Chris Jordan
Chris Jordan Saturday's winners ...
300♦ BAYLOR BEARS - Remember my free pick last week on UNLV and why my hometown Rebels would cover the number against Oregon State? It was an intangible no one else would dare think about ... especially in Vegas. The weather factor.
I'm linking the same comparison to this game, not to mention I love what coach Art Briles has done for Baylor and have been a big believer since going on ESPN Radio last season to pronounce him as having the biggest coaching impact in the Big 12 for a turnaround program.
Let's start with the weather though ... there's something about coming from a climate that has overnight lows in the 40's, and average temperatures in the cooler 70s, and having to play in the sticky, humid, hot weather. From Storrs, Connecticut to Waco, Texas in mid-September - it makes a difference.
So even though you saw the Huskies lose impressively to North Carolina, I'm telling you now, those big boys from UConn have no clue what they're in store for tonight in that weather, once the fourth quarter rolls around.
But Briles does. And he's going to have his finely tuned offensive scheme running and gunning the first three quarters. That way when the Huskies run out of gas, the hometown Bears can get grizzly and pull away for a win and cover.
And don't forget, the Bears have been hibernating for two weeks. After going to Wake Forest and winning 24-21, they took last week off. U Conn, in the meantime, has been challenged by Ohio, 23-16 in Week 1, and then lost to the Tar Heels last week.
UConn's passing offense has sputtered - it ranks 116th in the nation. The scoring offense is terrible - it ranks 101st in the nation. And the Pass Efficiency defense has been less than spectacular - it's 83rd in the nation.
Baylor on the other hand has plenty to play for in this one. With a win over an ACC foe, a win against a Big East opponent could go a long way when Bowl Committees get together in about 2-1/2 months. On deck are two more home games against Northwestern State and Kent State. Neither will send the Bears to an impressive bowl, as they should be expected to win those games. After that, the Big 12 schedule kicks in.
And don't think for a minute Baylor doesn't believe it can head into the conference slate 4-0. I know it can.
These two met last year and U Conn squeaked out the win up North. But here in the 95 percent humidity under 88 degrees of heat ... the Huskies will be done by mid-third quarter, while Briles' Bears will be heating up!!!
Lay the chalk.
100♦ SOUTHERN MISS GOLDEN EAGLES - Big nasty Virginia. I know all about its size. But I'm not concerned in the least bit.
Southern Miss has tuned up nicely with a 52-0 win over Alcorn State and a 26-19 knock off of Central Florida. For its efforts, USM ranks 13th in the country with its offense and 22nd with the scoring offense. And the stop uinit, 9th overall, 16th in scoring and 7th against the rush.
Now, that being said, I understand this is the ACC. Those were cupcakes with icing. But I also know the Cavaliers are struggling to get into a groove with their new 3-4 defensive scheme, and are still looking for consistency with the special teams unit.
After two losses - including a 26-14 setback to William and Mary - Virginia's scoring defense ranks 91st in scoring and 71st overall. With its special teams, how's about 116th in kick returns and 53 in punt returns. Now here's where it gets worse: Passing offense (113th), Rushing offense (99th), Scoring offense (103rd) and Total offense (112th).
Not exactly a ring-a-ding-ding start to the 2009 season.
I don't see Virginia hanging tough at all with Southern Miss and will gladly lay the points with this one
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