JACK JONES
Chicago White Sox vs Milwaukee BrewersMilwaukee Brewers
Milwaukee Brewers -127
Take the Brewers tonight to beat the Chicago White Sox. We have two struggling starters on the mound, but Chicago starter, Jose Contreras, has been awful on the road this season. In 3 road starts, Contreras is 0-3 with a 10.94 ERA and a 2.07 WHIP. The Brewers start Manny Parra, who despite his overall 3-7 record, has pitched well at home, earning a 3.65 ERA and a 1.38 WHIP in 4 home starts this season. The White Sox have struggled this season against left-handed starters, hitting just .240 as a team and scoring only 4.1 runs per game. With their win over the White Sox last night, the Brewers are now 17-12 at home and should pick up another victory in Milwaukee over Chicago.
MLB | Jun 13 '09 (7:05p)
Detroit Tigers vs Pittsburgh PiratesPittsburgh Pirates
Pittsburgh Pirates -116
I'm on the Pirates over the Tigers tonight with Zach Duke on the mound for the Bucs. Duke has been the ace of the Pittsburgh staff this season, sporting a 6-4 record, a 3.07 ERA, and a 1.20 WHIP. All of his numbers improve when he pitches in Pittsburgh, his ERA dropping to 2.66 and WHIP to 1.09 in 6 starts, where he has earned a 4-2 record. The Tigers throw Armando Galarraga, who is 3-6 on the season with an ERA over 5.00. Galarraga's struggles this year have come mostly on the road, where he is just 1-3 with a 5.20 ERA and a 1.60 WHIP. Pitt is tough to handle at home, where they are 15-12 this season, and behind Zach Duke they give themselves their best chance to win games.
MLB | Jun 13 '09 (7:05p)
Boston Red Sox vs Philadelphia PhilliesPhiladelphia Phillies
Philadelphia Phillies -119
The Phillies are the play in Philadelphia against the Red Sox Saturday. Daisuke Matsuzaka is still struggling this year, going 1-2 with a 5.17 ERA and a 19.8 WHIP in his last three starts, which actually improved his overall numbers on the season to 1-4 with a 7.33 ERA and a 2.11 WHIP. Until Dice-K shows he can put together a quality start, the Red Sox are going to be in trouble when he steps on the mound. The Phillies are one of the better scoring teams in baseball, averaging 5.4 runs per game. Boston walked away with Game 1 in the series with a very strong show from Jon Lester, but I doubt they will get the same support from Dice-K tonight. Take the Phillies.
MLB | Jun 13 '09 (8:05p)
Los Angeles Dodgers vs Texas Rangers
Dodgers/Rangers UNDER 9.5
Similar to last night's game, this total is far too high for two teams that have really been struggling at the plate. The Dodgers are hitting just .242 as a team and averaging only 2.3 runs per game over their last 7, while the Rangers are batting only .211 as a team and averaging 3.1 runs per game over their last 7. Combine those poor hitting stats with the stats for the two starters tonight, and the under is an easy play. Dodgers starter, Randy Wolf has posted a 3.29 ERA on the road this season, while Texas' starter, Scott Feldman has just a 3.00 ERA this season at home. The Rangers won last night's game 6-0, but until both teams start putting up some runs, the smart money is on the under when these two match up.
MLB | Jun 13 '09 (8:10p)
Houston Astros vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Astros/D-Backs OVER 9.5
These typically aren't teams that score a lot of runs, but that should change tonight with two struggling pitchers on the mound. We'll start with Jon Garland, who is 0-3 in his last 3 starts with a 8.80 ERA and a WHIP over 2.00. We'll add that to Roy Oswalt, who has never really gotten it together this year, posting a 5.21 ERA and a 1.42 WHIP over his last three starts. The Over is 7-1 in Arizona's last 8 games overall and 6-3 in Houston's last 9 overall. For two teams that don't score many runs, they have a tendency to give up a lot. I'm looking for both of them to do just that tonight.