Service Plays Saturday 11/14/15

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.
Do not post any copy written info from the following services.

***Please do not post Twitter plays or forum member plays in this thread.***

Advertise with the Rx - do not post
Al Mcmordie
Allan *******
Doc's Sports Services
Jim Feist
Ocal Sports
Right Angle Sports (RAS)
Robert Ferringo
Sports Money Profit System
Strike Point Sports
Vegas Sports Informer
Vegas Winning Crew


Do not post write-ups
AJ Apollo
Alex Smart
@ntonwins
Apple Handicappers
ASA, ASA Inc’s or American Sports Analysts
ATS Consultants
ATSadv ice.com
Ben Lewis
Brandon Lang's Crew
Bruce Marshall
Chris Jordan's Crew
Dave Cokin
Dennis Hill
Dennis Macklin
Dr. Bob Sports
Dr. guru sports
EZ Winners
Fairway Jay
Fred Wallin
Gametimereport
Greg DiPalma
Hittingpaydirt
JB Sports
Jim Avery
Jim Kruger
Jorge Gonzalez
Ken Jenkins
Killersportslive
Larry Ness
Lenny Delgenio
LT Profits
Lucky Lester
Madduxsports
Marc Lawrence/Playbook
Matt Fargo
Mike Lineback
Mike Rose
Pacific (Pac Star) Sports
PayneInsider
Paul Stone
Peter Gold at VI
Pick Nation Crew
PlusLineSports
Pointwise Sports
PowerPlay Wins
Preferred Picks
Pregame
Pro Sports Info
Red Zone Sports
Right Angle Sports (RAS)
Rocky Atkinson
Ron Raymond
Ross Benjamin
Sal Bansa/sportspicks1019
Scott Spreitzer
Sixth Sense Sports
Sports Memo Crew
Steve Merril SportsAlatex Sports
Stevo Design Inc. All services
Ted Sevransky/Teddy Covers
Tennessee Valley Sports
THELOCKOFTHEDAY
The Prez
The Real Animal
Tony George
Tony Karpinski/3G-Sports
Tom Stryker
Trushel Sports Consulting
Vegasadvisor s.com
Vernon Croy
Winning Points/Sports Reporter
zen_gambler
-------
GL!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Cokin:

161 Georgia St +3.5
187 Oklahoma +3
210 Stanford -9

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Spartan

COLLEGE TRIPLE STAR BLOCKBUSTER!
Auburn

RABID DOG WINNER!
2* Oklahoma +3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Maddux

10* Temple/South Florida under 47.5
10* Maryland +18
10* UCLA -8
10* Old Dominion -3.5
10* Appalachian State -16
10* Louisville -10
10* Memphis +7
10* Washington +3.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Smart Sports Investments

Risked 4 units to win 4 Washington U +2.5 +100 vs Arizona State- We have been happily fading the Sun Devils for much of the season, and we will continue that trend this Saturday in a matchup with the visiting Huskies. Arizona State may be the biggest disappointment in the Pac 12 this season, and it starts up front...where they absolutely cannot protect their QB, which in turn has led to turnovers. The Sun Devils have turned the ball over in every single game this season, and in 7 of 9 they have turned it over 2 or more times, while the Huskies defense has 7 takeaways in their past 2 games. The Washington defense is legit, and the ASU offense is legit...at turning the ball over. I love the Huskies in this spot. Some trends in our favor..The Washington Huskies are: 6-1 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. loss. 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games vs. a team with a losing home record. 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS loss. 12-4 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. The Sun Devils on the other hand are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. loss. 2-9 ATS in their last 11 games overall. 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games after allowing more than 280 yards passing in their previous game. 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games after accumulating more than 450 total yards in their previous game.

Risked 5 units to win 4.55 Mississippi State +8 -110 vs Alabama- This is a classic "letdown" game in college football, coming off a big emotional victory against an arch-rival (and #2 in the nation) in LSU, it's common for college level athletes to experience an emotional let down the following game. This will be a mistake against a talented Mississippi State squad. Dak Prescott has accounted for 25 TDs this season, with just ONE interception, that's impressive in any conference, but especially the SEC. Also consider the trends are crazily in our favor in this pick as well. MSU is 5-1 ATS last 6 following a SU win. 4-1 ATS last 5 following an ATS win. Home team is 4-1 ATS last 5 in series. Alabama on the other hand is 0-4 ATS last 4 following an ATS win. 0-5 ATS last 5 after accumulating more than 200 rushing yards in their previous game.

Risked 3 units to win 2.73 Oklahoma State -14 -110 vs Iowa State- I probably would have taken Oklahoma State all the way up to -20 in this matchup. The Cowboys shook the college football world with their manhandling of previously unbeaten TCU last week, and might have proved they are the team to beat in the loaded Big 12 this season. Iowa State has played some quality opponents tough this season, but the Cowboys right now, their offense is on a different level, and the Cyclones cannot keep up with their scoring prowess. Rudolph just went off against TCU last week, what do you think he does against an overmatched Iowa St secondary..?? Trends in our favor...OSU is 4-0 ATS in their last 4 conference games. 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games in November. 6-2 ATS vs. a team with a losing record. Iowa State is 4-9-1 ATS in their last 14 games overall. 6-17-3 ATS vs. a team with a winning record. 3-8 ATS in their last 11 conference games. Blowout city in this one.

Risked 5 units to win 4.55 Oregon +10 -110 vs Stanford- Another strategy we have emplyed with success this season is taking the Ducks + pts, Oregons offense is still prolific and with the exception of the Utah game, they lost their other two games by a TOTAL of 10 points...so it's hard for me to imagine in this rivalry game that the Ducks are going to get blown off the field, especially with the way their offense scores. The Ducks have a 3 headed monster at RB, and it reared its head to the tune of 477...yes 477 yards rushing last week, while their QB, all he did was throw 4 TDs. Not sure in what parallel universe, that Stanford is going to blowout that offense. Trends in our favor, Oregon is 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games in November. 12-2 ATS in their last 14 conference games. 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall. 20-6 ATS in their last 26 games on grass. Stanford is 3-7 ATS in their last 10 games after allowing less than 275 total yards in their previous game. Back the Ducks with a 10pt cushion.

Risked 5 units to win 6 Oklahoma +120 vs Baylor- This one comes down to the eye test for me, and I watched Baylor struggle for the 1st time all season without their former starting QB barely escaping Manhattan with a 31-24 victory. The Sooners are a whole differnt animal than Kansas State, and their offense could score TD for TD even if Baylor was 100% healthy. You can't convince me this backup QB is ready for a matchup of this magnitude, and don't think Oklahoma has forgot they have been outscored 89-26 in the past two seasons by the Bryce Petty led Bears. Last time I checked Bryce Petty was holding a clipboard in the NFL, and the new guy..he's hurt...so you got a guy who's never played in a game like this, taking the field against Bob Stoops most talented team in years, and add in the extra motivating factor of getting blown out 2 years in a row (which never happens to the Sooners)...and this one is ripe for the "upset" upset only in the terms of current ranking. This won't be the only game Baylor loses down the stretch. Boomer Sooner on the money-line, for a nice payday.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Dave Essler

3* Mississippi State

 

[Holla1974]

spartan- 2*- okla +3

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

World Wide Sports

5 Units – Marshall -11.5
5 Units – San Diego St -23.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Matt Fargo

BIG 10 GAME OF THE YEAR

INDIANA +13.5

We lost a tough one with the Hoosiers last week against Iowa as they came within a point of the cover. After opening the season 4-0, Indiana has dropped its last five games but the home contests have been more than competitive. Prior to last week, Indiana nearly shocked Ohio St. at home and the other conference home game resulted in a three-point loss against Rutgers despite winning the yardage battle. Now the Hoosiers are getting close to a touchdown more this week than they got against now 9-0 Iowa and while solid, we don't think Michigan is a better team than the Hawkeyes. The Wolverines have suffered a pair of tough losses this season and while they have dominated at home, the road has been more difficult and this is just their second road game since the begging of October with the only other game on the highway resulting in just a three-point win at Minnesota. Give credit to Michigan for bouncing back from that Michigan St. loss as it dominated Rutgers last week but with games against Penn St. and Ohio St. on deck, this is a tough sandwich spot. Michigan is 5-19 ATS in its last 24 road games after gaining 475 or more total yards in their previous game while the Hoosiers are 11-3-1 ATS in their last 15 home games against teams with a winning road record. 10* (128) Indiana Hoosiers

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Prediction Machine NCAA Lock

148 Old Dominion -4.5

AGAINST THE SPREAD PICKS (Based on Games Played 50,000 times) Print Table

Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $ Calc
148 12:00 PM @ ODU UTEP -4.5 11.0 60.2 $82
199 7:00 PM UNLV @ COLOST 7.5 0.2 59.2 $72
161 4:00 PM GAST @ TXST 3.5 2.2 58.9 $68
187 8:00 PM OKLA @ BAYLOR 3 2.1 58.3 $62
139 12:00 PM TULANE @ ARMY 2.5 1.1 58.0 $59
144 7:00 PM @ SOFLA TEMPLE 3.5 0.5 57.1 $50


NCAA ‘Lock’
148 Old Dominion -4.5 • 60.2%
AGAINST THE SPREAD PICKS
Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $
148 12:00 PM @ ODU UTEP -4.5 11.0 60.2% $82
199 7:00 PM UNLV @ COLOST 7.5 0.2 59.2% $72
161 4:00 PM GAST @ TXST 3.5 2.2 58.9% $68
187 8:00 PM OKLA @ BAYLOR 3 2.1 58.3% $62
139 12:00 PM TULANE @ ARMY 2.5 1.1 58.0% $59
144 7:00 PM @ SOFLA TEMPLE 3.5 0.5 57.1% $50
AGAINST THE SPREAD PICKS
Rot Time (ET) Pick Opp Line Margin Pick% $
187 8:00 PM OKLA •Upset Watch• @ BAYLOR 3 2.1 58.3% $62
STRAIGHT-UP PICKS
Rot Time (ET) Favorite Opp Points For Points Against Win%
187 8:00 PM OKLA •Upset Watch• @ BAYLOR 42.3 40.2 54.7%
OVER/UNDER PICKS
Home Rot Time (ET) Matchup Line Total Points Pick Pick% $
188 8:00 PM OKLA @ BAYLOR 77 82.4 Over 55.3% $31

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Sports Insights

NCAAF Best Bets 40-53 -16.31 units

Game Time (ET) Play Best Line
11/14 12:00 PM 133 Play on MD 14-108
11/14 12:00 PM 140 Play on ARMY -2.5-118
11/14 12:30 PM 157 Play on NC-ST Over 52.5-110
11/14 10:45 PM 166 Play on UCLA -9.5-108
11/14 3:30 PM 178 Play on NAVY Under 63-110
11/14 3:30 PM 180 Play on IA-ST Under 63.5-108
11/14 3:30 PM 192 Play on TROY Under 56.5-108

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Ben Burns

Breakfast club - Pitt
Cust app - west vir
Best bet - wash
GOM - lsu
Blue marlin - San Diego st

 

[polishrebel]

GMC CFB Selections

171 Alabama
204 Arizona
210 Stanford

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Fat Jack

THERE ARE 6 FOOTBALL SELECTIONS ON SATURDAY
#166 UCLA -10
#172 MISSISSIPPI STATE +8
#192 TROY +6.5
#202 LOUISVILLE -14
#209 oregon UNDER 69
#212 BOISE STATE -30

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Hank WINS

500* utah st -2

500* Fla int +11

500* S FLA+3

400* w virginia-8.5

300* tulane +2.5

200* louv -13.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Marc Lawerance Perfect system club
CLASSY HOME DOG


PLAY ON any .700 or greater college football home dog of more than 5 points from Game Six out off back-to-back SU wins who allows less than 19.5 PPG if they won 8 or more games last season and they were either a dog or favorite of less than 17 points in their last game, provided they are facing a conference opponent off an ATS win.


ATS W-L Record Since 1992: 12-0-1


Play On: Mississippi State


Rationale: Conference home dogs with a solid defense and a pedigree for winning tend to get up when facing opponents off a spread win.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jeff barone sports
ncaaf- rice +8 s miss (330pm) ** 2 unit selection **
ncaaf- memphis/houston over 71 (7pm)
ncaaf- ucla -10 washington state (1045pm)
ncaaf- fresno st/hawaii over 55 (11pm)

PATRICK DAME- "The Numbers Guru"
NCAAF- GEORGIA SOUTHERN -6 TROY (330PM) ** 2 UNIT SELECTION **
NCAAF- TEMPLE -140 SOUTH FLORIDA (7PM)
NCAAF- NORTHWESTERN -15 PURDUE (12PM)
NCAAF- WEST VIRGINA -8.5 TEXAS (12PM)

David mires system
ncaaf- arkansas st -14 ul monroe (3pm) ** 2 unit selection **
ncaaf- tulane/army under 44 (12pm) ** 2 unit selection **
ncaaf- iowa st +14 oklahoma state (330pm)
ncaaf- e michigan +7 massachusetts (3pm)
ncaaf- san jose st +1 nevada (4pm)

Larry "football"
ncaaf- florida st -8.5 nc state (1230pm) ** 2 unit selection **
ncaaf- north carolina -12.5 miami florida (330pm)
ncaaf- tulsa +18 cincinnati u (730pm)
ncaaf- s miss/rice over 61 (330pm)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

River City Sharps

It seems like the Sharps have been on this Appalachian State team every week this season, but they have been good to us and we look towards the Mountaineers again this week as they travel to 3-6 Idaho. App State is 7-2 on the season, but coming off a disappointing 40-27 home loss to Arkansas State. The story of Idaho’s struggles has been their defense, evidenced by their last two losses where they gave up 55 and 52 points against New Mexico St. and South Alabama respectively. That’s really bad news as they are going to face a Mountaineer offense that is generating almost 39 PPG and 488 total yards per game on the road. The road has been kind to the Mountaineers as they are 6-1 against the number in their last seven roadies and 4-1 ATS in their last five games following a straight up loss. The Vandals are an amazing 0-9 ATS when playing a team with a winning record over the past three seasons and just 9-20 ATS in their last 29 home games. This is a classic bounce back spot for App State against a porous defense and we actually have this graded out as a 25 point win for the visitors. Plenty of value under three scores and we’re going to back the Mountaineers in this spot. The Sharps say…

3 Units – Appalachian State (-19)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

SB Professor Original NCAAF Picks

System play:
Houston -7


Other game:
Baylor -2.5

 

[BuzzKill]

FYI - Up to date football newsletters are available in the Newsletter Thread in the Rubber Room