STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
MONDAY, AUGUST 4th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
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***** Monday, 8/4/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
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MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #19
•Angels Place LHP Thatcher On DL: The Los Angeles Angels have placed reliever Joe Thatcher on the 15-day disabled list with a sprained left ankle. Thatcher was hurt fielding a bunt in Saturday night's 10-3 loss at Tampa Bay. In a series of moves Sunday, Los Angeles also optioned left-hander Michael Roth to Double-A Arkansas and recalled right-hander Cam Bedrosian from the Texas League club. Right-hander Fernando Salas was recalled from Triple-A Salt Lake. Roth, recalled Friday night from Arkansas, pitched the final 4 2/3 innings Saturday night after Thatcher left in the fourth.
•Maholm Out For Season With Knee Injury: Left-hander Paul Maholm has been placed on the 15-day disabled list by the Los Angeles Dodgers because of a torn anterior cruciate ligament in his right knee, which will sideline him for the rest of the season. Maholm, 32, was injured during the seventh inning of Friday night's 8-2 loss to the Chicago Cubs. He ran to cover first base after Scott Van Slyke made a diving stop on Arismendy Alcantata's grounder behind the bag, then took the throw and hit the front of the bag with his right foot before tumbling over. The 10-year veteran, who signed a one-year, $1.5 million contract with the Dodgers in February, is 1-5 with a 4.84 ERA in 30 appearances - including eight starts.
•Thome Statue Unveiled At Progressive Field: Jim Thome's point-the-bat hitting stance, a powerful symbol of the most successful era in Cleveland Indians history, is now a permanent fixture at Progressive Field. The Indians honored their career leader in home runs on Saturday by unveiling a statue of Thome - his bat pointed menacingly at the pitcher - to rest in the ballpark's center field monument area. An emotional Thome, who played for Cleveland from 1991-2002 and again in 2011, said he signed an honorary one-day contract with the team so he could retire as a member of the Indians. "It feels so good to be home again, in this ballpark, where it all began," Thome said as voice cracked several times. "It gives me goose-bumps."
Thome's statue is just the second erected by the club, joining one for Hall of Fame pitcher Bob Feller. Thome will certainly join Feller in Cooperstown one day. Thome, who last played in 2012 for Baltimore, hit 337 homers for Cleveland. With him in the lineup, the Indians won six AL Central titles, advanced to the World Series in 1995 and 1997 and played in front of 455 consecutive sellout crowds." he said. "There are so many guys from those teams who could have a statue." While there was some debate whether Thome, who left Cleveland after the `02 season to sign with Philadelphia, deserved a statue, there's no denying his legacy with the Indians. "I want to thank the fans," he said. "I'll never forget the atmosphere you guys created here every night."
Thome signed his one-day contract on the field before the game and was given a long standing ovation by the crowd. He threw out the first pitch to former teammate Sandy Alomar Jr., the Indians' first-base coach. Indians designated hitter Jason Giambi, currently on the 60-day disabled list with a knee injury, temporarily gave up his No. 25 to honor Thome's one-day contract. Giambi will assume his number again when he's activated. Thome had a most unique stance. He would point his bat toward the pitcher to get ready, then pull it back and prepare to swing. And that swing usually resulted in good things for the Indians." said Mike Hargrove, who managed Thome for nine seasons in Cleveland. "Good players can make a manager, a general manager and a hitting coach look real smart. Jimmy did his part."
Thome developed an especially close relationship with Charlie Manuel, who was his hitting coach and later his manager with the Indians. "He's like my son, in a way," Manuel said. "Cleveland got better when Jim Thome came to town." The left-handed slugger also had a flair for the dramatic. He hit the longest home run in ballpark history, a 511-foot blast on July 3, 1999, against the Kansas City that landed close to where his statue stands. The Indians have put up a plaque nearby to honor the homer. And in a moment straight out of a movie, Thome homered following a pregame ceremony in which the Indians announced they were building his statue on Sept. 23, 2011.
Thome belted 52 home runs in 2002, the club record for a season. In 2001 he hit 49 homers - the most by a left-handed hitter in club history - and drove in 124 runs, both career highs. Several of Thome's former teammates were in attendance this weekend, including Kenny Lofton, Carlos Baerga and Travis Hafner. John Hart, who built the Indians' team in the 90s as general manager, was also on hand as well as several members of Thome's family.
•Rangers Get 1B-OF Carp From Boston On Waiver Claim: The Texas Rangers have acquired first baseman-outfielder Mike Carp on a waiver claim from the Boston Red Sox. The Rangers announced the move after their 4-3 loss in 12 innings at Cleveland on Sunday. Texas also transferred right-handed pitcher Alexi Ogando from the 15-day disabled list to the 60-day DL. The 28-year-old Carp batted .198 with no homers and nine RBIs in 42 games for Boston this season. The lefty hitter was designated for assignment by the Red Sox on Friday. Carp missed more than a month in the middle of the season because of a broken right foot. Carp is a career .260 hitter with 27 home runs and 123 RBIs in parts of six seasons with Seattle and Boston.
•Pirates Sign Utility INF Jayson Nix: The Pittsburgh Pirates signed free agent infielder Jayson Nix before Sunday's game against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Nix was released by the Tampa Bay Rays organization on Friday and also played for the Philadelphia Phillies earlier this season. The Pirates optioned infielder Brent Morel, who went 2-for-2 with three runs batted in Saturday night in an 8-3 over Arizona, to Class AAA Indianapolis and designated infielder Dean Anna for assignment to add Nix to the 40-man roster. Morel was 3 -for 16 in nine games with the Pirates. Nix has played third base, shortstop and second base this season. He signed with Tampa Bay on May 17 and hit .274 in 54 games with AAA Durham. Nix was expected to be active for Sunday's game against the Diamondbacks.
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Betting Notes - Monday
National League
•Giants-Mets - 12:10 PM
--Hudson is 1-3, 4.21 in his last four starts.
--Gee is 0-3, 8.10 in his last three starts.
--San Francisco lost seven of its last ten games.
--Mets won ten of their last fourteen home games.
--Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Hudson starts.
American League
•Tigers-Yankees - 7:05 PM
--Scherzer is 5-1, 2.08 in his last seven starts.
--New York won all four McCarthy starts (3-0, 3.65).
--Detroit won four of its last five games.
--Yankees won 10 of its last 16 games.
--Under is 7-2-1 in Detroit's last ten road games.
•Rangers-White Sox - 8:10 PM
--Texas lost last eight Martinez starts (0-6, 8.38).
--Noesi is 2-2, 6.29 in his last four starts.
--Rangers lost eleven of their last fifteen games.
--White Sox lost four of their last five home games.
--Last six White Sox games went over the total.
•Rays-Athletics - 10:05 PM
--Cobb is 5-0, 2.89 in his last six starts.
--Oakland won four of five Samardzija starts (2-1, 3.09).
--Tampa Bay won 10 of 14 games since All-Star break.
--A's lost six of their last seven series openers.
--Under is 12-6-1 in last nineteen Oakland home games.
Interleague
•Reds-Indians - 7:05 PM
--Simon is 0-3, 4.96 in his last three starts.
--Kluber is 4-0, 1.76 in his last five starts.
--Reds won three of their last four games.
--Cleveland won seven of its last ten home games.
--Under is 8-1-2 in last eleven Cincinnati road games.
•Angels-Dodgers - 10:10 PM
--Richards is 0-2, 3.86 in his last three starts.
--Greinke is 3-2, 2.32 in his last six starts.
--Angels won nine of their last thirteen road games.
--Dodgers won seven of their last nine games.
--Under is 12-6-1 in last nineteen Angel games.
•Orioles-Nationals - 7:05 PM
--Gausman is 2-1, 3.54 in his last five starts.
--Roark is 4-0, 1.29 in his last four starts.
--Baltimore won nine of its last thirteen games.
--Nationals won four of their last six home games.
--11 of last 13 Baltimore games stayed under total.
•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Hudson 12-8; Gee 5-7
-- Scherzer 16-6; McCarthy 4-14/4-0
-- Martinez 4-9; Noesi 8-9
-- Cobb 8-7; Samardzija 3-14/4-1
-- Simon 15-6; Kluber 14-9
-- Richards 15-7; Greinke 13-9
-- Gausman 7-3; Roark 12-9
•Incredible Stat of the Day
The Cleveland Indians are a perfect 9-0 the last nine meetings at Progressive Field versus the Cincinnati Reds. The Reds and Indians carry identical records into the first of their four consecutive interleague matchups. The difference for the teams building on their respective performances from the weekend on Monday night hinge on starting pitching as red-hot Corey Kluber faces struggling Alfredo Simon. Cincinnati and Cleveland remain in contention in their respective wild-card races. The Reds took three of four in Miami after losing 10 of 12 to open the second half, and the Indians registered a three-game sweep of Texas after dropping eight of 11.
Diamond Trends - Monday
•TEXAS is 5-21 (-17.4 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was TEXAS 3.3, OPPONENT 6.0.
•LA ANGELS are 19-6 OVER (+13.6 Units) in road games versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA ANGELS 6.0, OPPONENT 5.4.
•CHI WHITE SOX are 2-22 (-19.0 Units) against the run line as a home favorite when the run line price is +135 to +160 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 4.4, OPPONENT 5.5.
•ALFREDO SIMON is 16-4 (+13.4 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.
The average score was SIMON 4.1, OPPONENT 2.6.
•DILLON GEE is 12-1 UNDER (+11.0 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GEE 2.4, OPPONENT 2.4.
•COREY KLUBER is 10-1 (+11.0 Units) against the run line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KLUBER 6.2, OPPONENT 2.7.
Situational Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (OAKLAND) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (American League) against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings.
(172-71 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.8%, +70.9 units. Rating = 3*)
The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -142.3
The average score in these games was: Team 4.8, Opponent 3.4 (Average run differential = +1.4)
The situation's record this season is: (33-15, +11.6 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (95-44, +32.5 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (252-135, +60.8 units).
•Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+165 to -135) (CINCINNATI) - with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season (National League) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games.
(51-19 since 1997.) (72.9%, +32.5 units. Rating = 4*)
The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (37-33)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: +101
The average score in these games was: Team 3.8, Opponent 3.8 (Average run differential = +0)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 37 (52.9% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (3-1, +2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (34-11, +23.3 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (44-17, +27.3 units).
•Play Under - All teams where the total is 7 or less (BALTIMORE) - below average American League hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season.
(88-47 since 1997.) (65.2%, +34.7 units. Rating = 2*)
The average total posted in these games was: 6.8, Money Line=-113.3
The average score in these games was: Team 3.2, Opponent 2.9 (Total runs scored = 6.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 69 (54.3% of all games.)
The situation's record this season is: (10-13, -4.9 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (62-38, +19.4 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (72-43, +23.5 units).
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