Nick "BookieKiller" Parsons
Phoenix / Golden State Under 233.5
For a number of different reasons I believe the value in this matchup is on the "under":
Phoenix (19-11) is 0-6 on the road since a 113-94 win at Toronto on Nov. 29. The first three losses were by an average of 21.3 points while the last three have been by a total of 10.
The Suns have won four straight against the Warriors, including a 123-101 home victory in the teams’ first meeting this season Oct. 30.
That high-scoring contest, though, pales in comparison to Phoenix’s last visit to Oracle Arena. The Suns ended their four-game losing streak in Oakland with a 154-130 victory March 15.
The 284 combined points were the most in the NBA in 2008-09 and the Suns shot 62.1 % and scored 56 fast-break points, the most since 1997, when the league began to track the stat; that being said, I expect both teams to come into this game with that result in the front of their minds and to play with a much more concerted effort on the defensive end this evening.
Keep in mind as well that the total has gone "under" the posted number in six of the Suns last seven on the road overall. They've also seen the total go "under" the posted number in four of their last five vs. division opponents.
On the other side of the court: The Warriors (7-21) have been hampered by injuries and used seven players in a 108-102 loss at New Orleans in their last game Wednesday.
However, this team is about to receive a big boost on the defensive end this evening as Andris Biedrins is set to return to the lineup; the Warriors have been without the big center-man since Nov. 8, when he aggravated a strained back in Sacramento.
Don Nelson says Anthony Randolph and Vladimir Radmanovic will return to being power forwards, Corey Maggette and Anthony Morrow to being small forwards and C.J. Watson to being a guard.
Remember, the total has gone "under" the number in six of the Warriors last nine overall. They've also seen the total go "under" the number in five of seven games after three or more consecutive SU losses.
Bottom line: Too many factors including an inflated line that all point to the UNDER as being the sharp wager today!
7* UNDER