Service Plays Saturday 11/15/08

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TheRX.com Policy on Posting Handicapper Plays:
In the poster agreement that all posters agree to when signing up, posters have agreed to NOT post copyrighted information.
Some handicappers do not mind having their plays posted, If we are asked by any company to not let their information be posted here, we will comply with the request and remove the information if we see it.
For The Record.
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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim..

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Larry Ness' LEGEND Play-CFB: 10-3 since '05

A few years back, Larry began releasing his LEGEND plays (previously reserved for only his personal clients) on the net. During CFB's regular season, these exclusive plays are 10-3 or 76.9% ATS since '05. That's just 13 overall plays, in a span of three-plus seasons. Larry's LEGEND are rare but "well worth the wait!" Your move!


NOTRE DAME
 
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Wunderdog

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Game: Minnesota at Wisconsin (Saturday 11/15 3:30 PM Eastern)
Pick: Minnesota +13.5 (-110)

How the perception of these teams has changed. Minnesota was rolling along at 7-1, but then took a couple tumbles. Wisconsin had lost five of six, before finding the win column at feeble Indiana. But let's not overreact to recent history. Ask yourself what this line would have been a few weeks ago? The answer would have likely been 7 or less. So the teams haven't changed, but the perception of them surely has, and as a result this one is chock full of line value. The Badgers made a QB change, but it hasn't improved their ability to throw the ball as they remain a ru-only team. The fact is, the passing numbers have gotten worse! Allan Evridge was completing to a 7.2 yards per pass rate while Sherer is sitting at just 6.3, with an even lower completion rate. Minnesota is simply not two TD's worse than the Badgers right now, and this is a huge overlay. Minnesota has lost to one team by more than this amount all season, and it happened to be in their last game. I'm backing the dog.
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Dr. Bob

3 Star Selection
AKRON (-3.0) 36 Buffalo 25 (Thursday)
13-Nov-08 04:00 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take Akron in a 3-Star Best Bet at -3 points or less (at -1.15 odds or better) and for 2-Stars up to -4 points.

2 Star Selection
Cincinnati (-3.5) 30 LOUISVILLE 17 (Friday)
14-Nov-08 05:00 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take Cincinnati in a 2-Star Best Bet at –4 or less, for 3-Stars at -3 (at -1.10 odds or better) and I’d consider the Bearcats a Strong Opinion from -4 ½ to -5 ½ points.

3 Star Selection
New Mexico (-1.0) 31 COLORADO ST. 21
15-Nov-08 11:00 AM Pacific Time
I’ll take New Mexico in a 3-Star Best Bet at -2 ½ points or better and for 2-Stars at -3 points.

3 Star Selection
AIR FORCE (+5.0) 27 BYU 23
15-Nov-08 12:30 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take Air Force in a 3-Star Best Bet at +3 ½ points or more and for 2-Stars at +3 points.

3 Star Selection
Oklahoma St. (-16.5) 40 COLORADO 13
15-Nov-08 05:00 PM Pacific Time
I’ll take Oklahoma State in a 3-Star Best Bet at -17 points (at -1.10 odds or better) or less and for 2-Stars up to -20 points.

College Strong Opinions

IOWA (-17.5) 34 Purdue 10
15-Nov-08 09:00 AM Pacific Time
I’ll resist making Iowa a Best Bet here due to a possible letdown based on their team history, but I’ll consider Iowa a Strong Opinion at -19 or less and I’d take Iowa in a 2-Star Best Bet at -16 or less.

KANSAS ST. (+7.0) 34 Nebraska 35
15-Nov-08 12:30 PM Pacific Time
That angle obviously barely applies since the line on this game is 7 points and I’ll consider Kansas State a Strong Opinion at +6 or more and I’d take Kansas State in a 2-Star Best Bet at +7 ½ points or more (at -115 odds or better).
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Dominic Brando Sports 2008-09 NFL/NCAA Football Teaser Club
Teaser Club Cashes in Yet Again Last Weekend, Now 8-1 YTD!

Dominic Brando Sports 2008-09 NCAA/NFL Football Records Grid:
NFL/NCAA Teaser Club 8-1-0 for +730.00 Units (Special 150 Units 1-0, Top 100 Units 7-1, Reg 50 Units 0-0)

Dominic Brando's NFL/NCAA Teaser Club Release for Saturday/Sunday November 15th/16th, 2008:
NFL/NCAA Top 100 Unit Golden Star Lock 3 Team 10 Point Teaser Isolation:
1) #387 OHIO STATE BUCKEYES PICK over Illinois Fighting Illini
2) #404 MIAMI DOLPHINS PICK over Oakland Raiders
3) #413 PHILADELPHIA EAGLES PICK over Cincinnati Bengals
 

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Erin Rynning (Sports Memo) NCAA Football GOY?

I'll post his NBA when available - thanks
 

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paid and confirmed

Wizard of Odds Guaranteed Selections
Date: Saturday, November 15, 2008
$49.00 Guaranteed: This will be the WIZARD'S LARGEST COLLEGE FOOTBALL WAGER so far this season. It's yours RIGHT HERE - RIGHT NOW guaranteed to bring home the CASH or you don't pay! You can get the WIZARD'S COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR today for just $49 and you will pay onlay after you win! we are 51-30 in College and Pro Football the past month! WE ARE ON FIRE!!! GET THIS WINNER AND POUND IT!! 11/13/2008

WIZARD'S COLLEGE FOOTBALL GAME OF THE YEAR
331 Notre Dame -3.5 12 NOON EST
 

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Ben Burns | CFB Side
triple-dime bet316 Louisville 4.0 (-105) Bodog vs 315 Cincinnati
While I feel the Cardinals have an excellent shot at another outright win, this one could also come down to the wire. Getting more than a field goal to work with, let's back the hungry home dog.

Paid
 
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Colin Cowherd

Stanford 17-30 to cover against USC
Texas 45-20 over Kansas
Notre Dame 22-17 over Navy
Ohio State 33-17 over Illini (Easy $$ Blowout)
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NCAA Sports MarketWatch Week 12 – Games to Watch

Georgia vs Auburn (11/15 12:30P)

Georgia came into the season ranked No. 1, but they were blown out by both Alabama and Florida to end any chance at a national championship. The Bulldogs have a high-powered offense led by a talented trio at the skill positions. Quarterback Matthew Stafford, tailback Knowshon Moreno, and wide receiver A.J. Green are the main reasons Georgia leads the SEC in total offense. The Bulldogs exploded last week for 520 yards against Kentucky. With this team, defense is the weak link. They allow 24.9 points per game, which is 11th in the SEC. They escaped last week with a win after Stafford's touchdown pass to Green with 1:48 left.

Auburn came into the season with a top-10 ranking and a new spread offense that was supposed to put up a lot of points. The offense never developed, and they quickly dropped out of the rankings after a four-game losing streak. They ended that streak last week with a 37-20 win against Tennessee-Martin, in which they reached their highest point output for the season. The Tigers settled on Kodi Burns at quarterback three games ago, and that move improved the offensive numbers. They have gained 1,114 yards in those three games behind the dual threat Burns. The Tigers strength is defense, and they're allowing an average of 16.3 points per game.

Georgia opened as 8-point favorites at Pinnacle, and the line remained there until early Wednesday despite the overwhelming majority of bettors behind the Dawgs. Since the the line has moved to Georgia -9.5, with the Bulldogs receiving 75% of spread bets and 87% of parlay bets. The movement has triggered multiple Smart Money plays on Auburn, all with positive results. We're going to follow the Smart Money and take the home underdog.

Auburn +10

Boston College vs Florida State (11/15 8P)

Boston College bounced back from back-to-back conference losses with a 17-0 win over Notre Dame last week. The Eagles posted their third shutout of the season last week, and the strength of the team is on that side of the ball. BC is allowing under 17 points per contest. The loss of first round pick Matt Ryan at quarterback has left BC's offense in bad shape, as they rank 95th nationally in total offense. The Eagles control their own destiny in the ACC. With wins in their final three games against Florida State, Wake Forest and Maryland, the Eagles will secure a trip to the ACC Championship game and a possible BCS Bowl.

No. 20 Florida State has returned to its usual perch in the top ranks of the ACC. They are doing it behind one of the nation's best running attacks, which averages 205.2 yards per game. No single player is doing all the work, as four players have at least 200 yards rushing on the season, including quarterback Christian Ponder. Their defense has also keyed the return to relevance in the ACC. The Seminoles are allowing 100 fewer yards of offense than they did last season. A key has been the third down defense, as they allow opponents to convert only 18 percent of third down attempts.

The top-25 ranked Seminoles opened as a touchdown favorite at Pinnacle, and the line remained there until Wednesday when it dropped to Florida State -6.5. The change occured with the Seminoles receiving 67% of spread bets and 80% of parlay bets from the public. The moves triggered a Smart Money play at The Pig (56-49, +1.9 units.) We're going to follow the Smart Money and take BC with the points.

Boston College +6.5

Tulsa vs Houston (11/15 8PM)

No. 23 Tulsa had its BCS bubble burst two weeks ago with a 30-23 loss to Arkansas. The Golden Hurricane had been undefeated and were 18th in the BCS Standings. They hope to rebound and gain the inside track in the Conference USA West Division race. The are currently ahead of Rice and Houston. Tulsa's offense is averaging 52 points and 593 total yards per game. Senior quarterback David Johnson has thrown for 33 touchdowns against only 10 interceptions. The Golden Hurricane defense is also solid, leading the conference in rushing defense. They went into last week's bye tied for second in the nation with 31 sacks.

Houston is coming off a lop-sided 42-14 win against Tulane, in which the Cougars gained a season-high 693 yards of offense. Sophomore quarterback Case Keenum has thrown for at least 300 yards and two touchdowns in each game this season. He has 29 touchdown passes against nine interceptions. Keenum has the Cougars passing attack ranked second nationally. Houston's defense is allowing an average of 385 yards per game. Defensive end Philip Hunt is ranked third in the NCAA with 10 sacks on the season.

Tulsa opened as 5.5-point favorites at Pinnacle, and they are receiving 62% of spread bets and 76% of parlay bets. Despite that level of backing the line has dropped to Tulsa -4. That movement has triggered some Smart Money plays, including one at Bodog (14-6, +6.65 units), and a pair of Steam Moves on Houston. We'll again follow the Smart Money and take the home underdog, especially with some 4.5-point lines still out there.

Houston +4.5 (Phoenix)

So, here’s a wrap-up of SportsInsights analysis for this week’s Games to Watch for NCAA Football Week 12.

Games to Watch (13-19-1)
Auburn +10
Boston College +6.5
Houston +4.5 (Phoenix)
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Pointwise Phone Plays

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->4*
Wisconsin
USC

3*
Utep
Rutgers
Baylor
Boise st
Notre Dame
E. Carolina

2*
Nevada
Colorado st
W. Michigan
Texas
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North Coast


Early Bird Pow - Ohio State -9'
Comp Under Dog Pow...nc State +4
Power Play 4* Pow...new Mexico
#2 Econ Club Play-marshall -7'
Big Dog Pow -washington +7'
Pac 10 Pow-arizona State -36
Big 12 Gow-oklahoma State -17'
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Tom Stryker

Tom's College Football System Play of the Week!
CONFERENCE ROAD WELL TRAVELED

This weekend, there is one team that fits the general system and both tightereners – OHIO STATE! The Buckeyes looked fantastic in their win and cover at Northwestern last Saturday and travel to Illinois to take on an Illini team that lost by six in their last game versus Western Michigan!

Good luck with the Buckeyes and be sure to check back next week for another powerful system.
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ACE-ACE<!-- / message -->


RECORD 31-18 +$6442.00

$1000.00 #311 Virginia Tech (+4.5) over Miami (7:30 p.m., Thursday, Nov. 13)

$800.00 #315 Cincinnati (-3.5) over Louisville (8 p.m., Friday, Nov. 15)

$600.00 #386 Florida State (-6.5) over Boston College (Saturday, Nov. 15)

$400.00 #330 Maryland (+3) over North Carolina (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 15)

$300.00 #324 Wisconsin (-13.5) over Minnesota (3:30 p.m., Saturday, Nov. 15)
 

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Indian Cowboy

Man, I wish someone would get hot. I been getting killed lately!


Indian Cowboy Saturday POD: AUBURN +8.5
 

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diamond sports club

daily diamond - lsu,nebraska, ohio st/illnois - over the total
 

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