Service Plays Monday 8/4/14

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Baseball Crusher
Detroit Tigers -127 over NY Yankees
(System Record: 73-0, won last game)
Overall Record: 73-49

Rest of the Plays
Tampa Bay Rays +140 over Oakland A's
Los Angeles Angels +111 over LA Dodgers
San Francisco Giants -119 over NY Mets


 

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Midtjylland + Randers UNDER 2.5
This match is happening in
Denmark
(System Record: 618-21, won last game)
Overall Record: 618-507-87
 
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McCarthy on fire since trade to Big Apple
Stephen Campbell

It's been quite the turnaround for Brandon McCarthy. Since being traded from the lowly Arizona Diamondbacks to the New York Yankees in June, the Yankees have won all four games McCarthy has started in pinstripes. He'll get the ball again for the Bronx Bombers when they host the Detroit Tigers Monday.

BetOnline currently lists Detroit as -127 faves on the moneyline with a total of -127.
 
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Rangers ice cold with this pitcher on the hill
Stephen Campbell

As the Texas Rangers woeful season continues, their backers won't have a lot of reason to be optimistic with Nicholas Martinez on the bump for their matchup against the Chicago White Sox in Illinois Monday. The Rangers are an ugly 0-8 in Martinez's last eight outings.

The ChiSox are currently -143 faves with a total of 9.5, per BetOnline.
 
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Giants struggling behind Hudson as of late
Stephen Campbell

After enjoying a nice start to the season, the San Francisco Giants have gone ice cold behind veteran pitcher Tim Hudson, winning just two out of the 39-year-old's last eight starts.

Hudson and the Giants will try to buck that trend when they visit the New York Mets at Citi Field Monday. According to BetOnline, San Fran is presently -121 faves with an O/U of seven.
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB REPORT
MONDAY, AUGUST 4th 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________



***** Monday, 8/4/14 MLB Information *****
(ALL RESULTS VS. ML) - Against The Money-Line - and most recent, unless noted otherwise. Each and every day during the 2014 Major League Baseball season we will analyze all of your daily baseball action, featuring on hot and cold pitchers, hot and cold teams, over/unders and home plate umpire trends. We will also highlight some of our Highly-Rated (Situational & Match-up) Power Trends, along with some of our Situational Analysis (Betting Systems) that pertain to some of that days match-ups.
_____________________________________________________

MLB Betting News and Notes - Week #19

•Angels Place LHP Thatcher On DL: The Los Angeles Angels have placed reliever Joe Thatcher on the 15-day disabled list with a sprained left ankle. Thatcher was hurt fielding a bunt in Saturday night's 10-3 loss at Tampa Bay. In a series of moves Sunday, Los Angeles also optioned left-hander Michael Roth to Double-A Arkansas and recalled right-hander Cam Bedrosian from the Texas League club. Right-hander Fernando Salas was recalled from Triple-A Salt Lake. Roth, recalled Friday night from Arkansas, pitched the final 4 2/3 innings Saturday night after Thatcher left in the fourth.

•Maholm Out For Season With Knee Injury: Left-hander Paul Maholm has been placed on the 15-day disabled list by the Los Angeles Dodgers because of a torn anterior cruciate ligament in his right knee, which will sideline him for the rest of the season. Maholm, 32, was injured during the seventh inning of Friday night's 8-2 loss to the Chicago Cubs. He ran to cover first base after Scott Van Slyke made a diving stop on Arismendy Alcantata's grounder behind the bag, then took the throw and hit the front of the bag with his right foot before tumbling over. The 10-year veteran, who signed a one-year, $1.5 million contract with the Dodgers in February, is 1-5 with a 4.84 ERA in 30 appearances - including eight starts.

•Thome Statue Unveiled At Progressive Field: Jim Thome's point-the-bat hitting stance, a powerful symbol of the most successful era in Cleveland Indians history, is now a permanent fixture at Progressive Field. The Indians honored their career leader in home runs on Saturday by unveiling a statue of Thome - his bat pointed menacingly at the pitcher - to rest in the ballpark's center field monument area. An emotional Thome, who played for Cleveland from 1991-2002 and again in 2011, said he signed an honorary one-day contract with the team so he could retire as a member of the Indians. "It feels so good to be home again, in this ballpark, where it all began," Thome said as voice cracked several times. "It gives me goose-bumps."

Thome's statue is just the second erected by the club, joining one for Hall of Fame pitcher Bob Feller. Thome will certainly join Feller in Cooperstown one day. Thome, who last played in 2012 for Baltimore, hit 337 homers for Cleveland. With him in the lineup, the Indians won six AL Central titles, advanced to the World Series in 1995 and 1997 and played in front of 455 consecutive sellout crowds." he said. "There are so many guys from those teams who could have a statue." While there was some debate whether Thome, who left Cleveland after the `02 season to sign with Philadelphia, deserved a statue, there's no denying his legacy with the Indians. "I want to thank the fans," he said. "I'll never forget the atmosphere you guys created here every night."

Thome signed his one-day contract on the field before the game and was given a long standing ovation by the crowd. He threw out the first pitch to former teammate Sandy Alomar Jr., the Indians' first-base coach. Indians designated hitter Jason Giambi, currently on the 60-day disabled list with a knee injury, temporarily gave up his No. 25 to honor Thome's one-day contract. Giambi will assume his number again when he's activated. Thome had a most unique stance. He would point his bat toward the pitcher to get ready, then pull it back and prepare to swing. And that swing usually resulted in good things for the Indians." said Mike Hargrove, who managed Thome for nine seasons in Cleveland. "Good players can make a manager, a general manager and a hitting coach look real smart. Jimmy did his part."

Thome developed an especially close relationship with Charlie Manuel, who was his hitting coach and later his manager with the Indians. "He's like my son, in a way," Manuel said. "Cleveland got better when Jim Thome came to town." The left-handed slugger also had a flair for the dramatic. He hit the longest home run in ballpark history, a 511-foot blast on July 3, 1999, against the Kansas City that landed close to where his statue stands. The Indians have put up a plaque nearby to honor the homer. And in a moment straight out of a movie, Thome homered following a pregame ceremony in which the Indians announced they were building his statue on Sept. 23, 2011.

Thome belted 52 home runs in 2002, the club record for a season. In 2001 he hit 49 homers - the most by a left-handed hitter in club history - and drove in 124 runs, both career highs. Several of Thome's former teammates were in attendance this weekend, including Kenny Lofton, Carlos Baerga and Travis Hafner. John Hart, who built the Indians' team in the 90s as general manager, was also on hand as well as several members of Thome's family.

•Rangers Get 1B-OF Carp From Boston On Waiver Claim: The Texas Rangers have acquired first baseman-outfielder Mike Carp on a waiver claim from the Boston Red Sox. The Rangers announced the move after their 4-3 loss in 12 innings at Cleveland on Sunday. Texas also transferred right-handed pitcher Alexi Ogando from the 15-day disabled list to the 60-day DL. The 28-year-old Carp batted .198 with no homers and nine RBIs in 42 games for Boston this season. The lefty hitter was designated for assignment by the Red Sox on Friday. Carp missed more than a month in the middle of the season because of a broken right foot. Carp is a career .260 hitter with 27 home runs and 123 RBIs in parts of six seasons with Seattle and Boston.

•Pirates Sign Utility INF Jayson Nix: The Pittsburgh Pirates signed free agent infielder Jayson Nix before Sunday's game against the Arizona Diamondbacks. Nix was released by the Tampa Bay Rays organization on Friday and also played for the Philadelphia Phillies earlier this season. The Pirates optioned infielder Brent Morel, who went 2-for-2 with three runs batted in Saturday night in an 8-3 over Arizona, to Class AAA Indianapolis and designated infielder Dean Anna for assignment to add Nix to the 40-man roster. Morel was 3 -for 16 in nine games with the Pirates. Nix has played third base, shortstop and second base this season. He signed with Tampa Bay on May 17 and hit .274 in 54 games with AAA Durham. Nix was expected to be active for Sunday's game against the Diamondbacks.
_________________________________________

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•Larry Hertner: 49W 30L (62% wins) +$13,264
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_______________________________

Betting Notes - Monday

National League

•Giants-Mets - 12:10 PM
--Hudson is 1-3, 4.21 in his last four starts.
--Gee is 0-3, 8.10 in his last three starts.

--San Francisco lost seven of its last ten games.
--Mets won ten of their last fourteen home games.

--Over is 7-3-1 in last eleven Hudson starts.

American League

•Tigers-Yankees - 7:05 PM
--Scherzer is 5-1, 2.08 in his last seven starts.
--New York won all four McCarthy starts (3-0, 3.65).

--Detroit won four of its last five games.
--Yankees won 10 of its last 16 games.

--Under is 7-2-1 in Detroit's last ten road games.

•Rangers-White Sox - 8:10 PM
--Texas lost last eight Martinez starts (0-6, 8.38).
--Noesi is 2-2, 6.29 in his last four starts.

--Rangers lost eleven of their last fifteen games.
--White Sox lost four of their last five home games.

--Last six White Sox games went over the total.

•Rays-Athletics - 10:05 PM
--Cobb is 5-0, 2.89 in his last six starts.
--Oakland won four of five Samardzija starts (2-1, 3.09).

--Tampa Bay won 10 of 14 games since All-Star break.
--A's lost six of their last seven series openers.

--Under is 12-6-1 in last nineteen Oakland home games.

Interleague
•Reds-Indians - 7:05 PM
--Simon is 0-3, 4.96 in his last three starts.
--Kluber is 4-0, 1.76 in his last five starts.

--Reds won three of their last four games.
--Cleveland won seven of its last ten home games.

--Under is 8-1-2 in last eleven Cincinnati road games.

•Angels-Dodgers - 10:10 PM
--Richards is 0-2, 3.86 in his last three starts.
--Greinke is 3-2, 2.32 in his last six starts.

--Angels won nine of their last thirteen road games.
--Dodgers won seven of their last nine games.

--Under is 12-6-1 in last nineteen Angel games.

•Orioles-Nationals - 7:05 PM
--Gausman is 2-1, 3.54 in his last five starts.
--Roark is 4-0, 1.29 in his last four starts.

--Baltimore won nine of its last thirteen games.
--Nationals won four of their last six home games.

--11 of last 13 Baltimore games stayed under total.

•Teams' Record When This Starting Pitcher Starts
-- Hudson 12-8; Gee 5-7

-- Scherzer 16-6; McCarthy 4-14/4-0
-- Martinez 4-9; Noesi 8-9
-- Cobb 8-7; Samardzija 3-14/4-1

-- Simon 15-6; Kluber 14-9
-- Richards 15-7; Greinke 13-9
-- Gausman 7-3; Roark 12-9

•Incredible Stat of the Day
The Cleveland Indians are a perfect 9-0 the last nine meetings at Progressive Field versus the Cincinnati Reds. The Reds and Indians carry identical records into the first of their four consecutive interleague matchups. The difference for the teams building on their respective performances from the weekend on Monday night hinge on starting pitching as red-hot Corey Kluber faces struggling Alfredo Simon. Cincinnati and Cleveland remain in contention in their respective wild-card races. The Reds took three of four in Miami after losing 10 of 12 to open the second half, and the Indians registered a three-game sweep of Texas after dropping eight of 11.

Diamond Trends - Monday

•TEXAS is 5-21 (-17.4 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse in the second half of the season this season.
The average score was TEXAS 3.3, OPPONENT 6.0.

•LA ANGELS are 19-6 OVER (+13.6 Units) in road games versus teams outscoring opponent by 0.5 or more runs/game in the second half of the season over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was LA ANGELS 6.0, OPPONENT 5.4.

•CHI WHITE SOX are 2-22 (-19.0 Units) against the run line as a home favorite when the run line price is +135 to +160 over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was CHI WHITE SOX 4.4, OPPONENT 5.5.

•ALFREDO SIMON is 16-4 (+13.4 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season.
The average score was SIMON 4.1, OPPONENT 2.6.

•DILLON GEE is 12-1 UNDER (+11.0 Units) in home games versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was GEE 2.4, OPPONENT 2.4.

•COREY KLUBER is 10-1 (+11.0 Units) against the run line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game in the second half of the season over the last 2 seasons.
The average score was KLUBER 6.2, OPPONENT 2.7.

Situational Analysis of The Day
•Play On - Home favorites with a money line of -125 to -175 (OAKLAND) - with a team batting average of .260 or worse on the season (American League) against opponent starting a pitcher who gave up <=2 earned runs in his last 2 outings.
(172-71 over the last 5 seasons.) (70.8%, +70.9 units. Rating = 3*)

The average money line posted in these games was: Team favored with a money line of: -142.3
The average score in these games was: Team 4.8, Opponent 3.4 (Average run differential = +1.4)

The situation's record this season is: (33-15, +11.6 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (95-44, +32.5 units).
Since 1997 the situation's record is: (252-135, +60.8 units).

•Play On - All underdogs against a 1.5 run line. (Money Line =+165 to -135) (CINCINNATI) - with a team on base percentage .300 or worse on the season (National League) against opponent with a hot starting pitcher- WHIP <= 1.100 over his last 10 games.
(51-19 since 1997.) (72.9%, +32.5 units. Rating = 4*)

The straight up record of the team this system pertains to is: (37-33)
The average run line posted in these games was: Opponent favored by 1.5, money line price: +101
The average score in these games was: Team 3.8, Opponent 3.8 (Average run differential = +0)
The number of games in which this system covered the run line by 1 or more runs was 37 (52.9% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (3-1, +2 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (34-11, +23.3 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (44-17, +27.3 units).

•Play Under - All teams where the total is 7 or less (BALTIMORE) - below average American League hitting team (AVG <=.265) against a team with a very good bullpen (ERA <=3.33), with a very good bullpen whose ERA is 3.33 or better on the season.
(88-47 since 1997.) (65.2%, +34.7 units. Rating = 2*)

The average total posted in these games was: 6.8, Money Line=-113.3
The average score in these games was: Team 3.2, Opponent 2.9 (Total runs scored = 6.1)
The number of games in which this system covered the total by 1 or more runs was 69 (54.3% of all games.)

The situation's record this season is: (10-13, -4.9 units).
Over the last 3 seasons the situation's record is: (62-38, +19.4 units).
Over the last 5 seasons the situation's record is: (72-43, +23.5 units).
___________________________________________
 

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STATSYSTEMS SPORTS MLB PITCHING REPORT
MONDAY, AUGUST 4TH 2014
INFORMATION WORTH BETTING ON EACH DAY
_______________________________________


#901 SAN FRANCISCO @ #902 NY METS - 12:10 PM
•Giants RH Tim Hudson (8-8, 2.71 ERA, WHIP: 1.120) - Hudson has lost two straight starts and six of his last seven decisions, but poor run support has played a big role. The 39-year-old recorded his third quality start Tuesday against Pittsburgh, allowing three runs over seven innings, but took the loss in a 3-1 defeat. Hudson has faced especially tough luck on the road, where he is 3-4 despite a 2.13 ERA in 10 starts.

--KEY STAT: HUDSON is 51-17 (+28.5 Units) against the money line in August games since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.7, OPPONENT 3.5.

--HUDSON is 12-3 against the run line (+9.6 Units) in road games versus an National League team with a batting average of .255 or worse in the second half of the season since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was HUDSON 5.5, OPPONENT 3.1.

•Mets RH Dillon Gee (4-4, 3.77 ERA, WHIP: 1.100) - Gee was strong in his return from the disabled list July 9 but has struggled mightily in three outings since. The 28-year-old has been tagged for 15 runs in 16 2/3 innings while losing three straight starts and watching his ERA balloon from 2.56 to 3.77. Gee is 0-1 with a 6.75 ERA in four games (two starts) against the Giants.

--KEY STAT: GEE is 11-1 UNDER (+10.0 Units) in home games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GEE 2.3, OPPONENT 2.5.

--GEE is 16-4 UNDER (+11.8 Units) at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GEE 2.4, OPPONENT 3.1.

#903 DETROIT @ #904 NY YANKEES - 7:05 PM
•Tigers RH Max Scherzer (13-3, 3.27 ERA, WHIP: 1.171) - Scherzer is attempting to become the first to reach 14 wins this season and is in a groove with a 5-0 record and 2.08 ERA in his last seven outings. The former Cy Young winner went seven innings against Chicago on Wednesday and allowed one run and five hits to earn the win. Scherzer is facing the Yankees for the first time since Apr. 6, 2013, when he surrendered four runs and struck out seven over five innings to grab a win.

--KEY STAT: SCHERZER is 33-8 (+18.7 Units) against the money line versus an American League team with an on base percentage .330 or worse over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SCHERZER 5.4, OPPONENT 3.3.

•Yankees RH Brandon McCarthy (6-10, 4.56 ERA, WHIP: 1.362) - McCarthy ran into his first big spot of trouble since coming over to the Yankees when he allowed four runs and nine hits in six innings at Texas on Tuesday. The veteran was bailed out by his offense in that start and ended up with his third straight win, improving to 3-0 since being acquired from Arizona early last month. McCarthy yielded a total of two runs and 10 hits while striking out 14 in 12 innings during his first two starts at home for New York.

--KEY STAT: MCCARTHY is 3-10 (-9.8 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MCCARTHY 3.5, OPPONENT 5.1.

--MCCARTHY is 4-12 (-11.2 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7 to 8.5 over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MCCARTHY 3.2, OPPONENT 4.6.

--MCCARTHY is 5-12 (-9.7 Units) against the money line in home games in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was MCCARTHY 4.4, OPPONENT 5.6.

#905 TEXAS @ #906 CHI WHITE SOX - 8:10 PM
•Rangers RH Nick Martinez (1-7, 5.08 ERA, WHIP: 1.615) - Martinez's winless drought reached nine starts when he was knocked around for six runs on six hits over 5 2/3 innings of a 12-11 loss to the New York Yankees on Tuesday. Martinez has permitted at least four runs on six occasions during the skid, going 0-6 and pitching through six innings only twice. Seeking his first victory since May 24 at Detroit, Martinez is 1-3 with a 3.66 ERA in 11 appearances (eight starts) on the road.

•White Sox RH Hector Noesi (5-8, 5.21 ERA, WHIP: 1.429) - Noesi's modest two-start winning streak came to a crashing halt last time out when he was tagged for six first-inning runs in a loss at Detroit. Noesi worked a season-high 7 2/3 innings in his previous turn, limiting Minnesota to two runs and three hits. Noesi has surrendered at least one home run in four consecutive outings and has given up seven over his last six turns.

--KEY STAT: NOESI is 11-2 UNDER (+8.8 Units) versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 3 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was NOESI 2.4, OPPONENT 3.6.
_________________________________________

NFL Subscription Sale - Early Bird Discounts!

Look no further than our Experts here at StatSystemsSports.net when it comes to National Football League betting this season, that’s if you don’t mind winning loads of cold hard cash of course. Don’t wait another minute, pick right back up where we left off last year - Join today!

Have a look at some of these outstanding 2013-14 NFL records (including playoffs):

•Stan 'The Man: 63W 38L (62% wins) +$18,536
•Jude Ravo: 52W 32L (62% wins) +$17,287
•Ryan Taylor: 47W 27L (64% wins) +$16,422
•Larry Hertner: 49W 30L (62% wins) +$13,264
•James Vogel: 39W 23L (63% wins) +$12,853
•William Stillman: 39W 25L (61% wins) +$9,850

Let our Experts guide you this season, what are you waiting for? Join today!

•Early Bird Pricing (limited time only - ends August 7th):
•Pre-Season Package: only $199.00 ($299.00 regular price)
•Pre-Season + Regular Season: only $1299.00 ($1599.00 regular price)

Don’t miss out on these huge savings, call us today @ 570-828-4091 and take advantage of the early bird pricing while it lasts - ends August 7th.

"You'll be real glad you did" - Stan!
_______________________________

#907 TAMPA BAY @ #908 OAKLAND - 10:05 PM
•Rays RH Alex Cobb (7-6, 3.54 ERA, WHIP: 1.159) - Cobb is 5-0 over his last six starts and his last two efforts have been dazzling. He struck out 10 while tossing seven shutout innings at St. Louis on July 23 and followed that outing by striking out 12 and holding Milwaukee to one run and three hits in eight innings on July 29. Cobb is 3-2 with a 2.34 ERA in six career starts against Oakland, including a no-decision on May 22 when he scattered three hits over 6 2/3 scoreless innings.

•Athletics RH Jeff Samardzija (4-8, 2.92 ERA, WHIP: 1.106) - Samardzija is 2-1 with a 3.19 ERA and 0.82 WHIP in five starts since Oakland acquired him from the Chicago Cubs. He has allowed four runs in two of the past three starts, including in a no-decision against Houston in his last turn when he struck out seven in 6 2/3 innings. Samardzija has served up five homers with the Athletics after allowing only seven in 17 starts with the Cubs.

--KEY STAT: SAMARDZIJA is 2-12 (-10.5 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 or less this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 2.3, OPPONENT 4.0.

--SAMARDZIJA is 6-19 (-13.6 Units) against the money line when working on 5 or 6 days rest over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was SAMARDZIJA 3.1, OPPONENT 4.1.

#909 CINCINNATI @ #910 CLEVELAND - 7:05 PM
•Reds RH Alfredo Simon (12-6, 2.84 ERA, WHIP: 1.098) - Simon has allowed nine runs (seven earned) over 16 1/3 innings combined in his three outings since the All-Star break after winning six consecutive decisions. The 33-year-old from the Dominican Republic has limited opponents to a .229 batting average overall. Brantley is 4-for-6 with two doubles against Simon, who is 1-1 in six career games (one start) with a 4.41 ERA versus Cleveland.

--KEY STAT: SIMON is 14-5 (+10.3 Units) against the money line when the total is 7 to 8.5 this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was SIMON 3.8, OPPONENT 3.0.

•Indians RH Corey Kluber (11-6, 2.61 ERA, WHIP: 1.080) - Kluber threw only 85 pitches, fanned eight and yielded three hits to blank Seattle 2-0 last Wednesday to earn his first career shutout. The Stetson product has pitched at least 8 1/3 innings in four of his last five starts and boasts 170 strikeouts while walking only 33 in 158 1/3 innings. Ramon Santiago is 4-for-7 against Kluber, who will face Cincinnati for the first time in his career.

--KEY STAT: KLUBER is 21-5 (+16.7 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters draw 3 walks or less/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.0, OPPONENT 3.3.

--KLUBER is 16-4 (+12.1 Units) against the money line versus poor power teams - averaging 0.9 or less HR's/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 5.4, OPPONENT 2.8.

--KLUBER is 20-6 (+14.7 Units) against the money line versus teams who strand 6.9 or less runners on base per game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was KLUBER 6.2, OPPONENT 3.9.

#911 LA ANGELS @ #912 LA DODGERS - 10:10 PM
•Angels RH Garrett Richards (11-4, 2.74 ERA, WHIP: 1.039) - Richards lost his second straight start following a seven-game winning streak last Wednesday when he allowed four runs over seven innings against Baltimore. The 26-year-old has yielded eight runs in 13 innings over his last two outings after allowing nine runs in 64 2/3 innings over his previous nine starts. Richards has gone 1-0 with a 0.47 ERA in three interleague starts this season.

--KEY STAT: RICHARDS is 14-4 UNDER (+9.2 Units) in road games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was RICHARDS 3.4, OPPONENT 3.2.

•Dodgers RH Zack Greinke (12-6, 2.65 ERA, WHIP: 1.148) - Greinke has been dominant at Dodger Stadium since joining the team last season, going 14-3 with a 2.27 ERA in 23 home starts. The two-time All-Star recorded a season-high 13 strikeouts against Atlanta last Wednesday, when he allowed one run and issued one walk over eight innings. Greinke is 1-4 with a 4.10 ERA in nine career appearances (eight starts) against the Angels, including two complete games.

--KEY STAT: GREINKE is 45-16 (+22.0 Units) against the money line in home games versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game since 1997. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.4, OPPONENT 3.3.

--GREINKE is 20-4 (+13.1 Units) against the money line at home when the total is 7.5 or less over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was GREINKE 4.3, OPPONENT 2.3.

#913 BALTIMORE @ #914 WASHINGTON - 7:05 PM
•Orioles RH Kevin Gausman (5-3, 3.70 ERA, WHIP: 1.339) - Gausman's success in 2014 has largely been predicated around limiting the home run ball, as he has given up only two homers in 56 innings. The 23-year-old has not allowed a home run to a right-handed hitter all season and allowed just three extra-base hits - all doubles - against righties. Gausman made one start against Washington last season, allowing seven runs and three homers in four innings.

--KEY STAT: GAUSMAN is 7-1 (+7.8 Units) against the money line versus teams whose hitters strike out 7 or more times/game this season. (Team's Record)
The average score was GAUSMAN 3.8, OPPONENT 3.3.

•Nationals RH Tanner Roark (11-6, 2.74 ERA, WHIP: 1.077) - Roark is coming off a terrific month in which he went 4-1 with a 2.06 ERA, including four straight starts allowing exactly one run over seven innings to close it out. He held opponents to a .198 average in July and gave up only three hits in each of his final two starts. None of the current Orioles players has ever faced Roark, who leads the Nationals in victories.

--KEY STAT: ROARK is 11-3 against the run line (+10.1 Units) in night games over the last 2 seasons. (Team's Record)
The average score was ROARK 5.0, OPPONENT 3.1.
____________________________________________________
 
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Monday's Tip Sheet
By Kevin Rogers

Tigers at Yankees – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
DET: Scherzer (13-3, 3.27 ERA)
NYY: McCarthy (3-0, 2.55 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Tigers finished off a three-game home sweep of the Rockies, capped off by Sunday’s 4-0 shutout as -230 favorites. The Yankees rallied past the Red Sox on Sunday night, 8-7 to take two of three at Fenway Park, while finishing their road trip at 3-3 by winning two straight.

What to watch for: Detroit has won each of Scherzer’s last four road starts, while the Tigers are 5-1 in his past six outings against the Yankees since 2011. New York has struggled in the role of a home underdog, posting a 2-9 record in this situation in 2014. However, the Yankees are 5-2 in their last seven home series openers, while McCarthy is unbeaten in his last six starts with New York and Arizona.

Reds at Indians – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
CIN: Simon (12-6, 2.84 ERA)
CLE: Kluber (11-6, 2.61 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Reds captured three of four games at Miami, as the offense finally woke up in Sunday’s 7-3 rout of the Marlins. Cincinnati’s pitching staff limiting Miami to just eight runs in the four-game set, while the ‘under’ is 6-1-1 in its past eight road contests. The Indians rallied on Sunday to top the Rangers in 12 innings, 4-3 to pull off the three-game sweep, as Cleveland held Texas to five runs in the series.

What to watch for: The home team has won each of the last 10 meetings of the Buckeye Series since 2012, while the Reds have dropped nine straight visits to Progressive Field. Kluber is coming off consecutive complete-game efforts, including a 2-0 shutout of the Mariners in his previous outing. After winning 15 of his first 18 starts, the Reds are 0-3 in Simon’s past three starts, while two of his worst efforts this season came as an underdog of at least +130.

Orioles at Nationals – 7:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
BAL: Gausman (5-3, 3.70 ERA)
WSH: Roark (11-6, 2.74 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Orioles needed just one run in Sunday’s 1-0 triumph over the Mariners as short home ‘dogs to take two of three from Seattle. The Nationals rebounded from a pair of losses to the Phillies by taking the final two games of their weekend set. Washington blanked Philadelphia on Sunday as -150 favorites, 4-0 to outscore the Phillies, 15-0 in the last two victories.

What to watch for: This is a make-up game from a rain-out on July 8, as the Orioles won two of the first three matchups in the Beltway Series. Baltimore has drilled the ‘under’ in 11 of its past 13 games overall, including seven straight on the highway. The Nationals have split 16 interleague contests this season, while Washington owns a 4-0 record in Roark’s past four trips to the mound.

Rays at Athletics – 10:05 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
TB: Cobb (7-6, 3.54 ERA)
OAK: Samardzija (2-1, 3.19 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Rays fell behind, 5-0 in the first inning of Sunday’s 7-5 defeat to the Angels as short home favorites to lose two of three in that set. Tampa Bay finished off its homestand at 5-4, while still trying to reach the elusive .500 mark. The A’s dropped two of three to the Royals at home, as Oakland scored just two runs in the two defeats.

What to watch for: Oakland grabbed two of three at Tropicana Field in late May, as the lone victory by Tampa Bay came on a walk-off, three-run homer in 11 innings in the series finale. The Rays have won six of Cobb’s eight road starts, including each of the last five on the highway. The A’s are 4-1 in Samardzija’s five starts since he was acquired from the Cubs, but each of the past two wins came as a heavy favorite against the Astros.

Angels at Dodgers – 10:10 PM EST

Probable Pitchers:
LAA: Richards (11-4, 2.74 ERA)
LAD: Greinke (12-6, 2.65 ERA)

Previous series recap: The Angels concluded an East Coast swing at 3-3 at Baltimore and Tampa Bay, including a 7-5 triumph at Tropicana Field on Sunday to capture the weekend set. The Dodgers were tripped up by the Cubs this past weekend, including Sunday’s 7-3 defeat as nearly a -200 favorite. It was the third home series loss by the Dodgers since the start of June, which also includes series defeats to the White Sox and Indians.

What to watch for: The home team finished 4-0 in the Freeway Series last season, which included the Dodgers rallying from a 6-1 deficit with Greinke on the hill to beat the Angels, 8-7 in the series opener at home. Following an eight-game winning streak from June through the All-Star break, the Angels have lost each of Richards’ last three outings, all in the favorite role. Since last July, the Dodgers are 13-3 in Greinke’s past 16 home starts, which includes a pair of wins over AL foes.
 
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WNBA Betting Recap - 7/28-8/3
By Joe Williams

League Betting Notes (from Monday, July 28 through Sunday, Aug. 3)

-- Favorites went 16-1 straight up
-- Favorites went 12-4-1 against the spread (ATS)
-- Home teams posted a 12-5 SU record
-- Home/road teams posted an 8-8-1 ATS record
-- The 'over' went 9-8

Team Betting Notes

-- Minnesota (22-6) continues to home right along, heading into the new week with a nine-game winning streak. They are also 8-1 ATS during the impressive stretch. They'll put their winning streak on the line Tuesday at Indiana (13-15).

-- The Fever head into that showdown with the Lynx going 2-2 SU, but they have covered four in a row. Indiana lost 83-77 in Minnesota June 22 in the first meeting, but they were able to cover.

-- Connecticut (11-18) put the skids on a four-game losing streak (0-3-1 ATS) with a win and cover at San Antonio (13-16), who has also been struggling mightily.

-- The Stars have now lost four of the past five, and seven of the past nine overall. Bettors have been a big fan of the Stars, or at least a fan of betting against them, as San Antonio is 1-8 ATS over the past nine after a six-game cover streak from June 26-July 9.

-- Chicago (12-16) has its star Elena Della Donne back from injury, and they are ascending once again. Chicago has won back-to-back games, and four of the past six overall after a six-game slide from July 2-17. Chicago has also covered four of the past six.

-- Atlanta (17-10) remains in first place by a healthy margin in the Eastern Conference, but they have lost five of the past seven overall. They're also just 2-5-1 ATS over the past eight games.

-- Phoenix (23-4) continues to be the gold standard in the WNBA, but they haven't been as much of a sure thing against the spread lately. After going 11-0 ATS from July 2-29, they have failed to cover back-to-back games for the first time since June 27-29.
 
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Hondo

Hondo missed badly Sunday with Stroman and the Blue Jays, who by failing their assignment in Houston caused the accounts payable to balloon to 1,325 triandoses

Monday night: Mr. Aitch will avoid Gausman, who pales in comparison to Tanner Roark — 10 units on the Nationals.
 
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Heavy Cy: Yanks set to face Detroit's three aces
By THE SPORTS XCHANGE

Now all the Yankees have to worry about is facing the past three American League Cy Young Award winners over the next three nights.

Detroit Tigers right-hander Max Scherzer, the 2013 winner, on Monday.

Left-hander David Price, the 2012 winner making his Tigers debut, on Tuesday.

Tigers right-hander Justin Verlander, who won it in 2011, on Wednesday.

Oh, and then there's Detroit right-hander Rick Porcello (13-5) on Thursday.

However, the Yankees, whose bats have struggled all year, come into the series on a bit of an offensive roll.

They scored 14 runs in their last two games -- both wins -- in Boston, including an 8-7, come-from-behind win over the Red Sox on Sunday night.

"Hopefully we can take this momentum home with us this week against the Tigers and get on a little roll and maybe get a little winning streak going," left fielder Brett Gardner said after his fifth homer on a six-game road trip proved to be the winner Sunday.

The win lifted the Yankees to 57-53 on the season, five games off the American League East lead but just 1 1/2 games out of the second AL wild-card spot.
 
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StatFox Super Situations

MLB | DETROIT at NY YANKEES
Play On - Home underdogs with a money line of +100 or higher (NY YANKEES) with a starting pitcher whose strikes out 5 or more batters per start, with a team batting average of .255 or worse on the season (AL)
121-94 since 1997. ( 56.3% | 51.3 units )
11-14 this year. ( 44.0% | -0.7 units )

StatFox Situational Power Trends

MLB | BALTIMORE at WASHINGTON
BALTIMORE is 87-57 (+44.5 Units) against the money line vs. a good bullpen that converts on 75%+ of their save opportunities over the last 3 seasons.
The average score was: BALTIMORE (4.4) , OPPONENT (4.0)
 
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[h=1]Today's MLB Picks[/h] [h=2]LA Angels at LA Dodgers[/h] The Dodgers open up an interleague series against the crosstown rival Angels tonight and come into the contest with a 20-4 record in Zack Greinke's last 24 home starts. The Dodgers are the pick (-130) according to Dunkel, which has the Dodgers favored by 2 1/2. Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130). Here are all of today's MLB picks.
MONDAY, AUGUST 4
Time Posted: 7:00 a.m. EST
Game 901-902: San Francisco at NY Mets (12:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: San Francisco (Hudson) 16.403; NY Mets (Gee) 14.989
Dunkel Line: San Francisco by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: San Francisco (-130); 7
Dunkel Pick: San Francisco (-130); Under
Game 903-904: Detroit at NY Yankees (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Detroit (Scherzer) 17.899; NY Yankees (McCarthy) 16.323
Dunkel Line: Detroit by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Detroit (-130); 7 1/2
Dunkel Pick: Detroit (-130); Under
Game 905-906: Texas at Chicago White Sox (8:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Texas (Martinez) 14.309; White Sox (Noesi) 12.422
Dunkel Line: Texas by 2; 10
Vegas Line: Chicago White Sox (-160); 9
Dunkel Pick: Texas (+140); Over
Game 907-908: Tampa Bay at Oakland (10:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Tampa Bay (Cobb) 17.402; Oakland (Samardzija) 16.332
Dunkel Line: Tampa Bay by 1; 8
Vegas Line: Oakland (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Tampa Bay (+140); Over
Game 909-910: Cincinnati at Cleveland (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Cincinnati (Simon) 15.664; Cleveland (Kluber) 17.208
Dunkel Line: Cleveland by 1 1/2; 6
Vegas Line: Cleveland (-200); 7
Dunkel Pick: Cleveland (-200); Under
Game 911-912: LA Angels at LA Dodgers (10:10 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: LA Angels (Richards) 15.988; LA Dodgers (Greinke) 18.402
Dunkel Line: LA Dodgers by 2 1/2; 7
Vegas Line: LA Dodgers (-130); 6 1/2
Dunkel Pick: LA Dodgers (-130); Over
Game 913-914: Baltimore at Washington (7:05 p.m. EST)
Dunkel Ratings: Baltimore (Gausman) 16.521; Washington (Roark) 15.430
Dunkel Line: Baltimore by 1; 6
Vegas Line: Washington (-160); 7
Dunkel Pick: Baltimore (+140); Under
 
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PowerPlayWins

Plays Of The Day

1 Unit Washington Nationals -135 (Roark)
1 Unit Detroit Tigers -125 (Scherzer)
1 Unit Los Angeles Dodgers -125 (Greinke)
 

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