<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=2 width="100%" bgColor=#ffffff border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#ffffff><TD align=left colSpan=2>Handicapper: John Ryan</TD></TR><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#ffffff><TD align=left width="85%">New Mexico vs. Air Force (NCAAF) - 8:00 PM EDT</TD><TD>Premium Play</TD></TR><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#ffffff><TD align=left>Pick: Total: 45/-106 Under Play Title: UNDER for 7*</TD><TD align=left></TD></TR><TR vAlign=center bgColor=#ffffff><TD colSpan=8>[SIZE=-2]Click Here to View Pick Analysis[/SIZE]
Ai Simulator 7* graded play UNDER New Mexico/Air Force - AiS shows an 80% probability that there will be 45 or fewer points scored. AF defense will keep New Mexico at bay based on the AiS projections. New Mexico has a 90% probability that NM will gain 150 or fewer net passing yards. AF is 17-5 UNDER (+11.5 Units) when their defense allows 150 or less net passing yards since 1992.Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 54-19 for 74% since 2002. 56% of these games have covered the total by 7 or more points. Rare is it that you find any system that covers the spread by 7 or more points 40% of the time. Here is a second system that has gone 41-21 for 66% since 1997. Play under with all teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game and is now facing an opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game. New Mexico defeated San Diego State 70-7 as a a 17 point favorite. This conference wins puts them into a strong UNDER role noting they are 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) off a home win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. HC Long is also in a strong UNDER role noting he is Long is 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) off a home win against a conference rival. Based on the matchups this game shapes up to be a grind it out type played mostly between the 20's. Both teams can run the ball and no doubt AF will run 60+ times in this game and NM will run twice as much as it passes. Ball control will be the focus by both head coaches and that runs the clock and shortens the game. Take the UNDER.
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Ai Simulator 7* graded play UNDER New Mexico/Air Force - AiS shows an 80% probability that there will be 45 or fewer points scored. AF defense will keep New Mexico at bay based on the AiS projections. New Mexico has a 90% probability that NM will gain 150 or fewer net passing yards. AF is 17-5 UNDER (+11.5 Units) when their defense allows 150 or less net passing yards since 1992.Supporting this graded play is a strong system that has produced a record of 54-19 for 74% since 2002. 56% of these games have covered the total by 7 or more points. Rare is it that you find any system that covers the spread by 7 or more points 40% of the time. Here is a second system that has gone 41-21 for 66% since 1997. Play under with all teams where the total is between 42.5 and 49 after gaining 6.25 or more yards/play in their previous game and is now facing an opponent after gaining 6.75 or more yards/play in their previous game. New Mexico defeated San Diego State 70-7 as a a 17 point favorite. This conference wins puts them into a strong UNDER role noting they are 6-0 UNDER (+6.0 Units) off a home win against a conference rival over the last 3 seasons. HC Long is also in a strong UNDER role noting he is Long is 12-2 UNDER (+9.8 Units) off a home win against a conference rival. Based on the matchups this game shapes up to be a grind it out type played mostly between the 20's. Both teams can run the ball and no doubt AF will run 60+ times in this game and NM will run twice as much as it passes. Ball control will be the focus by both head coaches and that runs the clock and shortens the game. Take the UNDER.
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hno:
CPAW, obviously his friday night GOY is on san jose st. but do you have any idea which game is which for the rest? NCAA conf. GOY, college football roadkill, bailout blowout, conf. underdog GOY, sunday night GOY, etc... im assuming his 3 game TV package are all the 1* plays... get back to me if you know or anyone else knows... thanks
ointer:
