Service Plays Saturday 1/14/17

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

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GL!

 

[d3nv3r]

Halfmoon (5-3 Last week - 70-39-4 64% season)

Saturday Divisional:

ATL -4.5
OV 51

NE -16
UN 44.5

Sunday Divisional:

DAL -4
OV 52

PIT +2
UN 45

 

[Yankees5560]

Fezzik

3*
atl -3.5 released earlier

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Greg shaker

3* Houston / New England under 45

 

[swaminator]

Seattle
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[jw777]

[h=1]THE HERD’S BLAZIN’ FIVE (Blase 4) PICKS NFL 2017 NFL Playoffs Divisional Round Picks (Season Record 45-36-3)[/h]
Seattle at Atlanta (-5) –
Pittsburgh at Kansas City (-1.5) –
Green Bay (+4.5) at Dallas –
Houston (+16) at New England –

 

[jw777]

[h=1]Cousin Sal 2017 NFL Divisional Round Picks[/h]
Seattle at Atlanta (-4.5) –
Pittsburgh at Kansas City (-1.5) –


and

Two team 6 point teaser for $600

• Houston at New England (-10) –
• Green Bay (+10) at Dallas –

 

[adeleke]

Mike Francesa = WFAN - Regular Season (28-18) Playoffs (3-1)
Atl (38-24)
NE (34-10)

 

[tgunn11]

Football Crusher
Seattle Seahawks +4.5 over Atlanta Falcons
(System Record: 38-4, won last game)
Overall Record: 38-50-1

Rest of the Plays
none

 

[tgunn11]

Hockey Crusher
Buffalo Sabres + Carolina Hurricanes OVER 5 (pending)
Pittsburgh Penguins -160 over Detroit Red Wings
(System Record: 34-3, lost last 2 games)
Overall Record: 34-43-10

Rest of the Plays
San Jose Sharks -165 over St. Louis Blues

 

[tgunn11]

Basketball Crusher
Central Michigan +1.5 over Toledo (pending)
Georgia +10.5 over Florida
(System Record: 36-2, won last 2 games)
Overall Record: 36-42-1

Rest of the Plays
Bowling Green +1 over Northern Illinois
Austin Peay +8 over Eastern Illinois
Penn State -1 over Minnesota

 

[tgunn11]

Soccer Crusher
Burton Albion + Wigan UNDER 2.5
This match happening in England
(System Record: 1083-33, won last 3 games and a push)
Overall Record: 1083-824-174

 

[sportscrazy]

Norm Hitzges
SATURDAY

DOUBLE PLAY: New England -16 Houston

SINGLE PLAYS: Atlanta -5 Seattle
Atlanta--Seattle OVER 51

SUNDAY

DOUBLE PLAYS: Pittsburgh +1 1/2 Kansas City
Dallas--Green Bay OVER 52

SINGLE PLAY: Green Bay +4 1/2 Dallas

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Scott Rickenbach

Saturday Daytime Dominator - Rickenbach NFL 8* Seattle Seahawks (+) @ Atlanta Falcons @ 4:35 ET - I have a ton of respect for the Falcons offense but they're facing a red hot Seattle defense and, make no bones about it, the Atlanta defense is a major weakness. That said, the Seahawks have been moving the ball very well and I just don't see the porous defense of the Falcons as being capable of stopping them. Based on yardage allowed, the Falcons rank 25th in the NFL on defense while the Seahawks rank 5th in the league! Another concern for Atlanta here is that they haven't tough competition since their very first game of December. That was against the Chiefs and Atlanta lost even though they were at home. Since the, the Falcons played 4 games against the two worst teams in their division and the two worst teams in the Seahawks division. The combined record of those 4 teams was 19-45. That certainly didn't help Atlanta in terms of being "game ready" for this one and sometimes the week off can actually hurt a teams rhythm on offense. As for Seattle, they've had to face the top two teams in the NFC North in the past few weeks. The Packers (an ugly loss but an aberration for the Seahawks) and the Lions combined to go 19-13 in the regular season. Seattle did beat the Patriots in New England earlier this season and they are 3-0 ATS as an underdog this season! The Seahawks also won all 4 games this season when facing a team with a winning record and Seattle is 10-2 SU on turf this season! Surprisingly, the Falcons are only 1-4 ATS this season in home games with a posted total of 49.5 points or more. Atlanta has trouble "putting teams away" and has gone 8-18 ATS as a favorite the last 3 seasons and 2-8 ATS when off of a win against a division rival and the Falcons are a long-term 3-11 ATS in playoff games. It's hard to argue against the better defense here and a more "proven team" in terms of playoff experience. The Hawks are hungry! 8* SEATTLE plus the points Saturday afternoon



Saturday Night Special - Rickenbach NFL 8* Houston Texans (+) @ New England Patriots @ 8:15 ET - No one will give the Texans a chance here and I completely understand that, and yet, it has given us very strong line value on Houston in this match-up. Even though hosting a wounded Oakland team last week is nothing like facing a powerful Patriots team in New England, last week's win did quite a lot for Houston. It gives the Texans added confidence in QB Brock Osweiler and it allowed the defense to stay "in the zone" as Houston's D continues to be among the most dominating units in the league. That said, and especially with consideration to the factor that Rob Gronkowski is out, I don't buy into the Pats being more than two TD's better than the Texans. I am certainly well aware of the fact that the Texans go ripped by New England earlier this season and that Tom Brady didn't even play in that game. However, that was a turnover-fueled victory for the Patriots. Houston turned the ball over 3 times (compared to 0 for the Pats) and that was a key factor in why New England won 27-0 at Houston despite the yardage being very nearly equal! In fact, the Texans have now held the Patriots to 313 yards or less in each of the last 2 meetings and it helps that this will be their third time seeing New England in the past 13 months. The Pats, as a result of being 13-3 ATS this season, are simply over-priced here. The Texans defense is fired up about this chance at redemption against the Patriots and the offense is rejuvenated thanks to 4 wins in their last 5 games and Osweiler looking like he definitely learned a few things after being relegated to back-up duty. In the divisional round, #1 seeds have gone just 7-19 ATS the last 13 years. The Pats, of course, are the #1 seed in the AFC, and they have no reason to try and "run up the score" here and against a solid Texans defense I doubt they'll even have the chance. Grab the huge points as this Texans team come into this one with some newfound confidence and a defense that, deservedly, has a swagger in its step! 8* HOUSTON plus the big points Saturday evening

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

mti game of the year

seattle

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

King Creole NFL

3* Atl over 51 Playoff Game of the Year

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

ASI

Jeff (23-31 -18.88)
ne patriots -15 hou texans (815pm)

Larry (17-27 -22.90)
sea seahawks /atl falcons over 51.5 (430pm)

SOCCER
SIMON- January Record (1-3 -2.73) Season Record (1-3 -2.73)
Saturday 1/14
TURKEY - SUPER LIG - Jan 14
(UNDER 2.5 -103) Caykur Rizespor @ Alanyaspor (530AM)
ENGLAND - LEAGUE 1 - Jan 14
(UNDER 2.5 -119) Oxford UTD @ AFC Wimbledon (10AM)
ENGLAND - LEAGUE 2 - Jan 14
(UNDER 2.5 -125) Blackpool @ Cambridge United (10AM)
ENGLAND - PREMIER LEAGUE - Jan 14
(UNDER 2.5 -114) Stoke City @ Sunderland (10AM)
PORTUGAL - 1 LIGA - Jan 14
(UNDER 2.5 -139) Guimaraes @ Feirense (330PM)

 

[havoc3011]

Asp has seahawks and teaser seahawks/patriots.

 

[BuzzKill]

FYI - Up to date football and basketball newsletters are available in the newsletter thread in the Rubber Room.

 

[sportscrazy]

Randall the Handall

Seahawks 11-5-1 at Falcons 11-5
LINE: ATLANTA by 5
Atlanta QB Matt Ryan is the odds on favourite to win this season’s most valuable player award and rightfully so as Matty Ice put together an outstanding year that saw his team rank first in scoring, second in both yardage and passing yards while a strong ground game ranked fifth overall. Ryan has a variety of offensive weapons at his disposal — most notably premier WR Julio Jones — which has allowed the Falcons to outgun the majority of opponents he’s faced this year. We’re not so sure that the same philosophy will work here though. Atlanta’s 2016 docket did not feature a lot of physical foes and its high-powered offence was the beneficiary, averaging a league leading 33.8 points per game. However, when facing more concrete opposition, things were not as rosy with the Falcons averaging just 20.7 points per game against teams like the Eagles, Broncos and these Seahawks. We’re not condemning this host as they’ve put together a very commendable season but it is Seattle that has the credentials that earns our endorsement for this contest. The Seahawks are receiving a generous amount of points to a team they’ve already defeated this season. Granted, that 26-24 victory was in Seattle but it’s not like Atlanta has used the Georgia Dome to its advantage, going just 15-16 straight up and 13-18 vs. spread here in past three years. It also marks only the third time all year that Pete Carroll’s club will be receiving points, covering both previous occasions when taking 2½ at Arizona and 7½ at New England. Accepting these points with a defence that ranks highly in nearly all pertinent categories is sound. Flipping things around, Seattle’s offence can do some damage to a vulnerable Falcons’ defence that Atlanta has been able to mask with its proficient offence. A healthy Russell Wilson can exploit an opponent that allows 25.4 points per game (27th ranked) and 281 passing yards (28th ranked) in this all important matchup. An experienced playoff team that was giving away eight points last week (and covered) is now taking back five points against a team that still hasn’t quite earned the respect it is asking for here. We’ll stick with the known entity.
TAKING: SEAHAWKS +5

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Steelers 12-5 at Chiefs 12-4
LINE: KANSAS CITY by 1½
Turnabout is fair play. So when the Steelers redeemed themselves with a relatively easy win over the Dolphins last week after Miami had trounced Pittsburgh earlier in the regular season, we won’t be surprised to see the Chiefs return the favour here after receiving a 43-14 thumping to the Steelers back in early October. Of course, with Pittsburgh’s arsenal of offensive talent, a tightly fought contest is expected. But just needing a narrow win to get a cover here is our preferred recommendation. Kansas City has had an added week to prepare. If Andy Reid’s history is worthwhile in such situations, then the Chiefs hold a strong edge. When given an extra week of data to study, the veteran coach owns a 17-2 mark in his team’s return game. That stellar mark has spilled into the playoffs as well with Reid coached teams a perfect 4-0 when awaiting a wild-card winner. History aside, we like K.C.’s ball-hawking ability as the defence was tied for the league lead in takeaway ratio at +16 this season while leading solely in interceptions with 18. While we respect QB Ben Roethlisberger’s throwing abilities, we’ve also seen him make too many bonehead throws in his day, including a pair against the Dolphins last week, luckily without consequence. We also don’t know how badly Ben’s foot injury. Even if the foot is not an issue, Roethlisberger has been far less effective on the road than at home this season. As a visitor, Big Ben is completing just 59.4% of his passes with nine tds, eight interceptions and a 78.4 passer rating compared to 70.8% completion rate, 20 TDs, just five picks and a 116.7 passer rating at Heinz Field. The first meeting got away early on the Chiefs due to turnovers on a rainy day in Pittsburgh. Dynamic Tyreek Hill was both figuratively and literally getting his feet wet that day. He’s been a game-changer since and when you combine his speed and big play ability to go along with KC’s opportunistic defence and revved up home crowd, Kansas City gets the nod.
TAKING: CHIEFS –1½

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Texans 10-7 at Patriots 14-2
LINE: NEW ENGLAND by 15
There aren’t a lot of secrets here. Nor are there many people interested in backing the Texans in this matchup. Rooting for a Houston team that has severe offensive issues and that now faces a New England club that gave up the fewest points in the league is only for the brave-hearted. But if you can stomach it, a reward can be forthcoming after 60 minutes of play. This is an awful lot of points to be receiving with a team that relinquished the least amount of yards in the NFL this season. This stingy Houston defence has kept its team in games on more than one occasion and has plenty of room to do the same here. We all expect New England to win this game. The question becomes by how many? The oddsmaker had a similar dilemma, wondering where to place this pointspread. He started at Patriots -14½. The sheeple stampeded to the window to lay the points, driving it as high as -16. Then the influential bettors bought the Texans at the lofty number, reducing it back to its current -15. We have to think that there is value in that number. New England is a very good team. Its strong defence gets overlooked because Tom Brady and his offence is so graceful and dangerous. But even Brady is human and not having his favourite target in the lineup is another plus for the big takeback as TE Rob Gronkowski remains sidelined. The Patriots are smart and they know how to win games. They don’t need to win by huge margins to prove their worth. This will be Tom Brady’s 32nd playoff game in this uniform. His team has covered just 14 of previous 31 post-season games. In addition, No. 12 holds an 18-24 ATS mark as a home favourite of nine or more since the 2007 season. Houston has allowed more than 27 points just once this season. Keeping the Pats in that range, should earn the Texans a cover. We’ll close our eyes, plug our noses and lean to the dog.
TAKING: TEXANS +15

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Packers 11-6 at Cowboys 13-3
LINE: DALLAS by 4½
Funny game, this football is. The Cowboys were a 4-12 team a year ago, good for last place in the NFC East. Then a serious pre-season injury to star quarterback Tony Romo appeared to doom the team for this campaign. After all, Dallas would be forced to go with a rookie fourth-round pick at QB, alongside a rookie running back. Then, as football miracles go, one occurred as QB Dak Prescott had an unprecedented year (3,367 yards passing, 23-4 TD-INT, six rushing TDs, 104.9 passer rating), RB Ezekiel Elliott was as good or better than advertised after leading the league in rushing with 1,631 yards, and the ’Boys ended up with the best record in the NFC. Accompanying those two, Dallas offers a strong offensive line, a top rated receiver and an improved defence. But it’s still not enough to be lined up as a significant favourite here. Prescott is a 4½-point favourite over the best pure passer in the NFL. And it just so happens that Aaron Rodgers is on fire. After his team had some early season struggles, the two-time MVP threw for 19 majors and zero interceptions in Green Bay’s final seven games while completing almost 70% of his passes. Rodgers’ hot hand carried over to the playoffs last week when torching the supposedly defensively sound Giants for four majors and 362 yards passing. Do those numbers justify receiving the most amount of points the Packers have been offered all year? We hardly think so. Playing away from Lambeau may concern some but, to us, it is just another positive as Rodgers has been excellent in enclosed stadiums, covering five of previous seven in controlled environments. Going back to 2011, rookie QBs are 0-6 against non-rookie QBs (in the playoffs). It’s not like the Cowboys are infallible. Dallas covered just one of its final six games, all as favourites. This underdog offers too much to be ignored.
TAKING: PACKERS +4½