Service Plays Monday 9/30/13

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Please remember, this forum is not here for regular posters who cap their own games to post ther daily plays. Please use our individual sport forums to post your plays. Professional cappers (those that sell plays) must remain in the Site Promotion Forum.
Do not post any copy written info from the following services.


Advertise with the Rx - do not post
Al Mcmordie
Allan Eastman
Doc's Sports Services
Jim Feist
Ocal Sports
Robert Ferringo
Sports Money Profit System
Strike Point Sports
Vegas Sports Informer
Vegas Winning Crew


Do not post write-ups
AJ Apollo
Alex Smart
@ntonwins
Apple Handicappers
ASA, ASA Inc’s or American Sports Analysts
ATS Consultants
ATSadv ice.com
Ben Lewis
Brandon Lang's Crew
Bruce Marshall
Chris Jordan's Crew
Dave Cokin
Dennis Hill
Dennis Macklin
Dr. Bob Sports
Dr. guru sports
EZ Winners
Fairway Jay
Fred Wallin
Gametimereport
Greg DiPalma
Hittingpaydirt
JB Sports
Jim Avery
Jim Kruger
Jorge Gonzalez
Ken Jenkins
Killersportslive
Larry Ness
Lenny Delgenio
LT Profits
Lucky Lester
Madduxsports
Marc Lawrence/Playbook
Matt Fargo
Mike Lineback
Mike Rose
Pacific (Pac Star) Sports
PayneInsider
Paul Stone
Peter Gold at VI
Pick Nation Crew
PlusLineSports
Pointwise Sports
PowerPlay Wins
Preferred Picks
Pregame
Pro Sports Info
Red Zone Sports
Right Angle Sports (RAS)
Rocky Atkinson
Ron Raymond
Ross Benjamin
Sal Bansa/sportspicks1019
Scott Spreitzer
Sixth Sense Sports
Sports Memo Crew
Steve Merril SportsAlatex Sports
Stevo Design Inc. All services
Ted Sevransky/Teddy Covers
Tennessee Valley Sports
THELOCKOFTHEDAY
The Prez
The Real Animal
Tony George
Tony Karpinski/3G-Sports
Tom Stryker
Trushel Sports Consulting
Vegasadvisor s.com
Vernon Croy
Winning Points/Sports Reporter
zen_gambler
-------
GL!

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL Week 4 opening line report: Books coming off winning Sunday

Sportsbooks in Las Vegas are celebrating a huge windfall from Week 3 of the NFL season, with numerous upsets coming up big for books.

While favorites finished the day 9-4-1 ATS – usually a recipe for disaster for sportsbooks – the chalk that did lose was tied into plenty of parlays and teasers, wiping out many muti-wager ticket holders. Losses from the San Francisco 49ers, Minnesota Vikings, Green Bay Packers and New York Giants were more than enough.

Miami Dolphins at New Orleans Saints (-6, 47)

The Dolphins would likely be as high as 9-point underdogs heading to New Orleans any other season. But, this year, the Fins are one of the few 3-0 squads and are commanding the respect of oddsmakers in Week 4.

“Miami has some good weapons and is going to keep this competitive,” says Korner. “I can’t tell you where this line will go. The six looks like a solid line. Miami is going to make this game interesting."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Today's NFL Picks

Miami at New Orleans

The Saints look to build on their 4-0 ATS record in their last 4 Monday night games. New Orleans is the pick (-6 1/2) according to Dunkel, which has the Saints favored by 9 1/2. Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6 1/2). Here are all of this week's picks.

MONDAY, SEPTEMBER 30 Time Posted: 8:00 p.m. EST (9/25)

Game 225-226: Miami at New Orleans (8:40 p.m. EST) Dunkel Ratings: Miami 132.193; New Orleans 141.914 Dunkel Line: New Orleans by 9 1/2; 45 Vegas Line: New Orleans by 6 1/2; 48 Dunkel Pick: New Orleans (-6 1/2); Under

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL
Long Sheet

Week 4

Monday, September 30

--------------------------------------------------------------------------------


MIAMI (3 - 0) at NEW ORLEANS (3 - 0) - 9/30/2013, 8:40 PM
Top Trends for this game.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-9 ATS (+9.1 Units) as a favorite over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 8-1 ATS (+6.9 Units) as a home favorite of 3.5 to 7 points over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 15-4 ATS (+10.6 Units) in home lined games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 19-6 ATS (+12.4 Units) against AFC East division opponents since 1992.
NEW ORLEANS is 17-6 ATS (+10.4 Units) in dome games over the last 3 seasons.
NEW ORLEANS is 18-7 ATS (+10.3 Units) in games played on turf over the last 3 seasons.

Head-to-Head Series History
There were no past matchups in this series during this time period.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL

Week 4

Trend Report

Monday, September 30

8:40 PM
MIAMI vs. NEW ORLEANS
The total has gone UNDER in 6 of Miami's last 8 games on the road
Miami is 5-1 SU in its last 6 games
The total has gone UNDER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games
The total has gone OVER in 4 of New Orleans's last 6 games when playing Miami

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL
Short Sheet

Week 4

Monday, September 20

Miami at New Orleans, 8:40 ET ESPN
Miami: 11-2 Under away with a total of 45.5+ points
New Orleans: 10-1 ATS as a home favorite of 7 points or less

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFL

Week 4

Dolphins (3-0) @ Saints (3-0)—When Brees left San Diego as free agent/after his shoulder surgery, Miami chose Culpepper over him, which turned out better for Brees than Miami. Deserves mention that Saints beat Miami 46-34 in ’09, teams’ only meeting since Brees signed with NO. Unbeaten Dolphins are moving chains, converting 21-52 (40.4%) on third down and have only two penalties in last two games- they’re 28-12-2 as a non-divisional road underdog, achieved under five different coaches. Fish are 21-11-1 as road underdogs, 6-3 vs NFC opponents, 4-4 as a road dog under Philbin. Saints scored four TDs on 10 drives last week, after scoring total of three on 22 drives in first two games; Payton covered his last ten games as a home favorite (Saints were 3-3 as HF without him LY). Ryan’s defense held last two opponents to 273/247 yards, after Falcons gained 367 in opener. Unusual that first three Saint games this year all stayed under the total.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Winners Circle

Monday Football Play

10* Play New Orleans -6 over Miami (TOP NFL PLAY) 8:30 PM EST

New Orleans has covered the spread in 19 of the last 25 games vs. AFC East Division Opponents and they have also covered the spread in 19 of the last 28 games when playing as a favorite. New Orleans has covered the spread in 15 of the last 19 home games and they are only allowing an average of 12 points a game on defense this season.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Jimmy Boyd

3* (NFL) Miami Dolphins +7

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

R.A.W. FOOTBALL

2* = New Orleans

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

jack jones

20* no -6.5

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

The Gold Sheet

KEY RELEASES

NEW ORLEANS by 17 over Miami

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NorthCoast

3 N.O. Saints

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NFLBettingPicks
Kevin

2 UNIT = Miami Dolphins @ New Orleans Saints - SAINTS -6 (-105)
(Note: I'm risking 2.00 units to win 1.90 units)

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

From Colin Cowherd's Blazing 5

Saints -6.5 - Wiseguys agree

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Monday Night Football betting: Dolphins at Saints

Miami Dolphins at New Orleans Saints (-7, 48.5)

Ryan Tannehill of the Miami Dolphins is used to flying under the radar as part of the much-ballyhooed NFL quarterback class of 2012. That will certainly be the case for the second-year signal caller on Monday night when he brings his unbeaten team into New Orleans for a prime-time showdown with Drew Brees and the undefeated Saints. Miami is seeking its first 4-0 start since 1995 and will try to knock off an NFC South power for the second straight week.

The return of head coach Sean Payton from a one-year suspension due to the Bountygate scandal has the Saints back on track after an 0-4 start torpedoed their 2012 season. Brees has surpassed 300 yards in each of the first three games, but the biggest change for New Orleans has come on the other side of the ball. The Saints allowed an NFL-worst 440.1 yards per game and ranked 31st in points allowed (28.4) last season, but they are yielding only 12.7 points so far.

TV: 8:40 p.m. ET, ESPN.

LINE: The Saints opened -5.5 and have moved to -7. The total opened at 47 and is now 48.5

WEATHER: N/A

ABOUT THE DOLPHINS (3-0): Miami opened some eyes by winning at Indianapolis in Week 2 and made a loud statement last week by erasing a 10-point second-half deficit to knock off Atlanta, which is expected to battle the Saints for the NFC South title. Tannehill threw the winning TD with 38 seconds left and is completing 66.4 percent of his passes despite getting sacked a league-high 14 times. The Dolphins are still searching for consistency from high-priced free-agent wideout Mike Wallace and running back Lamar Miller, but the defense ranks eighth in the league with an average of 17.7 points allowed.

ABOUT THE SAINTS (3-0): Brees has thrown for more than 1,000 yards and had three touchdown passes in last week's 31-7 rout of Arizona, but he has also been picked off four times. Part of that is due to a punchless running game that is producing only 85.7 yards, but tight end Jimmy Graham has four TD catches and is coming off back-to-back monster games after battling an ankle injury through much of last season. The Saints' best move of the offseason was bringing in defensive coordinator Rob Ryan, who implemented a 3-4 scheme that has New Orleans yielding 295.7 yard per game - fourth in the league.

TRENDS:

* Dolphins are 1-4 ATS in their last five Monday games.
* Saints are 4-0 ATS in their last four Monday games.
* Under is 17-4 in Dolphins last 21 games on fieldturf.
* Over is 7-3 in Saints last 10 Monday games.

EXTRA POINTS:

1. Brees has won eight straight Monday Night Football games, throwing for 24 TDs against five interceptions.

2. Miami is expected to be without DE Cameron Wake (knee), who had 15 sacks last season but was injured in last week's game.

3. Saints WR Marques Colston has nine TD receptions in his last eight home games.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

College football odds: Week 6 opening line report

In one of the most entertaining games of the season thus far, the Georgia Bulldogs defeated the LSU Tigers 44-41 in a matchup of two SEC heavyweights.

The Bulldogs (3-1 SU, 1-2-1 ATS) have beaten some big names to start the season with their only blemish coming courtesy of the Clemson Tigers in the opening game of the campaign.

Coming off that massive win against LSU, the Bulldogs now must travel to Tennessee to face the Volunteers (3-2 SU, 2-3 ATS).

Georgia has won straight up in three consecutive meetings with the Volunteers and both won and covered as 2.5-point faves in Knoxville back in 2011; the last meeting at Tennessee.

Peter Korner, founder of the Nevada-based odds service The Sports Club, sent out a line of Bulldogs -14 after he and his team were all between 13 and 17.

"Offshores have lower and we could've gone that way with Georgia RB (Todd) Gurly questionable but with him in the lineup, I like where we're at."

Maryland Terrapins at Florida State Seminoles (-17)

The Maryland Terrapins (4-0 SU, 4-0 ATS) have satisfied faithful backers so far during an unblemished start to the season. Maryland is one of four programs in the country that is 4-0 ATS and one of just eight squads without an ATS loss. But Korner feels they'll have their hands full with quarterback Jameis Winston and the Seminoles (4-0 SU, 3-1 ATS).

"The range went from -14 to -21 and we decided in the middle with FSU -17," Korner told Covers. "Maryland has shown well of late and are competitive here. I wouldn't be surprised to see this line drop a little. But FSU's overall team strength in so many areas will show through here."

Arizona State Sun Devils vs. Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+4)

Played at AT&T Stadium in Arlington, Texas

The Irish (3-2, 0-4-1) are coming off a poor performance at home against the Oklahoma Sooners which saw them on the wrong end of a 35-21 scoreline. The Irish have been fairly abysmal both on the field and against the spread. They are one of just eight teams that have yet to cover a spread this season.

"This is in a neutral field and to tell you the truth, we don't like Notre Dame at all," said Korner. "We sent out ASU -4 but a gun to our heads we could easily go higher. Notre Dame can't stop anyone and they're facing a quality team here."

Ohio State Buckeyes at Northwestern Wildcats (+6)

The Buckeyes (5-0 SU, 3-1-1 ATS) are coming off a massive 31-24 win against Wisconsin to get their Big 10 season off to a great start. It won't get easier for them as they (along with College Gameday) go to Evanston, Illinois to face the Northwestern Wildcats (4-0 SU, 2-2 ATS), who are off to a great start themselves.

"We were all around the -6 number. There wasn't much to discuss here. Big Ten clash with two good teams. I don't see this number running in either direction by kick-off."

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

Premier League betting: Everton v Newcastle

This week's fixtures in the Barclays Premier League conclude with Newcastle United traveling to face Everton. If the Toffees can snatch the three home points, it would put the club in sole possession of fourth place in the table.

Everton v Newcastle (-150, +280, +500)

Why bet Everton: If you were asked "who is the only club in the league to not lose a game yet this season", you probably wouldn't guess the Toffees. Yet here we are. Roberto Martinez has made a pretty nice transition to the blue half of Liverpool with two wins, three draws and zero losses. The club is progressively getting stronger as they opened the campaign with three draws and have posted back-to-back wins at home to Chelsea and away to West Ham.

Key players out/doubtful: N/A

Why bet Newcastle: The Magpies are one of the more inconsistent sides in the league, but when they are on, they can play. When they are off, however, it can be atrocious. The club had a nice spell with a draw against West Ham and victories over Fulham and Aston Villa, before losing to a spirited Hull side one week ago. The matchuup between Newcastle winger Hatem Ben Arfa and Everton defender Leighton Baines should be a great one.

Key players out/doubtful: Ryan Taylor, Steven Taylor

2012-13 fixture result: Everton 2, Newcastle 2

Key betting note: Everton has won seven of their previous eight home games in the league.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

MLB betting: Looking at NL Wild Card starters

Major League Baseball's postseason officially starts Tuesday with the National League Wild Card game between the Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates.

The Pirates and Reds will renew acquaintances for the seventh time in the past 10 games for each club.

Mat Latos was manager Dusty Baker's first choice to make the start, but the big righty has a bone chip in his elbow which is causing him discomfort, so Johnny Cueto gets the call.

The Bucs will call on southpaw Francisco Liriano to take the hill.

Here is a look inside the numbers for Tuesday's starting pitchers.

Liriano versus the Reds - 0-3, 3.70 ERA in four starts.

- The Reds roster bats .260 (32-for-123) with four homers and 12 RBIs versus Liriano.
- Todd Frazier is 3-for-9 with a pair of solo homers off the Pirates lefty.

Cueto versus the Pirates - 1-0, 0.73 ERA in two starts.

- The Pirates roster bats .209 (45-for-215) with five homers and 17 RBIs versus Cueto.
- Andrew McCutchen is 9-for-39 (.231) with three homers and five RBIs versus Cueto.

 

[Can'tPickaWinner2]

NHL betting: Top goalscorer prop bet

The National Hockey League makes a welcomed return on Tuesday, Oct. 1.

One of the most popular prop bets in the world of hockey betting is, obviously, the top goalscorer in the league.

Steven Stamkos (of course) of the Tampa Bay Lightning leads the way with a total of 51.5, but there are a host of other players that should be able to compete for the Rocket Richard Trophy.

Here is a look at 2013-14 regular season total goals for the top scorers in the NHL.

Odds courtesy of SportsInteraction.com:

Steven Stamkos, Tampa Bay Lightning - Over/Under 51.5
Alex Ovechkin, Washington Capitals - Over/Under 48.5
Evgeni Malkin, Pittsburgh Penguins - Over/Under 32.5
Sidney Crosby, Pittsburgh Penguins - Over/Under 40.5
James Neal, Pittsburgh Penguins - Over/Under 35.5
Jeff Carter, Los Angeles Kings - Over/Under 36.5
Zach Parise, Minnesota Wild - Over/Under 30.5
John Tavares, New York Islanders - Over/Under 37.5
Jonathan Toews, Chicago Blackhawks - Over/Under 34.5
Rich Nash, New York Rangers - Over/Under 32.5
Patrick Kane, Chicago Blackhawks - Over/Under 29.5
Jordan Eberle, Edmonton Oilers - Over/Under 29.5
Logan Couture, San Jose Sharks - Over/Under 33.5
Jarome Iginla, Boston Bruins - Over/Under 29.5
Corey Perry, Anaheim Ducks - Over/Under 34.5
Daniel Sedin, Vancouvery Canucks - Over/Under 30.5
Blake Wheeler, Winnipeg Jets - Over/Under 24.5
Nazem Kadri, Toronto Maple Leafs - Over/Under 21.5
Evander Kane, Winnipeg Jets - Over/Under 28.5