Notre Dame 62.941
Dunkel Line: Pittsburgh by 6
Vegas Line: Pittsburgh by 3
Dunkel Pick: Pittsburgh (-3)
Game 557-558: Illinois at Michigan State (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Illinois 66.926; Michigan State 72.541
Dunkel Line: Michigan State by 5 1/2
Vegas Line: Michigan State by 11
Dunkel Pick: Illinois (+11)
Game 559-560: Cleveland State at Valparaiso (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cleveland State 60.061; Valparaiso 59.273
Dunkel Line: Cleveland State by 1
Vegas Line: Valparaiso by 1 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland State (+1 1/2)
Game 561-562: North Carolina at Virginia Tech (2:30 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: North Carolina 68.814; Virginia Tech 59.987
Dunkel Line: North Carolina by 9
Vegas Line: North Carolina by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Virginia Tech (+10 1/2)
Game 563-564: St. Joseph's at St. Bonaventure (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: St. Joseph's 61.970; St. Bonaventure 66.866
Dunkel Line: St. Bonaventure by 5
Vegas Line: St. Bonaventure by 2
Dunkel Pick: St. Bonaventure (-2)
Game 565-566: Auburn at Alabama (3:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Auburn 62.759; Alabama 60.887
Dunkel Line: Auburn by 2
Vegas Line: Alabama by 5
Dunkel Pick: Auburn (+5)
Game 567-568: LSU at Florida (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LSU 61.306; Florida 78.998
Dunkel Line: Florida by 17 1/2
Vegas Line: Florida by 10 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Florida (-10 1/2)
Game 569-570: Georgia at Arkansas (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia 61.818; Arkansas 71.112
Dunkel Line: Arkansas by 9 1/2
Vegas Line: Arkansas by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Arkansas (-7 1/2)
Game 571-572: Oregon at USC (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Oregon 66.861; USC 60.967
Dunkel Line: Oregon by 6
Vegas Line: Oregon by 8 1/2
Dunkel Pick: USC (+8 1/2)
Game 573-574: Evansville at Loyola-Chicago (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Evansville 53.123; Loyola-Chicago 52.461
Dunkel Line: Evansville by 1
Vegas Line: Loyola-Chicago by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Evansville (+2 1/2)
Game 575-576: BYU at San Diego (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: BYU 65.405; San Diego 57.162
Dunkel Line: BYU by 8
Vegas Line: BYU by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: BYU (-4 1/2)
Game 577-578: UNLV at Air Force (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: UNLV 61.961; Air Force 53.902
Dunkel Line: UNLV by 8
Vegas Line: UNLV by 4
Dunkel Pick: UNLV (-4)
Game 579-580: Central Florida at SMU (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Central Florida 54.905; SMU 66.511
Dunkel Line: SMU by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: SMU by 15 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Central Florida (+15 1/2)
Game 581-582: Texas at Oklahoma (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas 67.310; Oklahoma 73.485
Dunkel Line: Oklahoma by 6
Vegas Line: Oklahoma by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Oklahoma (-3 1/2)
Game 583-584: William & Mary at Towson (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: William & Mary 49.264; Towson 60.756
Dunkel Line: Towson by 11 1/2
Vegas Line: Towson by 5 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Towson (-5 1/2)
Game 585-586: Syracuse at Virginia (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Syracuse 72.047; Virginia 70.406
Dunkel Line: Syracuse by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: Virginia by 3 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Syracuse (+3 1/2)
Game 587-588: Boston College at Wake Forest (4:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Boston College 60.609; Wake Forest 58.815
Dunkel Line: Boston College by 2
Vegas Line: Wake Forest by 2 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Boston College (+2 1/2)
Game 589-590: Northwestern at Nebraska (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Northwestern 60.653; Nebraska 73.474
Dunkel Line: Nebraska by 13
Vegas Line: Nebraska by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Nebraska (-7 1/2)
Game 591-592: Troy at UL-Monroe (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Troy 49.599; UL-Monroe 52.330
Dunkel Line: UL-Monroe by 2 1/2
Vegas Line: UL-Monroe by 4 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Troy (+4 1/2)
Game 593-594: LaSalle at Fordham (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LaSalle 55.748; Fordham 54.057
Dunkel Line: LaSalle by 1 1/2
Vegas Line: LaSalle by 5
Dunkel Pick: Fordham (+5)
Game 595-596: Creighton at Xavier (5:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Creighton 70.924; Xavier 71.669
Dunkel Line: Xavier by 1
Vegas Line: Creighton by 3
Dunkel Pick: Xavier (+3)
Game 597-598: Georgia State at Texas State (7:00 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Georgia State 62.900; Texas State 51.761
Dunkel Line: Georgia State by 11
Vegas Line: Georgia State by 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Georgia State (-7 1/2)
 

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Hockey Crusher
New Jersey Devils -105 over Ny Islanders
(System Record: 68-2, won last game)
Overall Record: 68-52-1
 

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Joined
Mar 30, 2008
Messages
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Basketball Crusher
St. Josephs +2 over Saint Bonaventure
(System Record: 52-7, won last game)
Overall Record: 52-67-4
 

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Mar 30, 2008
Messages
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Soccer Crusher
Velez Sarsfield + Boca Juniors OVER 2
This match is happening in Argentina
(System Record: 532-18, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 532-455-78
 

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Messages
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Dave Cokin:


525 Miami +3...
607 Cal +4....
613 Boise State -2...
619 Bowling Green +7.5....
639 Missouri State +17.5....
675 South Dakota +10.5...
689 Davidson -3...
702 North Dakota State -10...
 

Member
Joined
Sep 21, 2010
Messages
13,198
Tokens
Hockey Crusher
New Jersey Devils -105 over Ny Islanders
(System Record: 68-2, won last game)
Overall Record: 68-52-1
Here are the rest of his hockey and basketball plays for today...


Hockey
Nashville Predators -126 over Winnipeg
Montreal Canadiens -135 over Toronto
Philadelphia Flyers -110 over Ny Rangers

Basketball
Notre Dame +3 over Pittsburgh
Illinois-Chicago +4.5 over Wright St
Ball State -2 over Central Mich
 

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Handicapper
Joined
Jun 12, 2012
Messages
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Bookieshunter

3* GOM Long Beach St. -4

2* Fresno ST. +4
2* Drexel ML
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS NBA KNOWLEDGE
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


Betting Notes - Saturday
•Hot Teams
-- Miami won its last six games (5-0-1 vs. spread).
-- Wizards won last five games, last one in triple OT.
-- Rockets won ten of their last twelve games.
-- Pacers won last three games, are 1-4-1 versus spread in last six.
-- Cavaliers won eight of their last eleven games. Memphis won five of its last seven games.
-- Trailblazers won last four games, covered last three.
-- Minnesota won four of its last five games.
-- Clippers won five of their last seven games.

•Cold Teams
-- Magic lost five of its last seven games.
-- 76ers lost their last 12 games (3-9 vs. spread).
-- Pistons lost six of their last seven games.
-- Celtics lost five of their last six games.
-- Milwaukee lost seven of last nine games, but covered five of last six. Nets are 3-5 in their last eight road games.
-- Denver lost nine of its last ten games.
-- Sacramento lost six of its last nine games.
-- New Orleans lost its last six games (1-4-1 vs. spread).

•Totals
-- Six of last eight Orlando-Miami games went over total.
-- Six of last eight Washington-Philly games stayed under.
-- Five of last six Detroit games went over the total.
-- Over is 4-0-1 in last five Indiana games.
-- Under is 5-2-1 in last eight Brooklyn games; five of Milwaukee's last six games went over.
-- Seven of last eight Cleveland games stayed under.
-- Four of last five Denver games stayed under total.
-- Under is 4-1-1 in last six Minnesota games; five of last seven King games went over.
-- 12 of last 18 Pelican-Clipper games went over total.

•Series Records
-- Heat won its last seven games with Orlando.
-- Wizards lost five of last six visits to Philadelphia.
-- Rockets won their last six games with Detroit.
-- Pacers are 2-0 versus Boston this season, winning by 15-27 points.
-- Nets won their last four games with Milwaukee.
-- Grizzlies won four of last five games with Cleveland.
-- Blazers are 3-0 versus Denver this year, winning by 15-5-5 points.
-- Kings won five of last seven games with Minnesota.
-- Clippers won seven of last eight games with New Orleans.
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•Situational Trends of The Day
-- MEMPHIS is 13-1 ATS (+11.9 Units) after scoring 100 points or more 2 straight games over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MEMPHIS 99.6, OPPONENT 93.0.

-- INDIANA is 13-2 UNDER (+10.8 Units) in road games off 2 or more consecutive home wins over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was INDIANA 88.0, OPPONENT 87.1.

-- MILWAUKEE is 16-34 (-21.4 Units) against the 1rst half line in home games second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was MILWAUKEE 50.8, OPPONENT 52.2.

-- BOSTON is 18-2 UNDER (+15.8 Units) the 1rst half total in home games when playing with double revenge - 2 straight losses versus opponent over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was BOSTON 47.0, OPPONENT 42.9.

-- RANDY WITTMAN is 19-5 ATS (+13.5 Units) in road games after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games as the coach of WASHINGTON.
The average score was WITTMAN 97.1, OPPONENT 96.9.

•Matchup Trends of The Day
-- ORLANDO is 9-23 ATS (-16.3 Units) versus poor rebounding teams - outrebounded by opponents by 3+ per game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was ORLANDO 95.1, OPPONENT 103.2.

-- MINNESOTA is 16-3 UNDER (+12.7 Units) versus up-tempo teams averaging 83 or more shots/game - 2nd half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was MINNESOTA 100.8, OPPONENT 98.8.

-- ORLANDO is 8-25 (-19.5 Units) against the 1rst half line versus poor foul drawing teams - attempting <=24 free throws/game this season.
The average score was ORLANDO 46.5, OPPONENT 52.6.

-- INDIANA is 21-5 UNDER (+15.5 Units) the 1rst half total versus good free throw shooting teams - making >=76% of their attempts this season.
The average score was INDIANA 45.5, OPPONENT 46.0.

-- BRETT BROWN is 4-21 ATS (-19.1 Units) in home games versus teams who make 6 or more 3 point shots/game on the season as the coach of PHILADELPHIA.
The average score was BROWN 100.7, OPPONENT 113.7.

•Situation Analysis of The Day
-- Play Against - All teams with a money line of +135 to -155 (MINNESOTA) - poor defensive team - shooting pct defense of >=46% on the season, revenging a loss where opponent scored 110 or more points against opponent off a loss against a division rival.
(87-27 over the last 5 seasons.) (76.3%, +66.8 units. Rating = 6*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team underdog with a money line of: +107.8
The average score in these games was: Team 104.9, Opponent 98.4 (Average point differential = +6.4)

The situation's record this season is: (7-3, +5 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (45-9, +36.6 units).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (271-169, +66.5 units).

-- Play On - Road underdogs of 10 or more points (DETROIT) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a poor defensive team (98-102 PPG), after allowing 100 points or more 2 straight games, in a game involving two good rebounding teams (+3 to +5.5 reb/game).
(85-29 over the last 5 seasons.) (74.6%, +53.1 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (63-53 over the last 5 seasons.)
The average line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 3.9
The average score in these games was: Team 102.3, Opponent 101.6 (Average point differential = +0.8)
The number of games in which this system covered the spread by 7 or more points was 57 (50.4% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (27-9).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (50-17).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (190-134).

-- Play Over - All teams where the total is between 190 and 199.5 points (MILWAUKEE) - a poor pressure defense (<=14.5 TO's) against a good ball handling team (<=14.5 TO's) after 42+ games, off a road loss against a division rival, a terrible team (<=25%) playing a team with a losing record.
(39-11 since 1996.) (78.0%, +26.9 units. Rating = 3*)

The average total posted in these games was: 194.3
The average score in these games was: Team 99.2, Opponent 102 (Total points scored = 201.2)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 7 or more points was 25 (48.1% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (2-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (4-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (6-2).

-- Play On - Favorites of 6 or more points versus the first half line (WASHINGTON) - a good offensive team (98-102 PPG) against a horrible defensive team (>=102 PPG), after going over the total by more than 18 points in their previous game, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season.
(30-9 since 1996.) (76.9%, +20.1 units. Rating = 3*)

The average first half line posted in these games was: Team favored by 4.3
The average first half score in these games was: Team 57.3, Opponent 47.6 (Average first half point differential = +9.7)

The situation's record this season is: (0-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (1-1).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (14-4).

-- Play Over - All teams where the first half total is greater than 105 (WASHINGTON) - off an upset win as an underdog against opponent off a home loss, with a winning percentage of between 45-55% on the season, in a game involving two good offensive teams (98-102 PPG) after 42+ games.
(31-5 over the last 5 seasons.) (86.1%, +25.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The average first half total posted in these games was: 109.2
The average first half score in these games was: Team 58.8, Opponent 58.8 (Total first half points scored = 117.6)

The situation's record this season is: (6-0).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (9-0).
Since 1996 the situation's record is: (68-47).

Note: Get today’s complete NBA report by heading on over to Saturday’s (3/1/14) service plays chatter/comps/requests & other stuff...
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New member
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Does anyone has KELSO's 200 unit, o hope it is not one of the games starting in 40mins
 

Let's go Brandon!
Joined
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Saturday Brandon Lang

75 Dimes - St. Joesphs-Pennsylvania +2 visiting St. Bonaventure, 3:00 PM EST
 

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PAUL LEINER


100* Over 186.5 - Cavs/Grizzlies


100* Baylor -8.5


50* BYU -4.5
 

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