Service Plays New year's Day Friday 1/1/16

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MARC LAWENCE / PREFERRED PICKS

New Years Day
One and only Bowl GOY 10* NW +8.5
4* ND +6.5
3* Penn St +6.5
 

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Rainman:
10* Michigan -4
5* Tennessee -8
3* Iowa , Notre Dame +6
1* Ole Miss -7
 
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GC: Fiesta Bowl

New Years Day 4 Game Bowl Pack including a Rare 6* Release. All plays from perfect systems with Multiple angles. NBA Cashed big again NOW 23-10 Run. Big Undefeated super system Up along with NCAAB Road warrior. Fiesta bowl play below.

The Fiesta bowl play is on Ohio. St. at 1:00 eastern on ESPN. The Defending champs have to feel slighted with their ranking as they like many others have 1 loss on the season by 3 points at home to Michigan. St. Last out they took their frustration out on Michigan winning 42-13. Now they take on a Notre Dame team that they won and covered against all 3 times in the series. Coach Meyer will have them ready here as they are 7-1 vs bowl teams and +98 yards in those matchups. They allow a mere 14 points per game. Notre Dame is 2-8 to the spread in January games and has failed to cover 4 of the last 5 vs BIG 10 teams. Ohio. St has better overall rushing numbers on both sides of the ball. We will back them today in the Fiesta Bowl. On New Years day we start out 2016 big with a 4 Game Bowl Pack with a Rare 6* and two big 5* all from perfect systems and statistical indicators. NBA has cashed 23 of 33 and we have a perfect system side up along with an NCAAB Dominator. Get on now and get the year started off big. For the free Fiesta Bowl play. Go with Ohio. St. GC
 
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Ben Burns football

Blue chip total - nwest/tenn over
Per fav - Ohio st
Best bet - fla
Roast - Iowa
Gow - Oklahoma st
 
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Root

MILL--Notre Dame +
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Perfect Play--Oklahoma State +

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Inner Circle--Iowa +

The PAC-12 plays home to some strong offensive lines but Iowa will present the Cardinal front seven with its stiffest test in the Rose Bowl. The offensive line and the patience and discipline of the Hawkeyes backfield is a difference maker in this game between Iowa and Stanford. Iowa needs to keep the Cardinal’s high-octane offense on the sideline and eat up the clock.The Hawkeyes should feel good about their chances to rush the ball. The running backs should be able to solve the Cardinal 3-4 defense. As a quick comparison between Iowa and two other similar teams pertaining to rushing the football, Notre Dame and USC maintained a 7.4 yards per carry average with every running back getting a handoff while playing against Stanford. The best part of about effective running really happens on the other side of the ball as the Hawkeyes get to rest their defense. The Hawkeyes may be the more motivated as the Hawkeyes haven’t won a bowl game since the 2010 season. 1958 was the last time they won the Rose Bowl. If that is too basic, then stop Christian McCaffrey and you stopped the whole Stanford team.

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Pinnacle--Florida + ***Bowl Game of Year

Michigan can not score enough points to cover this spread. They don't have a difference maker on offense. They can't run the ball. And even if possible, UF defense allowed just 120.6 yards per game to rank 17th in the nation. The Wolverines have made zero noise other than the defensive side of the ball the entire season. They may not have truly recovered from their "bad beat" against Michigan St. Their final game may be proof that their season is over. Nobody should lose 42-13 at home unless they either had quit which is unlikely or unless they don't possess the talent. For Florida, this will be the last game for their two best offensive players. Kelvin Taylor and top wide receiver Demarcus Robinson are headed for the NFL draft. This game is another stepping stone to showcase their talents. They really need a big game against Michigan to impress the scouts. Points will be hard to come by which will bring the points into the game. Remember that the total is projected at 40 points scored so the spread Michigan is laying represents 10%. It's rather easy to make a case for the underdog with Michigan's lack of scoring.
 
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Marc Lawrence

CFB PLAYS
Friday Plays: 1-1-2016

CFB - 10* Game 264 - Northwestern (+8.5) - Outback Bowl - Friday - Bowl GOY
CFB - 4* Game 267 - Notre Dame (+6.5) - Fiesta Bowl - Friday
 
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Sports Locksmith

NCAAF:

Notre Dame/Ohio State Under 56.5 -110 3* 1:00 Eastern

Stanford/Iowa Under 54.5 -110 3* 5:00 Eastern
 
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We Pick Sports

NCAAF

Tennessee/Northwestern Under 47.5 (-110) 5* 12:00 ET

Michigan -4 (-110) 4* 1:00 ET
Oklahoma St./Ole Miss Over 67.5 (-110) 5* 8:30 ET
 
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SMART SPORTS INVESTMENTS

Risked 3 units to win 2.88
Notre Dame +6.5 -104 vs Ohio State
Notre Dame comes into this matchup with just two losses on the season, a 2 pt loss to undefeated #1 in the nation Clemson, and a 2 pt loss to the #9 team in the nation Stanford Cardinals. This is part of the reason I am backing the Irish with the points here. The Buckeyes were one win away from having a chance to defend their national championship, but couldn’t beat the Spartans who were playing their backup QB on their homefield. Ohio State swung back and forth with QBs all season, and never really saw great success from either Jones or Barrett, and will be heavily relying on Elliot to carry them to victory. The Irish have had success against some of the best in the nation, holding Stanford star RB McCafrey to just 3.5 yard per rush in their earlier matchup with the Cardinals. Our predictive model scores this 26-22 Ohio State, I’m thinking this will be decided by a late FG, and it could go either way. The smart money here, is on the Irish.
Risked 5 units to win 4.72

Michigan -4 -106 vs Florida
This is another battle of two great defenses, the difference is the Gators don’t have much in the way of offense. The Gators are 86th in the nation in scoring offense, and 114th in the nation in rushing offense. There just aren’t any real playmakers to be scared of here, if you are the Wolverines. Michigan is 5-1 ATS in their last six after an ATS loss. 5-1 ATS in their last six after a straight up loss. 9-3 ATS in their last 12 after giving up more than 200 yards on the ground. The defense could be considered a wash, although Michigan does boast the #3 pass defense in the nation, and seeing as how Florida can’t run the ball, points will be at a premium all day for the Gators. I can’t envision Florida scoring enough to cover this, the Wolverines should win by a TD or more.
Risked 4 units to win 3.92

Iowa +6 -102 vs Stanford
The Hawkeyes were just minutes away from a Big 10 Championship, and a shot at the college football playoff…well, if you are a college football fan, you know that didn’t end up happening, and the Spartans are playing on. This doesn’t take away from what was a great season for Iowa, and they have a chance to end it on a high note playing against #9 Stanford. Looking at this from a perspective of how Stanford played against another Big 10 opponent in Northwestern, the Cardinals could only muster 6 points, and Iowa is a superior defense to the Wildcats. Supporting their rock solid defense, is a QB who has only turned the ball over 3 times all season. Iowa will not beat themselves, so getting them with a 6 pt cushion is a nice spot for us. The Iowa Hawkeyes are 5-2 ATS in their last seven bowl games. 7-2 ATS in their last nine games on grass. 41-20-1 ATS in their last 62 games following a loss. Our scoring model grades this as a 24-20 Cardinals victory, although I won’t be shocked at all if the Hawkeyes win the game outright. A safer bet though, is on Iowa with the 6pts.
 

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