Service Plays Saturday 03/21/09

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To all services and professional handicappers. I am only going to be editing posts where your copyrighted write-ups are involved. Please do not email me if someone simply posts so and so likes xyz team plus or minus so many points only.
Thank you, wilheim..

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Bullitt
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Raging Bull

Soccer:

Leeds Utd/Crewe over 2.5 (English League 1)

Forest Green Rovers/Altrincham over 2.5 (English Conference)

Villarreal -150 (Spain La Liga)
 

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Malinsky

6- Gonzaga -10

5- Villanova -1.5

4- Purdue +1



0-6-1 Friday
 

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Mike Collins's Tourney Game of the Decade

100 Dime - Villanova Wildcats
 

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Analyst: Rob Rosenhaus
50,000 DIME TOURNEY DOG


50,000 DIME Maryland


paid and confirmed
 
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Statfox

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Supersituations picks:
Texas A&M 7*
LSU 5*
and in the Totals have 6-1 for the UNDERS again with one =no edge. Highest rated by far is Mich/Okla UNDER with 26 *
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Dave Cokin

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->527) PURDUE
(528) WASHINGTON
Take "(528) WASHINGTON"

Purdue looked okay in their opening round win over Northern Iowa, but Washington was better as they dispatched Mississippi State. The performance thus far of the Big 10 in comparison to the PAC 10 can certainly be factored into this game, and the site clearly favors the left coast squad as well. This should be one of the best second round games as Purdue is a very capable entry and the Huskies are a solid team. It's too close on paper for me to take a strong stand, but I'll lean to Washington to move on to the Sweet 16.
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Jim Feist

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->(511) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS
(512) MILWAUKEE BUCKS
Take "(511) PORTLAND TRAILBLAZERS"

Cleveland has only one loss at home all season, and they almost got another the last game, as the talented Blazers took them to overtime. The Cavs escaped with the 97-92 win. "Our guys stepped up. Fought hard. In a nasty game," said Roy, who nearly matched James' triple double with 24 points, seven rebounds and seven assists. Now they face a far easier opponent, the banged up Bucks. Portland is healthier with Greg Oden back, and in a tight playoff race for seeding. Milwaukee has lost 3 of 4 games. with the defensive getting smoked by the Magic, Hornets and Knicks. Play the Blazers.
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Mighty Quinn

Mighty hit with Arizona ( 1-1/2) Friday night.

Saturday it's North Carolina and Purdue. The surplus is 425 sirignanos.
 

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Karl Garrett

40 DIMER - MARYLAND TERPS....10 DIMERS - DUKE, & VILLANOVA
40 DIMER - MARYLAND TERRAPINS



The enigmatic Terps seem to finally have ALL the lights on the marquee on these days, and I am thinking they will give Memphis a game from start to finish in this spot.



The Terrapins played a solid 40-minutes in their opening round win over Cal, obviously Memphis presents a totally different challenge, but after watching Cal State Northridge extend the Tigers, I don't see any reason the Terps can't duplicate that effort.



Maryland has now covered their last 4 games overall, and their last 4 when dressed as the dog. 5-1 is Maryland's underdog mark their last 6, and with the Tigers riding that massive winning streak, they are going to be overpriced pretty much in every game they play in this Big Dance.



Terps have been battled-tested playing in the ACC, and they are there all the way today!



40 Dime Dog Shocker winner # 9 in a row on MARYLAND!



10 DIMER - DUKE BLUE DEVILS



I am not a believer in Texas, and while they are getting a few points here against # 2 seed Duke, I can't back the Longhorns who are on a 4-10-1 against the spread run their last 15 games overall.



Duke has a way of playing teams close, then all of the sudden they are up by double-digits, and cover games they have no business covering. This game sets up exactly that way, and in the end, the Devils will find a way to get on top of this number.



The Blue Devils have dropped just 1 of their last 10 games straight up, and they have covered in 6 of their last 9 against the spread. With this game being played in the "friendly" confines of Greensboro, I have no issue laying an extra point or two with Coach K's squad.



Longhorns heading home after this one, take Duke.



10 DIMER - VILLANOVA WILDCATS



Jay Wright's Wildcats were certainly put to the test by American the other night, but it appears as though they got their wake-up call in coming all the way back from 14-points down to win going away by 13.



UCLA's inability to decisively close out their game versus VCU shows they are vunerable here. This is pretty much a home game for the Wildcats, and I expect them to have even more support in the stands then they did on Thursday, as it is going to be hard for the west coast Bruins to get any love in the building this afternoon.



The game is pretty much a pick-em battle, and although 'Nova has failed their last 3, and 5 of 7 against the spread, I think they come through here and advance to the Sweet Sixteen.



Take the Wildcats.
Today's Complimentary Selection

Well, the G-Man gave you Gonzaga as a Bonus Play loser on Thursday, but I will come right back with them tonight, as the Bulldogs did enjoy a 19-point lead on Akron around the 2-minute mark on Thursday, only to leave the back-door open for the Zips.

That won't be the case tonight, as I expect Mark Few's team to be focused from the get-go in this one, and I expect the 'Zags to make this one look easy.

Western Kentucky's near collapse against Illinois tells me all I need to know about this game, as the Hilltoppers had more late game turnovers than the Pillsbury Doughboy, and I suspect if Goinzaga applies a little early defensive pressure, this is the 'Zags game to lose.

Of course playing in Portland also helps matters for the Bulldogs who have now won 10 straight, and 19 of their last 20 overall.

The Bulldogs are also on a 5-2 spread run their last 7 lined games.

Going to play Gonzaga to once again put up a double-digit win, only this time they get the cover!


4? GONZAGA
(on a 1? to 5? basis)
 

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Budin

SATURDAY'S PICK

25 DIME



VILLANOVA



This line ranges between Villanova -1 1/2 and -2 as this play is released.



If you have Villanova -1 1/2, I suggest you buy down the 1/2 point to -1 so you get the push should Villanova win by one.



If your line is -2, buy down the 1/2 point to -1 1/2 so you get the win should Villanova win by two.



If this line moves to -2 1/2, even after shopping around, buy down the 1/2 point to

-2 so you get the push should Villanova only win by two.
 
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Joe Wiz Bonus Plays

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Virginia Tech
Knicks
Atlanta Hawks
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Jeff Scott

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->4 UNIT PLAY

Oklahoma -6.5 over Michigan

The Wolverines are 3-7 ATS in their last 10 neutral site games as an underdog, while the Sooners are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5. Michigan has had a nice year, going 21-13 overall, but struggling whenthey take to the road as they are just 7-10. Michigan has played well defensively this year as they have allowed just 63.2 ppg overall and 57.6 ppg in their last 5 games, but if this team hopes to compete in this one they will have to do a better job offensively. Michigan comes in averaging66.7 ppg overall, but just 60.6 ppg away from home and 61.8 ppg in their last 5 games. Today they wil be facing a Sooner squad that does allow 67.4 ppg overall, but they are 20th in the nation in defensive FG% as they have allowed teams to shoot for just 39.4%. The Sooners offense is where the biggest edge in this game goes to. Oklahoma has averaged a healthy79.3 ppg overall (11th) and they are 3rd in FG% (49.1%), plus they have averaged 75.2 ppg on 49.6% shooting in ther neutral site games and 75.4 ppg on 50.6 ppg in their last 5 games. No way Michigan can match the Sooners point for point in this one and just lie the UConn game the Wolverines will run out of gas down the stretch, as Oklahoma pulls away for a solid double digit win.


3 UNIT PLAY

Maryland/ Memphis Over 132

The Over is 4-0 in Terrapins last 4 NCAA Tournament games as an underdog and 22-8 in their last 30 Saturday games, while the Over is 7-1 in Tigers last 8 NCAA Tournament games. Ok we all know about how strong the Memphs defense has been down the stretch, but they did just allow CS Northridge to get 70 points in their first round game. Memphis has allowed just 57.6 ppg in their neutral site games this year, but that number jumps to 68.5 ppg when they face a non- Conference USA opponent. THeir 4 neutral site games vs non-conf opponents have averaged 145 ppg. Memphis has allowed just 57.3 ppg overall, but 61.3 ppg vs non-conf opponents. Maryland has put up 71.8 ppg overall, 69.6 ppg in their neutral site games and 73.5 ppg in their last 4 games. I feel that Maryland has an excellent shot at hitting 62+ points in this one. That's good news as the Memphis Tigers should be good for at least 70+. Memphis has averaged 74.3 ppg overall and 70.7 ppg in their neutral site games, plus they have averaged 76.7 ppg vs non-conf opponents this year. The will be facing a maryland team that has struggled on defense when not playimg on their home floor as they have allowed 71.9 ppg when traveling this year. Memphis' non conf games have averaged 138 ppg, while Maryland's games have averaged 140.3 ppg overall. I see this one in the 140's as well.


2 UNIT PLAY

UConn/ Texas A$M over 139

The Over is 5-0 in Aggies last 5 overall, while the Over is 10-2-1 in Huskies last 13 games following a SU win of more than 20 points and 13-3 in their last 16 neutral site games as a favorite. A&M's neutral sirte games have averaged 144 ppg, while UConn's neutral games have averaged 167.8 ppg. UConn has averaged 78.1 ppg on the year, including 89 ppg in their last 5 games and 91.5 ppg on a neutral floor. The Aggies have averaged 83.4 ppg in their last 5 games 71.8 ppg overall and 73.4 ppg on a neutral floor. Both teams can push the ball and I see this one in the 150's.


1 UNIT PLAY

UCLA/ Villanova Under 145

The Under is 4-1 in Bruins last 5 neutral site games and 9-3 in their last 12 vs. Big East, while the Under is 8-1 in Wildcats last 9 non-conference games. The Bruins had been involved in higher scoring than tey were accustomed to during the middle part of the year, but things have reverted back to normal down the stretch as their last 6 games have averaged just 133.5 ppg. The Bruin defense is starting to assert itself once again as they have allowed just 60.8 ppg on just 40% shooting in their last 5 games, while they have allowed just 59.4 ppg on 41.7 shooting in their neutral site games. Villanova has allowed just 67 ppg on the year, including just 67.8 pg in their last 6 games. I just see too much defense in this one to think the teams can top 145 points.
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DCI NHL

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Dallas vs. SAN JOSE: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
MONTREAL 4, Toronto 3
N.Y. Islanders vs. OTTAWA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
N.Y. RANGERS 3, Buffalo 2
Washington vs. CAROLINA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Columbus vs. FLORIDA: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Atlanta vs. TAMPA BAY: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
Vancouver vs. PHOENIX: TOO CLOSE TO CALL
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DCI NBA

<!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->CLEVELAND 98, Atlanta 89
CHARLOTTE 103, Indiana 96
ORLANDO 113, New York 98
Boston 99, MEMPHIS 89
L.A. Lakers 108, CHICAGO 105
Portland 98, MILWAUKEE 95
PHOENIX 114, Washington 100
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DCI

NCAA Tournament
2nd Round
East Region
at Greensboro Coliseum, Greensboro, NC
Duke 77, Texas 67
at Wachovia Center, Philadelphia, PA
Villanova 73, Ucla 71
South Region
at Greensboro Coliseum, Greensboro, NC
North Carolina 89, Lsu 77
at Rose Garden Arena, Portland, OR
Gonzaga 75, Western Kentucky 66
at Sprint Center, Kansas City, MO
Oklahoma 71, Michigan 67
West Region
at Rose Garden Arena, Portland, OR
Washington 70, Purdue 68
at Sprint Center, Kansas City, MO
Memphis 72, Maryland 62
at Wachovia Center, Philadelphia, PA
Connecticut 74, Texas A&M 68
National Invitation Tournament
2nd Round
Auburn Bracket
at Blacksburg, VA
VIRGINIA TECH 80, Baylor 73
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<TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=5 width="100%"><TBODY><TR><TD vAlign=top width="85%" height="100%">THE SOCCER EXPERTS

German Bundesliga:
Bayer Leverkusen v Eintracht Frankfurt
Bet:Bayer Leverkusen to win


England premier league:
West Brom v Bolton
Bet:Over 2.5


France premier league:
Le Havre v Bordeaux
Bet:Bordeaux to win



NCAAB Teaser:
Texas A&M(9) vs Connecticut(1)
Bet:Connecticut -5
Maryland(10) vs Memphis(2)
Bet:Memphis -4

</TD></TR><TR><TD class=smalltext vAlign=bottom width="85%"><TABLE style="TABLE-LAYOUT: fixed" width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=smalltext width="100%" colSpan=2></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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